Connect with us

Crypto World

Trump’s Fed chair nominee’s return sparks bitcoin jitters over rates, balance sheet cuts

Published

on

Trump's Fed chair nominee's return sparks bitcoin jitters over rates, balance sheet cuts

The market was initially jolted by the sudden news of President Donald Trump naming Kevin Warsh as his choice for the next Federal Reserve chair, ending a month-long saga of guessing game.

The U.S. dollar rallied, bitcoin fell, and the equity market became volatile when the news broke; while the market might have stabilized a bit for now, the uncertainty is still gripping the traders across all asset classes.

So who is Kevin Warsh, and more importantly, how will his leadership shape the future of monetary policy and crypto?

Former Fed governor

Kevin Maxwell Warsh is a former U.S. Federal Reserve governor who served from 2006 to 2011 and played a senior role during the 2008 global financial crisis, including acting as a key liaison between the Fed and financial markets.

Advertisement

Before joining the central bank, Warsh worked at Morgan Stanley and served in the George W. Bush administration as Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy and Executive Secretary of the National Economic Council, giving him experience spanning Wall Street and Washington.

After leaving the Fed, Warsh became a visiting fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, where he has written extensively on monetary policy, central bank credibility and what he views as the long-term risks of prolonged balance-sheet expansion by central banks.

It’s worth noting here that while the nomination spooked the market and bitcoin, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell — whose second four-year term expires on May 15, 2026 — is eligible to remain on the Fed’s Board of Governors until Jan. 31, 2028. Warsh must still be confirmed by the Senate before assuming the role, but a vacancy created by Governor Stephen Miran’s expiring temporary term on Jan. 31, 2026 could allow him to join the board ahead of May.

The bitcoin view

Warsh’s appointment has drawn particular scrutiny from digital-asset investors — at least initially — given his long-held views on monetary discipline and skepticism toward bitcoin’s role as money.

Advertisement

While the concern is not with Warsh personally, his background has led many market participants to view him as potentially bearish for bitcoin and other risk assets. He is broadly viewed as favoring monetary discipline, higher real rates, and a smaller Fed balance sheet, all of which oppose a liquidity-heavy environment that has historically backed risk assets.

So what are his ties to crypto?

First, let’s take a look at what he said about bitcoin previously.

In public commentary in 2015, Warsh approached bitcoin and cryptocurrencies primarily through a monetary-policy lens, expressing skepticism about their use as stable mediums of exchange while acknowledging the potential of blockchain technology.

Advertisement

“The underlying technology in that white paper, it’s just software,” Warsh said during a video conversation with Stanley Drukenmiller. “It’s just the newest, coolest software that will provide us the opportunity to do things we could never have done before.”

While acknowledging all software can be used for good and for evil, Warsh said that by building it here in the U.S., that gives us the opportunity to be more productive and create something very special over the next decade…”

At one point in the conversation with the billionaire hedge fund manager and his former colleague, Warsh told Drukenmiller, “You made reference to Bitcoin and I thought I heard a little condescension in your voice, that people are buying bitcoin.”

He went on to make a case in favour of bitcoin, saying “it could provide market discipline, it could tell the world that things need to be fixed.” He also said he thinks of “bitcoin as a lot of things, but certainly with every passing day it’s getting new life as an alternative currency.”

Advertisement

While the interview is from 2015, when bitcoin was still seen as dangerous and mostly used for illegal activities, a lot has changed in the last eleven years. Now, the U.S. has a pro-crypto government, there is legislation in the works to create a legal framework for digital assets, and, most importantly, crypto has become too big to ignore, even for Wall Street giants.

The potential future Fed chair has argued that central banks must engage with digital money, including considering a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC) to counter bitcoin and rival China’s digital yuan. Worth noting that CBDC is a hotly debated topic in the crypto community due to privacy concerns.

He also said cryptocurrency was nothing more than “software pretending to be money.” He categorized cryptocurrencies as a symptom of “speculative excess” driven by loose monetary policy and argued that Bitcoin’s rise was largely a derivative of the “global dollar flood” and that, as liquidity tightens, such assets are likely to lose their appeal.

‘Not hostile to crypto’

Warsh also had close ties with crypto in general.

Advertisement

Warsh has drawn attention in crypto circles for his early involvement with digital-asset firms, including Bitwise Asset Management, a crypto index fund provider. Warsh was an investor in a cryptocurrency project called Basis, an algorithmic central bank. He also served as an adviser for Electric Capital, a VC firm focused on crypto, blockchain and fintech.

Market analysts covering crypto have said Warsh’s policy outlook, which emphasizes institutional credibility and monetary discipline, could matter for liquidity conditions affecting risk assets such as bitcoin.

Warsh is not a crypto evangelist, but has expressed a nuanced, pragmatic stance on innovation and regulation. Analysts view him as cautious about private crypto volatility and as more focused on systemic financial stability than on championing unregulated markets.

While criticizing its use as money, Warsh has conceded that bitcoin could potentially serve as a “sustainable store of value, like gold.” However, he maintains that its boom-and-bust cycles are speculative and may foretell “heightened market volatility” across broader financial assets.

Advertisement

“Warsh is not viewed as hostile to crypto, and the prospect of a new Fed Chair perceived as more inclined toward rate cuts could trigger a short-term relief rally across risk assets,” Market analyst and Adlunam founder Jason Fernandes said.

“However, without a genuine macroeconomic justification for easing, any such move will be met with skepticism and sold into,” Fernandes added.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

JPMorgan Issues Bold Bitcoin Prediction Amid Crash

Published

on

Crypto Market Sell-Off

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

Grab a coffee and settle in — the market’s been on a rollercoaster lately. Bitcoin is moving, stocks are shifting, and headlines are coming fast. While some investors are hitting pause, others are watching closely, trying to read the signals beneath the noise.

Crypto News of the Day: Bitcoin Slides Below $68,000 Amid Forced Deleveraging

Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Thursday, before extending a leg down to levels below $68,000, an area last tested on October 28, 2024. The move came as intensified selling swept across crypto markets.

Sponsored

Advertisement

Sponsored

Crypto Market Sell-Off
Crypto Market Sell-Off. Source: CoinGecko

The decline marks roughly a 45% drop from October highs, fueled by ETF outflows, fading demand, and a “forced deleveraging” phase in futures markets.

“…with demand fading, ETF inflows drying up, and futures markets entering a “forced deleveraging” phase. Analysts say weak volumes and sustained selling are prompting investors to exit at a loss, despite technical indicators signaling oversold conditions,” wrote Walter Deaton.

Weak volumes and sustained selling pressure have prompted many investors to exit positions at a loss, even as technical indicators signal oversold conditions.

Despite the short-term turbulence, JPMorgan is increasingly bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term potential relative to gold.

The bank highlighted that BTC is now trading well below its estimated production cost of $87,000, a level historically considered a soft floor, and that its volatility relative to gold has dropped to record lows.

Advertisement

“…large outperformance of gold vs. Bitcoin since last October, coupled with the sharp rise in gold volatility, has left Bitcoin looking even more attractive compared to gold over the long term,” MarketWatch reported, citing JPMorgan’s quantitative strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou.  

According to the bank, this improved risk-adjusted profile suggests significant upside for investors willing to hold over a multi-year horizon.

Market stress metrics highlight the fragility of the current environment. Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin’s capitulation metric has recorded its second-largest spike in two years. This reflects sharp forced selling and accelerated de-risking by market participants.

Sponsored

Sponsored

Bitcoin Capitulation Metric and Price
Bitcoin Capitulation Metric and Price. Source: Glassnode

Meanwhile, it is worth noting that Bitcoin has erased all gains since Donald Trump won the election, wiping out a 78% post-election rally and highlighting ongoing volatility.

Crypto Stocks Tumble Amid Bitcoin Sell-Off and Rising Economic Uncertainty

Crypto equities mirror the broader weakness in Bitcoin. Shares of Coinbase, Riot, Marathon, and Strategy fell between 5% and 7% premarket after the drop below $70,000, with ETF holdings also down more than 5%.

The crypto downturn comes amid broader macroeconomic headwinds. US January layoffs surged 205% year-over-year to 108,435, the highest January total since 2009, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

Job cuts were concentrated in transportation — led by UPS — and tech, with Amazon announcing 16,000 layoffs. Healthcare also saw notable reductions.

Sponsored

Advertisement

Sponsored

Meanwhile, federal job protections were overhauled, with the Trump administration finalizing reforms affecting 50,000 civil service workers. Continuing claims remain elevated at 1.84 million, highlighting ongoing economic uncertainty.

Equity markets are also witnessing a similarly complex backdrop, with the BMO Capital Markets projecting the S&P 500 could reach 7,380 by the end of 2026, implying an 8% expected return.

The firm favors cyclical sectors such as industrials, materials, energy, and financials, while underweighting defensive sectors. Inflation remains a principal risk, though global monetary and fiscal stimulus provide support.

Advertisement

With all these in mind, Bitcoin and broader financial market investors face a delicate balancing act:

  • Technical oversold conditions and low relative volatility suggest a long-term opportunity
  • Yet, immediate pressures from leveraged positions, ETF outflows, and macro uncertainty continue to weigh on sentiment.

JPMorgan’s analysis points to potential gains for patient holders, but the short-term outlook remains volatile, reflecting a market in the midst of recalibration.

Sponsored

Sponsored

Chart of the Day

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Byte-Sized Alpha

Here’s a summary of more US crypto news to follow today:

Crypto Equities Pre-Market Overview

Company Close As of February 4 Pre-Market Overview
Strategy (MSTR) $129.09 $120.78 (-6.58%)
Coinbase (COIN) $168.62 $159.42 (-5.46%)
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) $20.16 $19.10 (-5.26%)
MARA Holdings (MARA) $8.28 $7.81 (-5.68%)
Riot Platforms (RIOT) $14.14 $13.36 (-5.51%)
Core Scientific (CORZ) $16.15 $15.50 (-4.02%)
Crypto equities market open race: Google Finance

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Aave Delegate Platform Proposes Pausing Three L2 Deployments Citing Weak Revenue

Published

on

Aave Delegate Platform Proposes Pausing Three L2 Deployments Citing Weak Revenue

The proposal also includes requiring any new deployment to guarantee at least $2 million in annual revenue to Aave.

A governance delegation platform for Aave, the largest decentralized lending platform, with more than $29 billion in total value locked (TVL), has proposed pausing three underused Layer 2 deployments of Aave V3.

In a Jan. 29 governance proposal that moved to a snapshot vote on Feb. 3, the Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) proposed that Aave freeze its V3 deployments on Ethereum L2s zkSync Era, Metis, and Soneium to cut costs.

“Over time, it has become clear that a small subset of instances contributes very little user activity, TVL, and revenue, while still requiring a non-trivial amount of attention from service providers and governance participants,” ACI wrote in the prospal.

Advertisement

The proposed reduction in L2 deployments aims “to reduce operational overhead and governance burden by addressing instances that are clearly non viable today.”

Among the three networks, zkSync currently has the largest TVL at about $26 million, followed by Soneium with $21.6 million and Metis with $11.7 million, according to DefiLlama data.

Over the past 30 days, Aave generated just $714 in revenue on zkSync, $679 on Metis, and just $150 on Soneium, per DefiLlama. For comparison, within the same timeframe Aave made over $7.7 million on Ethereum and nearly $298,000 on Base.

Now, ACI is pushing for stricter terms on future expansions. The proposal calls for any new chain deployment to guarantee Aave a minimum of $2 million in annual revenue, arguing that the protocol’s liquidity is often underpriced given the “upfront and recurring costs.”

Advertisement

The snapshot vote on the proposal, which runs through Feb. 7, has so far drawn unanimous support, with 257,300 votes in favor and none against.

Voting kicked off the same day that Ethereum’s broader scaling strategy came under renewed scrutiny. As The Defiant reported earlier this week, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published an X post arguing that the rollup-centric roadmap for the network “no longer makes sense,” and arguing that L2s should focus on other use cases.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Roubini Predicts a ‘Crypto Apocalypse’ Amidst Bitcoin’s Plunge Under Trump-Era Policies

Published

on

Roubini Predicts a 'Crypto Apocalypse' Amidst Bitcoin's Plunge Under Trump-Era Policies


Roubini said that Bitcoin behaves like a leveraged bet, rising and falling alongside high-risk equities rather than hedging uncertainty.

Economist Nouriel Roubini, who is known for his anti-crypto rhetoric, predicted a looming “crypto apocalypse.” He explained that the future of money and payments will evolve gradually rather than undergo the revolutionary transformation promised by cryptocurrency advocates.

In a recent post, Roubini said Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies’ latest price plunge demonstrates the extreme volatility of what he calls a “pseudo-asset class,” and expressed hope that policymakers recognize the risks before further damage occurs.

Advertisement

He recalled that one year earlier, Donald Trump had returned to the US presidency after courting retail crypto investors and receiving significant backing from crypto industry figures. This led several evangelists to predict that Bitcoin would reach at least $200,000 by the end of 2025 and become “digital gold.”

Roubini: Bitcoin Isn’t a Hedge

According to Roubini, Trump followed through by dismantling most crypto regulations, signing the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stable Coins (GENIUS) Act, pushing the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, profiting from domestic and foreign crypto deals, promoting a meme coin bearing his name, pardoning crypto criminals allegedly linked to terrorist organizations, and hosting private White House dinners for crypto insiders.

Roubini noted that crypto was also expected to benefit from macroeconomic and geopolitical risks, including rising public debt, fiat currency debasement, trade wars, and increased tensions involving the US, Iran, and China, factors that coincided with gold rising more than 60% in 2025.

Bitcoin, however, fell 6% that year and, as of the time of writing, was down 42% from its October peak and below its level at Trump’s election, while the TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins had dropped 95%. Roubini said Bitcoin repeatedly declined during periods when gold rallied, and argued that it behaves as a leveraged risk asset correlated with speculative stocks rather than a hedge.

Advertisement

He reiterated his long-standing view that crypto does not function as a currency, as it is neither a unit of account, a scalable payment system, nor a stable store of value, while citing El Salvador’s experience, where Bitcoin accounts for less than 5% of transactions. He further argued that crypto is not a true asset because it lacks income streams or real-world utility.

You may also like:

On Stablecoins and Regulations

Roubini said the only widely adopted crypto application after 17 years is the stablecoin, which he described as a digital form of fiat money already replicated by traditional finance, and maintained that most blockchain-based systems are centralized, permissioned, and privately controlled. He asserted that fully decentralized finance will never scale because governments will not permit anonymous transactions, and that AML and KYC requirements undermine claims of lower costs.

While speaking about regulation, Roubini warned the GENIUS Act risks recreating the instability of 19th-century free banking, as stablecoins lack narrow bank regulation, lender-of-last-resort access, or deposit insurance, making them vulnerable to runs. He also criticized proposals allowing stablecoins to pay interest, and claimed that this could destabilize fractional reserve banking unless payments and credit creation are structurally separated.

Roubini’s comments come as Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory, falling a fresh 6% on Thursday and trading below $71,600 at the time of writing. The latest decline has added to broader market unease, and analysts are warning that continued weakness in BTC could have wider implications. Market experts have increasingly raised concerns that firms holding large BTC reserves may face massive balance-sheet stress and systemic risk if prices continue to slide.

Advertisement
SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: Use this link to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Sovcombank launches bitcoin-backed loans for Russian miners and businesses

Published

on

Sovcombank launches bitcoin-backed loans for Russian miners and businesses

Sovcombank, the ninth-largest Russian bank by assets, said it became the first financial institution in the country to offer bitcoin-backed loans to individuals and corporations who legally own digital assets.

The move follows a pilot program by state-owned Sberbank, which in late December issued the first such product to mining firm Intelion Data. While crypto-secured lending remains limited amid regulatory uncertainty, Russian banks have increasingly shown interest in borrowing against bitcoin as mining firms and crypto-holding businesses look to unlock liquidity while retaining their digital assets.

“Specifically, we offer bitcoin-secured lending, allowing our clients to raise financing for business development without having to sell their assets,” Marina Burdonova, Sovcombank’s compliance director, said in a statement. Only companies and individuals who legally own digital assets will have access to the bitcoin-backed lending products, she said.

Crypto mining in Russia became legal Nov. 1, 2024 after the government introduced a law allowing legal entities and entrepreneurs registered with the Ministry of Digital Development to engage in the activity. Unregistered miners could operate only if they do not exceed energy consumption limits.

Advertisement

A month later, the government imposed a six-year ban on crypto mining in 10 regions due to the industry’s high power consumption. In December 2025, it reopened the cryptocurrency market to the public with new rules laid out by the country’s central bank.

“Mining has ceased to be a niche ‘bitcoin mining’ activity. It has become an investment class with predictable returns, a payback period and manageable risks,” Burdonova said. “Sovcombank sees potential in partnerships with all crypto industry participants, from miners and data center operators to crypto exchanges and money changers.”

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Binance price eyes $615 fibonacci support as oversold conditions build

Published

on

Binance price eyes $615 fibonacci support as oversold conditions build - 1

Binance’s price is approaching the $615 support zone as oversold conditions intensify, placing it at a critical technical inflection point.

Summary

  • $615 is a major confluence support combining the 0.618 Fibonacci, VWAP, and prior value area high
  • Rejection at $932 confirms bearish structure, keeping pressure on price in the short term
  • Oversold conditions raise bounce probability, but confirmation is needed for reversal

Binance (BNB) price has entered a sharp corrective phase following its recent swing high, with bearish momentum accelerating across multiple timeframes. After failing to sustain upside continuation, price has rotated lower in an impulsive fashion, signaling a clear shift in short- to medium-term market structure.

As BNB continues to unwind recent gains, attention is now turning toward a key high-timeframe support region near $615, where technical confluence suggests this level may play a decisive role in determining the next directional move.

Advertisement

Binance price key technical points

  • $615 marks a major confluence support zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP support
  • High-timeframe resistance at $932 remains intact, reinforcing the broader corrective structure
  • Oversold conditions increase the probability of a relief bounce, provided structural support holds
Binance price eyes $615 fibonacci support as oversold conditions build - 1
BNBUSDT (1W) Chart, Source: TradingView

The current corrective move began after Binance Coin established a new high at a time-frame resistance near $932.

This level acted as a decisive rejection point, where bullish momentum stalled and sellers regained control.

The failure to reclaim acceptance above this resistance confirmed a structural low and initiated the current impulsive move to the downside.

Since that rejection, price action has remained consistently bearish, with lower highs and expanding downside candles reflecting aggressive selling pressure. This behavior suggests that the move lower is not merely a shallow pullback, but a broader corrective rotation within the prevailing market cycle.

Advertisement

$615 support zone comes into focus

As price continues to decline, the $615 region has emerged as the most important technical level in the near term.

This zone represents a high-confluence area where multiple technical factors align, including the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader move and VWAP-based support.

Additionally, this region sits above the previous range value area high, strengthening its relevance as a structural support level.

Historically, when price revisits such confluence zones after an impulsive move, the market often pauses to reassess value. If buyers step in to defend this area, it increases the likelihood that prices will stabilize and form a base for a corrective rebound.

Advertisement

Oversold conditions signal potential exhaustion

Momentum indicators are now beginning to reflect oversold conditions following the extensive selling seen over recent days and weeks. While bearish trends can persist longer than expected, oversold readings often signal that downside momentum may be nearing exhaustion, especially when price approaches major support.

Importantly, oversold conditions alone do not confirm a reversal. However, when combined with strong structural support, they increase the probability of at least a short-term relief bounce. Any such bounce would likely be corrective in nature unless accompanied by a clear reclaim of higher resistance levels.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, the $615 region represents a critical make-or-break level for Binance Coin. A successful defense of this support could allow BNB to establish a higher low and trigger a rotation back toward higher price targets. Conversely, failure to hold this zone would expose the market to deeper corrective levels and extend the bearish structure.

Advertisement

Until confirmation emerges, traders should closely monitor volume behavior and price reaction around support. A strong bullish response would signal improving demand, while continued weakness would reinforce downside risk. For now, all eyes remain on $615 as the market approaches a pivotal moment in Binance Coin’s corrective cycle.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

$1M Lightning Payment Tests Bitcoin’s Institutional Rails

Published

on

$1M Lightning Payment Tests Bitcoin’s Institutional Rails

Institutional trading and lending desk Secure Digital Markets (SDM) said it sent a $1 million payment to cryptocurrency exchange Kraken over the Lightning Network on Jan. 28.

SDM claimed in a Thursday statement shared with Cointelegraph that it is the largest publicly reported Lightning transaction to date and a proof‑of‑concept for seven‑figure transfers between regulated counterparties.

The payment cleared in 0.43 seconds and was routed via Voltage’s managed Lightning infrastructure, which provides node management, pre‑provisioned liquidity, and uptime guarantees aimed at exchanges and trading desks. 

The previously publicized “record” single payment milestone was about 1.24 Bitcoin (BTC), roughly $140,000 at the time, highlighting the rarity of six‑figure Lightning payments, let alone a clean, seven‑figure transfer in one shot.

Advertisement
$1 million in a single Lightning transaction. Source: SDM

Voltage CEO Graham Krizek called the transaction an “important moment for Lightning and for institutional Bitcoin payments,” saying that a $1 million Lightning transfer highlighted the “its ability to meet enterprise requirements.”

Related: Lightning Network could nab 5% of stablecoin flows by 2028: Voltage CEO

Lightning metrics remain small, but growing

The transfer comes against a backdrop of mixed Lightning metrics. Capacity on public Lightning channels fell from over 5,400 BTC in late 2023 to about 4,200 BTC by mid 2025, before rebounding to a new all-time high capacity of over 5,600 BTC by December. 

That’s still a small pool of capital relative to Bitcoin’s market value, and most documented usage has skewed toward smaller payments.

Bitfinex, for example, had long capped Lightning deposits at 0.04 BTC before recently lifting limits to 0.5 BTC per payment and 2 BTC per channel.

Advertisement

In a statement shared with Cointelegraph, Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether and chief technology officer at Bitfinex, called the Lightning Network a “powerful solution for all Bitcoin users” that began as a retail payments experiment

He said that Bitfinex had seen Lightning handle higher volumes with predictable settlement, lower costs and reduced onchain congestion, “all of which matter for institutional use cases.”

Fidelity and Blockstream see institutional potential

Fidelity Digital Assets, which published a 2025 report on Lightning using Voltage data, argued that the Lightning Network not only enhanced Bitcoin’s utility but also bolstered its investment case.

Related: Tether leads $8M funding for Lightning startup focused on stablecoins

Advertisement

Fidelity noted that average Lightning capacity had increased by 384% since 2020, adding that the network presented a “transformative opportunity for both new and existing financial institutions.”

Blockstream, a Bitcoin‑focused infrastructure company, pushed a similar narrative in its Q4 2025 quarterly update.

The company highlighted Core Lightning releases focused on latency reduction and Lightning Service Provider (LSP) support, and pitched its Greenlight platform as a way for apps, exchanges and services to offer trust‑minimized Lightning functionality with minimal infrastructure burden, with an explicit roadmap for enterprise‑focused Lightning deployments.

Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

Advertisement