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Politics Home Article | Hook, Hold, Harvest, Hide: how social media learned from gambling

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Hook, Hold, Harvest, Hide: how social media learned from gambling
Hook, Hold, Harvest, Hide: how social media learned from gambling

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Derek Webb explains the parallels between the business models of social media and online gambling – and the harms they can produce.

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The opening salvo of the case by US states against Meta’s social media platforms for allegedly harming children included a fascinating description of their business model. The modus operandi of the Facebook and Instagram giant, prosecutors argued, could essentially be reduced to four stages: hook users, hold their attention, harvest their data, and hide the harms.

A Meta witness had reinforced the state’s “hide” case by being unwilling to disclose how many users had taken advantage of the so-called “protection” measures. The alleged unintended consequence was of course harm, and Meta agreed to pay up to $18bn (£13.3bn) to settle the claims.

This model seems eerily similar to the online gambling business. The adverts, free bonuses and spins are the hook. The repeated direct marketing and further offers are the hold. The use of algorithms and behavioural data is the harvest. The unwillingness to disclose how operators define and act on gambling risk, the “safer gambling” rhetoric, and the pretence that all is well, are the hide. The known consequence is the increasingly well-documented harm.

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This similarity is no coincidence. Documents uncovered in earlier California litigation against Meta show a senior Meta data scientist warning that the drive to keep users returning could make its products more addictive, saying “think slot machines”.

Recent research shows how the harvest is allowed to continue despite the oversight of the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO), with nearly nine out of 10 British-licensed online gambling operators reportedly failing to comply with basic data law.

As with so many of the problems of the modern gambling market, we can trace the origins back to the Gambling Act 2005. The 2001 Budd report was the basis for the Act, which came into force in 2007 just as the first iPhones were being released. Budd recommended online gambling operators should maintain an onshore presence, including servers and registration in Britain, but these essential provisions failed to make it into the Act. It is doubtful those omissions would have been made without any sector lobbying.

This provided a valuable loophole gift to the gambling sector. It allowed companies to stay offshore and avoid UK taxes in “white-listed” locations such as Gibraltar and the Isle of Man while offering “white-label” sub-licences to questionable operators. These jurisdictions granted licences that allowed companies to enter markets with minimal scrutiny.

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A recent report by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) says that illegal gambling has grown to rival the legal market in some countries, creating significant money laundering and terrorist financing risks. Another investigative report highlights the jurisdictions that support such transnational licensing.

Even licensed companies can find their products reaching British consumers through unlicensed operators. In July, a British licence holder, Evolution, agreed to pay almost £5m after its games were found to be used on unlicensed websites accessible here.

It also still infects our top tier football, with half of the Premier League clubs having sponsorship or advertising deals with unlicensed gambling companies. The unlicenced site Stake sponsors Everton FC, and Sunderland FC has signed a multi-year deal with the unlicensed crypto casino Shuffle. Stake and Shuffle are not legally available here.

Other illicit sites operate with near-impunity, ripping off the branding of companies such as Tesco and Barclays, as well as the faces of celebrities such as Lewis Hamilton and Tyson Fury without their consent.

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Recent reporting suggests the GB licensed operator Bally’s, whose proposed acquisition of William Hill owner Evoke would make it a major high-street player, continues to benefit from millions of dollars from a previously sold Japanese facing business, serving a market where online casinos are illegal.

Earlier this year, the managing director of the Bally’s-owned operator Gamesys, Kane Purdy, was appointed as Chair of the trade body the Betting and Gaming Council which works with the government’s Illegal Gambling Task Force.

When we seek to crack down on British-facing illicit gambling, the history of acceptance of this behaviour by our licensees weakens our credibility and authority.

There are so many actual unintended consequences of the 2005 Act. Yet opponents of gambling reform invoke theoretical unintended consequences to argue against change. One of the objectives of the Act is that gambling should be “fair and open” – not that it should hook, hold, harvest, hide and harm.

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There is an urgent need to get politics right on social media, crypto and AI. On gambling we let liberalisation and vested interests have priority over common sense and the public good twenty years ago. Under Andy Burnham, Labour has an opportunity to correct the mistakes. The Prime Minister’s planned reform of the “Aim to Permit” rule will be very welcome.

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Politics Home | Usdaw urges the government not to break Labour’s manifesto commitment on secure guaranteed contracts

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Usdaw urges the government not to break Labour’s manifesto commitment on secure guaranteed contracts
Usdaw urges the government not to break Labour’s manifesto commitment on secure guaranteed contracts

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Joanne Thomas, General Secretary



Joanne Thomas, General Secretary
| USDAW

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Retail trade union Usdaw has called on the government to honour Labour’s 2024 manifesto commitment of a guaranteed hours contract for everyone who wants one

Ministers are currently considering their response to a consultation on the details of the guaranteed hours contract part of the Employment Rights Act, but have already expressed a preference to narrow the right to workers contracted for less than 20 hours – this threshold does not meet Labour’s 2024 manifesto commitment to “everyone”.

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The right to a contract that guarantees the hours you normally work is a matter of basic fairness and security. Many of our members are regularly working hours that aren’t guaranteed in their contract, which has a massive impact on their lives. The right has the potential to provide much greater security for millions of low-paid workers and must apply to everyone, up to and including full-time workers. We absolutely cannot have loopholes that make this meaningless.

We need an economy with better jobs and higher living standards, where more people have money to spend, giving a much-needed boost to our high streets. Good employers have nothing to fear from these rights, which will help to prevent them from being undercut by employers who exploit workers on insecure contracts.

A legal right to a guaranteed hours contract will simply require employers to properly plan staffing and shifts in advance. Workers who want a zero-hours or flexible contract will still be able to have one. They will just have a right to more secure hours if they want them.

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We don’t accept the scaremongering from those who wrongly claim that decent employment rights will cost jobs. We heard similar arguments when the minimum wage was introduced. They were wrong then and they’re wrong now.

Usdaw’s consultation response includes legal rights to:

  • A guaranteed hours contract for all workers with a contract of up to 48 hours, calculated over a 12-week reference period.
  • Fair notice of shifts of at least 4 weeks, so that everyone can plan their lives around work.
  • Compensation, equivalent to the workers’ actual wage, if shifts are cancelled with less than 7 days’ notice.

Hypothetical illustration of the consequences of the government’s preferred 20-hour threshold loophole:

Jane is contracted to 21 hours a week, Amina 18 hours. Both actually work at least 30 hours every week, providing essential income to help make ends meet, particularly in the cost of living crisis. However, before the law comes into effect, their employer suddenly stops giving extra hours to Amina, to avoid having to put them in her contract, which she wants. The hours are now given to Jane and her colleagues on contracts over 20 hours because they can’t access the new right. If everyone is entitled to a guaranteed hours contract, the employer would have no incentive to treat people differently based on the number of hours they are contracted to work.

Read Usdaw’s full response to the consultation here.

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Sign the petition to protect all workers from insecure contracts here.

View the government consultation on ending one-sided flexibility here.

Read Labour’s 2024 manifesto here – Page 5 – zero hours contracts and one-sided flexibility.

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Bill Cassidy on vaccines, RFK Jr. and the fight for public trust

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Bill Cassidy on vaccines, RFK Jr. and the fight for public trust

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Paloma Faith’s deranged tirade against Ed Sheeran

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Paloma Faith’s deranged tirade against Ed Sheeran

The post Paloma Faith’s deranged tirade against Ed Sheeran appeared first on spiked.

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‘We told you so’: Key New York lawmaker calls for more AI rules

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Democratic state Sen. Andrew Gounardes said states need to act aggressively to put guardrails around artificial intelligence.

Democratic state Sen. Andrew Gounardes said states need to act aggressively to put guardrails around artificial intelligence.

AI BILLS BILLS BILLS: One of the architects of New York’s pioneering legislation to put guardrails around artificial intelligence says ominous warnings from industry leaders prove states need to act aggressively.

“I’m very rarely one to say, ‘I told you so’ or ‘We told you so,’ But this is exactly … the things we had warned about,” said Democratic state Sen. Andrew Gounardes, who sponsored the RAISE Act.

The law is slated to take effect in January, requires the largest AI companies to report safety incidents to the state and establishes penalties for violations. New York lawmakers passed that bill last year, despite pushback from industry lobbyists. But now leading AI executives are ramping up warnings about the risks of their technology.

“These are the exact same concerns that we were flagging: biological weapons, nuclear weapons, catastrophic harms,” Gounardes said in an interview with Playbook. “Not only were we right, but some of the very same people that were telling us that we were wrong are now the ones saying that we need to be doing these things.”

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President Donald Trump has dismissed AI safety concerns as a “HOAX” and Congress appears unlikely to act on the issue anytime soon.

So lawmakers in New York and other states are weighing how they can respond. California Gov. Gavin Newsom has floated the idea of a special session devoted to the issue, but New York’s Legislature isn’t slated to return to Albany until January.

Gounardes said he’s had an increasing amount of engagement with AI safety advocates, industry experts and others in recent weeks.

He’s focused on two bills he’s sponsoring — one requiring third-party safety audits, similar to a measure enacted in Illinois, and another strengthening safety reporting requirements.

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“They’re good bills, they’re important bills, they should pass as is. But I think we can go further,” Gounardes said.

There’s a clear appetite among other key policymakers to pass more measures to bolster protections for New Yorkers.

Gov. Kathy Hochul told reporters Tuesday she’ll be looking for additional action the state can take to reduce AI safety risks.

State Sen. Kristen Gonzalez, chair of the Internet and Technology committee, said she plans to push for a “rights-based” framework and focus on potentially high risk uses of AI. Her bills for next year include a data privacy measure and the New York AI Act, which seeks to address concerns about algorithmic bias in employment, courts, finance and other contexts.

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That measure also includes whistleblower protections for employees of AI companies. New York Attorney General Letitia James today urged AI workers to report safety risks or violations of current state laws, offering an anonymous tip line.

Gonzalez also has a bill pending on Hochul’s desk that would regulate AI chatbots and assign liability to companies who develop them.

“There are so many bills, and together, if we were to pass all of these that track out liability, we would be able to actually start fighting these companies, not just through slowing their development … but also mitigating more in court and having a foundation to claim damages,” she said. — Marie J. French

From the Capitol

The Public Health and Health Planning Council approved a merger between NYC Health + Hospitals and private Brooklyn hospital Maimonides Health.

MERGER WATCH: The state Public Health and Health Planning Council voted today to approve a merger between NYC Health + Hospitals and Maimonides Health, a private hospital in Brooklyn.

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“We all need to get behind this and make it work,” PHHPC member Ann Monroe said during today’s meeting.

The merger was set into motion last year, after Hochul awarded $2.2 billion from the state-funded Safety Net Transformation Program to facilitate the deal. Maimonides has for years relied on substantial state support to keep its doors open, and state health officials expressed optimism that the combination would stabilize the hospital’s finances.

The transaction was expected to close by April 1, but a judge ruled earlier this year that NYC Health + Hospitals and Maimonides first needed to obtain PHHPC’s approval.

Read the full story from POLITICO Pro’s Maya Kaufman

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FROM CITY HALL

A new report revealed that several of former Mayor Eric Adams' top officials are raking in inflated NYPD pensions.

PENSION PADDING: Several top officials from former Mayor Eric Adams’ administration are raking in inflated NYPD pensions that should be lowered, a report from New York City’s corruption watchdog recommended Thursday.

The Department of Investigation report revolves around the use of so-called 821 waivers under the Adams administration.

The waivers allow NYPD employees to be “on loan” to other agencies, including the mayor’s office, so they can maintain a police title that comes with pension benefits while working in another capacity.

In its report, DOI found the NYPD documented the waivers in an inconsistent way during Adams’ tenure, resulting in the city’s Police Pension Fund awarding overly large retirement benefits to former cops who served in top roles under Adams. But the watchdog agency determined the NYPD wasn’t squarely to blame for this, given that the pension fund also seemingly ignored 821 restrictions “in a manner inconsistent with the law.”

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The DOI findings come after a string of corruption scandals roiled the Adams administration and the NYPD. Adams himself faced federal corruption charges in 2024 before President Donald Trump’s Department of Justice stepped in to spare the former mayor from prosecution.

The DOI’s latest findings don’t allege criminal wrongdoing, but the report lays out a number of recommendations for how the NYPD and the pension fund can prevent similar missteps. It also calls for all the allegedly inflated retirement benefits to be recalculated so the former cops in question aren’t getting taxpayer-funded benefits that are overly generous.

Among the former NYPD cops who netted padded pensions are Kaz Daughtry, who served as Adams’ deputy mayor for public safety; Louis Molina, Adams’ commissioner of correction and citywide administrative services; and Juanita Holmes, Adams’ probation commissioner.

“NYPD officials were treated inconsistently and some received a higher pension than they would otherwise have been eligible for, with taxpayers footing the bill,” Department of Investigation Commissioner Nadia Shihata said. “Those pensions should be recalculated and adjusted properly.”

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Read the full story from Chris Sommerfeldt in POLITICO.

PREDICTED PROTESTS: NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch said today she expects “multiple protests every day” next week as the city hosts the United Nations General Assembly.

No credible security threats have been identified, she noted, though the department will remain on high alert.

“The NYPD, as you know, handles thousands of protests and demonstrations each year, and there is no organization better trained to facilitate First Amendment activity,” Tisch said at a press conference with Mayor Zohran Mamdani. “Every year around the UN General Assembly time, we do see an uptick in the amount of protest activity, and this year I do not expect to be any different.”

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The NYPD did not provide specific details on the number of protest permits filed or the exact number of demonstrations expected.

Some of the largest and most tumultuous protests are expected to take place ahead of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech on Sept. 24.

Despite his strident anti-Israel rhetoric, Mamdani plans to skip next week’s protests, Chris Sommerfeldt first reported yesterday. When asked why he’s staying away, Mamdani cited a desire to focus on New Yorkers’ day-to-day transportation concerns during the assembly, which will cause significant traffic disruptions and road closures in Midtown.

Mamdani will not skip the UN proceedings altogether, though. He said he’s in the process of setting up meetings with foreign officials in town for the assembly, but did not elaborate on which ones. His press team did not immediately share any further details either. — Molly Reinmann

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IN OTHER NEWS

POINTING FINGERS: Some City Council members blamed Mamdani for a crime spike in the Bronx. (New York Post)

SURVEILLANCE AND MURDER: Federal prosecutors accused five men of being part of a Kremlin-orchestrated network that planned to assassinate Russian dissidents and others in the United States and abroad. (The New York Times)

DATA CENTER DIVIDE: Despite hesitating on the issue himself, Rep. Mike Lawler launched a seven-figure ad campaign attacking his Democratic challenger, Cait Conley, for her position on data centers. (New York Focus)

Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.

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Democratic advisers are warning their candidates not to go too hard at AI

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Democratic advisers are warning their candidates not to go too hard at AI

Democratic consultants are privately encouraging their battleground candidates to avoid talking about AI regulations out of fear that powerful tech groups will unleash a tidal wave of spending against them ahead of November.

That guidance came from strategists in three separate top-tier House races, according to people involved in those races, who were granted anonymity to discuss internal conversations. And it follows a surge in AI panic on Capitol Hill as industry leaders warn about existential threats posed by their rapidly developing technology.

Voters are increasingly worried about AI: About two-thirds of Americans say there’s a risk advanced AI could destroy humanity in a new POLITICO Poll. President Donald Trump has called that concern a “hoax,” leaving an opening for Democrats to seize on the issue. But they still are grappling with how hard to go after big tech.

Senior Democrats and candidates are worried that if they go too hard in criticizing AI, industry-affiliated super PACs could drop millions more dollars against them, according to interviews with more than a dozen Democratic lawmakers and strategists. They are especially worried about a slate of competitive races, including Reps. Don Davis in North Carolina, Marcy Kaptur in Ohio, Henry Cuellar in Texas and a handful of South Texas and Pennsylvania races, getting hit with even more spending on topics like AI.

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The party is already struggling to keep up in the outside spending battle as Trump and his allies including Elon Musk, a major AI investor, flood the airwaves, though Musk’s spending isn’t primarily driven by AI concerns.

“We do need to be able to make sure that we’re regulating [AI] and addressing those real fears,” said one senior Democratic strategist working on Senate campaigns, who was granted anonymity to candidly discuss strategy. But “we don’t want AI money coming in.”

“Like any industry, there should be a conversation about guardrails,” said Cuellar, who is trying to hold onto a GOP-leaning South Texas seat. “But, every member needs to make their own decision based on their district and beliefs.”

Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the former Progressive Caucus chair, said she was also worried that pro-AI groups will start targeting key Democrats.

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“You know, these AI groups — they come out and they say that they’re concerned, that they want regulation. But then they spend huge amounts of money on defeating anybody who wants legislative regulation,” Jayapal said in an interview.

With AI regulation on congressional Democrats’ agenda if they take power next year, Jayapal said AI groups will be “spending for candidates that they can count on to just allow them to write the bill.”

Some top Democratic candidates and their campaigns are quietly trying to avoid crossing any red lines for tech super PACs — even as it’s unclear exactly what those lines would be, after Musk and two of the biggest AI CEOs called for more regulation on the technology last week.

Democrats are especially wary of Leading the Future, a pro-AI industry super PAC that spent over $25 million in primary races this year and is backed by investors and executives of OpenAI. The rival super PAC network, Public First Action, pushes for AI regulation and is funded by OpenAI’s chief competitor, Anthropic.

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Asked by POLITICO, Leading the Future declined to name a specific policy on AI it opposes.

“The only people that have both threatened and carried out spending and intimidation tactics against Democratic members of Congress over their positions on AI are Public First and other groups funded by Anthropic and effective altruists,” said Leading the Future spokesperson Josh Vlasto. “Our agenda is and has always been Congress passing a strong and smart national regulation which has broad and building support in Congress and across the country.”

On Wednesday, Leading the Future launched its first round of ads in the general election through its Republican PAC. The group is spending $2 million to boost GOP Senate candidates Julia Letlow in Louisiana, Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi, Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina and Sen. Mike Rounds in South Dakota — four Republicans in marginally competitive races that are unlikely to determine Senate control.

The two AI groups have been at odds. They spent in different primary races and went up against each other in the primary for retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler’s seat, where state Assemblymember Alex Bores’ AI-centered campaign ignited a spending war. A person familiar with Leading the Future’s strategy, who was granted anonymity to discuss internal deliberations, told POLITICO in June that the group was unlikely to target another candidate this year with the kind of multi-million dollar negative ad deluge it dumped on Bores, and a person close to the group said that hasn’t changed. Democrats believe the groups could battle against each other again in key races.

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Brad Carson, the co-founder of Public First Action, said the network will “absolutely” get involved in the general election.

Public First Action uses two “litmus tests” to weigh whether or not to jump into races, Carson said. If someone seeking office shows “strong support for export controls and strong opposition to the preemption of state laws regarding AI, absent a federal framework,” then they are a prime candidate to receive the group’s support.

And if a candidate were to hold the opposite position — opposition to export controls and support for the preemption of state laws — his group would be inclined to jump in and spend against them.

“It’s really about finding the people who want to step out and be heroes for you,” Carson said.

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On Wednesday, Anthropic’s policy chief Sarah Heck said at POLITICO’s Decoded summit that the United States “needs to stay in the lead on AI” over China, arguing “you can’t do safety from second place.” She agreed AI firms can’t be left on their own to ensure safety within their own companies, but declined to endorse bipartisan legislation for external regulation.

Some Democrats want to go hard on regulating AI in spite of the risk of antagonizing pro-industry groups.

Abdul El-Sayed, Democrats’ Senate nominee in Michigan, previously called for a regulatory crackdown on AI and is now advocating for a “full pause at the frontier of research.” He told POLITICO in an interview on Wednesday that he’d “rather be on the truth than dodge [AI industry] money.”

Still, El-Sayed hasn’t committed to running ads on the issue. Battleground Democratic Reps. Susie Lee (Nev.) and Greg Landsman (Ohio) also told POLITICO they weren’t planning ads on AI safeguards, even as they advocate for more regulations. It’s a sign that even as voters concerns’ rise about the technology, it’s not yet become a top issue for the November election.

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Meanwhile, Republicans are hoping that the AI super PACs might come in and help boost them in other states — like Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff has been aggressive in criticizing the industry, or Texas, where the GOP nominee, Attorney General Ken Paxton, has been slightly behind in most recent polls.“We could use the help in some races like that,” said one GOP senator, granted anonymity to candidly discuss the internal conversations.

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Robert Hayward: Remembering Paul Barnes – a true believer of equality

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Robert Hayward: Remembering Paul Barnes - a true believer of equality

Robert Hayward, Lord Hayward, is a member of the House of Lords.

The story of equal rights in Britain is usually told through landmark votes, famous campaigners and great changes in the law. Political progress also depends on people who work more quietly. Those who shape arguments, persuade their own side and make once-unthinkable positions gradually seem the norm. My friend Paul Barnes, who died recently, was one of those people.

Paul played an integral part in an extraordinary period of Conservative history. He was involved from the beginning of the Tory Campaign for Homosexual Equality, TORCHE, which succeeded the Conservative Group for Homosexual Equality in 1992, and served as its chairman from 1993 until 1997.

The name was important. Paul was not arguing for tolerance or special treatment, but for equality.

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At the time, this was far from an easy case to make within the Conservative Party of the early 1990s. Gay men still faced a higher age of consent and gay people could not serve openly in the Armed Forces. Section 28 remained on the statute book and same-sex relationships had no legal recognition. Adoption by gay couples and equal marriage seemed remote ambitions.

Paul was exceptionally well equipped for the task at hand. A gifted public affairs professional, he understood that political change depends not simply on having the better argument, but on judgement, timing, relationships and an instinct for how people can be persuaded. He knew how institutions worked and, crucially, how to frame an argument in a way that allowed people to change their minds.

The case he made for equality was therefore rooted firmly in Conservative principles: individual liberty, privacy, personal responsibility and equality before the law. He was not asking Conservatives to abandon their beliefs, but to apply them consistently.

That approach mattered during the parliamentary battle over the age of consent in 1994.

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Parliament reduced the age of consent for gay men from 21 to 18, while rejecting equality at 16. Paul and TORCHE continued to argue for the principle that eventually prevailed. He took a similar approach to the exclusion of gay people from the Armed Forces, challenging the contradiction of decriminalising homosexuality within the services while continuing to dismiss gay personnel.

Lobbying, briefing, conversation and persuasion – these will examples of the painstaking political work which was required. Paul understood that changing minds often meant continuing to talk to people with whom you profoundly disagreed.

His contribution was, of course, part of a much larger movement. Many other organisations and campaigners played decisive roles in transforming Britain, and Paul would never have claimed otherwise. Movements need people working from within institutions as well as pressure from outside them, and Paul was particularly skilled at that form of advocacy.

He was persuasive without being hectoring, determined without becoming doctrinaire, and political without allowing politics to consume every relationship. He was also warm, funny, loyal and immensely good company. Those qualities were not incidental to his effectiveness, but were a part of it.

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The Britain in which Paul died is profoundly different from the one in which he began campaigning. People serve openly in the Armed Forces, Section 28 is gone, the age of consent is equal and same-sex couples marry and raise families with protections earlier generations could scarcely have imagined. For me, one of the happiest parts of Paul’s story is that he lived to enjoy the freedoms he had spent so many years campaigning for, not least in marrying his wonderful husband, Carlos, whom he adored.

To younger people, those freedoms may seem entirely ordinary. I hope they do, because making equality ordinary was the point.

Paul helped make that happen. Britain is a freer country because people like him were prepared to make difficult arguments before they became easy ones. His recent death is a great loss to those of us who knew and loved him, and I shall miss him enormously.

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JD Vance faces test in White House meeting with Israel-backing radio host

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JD Vance faces test in White House meeting with Israel-backing radio host

NEW YORK — Vice President JD Vance will hit a key hurdle in his fence-mending effort with Jewish Republicans on Thursday when he hosts a popular conservative radio host at the White House.

77 WABC host Sid Rosenberg, a longtime friend and ardent ally of President Donald Trump, has publicly attacked Vance for maintaining a friendship with Tucker Carlson, the former Fox News personality accused of invoking antisemitic tropes in criticizing Israel.

Rosenberg, who’s known for making inflammatory remarks, has also taken aim at Vance for what he sees as the vice president’s lack of commitment to a “strong” U.S. alliance with Israel.

In an interview Wednesday with POLITICO, Rosenberg said he plans to grill Vance in person about both Carlson and U.S. aid for Israel at a meeting he described as coming at Vance’s request. And while he said the main purpose of Thursday’s meeting is to get to know Vance, he noted that he’ll raise his concerns to the vice president in the context of his most pressing political priority: His likely 2028 run for president.

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“If he really wants to win in ‘28, he has no choice but to, at the very least, distance himself from [Carlson] if not completely disavow him,” Rosenberg said, adding that he believes the vice president “has pissed off the Jews and many Trump supporters.”

Describing distrust of Vance in right-leaning Jewish communities as “a big problem,” Rosenberg said he’ll ask the vice president to commit to steering clear of Carlson and continue significant U.S. support for Israel if elected president.

“I hope I can get some of those commitments. Do I think I can get it? I don’t know,” Rosenberg said. He added that he expects to meet with Trump in the Oval Office after his sit-down with Vance.

As the front-runner for the Republican Party’s 2028 presidential nomination, Vance’s tense relationship with Israel’s supporters in the GOP could become a serious liability. Major Republican donors have already said they would be reluctant to financially boost Vance’s presidential run because of his views on Israel, a sharp departure from how Trump has held a commanding grip in that realm, thanks in large part to his alliance with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

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In that light, Vance’s meeting with Rosenberg — who has known Trump since at least 2018 — takes on outsize significance. It also comes after Vance extended an olive branch earlier this month at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s leadership summit in Las Vegas, where he voiced concern about antisemitic hate crimes and said working with Israel is “in the best interest of the United States.” Vance touched on Carlson at that summit as well, acknowledging that “people in this room may disagree” with things he’s said, but the vice president avoided discussing his relationship with him.

Just days after that appearance, however, Vance ignited criticism from pro-Israel Republicans again by saying in a speech that the U.S. cannot allow its Middle East policy approach to be “subservient to the State of Israel.”

Asked about Rosenberg’s comments ahead of their White House meeting, a Vance spokesperson said Wednesday that the vice president would be meeting with the radio host after they didn’t meet in Las Vegas.

“The Vice President was unfortunately not able to meet with him in Las Vegas during the RJC Leadership Summit, and of course wanted to make time to meet with him in Washington,” the spokesperson said.

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Rosenberg, a former sports commentator who now runs his own political radio show “Sid & Friends in the Morning” in New York City, confirmed Vance’s team asked for Thursday’s meeting. And despite his concerns about Vance’s Israel posture, he called the vice president an “affable” and “smart” person who’s “capable of the job.”

Still, Rosenberg made clear he doesn’t view Vance as the strongest Republican contender for president in 2028.

“He’s not my first choice. I’m a Marco guy,” Rosenberg said, referring to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who’s also rumored as a possible 2028 candidate. “If it turns out Marco doesn’t run, and JD wins the primary, in the end, if JD is the last man standing, I will support him.”

Rosenberg’s influence remains mostly limited to the relatively small world of Republican politics in deep-blue New York. Still, his friendship with Trump has elevated him as a voice on the right, even as he’s attracted his share of controversy.

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In March, Rosenberg called Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s first Muslim mayor, an “America hating, Jew hating, Radical Islam cockroach” while voicing displeasure with Trump’s surprisingly cordial interactions with Mamdani. After drawing intense pushback from voices across the aisle, Rosenberg apologized to Mamdani for the harsh remark, saying it was a “bit over the top” and admitting it’s “not nice to call somebody a bug.”

Rosenberg also came under intense fire earlier this year for calling Mamdani “a terrorist” — and apologized for that remark too. But he later retracted that apology, saying he was “exactly right” to use the term.

With additional reporting by Alex Gangitano

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Politics Home | UK Diplomats Sought To Reassure US Over Tech Policy Before Burnham Became PM

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UK Diplomats Sought To Reassure US Over Tech Policy Before Burnham Became PM
UK Diplomats Sought To Reassure US Over Tech Policy Before Burnham Became PM


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British diplomats sought to reassure Trump officials Andy Burnham wouldn’t target US tech firms days before he became Prime Minister, PoliticsHome can reveal.

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According to sources familiar with the discussions, British officials said at a meeting in July Burnham would not launch a “clamp down” on social media in tech, with Burnham focused on economic growth. 

The diplomats said Burnham was aware of the British reliance on US tech firms for growth, as seen in the UK’s response to the Defence Investment Plan. British Ambassador to the US Christian Turner sought to reassure US diplomats that any changes from recent legislation would likely not happen quickly, with the Online Safety Act taking nearly a decade from concept to implementation. 

In spite of the meeting, earlier this week PoliticsHome reported that British officials were hauled in to the US embassy on Monday and dressed down over the Online Safety Act, along with their plans to ban under-16s from social media and prioritise public broadcasters’ prominence online. 

At the earlier meeting in July, it is understood Under Secretary of State Sarah Rogers warned the UK against overregulating AI, saying chatbots would become “lobotomized” if overregulated, and that users would assume they were government propaganda. 

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The officials said that anti-tech big tech politicians were “not on the same page” as Burnham, comparing him to vice-president JD Vance due to his focus on marginalised communities.

A UK government source told PoliticsHome that the major risks from AI crossed borders, and therefore engaging with international partners was of the upmost importance. 

Separately, the UK’s Deputy National Security Advisor Matthew Collins also held talks with the US Office for Science and Technology Policy about reviving the UK’s Tech Prosperity Deal with the US. 

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When the deal was initially signed in September last year, Sir Keir Starmer highlighted the deal as “a generational step change in our relationship with the US” during Donald Trump’s state visit. However, the deal was ultimately suspended by Washington months later, with officials saying the UK had made insufficient progress in lowering trade barriers. 

As of yet, publicly, no progress has been made in restarting the deal, but privately PoliticsHome understands discussions are ongoing. A UK government source said that the UK would continue to engage on issues like the Tech Prosperity Deal in the near future. 

A UK government spokesperson said: “As close allies, UK and US officials meet regularly to discuss shared priorities. We are committed to ensuring that our trade and security continues to deliver real benefits for hardworking people on both sides of the Atlantic.”

The US State Department was contacted for comment.

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Politics Home | Lib Dem MP Warns Her Party Is “Struggling For Relevance” In Call For “Insurgent” Liberalism

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Lib Dem MP Warns Her Party Is 'Struggling For Relevance' In Call For 'Insurgent' Liberalism
Lib Dem MP Warns Her Party Is 'Struggling For Relevance' In Call For 'Insurgent' Liberalism

Roz Savage was elected as the Liberal Democrat MP for South Cotswolds in 2024 (Credit: Andrew Matthews/PA Images/Alamy)


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A Liberal Democrat MP has warned her party is “struggling for relevance” and failing to paint a “coherent picture of the country we are trying to create”.

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In a new essay shared exclusively with PoliticsHome, South Cotswolds MP Roz Savage argued that liberals must “rediscover” their “insurgent spirit”, rather than being “the polite custodians of a system that leaves people feeling powerless”.

The essay, Liberalism Alive, has been published just days before the Lib Dem conference in Brighton this weekend, where members will debate a new strategy document aimed at expanding the party’s support in a fractured political landscape.

While Savage does not directly name party leader Ed Davey or call for a change of leadership, her warning comes as pressure has grown on Davey to articulate a more distinct political offer to voters. 

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A Lib Dem spokesperson insisted the party is a “serious national force” which is “fighting to change politics so that we can change our country”.

In a recent sit-down interview with The House magazine, Davey said local election results showed that the party was “expanding” across the country under his leadership and in “its strongest position in over a century”. He also defended his use of stunts, saying: “I don’t think we’d have as many MPs, frankly, as we do if we hadn’t done the visuals that we did last election.”

In her essay, published by the progressive think tank Compass, Savage said liberalism should not be pitched to voters as “a comfortable midpoint between left and right” and that her party should avoid being seen as “nicer technocrats with slightly better policies”.

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Instead, she argued, liberals should seek to answer more fundamental questions about how to create a society in which people can “flourish”.

The MP wrote: “If liberalism’s historic mission is to challenge concentrations of power and expand people’s practical freedom, we also have to ask how well we have lived up to it. Because if liberalism has so much to offer this moment, we have to address the elephant in the room: why are we as a party struggling for relevance at precisely the moment when so many people feel powerless?

“We cannot blame the populists, the media or an electorate that has somehow failed to appreciate our wisdom. We need to take a long hard look at ourselves too.”

According to Savage, the Lib Dems have not successfully woven their policy offering into a compelling narrative for the public.

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“Ask people what Britain would look and feel like after ten years of Liberal Democrat government and many would struggle to answer,” she wrote.

“That is not because our individual policies are not good. Many are remarkably popular. The problem is that they do not add up, in the public imagination, to a coherent picture of the country we are trying to create.

“We have sometimes made a virtue of being reasonable, practical and evidence-led. Those are qualities I value, but competence is not a destination.

“Politics also requires imagination: the ability to help people see a different future and believe that it might actually be possible. But that vision also needs coherence. Voters need to know, with crystal clarity, what we stand for and who we stand with.”

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The essay sets out Savage’s vision for how liberalism can offer fresh answers to “a country in urgent need of a new direction”.

The MP argued that devolution should form a key component of that new direction, but she said devolution must go “beyond politicians”. 

“Moving power from politicians in Westminster to politicians in a town hall is not, by itself, empowering citizens,” she wrote. “It may simply change the postcode of the people making the decisions. Genuine devolution must go further.

“Councils should themselves devolve: to neighbourhoods, parishes, community organisations, schools, cooperatives, community land trusts, and sometimes directly to randomly selected citizens asked to deliberate on particularly difficult questions.”

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Savage also warned that AI and the growing influence of the world’s big tech firms could represent the “next concentration of power” away from citizens.

“Technology could liberate enormous amounts of human capacity,” the MP wrote. “It could transform medicine, education and scientific discovery. It could remove drudgery from working life.

“Or it could hand a handful of already powerful corporations unprecedented influence over how the rest of us live, work and think. Left to drift, that is exactly what will happen. That is simply what concentrated power does when nobody chooses otherwise. It is a choice, and perhaps only for a short while longer will it remain ours to make.”

Ed Davey
Lib Dem leader Ed Davey told The House that the party was the strongest it has been in over a century (Alamy)

Liberals have struggled, Savage added, in a world where the benefits and costs of globalisation were “distributed unevenly”.

She wrote: “Populists are very good at telling people that their power has been taken away. Where they go wrong is telling them who took it: the migrant, the minority, the civil servant, the judge, the international court, whichever convenient enemy fits the story.

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“Liberals need a better answer. We should say: yes, too much power has been taken away from you. But look upwards, not sideways.

“Look at an economy in which wealth and ownership have become increasingly concentrated. Look at monopolies and corporations more powerful than many governments. Look at decisions sucked upwards from communities into Whitehall. Look at political systems in which millions of votes barely affect the outcome. Look at technology companies acquiring unprecedented power over information, work and public discourse.

“The answer is not to find another group with even less power and blame them. It is to redistribute power again.

“That requires liberalism to rediscover its insurgent spirit. We should not be the polite custodians of a system that leaves people feeling powerless.”

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A Lib Dem spokesperson told PoliticsHome: “Roz is right that the two old parties have left people feeling powerless after decades of failure and neglect. Everything feels so much harder than it used to be because our country is being held back by a failed political system.

“With record numbers of MPs and more councils led than the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats are a serious national force. At all levels of government, we are fighting to change politics so that we can change our country. Liberal Democrats are leading from the front on the big issues facing people across our country right now – from the cost of living crisis to the barriers holding our world-class businesses back.“

 

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