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The Numbers Behind Raul Rosas Jr.’s First UFC Main Event

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Mar 7, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, UNITED STATES; Raul Rosas JR (blue gloves) recasts after defeating Rob Font (red gloves) fights during UFC 326 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn ImagesMar 7, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, UNITED STATES; Raul Rosas JR (blue gloves) recasts after defeating Rob Font (red gloves) fights during UFC 326 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Saturday’s main event at Meta APEX gives Raul Rosas Jr. his first career headlining slot, and the statistics behind this bantamweight clash reveal a fascinating clash between a record-chasing 21-year-old and a battle-tested 39-year-old riding his own five-fight momentum.

Rosas Jr. (12-1-0) enters as a -185 favorite over Raoni Barcelos (22-5-0), and the age gap alone tells part of the story, but the numbers underneath it tell a much richer one.

The Number Chasing History

Picture this, Rosas Jr. became the youngest fighter ever signed to the UFC at age 17 through Dana White’s Contender Series, and he’s stated he has a two-year window left to break Jon Jones’s record as the youngest champion in UFC history, set at 23 years and 8 months. He’s currently riding a five-fight winning streak and sits at No. 12 in the bantamweight rankings after a lopsided decision win over veteran Rob Font at UFC 326, a fight where the 17-year age gap between them was the largest UFC storyline heading in.

Where the Wrestling Numbers Jump Out

This is where the stat sheet gets loud. Rosas Jr. averages a staggering 6.10 takedowns per 15 minutes at 54% accuracy, elite volume for the bantamweight division, but his takedown defense sits alarmingly low at just 25%. Barcelos, meanwhile, carries one of the best takedown-defense marks in the division at 87%, a number that directly threatens Rosas Jr.’s entire offensive game plan. Visualize the matchup, a wrestler who wants to close distance and chain entries running into a wall that’s stopped nearly nine of every ten takedown attempts thrown at him.

Barcelos’s Volume Advantage

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Jun 14, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, UNITED STATES; Raoni Barcelos (blue gloves) reacts after defeating Cody Garbrandt (red gloves) during UFC Fight Night at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn ImagesJun 14, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, UNITED STATES; Raoni Barcelos (blue gloves) reacts after defeating Cody Garbrandt (red gloves) during UFC Fight Night at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Barcelos also holds a clear edge on the feet. He lands 4.65 significant strikes per minute at 51% accuracy compared to Rosas Jr.’s 1.34, and while Barcelos absorbs more per minute (4.24), his own striking defense of 60% is notably stronger than Rosas Jr.’s 52%. Barcelos is also a submission threat in his own right, averaging 0.70 attempts per 15 minutes, adding another dimension if the fight does hit the mat and he can reverse position.

What Rosas Jr. Still Has Working

Rosas Jr.’s finishing instincts remain his trump card. Of his 12 wins, two have come by knockout and six by submission, a 67% finish rate across his entire UFC and pro career, including three RNCs, two armbars, and even a face-crank finish. If he can drag Barcelos into deep water even once, his 0.9 submission-attempt rate per 15 minutes suggests he’ll look to end it rather than grind out rounds.

The Deciding Number

With Rosas Jr.’s takedown defense sitting roughly 55 points below Barcelos’s takedown defense, the fight likely comes down to whether Rosas Jr. can land his own high-volume takedowns before Barcelos’s superior wrestling defense and cleaner striking numbers turn this into a five-round track meet that favors experience over youth.

The Rest of the Main Card

The five-fight main card features a stacked middleweight co-main between Rodolfo Vieira and Robert Bryczek (Vieira -140), plus two Ultimate Fighter 34 finals: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli at bantamweight and Melissa Amaya vs. Valesca Machado at strawweight, alongside Rinya Nakamura vs. Brady Hiestand at bantamweight.

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Top European leagues demand FIFA reforms, piling pressure on Infantino

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The four main European football leagues – the English Premier League, Spain’s La Liga, Italy’s Serie A and Germany’s Bundesliga – called on Friday for a reform of FIFA.

The sport’s governing body has been mired in crisis since the revelation of a plan, since shelved, to create a commercial company FIFA Forward Enterprise (FFE), which would be open to private investors.

“Fundamental governance reform is essential to restore clear constitutional boundaries within FIFA, including confidence that individual disciplinary matters remain demonstrably insulated from political interference,” the four leagues wrote in a statement sent to AFP.

“We are speaking up together, as founding members of European Leagues and the World Leagues Association, because we understand how FIFA’s relentless expansionism affects everyone.”

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The statement comes just days after FIFA president Gianni Infantino – who has come under fire since the FFE plan to bring private investment into the men’s and women’s World Cups – proposed “a consultation” of the national federations in order to reform the body’s governance.

Read moreFrench Football Federation pulls support from FIFA head Infantino’s re-election bid

“The FIFA president has now acknowledged the need for reform, but it is not enough for surface-level, process changes to be explored in the aftermath of FFE,” stated the four main European leagues, who went on to describe the project as “one of the biggest abuses of power in FIFA’s history”.

The four leagues, however, steered away from putting all the blame on Infantino’s shoulders.

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“FIFA’s governance problem goes far beyond the role of one individual,” they said.

They propose the creation of a permanent body representing national associations, leagues, clubs and players, from across men’s and women’s football.

“This new body must be fully informed about new initiatives and have a meaningful role in FIFA’s decision-making process,” they added.

“Any major FIFA proposal must begin with a clearly defined rationale, supporting evidence and an independent assessment, published in advance of any decision, covering players, clubs, leagues and supporters, and evaluating the impact on all stakeholders and the development of football.”

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They also called for the protection of FIFA’s role “as regulator and guardian of the game” from its commercial activities.

The four leagues put a call out for candidates for the FIFA presidency who will endorse their principles “within the first 100 days of the next presidential mandate”.

For now, Infantino is the sole candidate for the FIFA presidential election scheduled for March 18, 2027, with the submission of candidacies open until November 18.

UEFA, alongside North American body CONCACAF and the Asian Football Confederation (AFC), issued a no-holds-barred joint letter against Infantino in August.

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“Leadership in football is not a possession. It is not about holding – or demanding – power to be held,” they wrote.

However, Infantino is not without friends – 2034 World Cup hosts Saudi Arabia came out in support last month, with African football’s governing body CAF and South America’s CONMEBOL also supportive.

(FRANCE 24 with AFP)

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MLB Playoff Picture: Biggest Races to Watch on Final Weekend

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Sep 23, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Houston Astros catcher Yainer Diaz (21) high-fives second baseman Jose Altuve (27) after hitting a two-run home run against the Seattle Mariners during the third inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn ImagesSep 23, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Houston Astros catcher Yainer Diaz (21) high-fives second baseman Jose Altuve (27) after hitting a two-run home run against the Seattle Mariners during the third inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

Some of the suspense over the jockeying for playoff positions dissipated Thursday when four teams clinched major league postseason spots.

But there’s still the hold-your-nose situation in the American League West to entertain everyone over the final weekend of the baseball season.

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers are both 79-80 entering Friday’s play and the team that ends up being last standing could be the first division champion of the Division Era (since 1969) to win the crown with a below-.500 record.

Even if one of those two teams wins all three games this weekend, they would still match the 2005 San Diego Padres (82-80) for the worst record by a division winner.

Of course, the whole mantra is to just get into the postseason. The Rangers displayed that in 2023 when they were the No. 5 seed in the AL and went on to win the World Series. Oh yeah, they beat the National League No. 6 seed Arizona Diamondbacks in the Fall Classic.

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The Diamondbacks are two games behind the Philadelphia Phillies for the final NL wild-card spot. Arizona has won five straight games while the Phillies lost eight of their past 13 games.

The AL Central winner also hasn’t been determined. The loser of that fight between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox will grab the No. 3 wild-card spot in the AL. Both the Guardians and White Sox clinched postseason berths Thursday while the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres clinched spots in the NL.

The NL teams that previously clinched spots are the Milwaukee Brewers (NL Central), Los Angeles Dodgers (NL West) and Atlanta Braves (NL East). The other AL teams who have secured berths are the Tampa Bay Rays (AL East), New York Yankees (first AL wild card) and Boston Red Sox (probable second AL wild card).

Remaining games likely to impact MLB playoff positioning:

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Houston Astros at Athletics

What we know: Some outfielder named Lucas Spence saved Houston with his first three career homers in Thursday’s win. He was recalled solely due to injures to Brice Matthews and Daulton Varsho and earned his per diem in his second game since returning to the Astros.

What we’ll find out: Houston holds the tiebreaker edge so it only needs to match the Rangers to earn their ninth playoff berth in the past 10 seasons. The Athletics can’t see the playoffs from West Sacramento, Calif., but surely hope 2028 in Las Vegas is possible.

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

Sep 21, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; HEADSHOT Minnesota Twins shortstop Ben Ross (1) during batting practice before the start of the game against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-Imagn ImagesSep 21, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; HEADSHOT Minnesota Twins shortstop Ben Ross (1) during batting practice before the start of the game against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-Imagn Images

What we know: Texas needs to win at least one more game than the Astros to win the AL West. The Rangers rattled off six wins in seven games before losing three straight. They snapped that skid by beating the New York Mets on Thursday and need to avoid a weekend of setbacks.

What we’ll find out: The Rangers lost three of their final four regular-season games in 2023 and still got into the postseason. Lose more than they win this time and they can plan on viewing baseball from their TV sets and phones. Minnesota is not part of the postseason for the fifth time in six seasons.

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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

What we know: The Guardians have become a hot squad and have won seven of their last eight after clinching a playoff against the Red Sox on Thursday. The bats are cold though as Cleveland has scored just five runs over the past four games, winning twice by 1-0 and losing once by the same score.

What we’ll find out: The next task is taking advantage of a team with nothing to play for while looking to win the division and land the No. 2 seed. The Royals have made the playoffs just once since winning the 2015 World Series. All hail World Series MVP Salvador Perez.

Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox

What we know: The White Sox were horrible with 101, 121 and 102 losses the past three seasons before rising up and clinching their first playoff spot since 2021. Also, how did Miguel Vargas become an offensive force with 33 homers and 92 RBIs?

What we’ll find out: Chicago holds the tiebreaker advantage over Cleveland and can win the division by thriving in the mile-high air. The Rockies are owners of four straight 100-loss campaigns and missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season but surely will show up in an attempt to be spoilers.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

What we know: The Diamondbacks will be in all-out mode to chase down the Phillies and hoping San Diego will rest some regulars after clinching its fifth postseason berth in the past seven seasons. Arizona has seen the Nolan Arenado (29 homers) of old and it’s a good fit.

What we’ll find out: Arizona badly needs a win Friday to keep the heat on the sinking Phillies. Watch how the Padres go all out to claim the No. 4 seed in anticipation of hosting the Cubs in the wild-card round. Chicago won the wild-card series 2-1 last season over San Diego and then went 5-1 against the Padres this season while scoring a staggering 55 runs.

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 24, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Rays third baseman Junior Caminero (13) throws out New York Yankees third baseman Amed Rosario (not pictured) on a ground ball during the seventh inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn ImagesSep 24, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Rays third baseman Junior Caminero (13) throws out New York Yankees third baseman Amed Rosario (not pictured) on a ground ball during the seventh inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

What we know: Tampa Bay has wrapped up the best record in the AL and will have homefield advantage should it reach the AL Championship Series. Philadelphia needs to play better immediately because the Diamondbacks hold the tiebreaker if the teams finish in a tie.

What we’ll find out: Nothing to find out about the Rays other than they are good and Junior Caminero (41 homers) has elite power. More perplexing is why the veteran Phillies have sprung a leak down the stretch and look like a wild-card round exit even if they make the festivities.

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox

What we know: A Nor’easter filled with heavy winds is hitting town and the teams are scheduled to play twice Friday, once on Saturday and not at all Sunday. The games are more important for the Cubs in terms of playoff positioning.

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What we’ll find out: Chicago is competing with San Diego and perhaps Philadelphia for the No. 4 spot in the NL and home-field advantage in the wild-card round. The Red Sox need one win to sew up the AL’s No. 2 wild-card. Both teams are hoping to get all three games in by Saturday night.

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UK fitness could reach 17 million members by 2032, says Cameron Saunders

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By Kath Hudson    25 Sep 2026

UK Active CEO, Cameron Saunders, addressed the HFA European Congress this morning / Cameron Saunders

The UK health and fitness sector could reach 17 million members by 2032 if its current growth trajectory continues, but operators will need to work harder to reach women, lower socioeconomic groups and older adults if the industry is to fulfil its potential.

Speaking at the HFA European Congress at London Stadium on 24 September UK Active CEO Cameron Saunders, highlighted the rapid growth of the UK fitness market and the opportunities still ahead.

The UK now has 12.2 million health and fitness club members – almost one in five people – with 679 million visits made to facilities during 2025 and £5.7 billion generated in membership income.

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Between 2023 and 2025, the market added around 1.4 million members and 110 million annual visits, while membership income increased by £947 million.

Visits are now rising faster than membership, suggesting existing members are using facilities more frequently.

The UK’s mix of public and private provision was identified as one of its strengths. Private operators are driving growth through both new openings and increasing membership at existing sites, while public operators have generated growth largely from existing facilities, increasing both membership and visit frequency.

If current rates of growth were maintained, UK Active projects membership could rise to around 17 million by 2032 – equivalent to approximately one in four people – and 22 million by 2039, or around one in three.

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However, Saunders warned against assuming growth will automatically continue at its current pace.

The biggest volume of members currently comes from 25- to 34-year-olds, with around 60 per cent reporting gym membership, while Gen Z participation appears to be plateauing at a high base.

Older adults are emerging as a particularly important opportunity. Membership among over-55s has increased by 44 per cent, according to data presented at the Congress, although participation remains considerably below that of younger age groups.

Saunders said this demographic could have some of the most significant health gains from becoming more active, while also potentially reducing pressure on the NHS through prevention.

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The analysis also highlighted inequalities in the industry’s recent growth.

Participation among ABC1 socioeconomic groups has risen strongly, while growth among C2DE groups has been much more modest. The barriers are also different: ABC1 consumers are more likely to identify cost as an issue, while confidence and psychological barriers are more significant among C2DE groups.

Male participation has also been growing faster than female participation, widening the gender gap.

The session formed part of the opening programme of the 2026 HFA European Congress, which is bringing together health and fitness leaders from more than 35 countries at Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park.

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Can Man City appeal against verdict on Premier League’s charges?

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Manchester City have been found guilty by an independent commission over the club’s 115 breaches of the Premier League’s financial rules, according to The Athletic.

City insist the process “remains ongoing” surrounding the charges relating to providing accurate financial information and failing to comply with Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSR) over a nine-year period, between 2009 and 2018.

City were referred to an independent commission in February 2023 following a four-year investigation by the Premier League – one City were also accused of failing to co-operate in.

City had denied any wrongdoing throughout the process and announced their “surprise” when they were referred to an independent commission.

A City spokesperson told The Athletic: “The Premier League process remains ongoing, with significant elements to be completed, and subject to strict confidentiality. As such Manchester City FC’s position remains consistent with the club’s statement of February 2023.

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“The club has diligently respected due process for eight years on the basis the Premier League board and executive would behave as an independent, impartial and fair minded regulator, free from partisan influence.”

Now, the club will have the chance to appeal against the decision of one of the most significant court cases in the history of sport.

Regardless of the judgement, both sides – the Premier League and Manchester City – knew they would have the chance to appeal within 14 days of the ruling.

Such an appeal would trigger a fresh three-person commission to look into the case, the members of which will be selected by Murray Rosen KC, the chair of the Premier League’s judicial panel.

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This would lead to a further delay of the imposition of any sanctions or points deductions until the appeal process is complete.

However, the decision of the three-person commission would be final. City would not be able to turn to the Court of Arbitration for Sport (Cas), unlike a previous case.

In February 2020, City were found guilty of breaking Uefa’s financial fair-play (FFP) rules and were given a €30m (£26.3m) fine as well as a two-year European ban.

Manchester City will not be able to turn to Cas to spare them, unlike with their European ban from 2020
Manchester City will not be able to turn to Cas to spare them, unlike with their European ban from 2020 (PA Wire)

But after the case was taken to Cas, the ban was lifted five months later and the fine was reduced to €10m (£8.8m).

Cas said City showed “blatant disregard of Uefa’s investigative process” but cleared them of “disguising equity funds as sponsorship contribution”. City said this ruling was “validation of the club’s position and the body of evidence that it was able to present”.

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The club also aided by the fact Uefa statute only allows prosecutions within a five-year period, which meant most of the alleged breaches “were either not established or time-barred”. The Premier League did not have this problem of a cut-off, allowing them to bring charges against the club going back to 2009.

City have been England’s most successful team since the club’s fortunes were transformed by Sheikh Mansour’s takeover in 2008. The club won the Premier League three times between 2009 and 2018, a period in which the club also won one FA Cup and three League Cups.

Under manager Pep Guardiola, City won the Premier League in 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024, including an unprecedented run of four in a row. In 2023, the club also won the Champions League for the first time, completing a historic “treble” of major prizes.

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Commanders won’t place QB Jayden Daniels on injured reserve

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The Washington Commanders got some good news concerning their franchise quarterback.

Jayden Daniels won’t be placed on the injured reserve after suffering a dislocated elbow in Week 2 and is now considered week-to-week, NFL insider Ian Rapoport reported Friday.

Though he’s unlikely to be out long-term, Washington will still have to go without Daniels for its Week 3 matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, with backup QB Marcus Mariota set to lead the way.

According to Rapoport, the team came to the conclusion that Daniels wouldn’t need an IR stint after imaging was evaluated and multiple specialists were consulted.

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The injury to Daniels came in Washington’s Week 2 loss to the Dallas Cowboys on a broken play at the end of the first half. Daniels took a snap under centre, and left guard Chris Paul stepped on the quarterback’s foot as he backed away from the line of scrimmage. Daniels used his non-throwing arm to brace his fall and perhaps keep the play going, but in doing so, he injured his elbow.

In his two starts this season, the third-year QB has completed 29 of 51 passes for 260 yards and three touchdowns. He has added 100 yards rushing on 12 attempts.

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Connacht v Stormers Preview: Teams, Stats & Prediction

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BKT URC • ROUND 1

CONNACHT v STORMERS

THE SEASON STARTS HERE

Missing internationals, Mack Hansen’s return, a dramatic handicap move from Connacht -1 to -8 and two of last season’s play-off sides going head-to-head in Galway.

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CONNACHT

V

DHL STORMERS

Kick-Off

19:45

Date

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25 Sept

Venue

Dexcom

Live

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TG4

There probably isn’t a stranger game to open Connacht’s season. Two of last season’s URC play-off teams meet at Dexcom Stadium, but the sides actually taking the field are very different to the full-strength versions of Connacht and the Stormers.

Connacht finished eighth in the 2025/26 URC before losing away to Glasgow in the quarter-finals, while the Stormers finished third and reached the semi-finals.

International commitments have ripped through both squads, particularly the visitors, and the impact can be seen clearly in the betting market.

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THE MARKET HAS MOVED

Connacht opened at around -1 on the handicap. By match day that had moved all the way to approximately -8 as the scale of the Stormers’ absences became clear.

1. The Missing Internationals

Both teams are significantly below full strength, although the Stormers have been particularly badly hit by Springbok duty.

☘️ CONNACHT MISSING

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International / summer involvement:
Bundee Aki, Ciarán Frawley, Cian Prendergast, Sean Jansen, Darragh Murray, Sam Illo and Billy Bohan.

Also unavailable:
Will Connors, Hugh Gavin, Dylan Tierney-Martin, Dave Heffernan and Harry West.

🇿🇦 STORMERS MISSING

Springbok duty:
Siya Kolisi, Wilco Louw, Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, Damian Willemse, Paul de Villiers, Deon Fourie, Ntuthuko Mchunu, Zachary Porthen and Cobus Reinach.

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Injured:
Cheslin Kolbe – broken jaw.

2. Connacht By The Numbers

There was plenty to like about Connacht’s underlying numbers during the 2025/26 season. They wanted the ball, played at a high tempo and generated plenty of attacking opportunities.

2025/26 URC PERFORMANCE

53.6%

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Possession

38:41

Ball In Play

24.4

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Points / Game

3.4

Tries / Game

178.9

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Passes / Game

134.3

Carries / Game

111.5

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Rucks / Game

3.5s

Ruck Speed

197.2

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Tackles / Game

89.7%

Tackle Success

93.4%

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Scrum Success

85.6%

Lineout Success

8.5

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22 Entries / Game

9:03

Time In Opp. 22

Connacht averaged 53.6% possession, the highest figure of the four Irish provinces, while their average ball-in-play time of 38 minutes 41 seconds was also the highest.

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They averaged 178.9 passes, 134.3 carries and 111.5 rucks per game, with an average ruck speed of just 3.5 seconds.

Their defensive workload was enormous too. Connacht averaged 197.2 tackles per game while maintaining an excellent 89.7% tackle success rate.

The scrum operated at 93.4%, although an 85.6% lineout success rate leaves obvious room for improvement.

44.8%

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THE NUMBER CONNACHT MUST IMPROVE

Connacht averaged 8.5 entries into the opposition 22 and spent 9:03 per game there, but successfully converted only 44.8% of those opportunities.

Against a depleted Stormers side, Connacht cannot afford to dominate possession and territory without turning that pressure into points.

3. Why Galway Matters

5

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Straight Home Wins

1/5

Stormers Wins On Last 5 Irish Visits

33–24

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Connacht Win In Cape Town

4–2

URC H2H To Stormers

Connacht enter Round 1 having won their last five home matches in all competitions, while the Stormers have won just once on their last five visits to Ireland.

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The overall URC head-to-head favours the Stormers by four victories to two, but the most recent meeting went Connacht’s way.

18 APRIL 2026 • CAPE TOWN

DHL STORMERS

24 – 33

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CONNACHT

Connacht ended the Stormers’ four-match winning run in the series.

4. Mack Hansen Is Back

CONNACHT • NUMBER 14

MACK HANSEN RETURNS

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One of the biggest positives for Connacht is the return of Mack Hansen on the right wing, giving the backline an established international attacking threat.

There is also a Connacht debut for loosehead Francois van Wyk, while Academy back-rower Max Flynn is in line to make his senior debut from the bench.

With Ciarán Frawley unavailable, Josh Ioane starts at out-half alongside Ben Murphy, while Cathal Forde’s return gives Connacht another powerful option in midfield.

5. Connacht Starting XV

☘️ CONNACHT RUGBY

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BACKS

15 Sam Gilbert
14 Mack Hansen
13 John Devine
12 Cathal Forde
11 Finn Treacy
10 Josh Ioane
9 Ben Murphy

FORWARDS

1 Francois van Wyk
2 Eoin de Buitléar
3 Finlay Bealham
4 Niall Murray
5 Josh Murphy
6 Sean O’Brien
7 Shamus Hurley-Langton
8 Paul Boyle (C)

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REPLACEMENTS

16 Matthew Victory
17 Jordan Duggan
18 Fiachna Barrett
19 David O’Connor
20 Max Flynn
21 Caolin Blade
22 Seán Naughton
23 Shayne Bolton

6. DHL Stormers Starting XV

⚡ DHL STORMERS

BACKS

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15 Warrick Gelant
14 Seabelo Senatla
13 Ruhan Nel (C)
12 Jonathan Roche
11 Leolin Zas
10 Jurie Matthee
9 Andre Warner

FORWARDS

1 Vernon Matongo
2 André-Hugo Venter
3 Neethling Fouché
4 Riley Norton
5 JD Schickerling
6 Evan Roos
7 Louw Nel
8 Hacjivah Dayimani

REPLACEMENTS

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16 Vernon Paulo
17 Olly Reid
18 Sazi Sandi
19 Connor Evans
20 Adré Smith
21 Marcel Theunissen
22 Ezekiel Ngobeni
23 Yaqeen Ahmed

7. Three Areas That Could Decide It

KEY BATTLE 01

The Connacht Scrum

A 93.4% scrum success rate last season gives Connacht a platform they should look to exploit against a Stormers pack missing several Springboks.

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KEY BATTLE 02

Tempo & Breakdown

Connacht averaged 111.5 rucks per game at 3.5 seconds. If Ben Murphy and Josh Ioane can generate that sort of tempo, the reshuffled Stormers defence could face an enormous workload.

KEY BATTLE 03

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Take The Chances

The 44.8% successful 22-entry figure is the obvious area for improvement. Connacht cannot spend long periods on top and allow the Stormers to escape without conceding points.

⚠️ Don’t Mistake This For A Weak Stormers XV

Warrick Gelant, Seabelo Senatla, Leolin Zas, Ruhan Nel, Evan Roos, Hacjivah Dayimani and JD Schickerling give the visitors plenty of experience and attacking quality.

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Roos is a particularly obvious danger after scoring 12 URC tries last season.

8. Match Officials

REFEREE

Sam Grove-White

AR1

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Eoghan Cross

AR2

Tomas O’Sullivan

TMO

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Dave Sutherland

SPORTSNEWSIRELAND PREDICTION

CONNACHT TO MAKE HOME ADVANTAGE COUNT

The move from Connacht -1 to -8 tells its own story. Once the actual teams are considered rather than the overall strength of the two squads, Connacht have a significant opportunity.

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The Stormers still have enough individual quality to make this uncomfortable, particularly through Gelant, Senatla, Zas, Roos and Dayimani.

But Connacht have won five straight at home, beat the Stormers 33-24 in Cape Town in April and welcome Mack Hansen back into a starting XV containing plenty of experience.

Connacht to start the new URC season with a win.

CONNACHT 29–20 STORMERS

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HANDICAP: CONNACHT -8 ✓

Broadcast: TG4, Premier Sports, SuperSport, URC.tv and FloRugby. Betting markets can move before kick-off. Gamble responsibly.

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Canada’s Denis Shapovalov advances to quarterfinals at Chengdu Open

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One day after reaching a milestone, Denis Shapovalov stayed on the winning track.

The Canadian, seeded seventh, downed Vit Kopriva of Czechia 6-2, 6-3 in the round of 16 at the Chengdu Open in China on Friday.

Shapovalov’s opening-round win over Tallon Griekspoor marked his 250th career tour-level victory.

Shapovalov won 23 of his 25 points when he got his first serve in against Kopriva, who is ranked 71st in the world.

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The Canadian, ranked 50th, will tangle with world No. 78 Adrian Mannarino of France in the quarterfinals at the ATP Tour 250 event.

Shapovalov has a 3-1 career record against the 38-year-old Mannarino, including a win this summer in Cincinnati.

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Teofimo Lopez sums up Jaron Ennis’ chances of beating Terence Crawford in comeback fight

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Teofimo Lopez has considered the physical and psychological hurdles that Jaron Ennis would need to overcome against Terence Crawford.

While he claims to be happily retired, there appears to be a popular demand for Crawford to return to the ring and face two-division unified champion Ennis.

This is in spite of ‘Bud’ calling time on his career in December, having become a three-division undisputed king by dethroning Canelo Alvarez with a unanimous decision victory.

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But while this legacy-defining moment arrived at 168lbs, most would argue that the five-division world champion was more effective at 147lbs, where he defeated Errol Spence Jr with a ninth-round finish in 2023.

Ennis, meanwhile, moved up from welterweight and dethroned Xander Zayas for the WBO and WBA world super-welterweight titles in June.

As a result of his seventh-round stoppage, many now consider him the top dog at 154lbs, where he aims to become the undisputed king by defeating fellow champions Josh Kelly and Sebastian Fundora.

Equally, though, the 29-year-old would gladly enter a showdown with Crawford who, even at 38, is regarded by Lopez as the superior fighter.

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Speaking with Ring Champs, ‘The Takeover’ highlighted Crawford’s mental strength as a reason for backing the modern great if he ever locks horns with Ennis.

“Crawford [would win]. For Boots to fall into a trap like that [Crawford teasing his comeback] … he’s not prepared [to get] in the ring [and] go all the way, physically.”

While mentioning Crawford’s appetite for a game of chess, too, Lopez is perhaps suggesting that Ennis would fall short in the tactical department of their possible contest.

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Magnatear’s Shannon Stakes campaign back on track for 2026

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Richard and Will Freedman had initially thought Magnatear would be a doubtful starter in the 2026 Shannon Stakes. However, a reconsideration has led to the consistent gelding being entered for the race.

The original strategy was to give Magnatear one more run in the Alan Brown Stakes (1400m) prior to his main objective, the $3 million Big Dance (1600m) at Randwick on Melbourne Cup day.

Will Freedman conveyed that the decision was made to give the seven-year-old an additional start this weekend, ensuring he reaches peak fitness for the major November feature.

“We’d hate to be half a run short coming into the Big Dance, so we thought we’d give him an extra run now rather than try to squeeze one in after the Alan Brown if we felt he was slightly underdone,” Will Freedman explained. “It will be this one, then the Alan Brown, and then the Big Dance.”

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Magnatear has been a standout performer for the Freedmans since joining their stable just under two years prior.

Having earned a spot in The Big Dance by winning the Muswellbrook Cup (1500m) in March, he returned with what many consider a career-best effort when runner-up to Skyhook in the Theo Marks Stakes (1300m).

The gelding has recorded seven wins and 15 placings from 32 career starts, amassing over $750,000 in prize money, and Will Freedman highlighted his importance to the stable’s success.

“He’s a fine wine. He just gets better,” he commented. “I was having a conversation with a friend of mine and he said, ‘he’s so good for your business’, and I said, ‘no he’s actually terrible for my business because if he wasn’t around there might have been times I could have gone on to a different career and lived a comfortable life!’ He just keeps coming back and he’s so honest. If you had a barn full of horses like him you’d be very happy.”

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A field of ten runners is set to contest the Shannon Stakes, with the victor receiving exemption from ballot and penalty for the Group 1 Epsom Handicap (1600m) at Randwick the following week.

Magnatear has drawn the inside alley and has a solid record when racing second-up, having only missed a top-three finish on one occasion in five starts.

Compare the latest sports betting offers from Australian betting sites.

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Heys’ colt Freshman to debut in 2025 Heritage Stakes

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Connections of Freshman are set to receive an immediate assessment of the three-year-old’s capabilities when he makes his debut in the Listed Heritage Stakes at Rosehill.

Trainer Bryce Heys, usually measured in his horse placements, has been drawn to the small field of eight, combined with the natural talent and progression his charge has exhibited at home.

While acknowledging the considerable task Freshman faces in competing in a Listed race on debut, Heys anticipates the colt will hold his own.

“The reason we’ve always liked him is the way he works,” Heys said. “When you teach him something, he’s always wanted to come to the party. It’s obviously a big ask on Saturday, but he’s in great order and he’s a lovely horse.”

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The colt, by Wild Ruler, was bred in New Zealand and purchased for $380,000 from the 2025 Karaka sale. He underwent two trials in preparation for Saturday’s Heritage Stakes (1100m), winning his most recent hit-out, although he did tug for rein early. Heys attributed this to a lack of pace in the heat, rather than any indication of bad manners.

“They went very slow in that last trial. It wasn’t a true reflection,” Heys commented. “He will come back off the bridle. He has always been a touch immature, but he’s always had a sharp level of ability and just physically gotten stronger each time he’s been in work.”

Heys also has the lightly-raced Banjora entered in the TAB Handicap (1100m), but a decision on whether the gelding resumes from an awkward draw will be made on race morning.

Having won his first three starts, the five-year-old then placed in the Gosford heat of the Provincial-Midway Championships (1200m) before finishing fourth to Lord Of Biscay in the Wildcard (1400m). Lord Of Biscay subsequently claimed the Final.

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“I’m not in a hurry to get him started. He’s obviously drawn a bit tricky,” Heys stated. “It’s just the fact he’s first-up and starting first-up quite higher in grade than he has previously, so I’m mindful of that, despite his ability. We’ve got him in there as if we’re going to run, but I haven’t committed to that yet.”

Heys described Banjora as a robust gelding who would benefit from racing, and added that he has had an uninterrupted build-up. “We love the horse, but I don’t have a grand plan for him,” he said. “I just feel he needs a little bit of racing. He may get himself somewhere this time around, but I just want him to have a good ‘prep’ where he sets himself up for a really nice autumn.”

Aaron Bullock is booked to partner both of Heys’ runners.

The Heritage Stakes is a key race for the three-year-olds, and punters are checking the racing odds at various bookmakers.

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