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Sports

Victor Wembanyama’s Game 3 Explosion Shows Why the NBA Should Be Worried

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It’s almost a matter of time until San Antonio Spurs star Victor Wembanyama owns the NBA.

It’s no secret that Wembanyama is one of the game’s fastest rising superstars. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft accepted his first defensive player of the year award and is nominated for the league’s MVP.

Wembanyama’s Spurs finished as the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with the second-best record in the NBA, only behind the Oklahoma City Thunder.

But Wemby’s performance in Friday night’s Game 3 victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves showcased why he’s just different.

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Remember, Wemby is still only 22. In Game 1 of this Western Conference Semifinals series, he had a bit of a clunker offensively. The Timberwolves secured a shocking upset over the Spurs because Wembanyama scored just 11 points on 5-of-17 shooting. He was 0-for-8 from deep. The Spurs won Game 2 in blowout fashion, but Wembanyama was only slightly better offensively, scoring 19 points.

It all came together for Wembanyama in Game 3’s takedown of the Timberwolves, where he scored 39 points and was 13-of-18 from the field. He added 15 rebounds and five blocks. The Spurs now have a 2-1 series lead over the Timberwolves and were suffocated by Wembanyama in the latest game.

Not many NBA teams have a solution for Wembanyama. At the end of the day, the world doesn’t have too many 7-foot-4 aliens who can run and jump with extreme fluidity.

It’s crazy to think that he’s already an MVP candidate while still developing. Defensively, there’s no better player in the entire NBA. Offensively, Wembanyama is still developing consistency. But Friday night offered a glimpse into what the future could look like once he puts it all together offensively – and it’s pretty damn scary.

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Forget about his underrated ability to handle the basketball, drive to the basket, and take practically anything he wants around the rim. In Game 3’s victory, Wembanyama was 3-of-5 from deep. How can anybody realistically expect to guard that?

And the Spurs needed Wemby to be that dominant offensively on Friday. It was a narrow 115-108 victory. Already, Wembanyama is figuring out how to impact winning. The NBA has plenty of stars that could pour in 39 points and look somewhat efficient while doing so. But a lot of those players are “empty stats guys” like James Harden who aren’t necessarily making a winning impact, despite having the ability to pour in a lot of points.

The Spurs have a 22% chance of winning the NBA Finals on Kalshi, a popular prediction market that allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events. That’s the second-best probability behind the Thunder. Wembanyama’s team is one of the favorites to win the NBA Championship, and he’s not even at the height of his powers yet.

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How six Premier League teams could qualify for UCL after Chelsea draw

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Chelsea may have picked up their first point in Premier League play since March 4 with Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Liverpool, but it is little consolation to the Blues as their chances of qualifying for next season’s UEFA Champions League continue to dim – even as a bonus sixth spot becomes closer to a reality.

The Blues currently sit in ninth place thanks to their poor run of form, despite sitting level on points with the Reds in early March. They entered the weekend nine points behind fifth-place Aston Villa with three games to go, a win at Anfield the only way they could mathematically begin the comeback. Fifth place now eludes them, but the Champions League is technically still within their sights – but it will depend on a lot of favors, and for them to actually pick up their form with two games to go.

A special set of circumstances could see a sixth Premier League team enter the Champions League next season, but Chelsea have to dig themselves out of their own mess first. Bournemouth, Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford all entered the weekend ahead of the Blues and though just three points separated the four teams before this round of matches began, one of them just might be more likely to reach Europe’s top club competition than two-time winners Chelsea.

How the Premier League’s sixth-place team could qualify for the Champions League

The Premier League was guaranteed to have four teams in next season’s edition of the Champions League, but in the new Swiss style format introduced in the 2024-25 season, a bonus berth each is available to the two countries atop UEFA’s association club coefficient rankings. The rankings are determined by the performance of those countries’ clubs in European competitions each season and are currently led by England and Italy, the Premier League bolstered by the fact that all six of this season’s participants advanced to the knockouts and that Arsenal will take part in the final against Paris Saint-Germain on May 30.

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That’s how the Premier League earned a fifth spot, though it is one that many expected for England’s top flight, and seems likely to go to Aston Villa at this point. There’s a unique quirk in this whole scenario, though — Villa are off to the UEFA Europa League final on May 20, where they play Freiburg in a competition where winners take home a well-earned European trophy and a Champions League berth.

This is where things get tricky. It’s a well established rule that winning the Europa League only generates an extra spot for the team that wins it. So, for example, if you win the Europa League and win your domestic league, congratulations, you’ve qualified twice for the Champions League, but nobody else gets the benefit. Your league wouldn’t expand from four to five spots (or five to six). That’s not the same as the extra Champions League spot leagues win for performance in the Champions League though. That’s just always tacked on at the end.

So here’s what that means for England if we follow the bouncing ball. If Aston Villa win the Europa League and finish fourth in the Premier League, then they’ve qualified for the Champions League twice, to nobody else’s benefit. Then, the extra Champions League spot from the coefficient ranking goes to the fifth-place team in England. However, if Villa win the Europa League and finish fifth in the Premier League, then the top four in England qualify, Aston Villa qualify via solely the Europa League, and then the coefficient spot gets awarded, meaning the sixth place team in England goes to the Champions League. Simple.

This is a noticeably more complicated scenario than last season, though the same operation is at play, more or less. Six Premier League teams reached the Champions League because Tottenham Hotspur won the Europa League, the top four qualified, and then the bonus spot went to the first team that hadn’t already qualified, which was the fifth-place finisher.

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Who’s in the running for sixth?

Chelsea are still mathematically able to finish sixth, but their late-season slump has really put a dent in their chances of reaching the Champions League. Bournemouth, Brighton and Brentford all entered the weekend above the Blues and will stay there for another week regardless of their own results because Chelsea’s draw at Liverpool was not enough to lift them out of ninth, even temporarily. Everton are also mathematically in the hunt, depending on how results fall.

Much of it will come down to the final weeks of the season. The Premier League title race — or whatever is left of it — will run through this race, with challengers Manchester City to face Brentford and Bournemouth during that stretch. The same is true for the relegation race, with Spurs hoping to stay safe in an upcoming battle against Chelsea, while Nottingham Forest hope to have secured safety from the drop before the final day against Bournemouth.

Could Chelsea miss out on Europe altogether?

There is a very real possibility that Chelsea will sit out of European competition completely next season. Only the top seven are guaranteed continental play next season — currently, the sixth-place team will qualify for the Europa League’s league phase and the seventh-place side will enter the final qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League. If a sixth Champions League spot comes into play, expect the Europa League berth to land at seventh place and the Conference League berth to fall to the eighth-place team. That would mean whoever sits in ninth would miss out entirely.

Chelsea do have one more option available to them, though — they will play Manchester City in the FA Cup final on May 16 and if they win, they will qualify for the Europa League.

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Liverpool still lack identity and Arne Slot needs to fix that

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If Arne Slot has not realised already, then he needs to realise very quickly that the Anfield crowd demands energy and a certain intensity from its side.

Far too often at home this season, Liverpool have lacked a spark – something that the crowd can feed off – and kill the opposition off when they take the lead.

When they went in front early against a Chelsea side that had lost their last six Premier League games, Slot’s side should have used that as the moment to dominate the match and secure an important win.

Instead, they allowed Calum McFarlane’s out-of-form side a way back into the game.

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“The adjustment we made at half-time helped us be the more dominant team in the second half. We were twice close,” claimed Slot.

“So it is not fair to me to say I ever tell my players to back off and not press. If it did look like that, it was never the intention,” he added.

Enzo Fernandez’s equaliser for Chelsea means Liverpool have now dropped nine points from winning positions in Premier League home games this season, their most at Anfield since 2015-16, when Jurgen Klopp replaced Brendan Rodgers as the manager.

“Our identity is intensity” was the phrase coined by Pep Lijnders when he was Liverpool‘s assistant manager under Klopp.

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Slot’s brief was always to do things his own way and never to be like Klopp but his side has lacked any identity this season and have next to no intensity.

“I thought Liverpool actually started quite well, got the goal, and then from there Chelsea were the better team. They caused Liverpool big problems, especially Marc Cucurella running behind,” said Wayne Rooney on Match of the Day.

“The crowd were obviously a bit edgy, which you very rarely get from Liverpool fans. It comes from not having the season they hoped for, and after spending a lot of money,” added Rooney.

Not for the first time this season, there were loud boos at full-time even though Liverpool had not lost the game. Discontent online is one thing, but it is becoming clearer that even the match-going fans are getting frustrated.

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“That’s probably got something to do with us not winning, ” Slot told TNT Sports. “It completely makes sense people are disappointed if Liverpool don’t win.”

Midfielder Ryan Gravenberch added: “To be honest, we need them behind us. OK we didn’t win, but I don’t really think we deserved this [reaction].

“The fans have to be behind us for the full 90 minutes because when they were behind us in the second half, we were pressing really well. We need them. Hopefully they wouldn’t do it again in the next two games.”

Asked later in his post-match press conference how the boos felt, Slot struggled to find the right words in English, but said: “I would love to show them [the fans] something else but at this moment we are not able to.

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“We are able to be a dominant team and have more of the ball and I want to give them much more to be positive about and happy about and I am 100% sure the team wants the same.”

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Michael Carrick did what he promised vs Sunderland – some Man United players sealed their own fate

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Manchester United are back in the Champions League next season but on the evidence of their draw at Sunderland they don’t have the squad to challenge on two fronts.

If this was a taster of what could have happened to Manchester United had Michael Carrick not been able to pick a pretty settled team for the past four months, then the head coach will be counting his blessings tonight.

Carrick found a winning formula early on in his interim role and rarely had to change the ingredients too much, but a couple of injuries and a desire to freshen things up saw him change almost half the team at Sunderland. The response was a performance in keeping with the weather.

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We’re at the time of the season when teams can be on the beach. United have achieved their objective for the season and could be forgiven for taking their foot off the pedal. There is a beach less than a mile from the Stadium of Light, but this wasn’t a day for building sandcastles.

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The temperature barely crept above zero and it would have been pretty frosty in that away dressing room at full-time. Carrick has already done enough to land this job beyond the end of the season, but a veteran of the Sir Alex Ferguson era who cut his teeth coaching under Jose Mourinho isn’t the type to abide a performance such as this one.

Carrick had said on Thursday that he was aware some players hadn’t played as much as they might have hoped, but we’ll never know how much his selection in the north east was based on remedying that, and how much was due to injuries.

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The loss of Casemiro was certainly damaging. Kobbie Mainoo and Mason Mount are technically sound midfielders, but they lacked the bite required in the centre of the pitch in the Premier League. It was a reminder of why signing the right No.6 this summer is the centrepiece of the transfer window.

Casemiro’s passing is an often underrated weapon and United did struggle to progress the ball between the lines, but they also lacked presence. The five-time Champions League winner will take some replacing, and whether it’s Elliot Anderson, Aurelien Tchouameni or someone else who is tasked with the job, they have big boots to fill.

Mount worked hard defensively and put himself about, but he certainly didn’t look the answer in a deeper role. Neither did Joshua Zirkzee as a No.9. Mount and Zirkzee were making their first starts under Carrick and if these were intended auditions, neither passed, although it is Mount who clearly has the more secure Old Trafford future.

With Champions League football secure, Carrick knows United need a bigger squad, and he will need to use more players next season. This was evidence that, as it stands, this squad isn’t equipped with the depth required to compete on two fronts.

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They just couldn’t keep possession in the early stages and their problems were twofold. Sunderland’s aggressive press forced them to regularly cough up the ball in dangerous areas, with Lisandro Martinez struggling to find his radar and the rest of the back four not in the same league when it comes to taking the ball under pressure.

To try and alleviate some of the pressure, Senne Lammens was going long. The Belgian was stung by his first major error with the ball at his feet last weekend and looked keen to avoid a repeat, but Zirkzee lacks the physicality and tenacity to make those passes stick. He was bullied by Nordi Mukiele and Omar Alderete.

Lammens might not yet be pinging passes between the lines, but he is making saves. He denied Noah Sadiki with a superb stop after Sunderland had cut through United, then flung himself at Brian Brobbey’s feet after the striker had turned Martinez.

Chances at the other end were few and far between. Amad curled a shot just wide and Zirkzee sent a free header over. Even the half-chances were more promising for Sunderland. Sadiki had another shot blocked and Brobbey, who was all over Martinez, dragged a shot wide.

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The second half offered little respite. United’s best opportunity came early, when a fortunate deflection sent the ball spinning through to Amad, only for the Sunderland loanee to get his pass into the middle wrong.

Sunderland soon had the whip hand again. Lammens produced an excellent save from Brobbey after a scrappy passage of play in which the hosts’ desire to win the ball was the difference.

Carrick tried to muster a response from the bench, turning to the returning Patrick Dorgu and the dropped Bryan Mbeumo, but it had little effect.

He will at least console himself with the fact that the job is done for this season. But this was the first glimpse of what will be needed next season, when United will play closer to 60 games than 40. It only highlighted how much work there is to do this summer, and that director of football Jason Wilcox and head of recruitment Christopher Vivell have to ensure they equip Carrick with a stronger squad than this.

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Sky Sports, HBO Max, Netflix and Disney+ with Ultimate TV package

This article contains affiliate links, we will receive a commission on any sales we generate from it. Learn more
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Sky has upgraded its Ultimate TV and Sky Sports bundle to now include HBO Max, Netflix, Disney+, discovery+ and Hayu, as well as 135 channels and full Sky coverage of the Premier League and EFL.

Sky broadcasts more than 1,400 live matches across the Premier League, EFL and more with at least 215 live from the top flight alongside Formula 1, darts and golf.

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Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois LIVE: Start time, undercard, fight updates and results tonight

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Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois LIVE: Fight card in full

Fabio Wardley (C) vs Daniel Dubois (WBO heavyweight title)

Jack Rafferty vs Ekow Essuman (super-lightweight)

Bradley Rea vs Liam Cameron (light-heavyweight)

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David Morrell vs Zak Chelli (light-heavyweight)

Khaleel Majid vs Gavin Gwynne (super-lightweight)

Bakhodir Jalolov vs Agron Smakici (heavyweight)

Ekow Essuman enters this event after beating Josh Taylor then losing to Jack Catterall
Ekow Essuman enters this event after beating Josh Taylor then losing to Jack Catterall (PA)

Alex Pattle9 May 2026 17:18

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Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois LIVE: How to watch fight

DAZN will broadcast tonight’s fights
DAZN will broadcast tonight’s fights (Getty)

We may earn commission from some of the links in this article, but we never allow this to influence our content. This revenue helps to fund journalism across The Independent.

Alex Pattle9 May 2026 17:12

Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois LIVE: Start time tonight

The main card will begin at 6.30pm BST (10.30am PT / 12.30pm CT / 1.30pm ET), with main-event ring walks following at around 11pm BST (3pm PT / 5pm CT / 6pm ET).

Alex Pattle9 May 2026 17:06

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Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois LIVE: Welcome!

Wardley (20-0-1, 19 KOs) and Dubois (22-3, 21 KOs) will headline at the Co-op Live arena, as Wardley aims to keep the WBO strap and stay unbeaten.

Fabio Wardley (left) and Daniel Dubois during their final pre-fight face-off
Fabio Wardley (left) and Daniel Dubois during their final pre-fight face-off (Reuters)

Alex Pattle9 May 2026 17:00

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Sabalenka hints at tennis Grand Slam boycott; Iga, Emma stay non-committal | Other Sports News

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World number one Aryna Sabalenka said players could consider boycotting a Grand Slam in the future amid the ongoing dispute over prize money and revenue-sharing at tennis majors.

 


Speaking ahead of the Italian Open in Rome, Sabalenka said players may eventually need stronger action to push for what they believe are fairer financial terms.

 

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While several leading players backed calls for increased prize money, opinions remained divided on the possibility of a boycott. Iga Swiatek preferred further discussions with governing bodies, while Emma Raducanu said she would not support skipping the sport’s biggest tournaments.


Players seek bigger share of revenue


The debate over prize money intensified after leading men’s and women’s players expressed disappointment with the financial package for this year’s French Open. Players are demanding a larger percentage of revenue generated by the four Grand Slams, along with improved benefit contributions and greater involvement in decisions related to scheduling and tournament operations.

 
 

Sabalenka said players increasingly feel united on the issue and believe their contribution is central to the sport’s entertainment value. She added that discussions among players have become more open regarding collective action. 
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Gauff open to collective action


World number four America’s Coco Gauff said a boycott could become possible if players acted together as one group. Gauff indicated that a stronger player organisation may be necessary to achieve significant changes in the sport.

 


World number two Elena Rybakina also suggested she would support a boycott if it became the majority position among players.


Swiatek prefers negotiations


Iga Swiatek supported calls for higher prize money but described a boycott as an extreme step. The Polish player said discussions and negotiations with governing bodies should continue before considering stronger measures.

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She added that individual competition in tennis makes collective action more complicated compared to team sports.


Raducanu rules herself out


Meanwhile, Emma Raducanu said Grand Slam tournaments remain the most important events in tennis and stated she would not take part in a boycott. The British player said the value of competing at the majors goes beyond financial rewards.

 

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Meanwhile, world number five Jessica Pegula reiterated support for improved player compensation but had previously indicated that players were unlikely to strike against the Grand Slams.

 

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2026 Truist Championship Saturday tee times: Round 3 groupings

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Man City vs Brentford LIVE: Team news and line-ups from crucial Premier League clash

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Gvardiol is ready to play

A final injury update from Pep Guardiola who also spoke about defender Josko Gvardiol.

“He’s [Gvardiol] training and feels good,” said Guardiola.

“It’s been many months, last season he was the important player for us with many injuries, he plays all the games, but the body says at one moment enough is enough.

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“We are happy he’s back. Hopefully he can help us in the last part of the season and have a good World Cup with Croatia and next season we can have him again at his best.

“He’s an important player, central defender, full-back, can play different roles, he’s so fast and quick.”

Mike Jones9 May 2026 15:24

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Guardiola’s update on Rodri

There is no certainty around Rodri’s inclusion today and Pep Guardiola confirmed as much in his press conference on Friday.

He said: “We’ll see this afternoon. We have survived without him for many months.

“Still he doesn’t feel completely comfortable and when he will be ready to come back we’ll see this afternoon, hopefully tomorrow.”

(Reuters)

Mike Jones9 May 2026 15:18

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Foden ‘did well’ against Everton

More from Guardiola who explained that Foden’s return against Everton went well.

“He had good minutes and movements against Everton,” said the City boss.

“We talk about it. Phil, what is your biggest quality as a player? Turn and go and attack the box, don’t lose that.

“He is not a player to control the game. Your quality is being a machine to attack the ball with a sense of assist and goals.

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“It happened two or three times against Everton in a tough moment when we were one or two down, it’s not easy but he did really well.”

Mike Jones9 May 2026 15:12

No doubts over Foden

“I said many times, there’s no doubts about Phil [Foden] and his impact,” said Pep Guardiola in Friday’s press conference.

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He added: “He’s a homegrown player from the Academy who’s been massively important in our seasons together.

“I wish from the bottom of my heart he can come back and play his best years with us and help to continue the team to be what it deserves to be.”

Mike Jones9 May 2026 15:06

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How Bournemouth, Brentford and Brighton could qualify for Champions League this season

It is the second consecutive year that the Premier League has earned an additional spot, with the English top flight at the top of the European Performance Standings (EPS) after its clubs reached the final of all three European competitions.

Mike Jones9 May 2026 15:00

Brentford early team news

Jordan Henderson is set to have some involvement in a significant boost for Brentford. Vitaly Janelt is also nearing a return, but Rico Henry is not ready yet.

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Predicted Brentford XI: Kelleher; Kayode, Van den Berg, Collins, Hickey; Jensen, Yarmolyuk; Ouattara, Damsgaard, Lewis-Potter; Thiago.

Mike Jones9 May 2026 14:54

Man City early team news

Manchester City remain without Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, though both are nearing a return, and Rodri continues to battle a groin problem. Mateo Kovacic may come into Pep Guardiola’s starting midfield.

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Predicted Manchester City XI: Donnarumma; Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly; Kovacic, Silva; Semenyo, Cherki, Doku; Haaland.

Mike Jones9 May 2026 14:48

How can I watch it?

Viewers in the United Kingdom can watch the match live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.

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A live stream will be available via Sky Go and NOW.

Mike Jones9 May 2026 14:42

When is Manchester City vs Brentford?

Manchester City vs Brentford is due to kick off at 5.30pm BST on Saturday 9 May at the Etihad Stadium.

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Mike Jones9 May 2026 14:36

Man City vs Brentford

Though they salvaged a draw at the last, two dropped points against Everton could be costly for Pep Guardiola’s side with their rivals now five points clear at the top of the table.

While Manchester City still have a game in hand, they will need Arsenal to slip up and must take care of their own business against a visiting team with plenty to play for themselves.

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Brentford appear to be battling with Bournemouth and Brighton for sixth place and a success here would be a significant boost to their chances.

Mike Jones9 May 2026 14:30

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Shawn Porter sums up Conor Benn’s chances of beating Ryan Garcia for world title

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Having previously shared four rounds of sparring with Conor Benn, former world champion Shawn Porter has considered how the Brit might fare against Ryan Garcia.

‘The Destroyer’ comes off a comfortable 10-round points victory over Regis Prograis, featuring on the undercard of Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov last month.

In doing so, he remained in the win column at a catchweight of 150lbs after exacting his revenge over Chris Eubank Jr in their middleweight rematch last November.

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As the WBC’s highest-ranked welterweight contender, though, Benn is set to drop back down to 147lbs in pursuit of a showdown with Ryan Garcia.

The American claimed his WBC world title in February, dethroning Mario Barrios with a one-sided points victory after flooring his man in the opening round.

As a result, Garcia secured his first victory since scoring an eighth-round finish over Oscar Duarte in 2023, which was followed by a no-contest against Devin Haney and a unanimous decision loss to Rolando Romero.

Hoping for a more consistent run of form, the 27-year-old is set to defend his title later this year, perhaps in the summer, with mandatory challenger Benn having emerged as a likely opponent.

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But while crediting Benn for his “versatility”, Porter has told Boxing King Media that he believes the speed of Garcia could potentially lead to a dramatic finish.

“Based on how Ryan Garcia looked in his last fight, it looks like he beats Conor Benn.

“The style clash favours Ryan Garcia because of his speed – because of his power from the outside – so it’s definitely a tough fight for Conor Benn.

“I would say 60/40 [that] Ryan Garcia wins that fight, possibly [by] KO. But Conor is very tough. That’s what I already knew about him, but I got to see it first-hand when we sparred.

“He’s much more versatile than [what] we saw in the first fight with Eubank. He comes back in the rematch against Eubank and we see the versatility, we see the speed, the foot movement and things of that nature.

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“Those were the things I saw when I sparred him for four easy rounds.”

Despite their related history of failing doping tests, or perhaps partly because of it, a clash between Garcia and Benn is likely to attract considerable attention.

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Marquez out of next two races after crash

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Defending MotoGP champion Marc Marquez will miss the rest of the French Grand Prix and next week’s Catalan Grand Prix after fracturing his foot in a crash on Saturday.

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2026 NBA Draft Lottery Primer: Could Thunder land No. 1 pick?

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The culmination of a season’s “work” from about one-third of the NBA will be realized on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET in Chicago.

The 2025-26 NBA season saw unprecedented levels of tanking as teams opted to align themselves with a 2026 draft class that comes with great promise and expectation.

The question that now remains, for those teams that blatantly focused on collecting ping-pong balls (hey there Washington, Utah, Indiana, Brooklyn and Sacramento): was subjecting your fanbase to a mere facsimile of NBA basketball and creating possible ill will with the league office ultimately worth it?

Land within the top four, and it just might have been, particularly because this is the last year that this style of lottery will be in place. Next season, a reported “3-2-1” system will be up and running, meaning teams like Washington or Utah this season would be in the “relegation zone” and see their lottery odds drop significantly.

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So, not only does this year promise to be one of the most consequential draft classes ever, the lottery could be very much the same as it could signify the end of the lose-to-win mentality of team-building.

Here’s more on what Sunday will have in store.

The lottery system, as we know it, has been in place since the 2018 draft.

As the system will play out on Sunday, the team with the worst record in basketball this season — the Washington Wizards (17-65) — will be able to pick no lower than fifth in the draft. Meanwhile, the teams with the three worst records from this season — the Wizards, Indiana Pacers (19-63) and Brooklyn Nets (20-62) — will each have a 14 per cent shot at winning the lottery.

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Unlike the NHL, the NBA doesn’t show the drama of the ping pong balls bouncing around inside the tube and then being sucked up for the presenter to then name what’s on the ball — at least, not live. The NBA conducts the actual drawing in private and later releases a video of the proceedings. To ensure the public that there’s no “frozen-envelope” shenanigans happening behind the scenes, the NBA invites team representatives and invites select members of the media into the drawing room to observe.

What the public sees on the broadcast, when deputy commissioner Mark Tatum is revealing the placards with the team names and logos from oversized envelopes, are team representatives up on stage — usually a member of the front office or ownership, a current team player or a team “legend.”

For example, Atlanta Hawks general manager Onsi Saleh will be on stage for his team, Hall of Famer Vince Carter will represent the Brooklyn Nets, and rookie of the year runner-up Kon Knueppel will represent the Charlotte Hornets.

No one on stage is supposed to know what the results are from the drawing room, so their reactions to events should all be genuine. Nothing that happens on stage should impact what happens with the actual draw in any way.

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And, as a reminder, the lottery consists of just 14 teams. As was the case last year with the San Antonio Spurs, a single team can have multiple picks in the same lottery should prior transactions allow that to happen. Additionally, teams will have a chance to leap up into the top four of the draft, with the teams with the three worst records given equally the best chances to do so. Otherwise, teams’ odds to both win the lottery or leap into the top four are determined by their record.

The following table shows each team’s chances of winning the lottery and leaping up into the top four.

You’ll notice there are asterisks next to a few teams. More on those below.

Now for the fun stuff — if the consequences of previous trades are your idea of a good time, that is.

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Remember those asterisks in the table above? That’s where the real drama of the draft lottery lies, and where, if you have no real rooting interest in any of the teams participating in the lottery, your interest could be piqued.

Not doing it for you? How about this: the defending NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder could win the No. 1 overall pick.

The reason for this can be traced back to when the Los Angeles Clippers decided to trade for Paul George by sending out five first-round picks, two first-round pick swaps, veteran forward Danilo Gallinari and a relatively unknown kid from Canada named Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who was just coming off a solid All-Rookie second team season that year.

Since the Clippers missed the playoffs this season, their (unprotected) pick will be conveyed to the Thunder. At No. 12 in the pre-lottery odds, it doesn’t seem likely, but there’s still a 7.1 per cent chance the Thunder could leap into the top four, and a 1.5 per cent shot they grab the No. 1 overall pick to add to their potential dynasty.

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Additionally, in a different Clippers transaction that occurred at this year’s trade deadline, L.A. dealt centre Ivica Zubac to the Indiana Pacers for a protected first-round pick. Should this pick fall within Nos. 5-9, the Clippers will be picking in Indiana’s spot. This is a gamble that slightly favours the Pacers, who have a little over a 52 per cent chance to land in the top four and approximately a 48 per cent chance to land within pick Nos. 5 and 6 – where it would be conveyed to the Clippers.

Elsewhere, the Hawks aren’t officially listed among teams in the lottery this year, but they most certainly will be able to make a lottery selection come June 23.

In one of the most stunning and head-scratching draft-day deals executed in recent memory, the New Orleans Pelicans traded up with the Hawks last year for the draft rights of Derik Queen in exchange for the draft rights to Asa Newell and a first-round pick in this year’s draft. That pick conveys to Atlanta as the better of those between the Pelicans and the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks won’t go away from this empty-handed, however, as they’ll receive the lesser of their own pick or the New Orleans pick.

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Essentially, the Hawks are being given an opportunity to pick likely no worse than 10th, with a decent shot to land within the top four and at No. 1 after winning 46 games and reaching the playoffs for the first time since 2023. Milwaukee is going to get a chance to pick in the lottery in some form, and the Pelicans are getting nothing — although Queen could make an All-Rookie team for their troubles.

Who could go first overall?

Given what we saw from this season’s crop of rookies, the 2026 class has a lot to live up to, but it’s being hailed as one of the strongest classes in some time.

This is the primary reason for the shameless tanking we saw during the regular season. Virtually any player you can name that’s projected to go within the lottery is projected to, at minimum, have a floor of being a solid NBA starter with all-star or even All-NBA potential outside of the top three.

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Instead of explaining each of their individual games, just go ahead and click on their names and check out some of their mixtapes.

It’s worth noting that Peterson has been controversial because of how few games he’s played this season. As ESPN’s Ramona Shelburne reported, however, Peterson was experiencing full-body cramps because of a high dosage of creatine.

Whether Peterson’s image can be rehabilitated in time is one of the biggest questions leading into the draft, as his silence on the matter during the season led many to criticize the 19-year-old’s desire and competitive spirit. It’s something that could see even him drop out of the top three, a notion that previously seemed inconceivable.

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