Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Gold Price Analysis: Time’s Up for Metals?

Published

on

Gold price staged a recovery on Wednesday, climbing 1.6% to settle at $4,550 even as geopolitical narratives shifted the analysis rapidly.

Gold price staged a defiant recovery on Wednesday, climbing 1.6% to settle at $4,550 even as geopolitical narratives shifted the analysis rapidly. The rebound was fueled by declining oil prices and reports of a potential Washington-brokered proposal to end the conflict in the Middle East.

While President Trump suggested negotiations with Tehran are active, Iranian officials have issued a stern denial, creating a volatile backdrop for safe-haven assets.

Spot markets reacted swiftly. Gold futures delivery surged over 3%, last seen at $4,545.50 per ounce. However, the broader trend remains concerning for bulls. Since March 4, the metal has suffered a 10% drop, significantly underperforming digital assets like Bitcoin, which has retraced only 4.5% in the same period. This divergence suggests that while headlines move prices momentarily, the underlying capital rotation favors digital scarcity.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Gold Price Analysis: Can XAU Sustain Gains Above $4,550?

Tether Gold (XAUT), the crypto-native proxy for the metal, mirrors the spot recovery, trading at $4,553. This bounce, while welcome, does not erase the technical damage inflicted earlier in the month. The asset is currently trading in a noise vacuum, lacking the clearly defined support levels visible in the crypto market.

Analysts are watching the correlation between gold’s recovery and the digital asset market’s resilience. Bitcoin currently holds a critical floor above $70,000, with resistance stacking up near $74,500. If the safe-haven narrative flips decisively back to digital assets, driven by the “remarkable relative strength” noted by institutional researchers, gold’s current rally could prove to be a localized bull trap.

Advertisement
Gold price staged a recovery on Wednesday, climbing 1.6% to settle at $4,550 even as geopolitical narratives shifted the analysis rapidly.
XAUT USDT, TradingView

Recent data indicate a similar volatility pattern in silver markets, suggesting this is a sector-wide liquidity test rather than a gold-specific breakout. Unless gold can reclaim the structural highs lost in early March, the path of least resistance remains sideways to down.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

LiquidChain Targets Cross-Chain Upside as Commodities Stall

Gold’s volatility, driven by contradictory war reports rather than fundamental demand, has pushed growth-focused traders toward high-beta infrastructure protocols. Metals may preserve wealth (sometimes), but they rarely multiply it overnight. As the macro landscape remains murky, smart money is rotating into Layer 3 solutions that solve liquidity fragmentation.

Enter LiquidChain ($LIQUID). This emerging Layer 3 protocol is building a unified execution environment that fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ecosystems into a single liquidity layer. The project has demonstrated significant early traction, raising $600K right now, from early backers.

Advertisement

The token is currently priced at $0.0143, with more than 1700% APY in staking rewards.

While early-stage tokens carry valid vesting risks, the LiquidChain presale presents a rare opportunity to enter a critical infrastructure play before mainnet valuation.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Do your own research.

Advertisement

The post Gold Price Analysis: Time’s Up for Metals? appeared first on Cryptonews.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

South Korea exchanges record $60B crypto outflows as profits fall

Published

on

South Korea exchanges record $60B crypto outflows as profits fall

South Korean crypto exchanges recorded large capital outflows in the second half of 2025, even as user activity and deposits continued to grow. 

Summary

  • South Korean exchanges recorded $60 billion in crypto outflows as funds moved offshore in 2025.
  • Exchange accounts rose to 11.1 million and customer deposits climbed despite weaker market conditions nationwide.
  • Profits, trading volumes, and market capitalization fell as crypto prices softened late in 2025 overall.

New data from the Financial Services Commission showed that more funds moved to overseas platforms and private wallets during the period. The report also showed weaker profits and lower trading activity across the local market.

The Financial Services Commission said crypto outflows from South Korean exchanges reached 90 trillion won, or about $60 billion, in the second half of 2025. That marked a 14% rise from 78.9 trillion won, or $52.5 billion, in the first half of the year.

Advertisement

The regulator linked part of that movement to cross-border trading activity. In its report, the FSC said, 

”It is presumed that virtual assets are being transferred abroad for arbitrage and other similar activities.”

The statement pointed to overseas platforms and private wallets as major destinations for those transfers.

The report showed that more people continued to use local crypto exchanges despite the rise in outflows. By the end of 2025, the number of exchange accounts reached 11.1 million, up 3% from June 2025.

Advertisement

Customer deposits rose at a faster pace. The FSC said deposits climbed 31% to 8.1 trillion won, or about $5.4 billion, during the second half of the year. The figures showed that users kept adding funds to exchanges even as market conditions turned weaker.

In addition, the growth in accounts and deposits did not lift earnings for exchange operators. The country’s 18 active exchanges posted 380.7 billion won, or $253.4 million, in operating profit in the second half. That figure was down 38% from 617.8 billion won, or $411.2 million, in the first half.

Trading activity also moved lower during the period. The FSC estimated average daily trading volume at 5.4 trillion won, or $3.6 billion, which was 15% lower than in the first half. The regulator said lower crypto prices near the end of 2025 likely weighed on exchange revenue and market activity.

Market value also moved lower

The report estimated South Korea’s total crypto market capitalization at 87.2 trillion won, or about $58 billion, at the end of 2025. That was down 8% from the first half of the year and reflected softer market conditions across major digital assets.

Advertisement

The broader market remained below its October 2025 peak, when bitcoin reached an all-time high of about $126,080. The FSC data showed that while local participation stayed firm, weaker prices and lower volumes put pressure on exchange performance in the second half.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Cardano Price Prediction: Record Shorting and Line to Defend

Published

on

📉

Cardano price is grinding through a critical consolidation phase, trading in a tight band between $0.25 and $0.27 as on-chain prediction flashes a potential reversal.

Analysis from market intelligence platform Santiment suggests the asset has entered a historic “opportunity zone,” with average wallet returns signaling capitulation typically seen before market resets.

The 13th-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has printed six consecutive red candles on the daily chart, leaving active wallets from the past 12 months sitting on unrealized losses of approximately -43%. The price action reflects a 63.5% correction from year-ago levels.

Advertisement

Imminent catalysts, including the Midnight privacy sidechain launch and the Plutus V11 hard fork, are keeping smart money attentive. As broader markets hesitate, volume data suggests whales are positioning for volatility.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Cardano Price Prediction: Can ADA Defend Support Amid Record Shorting?

Technical indicators for Cardano reveal a battleground at the $0.25 support level, a zone that has historically triggered significant liquidity inflows. Recent price action shows $ADA hovering near $0.268, down over 71% from its September high of $0.954.

Advertisement

This steep discount has pushed the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) metric significantly below zero. Historically, when MVRV drops this low, selling pressure begins to fade as holders refuse to sell at deep losses.

Despite the bearish sentiment, significant accumulation is occurring behind the scenes. Previous analysis highlighted that periods of low social dominance combined with high negative returns often precede short squeezes.

Cardano price is at a critical consolidation, trading between $0.25 and $0.27, as on-chain prediction flashes a potential reversal.
ADA USD, TradingView

Data indicates that derivatives markets are seeing record shorting interest. If $ADA can reclaim the $0.2717 pivot, a rapid move toward the first resistance level at $0.3230 becomes the primary scenario.

Conversely, a failure to hold $0.25 could expose the asset to price discovery to the downside. However, with the SEC and CFTC recently classifying ADA as a digital commodity, institutional regulatory fears have subsided.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Advertisement

Maxi Doge Flows Surge as Traders Rotate into High-Beta Assets

While Cardano works through its slow-moving accumulation phase, aggressive traders are increasingly rotating capital into high-leverage meme protocols to capture immediate upside. The market’s appetite for volatility has found a new outlet in Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a project that blends “gym-bro” meme culture with actual trading utility.

Maxi Doge is positioning itself as the “Review Mirror” for traders who missed the original DOGE runs, but with a distinct cultural twist focused on the “1000x leverage mentality.” The presale has already secured more than $4.7 million in early funding, signaling robust demand for assets that offer higher beta than legacy L1s.

Currently priced at $0.000281, the token incentivizes holding through huge 66% APY staking and holder-only trading competitions.

Unlike standard meme coins that rely solely on hype, Maxi Doge utilizes a “Maxi Fund” treasury to support liquidity and partnerships, aiming to create a sustainable ecosystem for its community. (

Check the Maxi Doge Presale

Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice.

Advertisement

The post Cardano Price Prediction: Record Shorting and Line to Defend appeared first on Cryptonews.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bittensor Income Desert: Why $52M in Subsidies Mask a TAO Crypto Valuation Risk

Published

on

Bittensor Income Desert: Why $52M in Subsidies Mask a TAO Crypto Valuation Risk

Bittensor (TAO crypto) is currently priced on an annual subsidy of $52 million, not organic revenue.

The decentralized AI protocol incentivizes its subnet to emit 518 TAO daily to top performers like Chutes, masking a near-term liquidity crisis.

With a $1.37 billion subnet market cap and near-zero organic validator yield, the network faces a structural “Income Desert.”

The TAO halving effectively starts a timer on this valuation model. While the TAO price has recovered from its Q1 2026 lows to trade above $330, the disconnect between token incentives and actual utility is widening. If external revenue does not replace inflationary rewards before the miners bleed out, the math stops working.

Advertisement
Key Takeaways:
  • Emission Dependency: Top subnets like Chutes receive $52 million in annualized subsidies while generating negligible external revenue.
  • Cost Inversion: Unsubsidized decentralized compute costs are roughly 1.6-3.5x higher than centralized competitors like Deepseek.
  • Valuation Gap: The network supports a $1.37 billion subnet market cap despite the bulk of validator yield coming from inflation rather than customers.

Tao Crypto Data Deep Dive: The Emission Problem

Subnets are currently paid to exist, not to serve. Chutes (SN64), a top-performing subnet, captures approximately 14.4% of total network emissions. That equals roughly 518 TAO per day. At current market prices, this serves as a $52 million annual operational subsidy shared among miners and validators.

Without this subsidy, the economics invert immediately. Pine Analytics data indicates that unsubsidized inference on Chutes would cost 1.6x to 3.5x as much as centralized competitors like Deepseek or TogetherAI.

Advertisement

The protocol acts as a heavy subsidizer of compute, creating a cost advantage that is artificial rather than structural. When the emissions stop covering the spread, the user value proposition evaporates. This mirrors the structural inefficiencies seen in legacy market infrastructure, where capital gets trapped in systems that do not generate velocity.

The Halving Catalyst: Why the Clock is Ticking

The TAO halving in December 2025 slashed daily emissions from 7,200 to 3,600 TAO. The buffer is gone. Miners previously relying on fat block rewards now fight for a shrinking pie, making the “Income Desert” a solvency issue rather than just a theoretical concern.

This scarcity mechanism is designed to support the price, but it stress-tests the business model. If organic revenue does not scale to replace the lost 3,600 TAO per day, miners operate at a loss. Much like the sustainability challenges that forced Balancer Labs to restructure, Bittensor’s subnets cannot run indefinitely on a deficit. The halving exposes which subnets are businesses and which are zombie chains feeding on inflation.

The Valuation Gap: What the $1.37B Subnet Market Cap Actually Reflects

Advertisement

The market currently values Bittensor’s subnets at roughly $1.37 billion. This figure implies a massive growth multiple based on future Crypto AI adoption, as current organic cash flows are near zero. The discrepancy is stark.

Investors are paying a premium for infrastructure that is currently less efficient than centralized alternatives. In a Proof-of-Work style system like Bittensor, the valuation must eventually be backed by miner revenue.

If the price of TAO drops or the cost-to-serve remains high, the security budget collapses. The current price of $332 assumes a seamless transition from subsidized growth to organic profitability. The data does not yet support that assumption.

The post Bittensor Income Desert: Why $52M in Subsidies Mask a TAO Crypto Valuation Risk appeared first on Cryptonews.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

CIFR shares rise on new Hyperscaler agreement

Published

on

Core Scientific turns lower after Q4 results disappoint

Cipher Digital (CIFR) shares jumped 9% in pre-market trading after the company, formerly a bitcoin miner, announced a new long-term data center lease and said it secured a $200 million revolving credit facility.

The company revealed a 15-year lease agreement with an investment-grade hyperscale tenant for its third data center campus. Cipher will develop and deliver a high-performance computing facility at an existing site, strengthening its position as a partner to large technology firms building AI infrastructure.

Cipher also announced a revolving credit facility of up to $200 million, with an additional $50 million accordion option. Backed by a syndicate of leading global banks, the facility provides non-dilutive capital to support expansion, boost liquidity, and fund future growth initiatives.

Cipher Digital, formerly known as Cipher Mining, has rebranded to reflect a strategic pivot away from bitcoin production toward the development of industrial-scale data centers for AI and cloud workloads. The move aligns the company with the rapidly growing demand for high-performance computing capacity.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Circle (CRCL) Plummets 20% as Clarity Act Draft Targets Stablecoin Yields

Published

on

CRCL Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Shares of Circle Internet Group (CRCL) plunged approximately 20% on Tuesday following reports of draft legislation that would prohibit yield payments on stablecoin holdings
  • Coinbase (COIN), which partners with Circle on USDC distribution, declined 9.1% amid the same regulatory concerns
  • The draft provision within the Clarity Act aims to restrict yield payments offered “directly or indirectly” on stablecoins that function like interest-bearing deposits
  • Company insider Nikhil Chandhok offloaded 10,000 shares on March 23 at $123.08 per share, totaling $1.23 million, just before the stock tumbled
  • Circle’s fourth-quarter financial performance exceeded expectations with earnings per share of $0.43 versus the anticipated $0.25, while revenues surged 76.9% compared to the previous year

Shares of Circle Internet Group (CRCL) experienced a dramatic decline on Tuesday following revelations that proposed legislative language in the Clarity Act could eliminate the ability for platforms to provide yield on stablecoin deposits. The stock tumbled roughly 20% during trading, with Wednesday’s opening price settling at $101.90.


CRCL Stock Card
Circle Internet Group, CRCL

According to correspondence from the Blockchain Association distributed to its membership and subsequently examined by Barron’s, the proposed provision would prevent platforms from compensating investors—whether through direct or indirect means—simply for maintaining stablecoin balances in arrangements that mirror traditional interest-bearing bank accounts.

Circle serves as the creator of USDC, which ranks as the second-most widely circulated stablecoin globally. Income generated from USDC reserve assets, predominantly invested in U.S. Treasury securities and reverse repo agreements, is distributed between Circle and its distribution ally, Coinbase.

[[LINK_START_2]]Coinbase (COIN)[[LINK_END_2]] experienced a 9.1% decline on the identical trading day. The exchange presently provides users with a 3.5% annual percentage yield on USDC balances—an offering that would face elimination under the contemplated regulatory framework.

The negotiated provision, developed with contributions from White House officials and Senators Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD) and Thom Tillis (R-NC), underwent review by banking institutions and cryptocurrency companies throughout Monday and Tuesday. While activity-driven rewards and customer loyalty initiatives would remain permissible under the draft text, the Blockchain Association indicated it was pursuing additional clarification regarding acceptable programs.

Advertisement

The legislation has been under development for multiple years. Its primary objective involves establishing regulatory clarity for digital assets within the United States and providing exemptions from securities regulations for most cryptocurrency transactions. The stablecoin yield controversy has emerged as among several contentious elements.

Traditional banking industry representatives have consistently opposed stablecoin yield offerings, contending that such products divert customer deposits from conventional financial institutions, which generally provide lower interest rates.

Coinbase Leadership Previously Withdrew Endorsement

Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, had previously retracted his backing for the Clarity Act when an earlier iteration of the yield prohibition came to light. The current compromise represents an effort to bridge the divide between banking sector advocacy and cryptocurrency industry interests.

Beyond the yield question, the legislation confronts additional obstacles. Democratic lawmakers have advocated for provisions preventing President Trump and his relatives from generating profits through cryptocurrency holdings. Republican members have predominantly resisted such additions. These negotiations remain suspended pending resolution of the yield controversy.

Advertisement

The legislative calendar presents another challenge. Congressional members express concern that the measure may not secure passage through both legislative chambers before midterm election campaigns intensify.

Executive Stock Transaction and Market Analyst Perspectives

The stock decline occurred mere days following an insider transaction. Nikhil Chandhok disposed of 10,000 CRCL shares on March 23 at an average price of $123.08, generating proceeds of $1.23 million. This marked his second divestiture in recent months—he had previously sold 20,000 shares in late February at $90.00 per share.

Notwithstanding the market turbulence, Circle’s recent financial metrics demonstrated strength. The organization disclosed fourth-quarter earnings per share of $0.43, substantially exceeding the consensus forecast of $0.25, accompanied by revenue of $770.23 million—representing a 76.9% year-over-year increase.

Wall Street analyst projections vary considerably. Wells Fargo reduced its price objective from $128 to $111 while maintaining an “overweight” recommendation. Robert W. Baird maintains an “outperform” rating with a $138 price target. MarketBeat’s aggregated consensus reflects a “Hold” rating with an average target price of $126.29.

Advertisement

CRCL has traded within a 52-week range spanning from $49.90 to $298.99.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

STS Digital unveils structured crypto platform, brings in Kraken as distribution partner

Published

on

Bitcoin's volatility spikes to its highest since FTX's collapse as prices crater to nearly $60,000

STS Digital, a trading firm specializing in crypto options, unveiled a structured-products platform aimed at sophisticated investors as digital assets gain growing acceptance among traditional financial institutions.

One month after raising $30 million, the Bermuda-based company said the platform, which covers 400 tokens, is aimed at banks, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals seeking returns on top of their spot-market holdings. Kraken, the crypto exchange whose parent, Payward, took part in the fundraising, will offer the platform to its partners, STS Digital said in a statement shared with CoinDesk.

Crypto structured products are seeing rising demand as venture funds, portfolio managers and large mandate holders look for more tailored hedging solutions. Standard leveraged products like futures and perpetuals, with their one-size-fits-all design, often fall short, especially due to path dependency.

Structured products typically embed options that help navigate volatility and generate additional income on top of spot market holdings. Open interest is currently around $47 billion, according to TheTie, with the lion’s share on Deribit.

Advertisement

For Kraken, the partnership is also about deepening its bench of products. According to the release, the exchange is leveraging STS’ derivatives expertise to power its Dual Investment product, introduced earlier this month, to allow eligible clients to earn fixed returns on bitcoin and ether (ETH).

The agreement brings “structured strategies like covered calls to our platform, strengthens our growing suite of derivatives solutions and gives clients a new way to generate return that’s distinct from traditional crypto approaches like staking or lending,” Alexia Theodorou, director of derivatives at Kraken, said in the statement.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Australia eyes AU$24B gain as RBA pushes tokenization in markets

Published

on

Australia eyes AU$24B gain as RBA pushes tokenization in markets

The Reserve Bank of Australia said tokenization could bring AU$24 billion in yearly efficiency gains to the national economy. 

Summary

  • RBA said tokenization could add AU$24 billion yearly and is now moving toward practical rollout.
  • Project Acacia tested bonds, repos, funds, and four settlement options across Australia’s wholesale finance markets.
  • Stablecoins may suit smaller markets while deposit tokens could support larger regulated activity across Australia.

Meanwhile, the central bank used findings from Project Acacia to show that tokenized assets and tokenized money are moving closer to practical use in wholesale finance. It said the next stage will focus on implementation, industry coordination, and market testing.

Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Brad Jones said the central bank now sees tokenization as a question of “how” rather than “if.” He made the remarks while presenting findings from Project Acacia, which reviewed how tokenized assets and money could work in Australia’s wholesale financial system.

Advertisement

Jones said research from the Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre estimated that tokenization could deliver AU$24 billion in annual efficiency gains. He also said the benefits could grow further if the technology supports the creation of new markets and services.

Project Acacia reviewed 20 use cases tied to tokenized assets, including government bonds, corporate bonds, repos, and investment funds. The project also tested settlement using four types of money, namely wholesale central bank digital currency, exchange settlement account balances, stablecoins, and bank deposit tokens.

The results showed that different forms of tokenized money may serve different roles. Jones said stablecoins could support smaller and newer tokenized markets, while bank deposit tokens may suit larger markets because banks already operate under prudential rules and have access to central bank liquidity facilities.

Advertisement

Moreover, Jones said stablecoins and bank deposit tokens could work in complementary ways rather than compete directly. This approach reflects the RBA’s current view that different tokenized payment tools may fit different parts of the wholesale market.

He also said market participants viewed a wholesale CBDC as “potentially helpful, but far from essential” for tokenized markets to develop. He pointed to the United States, where tokenized repo markets are already recording daily activity close to $400 billion without depending on a wholesale CBDC.

Sandbox and advisory groups set next steps

The RBA said it will work with the Council of Financial Regulators, the DFCRC, and industry participants on a set of new initiatives. A digital financial market infrastructure sandbox will provide a stage-gated setting for testing tokenized assets, money, and settlement systems.

The central bank will also review exchange settlement account access rules after payment service provider licensing reforms pass parliament. In addition, regulators and industry members will form a joint tokenisation advisory group, while an expanded Deposit Token Working Group will focus on interoperability between deposit tokens issued by different banks.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Monument Bank to tokenize 250 million pounds of retail deposits in UK first

Published

on

Monument Bank to tokenize 250 million pounds of retail deposits in UK first

Monument Bank said it plans to tokenise up to 250 million pounds ($335 million) of retail customer deposits on the Midnight network in what it described as the first such move by a U.K.-regulated bank on a public blockchain.

The London-based challenger bank said the deposits will remain interest-bearing, fully backed by Monument and redeemable one-for-one in pounds sterling. They will also remain covered by the U.K.’s Financial Services Compensation Scheme.

The move marks is a step in the push to bring tokenized financial products into regulated banking. While banks in the U.K. and elsewhere have explored tokenized deposits, most work to date has focused on institutional use or closed networks.

Monument is pitching this effort at retail customers, starting with clients with investable assets between 50,000 pounds and 5 million pounds, the so-called mass-affluent, according to asset manager St. James’s Place.

Advertisement

Monument, which says it has more than 100,000 customers and about 7 billion pounds in deposits, said the first phase will mirror savings balances on Midnight’s privacy-focused blockchain.

Later phases are meant to add tokenized investment products such as private market and commodity funds, followed by lending against those holdings inside the Monument app.

Midnight Foundation, which was developed by Shielded Technologies, a company linked to Cardano creator Input Output, is providing the blockchain infrastructure.

Monument said the system is designed so transaction data remains visible only to the bank and its customers, while operating within existing U.K. banking protections and compliance rules.

Advertisement

The announcement also points to a wider play. Monument said affiliate Monument Technology plans to offer tokenized deposit functionality through its Banking-as-a-Service platform. That could allow other institutions to adopt the same model.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Published

on

Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) rose back above $71,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday after Trump’s administration offered a 15-point plan to Iran to end the war, sparking short-term optimism across risk assets.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bounces 4% to $71,500 after President Trump sent Iran a 15-point proposal aimed at ending the war. 

  • Bitcoin faces stiff resistance above $72,000. 

Bitcoin jumps 4% on ceasefire hopes

Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4% to an intraday high of $71,300 from Tuesday’s low of $68,890, recouping all the losses incurred the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The price reacted to news that the US, through the primary intermediary Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir (Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff), has sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the war.

The key elements of the plan include: a temporary ceasefire with calls on Iran to dismantle or severely limit its nuclear program, suspend its ballistic-missile work, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for safe maritime traffic.

Advertisement
Source: X/The Kobeissi Letter

Meanwhile, Iran continues to deny any ongoing talks as ​​Trump delayed his self-imposed deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the news, WTI crude oil dropped 5.75% to $87 per barrel, while Brent crude shed 6% to trade at $98.

Oil prices table. Source: Oil Price.com

Gold extended yesterday’s gains, now up 2.53% on the day to trade at $4,561 at the time of writing.

This move eases inflation fears tied to disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Analysts noted the swift repricing, with Coinlore saying that Bitcoin is now acting as a “real-time sentiment instrument for global risk.”

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr said that BTC will “likely remain headline-driven” until the US and Iran send a “public de-escalation signal.”

Advertisement

Bitcoin price faces “rough times ahead”

Despite the rebound, BTC’s upside appears to be capped at $72,000, where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper trend line of a symmetrical triangle converge.

A break above $72,000 would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, toward the measured target at $92,400, 30% above the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Cointelegraph/TradingView

Glassnode’s cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals concentrated supply and resistance between $72,000 and $74,000, where investors acquired roughly 380,000 BTC over the last 30 days. This indicates that sellers could aggressively defend this zone.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, a dense accumulation cluster sits around $65,000, where investors previously acquired 160,000 BTC. 

This level coincides with the lower trend line of the symmetrical triangle, which, if lost, could trigger the next leg lower toward the bearish target of the triangle at $52,500.

Meanwhile, Capriole Investment’s Bitcoin Macro index has dropped to -1.37, levels seen at the depth of previous bear cycles.

Advertisement

The chart below shows that the metric historically spends a year at or below these valuations before recovering.

“Bitcoin Macro index is in the value zone,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“In all prior instances, price went lower into deeper value first before recovering, suggesting we may have more rough times ahead first.”

Bitcoin Macro Index. Source: Capriole Investments

As Cointelegraph reported, traders warn of a second bear flag breakdown that could clear the path for another sell-off below $50,000.