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Kalshi Partners with ARK Invest to Meet Rising Institutional Demand for Prediction Markets

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Kalshi launches a formal market request pipeline to meet growing institutional investor demand.
  • ARK Invest partners with Kalshi to list prediction markets aligned with its investment research.
  • Live markets on Kalshi now cover non-farm payrolls, deficit-to-GDP ratios, and business KPIs.
  • Crowd-sourced prediction markets are becoming alternative data signals for major financial institutions.

Prediction markets are gaining traction among institutional investors, and Kalshi is now at the center of this shift. The platform has partnered with ARK Invest to list markets used in investment research and analysis.

Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, confirmed the collaboration publicly. Several markets are already live, covering non-farm payrolls, deficit-to-GDP ratios, and business KPIs. The move reflects growing institutional appetite for crowd-sourced financial signals.

Kalshi’s Formal Pipeline Now Serves Institutional Demand

Kalshi has been witnessing a steady rise in institutional interest in prediction markets. To address this, the platform developed a formal market request pipeline for institutional partners.

This pipeline allows institutions to work directly with Kalshi to list relevant markets. The structure gives major investors a standardized way to access crowd-sourced economic data.

The partnership with ARK Invest is one of the earliest collaborations built through this pipeline. ARK Invest, known for its research-driven approach to disruptive innovation, is using Kalshi to support its analysis process.

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Through the pipeline, ARK can request specific markets aligned with its investment focus. This creates a direct link between institutional research needs and market creation on the platform.

Mansour took to X to confirm the partnership and outline its scope. He wrote: “As institutional adoption of prediction markets grows, Kalshi is seeing increased demand for a formal market request pipeline to help investors leverage the wisdom of the crowd.” He added that ARK Invest is actively working through the pipeline to list markets used in analysis.

The collaboration also points to a wider pattern among financial institutions. More investors are turning to prediction markets as alternative data sources for decision-making.

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These markets aggregate collective public intelligence around key economic events. Kalshi is positioning itself to serve that growing need at an institutional level.

Live Markets on Kalshi Already Supporting ARK’s Research Process

Several markets created through the ARK partnership are already active on Kalshi. Non-farm payroll markets are among the live options available to investors today.

Deficit-to-GDP ratio markets and business KPI markets are also accessible through the platform. These give institutions a real-time, crowd-sourced view of major economic indicators.

Non-farm payroll data is one of the most closely watched monthly economic figures. A prediction market around it lets institutions gauge crowd expectations before official government releases.

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This forward-looking signal can help firms calibrate their strategies more accurately. ARK Invest is actively incorporating this data into its research process.

Deficit-to-GDP ratio markets offer macroeconomic visibility that traditional data providers rarely surface. Tracking this ratio helps investors assess long-term fiscal sustainability trends.

A crowd-sourced market around it gives institutions an independent read on public sentiment. That kind of alternative signal is increasingly valued in institutional investment circles.

Mansour closed his post by noting “more to come,” suggesting additional markets are being planned. Kalshi appears set to grow the pipeline and bring more institutional partners on board.

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The platform’s ability to convert research needs into live markets sets it apart. As institutional adoption of prediction markets continues to grow, Kalshi’s pipeline model may become a standard tool for major investors.

 

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Crypto World

US Lawmaker Wants Answers About Kraken’s Fed Master Account Approval

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US Lawmaker Wants Answers About Kraken’s Fed Master Account Approval

US Representative Maxine Waters, the ranking Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, is demanding answers from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City over the approval of Kraken Financial’s limited-purpose master account.

In a letter Thursday, Waters asked Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid to respond by April 10, outlining what Kraken’s approval means in practice; which Federal Reserve services it can access; the conditions or restrictions that apply and what anti-money laundering and consumer protection measures were considered.

Kraken’s banking unit was granted a limited-purpose master account by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City earlier this month. It was seen as a milestone for the crypto industry as several crypto-linked US companies have been pursuing a master account with the Fed for years. 

The account provides direct access to Fedwire, the Fed’s core payments system, potentially allowing Kraken to move money on the same rails used by banks and credit unions. 

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“The Kansas City Fed’s announcement does not disclose specific information about Kraken’s access to the range of Federal Reserve financial services due to the confidentiality of business information provided by applicants,” Waters wrote in the letter.

US Representative Maxine Waters is demanding answers regarding the approval of Kraken Financial’s limited-purpose master account. Source: House Committee on Financial Services

“Answers to these questions are critical to ensuring that the process of approving Federal Reserve Bank account access is conducted consistently with the law, with impartiality, and in a manner that continues to foster a safe and efficient payment system,” she added. 

Full transparency required to mitigate risks, Waters argues

Waters also argued that Kraken’s access to the Federal Reserve’s payment system raises policy, regulatory and consumer protection concerns. As a result, she said full transparency and clear legal grounding are required to ensure any risks are properly managed.

“Innovations in payments, digital assets, tokenization, and even artificial intelligence are rapidly outpacing statutory frameworks developed to mitigate risk, promote competition, and protect consumers in a traditional financial environment,” Waters wrote.

“Given this environment, much is required of those who exercise discretionary authority over safe access to, and operation of, our nation’s critical financial infrastructure,” she added.

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Related: SEC is no longer a ‘cop on the beat‘ on crypto, says US lawmaker

US crypto companies that have been pursuing Fed master accounts include Caitlin Long’s Custodia Bank, which filed a court petition in late 2025 to renew its bid.

Crypto platform Anchorage Digital Bank also applied for an account last year and Ripple has applied through its Standard Custody & Trust Company.

Waters is classed as “strongly against crypto” by advocacy group

Crypto advocacy group Stand With Crypto has a scorecard for US politicians on how supportive they are of crypto based on public statements and voting behavior.

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Waters is listed by the group as “strongly against crypto,” based on five statements and six votes against crypto legislation, including the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act and the GENIUS Act.

Crypto advocacy group Stand With Crypto has listed Maxine Waters as “strongly against crypto.” Source: Stand With Crypto

She also called for a hearing with Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins last year, citing concerns about the agency’s dismissal of crypto enforcement cases.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026