India beat Bangladesh by five wickets in a crucial Group A match of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026 at Old Trafford in Manchester on Thursday, June 25. With the win, the Women in Blue boosted their chances of qualifying for the semifinals of the ICC event.
Bowling first after winning the toss, Team India did a great job to restrict Bangladesh to 136-8 in their 20 overs. Spinners Radha Yadav and Shree Charani starred with 3-28 and 2-21, respectively. In the chase, opener Shafali Verma top-scored with 53 off 34 balls, while Jemimah Rodrigues chipped in with 26 off 15.
Following their win over Bangladesh on Thursday, India maintained their second position in the Group A points table of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026. In this feature, we analyze the semifinal qualification scenarios for teams in Group A.
# India (6 points, NRR: +2.268)
India are in second place with six points from four matches and a net run rate of +2.268. If they beat Australia in their last group match at Lord’s on Sunday and South Africa win only one of their remaining two group games, India will qualify for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026. In such a scenario, India will finish the group stage with eight points, while the Proteas will end with six.
In case, India go down to Australia in their last group match, they need to hope that South Africa also lose one of their remaining two matches. In such a scenario, both India and South Africa will be tied on six points and the Women in Blue can go through if they finish above the Proteas Women on net run rate.
If India lose to Australia and South Africa win both their remaining matches, the Women in Blue will be knocked out of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026. In this scenario, India will end with six points and South Africa with eight.
#Australia (8 points, NRR: +4.724)
Australia may not have officially qualified for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026. However, it would be safe to say that they have confirmed their place in the top two from Group A.
Unbeaten Australia have eight points from four games and an excellent net run rate of +4.724. If the Aussies go down to India on Sunday and South Africa also win their two remaining games, all three sides will finish Group A with eight points. However, even a huge win for India on Sunday is unlikely to displace Australia from the top position in the group.
#3 South Africa (4 points, NRR: -0.546)
South Africa have four points from three games and a net run rate of -0.546. The best-case scenario for the Proteas to qualify for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026 is for them to win both their remaining matches and move to eight points. They also need to hope that India go down to Australia in their last group match. In such a scenario, India will be stuck on six points.
In case, South Africa and India both win one and lose one of their remaining two matches, they will end the group stage with six points each. In such a scenario, the run rate will decide who makes the semifinals. Similarly, India and South Africa can be tied on eight points if both win their remaining two matches in the group stage, again bringing the run rate into the picture.
#Bangladesh (4 points, NRR: -0.849)
Bangladesh‘s loss to India has all but ended their hopes of qualifying for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026. They can finish with six points if they beat South Africa (who will also end with six points in this scenario). India too will end the group stage with six points if they lose to Australia. But, with a net run rate of -0.849, Bangladesh are unlikely to finish in second place.
ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026: Group B Qualification Scenarios
England have already qualified for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026 from Group B, with eight points from four games and a net run rate of +2.342. The West Indies (6 points), defending champions New Zealand and Sri Lanka (both 4 points) are engaged in a tussle to clinch the second spot. The Windies will qualify if they beat Ireland on Saturday and get up to eight points.
If the West Indies lose, both New Zealand and Sri Lanka can finish above them on run rate if they win their last group match. The Black Caps are already above the Windies on net run rate, while Sri Lanka could push the West Indies to third if they pull off a win by a significant margin against Scotland.
If New Zealand beat England and the West Indies lose to Ireland, the Black Caps are more or less assured of qualification for the semifinals of the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup 2026 on the basis of their superior net run rate.
For Sri Lanka to finish in the top two, they need to beat Scotland by a huge margin. They then need to hope that England beat New Zealand, and Ireland beat West Indies by a big enough margin for Sri Lanka finish ahead of the West Indies on net run rate.
Edited by Renin Wilben Albert




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