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Washington sues Kalshi, heightening regulatory risk for crypto bets

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Washington sues Kalshi amid widening crackdown on prediction markets

Washington state filed a civil complaint on Friday accusing Kalshi Inc. of violating the state’s gambling laws by operating its online prediction-market platform without proper licensing. The case relies on Washington’s prohibition on online gambling and stringent gaming oversight, arguing that Kalshi’s offerings fall squarely within the state’s definition of gambling. The complaint was filed in King County Superior Court.

In its announcement, the Washington Attorney General’s office described Kalshi’s platform as showing “a range of events that they can bet on and the odds for those various events, which dictate how much the bettor will be paid out if the event occurs.” The AG’s office argued that Kalshi markets itself as a mechanism to “bet on anything,” and that labeling the service a “prediction market” does not remove it from gambling classifications. Announcement.

Kalshi promptly sought to remove the suit to federal court, arguing that the issues are already the subject of ongoing federal litigation and that Washington provided no prior warning before filing the complaint.

The action in Washington reflects a broader push by state prosecutors to police what they view as online wagering activities disguised as non-traditional markets. Kalshi’s platform advertises a slate of events with associated odds and payouts, which the AG’s office says mirrors conventional gambling operations even when framed as a prediction market.

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Key takeaways

  • The Washington complaint asserts Kalshi violated the Washington Consumer Protection Act, Gambling Act, and Recovery of Money Lost at Gambling Act; Kalshi has moved to transfer the case to federal court.
  • A Nevada judge issued a 14-day temporary restraining order blocking Kalshi from operating in the state, following a motion from the Nevada Gaming Control Board. The ruling cited the likelihood that Kalshi’s event contracts could breach state gambling laws.
  • Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes announced criminal charges against the companies behind Kalshi, alleging the platform operated an “illegal gambling business in Arizona without a license” and offered illegal election wagering. Report.
  • The evolving enforcement landscape shows regulators in multiple states scrutinizing prediction-market operators, complicating whether such platforms should be regulated as gambling or under different statutory regimes. Kalshi has argued that federal oversight via the CFTC should apply, given its interpretation of the platform’s contracts as beyond state gambling definitions.
  • For investors and users, the string of state actions underscores ongoing uncertainty around the legality and governance of prediction markets in the United States, with outcomes potentially shaping how similar platforms operate going forward.

Washington’s case, Nevada’s ruling, and the broader regulatory backdrop

Washington’s complaint frames Kalshi’s product as a traditional betting market in disguise. The attorney general’s filing emphasizes that Kalshi’s contracts “risk money, rely in part on chance, and promise a payout to winners,” characteristics the state argues align with gambling behavior under Washington law. The state’s action also notes that Kalshi markets itself as a platform where users can “bet on anything,” bolstering the case that the activity falls outside the bounds of a mere educational or informational tool.

Kalie’s response to the Washington action centers on jurisdiction. By seeking federal transfer, Kalshi contends that the core issues are already being litigated in federal venues and that the state’s suit lacks sufficient warning or dialogue prior to filing. The dispute taps into a broader legal debate about whether prediction-market contracts should be regulated exclusively by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or by state gambling authorities.

In Nevada, the temporary restraining order illustrates how state regulators are ready to curb Kalshi’s activities while litigation continues. Nevada’s decision aligns with a broader trend in which state authorities have pressed cases against Kalshi to determine whether its event contracts violate local gambling statutes. The court’s action underscores the friction between state-level enforcement and Kalshi’s insistence on federal jurisdiction.

Arizona’s criminal charges amplify the sense that Kalshi faces a sprawling, multi-jurisdictional legal challenge. The state’s action, described by authorities as targeting an “illegal gambling business” and unlicensed betting on elections, adds to the pressure on Kalshi’s operations across the country. This constellation of cases comes as lawmakers scrutinize prediction markets for potential insider-information risks tied to government actions, particularly bets on military events or policy moves.

Looking ahead, observers will be watching how the Washington case intersects with Nevada’s TRO and Arizona’s charges. A key question is whether federal courts or state authorities will prevail in defining Kalshi’s legal footing, and how much of the regulatory burden may shift onto operators of prediction markets. The outcome could establish a precedent for how prediction markets are regulated in the United States and influence whether other platforms adapt, relocate, or modify their products to comply with state gaming statutes.

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Readers should monitor forthcoming court filings and state-agency updates as regulators continue to test the boundaries of what counts as gambling in the context of modern, online, and market-based prediction tools. The evolving stance across jurisdictions will likely determine the near-term viability of Kalshi’s business model and shape the regulatory playbook for similar platforms.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Ansem Says Ethereum Is in a Worse Spot Than 2023 as Thesis Weakens

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Ethereum Price Prediction

Crypto analyst Ansem argues that Ethereum (ETH) is in a “worse spot” in 2026 than it was in 2023, pointing to a thesis he says has been eroding for years.

His bearish take drew rebuttals from some members of the community. Meanwhile, on-chain activity and technical indicators elsewhere on the network flash bullish signals.

Ansem Lists Cracks in the ETH Thesis

Ansem argues that Solana (SOL) has dominated retail activity this cycle. Hyperliquid has taken the lead in perpetual futures trading, while rollups have failed to gain traction.

He also noted that Vitalik Buterin “publicly abandoned” the general-use rollup thesis. The ongoing Aave (AAVE) situation around the KelpDAO rsETH exploit, Ansem said, is a mark on  Ethereum’s core value proposition of “safety + security of defi & insto interest.

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“ETH thesis has been weakening consistently for years,” the analyst wrote. ETH in 2026 is in a worse spot than it was in 2023, amplified by AI doing extremely well & tech stocks being much more favorable investments with real revenues / emerging narratives / increasing momentum, ETH is a $300B asset with a ton of overhang from Tom Lee topblasting + complacent ETH holders sitting idle in defi protocols.”

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Technically, the analyst noted that ETH remains in a sustained downtrend after failing to break multi-year resistance. He projected that the second-largest cryptocurrency could slip to 2025 lows near $1,300 and to the bear-market lows from 2022.

“Tight invalidation 2377 assuming problems worsen if you want to play it loose assuming other risk assets continues doing well & drags it up probably somewhere around 2700/2800 invalidation fundamentals wise would want to see breakout activity from some new vertical,” the post read.

Ethereum Price Prediction
Ethereum Price Prediction. Source: X/Ansem

Community Members Push Back

The take triggered notable pushback. Ryan Berckmans accused Ansem of not understanding fundamentals. Leo Lanza went further, sharply dismissing the analyst’s bearish case on X.

Another user pointed to a 56% drop in the SOL/ETH pair this cycle.

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“Soleth is down 56% after being up 12x+ *this cycle* because one guy decided to buy 5% of the eth supply after it had underperformed all cycle. idk why you guys act like i dont also bearpost solana i havent posted anything bullish about sol in over a year,” Ansem replied.

Not everyone shares the bearish view on Ethereum. BeInCrypto recently highlighted that network activity remains strong, while technical indicators like the Rainbow Chart and MACD are also flashing bullish signals.

With macro and geopolitical uncertainty still in play, the question is whether ETH slides further this year or stages a renewed rally.

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The post Ansem Says Ethereum Is in a Worse Spot Than 2023 as Thesis Weakens appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

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Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

Total value locked on decentralized lending protocol Aave dropped by nearly $8 billion over the weekend after hackers behind the $293 million Kelp DAO exploit borrowed funds on Aave, leaving roughly $195 million in “bad debt” on the protocol and triggering withdrawals.

Data from DeFiLlama shows that Aave’s TVL fell from about $26.4 billion to $18.6 billion by Sunday, losing the top spot as the largest DeFi protocol. 

Aave v3’s lending pools for USDt (USDT) and USDC (USDC) are now at 100% utilization, meaning that more than $5.1 billion worth of stablecoins cannot be withdrawn until new liquidity arrives or borrows are repaid. 

$2,540 is available to be withdrawn from the $2.87 billion USDT pool on Aave v3 at the time of writing. Source: Aave

Aave’s TVL fall shows how rapidly risk from a single security incident can spread throughout the broader, interconnected DeFi lending market, potentially leading to a severe liquidity crisis.

The incident began on Saturday when hackers stole 116,500 Kelp DAO Restaked ETH (rsETH) tokens worth about $293 million from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered bridge and used them as collateral on Aave v3 to borrow wrapped Ether (wETH).

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Crypto analytics platform Lookonchain said the move created about $195 million in “bad debt” on Aave, which contributed to the Aave (AAVE) token tanking nearly 20% from $112 on Saturday at 6:00 pm UTC to $89.5 about 25 hours later. 

Lookonchain noted that some of the largest crypto whales to withdraw funds from Aave were the MEXC crypto exchange and Abraxas Capital at $431 million and $392 million, respectively.

Source: Grvt

Several crypto networks and protocols tied to rsETH or the LayerZero bridge have paused use of the bridge until the problem is resolved, including DeFi platform Curve Finance, stablecoin issuer Ethena and BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC).

Aave has frozen several rsETH, wETH markets

Shortly after the Kelp DAO exploit, Aave said it froze the rsETH markets on both Aave v3 and v4 to prevent any suspicious borrowing and later stated that rsETH on Ethereum mainnet remains fully backed by underlying assets.

WETH reserves also remain frozen on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea, Aave said.

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This incident marks the first significant stress test of Aave’s “Umbrella” security model, which was introduced in June 2025 to provide automated protection against protocol bad debt while enabling users to earn rewards.

Related: Aave DAO backs V4 mainnet plan in near-unanimous vote

Earlier this month, the Bank of Canada found that Aave avoided bad debt in its v3 market by using overcollateralization, automated liquidations and other strategies that shifted risk to borrowers.

In comments to Cointelegraph, Aave defended its liquidation-based model, framing it as a core safety mechanism that protects lenders while limiting downside for borrowers.

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It comes as Aave parted ways with its longest-standing DeFi risk service provider, Chaos Labs, on April 6, following disagreements over the direction of Aave v4 and budget constraints.

Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?