Crypto World
TIME Is Looking For India’s Fastest Growing Companies of 2027
For the second time, TIME will publish a ranking of India’s Fastest-Growing Companies, in partnership with Statista, a leading international provider of market and consumer data and rankings. The list will recognize the country’s leading companies with strong revenue growth between the fiscal years 2023 and 2026.
As part of the research phase, TIME and Statista are now accepting data submissions. While submitting data ensures that eligible companies will be considered for inclusion, it does not guarantee a place on the final list. Additionally, the final ranking will not be limited to companies that submit data.
Crypto World
Gold Price Climbed After July Inflation Data, But Bitcoin Didn’t. Why?
Fed rate hike fears collapsed on Wednesday after July inflation cooled to 3.4%. Gold climbed, crypto bounced, and a closely watched Bitcoin (BTC) bottom signal started flashing.
One piece is still missing. CryptoQuant says the panic selling that sealed every past bear market low has not arrived yet.
Fed Pause Odds Jump After a Cooler July CPI
The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose just 0.1% for the month. Annual inflation slowed to 3.4% from 3.5% in June. Core inflation eased to 2.5%, its lowest since February. Cheaper gasoline, down 2.9% on the month, did much of the work.
Rate traders repriced within minutes. CME FedWatch now gives a 61.9% chance the Fed holds rates in September. A month ago, markets leaned toward a hike, and rare rate hike odds still rattled Bitcoin in late July.
Gold rose 0.5% to about $4,436 per ounce. The metal has rallied since last week’s weak US jobs report. Crypto followed the same relief trade, helped by steady inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Lindsay Rosner of Goldman Sachs Asset Management called the report encouraging, with the general assumption that it gives policymakers room to hold.
However, economist Peter Schiff challenges this outlook, arguing that July’s number still carries May’s oil price crash, not July’s rebound at the pump.
“July’s 0.1% CPI rise is misleading. Energy prices fell because CPI compares monthly average prices. But oil and gasoline rose sharply during July after starting the month at depressed levels. That means July CPI still reflects May’s oil price collapse, not July’s sharp rebound,” wrote Schiff.
If he is right, the next CPI print could look far less friendly.
Bitcoin Bottom Signal Flashes, but Capitulation Looks Incomplete
Meanwhilke, CryptoQuant’s adjusted Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (aNUPL) measures paper gains and losses across all holders. Right now, it shows something rare. Bitcoin’s most committed investors are deeper in the red than the market as a whole.
That pattern marked every major cycle low. It appeared in December 2018 and again in November 2022, when BTC bottomed 77% below its peak. Today’s damage is milder. BTC trades roughly 50% below its cycle high, near $64,160.
“Bitcoin is displaying a condition repeatedly associated with macro bottoms, but not yet the emotional and financial exhaustion that made previous bottoms unmistakable,” CryptoQuant analysts wrote.
Fidelity Digital Assets tracks the same cohort. The firm recently flagged long-term holder supply as one of the clearest reads on a forming bottom.
So why no bottom call? Past lows pushed holder losses far deeper, into what CryptoQuant calls “depression” territory. This cycle may not need that.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs, live since January 2024, give institutions a way to absorb the coins that panicked sellers dump. Some chart watchers still expect a final bear leg first.
The tell is what aNUPL does next. A deeper slide with real selling would look like the classic final flush. A turn back toward zero, while BTC holds a higher low, would suggest the worst has passed.
One more CPI report lands before the Fed’s September 16 decision. It may answer both questions at once.
The post Gold Price Climbed After July Inflation Data, But Bitcoin Didn’t. Why? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
El Salvador Marks 5 Years of Bitcoin Adoption, Cites Domestic Focus
El Salvador marked five years since it made Bitcoin legal tender, but the legacy of the experiment is proving far more contested than the celebratory moment in 2021 suggested. President Nayib Bukele pitched the move as a fast track to financial inclusion, cheaper remittances, and more investment—yet new research and later policy changes indicate that everyday adoption never materialized on the scale promised.
According to Dr. Tobias Boos, a senior scientist at the University of Vienna who leads research into Bitcoin’s political economy in El Salvador, the project fell short when measured against Bukele’s stated goals. “There is little doubt that the project was a failure if we take seriously the reasons Bukele gave for its adoption,” Boos said, pointing to limited progress on foreign direct investment, banking access, and remittance use.
Key takeaways
- Research led by Dr. Tobias Boos finds “mass adoption by citizens did not occur,” with adopters more likely to be young, male, urban, and already banked.
- Despite Chivo’s launch and remittance-focused hopes, crypto wallets handled only a small share of remittance flows by 2024.
- An IMF program culminating in 2025 approvals pushed El Salvador to reduce state involvement: acceptance became voluntary and public-sector use of Bitcoin was limited.
- The most durable impact may have been symbolic—making nation-state Bitcoin adoption a real-world precedent—rather than transforming payments or financial inclusion domestically.
Promises of financial inclusion vs. who actually adopted
When Bukele announced the plan at Bitcoin 2021 in Miami on June 5, 2021, he framed adoption as a way to create jobs and deliver financial inclusion to people outside the formal economy. But five years on, evidence described in the research Boos co-authored suggests the adoption pattern did not match the inclusion narrative.
In a 2025 study, Boos and colleagues (Grigera and Schmid) reported that Salvadorans who adopted Bitcoin were disproportionately young, male, urban, and more highly educated—and importantly, “already banked.” Boos’ interpretation is blunt: “Mass adoption by citizens did not occur.”
The mismatch matters because El Salvador’s starting point was weak banking access. World Bank data cited in the reporting shows that in 2021, only 35.9% of people aged 15 and over held a bank account—one of the lowest levels in the region. In other words, if Bitcoin were to serve as a substitute for missing banking infrastructure, it would need to bridge gaps for people without accounts.
Yet the government’s Chivo wallet, while capable of transferring funds to bank accounts, did not remove the structural barriers preventing many unbanked Salvadorans from accessing the financial system in the first place. Boos and his colleagues describe this as the same core problem reappearing across the adoption story: even with incentives, the missing link was broader financial accessibility rather than the availability of a wallet app.
Remittances: where the “cheaper transfers” thesis didn’t stick
Bukele also sold Bitcoin adoption as a way to improve remittance economics. El Salvador’s economy is tightly linked to money sent from abroad: in 2024, remittances were reported to account for around 24% of GDP, with the United States providing 98% of the total. But the reporting highlights a key constraint—El Salvador has used the U.S. dollar for more than two decades—meaning the most obvious potential cost-saving from Bitcoin (bypassing currency conversion) was already largely neutralized.
That context helps explain why, even with a wave of early promotional activity, crypto wallets remained marginal in remittance flows. The cited research indicates that crypto accounted for barely 1% of remittances by 2024, down from a peak of about 1.7% in 2020–21.
Incentives also did not translate into durable usage. Chivo offered users $30 worth of Bitcoin for signing up, but an analysis described in the article by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that more than 60% of early Chivo users did not make another transaction after spending their free BTC. The reported pattern points to a “try it for the reward” adoption model rather than sustained payment behavior.
On the ground, Bitcoin-focused journalist Joe Nakamoto reported a similar disconnect. In a recent visit, Nakamoto claimed he tested Bitcoin acceptance at 21 shops in a San Salvador mall and found that only four accepted it, and just one did so smoothly. His characterization in the reporting is that living on Bitcoin is “borderline impossible” except in narrow, workaround-driven areas.
The IMF pivot: from legal tender to voluntary use
While public debates about Bitcoin adoption continued, international pressure eventually forced a policy recalibration. In December 2024, El Salvador agreed to a $1.4 billion financing arrangement with the International Monetary Fund, under which it would scale back its involvement in Bitcoin. The agreement was later approved in February 2025, and in January the government amended its Bitcoin law.
The changes described in the reporting included making acceptance voluntary, requiring taxes to be paid in U.S. dollars, and limiting public sector involvement in Bitcoin-related activities—effectively dismantling the most far-reaching parts of Bukele’s original approach. Put simply, Bitcoin could still be used, but the state would no longer compel businesses to accept it or embed it into the public financial system.
Boos says the outcome aligned with the IMF’s assessment. He described the initiative as “soft adoption” that never led to mass payments usage, noting in the reporting that he is not aware of tax payments made using Bitcoin and that supporting infrastructure largely remained unused. Separately, the IMF later found “no evidence” of a beneficial use case for the unbanked and characterized Bitcoin’s impact on financial inclusion as minimal.
For investors and builders watching adoption narratives, this shift is instructive: it shows that legal frameworks and state incentives alone are insufficient if day-to-day demand, payment rails, and integration into mainstream economic behavior do not follow.
What El Salvador did achieve: a precedent, not a universal payments system
Even if Bitcoin did not become everyday money across El Salvador, the experiment still delivered something unprecedented: it moved nation-state Bitcoin adoption from a theoretical concept into a real, live case study. Samson Mow, chief executive of Bitcoin infrastructure firm JAN3, framed the change as a shift in how governments think—turning the question from “whether a sovereign could hold Bitcoin” to “why it hadn’t.”
El Salvador also drew sustained attention from prominent figures in the Bitcoin ecosystem, effectively placing the country at the center of the movement’s public narrative. The reporting notes that Stacy Herbert, who later became a director of El Salvador’s National Bitcoin Office, exemplifies how deeply some parts of the Bitcoin community became intertwined with government structures.
At the same time, the article draws a distinction between what Bitcoin achieved for El Salvador and what El Salvador achieved for Bitcoin. Boos argues the symbolic significance was largely “for” the international Bitcoin community rather than evidence of economic success for Salvadorans. Nakamoto goes further, describing the overall strategy as closer to branding aimed at outsiders than an internally effective economic plan—“beautiful branding” directed at those with capital and passports.
There are also examples of localized, working ecosystems. Bitcoin Beach in El Zonte is cited as an early grassroots initiative that predates the national experiment and reportedly continues functioning even after acceptance became voluntary. The reporting similarly references individual stories of Salvadorans using Bitcoin in daily life, portraying the persistence of micro-economies even as national-scale goals faded.
Beyond legal tender, the Bukele government also promoted projects such as Volcano Bonds and Bitcoin City. However, the article states that repeated delays undermined their progress, and the IMF arrangement “kneecapped” those efforts—though it acknowledges that symbolic impact may still matter to how the episode is remembered globally.
The harder question: Bitcoin strategy under emergency politics
The experiment’s global meaning cannot be separated from the governance environment that made it possible. During Bukele’s time in office, power has been concentrated, and the state of emergency introduced in March 2022 to combat gang violence remains in place years later.
Human Rights Watch, according to the reporting, says the government has continued to remove checks on executive authority. The article also states that local and international human rights organizations have documented mass arbitrary detention and due process violations under the state of emergency.
At the same time, the reporting emphasizes that judging Bukele only through this lens may miss why he remains popular at home. It cites a sharp fall in the official homicide rate—from 53.1 per 100,000 during the year he took office to 1.3 per 100,000 in 2025—framing the crackdown as a visible public security transformation for many Salvadorans.
That tension feeds into the uncomfortable question for Bitcoiners: what does it mean when a philosophy about individual freedom is advanced through a government imposing policy at scale? Mow acknowledges the potential of emergency powers in the hands of a leader who shows restraint, while warning about how quickly those same mechanisms can be repurposed if leadership changes.
Ultimately, the five-year assessment presented in the reporting is split. Bitcoin gave Bukele global attention, and Bukele gave Bitcoin something it had not previously secured at that level: a nation-state willing to place the asset at the center of its economic strategy—even if the implementation did not deliver the promised outcomes for payments, remittances, or mass financial inclusion.
Going forward, readers should watch how El Salvador’s voluntary policy framework evolves—particularly whether Bitcoin usage remains confined to niche communities like Bitcoin Beach or finds more mainstream payment integration—while also tracking the ongoing human rights and institutional implications of emergency governance that shaped the experiment.
Crypto World
US-UK crypto pact sets direction, not binding rules
The United States and the United Kingdom have issued 10 recommendations for stablecoins, tokenized securities, and cross-border finance, although the proposals have not created enforceable rules.
Summary
- Ten recommendations cover digital assets, capital markets, and cooperation between U.S. and UK regulators.
- A proposed one-year industry group would test cross-border uses for tokenized financial assets.
- Both governments want a pathway for regulated stablecoins to enter each other’s markets.
- Frank Hepworth said the recommendations produce very little immediate market impact without domestic rules.
The Transatlantic Taskforce for Markets of the Future published the recommendations on July 14, setting priorities for cooperation between two of the world’s largest financial centers without replacing either country’s regulatory process.
Established in September 2025 by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves, the task force brought together officials from the Treasury departments, the Federal Reserve, the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the Bank of England, and the Financial Conduct Authority.
Five recommendations deal with digital assets. The remaining five address capital raising, foreign issuer requirements, consolidated market data, swap-trading supervision, and international accounting standards.
New Market Trading CEO Frank Hepworth told crypto.news that the cooperation responds to a basic conflict between global digital markets and national financial supervision. Crypto assets can move through phones and computers across borders, while governments still apply most financial rules through domestic institutions.
“The US and UK are doing this because they are two of the world’s leading financial markets, and both face the same problem: digital assets are accessible globally through any computer or phone, while financial regulation is still imposed nationally, largely through domestic financial institutions,” Hepworth said.
US-UK crypto cooperation targets tokenized markets
Under the first recommendation, the governments plan to establish a private-sector-led group for tokenized finance. The group would operate for one year and test cross-border transactions while sharing technical and regulatory practices with public authorities.
Regulators would also examine how their rules treat tokenized assets. According to the report, the SEC, CFTC, FCA, and Bank of England will consider common approaches to settlement finality, regulatory treatment, and market infrastructure.
One area under review is whether stablecoins and tokenized money-market funds could qualify as margin collateral at central counterparties. Any decision would depend on separate work by the relevant agencies because the task force cannot authorize new collateral or change existing market rules.
Tokenized securities have already entered active regulatory discussions in both countries. In July, the UK selected HSBC’s Orion platform for its first blockchain-based sovereign bond, with the digital gilt scheduled for issuance by early 2027 inside the Bank of England and FCA Digital Securities Sandbox.
U.S. regulators are examining similar questions involving ownership records and investor rights. The SEC delayed work on a tokenized-stock exemption in May after exchanges raised concerns about unaffiliated companies issuing blockchain representations of public shares, according to earlier crypto.news coverage.
Hepworth said suppressing digital-asset technology could leave either country behind jurisdictions that allow regulated development. In his assessment, the task force represents an effort to adapt financial oversight while preserving the competitive positions of London and New York.
“Both countries also recognize that simply trying to ban or suppress this technology risks putting them at a competitive disadvantage to jurisdictions that embrace it,” he said. “This task force is an attempt to work out how regulation can adapt to that reality.”
Stablecoin access depends on domestic implementation
Published alongside the recommendations, the UK-US Joint Statement on Stablecoins supports a route through which a stablecoin regulated in one country could eventually be offered or used in the other.
Officials said any arrangement should preserve financial stability, consumer protection, market integrity, and safeguards against illicit finance. The statement also supports one-to-one reserve backing and protection for holders if an issuer becomes insolvent.
No mutual-access system currently exists under the announcement. Regulators must decide how an overseas stablecoin issuer would qualify, which domestic requirements would still apply, and how authorities would divide supervisory duties.
Hepworth noted that the countries are coordinating on stablecoins, tokenized securities, and cross-border access so their regulatory systems can remain effective as the technology develops. He cautioned, however, that cooperation documents do not themselves change the legal position of issuers, exchanges, or investors.
“Importantly, none of the ten recommendations published in July creates binding rules by itself. They establish regulatory priorities and areas for cooperation, while the actual rules will still be made domestically.”
The absence of binding provisions means the recommendations do not grant licenses, establish passporting rights, or remove compliance duties in either jurisdiction. Companies seeking access to U.S. or UK customers must continue to follow the laws and authorization requirements that apply in each market.
U.S. rules remain unfinished under the GENIUS Act
For American issuers and investors, implementation depends partly on the GENIUS Act, which President Donald Trump signed in July 2025. The statute created a federal framework for payment stablecoins, including one-to-one reserve requirements, issuer restrictions, monthly disclosures, and federal or qualifying state supervision.
Treasury has proposed rules for state-level regulatory systems and separate requirements covering anti-money-laundering and sanctions compliance. Issuers with no more than $10 billion in outstanding tokens may use state supervision if the Treasury determines that the state framework is substantially similar to federal standards.
Federal agencies did not complete all required regulations by the law’s July 18, 2026, deadline. As reported in July, several rule packages remained unfinished, including customer identification and anti-money-laundering measures.
Missing the deadline did not automatically postpone the statute’s implementation. The GENIUS Act is scheduled to take effect by Jan. 18, 2027, unless final regulations produce an earlier effective date under its timetable.
The task force also asked the two countries to support a targeted review of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision’s prudential standards for crypto assets. According to the report, U.S. and UK officials will seek standards that are technology-neutral, based on evidence, and consistent across financial centers.
UK stablecoin rules are moving on a separate timetable
British regulators are proceeding through a different framework. The FCA will oversee most UK stablecoin issuers and regulated crypto activities, while the Bank of England will supervise sterling stablecoins that HM Treasury recognizes as systemically important.
In June, the Bank dropped proposed individual holding caps and proposed a £40 billion issuance limit for each systemic stablecoin. Its framework would permit issuers to hold up to 70% of reserves in short-term government debt, with the remainder kept in non-interest-bearing deposits at the central bank.
The Bank is accepting comments on its draft code through Sept. 22 and intends to finalize the requirements by the end of 2026. Regulated systemic stablecoins are expected to begin operating under the framework in 2027.
Hepworth said onchain markets will keep developing while officials build the applicable rules. Regulators, he added, must balance international competition with the financial oversight governments have traditionally exercised through banks.
The FCA’s authorization window for firms entering the new UK crypto regime will run from Sept. 30, 2026, to Feb. 28, 2027. Approved rules will apply when the mandatory framework begins on Oct. 25, 2027.
Crypto World
XRP trading could get spicy after CPI report as futures bets hit highest since October: Crypto Daily
Forecasts point to 0.1% month-on-month growth in the headline CPI for July, up from June’s –0.4% reading. The year-on-year figure is expected at 3.4%, down from 3.5%, and annual core CPI inflation is seen dropping to 2.5% from 2.6%.
According to ING, a softer-than-expected print could weaken the dollar, an outcome that could bode well for the crypto market.
In bitcoin’s case, traders are hoping the report will push the price out of its recent trading range of $62,000 to $66,000. However, the way BTC options are currently priced suggests low expectations for CPI-driven fireworks.
Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, said the market is pricing a post-CPI swing of just 1.3%, which is nothing out of the ordinary.
Data tracking website Laevitas made a similar observation: “7d ATM IV [implied volatility] has compressed to 29.1v on BTC and 41.2v on ETH even as a binary July print lands inside the weekly window, so the term structure is declining to price the event risk that sits directly on the tape,” Laevitas said on X.
The fact that expectations remain low could be just the setup for markets to be surprised into action by a potential big beat or miss in the inflation figures. Stay alert!
Crypto World
FlightAware Withdraws Kalshi Lawsuit One Day After Filing
FlightAware, the real-time aviation tracking company, moved quickly to end its lawsuit against prediction markets platform Kalshi—less than a week after the case was filed and one day after a court ordered Kalshi to explain why a temporary restraining order should not be issued.
According to a Tuesday filing in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, FlightAware’s attorneys notified the court that they voluntarily dismissed the action against Kalshi. The original lawsuit, filed the day before, alleged Kalshi used FlightAware’s name and data to run markets tied to flight cancellations.
Key takeaways
- FlightAware voluntarily dismissed its case against Kalshi in the Southern District of New York shortly after Kalshi was ordered to respond on restraining-order grounds.
- Kalshi’s event contract language appears to have shifted from “FlightAware” to “Primary Source Agency,” including an added disclaimer meant to avoid implying affiliation.
- The dismissal does not remove the broader legal pressure on prediction market operators facing challenges from U.S. states and regulators.
- Federal-state jurisdiction fights remain central, with the CFTC citing “exclusive jurisdiction” positions in related matters involving Kalshi.
A rapid procedural reversal in federal court
In its Tuesday submission, FlightAware’s legal team stated that it had voluntarily dismissed the lawsuit against Kalshi. The notice was filed after Kalshi had been ordered by a judge to show cause as to why the court should not issue a temporary restraining order involving FlightAware’s trademark and data claims.
The timeline is notable for its speed: the dispute was initiated with FlightAware’s complaint alleging trademark infringement, breach of contract, harm to reputation, and unfair competition. Less than a day later, the case was withdrawn.
Although such abrupt turnarounds can sometimes indicate settlement discussions, neither FlightAware nor Kalshi had publicly commented on the litigation as of Wednesday, according to the reporting context provided in the source.
Contract language changed—from “FlightAware” to “Primary Source Agency”
The lawsuit’s core allegation centered on Kalshi’s use of FlightAware branding and information to structure event markets related to flight cancellations. In at least one public-facing event contract, however, the wording appears to have been altered.
At minimum, the language describing the entity responsible for verifying outcomes shifted from “FlightAware” to “Primary Source Agency.” That same contract also included a disclaimer indicating that the market listing does not “indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation” between FlightAware and Kalshi. The “Primary Source Agency” label was linked to FlightAware’s website, aligning the verification reference with FlightAware while avoiding direct brand positioning.
Cointelegraph reported that it reached out to the companies for comment but did not receive an immediate response, leaving the reason for FlightAware’s dismissal unclear. What is clear for market participants is that these labeling and attribution details are not just branding choices—they can directly affect legal exposure when they imply relationships between data providers and market operators.
Prediction market legal pressure continues beyond this dispute
FlightAware’s withdrawal from the case comes amid an ongoing wave of litigation and regulatory conflict targeting prediction markets in the U.S. As outlined in the source material, Kalshi and other prediction platforms such as Polymarket have faced legal action from multiple U.S. state gaming authorities and regulators over alleged unlicensed or illicit sports betting offered to residents.
These cases have been shaped by a key tension: whether prediction markets fall under federal oversight—particularly the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)—or instead are primarily governed by state gaming and gambling laws.
In a separate matter involving New York, the CFTC invoked what it described as “emergency authority” to block state officials from seeking a temporary restraining order that would have prohibited Kalshi from offering event contracts nationwide. The move followed New York authorities filing suit in July, alleging that Kalshi was operating an unlicensed gambling platform through its contracts on sports and other events.
Federal vs. state jurisdiction remains the central battleground
The CFTC’s stance is tied to assertions made repeatedly by its chair, Michael Selig, that the agency has “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets. In the New York fight, that position was used to counter state efforts to impose a nationwide restraining order.
The source also points to a Michigan case with similar themes. In June, a Michigan judge ordered Kalshi to stop offering sports betting contracts to residents until the civil case concluded. The CFTC—again under Selig—then ordered Kalshi not to comply with the state ruling, according to the referenced reporting. Kalshi’s leadership, including its head of enforcement and legal counsel as described in the source, characterized the situation as creating an “impossible position” between competing state and federal orders.
While FlightAware and Kalshi’s dispute over trademark and data has been dropped, the surrounding environment for prediction market operators has not eased. Instead, the legal focus appears to be shifting toward the broader regulatory framework—who has the authority to regulate these markets, and under what legal definitions.
For users and investors watching prediction markets, the next key question is whether the industry’s ongoing compliance approach—especially around data attribution and product affiliation language—will reduce friction in future disputes, or whether the bigger federal-state jurisdiction conflict will continue to dominate outcomes regardless of how individual contracts are labeled.
Crypto World
FlightAware abruptly drops lawsuit against Kalshi over flight data
According to a Fortune article in July, Kalshi decided to pause flight cancellation contracts, after social media users expressed concerns over malicious actors causing flight cancellations to collect payouts. And according to Kalshi data, retail participation in the niche aviation series has been modest. For the U.S. flight cancellation bet currently open until Aug. 14, the data reveals only 31,412 total contracts traded, representing $1,842.48 in aggregate dollar volume and only 1,120 contracts held in open interest. The low liquidity here stands in stark contrast with Kalshi’s $148 billion in volume this year alone, that same data shows.
The filing does not state whether the companies reached an agreement or whether Kalshi changed its markets or their settlement source.
Kalshi and FlightAware were contacted via email for comment but neither responded immediately.
FlightAware had accused Kalshi of using its flight data and a trademark without permission to run bets on airline cancellations. The flight tracking firm was seeking damages and an injunction over contracts that allowed users to trade on the percentage of flights canceled nationally or at specific airports.
Kalshi had denied violating FlightAware’s license or infringing its trademark, according to the original complaint. It said its references to FlightAware constituted nominative fair use. The platform had also identified U.S. Department of Transportation flight data as an alternative source for settling the contracts, according to FlightAware’s complaint.
Crypto World
Goldman Sachs buys NEOS in $2.25 billion deal to land $1 billion bitcoin yield ETF
On April 14, Goldman registered the Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Premium Income ETF with the SEC, proposing a structurally similar covered-call product. Balchunas was blunt about what Wednesday’s deal means for that filing.
“Nowww I get why GS never launched the BTC covered call product they filed months ago,” Balchunas wrote. “Better to leapfrog BlackRock’s $BITA vs me too?”
One senior ETF analyst, who asked not to be named, said the deal reflects Goldman’s push to build out its ETF business broadly, noting that BTCI is one of almost 20 funds in the NEOS lineup. “If anything, it shows that bitcoin is just part of the financial world, alongside stocks, bonds, etc.” As of June 30, 2026, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Innovator from Goldman Sachs Asset Management and NEOS manage more than $130 billion in ETF assets under supervision (AUS), according to the Wall Street bank’s statement.
BlackRock released its own bitcoin income ETF, BITA, on Nasdaq on June 16, about two months ahead of Goldmine’s filing. BITA targets a 15-25% annual yield and sells covered calls on 25-35% of its IBIT holdings. Its expense ratio is 0.65%.
BTCI charges 0.99% and is down 42.55% over the past year, with shares falling from a 52-week high of $65.87 to around $28.40, according to Bloomberg terminal data shared by Balchunas on X. According to the fund’s SEC prospectus, BTCI’s distributions may in part represent a return of capital rather than net investment income, a distinction income investors should weigh.
Crypto World
Japan Escaped a 30-Year Economic Slump, But Crypto Could Pay the Price
Japan’s economy is finally growing again after 30 lost years, JPMorgan Asset Management strategist David Lebovitz says. The escape from the Lost Decades is real, and crypto may end up paying for it.
The Lost Decades were Japan’s long slump after its 1990 bubble burst, when prices fell and rates stayed near zero. That cheap money quietly funded risk bets around the world, including crypto.
Japan’s Lost Decades Made the Yen the World’s Cheapest Money
Japan’s slump had one global side effect. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) held rates near zero from 1999. It even went negative in 2016 and stayed there until 2024.
That made the yen the cheapest money on Earth. Investors borrowed it for almost nothing and bought assets that paid more, from US bonds to tech stocks. Traders call this the yen carry trade.
Crypto grew up inside that easy-money era. So did every other risk asset.
Japan’s recovery is now closing the tap.
The Recovery Comes With a Bill
The good news is real. JPMorgan Asset Management global strategist David Lebovitz made the case in a televised interview. Japan is posting nominal growth, meaning growth in cash terms, for the first time in decades, he said.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights
“Japanese economy is generating nominal growth for the first time in decades,” said.
However, growth brought inflation, and inflation crushed the yen. The currency hit a 40-year low near 164 per dollar in July. In real terms, it was the cheapest since the 1960s, the Council on Foreign Relations notes.
Japan and the U.S. spent $88 billion propping it up. The relief lasted two weeks before the rescue faded. The dollar is back near 159.50 yen.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the real fix is higher Japanese rates. Markets agree and price another hike by October, Japan’s third in 12 months.
Voters are pushing the same way. Analyst account Bull Theory noted that 71% disapprove of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s handling of living costs.
Higher rates already sting at home. They sit at their highest since 1995, and Japan’s biggest insurers are nursing $96 billion in bond losses.
Crypto Has Seen This Squeeze Before
The last one was brutal. In July 2024, a surprise BOJ hike blew up the carry trade. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) documented the shock in a bulletin. Bitcoin (BTC) fell about 25% in one week to near $49,000. Japan’s stock market had its worst day since 1987.
The trade survives because the rate gap is still wide. US rates sit at 3.50% to 3.75%, while Japan’s are at 1%. Every new hike makes cheap yen less cheap.
For now, markets are calm. Bitcoin trades near $64,700, little changed in 24 hours, per BeInCrypto Markets data.
Not everyone expects pain. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes argues a Fed-backed yen defense could add liquidity and pump Bitcoin instead.
Japan waited 30 years for this recovery. Crypto is about to learn what defending it costs. The first answer comes at the BOJ’s September and October meetings.
The post Japan Escaped a 30-Year Economic Slump, But Crypto Could Pay the Price appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bank of England Trials Stablecoin and Digital Pound for Cross-Border Payments
The Bank of England’s Digital Pound Lab is running a new experiment that tests whether stablecoins—and a notional digital British pound—could work together inside the same cross-border trade payment flow. The project is designed to show how payment and settlement could be connected to trade finance in a way that reduces the delays and cash-flow pressure that small and medium-sized businesses often face.
According to an announcement from the project participants, the trial involves NOBO Finance, Dun & Bradstreet and Polygon Labs. In the setup, an exporter receives an advance through a stablecoin-based “rail,” while a UK importer completes settlement using simulated digital pounds—without using real customers or real money.
Key takeaways
- The Digital Pound Lab experiment tests stablecoin rails alongside simulated digital pounds in a single cross-border trade settlement flow.
- NOBO Finance, Dun & Bradstreet and Polygon Labs are collaborating, with Polygon providing smart contract infrastructure.
- A second workstream focuses on generating reusable credit profiles for small businesses using transaction data and open-finance inputs.
- The Bank of England has not committed to issuing a digital pound, and lab tests are not intended as signals of future policy.
How the trade finance pilot is meant to work
The core concept targets a structural problem in international trade: payment timing. When exporters ship goods before receiving full payment, they may have to wait days to be paid, tying up working capital. That delay can make trade finance harder to access—particularly for smaller firms that may lack established lines of credit.
In the lab’s proposed flow, the exporter receives an advance via a stablecoin pathway, while the importer performs settlement through simulated digital pounds. The pairing is intended to demonstrate how stablecoin-based payment mechanics could coexist with a central-bank-style settlement layer, at least in a controlled testing environment.
The experiment is also designed to be realistic in terms of participants’ roles: it is built around trade finance and settlement processes rather than a generic token transfer scenario. That distinction matters because trade finance depends on paperwork, counterparty assessment and timing—factors that can be difficult to model in simple demonstrations.
Building blocks beyond payments: credit profiles for SMEs
The project does not stop at moving value. It includes a separate workstream intended to improve how small businesses are assessed for credit, by creating reusable credit profiles.
As described in the announcement, that credit-profile effort combines transaction data, open-finance information and Dun & Bradstreet’s commercial risk data. Polygon Labs is contributing smart contract infrastructure for the overall system, which suggests the test may explore whether on-chain logic can help standardize or reuse parts of the credit assessment process rather than rebuilding them from scratch for every transaction.
For investors and builders, the value of this component is that trade finance bottlenecks are often caused by more than settlement latency. Information asymmetry and rigid underwriting cycles can restrict financing even when payment rails are upgraded. By aiming at “reusable” profiles, the project appears to target a way to shorten the time between data availability and a credit decision—though the outcomes of that part of the work are not yet detailed.
Why regulators and central banks are watching stablecoins and tokenized payments
The Bank of England’s experiment lands in the middle of broader regulatory and infrastructure work in the UK. The central bank and other regulators are preparing for stablecoins and tokenized assets, while also modernizing the plumbing behind traditional payment settlement.
Earlier this year, the Bank of England published draft rules for sterling-denominated stablecoins it considers systemic to the UK financial system. According to the central bank’s proposal referenced in the report, issuers could hold up to 70% of their reserves in interest-bearing government debt, and the framework introduces a temporary issuance cap of 40 billion pounds (about $52.8 billion) for each systemic stablecoin.
The policy timeline included in the article points to potential finalization by the end of 2026, ahead of a planned 2027 rollout. Stablecoins deemed “systemic” would fall under the Bank of England’s regulatory regime, while non-systemic stablecoins would remain under the Financial Conduct Authority.
That split between systemic and non-systemic tokens is an important practical detail for market participants. It implies that not every stablecoin would be treated the same way, and that compliance requirements could vary depending on how widely a token is used and how much it matters to financial stability. For developers, it also suggests that designs and reserve structures may need to be aligned with which regulatory lane a token is likely to occupy.
The lab’s trade test is also tied to the UK’s wider push to upgrade settlement speed and flexibility. In May, the Bank of England proposed moving its RTGS and CHAPS systems toward near-24/7 operation, including weekend and extended daily hours—an effort framed as support for cross-border payments and evolving settlement models that could incorporate tokenization.
In July, the central bank also approved HSBC’s Orion platform to operate in the UK’s Digital Securities Sandbox. The article notes that Orion is expected to support digital bond issuance, including the country’s planned Digital Gilt Instrument. While that is separate from stablecoin rules, it reinforces the theme that UK authorities are testing tokenized approaches across multiple asset types, not only payments.
What the Digital Pound Lab trial does—and does not—indicate
Even as the experiment explores stablecoin rails and simulated digital pound settlement, the Bank of England is explicit that the Digital Pound Lab uses no real customers or money and that it has not committed to issuing a digital pound.
The central bank also cautions that participant-designed experiments in the lab should not be interpreted as indications of future policy or as endorsements of the companies or products involved. In practice, that means readers should treat the pilot as proof-of-concept work: useful for identifying technical and process challenges, but not a guarantee of a specific eventual product roadmap.
What to watch next is whether the project can demonstrate measurable improvements—such as reduced settlement delays, more efficient financing workflows, or faster credit assessment cycles—within its controlled environment. Since the announcement does not provide results or performance metrics yet, the most immediate signal will come from any follow-on reporting from the lab on what worked, what failed, and which regulatory assumptions were necessary for the trial design.
Crypto World
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