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Crypto World

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Must Reclaim This Key Level to Restart Bull Run

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Ethereum is trading around  $2.3k and is still anchored below the $2.4k resistance zone that has capped this entire consolidation over the past months. The ascending channel from February’s lows remains structurally intact, and the conditions for a breakout seem favorable.

The derivatives positioning has also changed dramatically recently, as traders are now placing their biggest long bets of the recovery on ETH, and whether that conviction is rewarded or punished in the coming days will likely define the price action in the coming months.

Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

The ascending white channel from the February low continues to govern the macro structure on the daily timeframe. The lower boundary of the channel is rising above $2k, and the upper boundary extends to $2.5k at the moment.

The price is currently sitting just above the 100-day moving average, which is flattening near $2.2k, and could be counted on as short-term support if a pullback happens. Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average is still well above the price at $2.6k and is yet to be tested. The RSI is also hovering around 50, offering no directional edge.

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Nothing about the daily picture has changed structurally in the past couple of weeks. A sustained close above $2.4k remains the sole requirement to shift the bias, opening the path toward the 200-day MA and potentially the key supply band at $2.8k. The ascending channel floor near $2.1k and the $1.8k demand zone remain the downside references if the recovery structure breaks. Until one of these levels is breached, the daily chart is still waiting for a catalyst.

ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart

Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, the price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle that formed following the mid-April highs and lows. The market has recently tested and bounced from the lower boundary near $2.25k, and is likely to test the $2.4k area again, with the RSI also recovering rapidly.

A clean 4-hour above the higher boundary of the triangle and the $2.4k zone would suggest a measured continuation toward the upper boundary of the large daily channel. On the other hand, a failure to sustain the short-term bounce and a breakdown of the triangle would make a drop back to the $2.2k support zone imminent, which is a key area that has been acting as a floor since mid-April.

Sentiment Analysis

Ethereum’s funding rate has spiked to +0.0105, being the largest positive reading since February. This reading stands in sharp contrast to the more measured positioning that has characterized recent weeks. Unlike Bitcoin, whose entire recovery from $60k to $80k was driven by persistently negative funding, ETH’s derivatives market has been net long for most of the recovery period, meaning this is not a short-squeeze dynamic but genuine directional conviction from long-side traders.

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That distinction cuts both ways. The aggressive long positioning reflects a genuine belief that a breakout above $2.4k is imminent, and if it materializes, those longs will amplify the move significantly. But if the price fails at this level again, a funding rate at +0.0105 means a large cohort of leveraged longs will need to be unwound, and the flush toward $2.2k and potentially $2k would happen quickly.

The funding spike has effectively raised the stakes on a level that has already been tested multiple times. So, ETH either breaks out here with conviction, or the derivatives market hands sellers the most powerful catalyst of the entire corrective cycle.

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The post Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Must Reclaim This Key Level to Restart Bull Run appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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EUR/USD and GBP/USD Return to Ranges Ahead of Key Data

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EUR/USD and GBP/USD Return to Ranges Ahead of Key Data

European currencies have moved into a corrective phase following recent gains, while market participants focus on upcoming macroeconomic data from the UK, the eurozone and the United States. After a strong upward move, both currencies returned to their previous trading ranges, signalling a shift towards consolidation ahead of important economic releases. Additional pressure on the euro and pound is coming from partial profit-taking after the earlier weakening of the US dollar.

Investors will assess data on UK GDP, industrial production and business activity across European economies. These figures may influence expectations regarding future actions by the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. At the same time, markets continue to monitor US statistics, including retail sales and jobless claims, which could affect expectations surrounding future Federal Reserve policy.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD has entered a corrective decline after recent gains and is once again trading within its previous range. Technical analysis suggests the pair may fall towards the lower boundary of the four-week range near 1.1650–1.1670, as a bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. A break below these support levels could trigger a deeper downward correction. If the pair rebounds from 1.1650, a renewed test of 1.1760–1.1780 may follow.

Key Events For EUR/USD:

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  • today at 10:00 (GMT+3): Spain Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  • today at 13:00 (GMT+3): Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) in Germany
  • today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US retail sales volume

GBP/USD

GBP/USD is also correcting after its previous rally and remains within a range-bound structure. A move below yesterday’s low at 1.3490 could lead to a decline towards the 1.3400–1.3440 area. The bearish correction scenario remains valid while the pair stays below 1.3550.

Key Events For GBP/USD:

  • today at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK GDP
  • today at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK manufacturing production
  • today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims

Market attention remains focused on UK economic data, including industrial production, construction output and investment activity. At the same time, the pair will continue to be influenced by US statistics and the dollar’s reaction to macroeconomic releases. If US data confirms signs of economic slowing, the dollar may come under renewed pressure, allowing GBP/USD to resume its upward movement. However, stronger US figures could intensify the current correction and keep the pair within its established range.

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US banks map staged digitization, may reshape crypto rails

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Crypto Breaking News

)Major shifts toward a digitized financial architecture are edging closer to mainstream adoption, according to a forthcoming Moody’s Ratings assessment. In conversations with U.S. banks and other market intermediaries, the credit-ratings firm found a common view: tokenization will unfold in two stages—an initial slow phase that gradually accelerates into a tipping point where broader asset classes, participants, and use cases come on chain.

)Moody’s quotes industry leaders as saying broad asset tokenization is likely, but the timing and sequencing remain the big unknowns. In Moody’s words, “Across our conversations, industry leaders generally believed that broad asset tokenization will happen; the main uncertainties center around how quickly and in what sequence.”

)The report notes that near term progress is expected to be measured and focused on simpler segments—funds and short-term instruments—running in parallel with traditional processes. Yet, a growing cadre of market participants anticipates a point where adoption accelerates rapidly as infrastructure matures and more use cases prove viable, Moody’s said.

Tokenization — the on-chain representation of real-world assets or financial instruments — has long been cited as a foundational driver of institutional interest in blockchain and crypto. Moody’s underscores that, while the current activity remains modest, large banks and market intermediaries are actively building out capabilities to position themselves for a potential surge in demand. The report aligns with projections from analysts who see tokenization as a structural shift rather than a one-off trend.

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Key takeaways

  • Moody’s expects tokenization to proceed in a two-phase pattern: a gradual near-term ramp-up followed by a more rapid expansion as assets, markets, and participants come on chain.
  • The market for tokenized real-world assets has grown rapidly, rising more than 420% since the start of 2025 and reaching about $31.6 billion, according to RWA.xyz.
  • Institutional preparation is underway: virtually all large banks and major market intermediaries have created dedicated digital-asset teams and participate in pilots to test new infrastructure.
  • Moody’s identifies three potential trajectories for the financial system based on tokenization pace: steady growth, constrained growth, or rapid disruption if tokenization accelerates, with meaningful implications for incumbents.

Momentum, pilots, and the coming tipping point

Despite the current quiet phase, the cross-currents pushing tokenization forward are evident. Moody’s highlights ongoing industry pilots aimed at validating new settlement rails, custody, and interoperability across networks. These efforts are described as strategic, with incumbents aiming to be ready to serve clients who demand digital asset and digital money capabilities if demand expands rapidly.

The debate about timing sits alongside other macro- and regulatory considerations. In parallel, industry observers point to a broader capital allocation shift toward tokenized assets as a potential source of efficiency improvements and transparency in settlement and record-keeping. The adoption curve remains a focal point for investors watching how quickly tokenization can scale beyond niche use cases toward mainstream financial products.

Three possible futures for a tokenized financial system

Moody’s lays out a trio of potential outcomes, tied to how quickly tokenization captures momentum. The base case, described as steady growth, envisions tokenization scaling in select assets such as stablecoins and tokenized deposits, while core banking and asset-management ecosystems retain influence. This is the scenario Moody’s views as most likely.

In a low-growth path, regulatory friction, unresolved legal questions, and tepid end-user demand could restrict tokenization to narrow uses, leaving the broader financial system largely intact and tokenization gains minimal.

The most disruptive scenario imagines rapid growth, with widespread on-chain settlement enabled by tokenized assets and digital money. In such a world, incumbents like payment processors and certain traditional interfaces could lose revenue tied to settlement delays and siloed infrastructures, while deposits at smaller banks might come under pressure as flows rechannel onto digital rails.

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Industry voices outside Moody’s echo the sense that tokenization could reshape payments and settlement in meaningful ways. Macro investor Jordi Visser has suggested the tokenization reality could begin this year, highlighting the potential of tokenized assets to power more autonomous, AI-assisted payment flows. Meanwhile, international bodies have urged caution: the IMF has warned that tokenization can reduce friction and increase transparency, but also acknowledges the new risks it introduces for financial stability.

On the market-building side, demand signals are starting to coalesce around real-world assets and cross-border rails. The tokenization story intersects with the broader growth narrative around digital assets, with institutional interest sustained by pilots and strategic asset-token programs. Morgan Stanley’s ongoing crypto unit expansion, including leadership appointments and ETF/digital wallet initiatives announced earlier this year, illustrates how traditional banks are aligning with the tokenization narrative to capture a potential first-mover advantage in a more digitized financial system.

ARK Invest has positioned tokenized assets as a catalyst for a much larger digital assets market, with projections pointing toward a multi-trillion-dollar expansion by the end of the decade. While such forecasts are ambitious, the underlying premise remains: tokenization could unlock efficiencies and new liquidity pools that were previously inaccessible to traditional assets.

In regulatory and risk terms, observers will be watching how authorities balance innovation with stability. The IMF’s assessment underscores both opportunity and risk: tokenization can streamline finance, but it also demands robust oversight to avoid destabilizing side effects as on-chain markets scale.

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What this means for investors and market participants

For investors and builders, the Moody’s report offers a structured view of the ecosystem dynamics shaping tokenization’s path. The near-term emphasis on funds and short-term instruments suggests early-stage opportunities exist in familiar, regulated investment vehicles that can bridge traditional finance and digital rails. Yet the longer-term potential hinges on the maturation of infrastructure—custody, interoperability, and settlement—alongside clear regulatory guardrails that unlock cross-border applicability and consumer access.

As institutions continue to assemble digital-asset teams and participate in pilots, market participants should monitor the following developments:

  • Speed of expansion beyond niche asset classes into broader securities, funds, and possibly tokenized deposits.
  • The pace at which stablecoins and central-bank digital money concepts gain credibility as reliable on-chain settlement options.
  • Regulatory clarity and risk management frameworks that enable cross-border flows without compromising financial stability.
  • Evidence from pilots on interoperability and settlement efficiency that could translate into measurable cost savings and improved liquidity.

For readers tracking the arc of this transition, the next phases will hinge on real-world deployments and the outcomes of ongoing pilots across major banks and asset managers. The Morgan Stanley crypto unit developments, public-facing product initiatives, and the evolving stance of international bodies will be key indicators of whether tokenization moves from aspiration to widespread practice in the near term.

Further coverage from Moody’s, along with continued industry pilots and regulatory updates, will illuminate how quickly the tipping point may arrive and which segments stand to gain or recede as tokenization reshapes the financial landscape.

Readers should stay tuned for updates on grand-scale pilots, cross-border settlement experiments, and any regulatory milestones that could accelerate or slow the tokenization trajectory.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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What Happens When a Blockchain Gets Congested?

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What Happens When a Blockchain Gets Congested?

Blockchain networks are designed to process transactions securely and transparently. But during periods of heavy activity — especially in crypto bull markets — networks can become congested. When this happens, users often experience high fees, delayed transactions, and slower application performance.

For beginners entering the crypto space, blockchain congestion can feel confusing and frustrating. One moment, a transaction costs a few cents, and the next it suddenly costs $20 or more. Understanding why this happens is essential for anyone using cryptocurrencies, decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, or blockchain-based applications.

Understanding Blockchain Congestion

Blockchain congestion happens when the number of transactions waiting to be processed exceeds the network’s available capacity.

Every blockchain has limits:

  • The maximum number of transactions it can process per second (TPS)
  • A limited block size or computational capacity
  • A fixed block production speed

When too many users attempt to send transactions simultaneously, the network becomes overloaded.

Think of it like highway traffic 🚗

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If only a few cars are on the road, traffic flows smoothly. But when thousands of vehicles enter the highway at once, congestion builds up, and everything slows down.

The same thing happens on blockchains.

Why Congestion Happens

Blockchain congestion is usually triggered by spikes in demand. Common causes include:

1. Bull Market Activity

During bull runs, trading activity increases dramatically. More people buy, sell, transfer, and interact with crypto applications all at once.

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Popular networks such as Ethereum have historically experienced major congestion during periods of intense market speculation.

2. NFT Launches and Meme Coin Frenzy

Large NFT mint events or viral meme coin launches can flood networks with transactions.

Users compete to get their transactions processed first, creating bidding wars for block space.

3. DeFi Activity

Decentralized finance applications require constant blockchain interactions:

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  • Swaps
  • Lending
  • Yield farming
  • Staking
  • Liquidations

When DeFi activity surges, transaction volume can overwhelm the network.

4. Limited Network Throughput

Some blockchains prioritize decentralization and security over raw speed. This can reduce the number of transactions processed per second.

For example:

  • Some networks process only a few dozen TPS
  • Traditional payment systems can process thousands

This difference becomes noticeable during periods of high demand.

Gas Fees During Congestion

One of the biggest effects of congestion is rising gas fees.

Gas fees are payments users make to validators or miners for processing transactions.

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When the network is busy:

  • Users compete for limited block space
  • Higher fees receive priority
  • Transactions with low fees remain pending longer

This creates a fee market.

On networks like Ethereum, gas prices can rise dramatically during congestion events.

Example Scenario

Imagine:

  • Normal transaction fee: $1
  • Heavy congestion fee: $50+

During major NFT launches, some users have paid hundreds of dollars just to complete a single transaction.

This can make smaller transactions impractical.

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Slow Confirmations

Congestion also slows transaction confirmations.

Normally:

  • Transactions are processed quickly
  • Confirmations happen within seconds or minutes

But during overload:

  • Transactions wait in the mempool (pending queue)
  • Confirmation times increase
  • Some transactions fail entirely

Users may experience:

  • Delayed token transfers
  • Failed swaps
  • Stuck withdrawals
  • Frozen DeFi interactions

This creates a poor user experience, especially for beginners unfamiliar with blockchain mechanics.

What Is the Mempool?

The mempool is a temporary waiting area for pending blockchain transactions.

When you submit a transaction:

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  1. It enters the mempool
  2. Validators or miners select transactions
  3. Higher-fee transactions usually get processed first

During congestion, the mempool becomes crowded.

This backlog can create long delays across the entire network.

Network Overload and Its Effects

Congestion affects more than just individual users.

It can impact entire ecosystems.

Common Effects of Blockchain Overload

Increased Costs

Applications become expensive to use due to high gas fees.

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Reduced Accessibility

Small users may be priced out of the network.

Slower Applications

Blockchain-based games, DeFi platforms, and NFT marketplaces may lag or fail.

Failed Transactions

Users can lose gas fees even if the transaction fails.

Poor User Experience

New users may become discouraged by delays and unpredictable costs.

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Real-World Examples of Blockchain Congestion

Several major congestion events have shaped crypto history.

Crypto Bull Runs

During intense market rallies:

  • Exchanges become overloaded
  • Wallet activity spikes
  • Trading volume surges

Networks often struggle to keep up.

NFT Minting Wars

Popular NFT collections have caused massive traffic spikes.

Thousands of users compete simultaneously, overwhelming the blockchain infrastructure.

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Meme Coin Surges

Speculative trading around viral tokens can rapidly increase transaction demand.

This often creates temporary fee explosions and slower confirmations.

How Blockchains Try to Solve Congestion

Blockchain developers continuously work on scaling solutions to improve performance.

These upgrades aim to:

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  • Increase transaction speed
  • Lower fees
  • Improve scalability
  • Reduce bottlenecks

Here are the main approaches.

Layer 2 Scaling Solutions

Layer 2 networks process transactions outside the main blockchain while still benefiting from its security.

Popular methods include:

  • Rollups
  • Sidechains
  • Payment channels

These systems reduce congestion on the main network.

Examples connected to Ethereum include:

Layer 2 solutions have become increasingly important for reducing gas fees and improving transaction speed.

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Increasing Block Capacity

Some blockchains increase:

  • Block size
  • Throughput
  • Transaction limits

This allows more transactions per block.

However, larger blocks can create trade-offs involving decentralization and hardware requirements.

Alternative Consensus Mechanisms

Different consensus systems can improve scalability.

For example:

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  • Proof-of-Stake networks often process transactions more efficiently than older Proof-of-Work systems
  • Some blockchains use parallel processing architectures

These designs aim to handle larger transaction volumes.

Sharding

Sharding divides blockchain activity into smaller sections called shards.

Instead of every validator processing every transaction:

  • Different groups process different shards
  • Workload becomes distributed

This can significantly improve scalability.

Why Congestion Matters

Blockchain congestion is more than a technical issue.

It directly affects:

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  • Transaction costs
  • User adoption
  • Developer activity
  • Market sentiment
  • Network competitiveness

A blockchain that cannot scale efficiently may struggle during periods of mass adoption.

That is why scalability remains one of the most important challenges in the crypto industry.

Final Thoughts

Blockchain congestion is a natural result of growing demand. When too many users interact with a network at once, transaction queues grow, fees rise, and confirmation times slow down.

While congestion can frustrate users, it also highlights something important: people are actively using the network.

As blockchain adoption grows, scaling solutions such as Layer 2 networks, sharding, and improved consensus mechanisms will continue playing a major role in making crypto faster, cheaper, and more accessible.

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Understanding congestion helps beginners navigate the crypto ecosystem more confidently — especially during fast-moving bull markets where network activity can surge overnight. 🚀

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XRP Power Launches Global AI-Powered App, Creating an Intelligent Daily Yield System

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XRP Power Launches Global AI-Powered App, Creating an Intelligent Daily Yield System

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, more and more industries are entering the era of intelligentization, and the digital asset field is also undergoing new changes.

Recently, XRP Power officially launched its global AI-powered app, integrating AI data analysis, automated systems, and intelligent yield models to bring a more efficient and convenient digital asset participation experience to users worldwide. Compared to the traditional model that relies on frequent trading and manual operation, XRP Power emphasizes intelligent, automated, and long-term stable system operation logic.

It is understood that XRP Power’s new AI system optimizes the overall operational efficiency of the platform through real-time market data analysis, intelligent risk control mechanisms, and automated task scheduling. Users can participate in the platform’s intelligent yield system through the app without complicated operations, reducing the time, technical, and experience barriers faced in traditional digital asset participation.

In the current market environment, more and more users are shifting from “short-term trading” to a “structured yield” model. Compared to the uncertainty brought by high-frequency trading, some users prefer participation methods with clear rules, transparent processes, and automated system operation. The addition of AI technology is further driving this trend.

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XRP Power AI Intelligent System Core Advantages

  1. Simplified User Experience: Users can quickly participate and manage through an intelligent interface without complex learning processes, lowering the barrier to entry.
  2. AI Intelligent Analysis and Automated Execution: The system can dynamically analyze real-time data and automatically complete operation scheduling and task management, improving overall efficiency.
  3. On-Chain Transparency Mechanism: Key data supports on-chain queries, making operational logic and information records more open and transparent, enhancing user trust.
  4. Multi-Layer Real-Time Risk Control System: The platform combines intelligent monitoring and risk warning mechanisms to continuously optimize overall security and system stability.
  5. Real-Time Data Synchronization System: Account information, earnings records, and system status can be updated in real time, making the overall experience clearer and more intuitive.
  6. 24/7 Intelligent Operation Mechanism: The AI ​​system runs continuously 24 hours a day, ensuring platform stability and automated execution capabilities.

Join the XRP Power AI Intelligent Experience

  1. Account Creation: Users can register using their email address to quickly create a personal account. The entire process is simple and efficient, supporting convenient access to the platform for users worldwide. (New users can also receive rewards)
  2. Participate in AI Smart Contracts using Cryptocurrency – Users can flexibly choose AI smart contracts with different periods using cryptocurrency payments to participate in the platform’s intelligent profit system.
  3. Daily Profits Automatically Returned to Account – During contract execution, the system will automatically settle profits through an AI intelligent mechanism and distribute them to the account balance daily in real time.
  4. Flexible Management and Free Operation – Account balances can be managed at any time. Users can apply for withdrawals or continue to participate in other AI smart contracts, achieving a more flexible and efficient digital asset management experience.

New users can click to view AI smart income contracts with different periods and flexibly choose the more suitable participation plan according to their own needs.

About XRP POWER

XRP POWER is building a safer, more efficient, and intelligent digital service system through its AI intelligent system, new energy ecosystem, and global APP services.

The platform continuously optimizes overall operational efficiency and user experience, providing global users with a more convenient and stable digital service experience. With the continuous upgrading of AI technology and the global ecosystem, more and more users are beginning to pay attention to more intelligent and automated digital service models.

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Users can learn more about the AI ​​intelligent system, global APP services, and related functions through the official XRP POWER platform.

Risk Warning

Before participating in any related services, users should carefully review the contract terms and participate rationally based on their own risk tolerance.

Furthermore, users are advised to plan their financial allocation reasonably, enhance their risk awareness, and participate in compliance with relevant local laws and regulations.

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Learn more on our official website: https://xrppower.com

Click to download the app

Official Email: info@xrppower.com

The post XRP Power Launches Global AI-Powered App, Creating an Intelligent Daily Yield System appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Only 4% of US Voters Care About Crypto at the Ballot Box, New Poll Finds

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Only 4% of US Voters Care About Crypto at the Ballot Box, New Poll Finds

A new poll shows just 4% of Americans would weigh a candidate’s crypto stance at the ballot box. This ranks the issue at the bottom of voter concerns ahead of the 2026 midterms.

The result undermines the industry’s central pitch, which casts everyday digital asset investors as a powerful voting bloc. That premise has helped justify hundreds of millions in political spending across the 2026 cycle.

Voters Rank Crypto Below Housing and Fraud

The POLITICO Poll, conducted with Public First, found that even among 19% Americans who have traded digital assets, only 7% say a candidate’s crypto stance would sway their vote

“Lawmakers in both parties have spent much of the past two years fixated on enacting sweeping new cryptocurrency legislation. Their work…is of little interest to voters,” POLITICO wrote.

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The survey highlighted that 18% of respondents want lawmakers to prioritize cryptocurrency rules. That trails housing affordability at 49% and consumer fraud protection at 36%.

Public support for legitimizing crypto as a mainstream financial asset sits at 27%. By contrast, 31% oppose government action, and 42% remain neutral or undecided.

An earlier survey found 45% of Americans consider crypto investing not worth the risk. These findings suggest crypto remains a low-priority issue for most voters despite the industry’s growing political influence. They also reflect lingering public skepticism toward digital assets as a mainstream investment class.

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The post Only 4% of US Voters Care About Crypto at the Ballot Box, New Poll Finds appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Did Claude just ‘crack’ a bitcoin wallet? AI tool helps find 5 BTC stuck for years

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Did Claude just 'crack' a bitcoin wallet? AI tool helps find 5 BTC stuck for years

A viral X post is claiming Claude ‘cracked’ a forgotten bitcoin wallet to recover 5 BTC from a user’s computer.

But don’t get caught in the hype as that is not what happened. Anthropic’s AI simply helped the owner search their own computer for an old wallet file, which was then decrypted with a password the owner already had written down in a notebook.

User cprkrn posted the recovery on Wednesday, calling it “the most obvious opening ever” once they figured out what had happened.

The owner had been trying for eight weeks to brute-force the password on their current Blockchain.com wallet, testing roughly 3.5 trillion combinations using the btcrecover service on a rented computing chip.

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The recovery happened when the user “dumped my whole college computer into Claude” as a last-ditch effort, and the assistant located an old wallet backup from December 2019 that was encrypted with a password the user already had written down in a notebook.

The old password decrypted the old backup, which contained the same private keys controlling the current funds, since bitcoin private keys never change.

The password itself was “lol420fuckthePOLICE!*:)” per the user’s own X disclosure. Total Vast.ai GPU spend on the failed brute-force attempts was around $15, with the recovery effectively a file search.

For context, breaking bitcoin’s actual cryptography would require either a working quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm or a flaw in elliptic-curve cryptography that has not been found in 16 years of public scrutiny.

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CoinDesk’s post-quantum security series earlier this year covered the timeline expectations for that threat, with most researchers placing the cryptographically relevant quantum computer at least five to ten years out.

But the user’s experience opens up a further door for AI inside crypto. Forgotten wallets from bitcoin’s early years now hold serious value, and recovery tools like btcrecover have existed for years to help users test password variations against encrypted wallet files.

The problem has always been that most recovery work requires technical expertise that the average lost-bitcoin owner does not have.

That is where AI assistants can step in. Instead of manually sorting through folders, timestamps, and backup files across years of accumulated drive clutter, owners can hand the search to an LLM and have it identify patterns, narrow the search space, and surface candidate files.

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Millions of bitcoin are believed to remain inaccessible because owners lost passwords, drives, or recovery phrases during the early years.

With bitcoin trading around $79,000, a forgotten laptop in a closet could be holding six figures. Back up wallet data carefully, store recovery phrases somewhere that is not your memory, and check old hardware before you sell it.

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Metaplanet Books $725 Million Q1 Loss as Bitcoin Stack Hits 40,177 BTC

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Metaplanet CEO Fires Back at Critics as $1.2 Billion Bitcoin Paper Losses Mount

Metaplanet booked a ¥114.5 billion ($725 million) net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. 

Accounting valuation losses on its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings drove the decline after the cryptocurrency posted its worst Q1 since 2018.

Bitcoin’s Worst Q1 Since 2018 Hits Metaplanet’s Treasury

Bitcoin fell roughly 22% during the first quarter of 2026. The drop marked Bitcoin’s weakest first quarter in eight years. The decline hit major corporate holders, including Metaplanet.

“The ordinary loss and quarterly net loss attributable to owners of parent were primarily attributable to accounting valuation losses resulting from the decline in Bitcoin prices at the end of the first quarter and reflect short-term mark-to-market fluctuations,” the firm said.

Despite the dip, the Tokyo-listed firm increased its Bitcoin holdings to 40,177 BTC. BTC holdings per fully diluted share rose 2.8% QoQ to 0.0247319, with Metaplanet holding ~87% of all BTC held by Japanese listed companies as of May 2026

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Moreover, operating performance also moved in the opposite direction. Net sales climbed 251% year-over-year while operating profit jumped 282% to ¥2.27 billion ($14.4 million).

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Metaplanet’s Preferred Share Listing Faces Two Hurdles

In addition to the fiscal results, Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich also addressed delays in the company’s perpetual preferred share listing on X. Gerovich outlined two key considerations.

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Japanese listing rules require preferred dividends to be supported by sustainable cash flows across multiple market scenarios. 

“Metaplanet already has a six-quarter track record in its Bitcoin Income Generation Business, and we believe it is important to continue demonstrating that the business can generate stable, recurring cash flows across both strong and weak Bitcoin market conditions,” he said.

In addition, Metaplanet plans monthly dividends, well above Japan’s typical once or twice-yearly cadence. Implementing this requires substantial work on record-date procedures, shareholder identification, dividend calculation, and recurring shareholder notice operations.

Gerovich pointed out that few listed preferred shares currently trade in Japan. If approved, Metaplanet’s offering would become only the seventh in the market and the country’s first perpetual preferred share.

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Metaplanet Reports $725M Q1 Loss on Bitcoin Markdown

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Metaplanet reported a net loss of 114.5 billion yen or $725.6 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • The company recorded 116.4 billion yen in bitcoin valuation losses due to lower prices at quarter’s end.
  • Revenue rose 251.1% year over year to 3.08 billion yen during the quarter.
  • Operating profit increased 282.5% to 2.3 billion yen, driven by bitcoin income strategies and hotel operations.
  • Metaplanet added 5,075 BTC in the quarter, bringing total holdings to 40,177 BTC as of March 31.

Metaplanet reported a net loss of 114.5 billion yen, or $725.6 million, for the fiscal 2026 first quarter. The company recorded heavy unrealized Bitcoin valuation losses, which offset higher revenue and operating profit. It released the figures in its consolidated financial report for the quarter ended March 31.

Metaplanet Records Bitcoin Markdowns Despite Higher Revenue

Metaplanet booked 116.4 billion yen, or $737.6 million, in bitcoin valuation losses during the quarter. The company said the losses stemmed from mark-to-market adjustments tied to lower Bitcoin price at quarter’s end. It stated that these losses reflect short-term fluctuations in the value of its holdings.

However, revenue rose to 3.08 billion yen, or $19.5 million, up 251.1% year over year. Operating profit increased to 2.3 billion yen, or $14.4 million, marking a 282.5% rise. The company attributed the operating growth to its bitcoin income generation business and hotel operations.

The firm said its bitcoin income strategies include options-based approaches linked to its BTC reserves. It reported that these activities contributed to improved operating performance during the period. At the same time, hotel operations continued to generate steady earnings.

Management reiterated its focus on bitcoin as a core treasury asset. The company described Bitcoin as the “world’s first truly decentralized monetary asset.” It maintained that accounting losses reflect price movements at the reporting date.

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Bitcoin Holdings Expand Under Treasury Strategy

Metaplanet increased its Bitcoin reserves during the quarter. The company added 5,075 BTC to its balance sheet between January and March. As a result, total holdings reached 40,177 BTC as of March 31.

The company stated that it adopted a “Bitcoin Standard” in April 2024. Under this policy, it designated bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset. It said this move made it the first listed Japanese company to take that step.

Metaplanet reported that it holds about 87% of all bitcoin owned by listed companies in Japan as of May 2026. The company continued accumulating bitcoin during the quarter despite price volatility. It did not disclose the average purchase price for the added coins.

The quarterly filing showed that bitcoin markdowns drove the overall net loss. However, operating metrics improved compared with the prior year period. The company confirmed its total bitcoin holdings stood at 40,177 BTC at the end of March.

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BTC, ETH and Top Altcoins in Mixed Signals

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin weakened further in midweek trading, dipping below the $80,000 level as bears maintained control into the session. The move spotlights a critical near-term test around the 20-day exponential moving average near $79,092, a level traders will watch closely for signs of a rebound or a deeper pullback. While the immediate technicals suggest caution, analysts offered a mix of scenarios, with some arguing that BTC’s current action could still give way to renewed upside, while others warned that a breakdown could accelerate losses across the market.

Among the points of debate, market observers cited a discussion around the Ichimoku cloud. One analyst noted that BTC did not breach the cloud during the last bear market, and that a breakout above it previously marked the start of a new bull cycle; yet current price action places BTC somewhat differently from that prior cycle. At the same time, Arthur Hayes, chief investment officer of Maelstrom, argued in a Substack post that Bitcoin could retake $126,000 after reclaiming $90,000, a threshold he sees as a catalyst for renewed momentum. He also linked the bounce to broader macro narratives—specifically, ongoing AI competition and geopolitical tensions he suggests could drive money printing into crypto markets.

On-chain curiosity also sits alongside the price debate. A well-known BTC whale, known by the handle pension-usdt.eth, has an active short of roughly 1,000 BTC (about $81 million at current prices) with 3x leverage. The position opened near $67,990 remains in the red by tens of millions, but the trader said on X that the rationale for the short remains intact. The existence of such a sizable, leveraged bet underscores the fragility of the intermediate-term setup and the risk of a rapid unwind should spot prices snap higher.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin slipped below $80,000 and sits near the 20-day EMA at around $79,092; a break below could deepen the pullback toward the 50-day SMA near $74,571.
  • Reclaiming $84,000 would be a bullish cue, potentially loading the path toward $92,000 and up to $97,924 if momentum accelerates.
  • Analysts disagree on the longer-term arc: one view hinges on cloud-based chart signals, another on macro-driven money flows that could push BTC toward much higher levels.
  • A prominent leveraged BTC short remains in place, illustrating ongoing risk-on/risk-off dynamics that could amplify swings if price action reverses.
  • Altcoins across the top ranks are clustered around meaningful levels, with outcomes likely to hinge on short-term breaks of key moving averages and resistance lines.

Bitcoin: at a crossroad between support and resistance

BTC traded to new intraday lows beneath the $80,000 mark, with the 20-day exponential moving average hovering near $79,092 as the immediate fulcrum. A bounce from this level could rejuvenate the ascent toward the $84,000 zone, opening momentum for further gains toward $92,000 and potentially just shy of $98,000 if buyers accelerate through overhead supply. Conversely, a move through the 20-day EMA to the downside could invite a deeper correction, targeting the 50-day simple moving average near $74,571 and then the larger support line.

Chart observers have pointed to Ichimoku cloud dynamics as part of the narrative. While the cloud has historically functioned as a reference point for trend shifts, BTC’s current posture appears to differ from the last bear cycle, complicating the historical playbook. In parallel, an influential bullish thesis circulated by Arthur Hayes posits that a move beyond $90,000—after which BTC could retake $126,000—would likely be accompanied by a wave of short-covering and renewed buying interest, particularly if macro narratives around technology and policy remain supportive.

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Altcoins in the crosscurrents: mixed signals across the top ranks

The broader market narrative remains cautious, with several top altcoins contending with selling pressure and choppy price action. Here is a concise guide to where some of the marquee assets sit relative to notable levels and what would constitute near-term catalysts or risks.

Ether (ETH): tests of supply and demand near moving averages

Ether is attempting to stage a recovery from the 50-day SMA near $2,245, but a long wick on the daily candle signals selling pressure at higher levels. A break and close below the 50-day SMA could open a path toward the ascending channel’s support line, around $1,916. Conversely, a break above the $2,465 resistance would suggest strength and could push ETH toward the channel’s upper boundary, with a potential climb toward $3,050 if momentum sustains.

BNB: watching the mid-range as bulls test higher

BNB bounced off the 20-day EMA around $643 and rose toward the $687 overhead resistance. An index-friendly close above $687 could pave the way for a rally toward $730 and then $790. Failure to clear the zone might see price consolidate in a $570–$687 corridor, keeping upside momentum on hold.

XRP: teetering on a potential breakout vs. continuation of the range

XRP has been oscillating between a descending-channel trendline and key moving averages. A decisive move above the $1.61 level could lift the pair toward $2.40, while a failure to clear the moving averages might pull the price to the $1.27 area, where buyers have historically stepped in. A sustained breakout above $1.61 would be a bullish signal for further upside, while a close below major moving averages raises the prospect of continued range-bound action.

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Solana (SOL): resilience near the 20-day EMA but a high hurdle above

Solana’s price failed to extend a rally off the $98 resistance, suggesting ongoing seller interest at higher levels. A bounce from the 20-day EMA near $89 could renew attempts to clear $98, opening a route to $106 and then $117. A break below the 20-day EMA, however, could relegate SOL to oscillation within roughly $76–$98 in the near term.

Dogecoin (DOGE): dips seen as buying opportunities, but hurdles remain

Dogecoin rebounded from the 20-day EMA near $0.10, signaling that buyers view dips as opportunities. A sustained move above $0.12 remains a hurdle; a clean break above $0.14 and then $0.16 could follow, while a failure to clear resistance could keep DOGE in a tight range around $0.09–$0.12 for a while longer.

Hyperliquid (HYPE): the risk-off unwind and the need for a sustained breakout

Hyperliquid slipped below the 50-day SMA near $40.55, suggesting continued profit-taking. A break below $38.70 would reinforce a short-term top, with a potential slide toward $34.45. Any meaningful recovery would likely face selling near the 20-day EMA and the $43.76–$45.77 zone, with a persistent push above $45.77 needed to reassert an uptrend toward the $50 target.

Cardano (ADA): range-bound dynamics keep catalysts in suspense

ADA has struggled to establish a convincing bid above the moving averages, with the 20-day EMA near $0.26 acting as a buffer. A breakdown could trap ADA in a $0.22–$0.31 range for a few sessions, while a rebound above $0.31 could open a path toward $0.36 and even $0.40 if momentum builds.

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Zcash (ZEC): within reach of a pivotal reversal or deeper correction

ZEC bounced off the $560 level but failed to sustain a move higher. A close below $560 would mark profit-taking by near-term traders and could push the price toward the 20-day EMA around $481, with a deeper tilt toward $400 if the EMA fractures. A sturdier bounce back above $643 could renew upside toward $750.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH): cracks at support could redefine the near-term trajectory

BCH fell below both the moving averages and the $443 support, signaling sellers’ edge in the immediate term. If price action pushes below $419, the downtrend could resume toward $375. On the other hand, a sharp reversal from $419 and a move above the moving averages might keep BCH within a range longer, with a close above $486 suggesting renewed upside pressure.

While BTC remains the primary driver of sentiment, the crosswinds within the top-10 cohort illustrate a market that is sensitive to short-term shifts in risk appetite and liquidity. Investors should monitor how quickly BTC can reclaim critical levels and whether the altcoins can sustain any breakout attempts beyond their local moving averages and resistance lines.

For readers, the takeaway is that price action this week is defining a bifurcated near-term narrative: BTC still sits at a pivotal juncture where a close above the $84,000 threshold would inject momentum, while the broader altcoin complex remains highly contingent on immediate support and resistance dynamics. The coming sessions will reveal whether risk appetite returns to the market or whether traders consolidate around key moving-average baselines and defense lines.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Fireblocks Connects RAW Signing to Cardano via Iagon

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Fireblocks has integrated its RAW signing technology with Iagon’s enterprise Cardano nodes and Insights API for institutional access to ADA.
  • The integration allows approved clients to create and sign custom ADA and Cardano Native Token transactions within Fireblocks’ MPC framework.
  • Institutions can now delegate ADA to stake pools and participate in Cardano governance directly through the Fireblocks platform.
  • Fireblocks Trust, regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services, provides qualified custody for supported clients.
  • Iagon secured a $1.5 million ADA-denominated loan backed by 54 million IAG tokens to fund infrastructure development.

Fireblocks has connected its RAW signing system with Iagon’s enterprise Cardano nodes and Insights API for approved clients. The integration allows institutions to create and sign custom ADA and Cardano Native Token transactions within Fireblocks’ MPC framework. The update expands existing ADA custody support to include staking, governance, and token management inside a single regulated workflow.

Fireblocks Expands Institutional ADA Capabilities

Fireblocks enables institutions to construct custom transactions through RAW signing while securing private keys within its MPC structure. Instead of using preset templates, clients can define transaction parameters directly and execute them through the custody platform. As a result, firms gain operational flexibility while keeping assets secured inside Fireblocks’ infrastructure.

Fireblocks has supported ADA custody and transfers since August 2021, and this upgrade adds staking and governance functions. Clients can now delegate ADA to stake pools and vote on Cardano governance proposals without leaving the platform. Fireblocks Trust, regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services, oversees qualified custody operations and states it combines self-custody with “zero counterparty risk.”

The integration links Fireblocks’ custody stack with Iagon’s Cardano-specific node infrastructure and Insights API. Therefore, institutions can interact with ADA and Cardano Native Tokens through a direct institutional pipeline. The companies said the system provides a fully operational method for approved customers to access the Cardano network.

Lagon Supports Node Infrastructure and ADA-Backed Loan

Iagon supplies enterprise-grade Cardano nodes and API services that power the integration with Fireblocks. The company focuses on decentralized storage solutions driven by AI-based resource sharing. However, its enterprise infrastructure services secured the partnership tied to institutional ADA access.

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In March 2026, Iagon secured a $1.5 million loan denominated in ADA to fund ecosystem infrastructure development. The company used 54 million IAG tokens as collateral to back the loan agreement. This structure links IAG token valuation directly to the collateral position supporting the ADA loan.

Iagon’s CEO disclosed abstaining from certain governance votes connected to the integration due to conflicts of interest. Community discussions have referenced concerns about institutional participation and decentralization. Cardano continues operating under its delegated proof-of-stake model, which allows token holders to earn rewards without running validator hardware.

The new workflow enables institutions to delegate ADA directly through Fireblocks instead of using separate staking tools. It also allows governance participation as Cardano advances further into its Voltaire era. The integration remains available to approved Fireblocks customers as of the latest company update.

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