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Why Bitcoin’s Next Big Move Hinges on $60K and $82K According to Coinbase Institutional’s GEX Report

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Coinbase Institutional’s GEX report identifies $60,000 as the thickest BTC support zone in current market structure.
  • Negative gamma between $60K and $70K could accelerate Bitcoin’s downside beyond what discretionary buyers anticipate.
  • Positive gamma from $85K to $90K points to a slow, choppy grind rather than a sharp breakout for Bitcoin.
  • The report favors call spreads over outright calls above $82K, reducing theta bleed during uncertain market conditions.

Gamma Exposure (GEX) is now part of Coinbase Institutional’s latest Bitcoin analysis report. The report combines options market data with key support and resistance levels. It identifies $60,000 and $82,000 as critical price zones for BTC.

The findings suggest that negative gamma could accelerate downside moves, while positive gamma above $85,000 may slow upside momentum. Traders are urged to adjust their strategies based on these dynamics.

Negative Gamma Raises Downside Risk Below $70K

Coinbase Institutional’s report introduces GEX as a tool that turns the options market into a hidden liquidity layer. It helps traders decide between range trades and breakout strategies. The metric tracks how options dealers hedge their positions when Bitcoin’s price shifts.

Gamma measures how quickly an option’s price sensitivity changes as BTC moves. When dealers are short gamma, they tend to buy as prices rise and sell as prices fall. This behavior can turn small price moves into sharper, faster trends.

The report shows a pronounced negative gamma band concentrated between $60,000 and $70,000. That setup means any move toward $60,000 could accelerate beyond what typical buyers expect. Liquidation-style cascades become more likely in this zone.

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Support near $60,000 remains the thickest demand cluster in the current price structure. However, the GEX data advises against buying the initial selloff. Traders are better positioned to enter only after a confirmed reclaim of that level.

Positive Gamma Between $85K and $90K Signals a Slow Grind

Above $82,000, the gamma picture shifts toward stabilization. A breach and hold above $82,000 would suggest that supply at that level has been absorbed. From there, BTC would likely move toward the next liquidity bands higher up.

The $85,000 to $90,000 range carries meaningful positive gamma. In positive gamma zones, dealers sell into strength and buy into weakness. That pattern tends to reduce volatility and create a slow, choppy upward grind.

Because of this chop risk, the report favors call spreads over outright calls in an $82,000 breakout scenario. Call spreads retain convexity while cutting theta bleed during a grind. That trade structure fits an environment where the macro catalyst remains unclear.

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For traders managing existing long portfolios, protective put spreads offer a cleaner hedge if $60,000 fails. Bear put spreads are preferred over outright short positions, given the elevated risk of sharp reversals.

The report concludes that the $82,000 level remains the key gate that must open before any sustained upside becomes probable.

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Crypto World

FG Nexus Offloads $14M in ETH as Corporate Ethereum Treasuries in Pain

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Bitcoin Price, MicroStrategy, Institutions

FG Nexus, a publicly listed Ethereum treasury and infrastructure company, liquidated another chunk of its Ether treasury on Tuesday, offloading 7,550 ETH worth roughly $14 million.

The latest sale adds to a series of disposals that have locked in more than $80 million in losses on a position built near Ether (ETH) 2025 highs. 

Onchain data from Arkham shows that the firm accumulated 50,770 ETH worth around $196 million between August and September 2025 at an average price of $3,860 per coin.

On Oct. 22, the company doubled down on its ETH accumulation strategy, announcing its intention to sell its Quebec property to accumulate more ETH.

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Bitcoin Price, MicroStrategy, Institutions
FG Nexus sells 7,550 ETH. Source: Arkham

As the market turned and the ETH price fell from its October highs of over $4,600 per coin to around $2,700 in November, the company began selling.

FG Nexus has offloaded just over 21,000 ETH for about $55 million, and netted a loss of over $80 million.

The company has also seen its share price for FGNX drop roughly 52% over the past month. 

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Bitcoin Price, MicroStrategy, Institutions
FG Nexus share price takes a beating. Source: Google Finance

FG Nexus remains one of the largest publicly traded owners of ETH, with holdings of 37,594 ETH, according to Arkham.

ETH treasury companies under fire

FG Nexus isn’t alone in feeling the pain from an Ether downturn that has left many large corporate treasuries deeply underwater.

Bitmine Immersion Technologies, by far the largest listed ETH holder with 4,422,659 ETH on its books, is sitting on paper losses estimated at around $8.8 billion as Ether trades well below its average acquisition price, even as the company continues to add to its stash

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Related: ETHZilla liquidates $74.5M in Ether to redeem convertible debt

Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund exited its stake in Ethereum treasury firm ETHZilla entirely last week, with ETHZilla’s stock now down about 97% from its all‑time high, as equity markets punish aggressive Ether‑heavy strategies, with other companies actively unwinding.

Trend Research spent February slashing its Ether position on Binance, selling 651,757 ETH for about $1.34 billion on Feb. 8, and locking in an estimated realized loss of around $747 million.

Bitcoin treasury plays feel the heat

The strain on crypto treasury plays is not limited to Ethereum. On Feb. 20, Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company Metaplanet came under fire from shareholders, accusing the company of hiding losses and key details of its Bitcoin bets.

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Despite continued BTC purchases throughout February, on Wednesday, the largest listed owner of BTC, Strategy, became the most-shorted large-cap US stock according to data from Goldman Sachs, as hedge funds turned bearish on Saylor’s highly leveraged, Bitcoin‑centric balance sheet model.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ would be Saylor’s liquidation — Santiment founder