Politics
Politics Home | The gambling sector’s unlicensed market claims don’t match the evidence

The deaths of Ollie Long and Ellen Mulvey expose the dangers of illegal gambling sites. Derek Webb argues that new evidence challenges widely repeated claims about the size and drivers of Britain’s unlicensed gambling market
Two recent inquests have exposed the most disturbing consequences of Britain’s illegal online gambling market. This year coroners concluded that gambling disorder contributed to the suicides of Ollie Long and Ellen Mulvey, two people who had actively tried to escape gambling but ended up on illegal sites.
Both had first become addicted through legal online casinos and had tried to quit by using the self-exclusion tool GamStop. Nearly 700,000 people struggling with gambling harm have signed up to GamStop, which blocks access to any legal British gambling site. Yet illegal casinos deliberately use “casinos not on GamStop” as a marketing tool, luring people such as Ellen and Ollie back into harm.
A new research report prepared this month by the intelligence platform Gaming Compliance International (GCI) for my Campaign for Fairer Gambling shows that both the regulated and unregulated online gambling sectors grew between 2024 and 2025. The regulated market remains overwhelmingly dominant, accounting for around 91 per cent of online gambling revenue, while the unregulated sector accounts for less than 9 per cent.
This data also suggests that casino-style gaming, rather than betting, is the main driver in the unregulated sector, with 75 per cent of unregulated gambling revenue coming from gaming products. This challenges trade claims that affordability checks on sports and racing bettors are the main drivers of illegal market growth.
The scale of the problem has also been exaggerated. If we consider the whole GB gambling market including land-based and the lottery, the illegal portion equates to only around 4 per cent. Excluding underage and self-excluded gamblers reduces it to less than 2 per cent. That is smaller than the gambling market in Northern Ireland, despite the province having no dedicated regulator and outdated gambling laws.
It is therefore fascinating that an All-Party Parliamentary Group for Action Against Illegal Gambling has just been set up. Vice-chairs Esther McVey MP and Neil CoyleMP, aided by secretariat Jordan Lea of Deal Me Out, have an opportunity to prove to be reliable independent voices by avoiding parroting the trade lines.
Despite the attention illegal casinos receive, the reality is that Britain still has one of the smallest unregulated online gambling sectors of any major jurisdiction globally. Trade voices are forecasting that by 2028 unregulated turnover will reach £33bn and present this as an existential threat to the regulated sector.
But turnover is not revenue. My campaign to reduce the stakes of Fixed Odds Betting Terminals (FOBTs) resulted in a turnover decrease of £25bn in the first year (2019-20) but a much smaller revenue decrease of £750m. Those opposing that harm reduction move forecast that betting shop numbers would decline to 4,500. There are still over 5,600 betting shops, despite the pandemic and bookies pushing conversion from land-based to online.
The Treasury has awarded the Gambling Commission £26m to tackle illegal gambling. No longer led by Andrew Rhodes, who has left to become a gambling sector adviser, the Commission is using the funds to establish an illegal gambling task force under DCMS whose membership remains secret.
Mr Rhodes and other executives at the Commission have a history of attending and speaking at trade events where many of the participants are unlicenced operators and suppliers, or representatives of jurisdictions hosting those unlicenced sites.
So many people, including parliamentarians, worked so hard to get the Conservatives’ Gambling White Paper done, but DCMS delegated some projects to the Commission. If the Commission had been less friendly to the gambling sector in the resulting consultations, would Mr Rhodes have been as welcome in his new role?
Despite their expertise, GCI is not on the task force, and neither is Gamban, the premier self-exclusion tool. Gamban can block both legal and illegal sites from all devices when activated, but was recently refused funding under DHSC from the £120m per year statutory levy, raising questions about DHSC oversight in that process.
The task force should start by asking why many illegal sites are still accessible from Britain despite being known to DCMS. It should also look into whether companies licensed by the Commission are in business relationships with illegal sites.
It is the same addictive content on illegal sites as on legal ones. Illegal electronic roulette is still electronic roulette. Changing a name from Super Silly Slots to Silly Super Slots does not change the games.* Gamblers have no guarantee that the games are fair, winnings will be paid or deposits will be protected.
The deaths of Ollie Long and Ellen Mulvey should change the conversation. We need to move on from abstract discussions about “safer” or “protected” gambling. The same marketing techniques and algorithms operate across both sectors. The totality of harm is greater in the regulated sector, which remains the primary gateway to illegal gambling. Any serious strategy to reduce harm must acknowledge that reality.
* Game names invented for illustrative purposes
Politics
All Eyes Are On Starmer Amid Mounting Expectations PM Will Quit
Keir Starmer is about to resign, according to widespread reports.
Less than two years after his landslide victory in the 2024 general election, the prime minister seems to have lost the support of his party.
More than 100 Labour MPs have publicly called for him to quit and a growing list of his own cabinet ministers are said to have privately told him to stand down.
Two former cabinet ministers, Wes Streeting and John Healey, even quit over Starmer’s leadership in the last month.
Business and trade secretary Peter Kyle revealed his boss was weighing up the “political realities” in the coming days on Sunday.
Meanwhile, skills minister Jacqui Smith caused a stir when she seemed to hint the PM was heading off on Monday morning.
She told Times Radio, “I would have been happy for him to continue” – but later urged journalists not to get ahead of themselves by predicting Starmer’s next move.
Even so, the Guardian reported on Monday that Starmer was allegedly working on his resignation speech with a handful of his top team while holed up in his grace-and-favour Chequers residence over the weekend.
If that is true, it’s a complete pivot from last Friday when Starmer insisted he would not walk away from the job and would stay on to fight any leadership contest triggered by his opponents.
But No.10 has not pushed back on any reports that the PM is considering resigning, even after US president Donald Trump bizarrely predicted Starmer would quit on Sunday.
However, even if he does announce his decision to quit on Monday, several key questions remain.
Will Starmer agree to an “orderly transition” to his successor and stay in place until September?
That would allow him to tie up his legacy while building on his international reputation by attending a Nato summit and an EU “reset” summit, both in July.
It would also give his successor a chance to build up a body of policies so they can hit the ground running.
But will that successor automatically be Andy Burnham?
The outgoing Greater Manchester mayor won the Makerfield by-election last Thursday, giving him a seat in parliament and a chance to challenge Starmer’s leadership.
He is widely expected to have the support of the required 81 Labour MPs needed to oust the prime minister.
As the most popular politician within Labour, a Burnham victory is likely to be shoo-in in any leadership contest.
Several of his allies therefore want to skip holding such a disruptive race altogether, and have a “coronation” for Burnham.
But opponents suggest that would mean he does not have a mandate to rule if there has not been a battle of ideas among party members first.
Home Office minister Mike Tapp also weighed into the growing debate over whether a Starmer resignation means there should be a general election.
He said: “That would stop the constant churn and focus all politicians on delivery, instead of workplace politics.”
But that’s caused concern over the risk of further upheaval, especially as the UK teeters on the edge of its seventh prime minister in a decade.
Starmer is expected to give a statement in the Commons this afternoon to give MPs an update about his G7 trip last week.
Will he have offered any clarity about his future by then – or leave Westminster in limbo?
Listen to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.
Politics
Vanessa Feltz ‘Shocked’ To By Channel 5 Talk Show Cancellation
Vanessa Feltz has admitted that the news of her daytime show’s cancellation came out of the blue.
Last year, the veteran broadcaster began fronting the talk show Vanessa on 5 (previously known as Channel 5), in which she and a celebrity panel discuss topical issues and speak to viewers calling into the studio.
Since it premiered in March 2025, the show has hit a few bumps in the road, most notably low viewing figures and a string of prank calls during its phone-in discussions.
Last week, 5 confirmed on Thursday that Vanessa was being pulled from next month.
“Due to afternoon scheduling changes, Vanessa will be rested from 17 July,” a spokesperson said. “We thank Vanessa and her team at ITN for 18 months of warm, witty, wise and searingly honest shows.”
Vanessa broke her silence on the news during Saturday’s edition of her LBC show, telling her listeners: “It was a bit of a shock. It was meant to be a delightful year’s contract, the show was going really well…
“I was shocked to the core and very upset and I still am. It was only Wednesday at 3 o’clock that I found out.”
Vanessa went on to claim that it was 5 owners Paramount who made the decision, as they “want to show Paramount movies every afternoon” in her timeslot, because it “doesn’t cost them any money”.
A 5 spokesperson added last week: “Vanessa remains a valued member of the Channel 5 family and we are discussing future projects together.”
Prior to landing her own 5 series, Vanessa had been a regular face on This Morning.
She previously told Metro that she “would happily have stayed” part of This Morning’s on-air team “and gone on the back of a motorbike from the This Morning studio straight to 5 and done both”.
“I almost believed I’d be able to do that, but I think apparently, it’s not the way it’s done,” she added. “But I’d have done it, and I think they would have been happy for me to do it too.”
Politics
Rod Stewart Required Oxygen Tank After Almost Fainting Mid-Concert
Sir Rod Stewart had to briefly pause a live show in the US last week, after coming close to fainting on stage.
On Friday night, the British crooner was performing in West Valley City, Utah, where video footage shared by TMZ depicted him bent over in pain, and leaning on equipment and staging around him to steady himself.
After that, an oxygen tank was brought onto the stage, which he used, before telling the crowd: “The show must go on. I nearly fucking fainted there.”
“Would you mind if I sit down for this one?” the 81-year-old then asked, with The Independent claiming that Sir Rod remained seated for the rest of the show.
HuffPost UK has contacted the Maggie May singer’s team for comment.
Sir Rod has not commented on the incident directly, but on Sunday, he did share a social media update for Father’s Day on Sunday night, depicting himself, his wife Penny Lancaster and his children.
“Proud to be their father,” he wrote in the picture’s caption.
Last week, Sir Rod cancelled a show in California an hour before he was due to go on stage due to an “acute upper respiratory infection” which “resulted in laryngitis”.
“Following treatment, I’m feeling much better, but my voice is not,” he said at the time. “I’m very disappointed and sincerely apologise for any inconvenience to my fans.”
He later raised eyebrows when he posted footage of himself flying in a private jet to watch Scotland’s first World Cup game the morning after cancelling his show due to illness.
Sir Rod is currently in the middle of his One Last Time tour, which includes dates across the US.
During an interview on TalkSport last month, the Grammy winner teased that he’d be touring the UK in 2027, including a show at London’s O2 Arena, “and that’ll probably be it, I think”.
He previously announced in 2024 that he was finished with “large-scale world tours”, but maintained he had “no desire to retire”.
Politics
Minister Sparks Debate By Suggesting New PM Should Trigger General Election
A minister is facing some backlash after insisting a change in party leader should legally trigger a general election.
The Home Office’s Mike Tapp said such legislation would “stop the constant churn” of prime ministers in Downing Street.
In a post on X, the minister wrote: “Is it time to legislate; if a change of leader is forced by its own Party then a General Election must be called.
“That would stop the constant churn and focus all politicians on delivery, instead of work place politics.
“These endless ‘house of cards’ games would end and the country would benefit. Let’s legislate to focus minds.”
His remarks come as his boss Keir Starmer is widely expected to resign as early as this morning – which would be the UK would be moving onto its seventh prime minister in the last decade.
The PM appears to have lost the support of much of his party after more than 100 Labour MPs and a handful of his own ministers urged him to step down.
Andy Burnham, the outgoing Greater Manchester mayor, has long had his eyes on No.10 and won the Makerfield by-election on Thursday.
He is thought to have the support of the required 81 Labour MPs needed to formally challenge Starmer’s leadership once he is sworn into the Commons this afternoon.
But Tapp’s suggestion to introduce a general election whenever there is a new party leader at the top of government received a mixed reaction, to say the least.
Fellow Labour MP Josh Fenton-Glynn wrote on X: “Mike Tapp appears surprised that we are a parliamentary democracy!
“The last two prime ministers to win an election then lose their job at the next election were Major and Wilson – course correction mid term in response to the public is the norm not the exception.”
Other social media users were split over whether this was a good plan.
Tapp later responded to the backlash, writing on X: “I’m pleased to see the debate, at least here on X, has begun. We cannot continue as we are.
“There are many nuances to this but at the core we must remember that as politicians we are here to serve the country – and 6 (possibly 7) PMs in 10 years is unsustainable.
“We need to find a better balance and this conversation is important.”
Listen to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.
Politics
Jeremy Clarkson Confirms Prostate Cancer Is Now In Remission
Jeremy Clarkson has disclosed that he is now in remission after undergoing treatment for prostate cancer.
He was seen telling colleagues Kaleb Cooper and Charlie Ireland: “I disappeared off the other week and I had a biopsy, and it is cancer, and it’s aggressive, but it’s really early.”
Clarkson then shared that his treatment had gone a little “awry”, saying from hospital: “I’m going to be here for a little while. I don’t know what’s going to happen.
“What I wanted to say was that if this is all successful, I’ll see you in season six. And if it isn’t, I won’t… Take care, everyone.”
Over the weekend, Clarkson shared a video on Instagram, in which he told his followers: “The more observant among you will have noticed that I’m not dead. And I’m not just ‘not dead’, I’m perfectly fine.”
He continued: “The reason why I’m fine is because the doctors caught the prostate cancer early. And they caught it early because I got tested. Now, I know a lot of you will say, ‘oh, I don’t want to be tested because it means someone will have to put their finger in me’, but it’s just a blood test these days.”
Encouraging those watching to get tested, he pointed out that “10 or 12 thousand people – men, to be honest – die every year in the UK from prostate cancer”.
“Don’t be one of them,” he insisted. “Get tested!”
In an interview with The Times, Clarkson also confirmed his cancer is in remission.
He explained: “It was an aggressive type of cancer. It could have spread, it could have gone into the pancreas, it could have gone anywhere, and that would have been trouble.”
Clarkson continued: “I have to say to everybody who’s reading this, please, please, please go and get checked.
“It’s not uncomfortable, it’s not undignified. And it’s a no-brainer. I did, and that’s why I’m sitting here talking to you 11 months down the line.”
A sixth season of Clarkson’s Farm has also been confirmed to be in the works in another social media video, in which the host conceded it had been “a bit of a year” for him.
“I am delighted to tell you that season six of Clarkson’s Farm is currently being filmed,” he said. ”It’s in production.
“And that’s particularly good news for me because… well, if you know, you know. And if you don’t know, you need to watch season five.”
Politics
Ex-Trump Defence Secretary Admits He Has ‘Serious’ Questions And Concerns About Iran Deal
President Donald Trump’s former Defence Secretary Mark Esper says he has “serious” questions and concerns about the preliminary US-Iran agreement signed by Trump.
Appearing Sunday on NBC’s Meet the Press, host Garrett Haake directly asked Esper if he supports the Memorandum of Understanding with Iran.
“Well, look, I like the fact that we’ve extended the ceasefire,” Esper replied. “I like the fact that the strait is being opened up, that will provide economic relief to a lot of people, and I like the fact that we’re getting into nuclear talks. But that said, when I look at the MOU, there are many of the points that I have serious questions about and concerns about.”
Noting that “in many ways it’s a wait and see,” he continued, “My principle concern has been that it appears that too many of the incentives in my view have been given up front instead of later in the deal when we’ve seen much more progress on the nuclear aspects of whatever potential agreement comes from this.”
Haake then questioned Esper over whether he thinks the Trump administration has been “too trusting of the Iranians” regarding negotiations.
“Well, I don’t believe so. You know, you look at many of the players on the team, they’re experienced in foreign policy for some time. I don’t think they trust the Iranians. Nobody trusts the Iranians. I think they put a deal on the table. I think as the vice president said, ‘Let’s give it a shot and see if it works,’ and in that regard I’d say, ‘Yeah, there’s a lot more of this football game to play out.’”
Haake went on to mention that it’s still not totally clear if the strait is open or closed before asking Esper if he thinks that makes the agreement “worthless” if Iran can still open and shut the strait or charge fees on it.
Esper said that would “clearly” suggest a “strategic setback.”
“We cannot allow the Iranians to control the Strait of Hormuz … and that’s why I say this needs to play out. And, you know, there’s been some suggestions that there have been side agreements, or gentlemen’s agreements, we need to know what those are. But I think we need to let this play out a little bit and see what actually happens with regard to the strait after the 60 days.”
Elsewhere in the interview, Haake asked if Esper trusts that the president is being given advice by “people who think their loyalty is to the Constitution.”
“I don’t see that the president is always getting good advice, and so I think that’s the question to ask. I think Republicans on Capitol Hill have asked that same question. Is the president getting the best advice with regard to these strategic matters?”
Esper’s remarks came following conflicted messaging from the Trump administration last week about the agreement being reached and when the text of the memorandum would be released.
The memorandum was reportedly signed Wednesday by Trump, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and the prime minister of Pakistan.
Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance said Sunday there is an opportunity to “turn over a new leaf” with Iran as both sides held talks in Switzerland to build out the shaky interim deal to end the war in Iran after Tehran said it closed the Strait of Hormuz because of Israel’s attacks in Lebanon.
Watch Esper’s appearance on “Meet the Press” below. Skip to the 0:15 mark to hear Esper’s comments.
Listen to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.
Politics
David Davies: Let’s champion Defence industry workers because the Welsh Government doesn’t
David TC Davies was Secretary of State for Wales from 2022 to 2024. He was the Member of Parliament for Monmouth from 2005 to 2024 and previously sat in the Welsh Assembly.
Communities across Wales and the United Kingdom are marking Armed Forces Day.
We rightly pay tribute to the men and women of His Majesty’s Armed Forces, who stand ready to defend our country, often at great personal sacrifice.
But there is another group of people who are crucial to the defence of our nation, who rarely receive the recognition they deserve. I refer to the thousands of workers who design and build the weapons and equipment that keep our service personnel and all of us safe.
As a Welsh politician, I am very conscious of their contribution because the defence sector is vital to the Welsh economy. Global companies such as BAE Systems, General Dynamics, Airbus, Raytheon and Babcock all have a significant presence in Wales. But there are also dozens of smaller firms further down the supply chain, employing a highly skilled workforce.
I recently visited Sierra Nevada Corporation Mission Systems in South Wales, one of a number of companies based in Wales and developing advanced defence technology. Not far away is IrvinGQ, which manufactures parachutes used by the British Armed Forces and allied nations around the world. Remarkably, much of the highly skilled work involved in manufacturing these life-saving products is still carried out by hand.
These are highly skilled jobs that support families and communities across Wales, yet too often the people who work in the defence sector are treated as though there is something morally questionable about what they do.
Last year, I discovered that the Welsh Government-owned Development Bank of Wales was explicitly stating on its website that it would not provide funding to defence companies. Following my intervention, that wording was removed, but I never received a satisfactory explanation as to why it had appeared there in the first place. The message seemed to be that building the equipment used by those defending our democracy is somehow less worthy than other forms of manufacturing.
That attitude still exists in some political circles. We now have a Plaid Cymru Government in Wales. One of their Ministers, Heledd Fychan, previously criticised Welsh Government attendance at a major international defence exhibition, describing it as a “contemptible event”. Another Plaid Senedd Member publicly called for the arms industry to be “moved out of Wales”.
Others are demanding that pension funds withdraw investment from the very companies that equip our Armed Forces.
Plaid Cymru politicians are entitled to hold those views. But they should also understand the consequences. Our Armed Forces cannot defend Britain, with slogans, and protest banners.
But if we expect our servicemen and women to defend our country, we must also be willing to support the industries that equip them. We cannot send them into war zones armed with pea shooters and bows and arrows.
They need advanced aircraft, precision-guided weapons, armoured vehicles and the countless other technologies that modern warfare demands.
Some politicians want to be seen celebrating Armed Forces Day while remaining hostile towards the people who make the equipment our Armed Forces rely upon every day. This could most kindly be described as inconsistent.
I am proud of Wales’s defence industry and the thousands of Welsh workers whose skills help keep Britain safe. I will continue visiting defence companies across Wales and championing the contribution they make to our economy and national security.
At a time when international instability is increasing, we should be cheering on our defence companies, not undermining them. And if the UK Government finally wakes up to the scale of the geopolitical challenges we face and increases defence spending, Wales must receive its fair share of that investment.
It is pointless to champion the men and women of His Majesty’s Armed Forces if we are not also willing to champion those who provide them with the equipment they need to fight and win.
A strong Britain requires strong armed forces and strong armed forces require a strong defence industry.
Wales has every reason to be proud of the role it plays in both.
Politics
Iran's fans, pro and con
LOS ANGELES — Moments after Iran and Belgium battled to a scoreless draw at SoFi Stadium, the Belgian players beat a hasty retreat to the locker room.
Not the Iranian World Cup team.
The players on Team Melli lingered on the field, doing a slow lap to cheers from supporters who’d dominated stands with chants of “Iran!” The Iranian players held their hands aloft and clapped for the spectators, some of whom waved Iran’s pre-revolution lion and sun flag, which is seen as a symbol of resistance against the Islamic Republic and is banned by FIFA.
One Iranian American fan, who gave his name as Majid, said he came from Seattle for the game. “The team, even though there is controversy … the team is here, they want to win … and we support them,” he said.
The scene made for a striking juxtaposition: Iranian players representing the Islamic Republic applauding a crowd in which some fans waved a flag symbolic of opposition to the very theocracy whose colors they wore.
Iran plays its final group stage match against Egypt in Seattle on June 26 — during the city’s monthlong LGBTQ+ Pride celebration, drawing formal complaints from both Middle Eastern countries.
Politics
Vancouver learned to stop worrying and love mega-events
VANCOUVER — On the opening day of the 2010 Winter Olympics, protesters marched to BC Place, the culmination of a decade-long tug-of-war over whether Vancouver had room for a global sports mega-event. Activists first tried to block the Olympics from coming to town, then tried to use it to extract social commitments from organizers, and finally to shame anyone involved.
On Thursday, when Canada was preparing to play the most important match in the country’s soccer history, the streets around BC Place appeared to be free of protesters, filled only with gleeful fans swathed in patriotic red and the occasional dishdasha preferred by the Qatar Football Association’s traveling contingent.
“It’s kind of a nothing-burger,” observed Am Johal, who as the chair of the Impact on Communities Coalition had been a leader of the city’s anti-Olympics movement, hours before kickoff on the World Cup’s second match day.
Johal was walking through the Downtown Eastside, a scruffy neighborhood that had been the site of the greatest pre-Olympic friction, along the lines of conflict that define the modern North American city — between new transplants and existing residents, tourists and locals, police and civil-rights activists, global capital and local resistance.
Now, however, Johal was carrying a fiscal conservative’s laments rather than those of the community organizer. Canada’s governments were projected to spend over $1 billion to host World Cup matches in Vancouver and Toronto, with a roughly even split between funds coming from the federal budget as opposed to provincial and local ones. More than 70 percent of voters in both cities told pollster Angus Reid that it was not worth the public cost.
“I think if the government is looking to spend a billion of public funding related to economic and social benefit, it should really do a proper opportunity cost,” said Johal. “If there’s a massive public subsidy being done to groups that are unaccountable to the broader city — if these things are going to go ahead — why is public money going into them?”
Those were arguments Johal made when Vancouver voters were asked in November 2002 to weigh in on the merits of an Olympic bid. Almost two-thirds of those casting ballots in the municipal plebiscite voted to proceed. But over the course of the decade, as the games grew near, the coalition of skeptics appeared to grow. (The Vancouver Sun dismissed them as “whiners and grumble-bunnies.”)
There were anti-gentrification activists who feared that an Olympic Village and other new developments would price out renters and displace property owners. Anti-consumerist radicals, many with ties to the Vancouver-based magazine Adbusters, saw it as a corporate spectacle. Civil libertarians anticipated heavy-handed police measures to clear streets of the homeless and drug users. (Vancouver is home to North America’s first supervised injection facility.) Environmental activists and tribal groups, who hold disproportionate sway in British Columbia’s politics, sought to protect what they said was unceded aboriginal land.
As the anti-Olympic coalition grew, it split along the lines that often fracture protest moments. Johal’s community coalition sought to extract 37 specific policy commitments to ensure what one City Council resolution described as a “transparent, inclusive and socially sustainable” games.
The Anti-Poverty Committee took a more militant approach, threatening to “evict” members of the local Olympics organizing committee from their homes, attacking branches of games sponsor Royal Bank of Canada with rocks, and vandalizing the office of British Columbia Premier Gordon Campbell, a leading Olympic booster. The militants also took aim at those on their own side, even if more playfully: David Eby, who as executive director of the B.C. Civil Liberties Association had been the anti-Olympics’ movement most prominent spokesman, received a pie to the face after arguing for non-violence at a community meeting.
Despite the irreconcilable “diversity of tactics,” as activists politely described it, the rebellion attracted notice beyond Vancouver, inspiring a new era of local resistance to global mega-events. Veterans of the Vancouver campaign shared lessons with activists in Boston, who in 2015 forced then-Mayor Tom Menino to withdraw plans to bid for the 2024 Summer Games due to civic opposition. Two European cities, Hamburg and Budapest, subsequently killed their bids once voters expressed their disapproval in referenda. The NOlympics LA movement, currently attempting to rally political opposition to the 2028 Summer Games in Los Angeles, draws from the lessons of Vancouver.
Evidence of that legacy has been scarce on the streets of Vancouver this month, even after the city enacted “FIFA Bylaws” designed to give police specific tools to use against street vendors and buskers and remove advertising that interferes with the World Cup sponsorship deals. The Pivot Legal Society deployed crews of “legal observers” who chased law-enforcement officials through the Downtown Eastside, and activists shared Vancouver Police Department press releases boasting of new drone surveillance capacities.
“These are always moments where policing gets new tactics and technologies,” observed Johal, “and they oftentimes get deployed during mega events as a way of moving forward.”
But the Downtown Eastside did not feel like a neighborhood under siege, as it had in 2010. Even if it competes with the Olympics in cultural and geopolitical salience, the World Cup is a more logistically diffuse experience. Rather than being consolidated within a single metropolitan area for two jam-packed weeks, this year’s World Cup lasts for more than five weeks and is spread across 16 cities in three countries.
In 2022, the same year that Vancouver offered itself up to host World Cup matches, Eby was elected British Columbia’s premier. Now instead of using his words to inspire the activists who massed outside BC Place, he was inside. Inside a luxury box, Eby greeted sports executives who lobbied him to make a new commitment to the Vancouver Whitecaps franchise that joined Major League Soccer the year after the Olympics. (Eby’s office did not make him available for an interview.)
“We’re so excited to be hosting,” Eby said in one social-media video. “And we’re so excited to have a win under our belts.”
Politics
Is Andy Burnham the Emperor with no Policies?
Tomorrow, the King of the North will grace southerners with his exulted present and travel to London to claim the throne that he considers his by right. It’s as if he has hypnotised his party to lay down their collective shawls in order that the chosen one can walk on water. It’s as if the Messiah is coming to rescue those who have proven incapable of running the country. It’s almost as if he, like Barack Obama appeared to be in 2008, considers himself the only human being in the country who can come to its rescue. He’s even using Obamaesque language, promising hope and change. Obama soon found out that governing was more difficult than that. Andy Burnham is about to discover the awful truth, that changing things in government and changing things in Whitehall are much more difficult. Having been a cabinet minister for three years under Blair and Brown, you’d think he might know that already.
I like Andy Burnham, but I’m afraid we are about to find out that our new emperor has no clothes.
One of the main complaints about Keir Starmer is that he has no grounding political ideological groundings. This means that he is very proficient at swaying in the political wind, and flip-flopping on a policy in the hope that no one will notice.
Burnham has a longer history than Starmer in the Labour Party. Indeed, he’s been a Labour activist from a young age. But can anyone identify what Burnhamism actually is or means. People point to ‘Manchesterism’ but as Sam Coates’s excellent 20 minute film points out, the ground for what Burnham has allegedly achieved in Manchester was laid by Sir Richard Leese. Burnham has been very adept in claiming the glory for himself. Running a city region the size of Manchester is very different to running a country.
Since it became clear that Burnham intended to topple the prime minister, the media has had a collective failure in scrutinising what Andy Burnham really believes in. We’ve seen plenty of examples of issues which he has u-turned on in a way that would make even Keir Starmer blush, but there is scant little evidence of anything which he believes in except himself.
In 2007, when Gordon Brown succeeded Tony Blair, everyone thought he would come in with an agenda for government. That he knew exactly what he wanted to do and achieve. After all, he had had ten years to think about it. But when he walked through the Number 10 door, it turned out the policy cupboard was bare. It led to three years of listless government, with a prime minister incapable of making decisions or to reflect the priorities of the people he was there to serve.
I genuinely hope I am wrong and that Burnham has some visionary policies up his sleep which he can deploy to the benefit of the nation. I am, however, sceptical, because I see no evidence of it. However, assuming he has two months to prepare to take over, perhaps there is still time to put some meat on the bone.
Theresa May became prime minister two months earlier than she might have expected, when Andrea Leadsom pulled out of the 2026 Tory leadership contest in early July 2016. I do hope history does not repeat itself. There should be a context, but if there isn’t, Keit Starmer would do his successor a favour by staying on until the beginning of September. May had no time to prepare for government, and we all know what happened to her.
There is a huge responsibility on Burnham’s shoulders. If he becomes another prime minister who overpromises and underdelivers, the electorate’s faith in politics will diminish to an even more dangerous level than it already has.
Welcome to political realism, Andy. You’ve campaigned in poetry. Now is the time to realise that, as Mario Cuoma memorably said, you have to govern in prose.
Get writing.
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