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Defence firm moving to Wales with plans to create 250 jobs

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Marshall Land Systems has informed staff it plans to relocate from Cambridge to Merthyr

Marshall Land Systems.

A leading defence firm has confirmed plans to relocate from Cambridge to South Wales in an investment expected to create 250 jobs.

Marshall Land Systems, which designs and manufactures specialist deployable defence infrastructure, has informed its staff that it plans to move to Merthyr with a consultation under way.

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The business was acquired last year from family-owned Marshall Group by Canadian investment firm Flowing River Capital Partners. At the time of the acquisition they were aware of the relocation requirement with Marshall Group looking to sell land around Cambridge Airport – where Marshall Land Systems and other group companies are based -for residential development.

READ MORE: Port of Milford Haven posts strong financial resultsREAD MORE: Iconic jean maker Hiut Demin Co looking to expand

The firm’s current Cambridge operation employs 158 people, alongside 59 fixed-term agency contractors. However, the new owners are upbeat about the company’s growth and job-creating prospects.

A spokesperson for the company, which also has sites in Canada and the Netherlands with a total workforce of around 500, said: “Marshall Land Systems needs to relocate from its current home due to redevelopment of the area around Cambridge Airport. We’ve looked at potential facilities close to Cambridge and more widely across the UK. Subject to employee consultation, it is our intention to establish a manufacturing/assembly facility in Merthyr Tydfil.

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“We are currently consulting with our impacted workforce and unions about the proposal.” Depending on the outcome of the consultation process, we will be offering impacted employees the opportunity to relocate.

“If we go ahead with the proposal and establish the facility in Merthyr, we will bring a currently mothballed industrial facility back into use, providing a base for growth and expansion for the company. We will be creating up to 250 permanent jobs over five years.

“The proposed move makes financial and industrial sense in terms of supply chain, local industry, and the Welsh Defence Growth Deal.”

The company wouldn’t comment on a precise location in Merthyr and only referred back to its statement.

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However, with a lack of large scale industrial units in the town, a likely location is a vacant factory and office site that was occupied by Vision Modular Systems. It extends to 191,600 sq ft and occupies a 8.2 acres at Merthyr Industrial Park. The building is being marketed by the Cardiff office of property advisory firm Knight Frank.

It is anticipated that the new Merthyr site will become operational by the end of the year.

The Welsh Government said: “We welcome the decision by Marshall, subject to staff consultation, to move their manufacturing operation to Merthyr Tydfil.

“This shows Wales is an attractive location for investment and this new government is determined and focused on bringing many more jobs here.”

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Announcing its acquisition last November, Thomas Benjoe, chief executive of Flowing River Capital Partners, confirmed plans to expand the business. He said: “Marshall Land Systems has a tremendous pedigree, a highly capable workforce and management team, and strong opportunities for growth in the strategically important defence market as Canada and its allies focus on national capability and international partnership.

“This acquisition is a perfect fit, advancing our ambition to build a thriving portfolio of companies while staying true to our values of community stewardship, sustainability, and collaboration. We look forward to working with the team to grow the business.”

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Rumble secures toll mining agreement at Western Queen

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Rumble secures toll mining agreement at Western Queen

Shares in West Perth-based junior Rumble Resources closed trade up 9 per cent to 5.8 cents, following news it had secured a key agreement for its Western Queen gold and tungsten project.

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Ashish Kacholia-backed smallcap stock tanks 34% in just two sessions. What’s behind the selloff?

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Ashish Kacholia-backed smallcap stock tanks 34% in just two sessions. What’s behind the selloff?
Shares of Jain Resource Recycling, backed by ace investor Ashish Kacholia, came under heavy selling pressure on Tuesday, plunging as much as 19% to an intraday low of Rs 377 on the BSE. The stock has now fallen 34% over the last two sessions. As per the March quarter shareholding pattern, Kacholia held 1.14% stake in the company through Bengal Finance and Investment.

The sharp decline followed the company’s disclosure that geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel severely disrupted its import supply chain during the March quarter, particularly in March 2026. According to the company, the conflict led to vessel rerouting and a sharp rise in port discharge liner charges imposed by shipping companies, costs that could neither be passed on to suppliers nor immediately recovered from customers.

The company said that the conflict triggered a spike in global oil and gas prices, which pushed up fuel procurement costs from domestic vendors and increased per metric tonne production costs. These exceptional and one-time cost pressures significantly impacted Q4 EBITDA per MT and compressed margins during the quarter.

Adding to the pressure, Jain Resource Recycling said its sale realisation as a percentage of LME declined by 1.25% to 1.50% in Q4. The company described this as a broader global sector trend, noting that sharp increases in LME copper prices often lead buyers worldwide to resist higher absolute pricing levels, resulting in lower formula-linked realisations for sellers across the value chain.

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Despite the near-term challenges, the company said operating conditions have started improving in Q1FY27.


“We are pleased to inform that the situation has meaningfully improved entering Q1 FY27. Shipping lines have proactively rerouted vessels through alternative sea routes away from conflict-impacted corridors, and liner surcharges and port discharge costs have normalised substantially. This was a one-off March 2026 impact and will not recur in the coming quarters,” the company said in its investor presentation.
For Q4FY26, Jain Resource Recycling reported a net profit of Rs 66 crore, up 25.7% from Rs 52.5 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. Revenue from operations surged 76.4% year-on-year to Rs 3,105 crore from Rs 1,760 crore a year earlier. EBITDA rose 18% during the quarter to Rs 110 crore.The company also disclosed that the loss before tax from discontinued operations was linked to its investment in a UAE-based gold refining venture.

Jain Resource Recycling had partnered with Ikon Square Limited by acquiring a 70% stake in Jain Ikon Global Ventures (FZC), a free zone entity registered in Sharjah, UAE, which later became its subsidiary. The acquisition was undertaken to set up a gold refining facility in Sharjah, which commenced refining gold and its by-product silver in August 2024.

However, the Board of Directors, at its meeting held on August 24, 2025, approved the discontinuation of operations with effect from April 17, 2025, citing low margins, elevated operational overheads, working capital constraints and continued volatility in the gold refining business.
On the operational front, the company said execution across its expansion pipeline remains broadly on track.

“On the project execution front, we continue to make steady progress across our expansion pipeline, with overall implementation remaining broadly in line with the guidance shared earlier,” the management said.

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The company added that it successfully commissioned the first furnace under its Copper Anode Expansion project during the quarter, adding a capacity of 800 MT per month. The second furnace, which will add another 800 MT per month capacity, is at an advanced stage of installation and is expected to be commissioned during the June quarter, in line with earlier guidance.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)


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CenterPoint Energy Is A Data Center Winner (NYSE:CNP)

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CenterPoint Energy Is A Data Center Winner (NYSE:CNP)

This article was written by

Over fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an article, just let me know!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Wright, Hancock claim 75pc of legal costs

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Wright, Hancock claim 75pc of legal costs

A discussion over costs in a landmark iron ore trial gets more complex as parties bid to recover majority of their legal fees while racing against the presiding judge’s impending retirement.

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How Color Choices in Menswear Influence Buying Decisions

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How Color Choices in Menswear Influence Buying Decisions

The Silent Salesman

Walk into any high-end menswear store. Before a salesman approaches you, before you touch the Egyptian cotton or feel the weight of a wool blazer, something else is already speaking to you. It is the color. In the world of marketing, color is often called the “silent salesman” because it communicates value, emotion, and identity in a fraction of a second. For the modern male consumer, who often prides himself on logic and utility, this is a surprising vulnerability.

Research in the field of color psychology suggests that up to 90% of a snap judgment about a product is based on color alone. For men’s apparel, this statistic is even more potent. Unlike womenswear, where silhouette and texture frequently take precedence, menswear relies heavily on a stable palette of colors to signal competence, reliability, and status. Understanding how chromatic choices influence buying decisions is no longer just an art for designers; it is a rigorous science for marketers.

This article dissects the psychological mechanisms behind specific hues in men’s fashion, explores the generational shift in masculine color acceptance, and provides actionable insights for brands looking to convert browsers into buyers.

The Historical Monochrome: Why Men “Can’t” Wear Pink

To understand modern buying decisions, one must first acknowledge the historical cage of masculine color. For most of the 20th century, the menswear market was dominated by the “Big Four”: Navy, Charcoal, Black, and Khaki. These colors dominated marketing campaigns because they signaled safety. A man buying a navy suit was not making a fashion statement; he was making an investment in social conformity.

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The buying trigger for these legacy colors is risk aversion. Marketing data consistently shows that men are more likely to purchase dark, neutral colors when buying high-ticket items (suits, overcoats, leather shoes) because these colors promise longevity. The internal monologue of the consumer is, “I will not look back at this purchase in three years and regret it.”

However, the past decade has shattered this paradigm. The rise of the “Peacock Revolution” 2.0, driven by streetwear and influencer culture, has expanded the masculine wheel. Today, a marketer’s ability to introduce “dangerous” colors (pastels, bright reds, violets) hinges on framing those colors as signals of confidence rather than signals of deviance.

The Emotional Spectrum: Decoding the Male Buyer

When a man looks at a shirt or a pair of trousers, his brain runs a rapid cost-benefit analysis based on color. Here is how specific hues influence the purchase path.

1. Blue: The Algorithm of Trust

Blue is the undisputed king of menswear marketing. It accounts for over 50% of all suit and denim sales globally. But why?

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  • Psychological Trigger: Stability, intelligence, and calm.
  • Marketing Application: Blue lowers the buyer’s heart rate and reduces perceived risk. When a brand launches a new product line, leading with a “French Blue” or “Navy” option converts hesitant buyers. The color tells the consumer, “You are reliable. You are competent.” For e-commerce, using blue as the primary thumbnail for a product increases click-through rates by nearly 15% compared to black, as it photographs better in natural light and suggests approachability.

2. Black: The Paradox of Power and Invisibility

Black is the uniform of the creative class and the minimalist. However, its buying influence is contradictory.

  • Psychological Trigger: Power, sophistication, but also hiding.
  • Marketing Application: Black sells best to two distinct segments: the high-income executive (buying a tuxedo or leather jacket) and the insecure buyer (buying black to avoid making a “wrong” choice). Marketers often use black for “capsule collections.” The phrase “Everyone needs a little black dress” has a male equivalent: “Every man needs a black watch/jacket/shoe.” The buying decision here is driven by the fear of missing out (FOMO) on a universal staple.

3. Green: The New Neutral

Olive, Forest, and Sage have exploded in men’s streetwear and workwear. Green is currently the fastest-growing color segment in men’s accessories.

  • Psychological Trigger: Growth, outdoors, authenticity.
  • Marketing Application: As men’s lifestyle marketing shifts toward wellness and sustainability, green serves as a visual shorthand for these values. A man is more likely to buy a green parka than a blue one if the brand narrative includes “heritage” or “adventure.” The buying trigger is nostalgia—a subconscious desire to return to nature.

4. Red & Yellow: The High-Risk, High-Reward Spectrum

These are the impulse colors. You rarely see a man planning to buy a red blazer; he either buys it immediately or walks away.

  • Psychological Trigger: Aggression, excitement, warning.
  • Marketing Application: Red is the color of clearance sales for a reason—it raises heart rate and creates urgency. However, in premium menswear, red is reserved for “hero pieces” (sneakers, polo shirts). Marketers use red to disrupt the grid of neutrals on a product listing page (PLP). When a shopper is scrolling through 50 grey sweaters, one red sweater will capture 78% of the visual attention. The buying decision is emotional dominance—the wearer wants to be seen as the alpha.

The “Manference” Effect: How Context Changes Conversion

One of the most critical lessons in marketing menswear is that men do not buy colors; they buy contexts.

A man will look at a salmon-pink shirt in a vacuum and reject it. The same man will buy that shirt if it is displayed next to a navy blazer and grey trousers on a mannequin holding a glass of whiskey. This is the “Manference” (Man + Reference) effect.

  • Color Anchoring: Men need to see how the color functions in a social hierarchy. A pastel lavender polo is not a “feminine” color; it is “what the guys at the Palm Beach country club wear.”
  • Tribal Signaling: For Gen Z and Millennial men, buying streetwear is about signaling tribe membership. An off-white (cream) hoodie sells better than a pure white hoodie because it signals a vintage, archival knowledge of fashion. The color choice signals that the buyer is “in the know.”

Generational Shift: The Rise of “Chromophobia” Destruction

For decades, marketers treated male “chromophobia” (fear of color) as a fixed variable. However, data from The NPD Group and WGSN (trend forecasting) shows a massive shift.

  • Boomers/Gen X: Prefer high-chroma colors (royal blue, burgundy) as status signals. They buy color to say, “I have retired and I am on a cruise.”
  • Millennials: Prefer muted, dusty, or “dirty” colors (dusty rose, clay, mustard). They buy these colors to signal irony and non-conformity. The trigger is authenticity.
  • Gen Z: Has rejected the gender-color binary entirely. For this demographic, buying a lavender hoodie or a lilac beanie is not a statement; it is a default. The trigger is fluidity.

For a marketer, this means segmenting email campaigns by age cohort. Sending a 55-year-old lookbook featuring “acid yellow” will result in an unsubscribe. Sending a 22-year-old a lookbook of “heather grey” will result in boredom. Color strategy must be demographically granular.

The Practical Mechanics: Color in the Buyer’s Journey

How do you actually use this knowledge to drive sales? Consider the three stages of the buying journey:

Stage 1: The Thumbnail (Awareness)

On Instagram or a retailer’s grid, high-contrast colors (white, red, yellow) stop the scroll. However, they have lower conversion rates because they are intimidating. Smart DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) brands use a “Hero vs. Workhorse” strategy.

  • Hero Color (Red/Yellow): Used for ads to drive traffic.
  • Workhorse Color (Navy/Olive): Used for the landing page to drive the sale.

Stage 2: The Product Page (Consideration)

This is where “social proof of color” matters. Men are heavily influenced by “Most Popular Color” labels. If a brand tags “Stone” as “Best Seller,” conversion on that color option increases 40%. Men do not want to be wrong. They will look at the color swatches and choose the one with the most reviews.

Stage 3: The Wardrobe Edit (Conversion)

The final barrier is the “Does this go with my shoes?” question.

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  • Marketing Tactic: Brands that succeed bundle colors. Instead of offering 15 colors of a chino, offer 3 “looks” (e.g., “The Coastal Look: Navy, Cream, Tan” vs. “The Urban Look: Black, Olive, Grey”). When you frame a color as part of a system, the man stops evaluating the color itself and starts evaluating the system. The buying decision becomes logical: “If I buy the Olive pants, they fit into the Urban system with my existing black sneakers.”

The Price-Color Elasticity

One of the most fascinating marketing phenomena in menswear is the Price-Color Elasticity.

  • Dark Colors (Black, Navy): These have low price elasticity. A man will pay $200 for a navy sweater or $400 for the exact same sweater in black. Dark colors represent “seriousness,” so the price can be high without friction.
  • Light/Bright Colors (White, Yellow, Pink): These have high price elasticity. Men are extremely sensitive to price changes on light colors. They will wait for a sale to buy a white shirt because they view it as less durable and less versatile. Exception: White sneakers are the outlier, as they signal “cleanliness,” which commands a premium.

Warning: The Color Overload Trap

Finally, a warning for the overzealous marketer. While the trend is moving toward more color, choice paralysis is a real phenomenon. Hick’s Law states that the time it takes to make a decision increases with the number of options.

If you present a man with a jacket in 22 colors, his brain shuts down. He will buy nothing.

  • The Sweet Spot: 5 to 7 colors.
  • The Layout: Do not list colors alphabetically. List them by popularity or by “light to dark.” The first three colors (e.g., White, Light Grey, Navy) get 80% of the clicks. Place your highest margin color (usually a “trend” color like Rust) in the #3 or #4 slot to maximize exposure.

Conclusion: The Strategic Palette

The days of assuming men are blind to color are over. The modern male consumer is acutely aware of the semiotics of his wardrobe, even if he cannot articulate it. He uses color to manage his anxiety, signal his status, and navigate his social world.

For marketers, the lesson is clear: Color is not a decorative afterthought; it is the primary driver of the purchase funnel. By shifting from a “default neutral” strategy to a “psychological context” strategy, brands can unlock massive value.

When you change the color of a shirt from “Red” to “Varsity” (signaling team), or from “Pink” to “Blossom” (signaling limited edition), you change the emotional value of the product. In the end, a man does not buy a color. He buys the feeling that the color gives him. And that feeling, whether it is the calm of blue or the power of black, is the only thing that closes the sale.

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Here’s your chance to get InvestingPro for 2026’s lowest price BEFORE SALE ENDS

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Here’s your chance to get InvestingPro for 2026’s lowest price BEFORE SALE ENDS

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Why is Intrum stock surging today?

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Why is Intrum stock surging today?

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Markets supported by liquidity, but valuations running ahead of fundamentals: Sameer Dalal

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Markets supported by liquidity, but valuations running ahead of fundamentals: Sameer Dalal
Sameer Dalal from Natverlal & Sons Stockbrokers said Indian markets continue to receive support from strong domestic liquidity, particularly sustained mutual fund inflows, but he questioned whether current valuations are justified by underlying fundamentals.

Speaking to ET Now, he noted that recent short covering has helped the market rebound from lower levels, yet the broader concern remains whether indices are trading above fair value given growth and inflation expectations. He added that while liquidity will always provide a floor to markets, that does not necessarily mean valuations are appropriate at current levels.

Dalal said he remains cautious on the overall market construct, arguing that earnings visibility for FY27 looks weak and could weigh on sentiment. He stated that although markets are forward-looking and often discount FY28 recovery scenarios, uncertainty over global and domestic developments makes those assumptions fragile. He also flagged unpredictability in global leadership and policy direction, suggesting that external factors could easily alter growth expectations over the coming months. Despite this, he acknowledged that liquidity will continue to support quality large caps, though he believes markets may still be ahead of fundamentals in the short term.

On sectors, he expressed caution on metals, advising investors to avoid chasing the space after strong rallies. He explained that commodity cycles often peak when sentiment is strongest, as rising prices temporarily boost profits and make valuations appear attractive. However, he warned that this stage is typically followed by demand destruction and margin compression. Referring to vertically integrated players such as Tata Steel and Hindustan Copper, he said investors often misread peak-cycle valuations as opportunity. His view is that commodities are best bought when the cycle is weak and valuations look unattractive, not when conditions appear strong. While short-term gains may still be possible, he believes long-term risk increases significantly if investors enter late in the cycle.

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On real estate, Dalal maintained a constructive long-term outlook despite near-term softness. He said India’s property market remains structurally strong, though the mid-income segment is currently under pressure and may stay subdued for the next year to 18 months. He highlighted continued strength in premium and luxury housing, while noting that developers with exposure to large urban markets are better positioned to benefit from improving cash flows over time. He cited DLF, Prestige Estates Projects, and Godrej Properties as key players likely to benefit as collections improve and completed projects begin generating stronger cash flows. However, he cautioned that rising inflation and potential interest rate pressures could delay recovery in the sector, which typically struggles in tighter monetary conditions.


On banking, Dalal remained firmly positive, calling it one of the strongest structural themes in India’s equity market. He noted that despite muted stock performance in recent years, valuations for private sector banks have corrected and now appear more reasonable. He highlighted HDFC Bank as a long-term compounding story still playing out, supported by improving cost of funds dynamics post-merger. He also pointed to ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, and State Bank of India as key beneficiaries of India’s credit-led growth cycle. Additionally, he said higher-risk lenders such as IndusInd Bank, IDFC First Bank, RBL Bank, and Yes Bank could offer sharper upside, albeit with higher risk. He concluded that investors may consider either selective stock picking or a broader banking ETF for medium-term exposure, as the sector remains well-positioned for India’s long-term growth story.

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Price Inflation Accelerates As Wars And Deficits Expand

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Price Inflation Accelerates As Wars And Deficits Expand

Price Inflation Accelerates As Wars And Deficits Expand

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Domestic cyclicals remain best bet in India, says Anish Tawakley amid global volatility

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Domestic cyclicals remain best bet in India, says Anish Tawakley amid global volatility
Amid rising global uncertainties driven by fluctuations in oil prices, currency movements, and geopolitical tensions, Anish Tawakley, CIO, DSP Mutual Fund believes India’s domestic economic fundamentals remain firmly intact. In a conversation with ET Now, he highlighted that while valuations are no longer cheap, the broader setup continues to favour selective investing, particularly in domestic cyclicals.

“Economy is well placed despite external disturbances”

Commenting on the current market construct, Tawakley said the view on markets must be anchored to the economic outlook.

“So, the way I see it, the view on the market has to follow the view on the economy. And while there is some stress because of the situation in West Asia, overall the economy is very well placed. Demand is picking up and there is still some spare capacity. So, cyclically the economy, aside from this disturbance from West Asia, the domestic setup is actually very-very good because when you have demand picking up, you should get good revenue growth and as capacity utilisation improves, in most sectors you should see some pickup in the margins. Having said that, valuations are not super cheap, so one has to be selective. I personally prefer domestic cyclical stuff like financials, cement, automobiles, capital goods selectively.”

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Financials: preference for private banks and insurance

On the financial sector, Tawakley clearly differentiated between segments, cautioning against capital market-linked plays while favouring banks and insurers.
“So, let us break it up firstly into capital markets-driven plays and the others. Capital markets are probably at peak of the cycle, so I would avoid the capital markets space. What I like are banks and insurance companies. Banks eventually volume growth will pick up, particularly if there is some easing, some correction in the stock market, the volumes which is deposit and lending in the banking sector should pick up and then the large private banks are very well placed. Also, insurance companies have taken a lot of beating on account of regulatory risks. My view on insurance is that look even if there is some regulatory tightening, a lot of that burden will be passed on to the distributors because insurance companies are not making supernormal profits and if there is some regulatory tightening in terms of expense ratios, etc, those burdens will be passed through to the distributors.”
PSU banks: cycle likely peaked
On PSU banks, which had recently outperformed private peers, Tawakley suggested caution going forward.

“I think that trade has played out quite well, but I would not put in fresh money into that trade. A lot of the growth came because the PSU banks were sitting on very low LDRs, so they were able to ramp up their LDRs and therefore lend more because they had surplus deposits, but now LDRs have kind of peaked and from here expecting further moderation in credit costs would be unlikely. So, I am not that positive on the PSU banks from here on. I significantly prefer the large private sector banks.”

He added that private banks now appear more attractive on valuations after underperforming for some time.

“No, they have underperformed quite a bit and therefore valuations are far more palatable.”

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Consumption: inflation misunderstood, FMCG under pressure
On consumption, Tawakley downplayed concerns around inflation, calling it largely transitory, but expressed caution on FMCG margins.

“See, this inflation is a little bit misunderstood. This is not recurring inflation firstly. It is a one-off step up in prices which is different from recurring inflation. Recurring inflation happens when demand is very strong, that is not the case here. So, once this oil price hike has been passed through and those numbers are in the base, the inflation picture will moderate.”

He remained constructive on autos but cautious on FMCG.

“So, the question really is like if the domestic economy does well, it is always these sectors where there is spare capacity and demand is healthy that do well, which includes auto by the way. Where I am cautious on the consumption piece is the FMCG pack. The problem there is not that demand is not good, the problem there is that margins are too high and these companies are not investing enough in their businesses whether in terms of new product launches, marketing, A&P, and why we see their demand looking weak is because they are not creating enough excitement in their products, lower-end competitors are taking advantage of the very high margins they are offering and taking market share. So, I do not think the problem with the consumption piece is the economy, it is more that their own margin profile is way too high for them to sustain growth.”

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On margin trajectory, he expects gradual adjustment.

“I think some of them have started doing that, I have acknowledged it, but there is more to go. And these companies are actually very good companies fundamentally, but they do need to reset their margins downwards and invest more in the businesses.”

Capex: demand will lead investment cycle
On the private capex debate, Tawakley argued that investment always follows utilisation, not sentiment.

“See, capex always follows capacity utilisation. When capacity utilisation picks up, capex happens. There is no point talking about capex if there is still spare capacity in the economy.”

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He pointed to ongoing investment in core sectors.

“You look at which are the heavy capex sectors in the economy and see whether they have done capex or not. Cement has added capacity, power has added capacity although power has added capacity with lower spending because renewable capex is more capital efficient. Steel has added capacity. So, steel, cement, power, auto all four heavy capex sectors have added capacity. So, why do we say that there is no capex?”

IT sector: structural shift and margin pressure
On IT services, Tawakley struck a cautious tone, noting a divergence between overall exports and listed IT performance.

“See, IT I am struggling with. The reality is that the Indian listed IT companies are not doing well, but if you look at overall IT services exports from the country, that data is still pretty healthy. So, I do not think there is a problem with Indian IT if you include in that all the GCCs, all the back offices of global IT services providers like Accenture, Capgemini.”

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He added that structural shifts and competition are reshaping the industry.

“So, what we are seeing is a change in the competitive environment… As these global banks, the users have become more and more comfortable with India, they are setting up their own shops as GCCs and that is the new reference cost base there.”

He also flagged weak hiring trends as a concern.

“So, if you look at the Indian IT companies, the staff count numbers are still flattish at best, so that does not suggest to me that the companies themselves are particularly confident about demand.”

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