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Crypto World

Trump Fed Mistake Remark Everyone Is Getting Wrong

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Odds Trump Fed Chair Prospects

President Donald Trump sparked a viral debate on social media after a February 9 interview on Fox Business’s Kudlow show, where he discussed his decision-making around Kevin Warsh, his nominee for Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair.

Short clips circulating on X (Twitter) show Trump saying he “made a big mistake,” fueling confusion over whether he now regrets nominating Warsh.

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Trump Admits a “Big Mistake”—But Is It About Kevin Warsh or Powell?

In full context, Trump was reflecting on 2017, when he chose Jerome Powell over Warsh, who had been the “runner-up” at the time.

Trump said the decision was influenced by advice from then-Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, calling it a “really big mistake.”

Far from expressing current regret, Trump praised Warsh, describing him as a “high-quality person” capable of delivering extraordinary results if confirmed.

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Trump’s comments included an eye-catching claim: if Warsh “does the job that he’s capable of,” the US economy could grow as much as 15%. Notably, this projection is far beyond historical peaks of 4–7% growth in strong years.

This bold statement has sparked widespread debate, with speculation that Warsh will be set up as a “fall guy” if such ambitious expectations are not met.

“…drive economic growth to 15%—a highly optimistic claim that highlights the pressure Warsh would face if confirmed…signal Trump’s push for aggressive stimulus ahead of midterm elections and suggest a challenging path for Warsh,” remarked Walter Bloomberg, a popular market commentator.

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Meanwhile, the remarks also have clear market implications. Analysts and crypto commentators have interpreted Trump’s enthusiasm for Warsh as a signal that the next Fed leadership could favor lower interest rates, stronger liquidity, and pro-growth policies.

“Trump is directly signaling lower rates and stronger liquidity support…This is the clearest signal yet that the next Fed direction could be more growth-focused and liquidity-friendly,” analyst Bull Theory commented.

With a Fed chair who will cut rates and dismiss concerns about inflation, such growth would normally push prices sharply higher.

Posts on X highlight potential implications for Bitcoin, gold, and other risk assets. The general sentiment is that Warsh’s policy approach could lead to easier monetary conditions, reminiscent of “yield curve control” or coordinated Treasury-Fed operations.

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However, misleading captions and out-of-context clips have driven a spike in engagement, with some speculating about alternative nominees like Judy Shelton or questioning whether Warsh could be withdrawn.

However, data on Polymarket shows a modest 3% probability of Trump nominating Shelton, against 95% odds in favor of Warsh.

Odds Trump Fed Chair Prospects
Odds Trump Fed Chair Prospects. Source: Polymarket

Fact-check threads and full-clip posts are attempting to clarify that Trump’s “mistake” comment referred to the past, not the present nomination.

Memes, commentary, and speculation about inflation, debt levels, and Fed independence have made the discussion one of the most viral economic topics on X in recent days.

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Warsh himself has a history that blends traditional central banking experience with a measured openness to financial innovation.

A former Fed Governor (2006–2011) and Hoover Institution senior fellow, he is known as an inflation hawk who favors fiscal restraint and a smaller Fed balance sheet.

He has personal exposure to crypto, investing in projects such as Basis and Bitwise, though he views Bitcoin primarily as a store of value rather than a transactional medium.

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Sentiment suggests his tenure could indirectly support risk assets by providing macro stability and eventual clarity on rate policies. However, any direct crypto rally is unlikely until he assumes office in May 2026 and policy actions materialize.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Breaks 5-Month Losing Streak With $68K March Close: What’s Next?

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, BTC Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) closed March in green, ending the longest monthly losing streak since 2018. Data suggests that the coming months may prove to be profitable for BTC.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin ended March 2% higher, marking the first green monthly close in six months.

  • A similar streak in 2018/2019 led to an over 316% BTC price rebound over five months.

  • Bitcoin price faces stiff resistance at $70,000-$72,000, where key trend lines converge.

Past multi-month downtrends were followed by 300% price gains

Historical price data from CoinGlass confirms Bitcoin printed its first green monthly candle in six months, closing March 2% higher after five straight months of losses.

“This is a massive dose of hopium,” analyst Ash Crypto said in an X post on Wednesday.

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The analyst was referring to a possible shift in momentum, which might lead to a sustained recovery, as seen in previous cycles.

Related: Crypto Fear & Greed Index stuck on ‘extreme fear,’ but is there a silver lining?

The last time this happened was in 2018/2019 when BTC closed February 2019 in green, after six consecutive red months, as shown in the figure below.

This led to a reversal with over 300% returns the following five months, as Bitcoin recovered from the 2018 bear market.

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“Last time BTC dumped 6 months in a row, it pumped the following 5 months in a row that came after!” trader Satoshi Flipper said in a Wednesday post on X.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, BTC Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin monthly percentage returns. Source: CoinGlass

If history repeats itself, the reversal may continue in April, suggesting that BTC price may have bottomed at $60,000.

Bitcoin’s bullish monthly close is a ”catalyst for fresh inflows into early April,” Trader Caleb said, adding:

“April starts with momentum.”

Bitcoin has a well-established tendency for significant price swings in April.

Since 2013, April has been a green month for eight of the past 13 years, with average returns of about 12.2%

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However, Bitcoin also tends to move in the opposite direction to March in April, and this is true for nine out of the past 13 years. 

In recent years, Bitcoin dropped in April after closing March in green, three out of four times between 2021 and 2024. 

Therefore, while the end of past multi-month drawdowns suggests a rebound is due, data demonstrates that BTC price could also slide in April.

Watch these Bitcoin price levels next

Data from TradingView shows BTC price up 2.5% on the day to trade at $68,470 as the $69,000-$70,000 resistance remains in place.

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Analysts expect Bitcoin’s range-bound price action to continue for longer, with important price levels to look for in case of a breakout. 

These include the $70,000-$72,000 supply zone, coinciding with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 1w–1m cohort cost basis

This is also where investors acquired approximately 650,000 BTC, marking a potential point of sell pressure, according to the cost-basis distribution data from Glassnode.

Breaking above this level could see BTC/USD revisit the $76,000 range high and eventually the $80,000 psychological level.

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BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Zooming out, trader Sheldon Diedericks said Bitcoin could “push into resistance” at $83,000 on the monthly time frame, a key support level from April 2025. The 200-day EMA is also close to this area.

BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: X/Sheldon Diedericks

On the downside, the 200-week EMA at $68,300 and the 200-week SMA at $59,400 remain key levels to watch. Below that, the next major level is Bitcoin’s realized price around $54,000.

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s bear market bottom could be formed once BTC price drops toward or below its realized price.