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XRP Sentiment Surpasses Bitcoin and Ethereum, Santiment

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Despite a broad crypto market pause that has pulled Bitcoin toward the $70,000 level, XRP has carved out a comparatively resilient narrative on social media. Investor sentiment surrounding XRP remains more constructive than the mood around leaders like Bitcoin and Ethereum, even as prices slip. Santiment highlighted that XRP is enjoying a more optimistic outlook among traders on social channels, even as BTC and ETH have slid from recent highs after a pronounced downturn. The contrast underscores how on-chain chatter and price action can diverge for select assets during drawdowns.

Key takeaways

  • XRP’s social sentiment metric indicates a stronger positive-to-negative mention ratio (2.19) than Bitcoin (0.80) and Ethereum (1.08), suggesting a comparatively bullish narrative for XRP despite a broader market slump.
  • Over the past week, BTC declined 4.97% and ETH declined 4.92%, while XRP fell more sharply at 6.82%, signaling that XRP has not been immune to the downturn even as sentiment remains more upbeat.
  • Swyftx analyst Pav Hundal argues that XRP holders “wear volatility differently” and maintain faith in the asset’s fundamentals, potentially dampening near-term selloffs.
  • Analysts warn that the near term could be choppy, with XRP still down about 35.5% over the last 30 days, though some believe a relief rally could materialize if overall trader sentiment remains cautious toward the broader market.
  • Macro sentiment gauges show pockets of fear: Alternative.me’s Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at an extreme fear level (12), while the Altcoin Season Index continues to tilt toward Bitcoin dominance rather than broader altcoin strength.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $ETH, $XRP

Sentiment: Bullish

Price impact: Negative. XRP slipped 6.82% over the past seven days as BTC and ETH also retraced (BTC −4.97%, ETH −4.92%).

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold

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Market context: In a risk-off backdrop, major coins joined a broader drawdown—BTC and ETH posted weekly declines while XRP’s social narrative remained comparatively resilient. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index registered extreme fear (12), signaling cautious positioning across the market, and the Altcoin Season Index shows a tilt toward Bitcoin-dominated sentiment as investors chase perceived safety at the top of the curve.

Why it matters

The divergence between social sentiment and price performance matters for participants who weigh narrative momentum alongside technicals. XRP’s relatively stronger sentiment signal could attract fresh buying interest if traders interpret it as a decoupling from the broader risk-off mood. The contrast also highlights how different crypto assets can react to macro pressures in heterogeneous ways—where BTC and ETH are bearing the brunt of the pullback, XRP’s community outlook remains more resilient on social channels.

From a fundamentals perspective, XRP holders have historically demonstrated a readiness to weather volatility, a stance that Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal described as an “unwavering faith” in the asset’s long-term value. Such a stance can translate into a slower pace of downside recognition during downturns, potentially supporting a later rebound if macro momentum shifts. Yet the same analyst cautions that the near term could remain unsettled as the market digests the path of interest rates, liquidity, and regulatory signals that influence sentiment far beyond a single token’s utility case.

Market-wide indicators reinforce a cautious posture. The Fear & Greed Index’s extreme fear reading suggests risk-off behavior among a broad swath of participants, while the Altcoin Season Index indicates a preference for Bitcoin over riskier altcoins. This backdrop implies that even if XRP’s social chatter stays comparatively buoyant, a material upside may require a confluence of positive catalysts—from improved macro liquidity to clearer regulatory signals or a shift in trader appetite toward altcoins. The tension between narrative optimism around XRP and the reality of ongoing drawdowns across the market continues to define the near-term outlook.

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Meanwhile, the market continues to monitor potential near-term catalysts. Some traders posit that a relief rally could emerge if the broader market does not extend its drawdown and if the crowded sentiment around crypto remains hesitant enough to fuel a quick snap-back. In such a scenario, XRP could get a tilt from a combination of stabilizing price action and a relatively robust social narrative, even as BTC and ETH take time to reclaim upside momentum. The dynamics at play illustrate how sentiment signals and price action can diverge in the same market cycle, offering a nuanced view for traders seeking to balance narrative cues with risk management.

The broader takeaway is that the crypto winter narrative—once declared by notable voices in the space—remains a moving target. As some market participants debate whether a bottom is in, others point to a potential shift in mood that could unfold gradually rather than all at once. XRP’s case underscores the complexity: social sentiment can brighten while prices continue to drift lower, creating a leading indicator for a possible re-rating should conditions improve. For investors and builders, the lesson is clear—watch both on-chain signals and the mood of the market as they often tell complementary stories about where the cycle might head next.

What to watch next

  • Track XRP price action over the next 1–2 weeks for early signs of a relief rally, especially if BTC and ETH stabilize or rebound.
  • Monitor Santiment’s sentiment readings for XRP to see whether positive chatter sustains or fades as price action unfolds.
  • Observe BTC/ETH momentum and liquidity conditions to gauge whether the broader market grip loosens enough to support a broader rebound.
  • Keep an eye on the Crypto Fear & Greed Index for shifts away from Extreme Fear, which could accompany a broader improvement in risk appetite.
  • Watch the Altcoin Season Index for any movement toward a more favorable altcoin rotation that includes XRP among potential beneficiaries.

Sources & verification

  • Santiment’s X post citing XRP’s relatively optimistic social outlook and the comparison of sentiment scores (2.19 for XRP vs. 1.08 for ETH and 0.80 for BTC).
  • Price performance data from CoinMarketCap showing seven-day changes: BTC −4.97%, ETH −4.92%, XRP −6.82%.
  • Comments from Pav Hundal, lead analyst at Swyftx, on how XRP holders approach volatility and fundamentals.
  • Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index indicating Extreme Fear (12) in the current market climate.
  • CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index showing Bitcoin Season dynamics (32/100) and the relative preference for BTC.

Relief prospects for XRP amid broader crypto caution

Amid a risk-off environment that has pressured the major coins, XRP has emerged as a case study in how sentiment can diverge from price momentum. The narrative around XRP is colored not only by its price trajectory but also by a social-media signal that traders may interpret as resilience. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has tested multi-month highs before retreating toward the $70,000 area, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has mirrored the broader softness seen across the market. In that context, XRP’s social sentiment has stood out, supported by a higher positive-to-negative mention ratio than both BTC and ETH, a signal that traders are discussing XRP with a more constructive lens even as prices move lower.

The reading from Santiment—that XRP’s social sentiment is more favorable—helps explain why some market participants expect a near-term bounce even as the weekly price data are less forgiving. The seven-day window shows BTC down 4.97% and ETH down 4.92%, with XRP faring worse on the week at a 6.82% decline. These numbers illustrate the heterogeneity of the current drawdown and hint at a potential decoupling where sentiment could precede a reversal in price. The attached sentiment metrics—XRP at 2.19 vs. ETH at 1.08 and BTC at 0.80—offer a numerical snapshot of this dynamic, albeit one that must be read alongside macro liquidity and risk sentiment that continue to weigh on action across the market.

Within this framework, Pav Hundal of Swyftx emphasized a nuanced view of XRP holders’ approach to volatility. He described XRP investors as a group that tends to “wear volatility differently,” maintaining faith in the asset’s fundamentals and displaying a degree of skepticism that is less pronounced when faced with drawdowns. That perspective aligns with the observed sentiment gap and underscores a potential pathway for XRP to stabilize if macro momentum shifts. Yet, even with a seemingly steadier narrative, the near-term road remains fraught, as XRP has logged a 35.5% decline over the past 30 days, a statistic that keeps any optimistic thesis tethered to a cautionary baseline.

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The market’s fear gauge—Alternative.me’s Crypto Fear & Greed Index—adds to the cautious mood. A current score of 12, marking Extreme Fear, reinforces how risk-off sentiment continues to dominate, even as some voices point to a possible relief rally in XRP should the crowd remain doubtful about crypto as a whole. The Altcoin Season Index further reinforces the pattern of risk-on behavior favoring Bitcoin (the “Bitcoin Season” standing) over a broad swath of altcoins, suggesting that a broader altcoin resurgence might require a broader shift in sentiment and liquidity conditions beyond XRP alone. In short, the path to a sustained upmove for XRP hinges on both sentiment improvement and a clearer macro backdrop that encourages demand for riskier assets.

As the quarter unfolds, market participants will be watching for a confluence of signals: a stabilization or bounce in BTC/ETH, a steady or improving social sentiment for XRP, and a broader shift in risk appetite sufficient to propel altcoins higher. The interactions between narrative momentum, price action, and macro liquidity will shape whether this period signals a bottoming process or a temporary lull before the next leg of the cycle. Investors may find that XRP’s case adds a layer of nuance to the conversation about where the market goes next, illustrating how sentiment dynamics can diverge from price charts while still offering useful information about potential catalysts and risk management considerations. The coming weeks will test whether the optimism seen in social chatter translates into tangible, tradable upside for XRP or whether it remains a narrative anchor in a still-choppy market environment.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel rose above $65 yesterday, reacting to the risk of talks between Iran and the United States on the nuclear deal breaking down. These negotiations could begin on Friday.

According to Axios, Arab world leaders have urged Donald Trump not to follow through on his threats to withdraw from the talks and shift towards military action after demands put forward by Iran. This news prompted a pullback in prices below $64.

The news backdrop is further complicated by conflicting reports regarding India’s refusal to purchase Russian oil, alongside other global factors. All of this is contributing to heightened volatility in the oil market, a trend also confirmed by the ATR indicator.

Technical Analysis of XTI/USD

On 14 January, we:

→ analysed swings in WTI crude prices to identify a breakout from a descending channel (shown in red) and outline an upward trajectory (shown in blue);
→ noted that the breakout level (around $58.35) was acting as support;
→ suggested that the market was vulnerable to a corrective move.

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Indeed, on the same day (as indicated by the blue arrow), the price formed a bearish impulse towards this support, where the market found some balance.

However, geopolitical developments since the second half of January have supported higher prices, providing grounds to draw a broad ascending channel (shown in purple). In this context:

→ its lower boundary is acting as support, with the long lower wick on the 3 February candle confirming aggressive buying interest;
→ the $65 level appears to be a key resistance. Broad price swings formed there on 29–30 January — a sign of “smart money” activity — after which prices declined. Yesterday, the market again reversed sharply from this level.

It is therefore reasonable to assume that this resistance will pose a significant hurdle for bulls if they attempt to keep prices within the ascending purple channel. At the same time, the further direction of WTI oil price movements will most likely be determined by developments surrounding Friday’s Iran–US nuclear talks in Oman.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto Cards Rival Stablecoin Transfers as Spending Tops $18 Billion: Artemis

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Retail stablecoin payments by type. Source: Artemis

Crypto-linked cards are emerging as a key channel for stablecoin usage, with annualized volumes now catching up to peer-to-peer on-chain transfers.

Crypto-linked payment cards have become one of the fastest-growing bridges between stablecoins and everyday commerce, according to Artemis, a blockchain analytics firm.

In a Jan. 15 research report compiling estimates from on-chain settlement data and card network disclosures, Artemis found that monthly crypto card volume surged from about $100 million in early 2023 to more than $1.5 billion by late 2025.

Retail stablecoin payments by type. Source: Artemis
Retail stablecoin payments by type. Source: Artemis

“Annualized, the market now exceeds $18 billion, rivaling peer-to-peer stablecoin transfers ($19 billion), which grew just 5% over the same period,” the report reads.

While crypto cards can be funded with a range of assets, the report notes that Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT account for nearly 96% of deposited collateral on cards issued via Rain, an infrastructure platform that enables businesses to issue Visa cards.

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Collateral deposit volume for Rain cards. Source: Artemis
Collateral deposit volume for Rain cards. Source: Artemis

Visa has also emerged as the dominant payment network in the sector, capturing more than 90% of on-chain card volume despite having a similar number of programs as Mastercard. As Artemis explains, this divergence is likely thanks to Visa’s “early partnerships with infrastructure providers.”

Visa’s stablecoin-linked card spending alone reached a $3.5 billion annualized run rate in late 2025, growing about 460% year over year, according to the report.

A geographic breakdown of stablecoin usage shows India and Argentina as “true global outliers,” where USDC accounts for 47.4% and 46.6% of usage, respectively.

USDT and USDC share of stablecoin payment volume by country. Source: Artemis
USDT and USDC share of stablecoin payment volume by country. Source: Artemis

By comparison, USDT dominates stablecoin activity across most other markets, including Turkey, China and Japan, according to the data.

However, even with the rapid growth of crypto cards, Artemis doesn’t expect direct crypto acceptance to fully replace card networks in the near term, citing their “slow relative growth in volume in comparison to cards.”

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Bitcoin back up above $71,000

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Bitcoin back up above $71,000

Bitcoin clawed its way back above $71,000 on Thursday after a sharp selloff earlier in the day dragged prices briefly below the $70,000 mark, mirroring tentative stabilization across global markets.

The move came as a broader rout in technology stocks showed signs of fatigue. Futures tied to the Nasdaq 100 edged higher after two bruising sessions that erased the index’s gains for the year, while European stocks steadied and Asian markets trimmed losses.

Bitcoin had fallen as much as 7% over the previous 24 hours as investors reduced risk across assets tied to growth and leverage. The slide coincided with renewed pressure in precious metals, where silver plunged as much as 17%, extending a brutal reversal after last month’s record rally.

Gold also slipped, underscoring how quickly speculative trades across markets have been unwound.

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In crypto, the bounce above $71,000 appears more like short covering than a renewed rush of buyers. Trading volumes remain elevated, but demand in the spot market has thinned, according to analysts.

Stablecoin balances on exchanges have also been drifting lower, suggesting fresh capital is staying on the sidelines rather than stepping in aggressively on dips.

Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. Investors are recalibrating expectations around US interest rates amid speculation over Federal Reserve leadership and the risk of a stronger dollar, which typically pressures assets like bitcoin that thrive on easy liquidity.

Some firms remain cautious. Galaxy Digital has warned that, without a clear catalyst, bitcoin could still revisit lower levels if selling resumes.

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Others see the bulk of the drawdown as already behind the market, with estimates clustering around a potential bottom in the low-to-mid $60,000 range.

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CFTC Formally Withdraws Biden-Era Proposal to Ban Sports and Political Prediction Markets

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The agency called the 2024 rule a “frolic into merit regulation” and said it will pursue new rulemaking grounded in the Commodity Exchange Act to provide clarity for prediction market operators.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael S. Selig has formally withdrawn a 2024 notice of proposed rulemaking that would have banned political, sports and war-related event contracts, marking the clearest signal yet that the agency intends to regulate prediction markets rather than restrict them.

Key Takeaways:

– The CFTC scrapped both its 2024 proposal to ban event contracts and a 2025 staff advisory that had warned firms away from sports-related markets.

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– Chairman Selig dismissed the earlier ban as a politically driven “frolic into merit regulation” and committed to building a new rules-based framework.

– The move lands as Kalshi, Polymarket and Coinbase fight a wave of state lawsuits alleging their sports contracts amount to unlicensed gambling.

The agency also rescinded CFTC Staff Letter 25-36, a September 2025 advisory that had warned regulated entities to exercise caution when facilitating sports-related event contracts due to ongoing litigation. In the remarks following the decision, Selig said:

“The 2024 event contracts proposal reflected the prior administration’s frolic into merit regulation with an outright prohibition on political contracts ahead of the 2024 presidential election.”

The CFTC does not intend to issue final rules under the withdrawn proposal, according to the press release.

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Instead, the commission will advance a new rulemaking framework anchored in the Commodity Exchange Act, aiming to establish clear standards for event contracts and provide legal certainty for exchanges and intermediaries.

Selig Frames Withdrawal as First Step Toward Comprehensive Event Contracts Rulemaking

The announcement follows remarks Selig delivered on January 29 at a joint CFTC-SEC harmonization event alongside Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Paul Atkins. As reported, Selig used his first public speech as chairman to outline a broader reset of the agency’s approach to prediction markets.

“For too long, the CFTC’s existing framework has proven difficult to apply and has failed our market participants,” Selig said. “That is something I intend to fix by establishing clear standards for event contracts that provide certainty to market participants.”

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Selig also directed staff to reassess the commission’s participation in pending federal court cases where jurisdictional questions are at issue, signaling that the CFTC may intervene to defend its exclusive authority over commodity derivatives.

Prediction Market Platforms Navigate Booming Growth and State-Level Legal Battles

The withdrawal arrives as prediction markets experience rapid expansion and intensifying regulatory friction. Combined trading volumes on Polymarket and Kalshi, the two largest platforms, reached $37 billion in 2025, drawing in major exchanges eager to compete.

Coinbase launched prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi, a federally regulated designated contract market, in late January. Crypto.com recently spun out its prediction business into a standalone platform called OG. Polymarket returned to the U.S. market in December after receiving CFTC no-action relief, and Gemini secured a designated contract market license for its Titan platform.

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Meanwhile, state gaming regulators have pushed back. Nevada filed a civil enforcement action against Coinbase this week, arguing that event contracts tied to sports constitute unlicensed gambling. Coinbase has sued regulators in Michigan, Illinois and Connecticut over similar claims.

The NCAA has also urged the CFTC to halt college sports prediction trading, warning that the sector exposes student-athletes to integrity risks and operates outside state-level safeguards.

Selig, who was sworn in on December 22, has not provided a firm timeline for the new rulemaking, but positioned event contracts as a priority alongside the agency’s broader “Project Crypto” initiative with the SEC.

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The post CFTC Formally Withdraws Biden-Era Proposal to Ban Sports and Political Prediction Markets appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin ETFs ‘Hanging In There’ Despite Price Plunge: Analyst

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Bitcoin ETFs 'Hanging In There' Despite Price Plunge: Analyst

US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) holders are showing relatively firm conviction despite a four-month Bitcoin downtrend, according to ETF analyst James Seyffart.

“The ETFs are still hanging in there pretty good,” Seyffart said in an X post on Wednesday.

While Seyffart said that Bitcoin (BTC) ETF holders are facing their “biggest losses” since the US products launched in January 2024 — at a paper loss of around 42% with Bitcoin below $73,000 — he argues the recent outflows pale in comparison to the inflows during the market’s peak. 

Bitcoin ETF holders are “underwater and collectively holding.”

Before the October downturn, spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows were around $62.11 billion. They’ve now fallen to about $55 billion, according to preliminary data from Farside Investors.

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“Not too shabby,” Seyffart said. 

Source: James Seyffart

Meanwhile, investment researcher Jim Bianco said in an X post on Wednesday that the average spot Bitcoin ETF holder is 24% “underwater and collectively holding.”

Bitcoiners are being “very short-sighted.”

Crypto analytics account Rand pointed out in an X post on Tuesday that this is “the first time in history there have been three consecutive months of outflows.”