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Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, & betting tips

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Match Details

Fixture: (2) Paula Badosa vs (PR) Nadia Podoroska

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Date: September 19, 2026

Tournament: SP Open

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Parque Villa-Lobos, Sao Paulo, Brazil

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Category: WTA 250

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $283,347

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports

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Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska preview

Paula Badosa at the SP Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Paula Badosa at the SP Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Paula Badosa at the SP Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Second seed Paula Badosa will take on Nadia Podoroska in the semifinals of the SP Open 2026.

Badosa beat Justina Mikulskyte 6-3, 6-2 in the first round, and then staged a comeback to one-up Jazmin Ortenzi 4-6, 6-2, 6-2. She faced Mary Stoiana in the quarterfinals. The Spaniard squandered her break advantage on two occasions in the first set.

However, the third time was indeed the charm for Badosa. She remained in front after breaking Stoiana’s serve for the third time to take the opener. A double break lead put Badosa 5-1 up within a matter of minutes in the second set. While she blew two match points on Stoiana’s serve in the seventh game, she closed out the match herself in the next game for a 6-4, 6-2 win.

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Podoroska moved past Lucrezia Stefanini and fifth seed Eva Lys in straight sets to book a quarterfinal date with Suzan Lamens. Podoroska captured a closely-contested first set with a focused performance in the tie-break.

Lamens raised her own level in response and captured the second set. She drew first blood in the third set to go 2-0 up as well. However, that marked the end of the road for her. Podoroska swept six of the next seven games in a remarkable turnaround to tally a 7-6 (5), 3-6, 6-3 win.


Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska head-to-head

Badosa leads their rivalry 1-0 at the WTA level. She won their previous meeting at the Tokyo Olympics 2021 in straight sets.


Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Paula Badosa -550 +1.5 (-2000) Over 19.5 (-140)
Nadia Podoroska +375 -1.5 (+625) Under 19.5 (-105)

(Odds via BetMGM)

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Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska prediction

Nadia Podoroska at the US Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Nadia Podoroska at the US Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Nadia Podoroska at the US Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

After a comeback win over Ortenzi, Badosa dispatched Stoiana in routine fashion. She has advanced to her second semifinal at the WTA level this year, and the 19th of her career. She has also reached her first semifinal on hardcourts since the Australian Open 2025.

Podoroska has tallied the best result of her comeback with her semifinal run here. She was sidelined for more than a year due to an injury, and returned to action in March this year. She has reached the semifinals of a WTA tournament for the first time since September 2023.

Both players have a rather dismal record at the semifinal stage. Badosa has gone 5-13 in semifinal matches, while Podoroska has lost all four of her prior semifinals. Given their respective histories at this stage, Badosa will be the favorite to win this match.

Pick: Paula Badosa to win in straight sets.


Paula Badosa vs Nadia Podoroska betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 18 games.

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Tip 2: Badosa to win at least one set with a score of 6-2.