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Illinois vs. Houston prediction, odds, spread, time: 2026 NCAA Tournament picks from proven model

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The third-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini take on the second-seeded Houston Cougars in a 2026 NCAA Tournament South Region Sweet 16 matchup on Thursday. Illinois is coming off a 76-55-88 last-second victory over VCU on Saturday in the second round, while Houston defeated Texas A&M 88-57 on Saturday. The Illini (26-8), who finished in second place in a three-way tie in the Big 10 Conference, have won four of the last five games. The Cougars (30-6), who came in second in the Big 12, have also won four of five games. 

Tipoff from Toyota Center in Houston is set for 10:05 p.m. ET. The all-time series is split 3-3 as the programs meet for the first time since 2022. The Cougars are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Illinois vs. Houston odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 139.5. The Coogs are at -141 on the money line (risk $141 to win $100). Before making any Houston vs. Illinois picks, check out the Illinois vs Houston predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 Sweet 16 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks.

Now, the model has simulated Illinois vs. Houston 10,000 times and just revealed its college basketball picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college basketball odds and college basketball lines for Illinois vs. Houston:

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Illinois vs. Houston spread:    

Houston -2.5

Illinois vs. Houston over/under:    

139.5 points

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Illinois vs. Houston money line:    

Houston -141, Illinois +118

Illinois vs. Houston picks:    

See picks at SportsLine

Illinois vs. Houston TV:

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Top Illinois vs. Houston predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Illinois vs. Houston, SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total (139.5 points). The total has gone Over in three of Illinois last four games. Houston’s last game also came in Over the total. The Illini are 10-2 straight up in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.

The model projects the Illini to have four players score 12 points or more, including Keaton Wagler, who is projected to score 15.7 points. The Cougars are projected to have three players score 12 points or more, led by Emanuel Sharp, who is projected to score 16.2 points. The model is projecting 149 combined points as the Over clears in 74.3% of simulations. You can get the spread pick at SportsLine.

How to make Illinois vs. Houston picks

Now, the model simulated every possession of Illinois vs. Houston 10,000 times and says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

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So who wins Illinois vs. Houston, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Illinois vs. Houston spread to back, all from the advanced model that just simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.

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Braxton Berrios: SPOTTED: Braxton Berrios sparks dating buzz with new blonde Hollie Ford amid Alix Earle

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Braxton Berrios has nothing to say about the Alix Earle-Alex Cooper drama. However, the Houston Texans receiver is making headlines for a different reason. He was spotted leaving Bird Streets Club in Los Angeles on Wednesday night with model Hollie Ford.

Berrios and Ford appeared comfortable together and dressed casually for the outing. The Texans star was seen opening the door for the blonde model before the pair climbed into his G-Wagon.

Photographers peppered Berrios with questions about the celebrity feud involving his ex-girlfriend and podcast star Alex Cooper. Berrios played it smartly and refused to take the bait. He said he had no new information to offer.

Reports surfaced back in December that Berrios and Earle had ended their relationship after more than two years together. The split was reportedly mutual and was blamed on long-distance.

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Berrios’ dinner night with Ford comes as his ex-girlfriend continues to dominate dating headlines herself. Alix Earle has sparked dating buzz with none other than Tom Brady after the two were reportedly “hooking up” at Fanatics’ Super Bowl party. More so, Earle and Brady were also reported to have spent the entire night in St. Barts on New Year’s Eve.

Also read: “Fighting over Alix Earle is so embarrassing”: NFL fans react as Tom Brady takes cheeky dig at Joe Burrow during the Fanatics Flag Football Draft

Also read: WATCH: Tom Brady wraps arms around Alix Earle while partying at nightclub with Braxton Berrios’ ex-GF

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Alix Earle – Alex Cooper feud

The Alex Cooper-Alix Earle catfight was one of the most talked-about things across social media this past week. Over the months, there had been rumors of tension between the two, but Cooper finally called out Earle directly in a TikTok video on Monday.

“You’re gonna need to get specific and just say what you gotta say about me,” Cooper said.

She outrightly accused Earle of taking “passive-aggressive” shots while also dismissing speculation that Earle was staying quiet for legal reasons.

“I’m really tired of waking up and seeing you using this fake drama to distract from other s*** going online for you,” she added. I know what happened and so do you… Unless you actually have something to say, I’m out. This is over,” Cooper concluded.

Earle also responded in the comments with a short message:

“Okay on it!!”

The “Call Her Daddy” host hinted that more is happening behind the scenes.

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