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Why Bitcoin suffered a $110 billion wipeout despite its best week of Wall Street news in months

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Bitcoin bull trap (TradingView)

Bitcoin briefly pushed toward $74,000 this week, buoyed by a string of bullish developments that have tied the crypto industry ever closer to traditional finance.

Some market observers began calling this a bullish rally, with one analyst even saying that the new run ‘has legs.’

Yet the rally didn’t last. By the end of the week, the largest cryptocurrency had slipped back below $69,000, losing $110 billion in market cap.

The pullback came despite what might otherwise have been considered one of the most positive stretches of institutional news for the sector in months.

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Morgan Stanley named Bank of New York Mellon as a custodian for its spot bitcoin ETF exposure, adding another layer of Wall Street infrastructure around the asset class. Crypto exchange Kraken gained access to the Federal Reserve’s payment system, a milestone in integrating crypto firms with the U.S. banking network. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, invested in crypto exchange OKX, valuing it at $25 billion, while U.S. President Donald Trump publicly suggested traditional banks should strike a workable relationship with the crypto industry.

Individually, any one of these developments might have sparked a market rally in earlier crypto cycles, when institutional adoption was seen as the catalyst that would send crypto into a massive bull run. Instead, now that adoption is here, the market is ignoring it as macro forces have taken over.

BTC/USD (TradingView)
BTC/USD (TradingView)

Why the selloff

The selloff was mainly triggered by U.S. dollar strengthening as the conflict in Iran intensified, after U.S. President Donald Trump seemingly quashed any chance of some sort of negotiated settlement with Iran, saying, “There will be no deal with Iran.”

This spurred a spike in oil prices, new inflation concerns and shifting expectations around interest rates (despite jobs data showing a weakening market), which put pressure on risk assets globally. Equities moved to the downside as the dollar index rose, and crypto — which has increasingly traded alongside technology stocks (read: risk assets) — followed.

If that’s not enough, Cracks in the global private credit market expanded to Wall Street giant BlackRock, which reportedly began limiting withdrawals from its $26 billion private credit fund amid rising redemption requests. Following similar stress at Blue Owl, which sold $1.4 billion in loans last month to meet withdrawals, the events started to rattle investors.

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Reality check

So what does this week’s episode mean? A growing reality in crypto markets: macro matters more than crypto-native news.

Over the past several years, bitcoin has become more tightly correlated with the Nasdaq and other risk assets as institutional investors entered the market. Hedge funds, asset managers and ETF flows increasingly treat bitcoin as part of a broader portfolio of macro-sensitive assets, reacting to liquidity conditions, interest rates and dollar strength.

Ironically, the same institutional adoption that many in the industry have long sought may be contributing to this dynamic.

As bitcoin becomes embedded in traditional financial portfolios, its price is increasingly influenced by the same forces that move equities, commodities and currencies. When the dollar rallies or interest-rate expectations rise, liquidity tightens across markets — and crypto is rarely immune.

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That doesn’t mean the steady drumbeat of institutional developments is irrelevant. The expansion of custody services, banking access, and exchange investment points to a deeper, more mature crypto market structure forming beneath the surface.

Who is selling?

One question investors ask when such conflicting price action batters the markets is: Who is selling?

The macro risk seemed to have spooked mostly the short-term bitcoin holders, who cashed out as bitcoin hit $74,000.

These short-term holders transferred more than 27,000 BTC ($1.8 billion) to exchanges in profit over the past 24 hours — one of the largest spikes in recent months, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost.

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Short-term holders are typically the most reactive group in the market, and their selling reflects lingering caution amid the ongoing war in Iran and other macro uncertainties. These holders act more like traders, going in and out of an asset to make quick profits, rather than investors who want to buy and hold for the long term. And with bitcoin’s thin liquidity, these moves make a dent in the price action

And the data shows that.

The only short-term investors currently in profit are those who accumulated bitcoin between one week and one month ago, at a realized price of roughly $68,000, suggesting some recent buyers above that price are choosing to lock in gains rather than extend their positions.

In the short term, with crypto in the midst of a bear market dating back to early October and macro uncertainty, price is the only thing that matters to investors.

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Silver lining

But it’s not all doom and gloom.

A recent Binance Research report noted that U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs recorded roughly $787 million in net inflows last week — their first positive weekly flows since mid-January — suggesting that some institutional investors may be beginning to re-engage with the market after several weeks of persistent outflows.

In fact, in a recent conference, giant university endowment funds, which tend to focus on long-term return, said that they have begun looking into other alternative investment ideas, including digital assets-related ETFs, given the sky-high valuations of traditional equities.

The report also pointed to signs that speculative excess may already have been flushed out.

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Bitcoin funding rates have fallen to their lowest levels since 2023, indicating that leveraged long positions have largely been unwound — conditions that historically create a cleaner foundation for more durable rallies driven by spot demand rather than short-term speculation.

In the end, it all comes down to conviction and market moves.

Some traders called the sharp rally earlier this week a “bull trap” — a brief breakout that lures in late buyers before reversing lower. While institutional conviction is on the rise, with thin liquidity, a skittish market, macro headwinds and a lack of clear catalysts, bitcoin’s price action, at least this week, seems to have proven them right so far.

Read more: Bitcoin is stuck in a rut but JPMorgan says new legislation could be the ultimate spark

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Crypto World

Flow Network Incident Resolved as HTX Restores Full FLOW Services

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • HTX confirms all FLOW assets remained intact during the Flow network incident and verification process
  • Flow developers patched the vulnerability responsible for abnormal transactions on December 27
  • HTX restored FLOW trading, deposits, and withdrawals after verifying network stability
  • Exchange removed its January notice following Flow’s detailed post-incident security report

Flow blockchain’s December security incident has reached a full resolution after coordination between the network and major exchange HTX. 

The update confirms the vulnerability responsible for abnormal transactions has been patched and network operations restored. HTX also verified that all user-held FLOW tokens on its platform remain intact. 

Trading, deposits, and withdrawals for the token have resumed normal operations.

Flow Network Incident Resolved as HTX Confirms Normal Operations

The Flow ecosystem shared an update confirming that the issue reported on December 27 has been fully resolved. The incident involved abnormal transactions triggered by a technical vulnerability on the network.

HTX activated internal emergency procedures once it detected the event. The exchange maintained communication with Flow ecosystem partners while monitoring the situation.

The latest update indicates that developers patched the vulnerability and restored normal network activity. The Flow team also identified and addressed abnormal minted assets during the review process.

Flow stated that ecosystem services have stabilized after the corrective actions. Network operations now function normally across supported platforms.

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HTX verified user asset balances during the investigation period. The exchange reported that all FLOW tokens held by customers remain fully validated.

HTX Restores FLOW Trading, Deposits, and Withdrawals

HTX confirmed that FLOW trading resumed after reviewing the network’s recovery. Deposits and withdrawals for the token now operate without restrictions.

The exchange initially issued a notice about the incident on January 13. That notice questioned the security status of the Flow network at the time.

HTX later removed the notice after reviewing the Flow Foundation’s post-incident report. According to HTX, the report provided detailed explanations addressing earlier concerns.

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The exchange stated that the new information clarified how developers handled the vulnerability. It also confirmed that the response restored stability across the network.

Flow Foundation acknowledged the collaboration between both organizations during the investigation period. The foundation stated it expects continued cooperation with HTX moving forward.

HTX reiterated that user asset security remains its top priority. The exchange said it will continue monitoring supported networks and working with ecosystem partners.

The update confirms the incident no longer affects current operations. FLOW trading infrastructure across HTX now runs under normal conditions.

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BTC slips below $68,000 as dollar posts steepest weekly gain

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Bitcoin fails to sustain breakout momentum as rate hikes beckon: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin fell to $67,960 by Saturday morning, down 3.4% over the past 24 hours and retreating sharply from the past week’s high. The move fits what has become a recurring script in recent months, with late-week selling dragging prices toward the lower end of the range heading into Saturday.

Majors took the harder hit again. Ether dropped 4.4% to $1,974, solana fell 4% to $84.31, dogecoin lost 2.9% to $0.09, and BNB slid 2.6% to $627. XRP fell 2.2% to $1.37.

The weekly picture tells a more nuanced story though. Bitcoin is still up 3.6% over seven days. Ether has gained 2.6%. BNB added 2.1%. The mid-week surge absorbed the war shock and then some, even if Friday’s pullback took the shine off.

Meanwhile, the dollar posted its steepest weekly gain in a year, strengthening as markets priced in higher energy costs, stickier inflation, and a Fed that has even less room to cut rates. That’s a direct headwind for bitcoin and every other asset denominated against the dollar.

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“As tensions escalated in the Middle East last week, investors moved quickly to the safety of the U.S. dollar, which strengthened as markets began pricing in higher energy prices and reignited inflation fears, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts,” said Björn Schmidtke, CEO of Aurelion, in an email to CoinDesk.

The on-chain data paints a fragile picture beneath the surface. Glassnode data shows 43% of bitcoin’s total market supply is now sitting at a loss. That’s a significant overhang.

As bitcoin recovers, those underwater holders have an incentive to sell into any rally to break even, creating persistent resistance on the way up. It’s one reason the push to $74,000 on Thursday couldn’t hold. Every bounce toward higher prices runs into supply from people who’ve been waiting months to get out.

One bright spot came from stablecoin flows. Messari recorded a 415% jump in net stablecoin inflows to $1.7 billion over the week, with daily transfers up nearly 10%. That’s potentially dry powder waiting to be deployed, and it suggests retail isn’t entirely absent despite the fear-heavy sentiment. Whether that capital rotates into bitcoin or waits for lower prices is the question.

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The war continues to set the tempo. The U.S.-Iran conflict showed no signs of resolution this week. Oil remains elevated. The Strait of Hormuz is still disrupted. And the macro backdrop of strong dollar, sticky inflation, and delayed rate cuts is the worst combination for risk assets.

Bitcoin’s week looked impressive in headlines, touching $74,000 mid-week, but the round trip from $68,000 to $74,000 and back to $68,000 is just another lap of the range.

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Bitcoin Dip May Not Be Over As Retail Ramps Up Buying: Santiment

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption

Retail investors have been scooping up Bitcoin after it slipped below $70,000, but whale activity suggests the price could still head lower if past patterns repeat, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment.

“The moment Bitcoin hit $74k, these key stakeholders began taking profit,” Santiment said in a report on Friday.

Santiment explained that whales — those holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin (BTC) — “accumulated heavily” between Feb. 23 and Mar. 3, when Bitcoin was trading between $62,900 and $69,600.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption
Whales (green line) have been selling, while retail investors (red line) have been buying more Bitcoin. Source: Santiment

Since Wednesday, when Bitcoin climbed past $70,000 and touched $74,000, the cohort has offloaded around 66% of their recent purchases, Santiment said. Meanwhile, retail investors — those holding below 0.01 Bitcoin — have been increasing their positions.

Correction may not be over yet, says Santiment

“When retail buys while whales sell, it typically signals that the correction is not yet over,” Santiment said. Bitcoin is trading at $67,984 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Bitcoin’s price decline led the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to fall 6 points, pushing it further into “Extreme Fear” territory with a score of 12 on Saturday.

MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe shared a similar outlook, saying a further decline is possible. “If Bitcoin doesn’t find support in this $67-68K region, then we’re likely going to retest the lows for liquidity before bouncing back upwards,” van de Poppe said in an X post on Friday.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs post largest outflow day in three weeks

The decline coincided with US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs posting their largest outflow day since Feb. 12, with a total of $348.9 million in net outflows across the 11 ETF products, according to Farside data.

Related: Trump’s National Cyber Strategy pledges to support crypto and blockchain

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Bitcoin’s price fell as low as $60,000 on Feb. 6 during its downtrend from the October all-time high of $126,000 before showing a modest recovery. Economist Timothy Peterson suggests this level could be the floor for the time being.

“This valuation level has always marked a bottom for Bitcoin. About 99.5% chance it stays above $60k,” Peterson said in an X post, referring to the Bitcoin Price to Metcalfe Value chart.

Magazine: The debate over Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is over: Benjamin Cowen