TLDR:

• HIP-4 is the first onchain contract to combine spot, perps, and binaries in one unified portfolio.
• Binary options on Hyperliquid allow vault managers to hedge event-driven risk with a fixed payout. 
• HIP-4 is projected to add roughly $25M annually to Hyperliquid’s $636M trading revenue run rate.
• HIP-4 markets at launch include daily BTC binaries and weekly ETH ranges for recurring traders.

HIP-4 introduces a new contract type on Hyperliquid, enabling users to express directional, leveraged, and event-driven views within one portfolio.

This upgrade adds binary options to the platform’s existing spot and perpetuals infrastructure. Currently, no other onchain venue combines all three contract types in a single unified account.

The development brings Hyperliquid closer to the full-service model that traditional financial venues have long kept separate from one another.

HIP-4 Expands the Toolkit Available to Vault Managers

Traditional portfolio managers have always worked with spot positions, futures, and options. Onchain vault managers, however, have only had two of those three until now. HIP-4 changes that by adding binary contracts alongside existing spot and perpetuals on Hyperliquid.

Binary contracts are not a perfect substitute for dated options. That said, they close much of the gap for practical trading purposes.

They allow vault managers to express bounded, dated, and event-driven views that spot and perp positions cannot capture.

With that in place, spot, perp, and binary risk can now net within one portfolio. This unlocks capital efficiencies that fragmented venues cannot match.

A vault manager can run event-driven income on one side and catalyst-protected longs on the other. All of this happens without leaving the platform.

To illustrate, consider a vault manager holding a token ahead of a large supply unlock. Before HIP-4, hedging that specific scenario required moving to a separate venue for the event-driven leg.

Now, all three positions sit in the same Hyperliquid account, offsetting each other through unified portfolio risk netting.

Why Payoff Shape and Revenue Both Drive Hyperliquid’s Growth

HIP-4 pays a fixed amount if an event occurs and nothing at all if it does not. Maximum loss is limited to the premium posted upfront. As a result, there is no liquidation engine or funding rate to manage throughout the position.

Perps cannot cleanly express a Fed meeting hedge or a weekly range view on ETH. HIP-4 fills that gap. Markets at launch are short-dated and recurring, including daily BTC level binaries and weekly ETH range contracts. Hyperliquid already has the trader base these markets are designed to serve.

Some speculative flow will naturally rotate from perps into HIP-4 during periods of event-driven attention. Community discussions across crypto social platforms have reflected growing interest in this shift.

Over time, though, both contract types are expected to grow alongside each other. Hyperliquid captures the flow either way.

On the revenue side, HIP-4 generates modest direct fees by design. At $3 billion monthly in volume with a 7 bps fee, the contract type adds roughly $25 million annualized. That figure is additive to Hyperliquid’s existing $636 million trading revenue run rate.

Reserve yield from retained USDC balances flows through AQAv2, with 90% routed to the Assistance Fund. Each new primitive added to the venue compounds that flywheel.

The institutional bid under bitcoin BTC$74,249.94 is running on fumes.

U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have absorbed a net 4,500 BTC since the start of the year, an unusually thin number given the products were the structural buyer that powered the 2025 rally, per Swissblock data shared on X Tuesday.

March and April produced steady accumulation that helped lift bitcoin off lows near $65,000, while May has flipped the other way with just three days to go before the month ends.

“After strong accumulation in March and April, May has flipped back into distribution,” Swissblock said in its post. “The Risk Index is now moving into high-risk territory while ETF flows are deteriorating simultaneously. That tells us spot ETF demand is no longer absorbing selling pressure effectively.”

The reversal matters because the previous several rallies in bitcoin needed ETF buying to clear the supply coming from miners, long-term holders, and short-term traders taking profit.

When that bid thins, the supply has to find a different buyer or the price drops to a level where buyers show up. Swissblock’s argument is that the Risk Index, which measures structural selling pressure against absorption, can keep climbing as long as the ETF channel stays in distribution.

Bitcoin traded at $75,808 in Asian hours Tuesday, down 2.6% over the past month and sitting near the bottom of its May range. The cryptocurrency had briefly traded above $82,000 earlier in May before the producer price index print and the subsequent run of macro stress pulled it back below $80,000. ETH, XRP, and Solana were all in the red, with Zcash leading the slide at 9% down on the day.

The Swissblock reading is the latest in a run of on-chain data pointing the same way.

Apparent demand, which measures how much bitcoin the market is absorbing relative to new supply, has slid back to its weakest level since December, as CoinDesk reported Tuesday.

CryptoOnchain noted $1.74 billion in U.S. spot ETF withdrawals over the past two weeks alongside retail traders adding leverage in anticipation of a reversal, a combination that has historically preceded sharp liquidation cascades when the market moves against the crowd.

What the data does not yet tell traders is whether this is a pause or a turn.

ETF buying has dropped off before during this cycle without leading to deeper drawdowns. Meanwhile, equity markets globally are at record highs, and FXPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich said bitcoin’s 50-day and 200-day moving averages are on track to cross in the coming weeks, a setup known as a golden cross that is generally read as bullish.

But ETF demand is the channel that brought the new money in. If that channel stays in distribution, the structural case for the rally that began in April starts looking thinner.

Key Takeaways

• Bank of America maintains Buy rating on Walmart while adjusting price target from $150 down to $144
• Revised target suggests 18.7% potential gain from approximately $121, positioning the recent decline as an attractive entry point
• Company elevated full-year net sales outlook to the upper boundary of its 3.5%–4.5% forecast range
• First-quarter revenue climbed 7.3% to reach $177.8 billion; worldwide e-commerce surged 26%
• Shares tumbled 8.1% following earnings announcement and started Wednesday trading at $118.57

Bank of America remains bullish on Walmart despite the recent market turbulence.

Christopher Nardone, an analyst at the firm, maintained his Buy recommendation on Walmart (WMT) shares while adjusting the price objective to $144 from the previous $150. Based on the $121.34 valuation referenced in the firm’s analysis, this represents approximately 18.7% potential appreciation.

Walmart Inc., WMT

WMT began Wednesday’s session at $118.57. The shares have fallen considerably from their 12-month peak of $135.15, with the 8.1% post-earnings decline accounting for a substantial portion of that retreat.

The first-quarter results were genuinely impressive. Revenue reached $177.75 billion, representing a 7.4% year-over-year increase and exceeding the $174.84 billion analyst consensus. Earnings per share landed at $0.66, precisely matching projections.

Worldwide e-commerce revenue expanded 26%, and Walmart elevated its full-year net sales forecast to the upper end of its 3.5%–4.5% constant-currency projection. Second-quarter guidance anticipates 4%–5% expansion.

What triggered the market reaction? Rising expenses. Company leadership highlighted approximately $1 billion in additional freight and fuel costs, and the full-year operating profit growth forecast of 6%–8% fell short of some optimistic projections. UBS similarly reduced its price objective following the earnings release.

The Bull Case from Bank of America

Bank of America’s fundamental thesis centers on Walmart’s positioning during periods of consumer caution. When shoppers tighten their budgets, they naturally gravitate toward value retailers — precisely where Walmart dominates.

The investment firm notes that Walmart is “playing offense,” with price rollbacks climbing 20% year over year during the first quarter. Analysts anticipate Walmart will be among the final major retailers to implement price increases should fuel costs drive inflation higher during the latter half of the year.

Bank of America also emphasized Walmart’s diversified revenue channels — including advertising, marketplace commissions, and membership subscriptions — as margin protection mechanisms. These higher-margin operations have become increasingly central to the investment narrative.

The firm noted that fiscal 2026 demonstrates Walmart’s capability to navigate cost pressures. During that period, the retailer absorbed more than $1 billion in challenges from claims expenses and tariff impacts while still achieving 5.4% constant-currency operating income growth.

Institutional Ownership Trends

King Luther Capital Management expanded its Walmart holdings by 8.8% during the fourth quarter, purchasing 113,952 shares to reach a total position of 1,415,423 shares, valued at approximately $157.7 million.

Additional institutional activity showed varied patterns. Tennessee Valley Asset Management increased its stake by 466.6% in the third quarter. Fox Run Management and Life Cycle Investment Partners both established fresh positions.

Institutional investors and hedge funds combined control 26.76% of WMT shares.

Regarding insider transactions, Director C. Douglas McMillon divested 19,416 shares at $132.21 on April 23rd, while EVP John Rainey sold 20,000 shares at $127.79 during March. Aggregate insider sales over the past 90 days totaled 126,008 shares valued at roughly $15.9 million.

The Wall Street consensus recommendation stands at “Moderate Buy” with an average price objective of $138.71. Thirty-one analysts rate the stock as Buy, two assign Strong Buy ratings, and three maintain Hold positions.

Walmart’s FY2027 EPS projection ranges from $2.75–$2.85, with second-quarter guidance established at $0.72–$0.74.

The retailer is also scheduled to enter the top 10 constituents of the Russell 3000 during the June 2026 rebalancing.

Just a $70 billion company one year ago, memory chip maker Micron Technology (MU) yesterday soared 21% and topped a $1 trillion valuation alongside a massive price target hike from UBS.

South Korea’s SK Hynix followed suit, rising 9.3% in Seoul on Wednesday to top $1 trillion in market value. It’s shares are higher by more than 1,000% over the past year. Earlier this month, peer Samsung Electronics also topped $1 trillion.

The memory stocks are one leg of the AI boom, with investors expecting chip shortages — and thus pricing power — to last into 2028.

Micron is higher by another 8% in U.S. premarket trading Wednesday morning, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq ahead 0.9%.

Sentiment in the gutter

Bitcoin (BTC), meanwhile, is down 1.5% over the past 24 hours at $75,800, as the action in AI-related names continues to draw attention and capital from crypto markets, which — despite decent bounces from the early February lows — remain engulfed in poor vibes.

“Nobody cares about bitcoin right now … and you just love to see it,” said analyst James Check earlier this week. “Bitcoin sentiment is in the absolute gutter, and the bears are measurably the most confident they have been in a long time.”

“Anger, annoyance, disappointment, it’s all happening right now.”

Tokenized-assets platform Streamex is unveiling a Solana-based marketplace for trading regulated, tokenized assets in a partnership with Orca, a decentralized exchange built on Solana. The new trading layer will let verified accredited investors buy and sell Streamex’s yield-bearing, gold-backed GLDY token through regulated on-chain pools that operate 24/7, with identity and accreditation controls locking access to approved participants.

Under the arrangement, Streamex and Orca emphasize that neither firm acts as a broker or intermediary for secondary-market resales. Instead, trading occurs in permissioned liquidity pools on Orca’s automated market maker (AMM) framework, with investor wallets held in a temporary freeze until KYC and accreditation checks are completed. Eligibility data is updated on-chain in real time to ensure only approved investors can participate, a model designed to balance liquidity with regulatory compliance for a tokenized commodity asset.

The GLDY token is described as yield-bearing and gold-backed, tying on-chain income streams to a physical-asset anchor. Orca notes its AMM infrastructure has processed more than $500 billion in cumulative trading volume since launch, a statistic the partners view as a potential blueprint for tokenized variants spanning stocks, bonds, real estate and other commodities.

The collaboration arrives amid a broader push to establish regulated rails for tokenized traditional assets, and follows a wave of regulatory activity in the United States and beyond. Earlier this month, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved Nasdaq’s pilot to allow tokenized stocks and exchange-traded funds to trade alongside their conventional counterparts on the same exchange, sharing order books, tickers and shareholder rights in the pilot phase. Participation is initially limited to eligible investors and securities tied to the Russell 1000 index and select ETFs.

The momentum around tokenized securities infrastructure extends beyond Nasdaq. In March, the New York Stock Exchange signed an agreement with Securitize to develop infrastructure for tokenized stocks and ETFs tied to Intercontinental Exchange’s planned digital trading platform. Separately, Centrifuge has signaled plans to bring tokenized Treasurys, private-credit products and AAA-rated collateralized loan obligations to the Monad blockchain for broader lending, collateral and secondary-market activity.

Market data from RWA.xyz places the tokenized real-world-asset (RWA) market at roughly $34 billion, with Treasury- and commodity-backed products among the largest segments. The ongoing expansion of tokenized assets aligns with growing regulatory clarity and investor access, even as participants stress the importance of robust on-chain compliance and custody frameworks.

Key takeaways

• Streamex and Orca launch a Solana-based, permissioned marketplace to trade the GLDY gold-backed token for accredited investors, with identity checks enforcing access.
• Trading happens in on-chain liquidity pools, where investor wallets are frozen until KYC and accreditation verification are completed; eligibility is updated on-chain in real time.
• Orca’s AMM platform has processed over $500 billion in cumulative volume since inception, reinforcing Solana-based liquidity capacity for tokenized assets.
• The move occurs against a backdrop of regulatory progress, including Nasdaq’s tokenized-trading pilot approved by the SEC and NYSE’s tokenization collaboration with Securitize.
• Market data indicates a growing tokenized-RWA landscape, with roughly $34 billion in assets tokenized to date, highlighting potential expansion into stocks, bonds and other traditional assets.

Regulatory rails and the tokenization wave

The Streamex–Orca initiative sits at the intersection of product innovation and regulatory development. The SEC’s approval of Nasdaq’s pilot signals a willingness to test tokenized securities within existing market structures, potentially allowing tokenized instruments to share order books and shareholder rights with traditional shares. The pilot remains selective, focusing initially on securities linked to the Russell 1000 and a subset of ETFs, but it underscores a broader industry trend toward on-chain settlement and regulated access for sophisticated investors.

Meanwhile, the NYSE’s engagement with Securitize points to ongoing collaboration between legacy exchanges and tokenization platforms to extend digital rails to a wider range of assets, including those tied to Intercontinental Exchange’s planned digital trading ecosystem. These developments collectively illustrate a market-wide push to bridge conventional financial assets with blockchain-based trading and settlement.

Industry participants stress that successful tokenization hinges on more than on-chain liquidity; robust identity verification, risk controls, and custodial safeguards are essential to meet institutional demands. In that context, the Streamex–Orca model—where eligibility data is verified on-chain before trading access is granted—represents a pragmatic approach to coupling liquidity with compliance.

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RWA-based platforms and providers like Centrifuge are also expanding the scope of tokenized assets beyond commodities and simple securities, aiming to include tokenized Treasurys and structured credit. The broader market is watching how these rails perform under real-market conditions, how custody and settlement timelines compare with traditional markets, and how retail and accredited-investor demand evolve as more assets come online.

For readers tracking market development, the current wave of tokenized-asset activity suggests more pilots and launches are likely in the near term. The GLDY experiment could become a reference point for future permissioned liquidity pools, particularly if it demonstrates strong liquidity, compliance integrity and efficient on-chain eligibility updates in a regulated setting.

As the ecosystem matures, observers will want to monitor how widely these regulated tokenization rails are adopted across asset classes, how they handle cross-border participants, and what risk-management standards emerge to complement on-chain trading and settlement.

Further reading on the rapid expansion of tokenized real-world assets and related regulatory context can be found in industry coverage and research notes, including analyses of the tokenized-RWA market growth and regulatory milestones cited above.

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What remains uncertain is the pace at which these rails will achieve broad participation beyond accredited investors, and how traditional custodians and counterparties will integrate with on-chain liquidity. Yet the signals from Streamex, Orca and the broader regulatory landscape point to a period of meaningful evolution for tokenized finance, where access-controlled markets could complement existing exchanges rather than replace them.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Key Takeaways

• A Goldman Sachs analysis indicates that Nvidia and Micron may collectively contribute approximately one-third of total S&P 500 earnings expansion in 2026.
• Companies benefiting from AI infrastructure buildout are projected to fuel close to 50% of S&P 500 EPS expansion in both 2026 and 2027.
• Nvidia’s position stems from surging AI accelerator demand, while Micron’s growth links to memory needs for expanding AI models and data center operations.
• The investment bank highlighted increasing depreciation expenses from massive hyperscaler capital spending as a potential headwind to profit growth, especially by 2027.
• Analyst consensus shows 45.4% potential upside for NVDA with a price target of $306.46, whereas MU faces a 21.6% downside projection.

A recent Goldman Sachs analysis has positioned two semiconductor titans as critical drivers of S&P 500 profit expansion for 2026, with projections that are commanding attention across Wall Street.

According to Goldman Sachs forecasts issued on May 27, Nvidia and Micron are poised to deliver approximately one-third of the S&P 500’s total earnings growth this year.

NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

This represents a remarkable concentration of earnings power within just two corporate entities.

Goldman’s comprehensive analysis suggests that AI infrastructure beneficiaries collectively will drive approximately half of S&P 500 earnings per share expansion across 2026 and 2027. This category encompasses not only semiconductor manufacturers but extends to technology hardware providers, industrial companies, and utility firms capitalizing on the data center construction boom.

NVDA stock declined 1.14% during the trading session, while MU advanced 1.25%.

Nvidia’s central role in this narrative is clear-cut. The appetite for AI accelerators — specialized GPUs that enable model training and inference operations — has remained robust. The company has established itself as the primary choice for organizations expanding AI capabilities.

Micron’s contribution, though receiving less attention, carries equal significance. As artificial intelligence models expand in scale and data center operations intensify, high-bandwidth memory requirements escalate proportionally. This represents Micron’s strategic opportunity.

Goldman’s research emphasizes that the impact extends beyond the semiconductor sector. Utilities and industrial companies connected to data center infrastructure development are also capturing earnings benefits as the infrastructure expansion continues.

Potential Headwinds Identified by Goldman

The outlook isn’t without complications. Goldman explicitly cautioned that hyperscale cloud platforms are deploying substantial capital toward AI infrastructure, creating costs that persist over time. Depreciation expenses associated with this spending will begin pressuring earnings, particularly as 2027 approaches.

This represents a meaningful consideration. Today’s substantial capital investment generates future accounting expenses that could diminish portions of Goldman’s projected earnings acceleration.

Insider trading patterns at Nvidia merit attention as well. During the past three months, company insiders offloaded $163.7 million in shares without any recorded purchases. While not inherently alarming, this activity provides relevant context.

Analyst Sentiment and Projections

When examining analyst preferences between these stocks, a significant divergence emerges.

NVDA holds a consensus Wall Street price target of $306.46, suggesting 45.4% appreciation potential from present levels. Micron’s analyst consensus, conversely, indicates 21.6% downside risk.

Nvidia maintains a GF Score of 96 out of 100, achieving perfect 10/10 rankings in both profitability and growth categories. Its current P/E ratio stands at 32.17x, reflecting the valuation premium investors have assigned given its earnings momentum.

While Goldman Sachs’ AI infrastructure investment thesis encompasses numerous companies, Nvidia and Micron represent the most direct semiconductor beneficiaries of this secular trend.

Orca, one of the biggest decentralized exchanges on Solana, is launching new infrastructure aimed at bringing regulated real-world assets onchain, as crypto firms push deeper into tokenized stocks, commodities and other traditional financial products.

The Solana-based platform said Wednesday it had rolled out “permissioned pools,” a system that allows only approved investors to trade certain tokenized assets. The setup is focused on the U.S. market and is designed for issuers that need to comply with securities laws, including identity checks and investor eligibility requirements.

Streamex, a company focused on tokenizing commodity-based assets, will be the first issuer to use the new system, according to Orca. The company said in a press release shared with CoinDesk that its tokenized gold-linked security, GLDY, will be the first regulated asset to trade through Orca’s new infrastructure.

The launch marks an expansion for Orca beyond pure crypto trading and into infrastructure for tokenized financial assets. This comes as crypto companies increasingly focus on tokenizing traditional financial assets, a market many in the industry see as a major growth opportunity.

Under the new setup, investors must complete know-your-customer (KYC) checks before they can buy, hold or trade regulated tokens. Issuers can also decide who is eligible to access their assets, with Orca’s system automatically enforcing those rules onchain.

The trading pools run on Orca’s existing liquidity infrastructure, while the exchange’s interface will show users whether an asset has restrictions and whether they qualify to trade it.

“Orca has spent five years building the liquidity infrastructure that Solana’s market structure runs on,” said Orca CEO Michael Hwang in a press release. “As tokenized equities, funds and real-world assets arrive onchain at exponential rates, issuers need more than a place to list.”

Read more: Solana-Based DEX Orca’s Native Token Skyrockets 92% as Upbit Announces Listing