Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Analyst Predicts the Best Bitcoin Short Setup in a Year

Published

on

Analyst Predicts the Best Bitcoin Short Setup in a Year

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $75,400 after rejecting $78,000 earlier this week. Price sits on the upper rail of an ascending parallel channel that has held for 75 days.

The setup places Bitcoin at a pivotal moment. A daily RSI triangle is compressing, and the 4-hour chart is flashing bearish divergence. A widely shared X post calls this the third rejection zone of the past eight months.

Descending Trendline Break Meets the Channel Top

The daily Bitcoin chart shows a descending trendline from the $126,195 peak set in October 2025. That line connects to the February 2026 cycle low at $60,000. Bitcoin broke above it for the first time this cycle on April 13.

Two ascending parallel channels define the recent structure. The first channel ran for 70 days before breaking down in late January. The current channel has now reached day 75, with price pressing the upper boundary.

Advertisement

The BBWP indicator at the bottom of the chart tracks volatility compression. Readings sit near cycle lows, a classic accumulation footprint that typically precedes a strong directional move.

Bitcoin must defend the $74,000 to $76,000 zone to keep the structure intact. A loss of that range exposes the descending trendline near $70,000 as secondary support. The next demand cluster sits between $64,000 and $66,000. Closest resistance is the 0.382 Fibonacci level between $85,000 and $87,000.

BTC/USDT daily chart / Source: Tradingview

Daily RSI Carves a Tightening Triangle

The daily RSI is forming a symmetrical triangle built from three descending peaks and two ascending support tests. The first peak printed deep in overbought territory in October 2025.

The second peak formed in mid-January 2026 with RSI touching 70 before a sharp rejection. The third and most recent peak capped out near 68 earlier this month.

On the support side, RSI collapsed to oversold readings near 15 during the February selloff. A second test near 40 in March held firmly and confirmed the ascending line.

Advertisement

The triangle is now tight. A clean break into overbought territory would validate the bullish continuation scenario. A breakdown through the ascending support would flip the medium-term momentum bearish.

BTC/USDT daily RSI chart / Source: Tradingview

4-Hour Chart Flashes Five-Drive Bearish Divergence

Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe shows a short-term uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. The structure has held since late March, bottoming near $65,500, with an ascending trendline connecting those swing lows.

Price rejected the $78,000 zone earlier this week. That level matches the top of the daily parallel channel. Bitcoin now trades near $75,400, sitting directly on the ascending trendline that has guided every bounce since early April.

The 4-hour RSI has been posting slightly lower lows while the price made higher highs. That pattern forms a five-drive bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum beneath rising prices.

The MACD has crossed below its signal line and is edging toward negative territory. A loss of $74,500 would confirm the short-term momentum shift and expose the daily ascending trendline.

Advertisement
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart / Source: Tradingview

Analyst Flags Third Rejection Zone

A chart posted to X by analyst ColdBloodedShiller highlights a key rejection zone for Bitcoin. The same band has capped every BTC advance in the past eight months. The three pink boxes mark October 2025 near $116,000, January 2026 near $96,000, and the current level near $76,000.

The trader frames this as the best risk-to-reward short setup currently available. Each prior visit to the upper band produced a sharp reversal. The pattern lines up with the daily trendline break and the 4-hour divergence above.

If this breaks up, it’s the most significant change to the market we’ve seen for the best part of 12 months.

BTC/USDT chart / Source: X

Institutional flows, however, complicate the bearish thesis. Strategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, added roughly $2.54 billion of BTC between April 13 and 19. Its average cost came in near $74,395. Sustained demand at these levels could weaken the recurring rejection pattern.

The next three to five daily candles should settle the dispute between the channel breakout and ColdBloodedShiller’s third rejection setup.

The post Analyst Predicts the Best Bitcoin Short Setup in a Year appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

U.S. military commander flags Bitcoin’s cybersecurity role in Senate hearing

Published

on

Bitcoin exchange supply hits record low even as Winklevoss twins move $130M BTC

A senior U.S. military commander has described Bitcoin as a cybersecurity tool with potential use in national defense.

Summary

  • A U.S. military commander said Bitcoin can function as a cybersecurity tool, noting its proof-of-work design raises the cost for potential attackers.
  • Lawmakers examined Bitcoin’s role in national security during a Senate hearing focused on Indo-Pacific threats and cyber risks from state-linked actors.

At a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on Tuesday, Samuel Paparo said Bitcoin’s role goes beyond financial use cases and can support security systems tied to U.S. strategic interests.

“It is a valuable computer science tool, as a power projection,” Paparo said, adding that the network’s proof of work design “imposes more cost” on attackers attempting to interfere with it. 

Advertisement

“Outside of the economic formulation of it, it has got really important computer science applications for cybersecurity.”

The hearing focused on the U.S. military’s posture in the Indo-Pacific, with discussions spanning ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, China’s military activity, and threats linked to North Korea.

Paparo’s remarks follow earlier comments from Jason Lowery, who has argued that proof-of-work networks can be used to secure digital systems in a cyber conflict. He said Bitcoin is often seen only as a monetary system, while its design can also secure “all forms of data, messages, or command signals.”

Advertisement

State-linked cyber operations have increased in recent years, with attacks such as ransomware, phishing, and denial of service targeting infrastructure and financial systems. The Lazarus Group remains one of the most prominent examples, having stolen billions in crypto over the past decade, funds that U.S. officials say have supported North Korea’s nuclear program.

Paparo’s comments came after Tommy Tuberville asked how the U.S. could lead in Bitcoin-related competition, noting that Chinese policy groups are also examining the asset as a strategic tool. Paparo did not directly address policy steps but pointed to Bitcoin’s underlying structure.

“Bitcoin is a reality. It is a peer to peer zero trust transfer of value. Anything that supports all instruments of national power for the United States of America is to the good,” he said.

Concern over reliance on foreign-made mining hardware has also drawn attention in Washington, even as the U.S. holds the largest Bitcoin reserves among nation states and a significant share of global hashrate.

Advertisement

Last month, Bill Cassidy and Cynthia Lummis introduced the Mined in America Act, aimed at expanding domestic production of Bitcoin mining equipment. The proposal also seeks to formalize the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve established under an executive order signed by Donald Trump.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Kelp Exploiter Moves $175M of Stolen Funds: Arkham

Published

on

Kelp Exploiter Moves $175M of Stolen Funds: Arkham

The attacker behind the roughly $290 million Kelp DAO exploit began moving tens of thousands of Ether to newly created blockchain addresses on Tuesday, in what appears to be an effort to start laundering the stolen funds.

The wallet tagged by Arkham as linked to the Kelp DAO exploit moved about 75,700 Ether (ETH) worth roughly $175 million across three transactions on Tuesday, including a 25,000 ETH transfer to one newly created address and transfers of 50,700 ETH and 0.7 ETH to another.

Blockchain investigator ZachXBT wrote in a Tuesday Telegram post that addresses tied to the exploit had begun moving funds through THORChain and Umbra. He flagged three THORChain transactions totaling about $1.5 million and a separate $78,000 transfer through Umbra.

On Saturday, an attacker drained about 116,500 restaked Ether (rsETH), worth roughly $290 million to $293 million at the time, from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered rsETH bridge.

Advertisement

LayerZero said Kelp DAO’s 1/1 decentralized verifier network (DVN) setup created a single point of failure by relying on a single verifier path for cross-chain messages. LayerZero said it had previously advised against that configuration.

Fallout spreads across DeFi

The transfers came hours after Arbitrum said its 12-member security council had taken emergency action to freeze 30,766 ETH tied to the exploit and move the funds into an “intermediary frozen wallet” accessible only through Arbitrum governance.

Kelp DAO attacker-tagged wallet, latest transactions. Source: Arkham 

The exploit also hit other DeFi protocols, including Aave, where the attacker used the stolen funds as collateral to borrow against the protocol. Early estimates put the hole at about $195 million, but Aave’s Monday incident report later outlined two potential outcomes: roughly $123.7 million in bad debt under one scenario and about $230.1 million under another.

The transfers suggest the attackers had begun moving funds through non-custodial protocols that can complicate tracing and recovery. THORChain does not require traditional Know Your Customer checks.

During the $1.4 billion Bybit hack in 2025, attackers converted about 83% of the stolen Ether into Bitcoin (BTC), with 72% of the funds moving through THORChain, according to Bybit CEO Ben Zhou. Zhou said at the time that 77% of the stolen funds were still traceable.

Advertisement

Related: ZachXBT asks MemeCore to explain valuation and token supply

Aave unfreezes Ethereum V3 market as borrow rates spike

On Tuesday, Aave said it had unfrozen Wrapped Ether (WETH) reserves on the Ethereum Core V3 market, enabling users to supply WETH to the V3 lending protocol once again. However, WETH reserves across Ethereum Prime, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea remain frozen.

Source: Julio Moreno

Meanwhile, the thinning liquidity saw Aave’s borrowing rates for USDt (USDT) rise from 3% to 14%, marking the highest figures since December 2024, wrote Julio Moreno, the head of research at analytics platform CryptoQuant, in a Monday X post.

Fears over a potential contagion caused significant outflows from Aave, as its total value locked (TVL) fell by about $10 billion since the exploit to $16.4 billion as of Tuesday, DefiLlama data shows.

Magazine: 53 DeFi projects infiltrated, 50M NEO tokens could be ‘given back’: Asia Express

Advertisement