Bitcoin traded close to its levels prior to the US Federal Reserve’s announcement on Wednesday, even after the Fed lifted its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2023. The market largely appeared to have priced in the move: at the time of writing, BTC was around $76,663, up about 1.35% over 24 hours.

The Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to raise rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4%. While rate hikes typically weigh on stocks and other risk assets, crypto analysts told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s immediate reaction was muted and near pre-announcement price levels.

Key takeaways

• Bitcoin held around pre-Fed levels near $76,000 after a unanimous 25bp hike to 3.75%–4%.
• Analysts said the decision looked “largely anticipated,” limiting the immediate downside in BTC.
• Derivatives activity showed net selling in perpetual futures, partially offset by net spot buying.
• FOMC projections pointed to at least one more potential hike before year-end for many officials.

Bitcoin shrugs off a widely expected Fed hike

According to Talos research analyst Cooper Duschang, the lack of dramatic price movement suggested that crypto markets had already incorporated the Fed’s decision. “The initial reaction suggests the Fed’s decision was largely anticipated by crypto markets,” he said in comments shared with Cointelegraph. He added that Bitcoin remained relatively resilient, “holding broadly around pre-announcement levels even as equities moved lower.”

At the same time, US equities slipped during Wednesday’s trading session, following the Fed announcement. Crypto traders are watching for any shift from this “priced-in” backdrop—especially if future Fed communication turns more restrictive than expected.

What the Fed signaled: inflation still too high, economy strengthening

During the post-decision press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation remains too high, while the US economy appears to be strengthening. The Fed’s updated economic projections indicated that a majority of officials foresee at least one more rate hike before the end of the year.

The same theme appears in the FOMC participation expectations cited in the article: 16 of 18 FOMC participants were reported as expecting at least one more rate increase this year, based on the Fed’s FOMC projections table available on the Federal Reserve’s website: US Federal Reserve.

Block Scholes’ Andrew Melville characterized the overall policy direction by arguing that an additional increase would be a “more hawkish surprise than today’s 25bp hike,” underscoring the market’s sensitivity to changes from expectation rather than the first move itself.

Spot and derivatives tell a more mixed story than the price chart

While Bitcoin’s headline price response looked subdued, Duschang said activity in spot and derivatives suggested investors were repositioning rather than simply stepping aside. He pointed to a short-term shift in perpetual futures positioning toward net selling over the hour following the announcement—about $82 million net selling in Bitcoin and $68 million in Ether.

However, that selling pressure did not translate cleanly into broader downside because net spot flows appeared to be absorbing some of the impact. Duschang reported roughly $15.5 million of net spot buying in Bitcoin, which he said could be helping counterbalance the derivatives-led pressure.

Exchange flow data reinforced the idea of active adjustment. Duschang noted that around 2,170 Bitcoin moved onto exchanges after the rate decision, followed by withdrawals of about 1,260 Bitcoin. Interpreting these movements, he argued that rather than one uniform “risk-off” reaction, investors were “actively repositioning as they digest the Fed’s message.”

“Higher for longer” raises the stakes for later

Even if Wednesday’s hike did not move BTC much, analysts warned that the bigger question is what happens next—especially as attention shifts from a move widely expected by markets to the possibility of further tightening.

Martin Lee, market insights lead at DWF Labs, suggested that a renewed hawkish posture associated with “higher for longer” rates would likely force risk assets to “repricing this new reality.” In practice, that means future price action may depend less on the existence of rate hikes and more on how the Fed frames the path ahead and how traders judge probabilities for additional moves.

Duschang framed the near-term watchpoints similarly: the key issue is whether Bitcoin’s resilience and spot demand remain intact as investors reassess tightening expectations beyond the immediate decision.

For now, traders appear to be separating the first hike—already priced by many—from the next steps implied by Fed projections and subsequent communication. The next catalyst to monitor is whether spot demand continues to offset derivatives selling if markets start to price in an additional hike with higher confidence.

Two Prime has launched an institutional Bitcoin lending vault on Pareto targeting annual returns of 1.5% to 2%, with roughly $10 million of the firm’s own capital committed to absorb initial credit losses.

CoinDesk reported on Sept. 16 that the Axiom WBTC Yield Vault accepts Wrapped Bitcoin and requires a minimum investment of 5 WBTC, putting the entry level near $380,000 with Bitcoin trading around $76,000 at publication. The quoted yield is a target tied to lending conditions and is not guaranteed.

The product takes Two Prime’s existing institutional credit business onto blockchain-based infrastructure, with Pareto handling the private-credit rails and ICE Digital Trust and Copper Technologies providing custody. Two Prime plans to lend deposited assets to institutional counterparties that can include public companies, credit-rated borrowers and diversified financial firms.

Two Prime puts $10 million behind the WBTC vault

Two Prime’s capital commitment gives the Axiom vault a first-loss layer before participating investors bear certain credit losses. CoinDesk placed the commitment at roughly $10 million, although the report did not disclose the precise size of the vault, its maximum capacity or how much of that capital had already been deployed when the product was announced.

The structure does not make the targeted return risk-free. Its 1.5% to 2% annual return depends on lending terms, borrower performance and market conditions. Investors retain exposure to credit risk, operational risk and risks tied to the wrapped Bitcoin used as the vault’s deposit asset.

Five WBTC is the minimum contribution. At a Bitcoin price close to $76,000, that represents approximately $380,000, although the dollar amount changes with Bitcoin because WBTC is designed to track the underlying asset.

Wrapped Bitcoin allows BTC value to move through smart contracts on networks such as Ethereum. The token is backed by Bitcoin held in custody, creating an additional custody and tokenization layer that does not exist when an investor holds native BTC directly.

As crypto.news explained in its recent WBTC guide, WBTC brings Bitcoin liquidity into lending and other decentralized-finance applications through a token intended to maintain a one-to-one relationship with BTC. The structure comes with custodial and smart-contract considerations that differ from native Bitcoin ownership.

Pareto supplies the onchain private-credit infrastructure

Pareto provides the blockchain infrastructure through which the new vault connects investor deposits with private-credit borrowers.

Current DefiLlama data for Pareto Credit shows approximately $227 million in active loans. The tracker classifies Pareto Credit as an uncollateralized lending marketplace serving institutional lenders and borrowers. Capital already deployed to borrowers is reported separately from the smaller amount of assets sitting idle inside its vault contracts.

That accounting distinction explains why Pareto’s conventional TVL figure can appear much lower than its outstanding credit book. DefiLlama’s methodology excludes deployed loans from its default TVL reading and records those balances under active loans instead.

Pareto’s infrastructure was already supporting large institutional credit products before the Two Prime launch. Earlier in September, RedStone introduced pricing feeds for a Pareto FalconX credit vault carrying more than $170 million in exposure across several networks.

As crypto.news reported in its coverage of the FalconX vault, Pareto’s permissioned private-credit products are designed for professional investors, asset managers, digital-asset funds and fintech firms. Transfer restrictions can require approved participants for redemptions or liquidations.

The Axiom vault extends that model into WBTC lending. Two Prime supplies the lending and borrower-selection expertise, while Pareto provides the tokenized infrastructure used to administer the onchain product.

ICE Digital Trust and Copper handle custody

The custody layer uses two established institutional providers. ICE Digital Trust describes itself as a New York state-chartered trust company and qualified custodian. Its infrastructure supports custody of Bitcoin and other digital assets through offline key storage, transaction reviews and multi-step authorization controls.

Intercontinental Exchange’s 2025 annual filing confirms that ICE Digital Trust operates under New York Department of Financial Services supervision. The filing says the business provides custody for assets including Bitcoin, Ether and USDC and falls under New York virtual-currency, cybersecurity and anti-money-laundering rules.

Copper supplies another institutional custody and financing layer. Its platform combines MPC-based custody with lending, settlement and collateral-management tools. Copper says its controls prevent a complete private key from being created in one location and require governed transaction approvals.

The two providers address asset safekeeping, while borrower repayment remains a separate source of risk. Custody controls do not guarantee the performance of loans made through the vault.

Launch extends Two Prime’s institutional lending business

Two Prime enters the onchain vault market with an existing institutional Bitcoin credit operation.

Its SEC adviser record lists Two Prime Inc. as an SEC-registered investment adviser with registration effective since February 2022. The firm expanded its regulatory profile in February 2026 when it registered with the CFTC as a commodity trading adviser and became an NFA member. Two Prime’s SEC registration can be viewed through IAPD.

The firm’s lending affiliate had issued more than $2.55 billion of Bitcoin-backed loans and credit facilities by the end of the third quarter of 2025. That total included $827 million during the quarter alone, according to Two Prime’s announcement at the time.

As crypto.news previously reported, borrowers have included Bitcoin miners, trading firms, asset managers, family offices and corporate treasuries. The lending business has historically focused on institutional bilateral credit backed by Bitcoin collateral.

A more recent transaction involved MARA Holdings. Two Prime supplied a $300 million two-year term loan carrying a fixed 7.65% rate as part of $600 million in new borrowing secured by MARA’s Bitcoin.

MARA initially pledged 18,750 BTC across facilities provided by Two Prime and Coinbase. Two Prime’s loan matures in August 2028.

The onchain product therefore changes how lender capital reaches Two Prime’s credit operation without replacing its institutional underwriting model.

Two Prime’s onchain strategy has developed during 2026

The launch follows several months of public discussion inside Two Prime about how institutional finance could use blockchain vault infrastructure.

At Consensus Miami in May, founder and CEO Alexander Blume argued that institutional borrowers tend to demand conventional legal agreements, transparent custody and identifiable counterparties. Blume said institutions often reject structures they consider operationally difficult to explain to boards and risk committees.

By July, Blume was publicly discussing vaults as a way to place financial strategies into blockchain-based wrappers. Two Prime’s own publication list described onchain vaults as emerging financial infrastructure, while continuing to emphasize regulated custody and identifiable counterparties for institutional users.

Axiom combines those elements. The product uses an onchain vault but places the credit strategy with a known institutional manager and the assets with named custodians.

The approach resembles other recent Bitcoin yield structures connecting tokenized BTC with institutional borrowing demand. In August, crypto.news reported that  Flow Traders was testing a Bitcoin-backed stablecoin credit strategy through Lombard’s Bitcoin Earn vault. That product accepts several forms of tokenized Bitcoin and allocates capital through professionally managed credit strategies.

Realized yield will depend on borrower performance

The next measurable data for the Axiom WBTC Yield Vault will come from deposits, credit deployment, borrower repayment and the yield actually delivered to investors.

Two Prime has set a 1.5% to 2% annual target, but CoinDesk explicitly noted that returns are subject to market conditions and are not guaranteed. The company has not published a fixed maturity schedule, final vault capacity or a guaranteed rate for depositors in the materials reviewed.

Pareto’s existing credit platform provides a reference point for onchain lending activity, not a forecast for Axiom. DefiLlama currently records close to $227 million of active Pareto Credit loans and an average supply APY of approximately 6.4% across the pools it tracks. Individual Pareto products carry different borrower exposures, structures and yields, so that aggregate rate should not be treated as the expected return for Two Prime’s vault.

WBTC’s underlying reserve position supplies another independently observable data point. The WBTC transparency dashboard showed 116,499.1917 WBTC in circulation against 116,511.9929 BTC held in reserves in its Sept. 11 update. Most of the outstanding token supply, roughly 116,132 WBTC, was issued on Ethereum.

Bitcoin held near its pre-Fed announcement levels of around $76,000 on Wednesday despite the US Federal Reserve raising its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2023 to address persistently high inflation. 

The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday voted unanimously to raise rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4%, a move that typically puts pressure on stocks and other risk assets. However, Bitcoin showed little immediate reaction to the announcement and was trading at $76,663 at the time of writing, up 1.35% in 24 hours.

“The initial reaction suggests the Fed’s decision was largely anticipated by crypto markets. Bitcoin has remained relatively resilient, holding broadly around pre-announcement levels even as equities moved lower,” said Cooper Duschang, research analyst at Talos in comments shared with Cointelegraph. 

Bitcoin’s price resilience came despite US stocks slipping on Wednesday. Crypto analysts said this resilience could be tested again if the Fed raises rates further this year. 

During the FOMC press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said that inflation remains too high while the US economy looks to be strengthening. The Fed’s updated economic projections show a majority of officials see at least one more rate hike before the end of the year.

Andrew Melville, head of research at Block Scholes, said another increase in rates would be a “more hawkish surprise than today’s 25bp hike.”

However, Duschang said that while Bitcoin’s price action was muted, there was movement in the spot and derivatives markets. 

“Perpetual futures have shifted towards net selling, led by approximately $82 million in Bitcoin and $68 million in Ether over the past hour,” he said. “In contrast, Bitcoin recorded around $15.5 million of net spot buying, suggesting spot demand is absorbing some of the selling pressure coming through derivatives.” 

Related: Bitcoin awaits Fed rate decision below $76K as analysis discounts ‘dovish surprise’ odds

Duschang also noted significant Bitcoin exchange flows, with around 2,170 Bitcoin moving onto exchanges following the rate increase, followed by a withdrawal of 1,260 Bitcoin. 

“Rather than a uniform risk-off response, investors appear to be actively repositioning as they digest the Fed’s message,” he said. “The key question now is whether Bitcoin’s resilience and spot demand hold as attention shifts from today’s widely anticipated hike to the prospect of further tightening.” 

Martin Lee, market insights lead at DWF Labs, said the renewed “hawkish stance” of “higher for longer” rates would lead to risk-on assets “repricing this new reality.” 

Magazine: HYPE price could suffer as Binance takes its revenue: Alice Liu

Ethereum price rebounded toward $2,420 after a sharp sell-off, but weak capital flows and resistance near $2,465 leave ETH exposed to another correction.

Ethereum price action today

Ethereum (ETH) price was trading near $2,421 on Sep. 16 after recovering from an intraday low of $2,382.70, according to Binance data shown on TradingView. ETH opened the current daily candle at $2,398.26 and rose about 0.95%, partially reversing the previous decline.

The rebound followed a broader sell-off that briefly pulled ETH below the $2,400 psychological level. Market pressure intensified after the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act failed to advance in the U.S. Senate.

The bill’s cloture motion reportedly failed in a 49-50 vote, short of the 60 votes needed to proceed. Its defeat weakened expectations that Congress would soon establish clearer divisions between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Ethereum was particularly vulnerable because the pullback followed several failed attempts to remain above the $2,500 area. The token recently traded as high as roughly $2,660 before sellers pushed it back toward its current range.

Derivatives added to the pressure. Ethereum accounted for about $250 million in liquidations during the broader market decline, as the loss of $2,450 forced leveraged long positions to close.

Technical indicators point to fading momentum

Ethereum’s daily chart shows that the recovery remains below the Bollinger Bands’ middle line at $2,464.49. That level now forms the first technical barrier above the market.

The upper Bollinger Band sits at $2,544.69, placing the broader resistance zone between approximately $2,465 and $2,545. A daily close above that range would strengthen the case that the correction has ended.

ETH is also holding just above the lower Bollinger Band at $2,384.30. Buyers defended that level during Tuesday’s decline, with the session low reaching $2,382.70 before price recovered.

The daily relative strength index stands at 52.09. Although the reading remains above the neutral 50 mark, it has fallen below its moving average of 61.02 after retreating from overbought territory. The decline shows that bullish momentum has faded since ETH’s late-August rally.

Conditions look weaker on the 4-hour chart. Ethereum trades below Supertrend resistance at $2,526.61, while the indicator’s former support near $2,441.90 has been lost. ETH would need to reclaim both levels to weaken the short-term bearish setup.

Chaikin Money Flow stands at minus 0.07 on the same timeframe. The negative reading indicates that selling pressure is slightly stronger than buying pressure, limiting the conviction behind the latest rebound.

Ethereum must defend the $2,380 support zone

The immediate support area lies between $2,380 and $2,400. Both the daily lower Bollinger Band and Tuesday’s intraday low fall within this range, making it the first level buyers need to defend.

A sustained breakdown below $2,380 could expose the August breakout region near $2,300. The weekly chart shared by analyst Ted Pillows identifies another support zone around $2,230, with a lower level near $2,056 if selling accelerates.

The bullish path begins with a move back above the daily Bollinger midpoint at $2,464. ETH would then need to clear the psychological $2,500 level and 4-hour Supertrend resistance at $2,526.

Further gains could place the recent $2,550-$2,660 rejection zone back in focus. Acceptance above that supply area would invalidate much of the current bearish structure and open a possible move toward $2,800.

Ethereum’s one-week liquidation heatmap shows ETH trading near $2,420 after sweeping several leveraged positions during its drop from above $2,500. The closest liquidity is concentrated around $2,420-$2,450, while additional clusters appear near $2,500 and $2,625-$2,660. Below the market, liquidity is visible around $2,350-$2,400, leaving ETH vulnerable to further volatility if either side is breached.

Analysts warn of a deeper Ethereum correction

Crypto analyst Ted Pillows said ETH was testing its 50-week exponential moving average. He warned that a weekly close below the indicator could produce an 8% to 10% correction.