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Crypto World

Vitalik Buterin Pauses Essays to Write Decentralized Governance Sci-Fi Novel

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Buterin Targets Ethereum’s Core Bottlenecks with Bold Overhaul

Vitalik Buterin will pause his trademark long-form blog posts to write a sci-fi novel about decentralized governance, the Ethereum co-founder announced Wednesday from his Farcaster account.

He has already finished chapters one and two and posted them to his personal site, signaling a pivot from technical essays to sustained narrative fiction built around governance experiments in crypto-native systems.

Buterin’s Sci-Fi Novel Takes Governance Into Fiction

Buterin shared the experiment on Farcaster, where his account vitalik.eth posted a short note pointing followers to the in-progress draft.

In lieu of more of the usual blog posts, decided to try my hand at writing decentralized governance scifi,” he stated.

For years, his essays have dissected coordination problems in decentralized autonomous organizations, voting mechanisms, and public goods funding.

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Shifting that inquiry into fiction lets him stress-test ideas in hypothetical societies rather than on the Ethereum mainnet, where mistakes carry real costs.

Why a Sci-Fi Format, and Why Now

The pivot lands while many DAOs face well-documented long-term governance challenges, including low voter turnout, treasury exposure, and concentration among large token holders.

Buterin has previously argued that quadratic voting and pluralist mechanisms can dilute that influence. The narrative format gives him room to dramatize those mechanisms inside imagined cities and crisis scenarios.

Recently, the co-founder signaled a broader retreat from Ethereum Foundation influence, calling the organization one node in a wider ecosystem.

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His praise for Farcaster as a usable platform also explains why the announcement landed there rather than on a centralized network.

Whether the draft becomes a finished novel or remains an open experiment, the project gives Ethereum’s most visible thinker a new venue for working through governance questions.

The coming weeks will reveal whether crypto readers treat each chapter like an Ethereum Improvement Proposal.

The post Vitalik Buterin Pauses Essays to Write Decentralized Governance Sci-Fi Novel appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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SoFi brings bank-issued stablecoin to 15 million users in crypto push

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SoFi is launching a 24/7 banking hub that blends traditional cash with crypto

SoFi has rolled out its dollar-backed stablecoin, SoFiUSD, to users of its banking app, becoming the first U.S. national bank to offer a stablecoin directly to retail customers on a public blockchain.

The company said Wednesday that nearly 15 million members will be able to buy, sell, hold and convert SoFiUSD within the SoFi app. The stablecoin is available on Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) and is redeemable 1:1 for U.S. dollars through SoFi Bank.

The launch marks a broader push by banks into blockchain-based payments as lawmakers and regulators move closer to establishing rules for stablecoins in the U.S. Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a fixed value, usually pegged to the dollar. The market is currently dominated by crypto-native issuers Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC, which are widely used in crypto trading and decentralized finance.

SoFi said it sees the larger opportunity outside crypto markets.

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“The use of stablecoins in traditional finance is still incredibly small today,” a SoFi spokesperson said. “Historically, stablecoins have been used for DeFi and crypto trading, but not for use cases like cross-border payments or B2B transactions.”

The spokesperson added that regulation and institutional oversight could become key advantages as banks enter the sector.

“SoFiUSD competes by offering what crypto-native issuers cannot: the trust, security and oversight that comes with being a nationally chartered bank,” the spokesperson said.

SoFi CEO Anthony Noto said the company wants to combine blockchain-based payments with regulated banking services inside a single platform.

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“People no longer have to choose between blockchain technology and regulated banking products,” Noto said in a statement in December alongside the launch of SoFiUSD.

SoFi said future updates will allow users to convert SoFiUSD into tokenized deposits that may earn interest and qualify for FDIC insurance, subject to separate account terms. The company also plans to support 24/7 cross-border transfers and launch trading access through crypto exchange Bullish for institutional clients.

Full availability is expected by early June as members update the latest version of the SoFi app.

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US Government Moves $1.9 Million of Seized Alameda Altcoins

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US Government Moves $1.9 Million of Seized Alameda Altcoins

The US government moved roughly $1.9 million in altcoins seized from Alameda Research to Coinbase Prime on Wednesday. On-chain tracker Arkham Intelligence flagged the transfer.

The batch covered five tokens from wallets the Department of Justice seized in 2023. The source accounts sit at Binance, and the move has revived familiar speculation about an eventual government sale.

Is the US Government Selling?

A wallet labeled by Arkham as the US Government sent about $1.89 million in tokens to a Coinbase Prime deposit address.

The batch covered Render (RNDR), Uniswap (UNI), The Sandbox (SAND), Mask Network (MASK), and Axie Infinity (AXS).

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Most of the dollar value sat in RNDR and UNI. Both tokens trade with market caps near $1.14 billion and $2.08 billion, respectively, according to BeInCrypto data.

SAND, MASK, and AXS are smaller positions worth a few hundred thousand dollars apiece.

Coinbase Prime is the exchange’s institutional arm. Hedge funds, asset managers, and government agencies use it for custody and structured sales.

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Past USG transfers there have preceded both custody changes and outright liquidations, including an earlier Bitfinex bitcoin Coinbase transfer.

A Familiar Pattern From the 2023 Forfeiture

The seized stash traces back to January 2023. The Department of Justice filed civil forfeiture actions against three Alameda accounts on Binance and Binance.US.

Those accounts held over $300 million at the time. The action sat inside the wider FTX collapse case. That case has since produced more than $11 billion in court-ordered forfeitures.

The transfer fits a pattern from the same wallet. In late 2024, the federal addresses converted seized Aragon (ANT) tokens into ether.

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That swap ended two years of dormancy, an Alameda earlier ANT move Arkham flagged at the time.

It also recalls an earlier FTX wallet shuffle of about $33 million in ETH, BUSD, and smaller tokens.

How Markets Read the Move

Most early reactions on X treated the transfer as routine asset management rather than an imminent sell signal. At $1.9 million, the batch is a sliver of the agency’s overall crypto position.

“Relax, it’s pocket change for the US gov. They probably just rebalancing their bags,” one user stated.

Arkham’s public US Government entity page lists 610 wallet addresses holding a combined $27 billion as of early May 2026.

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Of that, 328,361 BTC, worth roughly $26.6 billion, dominates the portfolio, with ether, stablecoins, and wrapped tokens trailing far behind.

The DOJ’s Asset Forfeiture Program tends to liquidate non-core altcoins ahead of bitcoin. The agency treats BTC as a longer-hold reserve and moves it in larger, structured batches.

A Coinbase Prime altcoin policy shift last year also reshaped which tokens institutional desks can custody.

That leaves Arkham’s question unanswered.

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“Are they about to sell the seized funds?” Arkham posed.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

The post US Government Moves $1.9 Million of Seized Alameda Altcoins appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Singapore charges former Hodlnaut CEO Zhu Juntao over Terra collapse claims

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Singapore charges former Hodlnaut CEO Zhu Juntao over Terra collapse claims

Singapore authorities have charged the former CEO of collapsed crypto lender Hodlnaut Zhu Juntao with fraud, nearly four years after the firm froze withdrawals during the collapse of the TerraUSD ecosystem.

The Singapore Police Force said that Zhu faces six charges of fraud by false representation in an announcement on Tuesday. Prosecutors allege Zhu directed employees in 2022 to publish false statements on Hodlnaut’s Telegram channels and in customer emails claiming the company had no direct exposure to TerraUSD’s collapse, and had not suffered losses as a result.

Authorities also alleged Zhu repeated similar claims on his personal X account, then known as Twitter, in three posts in June 2022. If convicted, Zhu could face up to 20 years in prison, fines, or both on each charge under Singapore law.

Zhu disputed all six charges in court and was given a pre-trial conference date in June 2026, according to local media reports.

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Hodlnaut was one of several crypto lenders that failed after the implosion of Terraform Labs’ algorithmic stablecoin ecosystem in May 2022. The collapse erased about $40 billion from the crypto market and contributed to failures at firms including Three Arrows Capital, Celsius and Voyager.

Reports filed during Hodlnaut’s restructuring proceedings indicated the company had channelled roughly $317 million of user funds into Terra’s Anchor Protocol, which was offering around 19.5% in annualized yield on UST deposits before the collapse, which saw UST become almost worthless.

Court-appointed judicial managers later estimated Hodlnaut lost about $189.7 million from exposure to the Terra collapse. Reports reviewed during restructuring proceedings said the company had poor internal recordkeeping and that some executives did not fully cooperate with investigators.

Singapore-based Hodlnaut, which was founded in 2019, offered customers yield-bearing crypto accounts and served more than 30,000 users globally before halting withdrawals in August 2022.

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The company later entered judicial management and was ordered into liquidation by the Singapore High Court.

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Crypto-card monthly transaction volume climbs 230% in 2025

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Crypto Breaking News

Crypto-linked debit and credit cards are transitioning from novelty to everyday fixtures in consumer wallets. Monthly payment volume tied to crypto cards reached $7.8 billion this month, representing roughly a 230% year-over-year surge, according to The Kobeissi Letter, a market research publication tracking crypto payment rails.

Analysts note that Visa handles about 90% of crypto-card transactions through partnerships with on-chain native players such as Jupiter Global—the payments initiative developed by the team behind the Jupiter decentralized exchange on the Solana network. The rapid growth points to a widening bridge between digital assets and real-world spending, with stablecoins playing a central role as a spendable liability.

“Crypto card adoption has rapidly accelerated in 2026 due to growing access to stablecoins as a payment rail through crypto cards. In other words, more people can now spend stablecoins like fiat by using crypto cards, further driving adoption.”

The expanding footprint of crypto cards is often framed as evidence that digital assets are becoming part of mainstream commerce without displacing incumbent payment rails such as Mastercard and Visa. The trajectory suggests crypto-centric payment products are starting to function as real wallets for everyday purchases rather than experimental add-ons for traders and enthusiasts.

Crypto cards powering everyday payments around the globe

The practical side of this evolution is visible in Europe, where OKX—the crypto exchange formerly known as OkEx—launched a stablecoin payments card in January 2026, operating on the Mastercard network. The move underscores a push to normalize stablecoins as a payment rail across established card networks.

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OKX’s card data highlights a concrete picture of consumer behavior in crypto-enabled commerce. Grocery purchases topped the spend mix, accounting for about 26% of January transactions, while eateries represented 18% and online shopping 13% of total volume. The data illustrates that crypto cards are being used for day-to-day expenses rather than just high-value or discretionary purchases.

“When crypto pays for lunch, payment adoption is real. For years, critics pointed to a lack of everyday utility as crypto’s weak point: great as a speculative asset, less useful as actual money,” the OKX team said in accompanying materials.

Beyond Europe, the broader ecosystem is moving toward broader, cross-border usage. In March, Visa and Bridge — a fintech firm owned by payments giant Stripe — announced plans to roll out stablecoin-linked payment cards in more than 100 countries. The rollout began with 18 countries, including Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, and Chile, with ambitions to expand across the Asia-Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East regions by the end of 2026. These signals reflect a coordinated effort to connect stablecoins with global consumer wallets through major networks and seamless on-chain settlement.

The collaboration with Bridge, a Bridge-owned entity backed by Stripe’s payments infrastructure, suggests a deliberate strategy to bridge stablecoin rails with traditional card ecosystems. In practical terms, that means more wallets and financial services platforms could offer their users a familiar spend experience using digital assets, while merchants gain access to a broader base of payment methods and settlement rails.

The momentum is consistent with prior coverage of crypto payments and stablecoins, which has highlighted a trend toward integrating digital assets into everyday life without displacing established payment networks. The push from both card networks and fintechs indicates a tipping point where stablecoins and on-chain payments become ordinary, interoperable components of consumer finance rather than niche experiments.

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Regional momentum meets global ambition

OKX’s European card launch is a tangible example of how crypto-native rails are being translated into fiat spend, offering a blueprint for other issuers looking to blend crypto wallets with everyday merchants. The by-the-numbers breakdown—grocery, dining, and online shopping—helps illustrate not only where crypto users are spending but also where card-issuers and networks should optimize merchant acceptance and user experience.

The Visa/Bridge plan to deploy stablecoin-linked cards in over 100 countries signals a strategic acceleration in cross-border usability. The initial roll-out targets a diverse set of markets and regulatory environments, aiming to establish a broad, usable on-ramp for stablecoins as a payment method. As this expansion unfolds, watchers will be keen to see how regional regulations, merchant adoption, and consumer trust align to sustain growth beyond early adopters.

What comes next may hinge on several variables: the pace of stablecoin liquidity and on-chain settlement efficiency, the ability of issuers to deliver user-friendly experiences, and the regulatory clarity surrounding stablecoins as payment instruments. The emerging picture suggests continued collaboration between traditional payment networks, crypto-native platforms, and fintech innovation to scale real-world crypto usage without displacing established rails.

For investors and builders, the evolving card-based usage dynamics highlight a few stakes: stablecoins as a payment rail are proving practical at scale; incumbents remain central to the ecosystem, not sidelined; and regional expansion will test how different markets balance user demand with regulatory oversight. The combination could set the stage for a broader integration of digital assets into everyday finance in 2026 and beyond.

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Readers should watch the upcoming regional rollouts and merchant-acceptance improvements, as these will shape how quickly crypto cards become a routine payment option rather than a niche feature. Meanwhile, regulatory developments surrounding stablecoins and on-chain settlement will continue to influence issuer confidence and consumer trust in crypto-enabled payments.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 Brings Binary Options to Hyperliquid’s Unified Trading Portfolio

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • HIP-4 is the first onchain contract to combine spot, perps, and binaries in one unified portfolio.
  • Binary options on Hyperliquid allow vault managers to hedge event-driven risk with a fixed payout. 
  • HIP-4 is projected to add roughly $25M annually to Hyperliquid’s $636M trading revenue run rate.
  • HIP-4 markets at launch include daily BTC binaries and weekly ETH ranges for recurring traders.

HIP-4 introduces a new contract type on Hyperliquid, enabling users to express directional, leveraged, and event-driven views within one portfolio.

This upgrade adds binary options to the platform’s existing spot and perpetuals infrastructure. Currently, no other onchain venue combines all three contract types in a single unified account.

The development brings Hyperliquid closer to the full-service model that traditional financial venues have long kept separate from one another.

HIP-4 Expands the Toolkit Available to Vault Managers

Traditional portfolio managers have always worked with spot positions, futures, and options. Onchain vault managers, however, have only had two of those three until now. HIP-4 changes that by adding binary contracts alongside existing spot and perpetuals on Hyperliquid.

Binary contracts are not a perfect substitute for dated options. That said, they close much of the gap for practical trading purposes.

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They allow vault managers to express bounded, dated, and event-driven views that spot and perp positions cannot capture.

With that in place, spot, perp, and binary risk can now net within one portfolio. This unlocks capital efficiencies that fragmented venues cannot match.

A vault manager can run event-driven income on one side and catalyst-protected longs on the other. All of this happens without leaving the platform.

To illustrate, consider a vault manager holding a token ahead of a large supply unlock. Before HIP-4, hedging that specific scenario required moving to a separate venue for the event-driven leg.

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Now, all three positions sit in the same Hyperliquid account, offsetting each other through unified portfolio risk netting.

Why Payoff Shape and Revenue Both Drive Hyperliquid’s Growth

HIP-4 pays a fixed amount if an event occurs and nothing at all if it does not. Maximum loss is limited to the premium posted upfront. As a result, there is no liquidation engine or funding rate to manage throughout the position.

Perps cannot cleanly express a Fed meeting hedge or a weekly range view on ETH. HIP-4 fills that gap. Markets at launch are short-dated and recurring, including daily BTC level binaries and weekly ETH range contracts. Hyperliquid already has the trader base these markets are designed to serve.

Some speculative flow will naturally rotate from perps into HIP-4 during periods of event-driven attention. Community discussions across crypto social platforms have reflected growing interest in this shift.

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Over time, though, both contract types are expected to grow alongside each other. Hyperliquid captures the flow either way.

On the revenue side, HIP-4 generates modest direct fees by design. At $3 billion monthly in volume with a 7 bps fee, the contract type adds roughly $25 million annualized. That figure is additive to Hyperliquid’s existing $636 million trading revenue run rate.

Reserve yield from retained USDC balances flows through AQAv2, with 90% routed to the Assistance Fund. Each new primitive added to the venue compounds that flywheel.

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Bitcoin gauge tracking selling pressure moves into ‘high-risk’ zone as BTC ETF demand slumps

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(Swissblock)

The institutional bid under bitcoin is running on fumes.

U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have absorbed a net 4,500 BTC since the start of the year, an unusually thin number given the products were the structural buyer that powered the 2025 rally, per Swissblock data shared on X Tuesday.

March and April produced steady accumulation that helped lift bitcoin off lows near $65,000, while May has flipped the other way with just three days to go before the month ends.

“After strong accumulation in March and April, May has flipped back into distribution,” Swissblock said in its post. “The Risk Index is now moving into high-risk territory while ETF flows are deteriorating simultaneously. That tells us spot ETF demand is no longer absorbing selling pressure effectively.”

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(Swissblock)

The reversal matters because the previous several rallies in bitcoin needed ETF buying to clear the supply coming from miners, long-term holders, and short-term traders taking profit.

When that bid thins, the supply has to find a different buyer or the price drops to a level where buyers show up. Swissblock’s argument is that the Risk Index, which measures structural selling pressure against absorption, can keep climbing as long as the ETF channel stays in distribution.

Bitcoin traded at $75,808 in Asian hours Tuesday, down 2.6% over the past month and sitting near the bottom of its May range. The cryptocurrency had briefly traded above $82,000 earlier in May before the producer price index print and the subsequent run of macro stress pulled it back below $80,000. ETH, XRP, and Solana were all in the red, with Zcash leading the slide at 9% down on the day.

The Swissblock reading is the latest in a run of on-chain data pointing the same way.

Apparent demand, which measures how much bitcoin the market is absorbing relative to new supply, has slid back to its weakest level since December, as CoinDesk reported Tuesday.

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CryptoOnchain noted $1.74 billion in U.S. spot ETF withdrawals over the past two weeks alongside retail traders adding leverage in anticipation of a reversal, a combination that has historically preceded sharp liquidation cascades when the market moves against the crowd.

What the data does not yet tell traders is whether this is a pause or a turn.

ETF buying has dropped off before during this cycle without leading to deeper drawdowns. Meanwhile, equity markets globally are at record highs, and FXPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich said bitcoin’s 50-day and 200-day moving averages are on track to cross in the coming weeks, a setup known as a golden cross that is generally read as bullish.

But ETF demand is the channel that brought the new money in. If that channel stays in distribution, the structural case for the rally that began in April starts looking thinner.

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BofA Maintains Buy Rating on Walmart (WMT) Stock Despite Price Target Reduction

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WMT Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Bank of America maintains Buy rating on Walmart while adjusting price target from $150 down to $144
  • Revised target suggests 18.7% potential gain from approximately $121, positioning the recent decline as an attractive entry point
  • Company elevated full-year net sales outlook to the upper boundary of its 3.5%–4.5% forecast range
  • First-quarter revenue climbed 7.3% to reach $177.8 billion; worldwide e-commerce surged 26%
  • Shares tumbled 8.1% following earnings announcement and started Wednesday trading at $118.57

Bank of America remains bullish on Walmart despite the recent market turbulence.

Christopher Nardone, an analyst at the firm, maintained his Buy recommendation on Walmart (WMT) shares while adjusting the price objective to $144 from the previous $150. Based on the $121.34 valuation referenced in the firm’s analysis, this represents approximately 18.7% potential appreciation.


WMT Stock Card
Walmart Inc., WMT

WMT began Wednesday’s session at $118.57. The shares have fallen considerably from their 12-month peak of $135.15, with the 8.1% post-earnings decline accounting for a substantial portion of that retreat.

The first-quarter results were genuinely impressive. Revenue reached $177.75 billion, representing a 7.4% year-over-year increase and exceeding the $174.84 billion analyst consensus. Earnings per share landed at $0.66, precisely matching projections.

Worldwide e-commerce revenue expanded 26%, and Walmart elevated its full-year net sales forecast to the upper end of its 3.5%–4.5% constant-currency projection. Second-quarter guidance anticipates 4%–5% expansion.

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What triggered the market reaction? Rising expenses. Company leadership highlighted approximately $1 billion in additional freight and fuel costs, and the full-year operating profit growth forecast of 6%–8% fell short of some optimistic projections. UBS similarly reduced its price objective following the earnings release.

The Bull Case from Bank of America

Bank of America’s fundamental thesis centers on Walmart’s positioning during periods of consumer caution. When shoppers tighten their budgets, they naturally gravitate toward value retailers — precisely where Walmart dominates.

The investment firm notes that Walmart is “playing offense,” with price rollbacks climbing 20% year over year during the first quarter. Analysts anticipate Walmart will be among the final major retailers to implement price increases should fuel costs drive inflation higher during the latter half of the year.

Bank of America also emphasized Walmart’s diversified revenue channels — including advertising, marketplace commissions, and membership subscriptions — as margin protection mechanisms. These higher-margin operations have become increasingly central to the investment narrative.

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The firm noted that fiscal 2026 demonstrates Walmart’s capability to navigate cost pressures. During that period, the retailer absorbed more than $1 billion in challenges from claims expenses and tariff impacts while still achieving 5.4% constant-currency operating income growth.

Institutional Ownership Trends

King Luther Capital Management expanded its Walmart holdings by 8.8% during the fourth quarter, purchasing 113,952 shares to reach a total position of 1,415,423 shares, valued at approximately $157.7 million.

Additional institutional activity showed varied patterns. Tennessee Valley Asset Management increased its stake by 466.6% in the third quarter. Fox Run Management and Life Cycle Investment Partners both established fresh positions.

Institutional investors and hedge funds combined control 26.76% of WMT shares.

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Regarding insider transactions, Director C. Douglas McMillon divested 19,416 shares at $132.21 on April 23rd, while EVP John Rainey sold 20,000 shares at $127.79 during March. Aggregate insider sales over the past 90 days totaled 126,008 shares valued at roughly $15.9 million.

The Wall Street consensus recommendation stands at “Moderate Buy” with an average price objective of $138.71. Thirty-one analysts rate the stock as Buy, two assign Strong Buy ratings, and three maintain Hold positions.

Walmart’s FY2027 EPS projection ranges from $2.75–$2.85, with second-quarter guidance established at $0.72–$0.74.

The retailer is also scheduled to enter the top 10 constituents of the Russell 3000 during the June 2026 rebalancing.

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Report: Why STRC Volatility Matters More Than ETF Flows for Bitcoin

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Strategy’s preferred stock STRC is now a larger buyer of Bitcoin (BTC) in peak weeks than every US spot ETF combined.

However, unlike ETF flows, it only moves in one direction, and that asymmetry, according to a recent analysis by on-chain researchers at Pine Analytics, is why STRC’s volatility is becoming one of the most important variables for a sustained move higher for BTC.

One-Way Flow vs. Two-Way Traffic

In a report it shared on May 27, Pine Analytics made its argument, comparing STRC BTC buying and ETFs. According to the firm, during the week of March 9-15, 2026, STRC’s at-the-market share sales generated $1.18 billion, which Strategy used to buy 17,994 BTC at an average price of $70,946.

In the same week, all 12 US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in approximately $763 million combined, meaning STRC alone beat the entire BTC ETF complex.

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However, the more important point that Pine’s analysts mentioned was structural, with ETF flows usually going in two directions and Strategy’s STRC in one. For example, on January 29, the ETFs posted net outflows of $817.8 million, meaning authorized participants sold Bitcoin into the market to meet redemptions. That’s a mechanism STRC doesn’t have. When holders of the stock sell, they do so in the equity market, and Strategy never touches its Bitcoin stash.

“STRC does not exist to pay a dividend. It exists to buy Bitcoin,” the market watchers wrote. “The dividend is the cost of keeping the machines running.”

More importantly, they pointed out that every dollar used to buy an STRC share creates a Bitcoin bid, while no amount of STRC selling can create a BTC ask. And that’s the structural difference: ETFs drain Bitcoin liquidity, and STRC physically cannot.

Additionally, the report mentioned that Strategy can only issue new STRC shares when they are trading at or above $100, with anything raised above the $100 par going directly to buying Bitcoin. It means that the issuance is entirely dependent on price stability.

Why Volatility Is the Main Variable

But the connection goes deeper than par mechanics, seeing as in leverage markets, lower volatility means smaller haircuts, which means more borrowing capacity per dollar held, which pulls in more institutional capital into the position.

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Looking at STRC, since it was launched, its 30-day rolling volatility has compressed from 18% to about 2%, meaning every institution holding it could size up. And more capital coming in would mean more ATM issuance, more Bitcoin buys, and a stronger balance sheet for Strategy, which would then lead to a more stable STRC. It’s essentially a loop that compounds on its own track record.

As of the latest data from Strategy’s website, the 30-day historical volatility is near 4.2%, with STRC priced just below par at $99.47. That sub-par print matters, and a BitcoinQuant chart cited in a follow-up post by Pine shows visible price pressure across the preferred series since March, with the firm saying, “this does not look good.”

The fragility can be consequential, as was seen earlier in the year, when a routine ex-dividend dip paused issuance and collapsed weekly BTC purchases from 17,994 to just 1,031. And a real credit event, where the peg breaks and stays broken, would shut down the ATM program entirely and remove one of the largest systemic bids in the Bitcoin market.

The post Report: Why STRC Volatility Matters More Than ETF Flows for Bitcoin appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Google employee polymarket insider trading

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Google employee polymarket insider trading

Signage at the Situation Room by Polymarket pop-up bar in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, March 20, 2026.

Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Federal prosecutors charged a Google employee with fraud on Wednesday, alleging that he made $1.2 million off of bets using insider information on Polymarket.

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Prosecutors claim that Michele Spagnuolo, a staff information security engineer at Google, used confidential information to place trades correctly betting that singer d4vd would be Google’s most searched person in 2025.

Spagnuolo has been charged with money laundering, commodities fraud and wire fraud. The complaint, filed in the Southern District of New York, was unsealed on Wednesday.

ABC News first reported on the complaint. Spagnuolo was arrested Wednesday morning in New York, ABC reported.

“Spagnuolo had access to Google’s internal data systems, including a particular Google internal software tool that provided him access to confidential, nonpublic Year in Search data,” the prosecutors said in their complaint.

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Some observers of the Polymarket platform flagged the user “AlphaRaccoon” back in December for suspicious trades on the most searched person contracts. The complaint Wednesday said that Spagnuolo was the person behind that account.

“Google officially and publicly announced its Year in Search 2025 results on or about December 4, 2025. Soon after it did so, Spagnuolo’s AlphaRaccoon account, profited approximately $1.2 million on his Google Year in Search 2025-related bets,” the complaint said.

Spagnuolo appeared before a federal magistrate judge Wednesday, He did not enter a plea and was released on a $2.25 million bond, ABC reported.

“We’re working with law enforcement on their investigation,” Google said in a statement. “The employee accessed our marketing material using a tool available to all employees, but using such confidential information to place bets is a serious breach of our policies.”

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“We’ve placed the employee on leave and will take the appropriate action,” the company added.

“Polymarket worked closely with the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York and the CFTC, and is the only prediction platform to date whose cooperation has led to insider trading charges in the United States,” a Polymarket spokesperson said in a statement. “We are committed to maintaining accurate, fair, and transparent markets as well as enforcing our rules and working with our regulators and law enforcement.”

Spagnuolo is also facing a civil case from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, according to a listing in the federal court filing system.

The federal complaint marks the second high-profile insider trading case on Polymarket in just over a month.

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In April, then-active U.S. Army Special Forces master sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke was arrested over charges that he used classified information to bet on contracts related to the U.S. operation to capture Venezuela President Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors said Van Dyke made more than $400,000 off his trades.

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BTC slips back near $75,000 as investors turn elsewhere for gains

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BTC slips back near $75,000 as investors turn elsewhere for gains

Just a $70 billion company one year ago, memory chip maker Micron Technology (MU) yesterday soared 21% and topped a $1 trillion valuation alongside a massive price target hike from UBS.

South Korea’s SK Hynix followed suit, rising 9.3% in Seoul on Wednesday to top $1 trillion in market value. It’s shares are higher by more than 1,000% over the past year. Earlier this month, peer Samsung Electronics also topped $1 trillion.

The memory stocks are one leg of the AI boom, with investors expecting chip shortages — and thus pricing power — to last into 2028.

Micron is higher by another 8% in U.S. premarket trading Wednesday morning, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq ahead 0.9%.

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Sentiment in the gutter

Bitcoin (BTC), meanwhile, is down 1.5% over the past 24 hours at $75,800, as the action in AI-related names continues to draw attention and capital from crypto markets, which — despite decent bounces from the early February lows — remain engulfed in poor vibes.

“Nobody cares about bitcoin right now … and you just love to see it,” said analyst James Check earlier this week. “Bitcoin sentiment is in the absolute gutter, and the bears are measurably the most confident they have been in a long time.”

“Anger, annoyance, disappointment, it’s all happening right now.”

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