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Will Hedera price crash as stablecoin supply and app revenue decline?

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Hedera price has formed a descending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.

Hedera price has been in a downtrend over the past month as the token continues to be bruised by the geopolitical concerns that have pushed investors away from risk assets.

Summary

  • Hedera price dropped to a six-week low of $0.083, down over 12% in a month amid weak market sentiment and geopolitical tensions.
  • On-chain activity declined, with DeFi app revenue falling nearly 70% and stablecoin supply dropping 6%, signaling reduced network usage and liquidity.
  • Technical indicators remain bearish, with price trading in a descending channel and key support seen at $0.087.

According to data from crypto.news, Hedera (HBAR) price fell to a six-week low of $0.083 on Tuesday, down over 12% in the past month and over 20% from its year-to-date high.

Hedera price fell amid weakness in its underlying ecosystem activity as key performance indicators started to flash red. Data from DeFiLlama shows that revenue generated by DeFi apps on the network had slumped nearly 70% from the previous month’s high.

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A drop in app revenue means that a lower number of users are interacting with the Hedera ecosystem, signaling weakening demand for its decentralized applications and reduced overall network usage.

Third-party data also show that the total supply of stablecoins on the network has fallen 6% over the past 7 days to $52.71 million. Declining stablecoin supply typically reflects reduced liquidity and capital inflows on the network, further reinforcing signs of slowing activity.

Hedera price has also remained in a downtrend due to reduced investor appetite for risk assets amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war that has led to a flight to more traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. equities.

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On the daily chart, Hedera price has been trading within a descending parallel channel pattern, a formation where the asset consistently makes lower highs and lower lows. As long as an asset trades within such a pattern, it will likely continue to face persistent selling pressure as it bounces between the upper and lower boundaries.

Hedera price has formed a descending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.
Hedera price has formed a descending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart — April 1 | Source: crypto.news

Technical indicators also appear to portray a bearish outlook for Hedera price in the upcoming sessions. Notably, the Bollinger Bands have begun to narrow, with the price trading below the middle band, suggesting contracting volatility while the short-term trend remains tilted to the downside.

The Aroon Down is at 92.86% while the Aroon Up remains at 0%, indicating strong downward momentum and that a recent low has likely been established within the current trend.

For now, the immediate support level for Hedera price lies at $0.087, which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A drop below this level could increase selling pressure and open the door for a move toward lower support zones.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Crypto World

Fed’s Barr Calls for Balanced US Stablecoin Rules Under GENIUS Act

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Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act

US Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said Tuesday that clearer US stablecoin rules could speed the market’s growth, but warned that regulators still need to address money laundering risks, bank run risks and consumer safeguards as they implement the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.

Speaking at a Federalist Society event on stablecoin regulation, Barr said the law provides “needed clarity” for issuers, but that “a great deal will depend on how federal and state regulators implement the statute.”

Barr said stablecoins are still used mainly for crypto trading and as a US dollar store of value in some foreign markets, though they could also lower remittance costs, speed up trade finance processing and help firms manage treasury operations. He also highlighted the risk of bad actors buying stablecoins in secondary markets without identity checks, and said issuers may be tempted to stretch for yield in reserve assets in ways that undermine confidence during stress.

Barr’s speech also cast the stablecoin debate in historical terms. He said private money has a “long and painful history” when safeguards are weak, pointing to the Free Banking Era in the US, the Panic of 1907, money market fund stress during the global financial crisis and COVID-19 shock, and more recent stablecoin valuation pressure as reasons to be cautious about any asset marketed as redeemable at par on demand.

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Barr’s remarks come as US agencies move from legislation to rule-writing. The US Treasury Department opened a second round of public comment on implementing the GENIUS Act in September 2025, saying the law must be translated into rules that both encourage innovation and address illicit finance, consumer protections and financial stability risks.

Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act
Brief Remarks on Stablecoins. Source: Federal Reserve

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman told lawmakers in February that banking regulators were already working on capital and liquidity rules for stablecoin issuers, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair Travis Hill said in March that the agency does not expect stablecoins to receive deposit insurance under the law.

Related: Who gets the yield? CLARITY Act becomes fight over onchain dollars

Barr warns GENIUS Act rollout will test stablecoin safeguards

Barr’s speech signals where the implementation fights may land. He flagged reserve asset rules, regulatory arbitrage, the scope of issuer activities beyond issuance, capital and liquidity requirements, Anti-Money Laundering (AML) checks and consumer protection standards as the key issues still to be settled.

The GENIUS Act, signed into law on July 18, 2025, created a federal framework for payment stablecoins in the United States. The law requires issuers to maintain one-to-one backing with reserve assets such as US dollars and Treasury bills, and is expected to take effect 18 months after signing or 120 days after final agency rules are completed.

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Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026