Connect with us

Crypto World

Why Crypto’s ‘Buy the Rumor’ Mantra No Longer Works

Published

on

Why Crypto’s ‘Buy the Rumor’ Mantra No Longer Works

I entered the crypto market at a time when Bitcoin traded around $6,000 — yes, that long ago. Back then, it existed in a no man’s land between experimentation and finance, and the market reacted to headlines or influential voices in a knee-jerk manner.

That wasn’t just my impression. Years later, a study analyzing Bitcoin and Dogecoin during the 2020–2021 cycle found statistically significant increases in price and trading volume on days when Musk posted about cryptocurrencies. The effect was especially pronounced for Dogecoin, whose volatility response was more than ten times stronger than that of Bitcoin.

Fast forward to today, and something feels different. Big news still happens. Prices still rise and fall. But the way the market responds has clearly changed. Below, I try to break down what’s actually different.

Headlines Used to Be the Market

Earlier crypto cycles were defined by immediacy. Liquidity was thinner, derivatives were far less dominant in price discovery, and positioning was far more visible in spot markets. As a result, price action clustered tightly around the moment news broke.

Advertisement

To assess whether Bitcoin’s reactions to news were immediate or gradual, I compared price behavior around major headlines across different market cycles. I selected two high-impact events from earlier cycles and two events of comparable significance from the post-2024 halving period. For each case, I tracked price movements before and after the news and normalized the data to focus on reaction patterns rather than absolute price levels.

In February 2021, Tesla disclosed that it had purchased $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, which was trading around $38,000. Within hours of the announcement, the price surged more than 15% in a single session to the level above $44,000. There was little ambiguity in how the market interpreted the news. The headline itself was the catalyst.

The same dynamic worked in reverse just a few months later. In May 2021, as China intensified its crackdown on Bitcoin mining, Bitcoin fell from roughly $40,000 to near $30,000 in a matter of days. Headlines triggered panic selling, forced liquidations, and cascading declines that felt sudden and overwhelming. Price didn’t drift lower — it collapsed.

In those markets, volatility wasn’t an exception. It was the baseline.

Advertisement

How the Current Cycle Handles Big News

Can we say Bitcoin no longer reacts to news? Not exactly. But the way it reacts has clearly changed.

Take the regulatory shift surrounding Gary Gensler’s departure as Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — widely viewed as a meaningful inflection point for the crypto industry.

In November 2024, when news of his impending exit became public, Bitcoin was trading in the mid-$80,000s. Over the following weeks, price pushed higher to the $100,000 level. But the move unfolded gradually, with much of the appreciation taking place before the leadership change became official in January 2025.

There was neither a single breakout candle, nor sudden repricing at the moment of confirmation. Instead, the market embraced the development as part of a broader, already-expected regulatory shift.

A similar pattern emerged during the February 2025 macro-driven sell-off. As U.S. tariff announcements and rising global risk pushed markets into a risk-off mode, Bitcoin slipped from just above $100,000 to the mid-$90,000s. The decline was real, but measured and spread over several sessions rather than concentrated in a single shock. Unlike the China ban in 2021, there was no panic cascade and no sense of structural failure.Price fell, but it did so calmly.

Advertisement

Volatility Spread Out Over Time

The contrast is telling. In 2021, major headlines produced immediate double-digit moves jostled around the news itself. In the current cycle, developments of similar importance have resulted in multi-day trends, with price often moving ahead of official announcements.

Bitcoin didn’t stop rising and falling. The charts point to a different shape of volatility — with smoother price moves and fewer headline-driven extremes. Market reactions no longer reflect that wide-eyed, hair-scratching surprise, but are increasingly driven by positioning, liquidity, and expectations.

In short, Bitcoin didn’t stop reacting — it stopped overreacting.

Where the Reaction Went

Much of the current market’s adjustment happens away from the visible spot price. Large players now use futures and options to build and hedge exposure. Capital flows in and out via spot Bitcoin ETFs, while big trades move through OTC desks rather than hitting the spot market right away. Together, these channels mute the black-and-white reactions that once defined earlier crypto cycles.

Large players and whales are still there, but their influence no longer reveals itself through obvious spot-market shocks. They can reposition quietly, change exposure without immediately forcing price to respond.

Advertisement

It feels like the market has finally buried its emotional, headline-driven reactions in the past and matured toward a quieter process of repricing risk.

This shift is unfolding against a very different macro backdrop: tighter global liquidity, fewer expectations of automatic bailouts, and monetary policy focused on restraint rather than stimulus. Bitcoin, increasingly treated as a macro asset and accessed through regulated channels like ETFs, now responds more to liquidity conditions and capital flows than to isolated news events.

If you’re still expecting every major headline to trigger an instant breakout or crash, the market can feel broken. Step back, though, and a different picture emerges — one where the noise hasn’t vanished, but it no longer leads the story. What remains is a market learning to price risk with patience.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Bitcoin (BTC) balances on Binance hit highest since November 2024: here’s what it means

Published

on

BTC balance on Binance. (CryptoQuant)

The number of bitcoin held in wallets tied to the cryptocurrency exchange Binance continues to rise, according to data from CryptoQuant.

The tally rose to 676,834.84 BTC ($44.53 billion) on Sunday, a level last seen in November 2024. That marks a 9.3% rise from the multi-month low of 618,782 in November. CoinDesk reached out to Binance for comment.

Rising balances signal investor intent to sell or use coins as margin in derivatives trading, with both typically leading to increased price turbulence.

BTC balance on Binance. (CryptoQuant)

BTC balance on Binance. (CryptoQuant)
Advertisement

The weekend high likely stemmed from a renowned whale moving large amounts of BTC to Binance.

Blockchain intelligence firm Arkham said Sunday that a crypto whale, possibly Garret Jin, operating on Hyperliquid’s cross-chain asset tokenization and bridging infrastructure Hyperunit, transferred $760 million in bitcoin to Binance. The large transfer happened roughly six days after the entity moved half a billion dollars of ether to Binance.

It is unclear whether the whale has since liquidated coins, but the possibility cannot be ruled out, as bitcoin fell from $67,600 to $64,400 during Asian hours early Monday. Since then, it has recovered slightly to trade around $65,850.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Trump-branded crypto sinks 92% from peak amid insider profit, probes

Published

on

Trump-branded crypto sinks 92% from peak amid insider profit, probes

$TRUMP, $MELANIA plunged ~90–93% from peaks, wiping out retail while insiders took profits.

Summary

  • Official $TRUMP and $MELANIA are down about 91–99% from highs, with $TRUMP near $3.7 and $MELANIA around $0.12 after the selloff.
  • Market trackers estimate more than $4.3b in retail losses, while roughly 45 whale and insider wallets extracted about $1.2b by selling into early hype.
  • On-chain data shows early wallets rotated into stables before liquidity thinned, and large unlock schedules plus concentrated holdings now overhang prices and may add further selling pressure.

Cryptocurrency tokens bearing the Trump brand name have declined sharply from their peak values, with the primary token falling approximately 92% and a related token experiencing similar losses, according to market data and on-chain tracking services.

Advertisement

The tokens, which reference U.S. President Donald Trump and associated branding, attracted significant retail investor participation following their launch before experiencing steep price declines, according to reports from cryptocurrency market analysts.

On-chain data indicates that a limited number of early wallet addresses realized substantial profits before the price decline accelerated, according to blockchain tracking services. Transaction records show that certain addresses transferred significant token holdings into stablecoin assets during the early trading period, while subsequent purchasers experienced losses as market liquidity decreased.

The token structure included locked allocations scheduled for gradual release over time, according to project documentation. Market analysts have noted that the release of these locked tokens could create additional selling pressure as supply enters circulation.

The price collapse has prompted calls for regulatory examination from market observers and investor advocacy groups in multiple jurisdictions. Questions have been raised regarding the marketing practices and token economic structures employed in the launches, particularly concerning projects associated with public figures.

Advertisement

Trading activity and social media discussion increased as losses mounted, with some token holders criticizing project operators and alleging preferential treatment for early participants. The token launches have renewed debate regarding the risks associated with celebrity-endorsed cryptocurrency projects.

Several cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers have reportedly begun implementing stricter listing criteria and enhanced scrutiny for projects with similar token distribution models, according to industry sources.

Blockchain data shows that addresses identified as early participants continue to hold token positions that have not yet been liquidated, according to on-chain analytics providers. The presence of these holdings represents potential future selling pressure on token prices.

The tokens were launched with promotional campaigns emphasizing brand association, though specific marketing claims and project promises were not independently verified at the time of launch. Retail participation was substantial during the initial trading period, according to transaction volume data.

Advertisement

Regulatory authorities in several countries have been contacted by investor groups requesting investigation into the token launches, though no formal enforcement actions have been announced as of this report.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Is a Deeper Correction to $60K Incoming Next for BTC?

Published

on

Is a Deeper Correction to $60K Incoming Next for BTC?

Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects renewed weakness after failing to sustain momentum above the $70K region. The rejection at this key psychological threshold has shifted short-term sentiment back toward caution, as sellers regained control and forced the price beneath recent daily lows.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, BTC recently faced a clear rejection at the $70K threshold, where selling pressure intensified and pushed the asset back below the recent daily lows. This breakdown highlights the continued presence of sellers at higher levels and reinforces the fragile nature of the current recovery attempts.

With the price slipping back under short-term structure, the market appears to be lacking strong bullish momentum. At this stage, Bitcoin is likely to remain in a broader consolidation phase between the $60K support zone and the $75K resistance area. A decisive breakout beyond either boundary will be required to establish the next sustained directional move, while continued rejection near $70K keeps the short-term bias cautious.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin had been compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following the sharp bounce from the $60K low. That structure has now resolved to the downside, with the price breaking below the ascending support trendline and accelerating lower.

Advertisement

The breakdown confirms short-term bearish continuation and shifts focus back toward the lower boundary of the broader demand area. Any rebound toward the underside of the broken triangle support or toward the $74K–$76K prior supply region would likely be viewed as a corrective retest unless buyers can generate strong follow-through.

At the moment, short-term structure favors sellers, and the market is searching for a new equilibrium level after the failed compression.

Sentiment Analysis

The liquidation heatmap shows a dense liquidity cluster above the current price around the $69K–$70K region, which previously acted as a magnetic zone during consolidation. This cluster absorbed the price multiple times before the recent drop, highlighting how overhead liquidity continues to cap upside attempts.

At the same time, slight liquidity bands have formed below the market in the $62K–$65K range. The recent sharp move downward tapped into part of this liquidity pocket, triggering liquidations and fueling volatility. The presence of remaining liquidity beneath the current price suggests that further sweeps cannot be ruled out, especially if momentum remains weak.

Advertisement

Overall, Bitcoin is positioned between overhead liquidity that acts as resistance and lower liquidity pockets that may attract price in the short term. The interaction with these zones, combined with the broader bearish channel structure, will determine whether Bitcoin stabilizes above $60K or extends its corrective phase deeper.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).

LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!

Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitdeer sold all its bitcoin (BTC) to fund its move into AI data centers

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC) mining stocks rallied in January despite softer BTC prices: JPMorgan

Bitdeer (BTDR) a Singapore-based bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure company has reduced its bitcoin treasury stash to zero, marking a sharp break from the miner playbook of hoarding coins as a signal of conviction seen by the likes of Strategy (MSTR).

The company reported BTC holdings of zero as of Feb. 20, excluding customer deposits. It produced 189.8 BTC on their weekly update and sold the entire amount. Instead of positioning bitcoin as a balance sheet reserve, Bitdeer is turning production into liquidity.

Bitdeer said the decision to sell bitcoin should not concern the broader market, in a post on X, noting it is evaluating multiple powered land acquisition opportunities and believes it is prudent to prepare liquidity now, while continuing to grow hash rate and mine more bitcoin for shareholders.

Operationally, growth remains intact for the company. Bitdeer mined 668 bitcoin in January, up 430% year over year, and increased its self mining hash rate to 63.2 EH per second (EH/s), with total proprietary hash rate reaching 65.1 EH/s.

Advertisement

Bitdeer is accelerating its push into AI infrastructure, rolling out NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 systems in Malaysia and advancing conversions of several sites in the U.S. and Europe from crypto mining to AI data centers.

AI expansion is far more capital intensive than incremental mining buildouts, requiring large scale GPU clusters and data center upgrades.

Bitdeer recently priced a $325 million convertible notes offering and a $43.5 million equity raise to fund datacenter expansion, HPC and AI cloud growth, and ASIC development.

Unlike bitcoin mining, which is tied to price cycles and halvings, AI and HPC contracts can offer more predictable revenue streams. The pivot also represents an attempt by miners to be valued less as leveraged bitcoin proxies and more as digital infrastructure and AI plays.

Advertisement

Peers are moving in the same direction. Riot Platforms (RIOT) recently sold $200 million worth of bitcoin to fund operations and AI expansion. While Bitfarms (BITF) are dropping its “bitcoin company” identity and doubled down on AI in the U.S. MARA Holdings (MARA) is also expanding into HPC and AI through a planned 64% stake in France based Exaion.

Bitdeer shares are down 1% in pre-market, trading at $7.70 per share.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Brazil’s Central Bank Targets 2027 Deadline for Institutional VASP Regulation

Published

on

Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Brazil’s Central Bank plans to finalize institutional VASP regulations within the 2026–2027 regulatory horizon.
  • Companies like Ripple, Fireblocks, and BitGo will be directly affected by the incoming institutional VASP framework.
  • Existing crypto firms operating in Brazil will have 270 days to report their activities to the Central Bank.
  • Brazil’s Receita Federal is preparing a 3.5% tax on stablecoin flows used as dollar proxies for payments.

Brazil’s Central Bank is moving forward with a regulatory framework for institutional virtual asset service providers (VASPs) before 2027.

These firms build and operate crypto infrastructure for other businesses, not retail users. Companies like Fireblocks, BitGo, Ripple, and Wintermute fall under this category.

Antônio Marcos Guimarães, deputy head of the bank’s Regulation Department, confirmed the plans during a live broadcast on February 9, marking another step in Brazil’s growing crypto oversight agenda.

Framework Takes Shape from Market Consultations

The demand to regulate institutional VASPs came directly from the crypto industry itself. During public consultations, market participants urged the Central Bank to address this segment formally.

Advertisement

The regulator acknowledged the request but chose to tackle stablecoins and other pressing matters first. Now, the 2026-2027 window is reserved for institutional VASP oversight.

Guimarães made the bank’s direction clear during the February 9 broadcast. “The Central Bank is finalizing the authorization criteria for companies that already operate,” he said.

He added that those firms “will have 270 days to inform the Central Bank” of their activities. He also confirmed that “in the 2026-2027 horizon, we intend to advance in the regulation of institutional PSAVs (B2B).”

The Central Bank’s plan involves creating a negotiation model between authorized entities. Under this model, qualifying companies could serve as liquidity and infrastructure providers.

Advertisement

This structure differs significantly from traditional brokerage setups common in retail crypto markets. The approach reflects how institutional crypto operations actually function at scale.

Brazil has already taken steps to bring commercial banks into the crypto space in 2026. New rules streamlining bank participation in crypto markets were rolled out earlier this year.

The institutional VASP framework builds directly on that regulatory momentum. Together, these measures are shaping a more structured and transparent crypto environment across Brazil.

Technical Complexity Slows But Does Not Stop Regulatory Progress

One reason the Central Bank delayed institutional VASP regulation was the sector’s technical complexity. Guimarães explained that the complexity stems from “the nature of the operation of these companies.”

Advertisement

He noted there is “no brokerage system that organizes operations,” and that “trading takes place in a decentralized environment based on private networks and shared technological infrastructure.” That reality made standard regulatory tools difficult to apply without significant modification.

Transactions among institutional VASPs settle without a central intermediary organizing trades. This decentralized dynamic across private networks creates real challenges for monitoring and reporting.

The Central Bank recognized early that a tailored approach was necessary here. As a result, regulators studied the sector carefully before committing to a formal framework.

Brazil’s national revenue service, Receita Federal, is also preparing related measures. It is reportedly working on a 3.5% tax targeting stablecoin flows used as dollar-pegged payment proxies.

Advertisement

That proposal adds another layer to Brazil’s evolving digital asset policy. Both developments reflect a coordinated push toward broader crypto market governance.

The institutional VASP framework still has time to develop before the 2027 deadline arrives. Market participants and regulators will likely engage further as specific rules take shape.

Brazil’s methodical, consultation-driven approach continues to attract attention across the global crypto industry.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

What’s Next for XRP After Monday’s Flash Crash?

Published

on

What's Next for XRP After Monday's Flash Crash?

Ripple’s XRP joined the rest of the market in the past day, with another crash displaying continued weakness within a broader descending structure, as upside attempts repeatedly fail to generate sustained momentum. The price is now trading within a clearly defined range, awaiting a decisive breakout to determine the next directional move.

Ripple Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, XRP attempted to break above the channel’s middle boundary of $1.60 but failed to sustain the move. The brief push beyond this midline resulted in a liquidity sweep, where buy-side liquidity was taken before sellers stepped back in and drove the asset lower. This false breakout highlights the presence of supply overhead and confirms that bullish momentum remains fragile.

Following the rejection, the price rotated back into the established range and continues to fluctuate between the upper supply zone and the lower demand base. The structure now suggests ongoing consolidation rather than immediate trend reversal. Unless XRP can decisively reclaim and hold above the channel’s middle boundary, the market is likely to remain range-bound, with liquidity hunts on both sides shaping short-term volatility.

XRP/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, XRP remains structurally bearish, trading inside a well-defined descending structure. After the failed daily breakout and liquidity sweep, the price resumed its downward trajectory and continues to form lower highs and lower lows within the channel boundaries.

Advertisement

The recent bounce from the lower demand zone near the $1.10–$1.20 region was sharp but corrective in nature. The asset is now consolidating around the $1.35–$1.40 area, which previously acted as intraday support.

As long as XRP remains below the channel’s mid-structure and the $1.50 zone, upside attempts are likely to face selling pressure. A move toward the $1.50–$1.55 supply region would be considered a corrective retest unless accompanied by strong momentum and a structural break. On the downside, losing the current support cluster would expose the lower boundary of the channel and increase the probability of another liquidity sweep below recent lows.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).

LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!

Advertisement

Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Flash Early Signs of Bullish Recovery

Published

on

Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Flash Early Signs of Bullish Recovery

AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from 0.7015. NZD/USD is consolidating and could aim for a move above 0.6000 in the short term.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

· The Aussie Dollar remained supported above 0.7000 and recovered losses against the US Dollar.

· There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance at 0.7070 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.

· NZD/USD is consolidating above 0.5965 and 0.5950.

Advertisement

· There was a break above a declining channel with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.7000. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above 0.7035 against the US Dollar to enter a short-term positive zone.

There was a break above a key declining channel with resistance at 0.7070. The bulls even pushed the pair above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7147 swing high to the 0.7015 low and the 50-hour simple moving average.

The AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair could struggle to clear the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.7115. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.7150.

An upside break above 0.7150 might send the pair further higher. The next major target might be 0.7220. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.7300. If there is no close above 0.7115, the pair might start a fresh decline.

Advertisement

Immediate bid zone could be near 0.7065 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next area of interest is 0.7035. If there is a downside break below 0.7035, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.7015. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6965.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar failed to stay above 0.6020 and corrected gains against the US Dollar.

The pair dipped below 0.5965 and the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.5830. A low was formed at 0.5937, and the pair is now attempting to recover losses. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6052 swing high to the 0.5937 low.

Besides, there was a break above a declining channel with resistance at 0.5960. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is above 50, signaling a short-term positive bias. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near 0.6010.

The next major hurdle for buyers could be near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.6025. A clear move above 0.6025 might even push the pair toward 0.6050. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6122 pivot zone in the coming sessions.

Advertisement

On the downside, there is support forming near 0.5965 and the 50-hour simple moving average. If there is a downside break below 0.5965, the pair might slide toward 0.5940. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD into a bearish zone to 0.5900.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Circle Internet, crypto miners report earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

Published

on

Russia crypto mining pioneer Igor Runets put under house arrest on tax charges

The week will be dominated by earnings reports from crypto-related companies, though the repercussions of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on tariffs on Friday are also likely to ripple through markets.

Miners including MARA Holdings (MARA) and Hut 8 (HUT) are on the roster, and will fuel the conversation over diversification into high-performance computing centers and support for AI. Also on the AI front, Nvidia (NVDA), a maker of chips for the AI industry and the world’s largest publicly traded company by market capitalization, reports earnings on Wednesday.

Circle Internet (CRCL), issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC, is also on Wednesday’s list.

In the wider economy, a number of U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers are set to make speeches in the coming days. And don’t forget the U.S.-Iran talks, which resume on Geneva on Thursday even as both sides build up their military preparations.

Advertisement

What to Watch

(All times ET)

  • Crypto
    • Feb. 23: Alchemy Chain’s testnet is scheduled to go live.
    • Feb. 25, 1 p.m.: SwissBorg to host its “biggest keynote ever.”
    • Feb. 25, 1 p.m.: Hedera mainnet to upgrade to version 0.7
    • Feb. 27: The Sandbox Season 7 starts.
  • Macro
    • Feb. 23, 8:00 a.m.: Fed Governor Christopher Waller gives a speech on the economic outlook at the National Association for Business Economics.
    • Feb. 23, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for February (Prev. -1.2)
    • Feb. 24, 8:15 a.m.: U.S. ADP employment change weekly (Prev. 10.25K)
    • Feb. 24, 9 a.m.: S&P Case-Shiller home price YoY (Prv. 1.4%)
    • Feb. 24, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. CB consumer confidence est. 86 (Prev. 84.5)
    • Feb. 24, 1:00 p.m.: U.S. money supply for January (M2) (Prev. $22.4T)
    • Feb. 25, 5:00 a.m.: Eurozone core inflation rate YoY final est. 2.2% (Prev. 2.3%)
    • Feb. 25, 4:30 p.m.: U.S. Fed balance sheet for week ending Feb. 25 (Prev. $6.61T)
    • Feb. 25, 8:30 p.m.: Bank of Japan Board Member Hajime Takata gives a speech at a meeting with local leaders in Kyoto
    • Feb. 26, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending Feb. 21 (Prev. 206K)
    • Feb. 26, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman to testify before the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs.
    • Feb. 26, 6:50 p.m.: Japan Tokyo core CPI YoY for February est. 2% (Prev. 2%)
    • Feb. 27, 8:00 a.m.: German inflation rate YoY prelim. for February (Prev. 2.1%)
    • Feb. 27, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. PPI MoM for January est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.5%); Core PPI MoM est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.7%)
    • Feb. 27, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. PPI YoY for January est. 2.9% (Prev. 3%)
    • Feb. 27, 8:30 a.m.: Canada GDP growth rate annualized for Q4 (Prev. 2.6%); QoQ (Prev. 0.6%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • Feb. 24: Cipher Mining (CIFR), pre-market, $0.03
    • Feb. 25: Circle Internet (CRCL), pre-market, $0.16
    • Feb. 25: Core Scientific (CORZ), post-market, -$0.18
    • Feb. 25: Hut 8 (HUT), pre-market, -$0.13
    • Feb. 25: Nvidia (NVDA), post-market, $1.50
    • Feb. 26: MARA Holdings (MARA), post-market, -$0.11
    • Feb 26: TeraWulf (WULF), post-market, -$0.15
    • Feb. 26: American Bitcoin (ABTC), pre-market, $0.01
    • Feb. 26: Figure Technologies (FIGR), post-market,$0.20
    • Feb. 26: Sui Group (SUIG), post-market, $0.01
    • Feb. 26: Block (XYZ), post-market, $0.49

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Feb. 23: DYdX Foundation to host its February analyst call.
    • Feb. 26: Lido DAO to host a tokenholder update call.
    • Feb. 26: Maple Finance to host an investor call.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting to enable protocol fees across all V3 pools and eight layer-2 networks. Voting ends Feb. 23.
    • ZKsync DAO is voting to allocate $4.1 million in ZK tokens for the 2026 audit reimbursement program (ZARP v2) to fund forward-looking protocol security audits and retroactively reimburse eligible 2025 costs. Voting ends Feb. 23.
    • GMX DAO is voting to neutralize CEX supply overhang by restructuring liquidity, setting a temporary $5 buy-wall, and pausing staking rewards until the token price reaches $90. Voting ends Feb. 24.
    • The Sandbox DAO is voting to pause operations and transfer control to the project team to realign with “The Sandbox 3.0”. The proposal is currently facing ~98% opposition from voters. Voting ends Feb. 25.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting to create a customizable “Windfall Lotto Scene” template for land owners. Voting ends Feb. 25.
    • Unlock DAO is voting to delegate 2 million UP from the treasury to seven active community members to reliably secure a quorum on future proposals. Voting ends Feb. 26.
  • Unlocks
    • Feb. 25: Humanity (H) to unlock 4.37% of its circulating supply worth $17.71 million.
    • Feb. 28: Grass (GRASS) to unlock 13.15% of its circulating supply worth $10.09 million.
    • Feb. 28: Jupiter (JUP) to unlock 7.94% of its circulating supply worth $39.34 million.
    • March 1: to unock 1.13% of its circulating supply worth $40.97 million.
  • Token Launches

Conferences

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

3 Altcoins To Watch In The Final Week Of February 2026

Published

on

HBAR Price Analysis

The final week of February 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal stretch for the altcoin market, with key technical setups, token unlocks, and network upgrades driving investor focus. While broader crypto sentiment remains cautious, some tokens still show potential for gains.

BeInCrypto has analysed three such altcoins that the investors should watch as February comes to an end.

Hedera (HBAR)

HBAR price is trading at $0.0959 at the time of writing, holding just above immediate support at the same level. The altcoin recently broke out of a bullish technical pattern but has not confirmed the move. Weak crypto market momentum has limited follow-through buying.

Muted market sentiment has kept HBAR subdued despite recent technical strength. However, Hedera announced in December 2025 a shift from cloud bucket storage to block nodes to improve network data access. Node operators have three months starting in February before the June upgrade. Infrastructure improvements can influence long-term token valuation.

Advertisement
HBAR Price Analysis
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If sentiment improves, HBAR price could break above $0.1030 and advance toward the projected 57% breakout target. Sustained buying would confirm bullish continuation. However, failure to gain momentum could push HBAR below $0.0901 support. A decline toward $0.0830 would invalidate the bullish outlook.

Sui (SUI)

SUI is a key cryptocurrency to watch this week as 53.82 million tokens are set to unlock. The release represents 0.54% of the total supply and is valued at more than $47.2 million. Token unlock events can increase volatility as additional circulating supply impacts short-term price action.

SUI price is trading at $0.891, while the Money Flow Index sits in the oversold zone. Oversold conditions often signal selling exhaustion and potential reversal setups. If investors absorb the new supply, SUI could exit its three-week consolidation range and break above $1.060, targeting $1.326.

SUI Price Analysis.
SUI Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, downside risks remain if demand fails to match incoming supply. Losing the $0.874 support would signal renewed bearish pressure. In that case, the SUI price could decline toward $0.778. A deeper correction may extend losses to $0.629 if broader crypto market sentiment weakens further.

Kite (KITE)

KITE has consistently printed new all-time highs throughout February, drawing strong trader attention. The altcoin currently trades at $0.257 after reaching a fresh ATH of $0.288 last week. Sustained buying momentum and elevated trading volume have supported its upward price trajectory.

KITE remains roughly 12.3% below its recent peak, keeping bullish momentum intact. Technical structure suggests continued upside if capital inflows persist. A decisive breakout above $0.288 could attract additional momentum traders. In that scenario, KITE price may extend gains toward the next projected resistance at $0.328.

Advertisement
KITE Price Analysis.
KITE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, short-term profit booking could trigger corrective pressure. A decline below $0.240 would indicate weakening bullish control. The more critical level sits at $0.192 support. Losing that threshold would signal a broader trend reversal and increase the probability of an extended downside phase.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

USD/CAD Analysis Following Changes in US Tariff Policy

Published

on

USD/CAD Analysis Following Changes in US Tariff Policy

Currency markets opened on Monday with the US dollar under pressure, as traders assessed weekend developments related to US tariff policy. According to Reuters:

→ On Friday, the Supreme Court ruled that President Trump’s sweeping tariffs exceeded his authority.
→ In response, the US president criticised the court and introduced a blanket 15% import levy. Trump also insisted that higher-tariff agreements with trade partners should remain in force.

Against this backdrop, USD/CAD slipped below the 1.3660 level today. This comes despite the upward move observed since 11 February (marked by purple lines), which developed after Canadian inflation slowed from 2.7% to 2.4%. The weaker inflation data weighed on the Canadian dollar, as markets began pricing in the possibility of future interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada.

Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart

When analysing USD/CAD on 29 January (with the market trading near the psychological 1.3500 level), we:

→ highlighted the presence of a long-term descending channel;
→ noted that price was close to its lower boundary, which could act as support;
→ considered a rebound scenario.

Advertisement

Since then, USD/CAD has formed two bullish reversals near the 1.3500 area. However, on both occasions bullish momentum appeared to fade around 1.3700.

The current price action resembles a rounding top pattern, suggesting that sellers may soon attempt to regain control and push towards the lower purple boundary in an effort to resume the broader long-term downtrend.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025