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Why is S&P 500 and US Stocks Reacting Positively to Trump’s Hormuz Blockade?

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S&P500 (SPX) Futures Performance

The S&P 500 erased early losses and briefly turned positive on April 13 as the US military began enforcing a naval blockade of Iranian ports across the Strait of Hormuz.

The intraday reversal surprised traders. Equity futures had fallen sharply overnight after President Trump announced a blockade of the Hormuz blockade following the collapse of US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad. The talks reportedly failed over disagreements on uranium enrichment, proxy support, and sanctions relief.

Markets Absorb Blockade Shock

US Central Command confirmed the blockade became active at 10 a.m. ET on Monday. It targets vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports but does not impede transit to non-Iranian destinations.

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Iran had been exporting over two million barrels of oil per day before the operation. Crude surged above $104 per barrel on supply fears. US gas prices are now forecast to rise above $4.25 per gallon.

“Enjoy the current pump figures. With the so-called ‘blockade’, Soon you’ll be nostalgic for $4–$5 gas,” wrote Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Parliament.

The S&P 500 had posted its best week since November, gaining 3.6%, on hopes of a swift resolution to the conflict.

That optimism unwound Sunday night before the surprising intraday reversal on Monday.

“The S&P 500 erases all losses and turns green on the day as the US begins its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz,” wrote analysts at the Kobeissi Letter.

S&P500 (SPX) Futures Performance
S&P500 (SPX) Futures Performance. Source: TradingView

Despite the escalation, JPMorgan Chase strategist Mislav Matejka urged investors to buy the pullback.

“JPMorgan Chase says investors should buy market pullbacks, arguing conditions support another V-shaped recovery despite geopolitical risks. Strategist Mislav Matejka notes volatility may persist, but a 3–12 month horizon favors adding risk as bearish sentiment and oversold signals create opportunity,” wrote Deaton, citing Matejka.

The bank also expects international stocks, emerging markets, small caps, and value to outperform, with inflows likely to resume.

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The bank expects a V-shaped recovery within three to 12 months, arguing that bearish sentiment and oversold conditions create opportunity.

Iran Enrichment Rollback Report Fuels Optimism

Reports emerged that Iranian officials are studying whether to abandon uranium enrichment as a US condition for ending hostilities. The report remains unconfirmed by Tehran but helped fuel the intraday equity recovery.

Shipping data from Kpler shows Strait of Hormuz traffic far below normal levels despite a slight weekend uptick. Failed negotiations and enforcement uncertainty continue to suppress flows through the critical chokepoint, which handles roughly 20% of global oil supply.

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Bitcoin (BTC) held above $71,000, trading near $71,611 with a 0.74% daily gain. The resilience mirrors a broader pattern where risk assets have repeatedly absorbed geopolitical shocks during the conflict before rebounding.

Whether this calm holds depends on the first interdiction events and any diplomatic breakthroughs in the days ahead.

The post Why is S&P 500 and US Stocks Reacting Positively to Trump’s Hormuz Blockade? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Charles Schwab Announces Rollout of Spot BTC and ETH Trading for Retail Clients

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Charles Schwab Announces Rollout of Spot BTC and ETH Trading for Retail Clients

The $12 trillion brokerage will begin a phased rollout of Schwab Crypto, offering direct spot BTC and ETH trading to retail investors in the coming weeks.

Charles Schwab announced the planned launch of its spot crypto trading platform, Schwab Crypto, in a press release today, April 16. The platform offers Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading to Schwab’s retail clients from within the existing platform, alongside traditional investments.

The phased rollout of the platform begins in the coming weeks, and will let Schwab’s existing brokerage customers buy and hold BTC and ETH directly within their accounts, without leaving the platform. Trading will be priced at 75 basis points, per the release. The platform will also provide educational content and analysis.

Schwab first announced that it would offer retail crypto trading a year ago, stating at the time that the platform would by mid-April 2026.

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The move marks a strategic shift from Schwab’s previous indirect crypto exposure through ETFs, funds, and derivatives.

In today’s release, Schwab said that it plans to add more cryptocurrencies to the platform in the future. The brokerage also noted that it plans to enable deposits and withdrawals in the future, implying that the current product only allows for crypto buying and selling within Schwab platform.

Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, (CSPB) will provide crypto custody for clients, while the bank has tapped Paxos for trade execution services and sub-custody, per the release.

“With Schwab Crypto, investors can access familiar cryptocurrencies within an all‑in‑one investing and banking experience, backed by an ecosystem of education, tools, resources, and support so they can make informed decisions about how crypto might fit into their broader investing goals,” Schwab’s head of digital assets, Joe Vietri, was quoted as saying in the release.

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Last November, U.S. neobank SoFi re-launched its spot crypto trading product, making it the first U.S. FDIC-insured and nationally chartered bank offering retail clients crypto trading alongside its traditional banking and investing services.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

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Bitcoin Set To Sync With Stocks, Possibly Chasing New Range Highs

Bitcoin (BTC) treaded water at Thursday’s Wall Street open as the S&P 500 reached new all-time highs.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin stays locked on $74,000 after its local highs preceded a new record for the S&P 500.

  • Analysis warns that the US midterm elections may impact the stock rally.

  • Bitcoin could follow the Nasdaq 100 higher, a trader suggests.

BTC price tripped after fresh highs from the S&P 500

Data from TradingView showed $74,000 continuing to form an intraday BTC price focus.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US jobless claims came in marginally below expectations at 207,000 versus 213,000, pointing to the labor market withstanding current geopolitical and inflation pressures.

These followed a new record for the S&P 500, which crossed 7,000 points for the first time in history after Bitcoin hit two-month highs.

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Commenting, trading resource Mosaic Asset Company noted that the S&P had advanced by nearly 11% in the past 11 trading sessions.

“It ranks as the fifth quickest recovery to record highs following a deep pullback,” it wrote in its latest “Mosaic Chart Alerts” update. 

“The S&P closed firmly above the 7,000 level for the first time in history despite the ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East that sparked a 9% drawdown in the index into late March.”

S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Gold dipped to intraday lows and WTI crude oil eyed $94 per barrel as markets awaited further cues over the US-Iran war.

QCP, meanwhile, warned that seasonal trends could still end the stock rally as the US entered midterm elections. The S&P 500, it noted, “tends to find its peak about now ahead of mid-term elections, and then recovering during the final quarter of the year.”

“I would not base any investment decision or outlook based on seasonals alone, which is why I’m also watching confirmation from breadth,” it cautioned.

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S&P 500 seasonality data. Source: Mosaic Asset Company

Trader sees “opportunity” in Bitcoin versus Nasdaq

With BTC price action finding resistance near its range highs, market participants eyed exchange order-book liquidity for clues as to where the next showdown could come.

Related: Bitcoin can grow ‘probably a lot bigger’ than $30T+ gold market — Analysis

“The price bucket at $72.2K – 72.4K has a large amount of open interest that has slowly accumulated,” Shubh Varma, CEO of crypto data platform Hyblock, told Cointelegraph on the day.

“We’ve seen this level where traders are often active, entering and exiting. Most recently, about $100 million longs and shorts opened here, bringing the total close to $400 million at that price bucket, over the last seven days (on Binance stablecoin perps).”

Varma added that this could form “an area to watch as potential support if price revisits it, as many of these longs and shorts may exit at breakeven ‘psychological’ level.”

BTC/USDT perpetual contract open interest data. Source: Hyblock

Continuing the stocks theme, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe flagged Bitcoin’s relationship with the Nasdaq-100 index as a cause for optimism going forward.

“Bitcoin is about to follow Nasdaq,” he told X followers. 

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“The reason for this is quite simple: the correlation has been significantly strong most of the time. This period? The weakest correlation in the past 10 years.”

BTC/USD vs. Nasdaq 100 futures one-week chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Van de Poppe eyed a “tremendous opportunity” for Bitcoin buyers, having recently seen a similar bullish setup in Bitcoin versus gold.