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RaveDAO’s vertical day sits on top of a 95% crash scandal

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RaveDAO’s vertical day sits on top of a 95% crash scandal

RaveDAO (RAVE) is up about 106% on $418m volume after a 95% crash that erased nearly $6b, as ZachXBT alleges insiders ran a pump‑and‑dump and OKX funds the probe.

Summary

  • RaveDAO (RAVE) is trading around $1.27, up roughly 106% in 24 hours with about $418 million in volume, a parabolic move driven almost entirely by narrative and flow.
  • Structurally, today’s candle looks like a late‑stage momentum blow‑off: vertical price, volume exceeding or matching market cap, and likely extreme intraday overbought readings.
  • The spike comes just days after a 95% crash from roughly $26 to near $1 that prompted OKX to fund ZachXBT’s investigation into alleged insider manipulation around RAVE.

RaveDAO is in full trader mode. CoinGecko and major exchanges show RAVE near $1.27, up about 106% on the day, with roughly $418 million in 24‑hour turnover — enough to rank among the top gainers on the market and to push daily volume to parity or above its entire market capitalization.

On the chart, this is a classic vertical session: multi‑X intraday range, most of the candle body glued near the highs, which technicians treat as textbook late‑stage momentum, not a calm trend extension.
As Yellow’s recent note put it after a similar spike, “daily volume exceeded market cap by approximately 22%,” and in that context “tokens rarely sustain gains beyond 72 hours” before mean‑reverting.

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Derivatives data tell the same story. CoinGlass tracks RAVE futures with open interest swelling sharply into big days and then partially washing out as late longs get liquidated, a pattern consistent with “100% daily moves” driven by leveraged chase rather than organic spot demand.

Overlay a 1‑hour to 4‑hour RSI heatmap on a move like this and you are almost certainly looking at readings in the 80–90+ band — extreme overbought, which in practice usually precedes a cooling phase or outright reversal rather than another clean leg higher.

All of this is happening against a very ugly backdrop. As detailed in a recent crypto.news story, RAVE previously exploded about 11,000% from roughly $0.25 to around $27.33 in under two weeks before crashing roughly 95% back to near $1, wiping out almost $6 billion in paper market cap.

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On‑chain investigator ZachXBT has alleged that “wallets linked to early distribution controlled about 95% of RAVE’s 1 billion token supply,” calling the pattern “a textbook pump and dump” and arguing that the mismatch between value lost and just $52 million in liquidations “is not normal in a healthy market structure.”

OKX founder Star Xu has since pledged an extra $25,000 toward ZachXBT’s bounty, saying the exchange’s “risk engine is monitoring the situation closely” and that OKX would “support any efforts to uncover insider abuse and protect users,” while Bitget and Binance have launched internal reviews.

In trading terms, that makes today’s parabolic bounce even more clearly a speculator’s playground than an investor’s setup.

Short‑term mean‑reversion probabilities are rising; the risk skew is toward a sharp retrace once open interest stops climbing and intraday RSI rolls over, with seasoned traders typically fading strength — not weakness — when volume starts to slow and price begins to chop at the top of the range.

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Are we done Finding Satoshi?

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Are we done Finding Satoshi?

Even after more than a decade and a half, the identity of Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, is still an active mystery that provokes discourse and disagreement.

In the last couple weeks, a New York Times piece authored by investigative journalist John Carreyrou suggested that Satoshi is in fact Adam Back, while the recent documentary Finding Satoshi pegged a two-person team, namely Hal Finney and Len Sassaman.

Protos has reviewed the evidence pointing to several of the internet’s favored candidates for this illustrious role and laid out our findings below.

Adam Back

Adam Back, the chief executive officer (CEO) of Blockstream, has often been labeled as a likely candidate for Satoshi.

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Among the reasons for this is his identity as a cypherpunk, an online community which believed in the beneficial effects of freedom technology tools developed using cryptography.

Satoshi generally appears to be a cypherpunk, or at the very least to be sympathetic to cypherpunk ideas, regularly citing and conversing with others in the community.

Back was also behind HashCash, another cryptographically based digital cash technology that was cited by Satoshi.

Notably, there exist emails that Back has shared in court cases which seem to show Satoshi reaching out to Back to make sure that he appropriately cites the HashCash paper. This has led Carreyrou to ask us to consider if “Mr. Back…sent those emails to himself as a cover story.”

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🔍 Reading Satoshi’s entrails

Carreyrou’s reporting also emphasized the fact that Back shared certain stylistic markers with Satoshi.

Among these similarities were certain phrases like “backup” and “human friendly” as well as inconsistent hyphenation in words like e-mail/email.

Despite these stylistic similarities, there are still differences, with Carreyrou noting, “Mr. Back made a lot of typos and had a rambling style when he posted to mailing lists, while Satoshi’s writing was crisp and mostly typo-free.”

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Others, like YouTuber BarelySociable, have also suggested that Back is the most likely Satoshi candidate.

Back strongly denies being Satoshi.

He was also briefly considered as a candidate by Finding Satoshi; however, it concluded he didn’t post at the appropriate times to be Satoshi.

Hal Finney

Hal Finney was a cryptographer who was the first person to receive bitcoin (BTC) from Satoshi.

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Like Back, he seems to have many of the necessary skills, even working on a previous digital cash, Reusable Proofs of Work.

Finney was the first person to participate in a BTC transaction with Satoshi.

Read more: Why Hal Finney might not be Satoshi Nakamoto

Multiple previous analyses have pointed to Finney as one of the more likely Satoshi candidates.

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Even the stylistic analysis commissioned by Carreyrou initially concluded, “After comparing papers from the 12 suspects to the Bitcoin white paper, Mr. Cafiero’s stylometry program showed Mr. Back as the closest match. But he said it wasn’t a snug fit and that Mr. Finney was a very close second. In fact, the difference between them was barely distinguishable, he said, and he considered the overall result inconclusive.”

In response to this inconclusive result, Carreyrou suggested that Cafiero change the methodology, and “Mr. Cafiero changed the way he computed the distance between the 12 suspects’ texts and Satoshi’s white paper. The result was the opposite of what I’d hoped: Other candidates pulled ahead of Mr. Back. Mr. Cafiero said he considered these results inconclusive too.”

However, there are key stylistic differences between Finney and Satoshi, especially the use of British spellings for many of the words.

Interestingly, Finney at one point proposed creating a protocol called P2Poker that would use his digital cash, RPOW, for poker. Similarly, the original Bitcoin client contained code for a poker client.

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Finney was one of the two candidates that Finding Satoshi flags as the likely Satoshi. This was supported by the times of day at which Finney posted.

Additionally, the failure of Satoshi to cite Finney is used as evidence that Finney might be trying to misdirect.

Finney also was apparently quite unproductive in the two months before Bitcoin launched and was coding at that time in C++, the language that the original client used.

Jameson Lopp, a developer in the Bitcoin ecosystem, was interviewed for the documentary due to his post insisting that Finney wasn’t Satoshi.

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Lopp focuses on various emails and transactions that were sent by Satoshi while Finney was running a race.

Finney and his wife have both denied that he was Satoshi.

Paul Le Roux

Paul Le Roux created Encryption for the Masses and may be behind TrueCrypt (although denies involvement in the project).

Additionally, Le Roux was behind an international drug cartel, got involved with arms dealing, and was involved in a variety of murders and assassinations.

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Besides that illustrious career, some speculate that he may be behind Bitcoin.

Le Roux has been included as a possible Satoshi since 2019 when Evan Ratliff suggested it as a possibility in an article in Wired.

However, Ratliff also noted that there was insufficient evidence at the time to substantiate the idea.

One of the reasons that Le Roux is an attractive candidate is that his arrest corresponds somewhat to some of the late Satoshi posts, suggesting to some viewers that Satoshi’s withdrawal from the public may have been rooted in these legal issues.

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Le Roux was arrested in September 2012, after several of his conspirators and associates had been arrested in the months beforehand. Satoshi told Mike Hearn that he’d “moved on to other things” in April 2011.

However, we should note that there are 17 months between these two dates, over a year, for a technology that was only a few years old.

Finding Satoshi considered Le Roux before concluding that he wasn’t the Satoshi candidate, believing he didn’t fit the profile they constructed for him.

Craig Wright

Craig Wright is one of the least likely candidates, despite his prolific claims to being Satoshi.

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Wright has spent years in complex legal cases trying to claim various levels of creation, control, or ownership over the Bitcoin system as a whole, eventually committing his reputation to a fork of a fork, Bitcoin Satoshi Vision.

Read more: Craig Wright trial reveals never-before-seen emails from Satoshi Nakamoto

Throughout Wright’s legal battles, judges, lawyers, critics, journalists, and neutral viewers of every sort have regularly observed his willingness to flout reality and invent history.

Eventually courts in the UK ordered Wright to display a notice that made clear that he wasn’t Satoshi, and acknowledge that he had “lied to the Court extensively and repeatedly.”

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Dave Kleiman

Dave Kleiman was, largely, pulled posthumously into Satoshi speculation by Wright.

Kleiman was initially suggested as a possible Satoshi candidate when documents suggesting his involvement with Wright to create Bitcoin were distributed to the press in 2015.

Wright would later endorse this theory publicly.

Read more: David Kleiman’s estate appeals Bitcoin verdict, says ‘Wright is wrong’

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Kleiman’s family would end up suing Wright, claiming he’d misappropriated Bitcoin-related intellectual property from the partnership between the men.

Wright owes the Kleiman estate substantial amounts in this case.

Len Sassaman

Len Sassaman was a cryptographer and cypherpunk.

Sassaman has been proposed a couple times, often again because he had both the technical skills and desire to build this kind of thing.

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There are also some stylistic similarities between the two.

Sassaman died by suicide in July 2011, several months after Satoshi said he had “moved on to other things.”

Read more: Will HBO documentary unveil Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto?

Sassaman was the other candidate flagged by Finding Satoshi because of the times that he posted.

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Additionally, we are told by Sassaman’s widow that Sassaman was very interested in pseudoynyms and avoiding stylometric analysis.

Interestingly, as the documentary observes, Sassaman regularly publicly criticized Bitcoin.

Peter Todd

Peter Todd, a bitcoin developer, was the candidate flagged as Satoshi in the HBO documentary Money Electric.

This theory relied on Todd’s background as a cryptographer, raised by an economist.

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Todd denies being Satoshi.

Todd has also been accused of sexual misconduct, allegations he also denies, and he has filed a suit against the person who made the allegations.

Nick Szabo

Nick Szabo is a programmer, cryptographer, and the creator of smart contracts and Bit Gold.

Szabo is one of the forerunners cited in the Bitcoin whitepaper and has been put forward as a Satoshi candidate for years.

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Szabo was considered a possible candidate by Finding Satoshi before concluding he didn’t post at the appropriate times to be Satoshi.

Other Satoshi candidates

Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto was originally flagged by Newsweek in a disastrous misdiagnosis.

Wei Dai was considered as a possible Satoshi by Finding Satoshi; however, it concluded he didn’t post at the right times.

Other even less credible candidates have been put forward, including Elon Musk, Ross Ulbricht, and assorted random mathematicians and cryptographers.

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Did Finding Satoshi find Finney and Sassaman?

Put simply, the documentary provides effectively zero new insight into the long-standing question: Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?

At one point, Kathleen Puckett, a former behavioral analyst at the FBI, makes the argument that Satoshi is an individual because Satoshi always used “we,” a plural pronoun, just like Theodore Kaczynski, the Unabomber, who she exposed.

That isn’t evidence.

Another piece of “evidence” she cites is the fact that Satoshi cited a book from the 1950s, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Applications, in the whitepaper.

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Puckett believes this suggests that Satoshi is either older than we thought or a free thinker.

However, Satoshi cited this paper because he believed that the best way to capture the probability of an attacker catching the honest chain was an example of a “Gambler’s Ruin” problem.

So rather than being evidence about the type of person that Satoshi is, instead it mostly tells us that he knew probability math.

The very fact that every serious investigative journalist, documentarian, and random Twitter personality has their own candidate really suggests that we need to stop trying.

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Each and every one uses a different combination of stylistic analysis, a different set of vibes, and a different set of hunches from people who maybe worked with Satoshi; at the end of the day they’re all speculating.

There are quite a few people who have the interest, who have the capability, who were present in these communities at this time.

None of these candidates are willing to sign; none of these candidates are willing to move BTC; none of these candidates (at least the believable ones) claim to be Satoshi.

This is a cryptographic system where every person who investigates it is forced to rely on weak circumstantial evidence, because the cryptography that would provide real evidence will not appear.

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Let dead men lie.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Russia Advances Crypto Bill Tightening Rules on Trading Access

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Crypto Breaking News

Russia moved closer to formal crypto regulation after lawmakers advanced a key digital currency bill in its first reading. The proposal sets a timeline for licensed trading and stricter controls. It outlines phased enforcement starting in 2026 and extending into 2027.

Russia Advances Licensed Crypto Framework

The State Duma approved draft bill No. 1194918-8 during its first reading this week. The legislation defines a core structure for digital currency operations across Russia. It places crypto trading under the supervision of the Bank of Russia.

The proposal allows residents to buy and sell crypto through approved intermediaries starting July 2026. However, it bans unlicensed platforms from operating by July 2027. Authorities aim to shift activity into regulated channels and reduce informal trading networks.

Lawmakers also introduced related bills alongside the main framework. Another draft, No. 1194929-8, passed its first reading during the same session. Together, these measures outline a broader plan to reshape the domestic crypto market.

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Key Rules Target Retail Access and Market Limits

The bill sets strict eligibility rules for digital assets available to retail users. Authorities limit access to highly liquid cryptocurrencies meeting defined thresholds. These thresholds include market capitalization, trading volume, and operational history.

Assets must maintain an average capitalization above five trillion rubles over two years. They must also show daily trading volume above one trillion rubles during that period. Additionally, each asset must have at least five years of trading history.

Retail participants must pass a qualification test before accessing crypto markets. Moreover, the bill caps annual purchases at 300,000 rubles through a single intermediary. These rules aim to control exposure while maintaining supervised participation.

The legislation also permits residents to use foreign accounts for crypto purchases. However, users must report all such transactions to tax authorities. At the same time, the law continues to ban crypto payments inside Russia.

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Enforcement Plans Face Legal and Industry Concerns

Lawmakers introduced separate drafts to define penalties for violations under the new system. Draft No. 1209607-8 proposes criminal liability for unlicensed crypto services. It also mandates registration with the central bank for all operators.

However, the Supreme Court of Russia reviewed the proposal and declined support in its current form. The court stated that enforcement rules depend on the main framework. It noted that penalties cannot function without a finalized regulatory base.

This response signals delays in implementing strict enforcement mechanisms. Authorities must first finalize the core digital currency legislation. Only then can supporting measures take full effect across the system.

Meanwhile, industry participants continue to assess the proposed structure. Some local stakeholders warn that strict controls could shift activity outside regulated platforms. They argue that excessive limits may push trading into informal channels instead of formal markets.

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Russia has maintained a cautious stance toward crypto since its 2021 digital assets law. That framework allowed ownership but banned payments using digital currencies. The new legislative package builds on that approach while tightening oversight and market access.

Consequently, the current bill represents a significant step toward centralized control of crypto activity. It reflects a policy direction focused on supervision, compliance, and restricted participation. Further readings and amendments will determine the final shape of Russia’s crypto market structure.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Kraken Calls for De Minimus Exemption on Crypto Taxes after 2025 Reports

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Kraken, Cryptocurrencies, Taxes, Cryptocurrency Exchange

The crypto exchange advocated for two key changes to US tax law affecting crypto users to “eliminate millions of unnecessary forms.”

Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken called for a change in US tax policy after reporting millions of cases of transactions “worth less than $1” as part of its reporting requirements for 2025.

In a Wednesday blog post, Kraken said it issued more than 56 million tax forms — 1099-DAs — to the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in 2025 as now required by law. However, the exchange said that about 18.5 million of those forms were for transactions under $1, with about 28 million for $10 or less and 75% under $50.

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Kraken, Cryptocurrencies, Taxes, Cryptocurrency Exchange
Source: Kraken

In an effort to “eliminate millions of unnecessary forms,” the exchange called for a de minimis exemption for taxes to exclude “small, routine digital asset payments from capital gains reporting.” It similarly advocated for an end to “phantom” income derived from staking cryptocurrencies, requiring holders to “owe taxes on value they have not realized” by not selling their staking rewards.

“This is not about helping crypto companies,” said Kraken about its recommendations. “It is about 55 million Americans, spanning every state, age bracket and industry, who are navigating a tax system designed before digital assets existed. Congress should act to make taxpayers’ lives easier.”

Reporting requirements for both holders and exchanges have changed significantly since the advent of cryptocurrencies. Although there have been proposals for a de minimis tax exemption for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), the most recent draft bill in the US Congress suggested that only stablecoin transactions under $200 trigger reporting to the IRS.

Related: NY lawmaker proposes ‘AI dividend’ to address potential job losses

According to a Fortune report citing data from the nonprofit Tax Foundation, individual returns cost US taxpayers $146 billion in time and out-of-pocket expenses. The Trump administration ended the IRS’s free Direct File tax filing program in November 2025. The program had allowed eligible taxpayers to file their taxes online at no cost.

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Kraken still reportedly considering IPO

After the crypto exchange filed for a confidential initial public offering (IPO) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission in November 2025, reports signaled that Kraken may have put its plan on hold amid volatile market conditions. However, Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi confirmed reports at a Semafor event in April that the company would likely go public soon.

Magazine: How to fix insider trading on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi