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Wall Street Thinks Rocket Lab Is a Buy. Here’s Why I’m Not So Sure.

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Wall Street Thinks Rocket Lab Is a Buy. Here's Why I'm Not So Sure.

It’s no secret that Wall Street analysts are very bullish on Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB). The majority rate the stock a buy with an average price target of about $109 per share. This is substantially higher than where the stock is trading as of this writing, at about $64.

Rocket Lab also just posted record revenue numbers in its latest quarterly earnings. Revenue increased 62% year over year, the space company’s backlog ballooned to more than $2.3 billion, and momentum is strongly on Rocket Lab’s side. Still, I’m not quite ready to jump on board.

Missed AI’s “Act 1”? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn’t buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of “Act 1″—the R&D phase. “Act 2” is the global rollout. Continue »

Let’s start with the bottom line. Rocket Lab isn’t close to profitable, and it looks like the prospect of becoming profitable is slipping further into the distance. The company’s second-quarter earnings report showed total operating expenses accelerating from the year prior, reaching $142 million in the quarter and $274 million halfway through the year.

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Rocket Lab’s management expects cash burn to remain elevated for roughly the two years after its Neutron’s first successful flight. The Neutron inaugural launch keeps getting pushed back as well. Its original target launch was slated for 2025, but even its latest target of Q4 2026 seems likely to slip again to 2027.

Rocket Lab's logo on a red backdrop.
Image source: The Motley Fool.

Rocket Lab is also facing significant integration risk at the moment, having completed two acquisitions in 2026 and about to close another deal with Iridium Communications, which will add even more complexity.

Rocket Lab is positioning itself for immense growth in the coming years, particularly in a relatively nascent space. Still, profitability is getting pushed further out while the execution risk grows. I would like to see the company navigate these immediate issues before paying for a stock trading at an immense premium. Shares of Rocket Lab are trading at roughly 50 times its sales as of this writing.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again

In 2009, a “Double Down” signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. If you’d invested $5,000 then, you’d be sitting on $2,955,706 today.*

Now, for the first time in years, that same “Total Conviction” signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. It’s a key player in the $1.8 trillion space race, and with the stock recently sitting 20% off its highs, the window to get in early is closing fast.

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What We Tell Our Kids About AI

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What We Tell Our Kids About AI

What is changing is not simply the tools available to help us make predictions about human biology. It is the speed of the discovery process itself: propose an idea, build it, test it in the physical world, learn from what happened, and begin again. The scientific method itself is beginning to accelerate, and the number of scientific inquiries, opportunities to advance health per dollar spent, is beginning to scale. 

Last month, Merck and Moderna reported that a personalized cancer vaccine for melanoma significantly delayed the disease from spreading. The result is remarkable on its own, and studies are already underway in other settings. What we find particularly exciting is how this growing clinical evidence, combined with AI tools and automated labs, can open the field to more competitors. The evidence reduces uncertainty about the approach, while these tools can lower the cost and time required to pursue it. Together, they can bring more teams and more capital into our fight against cancer and expand the number of promising ideas that will be tested at an unprecedented rate.  



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MicroStrategy CEO Says Jamie Dimon Is a Bitcoiner Behind the Scenes

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MicroStrategy BTC Holdings. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

Strategy CEO Phong Le says JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon privately supports Bitcoin, despite years of public attacks on it. Le made the half-joking claim on Natalie Brunell’s Coin Stories podcast.

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, is a US software firm that became the biggest corporate owner of Bitcoin (BTC). The company holds about 846,000 coins, roughly 4% of all Bitcoin in existence.

MicroStrategy BTC Holdings. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries
MicroStrategy BTC Holdings. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

Why Phong Le Calls Jamie Dimon a Bitcoin Believer

Brunell asked what Dimon would think of MicroStrategy’s goal to become the “JPMorgan of Bitcoin.” Le laughed before answering.

“I think Jamie Dimon is a Bitcoiner behind the scenes, but he’ll say what he needs to say externally. I think everyone is a Bitcoiner privately once they learn and understand Bitcoin,” he said.

Le said he does not want MicroStrategy to become a bank. Instead, he wants it at the center of Bitcoin-based finance, building and selling investment products the way JPMorgan does on Wall Street.

He also pushed back on the idea that Bitcoin will replace banks. In his view, it will improve the current system, and the US dollar will stay. Le added that Bitcoin and artificial intelligence (AI) are the two most important technologies of this century.

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What Jamie Dimon Has Said About Bitcoin

Dimon’s public record points the other way. In 2024, he dismissed Bitcoin as a “pet rock” that does nothing.

In January 2025, he compared buying Bitcoin to smoking, saying people have the right but should not.

“We are going to have some kind of digital currency at some point. I’m not against crypto. You know, Bitcoin itself has no intrinsic value. It’s used heavily by sex traffickers, money launderers, ransomware…I just don’t feel great about Bitcoin. I applaud your ability to wanna buy or sell it. Just like I think you have the right to smoke, but I don’t think you should smoke,” Dimon said in the interview.

Yet his bank has moved closer to crypto. In October 2025, JPMorgan said institutional clients could use Bitcoin as collateral for loans, with third-party firms holding the coins.

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In the same way, JPMorgan has been involved in the cryptocurrency space. The financial giant currently holds a substantial position in Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting the firm’s interest in digital assets. Its investments in crypto ETFs suggest that the bank recognizes the potential of digital assets.

Donald Trump suggested in July last year that Jamie Dimon has softened his earlier harsh stance on Bitcoin. Trump also briefly supported Dimon for Treasury Secretary.

“Jamie Dimon was, you know, very negative and now all of a sudden he’s changed his tune a little bit,” Trump said.

However, Dimon’s most recent comments indicate he remains critical of Bitcoin, despite Trump’s suggestion of a shift in his views.

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Dimon still fights crypto firms that act like banks. In May 2026, he said US banks would fight the CLARITY Act, a bill setting rules for US crypto markets. His objection centers on rewards paid to holders of stablecoins, digital tokens pegged to the dollar.

Brunell closed the exchange by citing MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor’s view that everyone is against Bitcoin before they are for it.

The post MicroStrategy CEO Says Jamie Dimon Is a Bitcoiner Behind the Scenes appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Strategy paid $100M extra to buy back the bitcoin it sold

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Strategy paid $100M extra to buy back the bitcoin it sold

Strategy has spent recent weeks rebuying 5,553 of the BTC it sold over the summer. After selling low in the summer and re-buying high this autumn, the opportunity cost of its roundtrip trade exceeds $100 million.

Despite years of promises that he’d never sell, Michael Saylor’s company sold 6,948 BTC between May and August for an average of $62,150 apiece, then repurchased 5,553 coins at an average $80,207.

In other words, Strategy ended up with the same 5,553 coins it started with, but spent $445.4 million to replace those it sold for $345.1 million.

Its rebuy was 29% more expensive, foregoing a $100.2 million investment gain for being out of the market during a BTC rally.

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In addition to that realized opportunity cost, the pain for shareholders goes even deeper.

The point of the sale was essentially for media purposes — not even because the company was short on cash. Indeed, on a May 5 call with analysts, Saylor said the company would sell BTC “just to inoculate the market” and send the message for news publications that it had done so. 

He told Fortune, “the skeptics and the short-sellers don’t recognize that we’re just selling a BTC derivative, and we have the option to sell the BTC.” 

Saylor and CEO Phong Le appeared on numerous TV interviews and podcasts, explaining that Strategy’s initial BTC sale was for messaging purposes. 

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Official SEC filings for the sales claimed that proceeds funded dividends, despite the company holding plenty of cash to cover those dividends without selling BTC.

Read more: Every time Michael Saylor said he’d never sell bitcoin

Strategy’s first re-buy this year arrived during the week ending August 30, when Strategy bought 4,603 coins at $80,318 each for $369.7 million.

It was the company’s first purchase in 10 weeks, funded with newly issued stock that diluted common shareholders. 

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Last week, it repurchased another 950 BTC at $79,670 apiece, this time with cash instead of outright stock dilution. 

Every coin came back about $18,000 more expensive than its average sale price.

Worse, the replacement is incomplete. Strategy has paid $445 million to reacquire 5,553 coins, but 1,363 coins remain missing. Today, Strategy holds 846,000 BTC, but it held 847,363 as recently on June 21. 

Rebuying those missing 1,363 coins would require another $100 million at current BTC prices.

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Unfortunately, nobody at Strategy is apologizing for any of this.

Saylor has been unapologetic, and Le posted on the day of Strategy’s fourth sale of the year, “This is the Digital Credit Capital Framework at work.” 

He’s since told Bloomberg that it was “the right trade at the time to sell BTC.” 

“It’s a two-way strategy,” he added, unfazed by criticism. “There will be times when it makes sense to sell bitcoin.”

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Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.




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Bitcoin treasury stocks have gone ice cold

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Bitcoin treasury stocks have gone ice cold

Over the past 18 months, the vast majority of publicly traded companies that pivoted to a BTC treasury strategy have lost money since their initial purchase announcement. 

Globally, nearly 200 public companies hold BTC, according to monitoring service Bitcoin Treasuries, although most have small market capitalizations.

Many adopted their digital asset treasury DAT during a brief mania in the summer of 2025. 

By late July 2025, every new BTC treasury stock was trading below its highest price of the year, and the median drawdown was -52%. Things have only deteriorated since.

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Many stocks have now declined more than 90% to date, and some are even delisted from trading entirely.

Even Protos’ generous analysis below, charting the 20 largest BTC treasury stocks which have disproportionate positive performance among their far more numerous peers, shows 12 losses.

The top 20 bitcoin treasury stocks since March 2025

Stock performance of 20 largest non-mining BTC treasury companies over past 18 months.

Relative to 18 months ago, the majority of non-mining BTC treasury stocks have negative returns. Mining stocks are excluded here due to their continuous acquisition of BTC through energy-intensive operations and consistent sales of BTC to pay for their power, infrastructure, and personnel.

The price of BTC itself is roughly flat, up less than 3% over the same time span, which allows the chart to speak for itself.

The median 18-month return of this cohort of 20 stocks is roughly -18%.

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Five of the 20 have lost more than half their starting value, including several nearly “pure play” BTC treasuries like Remixpoint and Genius Group that planned minimal business operations aside from BTC acquisition during their initial optimism.

If someone had invested an equal amount of money into all 20 stocks 18 months ago, their portfolio would be worth less than its starting value today.

Pure play BTC treasuries

Worse, the returns would be even more negative for pure play BTC stocks, given that the best performers of the cohort — Tesla (+59.8%), Galaxy Digital (+114%), and Norwegian industrial conglomerate Aker (+181%) — have diversified business operations that aided their outperformance for reasons unrelated to BTC.

As a general rule, the more the company-focused on BTC, the worse the stock performed.

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Heavily BTC-focused companies like Fold Holdings lost 91% since March 2025, Exodus Movement lost 83%, and Strategy, Semler, Metaplanet, Remixpoint, and Genius Group each lost more than 40%. 

Even Michael Saylor’s $85 billion Strategy, the market leader, has shed half of its common stock price over the past year.

The biggest winner over the past 18 months, Aker ASA, is up 182% despite its BTC unit, Seetee, holding just 0.4% of Aker’s total assets.

Read more: CHART: mNAV down across bitcoin treasury companies

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Recalculating since initial announcement is (slightly) better

When Protos zoomed out to personalize the returns according to the date each of the 20 companies initially announced their first BTC buy, the picture tilted slightly more positive.

MicroStrategy (now Strategy) started the trend six years ago on August 11, 2020, with a $250 million BTC purchase.

Its common stock hit a split-adjusted high of $14.54 that day, and is up over 1,000% since, the group’s largest winner. 

Boyaa Interactive disclosed its first 1,100-BTC purchase on January 26, 2024, and its stock up 456% in dollar terms since.

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Over in Japan, hotel operator Metaplanet approved a BTC pivot in April 2024, and its stock is up 476% in dollar terms since.

Of the 20 largest stocks, the post-announcement math splits almost evenly once currencies are converted. Exactly half of the 20 stocks have positive returns, and the median return is -15% across the cohort.

In summary, buying BTC with borrowed money and hoping the stock market would bid up the stock price has not proven to be a reliable strategy.

Although early rallies from Strategy and Metaplanet proved that there’s some speculative interest, most imitators have not been able to replicate their performances.

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Protos has previously found that most new 2025 BTC treasury stocks were already down at least 50% within a few weeks of their initial announcements. The premium investors pay for these stocks has continued to fall over the past 18 months.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.




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Malcolm Gladwell on Why We Need More Cops and Why Assault-Rifle Bans Don’t Work

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Malcolm Gladwell on Why We Need More Cops and Why Assault-Rifle Bans Don't Work

How much of the gun-violence problem is actually a crime problem?

This is where popular understanding and facts diverge. A lot of people think that gun violence is something that is used in the commission of some other criminal act—to defend the drug trade, to rob someone’s house. In fact, the overwhelming amount of gun violence is young people arguing with each other and using guns to resolve some grievance or exact revenge. We design our system on the assumption that gun violence is a rational thing that people do to get something. It doesn’t work, because that’s not what it is. It’s kids with beefs, trapped in cycles of revenge and retaliation, who don’t have any other means of resolving their conflicts.

Somewhat controversially, considering your usual audience, you advocate for a lot more cops. Why is that?

Because America doesn’t have any police officers. It’s not controversial. It’s just a fact. European countries have twice as many cops per capita as we do. The central statistic is that as a share of GDP, Western Europe and the U.S spend about the same amount of money on public safety, but in America, the bulk of that money goes to prisons, and a little bit goes to the cops. And in Europe, a little bit goes to prisons, and a lot goes to the cops. If police can in fact prevent crime, which I believe they can, you’d rather spend more on them and promote public safety and prevent crime than spend your money after the fact locking people up under heinous circumstances for decade upon decade. Los Angeles has 8,500 police officers. Berlin has 18,000. It’s just absurd, and any American police chief you talk to, their No. 1 complaint is that their police are just completely overmatched.

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What the Failure of the CLARITY Vote Means for US Lawmakers’ Reelection Bids

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Cointelegraph

Last week’s US Senate failure to advance a digital asset market structure bill could light a fire under cryptocurrency industry groups seeking to sway key congressional races in the 2026 US midterm election that‘s just 42 days away.

Senators on Sept. 15 voted 49 in favor and 50 against advancing the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, significantly reducing the chances of Congress passing the legislation with limited days in session before 2027.

While some crypto advocates haven’t ruled out the possibility of CLARITY coming up for another vote before the next session of Congress, at least one of the industry’s political action committees (PACs) isn’t taking any chances.

One PAC backed by Coinbase and Ripple Labs, Fairshake, now plans to pour $30 million into opposing Sherrod Brown in Ohio’s Senate race. Brown chaired the Senate Banking Committee when Democrats were in the majority and espoused many policies against crypto, making his potential return a challenge to another vote.

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“[If Brown] wins, he might well be the deciding vote or one of the two deciding votes in a Democratic majority in the Senate,“ wrote economist Paul Krugman in a Tuesday Substack post. “And we now know that the Democratic Party is not clean as the driven snow. It is not immune to financial influence. It’s not even immune to de facto bribery from crypto.“

Steve Gannon, a partner at law firm Davis Wright Tremaine, told Cointelegraph that the CLARITY vote “provided the industry with a very clear picture of who are long-term reliable supporters and who are not,“ adding:

“It will be difficult for those who voted against Clarity to make the case that the industry should support them financially in the midterms.“

Related: CLARITY Act could get another shot during lame-duck session, policy advocate says

The former Ohio senator lost his 2024 reelection bid to Republican Bernie Moreno after Fairshake spent about $41 million opposing the Democrat. The PAC also spent more than $130 million on ads in the 2024 election cycle, offering a preview for how it might respond when faced with the threat of CLARITY not passing before the midterms.

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Cointelegraph requested comments from Brown’s campaign but did not receive an immediate response.

How will the crypto industry react to CLARITY votes in the midterms?

Stand With Crypto, an initiative launched by Coinbase in 2023, warned that lawmakers who failed to advance the CLARITY Act in Congress last week could face “consequences” in the 2026 midterms based on their votes.

The organization responsible for rating politicians based on their positions on crypto could have a significant impact on the elections and on how PACs aligned with the industry use funds to target certain candidates, potentially influencing voters in an election year that could shake up control of the Senate and House of Representatives and give the market structure bill another chance of passing.

“The results of [the CLARITY Act] vote make it clear which officials are with our community, and which are against us — and we’ll make sure our advocates are ready to cast their ballots accordingly in this and future elections,” said Stand With Crypto executive director Mason Lynaugh.

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As of Monday, Fairshake and its affiliate PACs Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress had not disclosed any expenditures to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) following the CLARITY vote.

FEC filings also showed no post-CLARITY spending by Fellowship, another crypto-aligned PAC funded by Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage Digital, or the Digital Freedom Fund, a group backed by Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss.

Magazine: Is there any chance left to save the CLARITY Act?



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Dogecoin (DOGE) Rises to a 3-Month High: The Breakout to $1 Has Begun?

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The OG meme coin has been on a tear lately, with its price tapping $0.10 for the first time since the beginning of June.

Analysts have spotted highly bullish signals, and some think the token could be gearing up for a rally to a new all-time high.

Realistic and Wild Predictions

DOGE has risen by almost 20% over the past week, with its market capitalization surging to roughly $15.2 billion and making it the 12th-largest cryptocurrency.

Currently, it trades just below the $0.10 psychological mark, but according to X user Cyriptoman4, it seems well positioned to attack higher levels. The analyst claimed that if DOGE decisively breaks above that zone, the upward move could continue toward the $0.1175-$0.15 region.

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For their part, BSC Gems Alert claimed that the price has started forming a higher-low structure and is pushing against the upper boundary of the latest descending pattern.

“If DOGE can break and hold above $0.22, momentum could accelerate toward the higher resistance zones. The setup is simple: Breakout → Retest → Continuation,” they said.

At the same time, the analyst warned that a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a pullback.

Others, like X user Bark, are much more optimistic. The analyst argued that the breakout to $1 has begun, expecting the potential explosion to happen faster than most people think.

MikybullCrypto issued a similar forecast, maintaining that the bullish move is about to kick off and setting the $1-$3 range as the bullish target.

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Key Factors to Consider

Earlier this month, whales purchased more than 240 million DOGE in about a week. Many interpret such accumulations as bullish for several reasons.

First, the development reduces the tokens available on the open market, which, combined with steady or rising demand, is supposed to trigger a price pump.

Second, whales are experienced investors who make calculated moves and usually aren’t driven by pure instinct. Smaller players closely monitor their moves and might get encouraged to jump on the bandwagon, too, thus distributing fresh capital into the ecosystem.

However, some elements suggest that DOGE may be gearing up for a short-term correction. CoinGlass data shows exchange inflows have surpassed outflows over the past few days, suggesting some investors have moved from self-custody to centralized platforms. This, in turn, increases immediate selling pressure.

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DOGE Exchange Netflow
DOGE Exchange Netflow, Source: CoinGlass

The post Dogecoin (DOGE) Rises to a 3-Month High: The Breakout to $1 Has Begun? appeared first on CryptoPotato.



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The Narrow Path to a Trump-Xi AI Deal

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The Narrow Path to a Trump-Xi AI Deal

However, one major skeptic is Trump, who responded on Truth Social that “AI taking over the World, destroying Humanity, and all other things bad, is a HOAX.” Moreover, he insisted that “President Xi, of China, just announced that China will be doing absolutely nothing to stand in the way of AI, or its future.”

That characterization is misleading. China regulates AI more stringently than most other countries, and already enforces AI security guidance, ethics review requirements, and binding obligations on consumer AI services. Xi has also publicly called for legal, technical, and ethical guardrails that keep AI under human control (albeit while resisting restrictions that could impede China’s technological rise). “We should strengthen risk-awareness and ensure that AI is secure and controllable,” he told the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai on July 17.

The hope among safety advocates is that Xi and Trump might strike a deal on AI. While Trump’s first term was anchored in antipathy to China, he posed a notably different tone in Beijing, calling Xi “a man I respect greatly” and telling him that “it’s an honor to be your friend.” Although that cordiality does not erase the national competition that makes either side hesitant to constrain its technological development, it may put  narrower cooperation on the table.



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XRP Reclaims Key Resistance as BTC Cools at $86K After Massive Run: Market Watch

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Bitcoin went on a wild run on Monday, surging by over $7,000 on the heels of massive ETF inflows and topping $87,000 for the first time since late January before it finally calmed at around $86,000.

Most altcoins registered similar or even more impressive gains, including Ripple’s XRP, which flew past $1.50, and DOGE, which has neared $0.10.

BTC Hit 8-Month High

There was very little evidence last week of what would transpire in the crypto markets, starting from Friday and culminating on Monday evening, at least for now. The CLARITY Act was voted down in the US Senate, marking the first major blow against the industry. A day later, the Federal Reserve increased rates for the first time since July 2023. Both of these developments led to short-term declines for BTC, which slumped to $75,000 on a couple of occasions.

However, it reacted well on Thursday and especially on Friday. The BOJ’s decision to mimic the Fed didn’t harm bitcoin. Just the opposite; the asset rebounded to over $78,000 before it initiated another leg up that afternoon to over $80,000. It climbed to almost $82,000 on Wednesday, when the new escalation in both major wars led to a brief retracement to $80,300.

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Monday, though, belonged to the bulls. BTC began its gradual ascent in the morning and culminated in the evening with a surge past $87,000 as the ETF inflows rocketed, which became an eight-month peak. After gaining $7,000 in less than 24 hours, bitcoin was due for a pullback. It dipped to $85,000 earlier today before it recovered to $86,000 as of now.

Its market cap has risen to $1.730 trillion on CMC, while its dominance over the alts stands above 59%.

BTCUSD September 22. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD September 22. Source: TradingView

XRP Above $1.50

Ethereum touched $2,800 briefly for the first time since the start of the year before it slid to $2,750. BNB tapped $800, but it’s now down to $788. Ripple’s XRP has reclaimed the key $1.50 resistance after another 4% run in the past 24 hours. Naturally, analysts have flipped bullish again, outlining some major predictions.

Dogecoin has neared $0.10 after a similar increase; ADA is close to $0.25, while NEAR has tapped $4.50. SHIB, CRO, HBAR, TAO, and PEPE have risen the most over the past day. In contrast, MORPHO, RAIN, UNI, ENA, BTW, and AAVE are in the red.

The total crypto market cap is up by over 3.5% today to $2.9 trillion on CMC.

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Cryptocurrency Market Overview September 22. SourceL QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview, September 22. Source: QuantifyCrypto

The post XRP Reclaims Key Resistance as BTC Cools at $86K After Massive Run: Market Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.



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‘Big Six’ Canadian banks join global push for commercial bank deposit tokenization

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'Big Six' Canadian banks join global push for commercial bank deposit tokenization

Six of Canada’s largest banks are exploring a Canadian-dollar tokenized deposit system designed to move money faster between financial institutions and eventually connect with other digital asset initiatives, TD Bank announced Tuesday.

Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, Scotiabank and TD Bank Group form the joint venture, whose first phase focuses on moving tokenized deposits across participating banks. The joint statement said more banks could join the project later.

“The first phase of the project aims to move tokenized deposits efficiently across Canadian financial institutions with a longer-term goal to connect with other emerging digital assets initiatives,” they said.

The participating banks are collectively known as Canada’s Big Six: the dominant group in the country’s banking system, with operations spanning consumer banking, commercial lending, capital markets and wealth management.

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The banks said the project aims to offer faster, more efficient and programmable payments to Canadian customers while preserving financial stability and regulatory oversight.



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