Ether (ETH) dropped sharply after rejection at $2,400 last week, dropping as low as $2,100 on Monday, indicating that bears are back “in control,” according to new analysis.

Key takeaways:

• Ether drops 12% after rejection at $2,400 as bears regain control.
• Binance sell pressure and ETF outflows signal weak ETH demand.
• Analysts warn ETH/USD could fall toward $1,700 if support at $2,000 breaks.

ETH bears selling aggressively

Data from TradingView shows ETH price trading at $2,100, down 12% below its local high of $2,420 reached on May 6. On Sunday, ETH/USD hit $2,090 on Bitstamp, its lowest level since April 17.

ETH/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bearish sentiment could be returning to Ether’s market as a key metric from Binance, the largest crypto exchange by trading volume, shows that sellers are starting to dominate the platform’s volumes.

Related: Surging oil prices have been driving Ether selling pressure: Tom Lee

The Binance taker buy volume, which measures the total dollar amount of aggressive sell orders placed by traders on Binance futures, climbed above $1.1 billion within an hour on Sunday as ETH moved toward levels below $2,100. 

When this metric spikes during price declines, it often points to forced de-risking or strong short-term bearish pressure from active market participants.

Ether saw “large aggressive sell-volume spikes on Binance while testing important downside levels,” CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha said in a QuickTake note on Monday, adding:

“This does not necessarily confirm the start of a deeper downtrend. However, it shows that sellers were clearly in control during the move.”

ETH taker sell volume on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Increasing outflows from ETH investment products added to the sell-side pressure.

Data from SoSoValue shows US-based spot Ethereum ETFs had net outflows for five consecutive days, totalling $255 million. 

This suggests that “institutional momentum has hit a localized wall for Ethereum,” analyst Whale Factor said in a Sunday post, adding:

“This heavy sell-side distribution is keeping a tight lid on prices for now. ”

Spot ETH ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

Global Ethereum investment products also saw $249 million in outflows during the week ending May 15, the largest since Jan. 30, data from CoinShares shows.  

3.5 million ETH cluster at $2,000 could abate a sell-off

According to Ether’s cost-basis distribution data, investors hold approximately 3.85 million ETH at an average cost basis of $2,000-$2,100, creating a potential support zone. This concentration suggests many investors may add to their positions at break-even, potentially abating another ETH price breakdown.

Ethereum cost basis distribution chart. Source: Glassnode

As Cointelegraph reported, the ETH price could potentially drop toward $1,700 after validating a rising wedge pattern on the daily time frame. Traders, however, say the bearish momentum could be stalled if ETH/USD holds above $2,000.

“$ETH dropped below $2,100 as it failed to hold the $2,150 support zone,” said crypto analyst Ted Pillows in an X post on Tuesday, adding:

“The next key support for Ethereum is the $2,050-$2,070 level, which could provide some bounce back.”

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: X/Ted Pillows

Technical analyst Donald Dean said ETH bulls need to defend the “lower volume shelf support near $2,100” to avoid a move below a rising channel on the daily chart.

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: X/Donald Dean

Fellow analyst Cryptorphic said if the ETH/USD pair fails to “hold this area and consolidates below it, we could see a continuation toward lower support levels,” adding:

“The recent breakdown below the local support area shows that buyers are getting weaker in the short term.”

Meanwhile, Sharplink CEO pointed out three catalysts that the ETH price needs to surge higher, including the passage of the CLARITY Act in the US, a return of marketwide risk appetite, and growth in real-world asset tokenization on Ethereum.

Key Highlights

• Payward achieves $507M in Q1 revenue while market speculation grows around Kraken’s IPO delay.

• Revenue climbs 3% year-over-year for Kraken’s parent despite challenging crypto market conditions.

• EBITDA margins compress at Payward as Kraken invests heavily in acquisitions and product development.

• Strategic expansion moves Kraken into equities trading, derivatives, payment solutions, and tokenized assets.

• Public listing timeline for Payward draws scrutiny as valuation estimates decline throughout 2026.

Payward disclosed adjusted revenue of $507 million for the first quarter of 2026, maintaining momentum despite significant cryptocurrency market headwinds. The parent organization of Kraken achieved 3% revenue expansion year-over-year while industry-wide trading participation declined substantially. These financial results emerged alongside speculation regarding a potential postponement of the company’s initial public offering until 2027.

Kraken Parent Maintains Revenue Growth Despite Industry Slowdown

The exchange platform processed $357 billion in aggregate transaction volume throughout the three-month period. Cryptocurrency trading momentum decelerated as macroeconomic headwinds and international tensions dampened market sentiment. Bitcoin’s value declined 22%, while the overall digital asset market capitalization contracted 23% during this timeframe.

Despite challenging market conditions, Kraken captured increased market share in spot trading activities. The platform’s portion of spot volume expanded from approximately 3.5% in mid-2025 to reach 5.2% by March 2026. Additionally, Payward maintained 59% of its spot trading volume measured from the December 2024 high-water mark, demonstrating superior resilience compared to major competitors.

Adjusted EBITDA declined to $18 million from $168 million recorded in the prior-year quarter. Payward attributed this reduction to ongoing investments across product development, strategic acquisitions, regulatory compliance initiatives, and customer base expansion. While maintaining profitability, the organization prioritized long-term growth initiatives over immediate margin optimization.

Strategic Acquisitions Drive Platform Diversification Beyond Digital Assets

Through targeted acquisitions, Payward constructed a comprehensive multi-asset infrastructure platform. The Backed acquisition enables tokenized equity offerings, while Magna delivers token lifecycle management capabilities for issuers and blockchain protocols. Bitnomial enhances US-based derivatives operations, and the anticipated Reap closing adds payment processing and card infrastructure functionality.

Consumer product offerings expanded significantly during the opening quarter. The platform introduced US stock and ETF trading through Kraken Desktop while launching traditional finance futures for European Union customers. Additional rollouts included dual investment products, enhanced margin trading pairs, DeFi Earn capabilities, and Kraken CLI for command-line execution.

These product initiatives demonstrate Payward’s strategic pivot beyond cryptocurrency spot trading. NinjaTrader integration, Breakout features, and broadened futures access contributed to a 51% year-over-year increase in average daily futures revenue trades. Consequently, Payward diversified revenue generation away from direct cryptocurrency price correlation.

Public Offering Timeline Uncertainty Grows Amid Valuation Fluctuations

Following a November funding round at a $20 billion valuation, Payward submitted confidential IPO registration documents. Subsequent market reports indicated a reduced implied valuation after Deutsche Börse’s $200 million strategic investment. That transaction reportedly established Kraken’s fully diluted valuation near $13.3 billion.

The public listing schedule now faces intensified market examination following reports suggesting potential postponement into 2027. This timeline adjustment follows cryptocurrency price declines, diminished trading volumes, and downward pressure on exchange sector valuations. Payward reportedly reduced headcount by 150 positions last week as part of operational cost optimization efforts.

Since its 2011 inception, Kraken has established itself among the cryptocurrency industry’s most enduring exchange platforms. Its parent organization now positions itself as a diversified infrastructure provider spanning digital assets, equities, derivatives, payments, and tokenization services. The first-quarter financial disclosure reveals an organization sustaining revenue growth while navigating preparation for public market transparency requirements.

The White House says it has achieved a legal and custody “breakthrough” for the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, finally giving Washington a compliant way to safeguard billions in seized BTC.

The White House has confirmed a major operational breakthrough for the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, with an announcement expected in the coming weeks. Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, revealed during an interview at Consensus 2026 that the administration has successfully established the legal compliance and asset custody structure required to protect government-held crypto assets.

“We’ll have an announcement…It’s a breakthrough as far as getting everything in place, legally sound, properly safeguarding the assets,” Witt said during the interview with Scott Melker. The statement marks the first official confirmation that the reserve framework has overcome regulatory obstacles that previously prevented the government from properly securing seized Bitcoin (BTC) holdings.

Legal framework in place

The breakthrough comes more than a year after President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025. That order directed federal agencies to consolidate Bitcoin obtained through civil and criminal forfeiture into a single reserve account and prohibited the Treasury from selling the assets. Witt emphasized that while executive orders established the initial framework, legislative action remains necessary to ensure long-term protections and permanence.

The administration is working closely with Deputy Harry John and Stephen Miller’s policy team on interagency collaboration for the reserve, even as congressional attention focuses on the CLARITY Act. Witt warned that executive orders alone are vulnerable to reversal by future administrations, citing policy shifts between the Trump and Biden administrations as evidence that congressional codification through the BITCOIN Act and American Reserve Modernization Action Act is essential.

Strategic positioning

According to Wikipedia, the U.S. government is estimated to hold approximately 328,372 BTC as of February 2026, making it the largest known state holder of Bitcoin globally. With Bitcoin trading around $77,277 as of May 18, 2026, the government’s holdings represent approximately $25.4 billion in value. The reserve framework treats Bitcoin as a strategic asset comparable to gold or petroleum stockpiles, rather than a speculative investment.

Witt also highlighted custody failures, noting that losses by U.S. Marshals demonstrate gaps in the current system that require both the BITCOIN and ARMA Acts to properly protect executive orders. The official stressed that failing to establish clear regulatory leadership could force the United States to follow frameworks developed by other nations, potentially benefiting competitors like China in the digital asset race.

Iran is reportedly considering the introduction of a bitcoin (BTC)-based insurance policy for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz that it believes will make the country $10 billion in revenue. 

That’s according to state-backed news outlet Fars News, which reported on Saturday that the system has been in the works since April. 

The proposed policy is called “Hormuz Safe,” and its website claims it will provide “Iranian shipping companies and cargo owners with fast, verifiable digital insurance — paid via BTC and settled at the speed of the blockchain.” 

Fars News reports that Iran wants to legally control the Strait after the war’s conclusion and commercialise the route to boost its economy. 

Read more: Crypto scams are now a threat in the Strait of Hormuz, report

The outlet reports that, “With this plan, various marine insurance policies and financial liability certificates can be issued, which could generate over $10 billion in revenue for the country.”

Iran has also reportedly created a new government body today to help manage the Strait, while peace talks with the US appear to have come to a standstill. Countries in Europe are also holding talks with Tehran over passage through the Strait.

Iran’s previous BTC toll exploited by scammers

Iran has already demanded that ship owners pay BTC tolls. At the time, officials wrongly implied that the crypto would be free from the restrictions of sanctions.

The US has also sanctioned Iran’s BTC wallets and other state-owned entities, so payments in BTC won’t alter these restrictions. 

After the first set of tolls were announced, scammers attempted to exploit the news by sending ship masters phony emails pretending to be Iranian authorities and asking for payment. 

One ship may have fallen victim to the scammers as the vessel’s crew, thinking they had paid the toll, was still fired upon by Iranian forces. 

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