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will it rebound in March?

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bitmine stock

BitMine stock price retreated for five consecutive months, reaching its lowest level since June last year as Ethereum and other altcoins slumped.

Summary

  • BitMine stock price dropped for five consecutive months.
  • The retreat happened as the Ethereum price crash gained steam.
  • BMNR has formed a falling wedge pattern, pointing to a rebound in March.

BMNR stock was trading at $20 on Monday, down substantially from last year’s high of $161. Still, despite this, BitMine continued its Ethereum (ETH) accumulation, a sign that Tom Lee and the team expect a rebound soon.

BitMine added 50,928 ETH tokens last week, bringing the total additions in the last 30 days to nearly 180,000. It now holds over 4.42 million, which is equivalent to 3.66% of all tokens in circulation. These tokens are now valued at over $8.5 billion.

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One reason why Ethereum price dropped in February was the lingering fear that Donald Trump would attack Iran, which he did. The fear was that an attack would pump crude oil and gas prices higher and make it hard for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. 

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Therefore, fundamentally, there is a likelihood that ETH and other coins will start rising as investors start focusing on the potential ceasefire. A Polymarket poll shows that odds of a ceasefire happening by March 31 rose to 48. Odds of a ceasefire happening by April 30 jumped to 67%.

The rising odds of a ceasefire explain why crude oil prices did not soar as much as analysts were expecting. Brent and West Texas Intermediate benchmarks rose to $78 and $72, lower than $90, which analysts were expecting.

BitMine has other potential catalysts, including Ethereum’s strong fundamentals, including the rising staking queue, falling Ethereum supply in centralized exchanges, and the rising transactions and network fees. 

BitMine stock price technical analysis points to a rebound

bitmine stock
BMNR stock price chart  |Source: crypto.news 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the BMNR stock price could be on the verge of a strong bullish breakout in the coming weeks. The two lines of the MACD indicators have formed a bullish crossover, while the Relative Strength Index has moved from the oversold level to the current 40.

BitMine stock has also formed a falling wedge pattern, which is made up of two descending and converging trendlines. The two lines are now nearing their confluence, which may lead to more upside.

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If this happens, the next key target level to watch will be the psychological level at $30. On the other hand, a drop below the lower side of the wedge will point to more downside.

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Crypto World

Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

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Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

Total value locked on decentralized lending protocol Aave dropped by nearly $8 billion over the weekend after hackers behind the $293 million Kelp DAO exploit borrowed funds on Aave, leaving roughly $195 million in “bad debt” on the protocol and triggering withdrawals.

Data from DeFiLlama shows that Aave’s TVL fell from about $26.4 billion to $18.6 billion by Sunday, losing the top spot as the largest DeFi protocol. 

Aave v3’s lending pools for USDt (USDT) and USDC (USDC) are now at 100% utilization, meaning that more than $5.1 billion worth of stablecoins cannot be withdrawn until new liquidity arrives or borrows are repaid. 

$2,540 is available to be withdrawn from the $2.87 billion USDT pool on Aave v3 at the time of writing. Source: Aave

Aave’s TVL fall shows how rapidly risk from a single security incident can spread throughout the broader, interconnected DeFi lending market, potentially leading to a severe liquidity crisis.

The incident began on Saturday when hackers stole 116,500 Kelp DAO Restaked ETH (rsETH) tokens worth about $293 million from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered bridge and used them as collateral on Aave v3 to borrow wrapped Ether (wETH).

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Crypto analytics platform Lookonchain said the move created about $195 million in “bad debt” on Aave, which contributed to the Aave (AAVE) token tanking nearly 20% from $112 on Saturday at 6:00 pm UTC to $89.5 about 25 hours later. 

Lookonchain noted that some of the largest crypto whales to withdraw funds from Aave were the MEXC crypto exchange and Abraxas Capital at $431 million and $392 million, respectively.

Source: Grvt

Several crypto networks and protocols tied to rsETH or the LayerZero bridge have paused use of the bridge until the problem is resolved, including DeFi platform Curve Finance, stablecoin issuer Ethena and BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC).

Aave has frozen several rsETH, wETH markets

Shortly after the Kelp DAO exploit, Aave said it froze the rsETH markets on both Aave v3 and v4 to prevent any suspicious borrowing and later stated that rsETH on Ethereum mainnet remains fully backed by underlying assets.

WETH reserves also remain frozen on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea, Aave said.

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This incident marks the first significant stress test of Aave’s “Umbrella” security model, which was introduced in June 2025 to provide automated protection against protocol bad debt while enabling users to earn rewards.

Related: Aave DAO backs V4 mainnet plan in near-unanimous vote

Earlier this month, the Bank of Canada found that Aave avoided bad debt in its v3 market by using overcollateralization, automated liquidations and other strategies that shifted risk to borrowers.

In comments to Cointelegraph, Aave defended its liquidation-based model, framing it as a core safety mechanism that protects lenders while limiting downside for borrowers.

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It comes as Aave parted ways with its longest-standing DeFi risk service provider, Chaos Labs, on April 6, following disagreements over the direction of Aave v4 and budget constraints.

Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?