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Groq lines up $650m for ‘neocloud’ spin-out after $20b Nvidia deal

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Crypto-linked flows to trafficking services surge 85% in 2025, Chainalysis says

Groq is raising up to $650 million from existing investors to fund a new “Groq2” entity, just months after inking a $20 billion licensing and asset deal with Nvidia that effectively rewired the AI chipmaker’s future.

Summary

  • Groq seeks up to $650m to build AI “neoclouds” after Nvidia tie-up.
  • Nvidia’s $20b Groq agreement leaves cloud business and IP in Groq’s hands.
  • New Groq2 unit will pivot away from chip manufacturing toward AI infrastructure services.

Groq Inc. is raising as much as $650 million from its current backers to capitalize a new company that will focus on building AI “neoclouds,” following a landmark $20 billion licensing agreement under which Nvidia agreed to acquire Groq’s inference technology assets and hire much of its senior leadership. According to Axios, existing investors, including Disruptive and Infinitum, are prepared to cover the entire $650 million round if necessary, with participation offered pro rata to current shareholders in the successor Groq2 vehicle.

The fundraising comes on the heels of Nvidia’s largest-ever transaction, a roughly $20 billion cash deal for Groq’s AI inference stack that was structured as a non-exclusive technology license coupled with an asset sale.

As Groq explained in its own announcement, “Today Groq entered into a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Nvidia for Groq’s inference technology,” while emphasizing that it would “continue operating separately” and retain ownership of its intellectual property and cloud business.

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Nvidia takes the silicon, Groq keeps the cloud

Nvidia’s agreement effectively lifts out Groq’s high-performance accelerator architecture and much of its leadership team, while leaving behind Groq’s neocloud platform and related customer contracts.
Groq founder and CEO Jonathan Ross, company president Sunny Madra and “almost everyone of note from Groq” are joining Nvidia to help integrate and scale the licensed inference technology, according to analyst Ian Cutress’s breakdown of the deal and Groq’s own blog language.

Groq’s statement stressed that the company will continue to run its cloud business independently, writing that GroqCloud “is not part of the transaction and will continue operating without disruption.”
Alex Davis, CEO of Austin-based investment firm Disruptive, which led Groq’s prior funding round, told CNBC that Nvidia is “acquiring all of Groq’s assets, with one major exception: Groq’s cloud computing business,” a carve-out that now appears to be the core of the Groq2 strategy.

The new Groq2 entity, as described by Axios, will shift definitively away from chip manufacturing and toward building “AI neoclouds,” a term Groq has used for tightly optimized inference clouds targeting real-time workloads rather than general-purpose infrastructure. That pivot puts Groq2 directly into competition with hyperscalers and emergent AI hosting providers that sit on top of Nvidia hardware rather than designing their own silicon, effectively turning Groq from a challenger chip designer into a vertically focused AI services company riding on Nvidia’s platform.

Second act bets on ‘neoclouds’

For Nvidia, the $20 billion Groq package is part of a broader push to entrench its dominance in AI inference and data center acceleration, after reporting quarterly revenue of $57 billion in 2025 and becoming the central supplier to the current AI build-out. For Groq’s remaining business, the $650 million raise is a survival-and-scale bet that its neocloud model can attract enough demand to justify a standalone platform once its chip design talent and physical assets migrate into Nvidia’s orbit.

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Davis, whose firm also helped engineer the Nvidia–Groq transaction, has warned that a “build it and they will come” approach to AI data centers could lead to “a significant financing crisis” for speculative operators as early as 2027 or 2028, highlighting the risk profile for Groq2 and similar ventures. Against that backdrop, locking in up to $650 million of committed capital from existing investors gives Groq2 a substantial runway to prove out its neocloud thesis in a market already dominated by hyperscalers and Nvidia-powered incumbents.

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Coinbase vs. JPMorgan Feud Escalates Over the CLARITY Act

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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong vs JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong replied to JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon’s broadside on the CLARITY Act with a hockey-themed meme that drew swift backing from across the crypto industry.

The viral exchange on Friday turned a regulatory fight over stablecoin rewards into a rallying moment for digital asset leaders pushing the bill to the Senate floor.

Crypto Industry Closes Ranks Behind CLARITY Act

Industry leaders pushed back fast after Dimon’s CLARITY Act broadside on Fox Business Friday. Mike Novogratz of Galaxy Digital argued elected lawmakers, not banks, should write financial laws.

Peter Van Valkenburgh of Coin Center pointed out that roughly $3 trillion was laundered through banks in 2025. He called Dimon’s anti-money-laundering framing nonsense.

“The second issue is not really related to rewards and interest on stablecoins. It’s also about AML, BSA, KYC. Because when you are in a bank system, it’s already been through all that. We do that. We have to [do it] for the federal government. So if they want to be moving money around… on any basis, you should have to question: ‘Can that be used illegitimately?’ Answer: Yes, unless they’re following the same rules,” Dimon had said in the interview.

Other crypto voices cited JPMorgan’s track record of regulatory fines and settlements totaling tens of billions.

The defense came with the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before the full Senate. It cleared the Senate Banking Committee in a 15-9 vote on May 14.

The bill needs 60 votes on the Senate floor before returning to the House.

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Armstrong’s Meme Becomes the Rally Cry

Armstrong’s poster cast Dimon as #2 for tradition and himself as #1 for economic freedom. The image went viral within minutes.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong vs JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong vs JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon. Source: Armstrong on X

“Heated Rivalry” is also the title of a 2019 gay hockey romance novel adapted for television in late 2025.

The meme amplified the industry’s underlying argument. Bank opposition to stablecoin yield rewards looks like incumbent protectionism, not consumer protection.

Amid the escalating feud, Coinbase now compares to Charles Schwab’s late-1970s disruption of brokerage commissions. The comparison resonates with crypto traders who see Coinbase eroding traditional bank margins.

“Coinbase is to current finance/banking what Charles Schwab was to finance/trading in the late 70’s and 80’s. Schwab radically disrupted Wall Street then. Coinbase is radically disrupting Wall Street now. Schwab ultimately destroyed commissions and fees on transactions. Coinbase is destroying market hours, access, tech, and margins/interest,” remarked Andrew, co-founder of Arch Public.

Industry figures argue the existing framework already imposes Bank Secrecy Act rules on exchanges.

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The pushback signals a coordinated response to months of bank lobbying. The Senate floor vote is expected in June.

The post Coinbase vs. JPMorgan Feud Escalates Over the CLARITY Act appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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US Seizes Nearly $1B in Iranian Crypto Assets, Treasury Says

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Crypto Breaking News

The United States has seized roughly $1 billion in Iranian cryptocurrency assets, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced at the Reagan National Economic Forum. He characterized the action as a direct disruption of illicit financial activity, describing it as an outright grab of wallets that some owners may not yet realize have been emptied. The disclosure situates the seizures within a multiyear effort to constrain Iran’s access to international financial networks and to press its leadership economically.

Bessent said the seizures are part of a broader pressure campaign against Iran, known as Operation Economic Fury. Launched in March 2025, the operation combines cryptocurrency takedowns, banking account freezes, and coordinated asset confiscation with European partners. He framed the effort as a sustained, comprehensive push designed to “cut them off” financially, noting that the trajectory over the past five-and-a-half to six weeks has been remarkably effective. “Between five and a half to six weeks of an incredibly successful military campaign and Operation Economic Fury, where we have really cut them off. They are at the end of their Tether now financially,” he stated.

Key takeaways

  • The United States reports roughly $1 billion in Iranian crypto assets seized through Operation Economic Fury, including wallet-level takedowns.
  • The newly disclosed figure is about twice the $500 million previously announced in late April and well above the $344 million disclosed earlier in the month.
  • Officials describe Iran’s financial situation as dire, with high inflation, internal funding pressures, and disruptions to state services and military payrolls.
  • The seizures illustrate intensified cross-border enforcement and international cooperation, with implications for crypto compliance, sanctions screening, and banking access for sanctioned states.
  • Policy conversations around crypto-enabled shipping and revenue mechanisms—such as Bitcoin-based incentives for Hormuz transit—signal broader state-influenced use cases for digital assets, pending regulatory scrutiny.

Asset seizures: scale, method, and regulatory context

According to officials, the $1 billion in Iranian crypto assets seized under Operation Economic Fury represents a significant escalation in exploiting blockchain-traceable funds linked to sanctioned activity. The strategy appears to rely on identifying wallets associated with state-backed or proxy actors, then applying enforcement measures that repurpose or redirect the assets through compliant channels. The approach also reflects the United States’ broader sanctions toolkit, which increasingly treats certain digital assets as subject to traditional financial and export-control regimes.

The Treasury’s disclosures underscore a shift in how authorities frame enforcement risk for crypto-asset holders connected to sanctioned regimes. By publicly detailing wallet-level seizures and the scale of the assets involved, policymakers and regulated institutions gain a clearer baseline for due diligence, screening, and ongoing monitoring. For exchanges, custodians, and banks with crypto-related business lines, the development raises questions about the diligence required to identify sanctioned wallets, the treatment of seized or frozen crypto, and the timing of any redress or remediation for affected customers.

The previously reported figures provide context for the current disclosure. Officials had announced roughly $500 million in Iranian crypto assets seized in late April and about $344 million in crypto assets seized earlier in the month. The latest figure, therefore, suggests a substantial acceleration in enforcement activity within a relatively short window. These milestones have implications for cross-border regulatory coordination, including parallel actions by allied regulators and law enforcement partners in Europe and beyond. For market observers, the trend highlights the growing intersection of sanctions policy with digital-asset compliance requirements and the need for rigorous KYC/AML controls across custody and exchange ecosystems.

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Iran’s economic strain and the geopolitical backdrop

Secretary Bessent painted a picture of severe economic strain within Iran, describing a regime that has allegedly siphoned hundreds of millions of dollars monthly and allocated proceeds among a broad leadership cadre. He suggested inflation could exceed 200 percent, with social subsidies being deployed to mitigate cost-of-living pressures and widespread internet restrictions affecting communications. Reports cited by officials indicate that a substantial portion of Iranian troops have faced delayed or disrupted pay, further complicating the regime’s capacity to project authority and sustain external influence flows.

The statements also reflect the strategic complexity of negotiating with a fractured leadership structure following recent strikes against senior regime figures. While Bessent did not hinge policy outcomes on these internal dynamics alone, the comments underscore how enforcement actions intersect with diplomatic channels, sanctions policy, and potential leverage in any future negotiations surrounding Tehran’s regional posture and long-term security considerations.

These disclosures come at a moment when the U.S. and its allies continue to calibrate sanctions pressure against Iran, balancing the aims of disrupting illicit financial networks with broader regional stability goals. The clearly articulated message is that crypto assets are not beyond the reach of conventional sanctions enforcement, and that dynamic, rapid actions can be employed to disrupt stated objectives even when actors pivot to digital instruments. For compliance teams and risk managers at financial institutions, the implications are twofold: a heightened emphasis on tracing cross-border crypto flows and an expanded mandate to screen counterparties against sanctioned-entity lists in near real time.

Policy implications and regulatory coordination

Beyond the immediate asset seizures, observers are examining the regulatory and policy ramifications for the crypto industry. The operation demonstrates a continued hard line on sanction enforcement, potentially accelerating the development of best practices around sanctions screening, wallet clustering analysis, and the cross-jurisdictional sharing of intelligence related to illicit fund flows. Firms engaged in custody, exchange, or payment processing face heightened expectations to implement robust monitoring, rapid response protocols, and transparent reporting mechanisms when dealing with funds that may be implicated by sanctions regimes.

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In parallel, the focus on state-led crypto strategies—such as potential monetization schemes tied to strategic chokepoints—highlights the need for clear regulatory guardrails around crypto-based insurance, settlement, and revenue-sharing models used by states. As reported by Cointelegraph, Iran has been weighing a Bitcoin-based insurance framework to monetize shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a project that could generate substantial revenue if implemented at scale and supported by compliant, auditable mechanisms. The proposed platform, termed “Hormuz Safe,” would sell digital marine insurance payable in Bitcoin and settled on the blockchain, potentially enabling more than $10 billion in revenue for the country, subject to regulatory approval and international compliance constraints. A separate report cited that some ships could pass Hormuz in exchange for a Bitcoin-denominated tariff of about $1 per barrel of oil. The development underscores the convergence of sovereign financing strategies and digital asset infrastructure, inviting scrutiny from licensing authorities and international financial regulators alike.

For regulated entities, the evolving environment implies a need for heightened vigilance around sanctioned counterparties, as well as clearer guidance from regulators on the permissibility and treatment of crypto assets tied to state operations. The cross-border dimension—where U.S. actions, European cooperation, and potentially other jurisdictions intersect—will likely shape licensing decisions, oversight practices, and the rigor of AML/KYC programs across the global crypto ecosystem. In this context, ongoing updates from U.S. agencies and international partners will be critical reference points for risk managers, legal counsel, and compliance leaders assessing exposure to sanctioned activities or users with ties to Iran or other restricted regimes.

Closing perspective

The scale of the recent seizures, coupled with Iran’s stated economic and strategic pressures, signals a pronounced trend: cryptocurrency is increasingly entangled with state-level sanctions enforcement and foreign policy aims. As authorities pursue more aggressive asset recovery and cross-border cooperation, firms across the crypto value chain must strengthen their compliance programs, enhance real-time monitoring, and prepare for evolving guidance on sanctioned assets and state-backed financial activities. The coming months will likely reveal further operational details and regulatory responses that define how digital assets interface with traditional sovereignty and enforcement mechanisms.

For further context, authorities and industry observers continue to monitor related developments, including prior disclosures and coverage of Iran-related crypto actions. In particular, Cointelegraph has reported on related seizures and policy discussions, illustrating the ongoing convergence of sanctions policy, crypto regulation, and geopolitical risk management.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Calms at $73,000, Stellar Explodes by 25% Daily: Weekend Watch

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The cryptocurrency market has steadied somewhat over the past 24 hours, following a painful correction that pushed Bitcoin and most large-cap altcoins lower during the week.

However, Stellar (XLM) continues to be the clear outlier from the top alts, posting yet another massive daily surge while the broader market remains under pressure.

BTC Price Calms Above $73K

Bitcoin’s most recent weekly correction took the asset south when it slipped below $73,000 amid renewed pressure across crypto markets. The primary cryptocurrency has recovered since then and gained some ground, now trading at $73,400.

Its intraday moves have not been without volatility, however. The price ranged between $72,200 and $74,200 before finally settling down at the current levels as the weekend starts.

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Bitcoin’s market capitalization remains above $1.47 billion, while its dominance over altcoins is more or less unchanged, suggesting they failed to capitalize on BTC’s weakness. The latter could have been induced by weakening ETF flows, which have posted record outflows in the past few days.

For now, the $73,000 zone has become the key area to watch. A decisive loss of that level could trigger another leg lower, potentially to $70,000, while a move above $74K may ease some of the short-term pressure.

BTCUSD_2026-05-30_10-44-46
Source: TradingView

Stellar (XLM) Continues to Lead the Altcoin Market

The altcoin market shows a mixed picture today, with most large-cap assets posting relatively modest moves over the past 24 hours rather than sharp recoveries.

Ethereum (ETH) is trading close to $2,000, while SOL, XRP, and several other majors are showing only limited changes. BNB has fared the best from the top alts, rising by more than 5% on the day.

XRP is also slightly in the green, while ETH and SOL remain almost flat compared to their levels from 24 hours.

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Stellar (XLM), however, is in a completely different category. The altcoin has exploded by roughly 25% over the past day and is trading near $0.20, making it one of the strongest performers among mid-cap cryptocurrencies.

The move comes shortly after DTCC announced that its tokenization service will connect with the Stellar public blockchain. The move is expected to support tokenized DTC-custodied assets, including stocks, ETFs, treasuries, and corporate bonds, with availability targeted for the first half of 2027.

Other notable performers for the day include LAB, up 37.5%; Algorand’s ALGO, up 9.5%; and XDC Network (XDC), up 9%.

Screenshot 2026-05-30 105316
Source: Quantify Crypto

The post Bitcoin Calms at $73,000, Stellar Explodes by 25% Daily: Weekend Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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MicroStrategy Corrects Bitcoin Sell-Off Fears With $30 Million Withdrawal

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Odds of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin in 2026

MicroStrategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin (BTC) holder, withdrew 411.5 BTC from Coinbase Prime hours after depositing it. The reversal cooled fears that Michael Saylor’s firm was preparing its first BTC sale in years.

Meanwhile, Tom Lee’s BitMine Immersion Technologies bought 25,000 Ethereum (ETH) for $50.6 million on the same day. The purchase extended one of the largest corporate ETH accumulation programs in markets.

MicroStrategy Reverses Brief Coinbase Prime Deposit

On-chain trackers flagged the initial deposit as MicroStrategy’s first direct exchange move in nearly two years.

The transfer was split into two batches near 205 BTC each, with smaller wallet transactions also active.

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Saylor signaled this week that Strategy could sell some BTC before year-end, citing dividend and capital needs. The remark had shifted prediction-market pricing even before the Coinbase Prime move.

The deposit pushed Polymarket odds on Strategy selling any Bitcoin in 2026 above 90%. Those odds eased after the withdrawal but stayed elevated.

Odds of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin in 2026
Odds of MicroStrategy Selling Bitcoin in 2026. Source: Polymarket

“Did Michael Saylor’s Strategy cancel its BTC sale? Strategy withdrew 411.5 BTC ($30.2M) back from Coinbase Prime 5 hours ago,” Lookonchain posed.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

BTC trades near $73,532, with the broader Bitcoin treasury stocks split showing limited contagion.

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Strategy still holds 843,738 BTC, valued above $62 billion. The firm has bought no Bitcoin since May 18. That pause is the longest in its weekly accumulation as corporate Bitcoin treasury demand softens.

BitMine Doubles Down on Ethereum Amid Price Weakness

BitMine bought the dip below $2,100, lifting its aggressive ETH accumulation to roughly 5.39 million ETH. That sum represents about 4.47% of supply, near Tom Lee’s 5% target for the year.

“Tom Lee’s Bitmine bought another 25,000 ETH ($50.56M) 6 hours ago,” Lookonchain noted.

The firm stakes more than 4.7 million ETH through its Made in America Validator network. The position generates an annualized yield of about $276 million. Ether trades near $2,011 after a 10% monthly decline.

Lee frames the weakness as a buying window, pointing to tokenization growth and AI demand for compute.

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Backers including ARK Invest and Founders Fund maintain exposure. BMNR trades below net asset value despite unrealized BitMine ETH losses.

However, even as Tom Lee’s Bitmine buys the Ethereum dip, old wallets are dumping, with one selling $112 million worth of ETH in the last week.

“Ethereum OG is dumping ETH! Over the past week, an Ethereum OG sold 55,000 ETH ($112.25M) and 9,442 wstETH ($24M) at an average price of $2,041 per ETH,” the on-chain analytics account highlighted.

The post MicroStrategy Corrects Bitcoin Sell-Off Fears With $30 Million Withdrawal appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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This Crypto Trade Printed 638% APY Last Month: Details

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Hyperliquid is best known for its on-chain perps exchange, but did you also know there are vaults where users can deposit funds and follow specific trading strategies?

One of these vaults, currently enjoying a total value locked of more than $3 million, delivered 638% APY last month. Let’s examine.

What Are Hyperliquid Vaults?

Hyperliquid vaults are one of the more closely watched features on the decentralized derivatives exchange. They allow traders to participate in shared strategies.

Think about it this way – a vault works more like a pooled trading account. A vault leader runs a strategy, while other users can deposit funds into the vault and gain exposure to the results.

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If the strategy makes money, depositors would share in the profits. If it loses money, they also share in the losses.

What makes vaults interesting is that, unlike a basic yield product that simply lends or rebalances assets, they are built directly into HyperCore. This means that vault strategies can tap into existing infrastructure available to traders on the exchange, including leverage, liquidations, perps, high-throughput execution, and everything Hyperliquid provides.

This can make them powerful instruments for those seeking more passive avenues, but they can also be risky. Returns can move very sharply in both directions, especially when vaults use leverage or take concentrated directional bets.

An interesting way to think about it is to equate it to on-chain copy trading with pooled capital. The strategy is fully visible, performance can be tracked, and users can choose whether the risk profile is fit for their own portfolio.

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Long HYPE and BTC, Short “Garbage” Yields 638% APY Past Month

One particular vault built on Hyperliquid has drawn attention after returning an APY of 638% over the past month.

It’s named “Long HYPE & BTC, Short Garbage,” and it currently manages around $3.03 million in total value locked.

Screenshot 2026-05-30 092239
Source: Hyperliquid

Its strategy is designed to be 70% HYPE and 30% BTC on the long side. It also maintains shorts in a basket of at least 10 high-FDV and high-emission coins, with the short side representing about 60% of notional exposure.

As you can see from the position table, the only underperforming trade is the BTC long, though it has been offset by the funding payout.

The vault’s overall PnL chart shows a steep rise over the prior 30 days, nearing the $1.2 million area.

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Of course, this shouldn’t be interpreted as a low-risk yield. On the contrary, it reflects a rather aggressive leveraged long-short crypto trade, which depends heavily on HYPE’s price performance.

The post This Crypto Trade Printed 638% APY Last Month: Details appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Pi Network News and PI Price Update May 30

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The past seven days saw Pi Network’s native cryptocurrency move more or less in line with the rest of the market, declining by a total of 4.7%.

A few important project-oriented developments also took place, so let’s have a look at some of the more important news around the project.

Important Protocol Update for Pi Network

Undoubtedly, the main development story for the past few days centered on an important protocol upgrade for mainnet node operators. As CryptoPotato reported, all Pi mainnet nodes are required to move to version v24. The deadline is set for June 2nd, 2026.

The team described the update as very quick to complete, with downtime expected of about 15 minutes. However, the warning around it is significant, because nodes that fail to update risk being disconnected from the canonical chain.

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That could create instability if enough operators delay the process. Developers have also advised operators not to upgrade all nodes at once, instead routing traffic through other nodes during the transition.

For Pi Network, the move comes at an important stage, because the project continues to focus on infrastructure and utility, while the market continues to watch for signs of technical progress that can translate into more confidence in the native token Pi.

CiDi Games Beta Draws Engagement

The second major update is coming from the ecosystem side of things. CiDi Games – a Pi Network Ventures portfolio company – launched its beta application within the Pi Browser. The move is supposed to bring Pioneers 10 instant-access games across puzzle, idle, action, and competitive categories.

The move also introduced skill-based tournaments, platform progression through CiDiScore, the Pi ELF companion experience, and more.

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The early traction was notable. In less than a week, CiDi Games attracted more than 81,000 Pioneers across more than 160 countries and regions, generating over 1.2 million game sessions. The launch also showed that Pi-based applications can reach users organically, build engagement, and test monetization through real utility rather than speculation.

Pi Price Remains Under Pressure

Despite the notable ecosystem updates, PI’s market performance remained depressed today. At the time of this writing, the token is trading at around $0.143, down about 4.7% over the past week, with a market capitalization of nearly $1.53 billion and daily trading volume of around $8.7 million – a far cry from its former days of massive activity.

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The cryptocurrency continues to reflect broader caution observed in altcoins this week, with traders weighing technical progress against weaker market momentum.

As it stands, PI’s price action suggests that investors are not easily swayed by announcements.

Screenshot 2026-05-30 091620
Source: CoinGecko

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Retail sentiment still matters for Bitcoin, Swan Bitcoin CEO says

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Crypto Breaking News

Retail investors remain central to Bitcoin’s demand dynamics, even as institutional players deepen exposure through regulated products. In a Cointelegraph interview conducted at BitcoinVegas 2026 and published to YouTube, Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten argued that the market’s backbone is still retail-driven, not solely controlled by the big players.

“It’s not like BlackRock owns the Bitcoin and Fidelity owns the Bitcoin. It’s a bunch of retail accounts mostly that actually buy that,” Klippsten said during the conversation, underscoring that real on-chain demand underpins price movements even when ETFs and wrappers provide access. He noted that even buyers via institutional wrappers still have to take real supply and custody it, which implies the demand is genuine and exits supply as bitcoins move from sellers to holders.

Data points surrounding the evolving ETF landscape add nuance to the story. US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted a combined $2.90 billion in net outflows since May 15, according to Farside data, while Bitcoin has fallen about 9.5% over the same period. At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading around $73,630 per CoinMarketCap. The broader market has also cooled: Bitcoin has declined about 2.87% over the past 30 days, per CoinMarketCap. Amid this backdrop, market sentiment remains fragile, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index oscillating toward the lower end of the spectrum and signaling cautious positioning among investors.

Klippsten’s reflections on the year intersect with a cautious mood among traders. The interview took place against a backdrop of ongoing volatility in 2026, and the outlook for a fresh Bitcoin all-time high has grown more conservative since Bitcoin traded near $95,000 earlier in the year. He estimated a roughly 50% chance of a new high at that time, but as the price slipped and traded in the 70s, he adjusted the odds downward to about 20–25% for a new high within 2026.

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Key takeaways

  • Retail demand remains a primary driver of Bitcoin markets, even as institutional products gain traction.
  • US spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted about $2.90 billion in net outflows since May 15, according to Farside data, while BTC has fallen roughly 9.5% over the same period.
  • Bitcoin’s price hovered near $73,630 at the time of reporting, with a ~2.87% 30-day decline on CoinMarketCap data.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sat in “Extreme Fear” territory, reflecting a cautious market mood in 2026.
  • Klippsten’s revised view for 2026 places the odds of a new Bitcoin all-time high at around 20–25%, down from earlier expectations near 50% when prices were higher.

Retail demand vs. ETF access: a persistent tension

The Swan Bitcoin chief framed the narrative as a tension between accessible fiat wrappers and the underlying on-chain reality. While ETFs and futures provide entry points for a broader audience, the actual flow of coins—withdrawn, held, and controlled by investors—drives real supply dynamics. That distinction, he argued, matters for how investors should assess risk and opportunity in a market that remains closely tied to on-chain realities rather than purely paper products.

In this framing, the accessibility of Bitcoin through traditional financial products coexists with the necessity for custody and settlement that characterizes on-chain activity. The result is a market in which paper constructs can widen participation but cannot replace the fundamental mechanics of supply and demand that move Bitcoin’s price.

ETF flows, price action, and the mood of 2026

Farside’s data showing $2.90 billion in net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs since mid-May highlights a critical headwind for ETF-driven narratives. Yet price action suggests a more nuanced picture: BTC has fallen roughly 9.5% over the same window, even as retail and non-traditional buyers continue to transact on-chain. The current price around $73,630 contrasts with the year’s earlier peaks, underscoring the danger of extrapolating from episodic inflows or outflows alone.

Market sentiment has reflected the scramble for direction. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a sentiment gauge tracking whether investors are cautiously pessimistic or aggressively optimistic, registered in the Extreme Fear zone on the latest reading, signaling a period of conservative positioning and heightened risk aversion among participants.

Outlook for 2026: a tempered trajectory for a new high

Looking ahead, Klippsten’s view on Bitcoin’s potential to make a new all-time high in 2026 leans toward caution. After seeing Bitcoin retreat from roughly $95,000 earlier in the year, the odds of a fresh high have narrowed. He estimated a roughly 20–25% chance of hitting a new peak within the year, down from a more sanguine 50% when prices were higher. The evolution of ETF flows, macro risk signals, and on-chain metrics will be critical to watch as the year unfolds.

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These dynamics come as investors weigh the relative strength of on-chain demand against the noise of regulated access products and evolving market structure. The conversation around retail participation, custody realism, and the path to mass adoption remains central to how market participants interpret price action and risk in the months ahead.

What to watch next

As 2026 progresses, readers should monitor several developments to gauge the balance between on-chain demand and institutional access: incoming and outgoing flows in spot Bitcoin ETFs, shifts in on-chain transaction activity and custody patterns, and quarterly updates on investor sentiment as new data arrives. The ongoing debate over the role of regulated wrappers versus pure on-chain demand will continue to shape how traders position for potential volatility and how builders design services that align with real supply and demand dynamics.

In the near term, attention will likely center on ETF-related activity, price catalysts around macro headlines, and evolving retail participation. Whether retail demand can sustain constructive pressure on supply will be a key variable for readers watching Bitcoin’s longer-term trajectory into the second half of 2026.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin, ether, XRP, dogecoin lag a nine-week stocks rally as ETF demand cools

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ProShares introduces first CoinDesk 20 Crypto ETF under ticker KRYP

The S&P 500’s longest weekly winning streak since 2023 and Brent crude settling near $92 on U.S.-Iran ceasefire hopes have failed to pull bitcoin and ether (ETH) higher, with the two largest cryptocurrencies finishing the week down nearly 3% as cooling spot bitcoin ETF inflows reinforced the pullback.

The S&P 500 posted its ninth consecutive weekly gain on Friday, the longest such run since 2023 and a streak matched only a handful of times in the past four decades, putting the index up almost 20% from its March lows.

Brent crude settled around $92 a barrel and Treasuries climbed on the week, trimming some of their war-driven losses.

The macro tailwind has come on hopes the U.S. and Iran will sign off on a 60-day ceasefire extension. President Donald Trump said Friday he was ready to make a “final determination” on a preliminary agreement but restated his demand that any deal require Iran to abandon its nuclear program, surrender its enriched uranium and open the Strait of Hormuz.

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Crypto did not move with the tape. Bitcoin slipped 2.6% over the past seven days to $73,445, ether 2.5% to $2,011, solana (SOL) 2.2% to $82.42 and TRON’s TRX 5.6%, its worst weekly drop in the top 10, according to CoinDesk data.

finished roughly flat. The slide came alongside softer spot bitcoin ETF inflows, which was flagged this week as adding to the downward pressure even as macro conditions improved.

The exception was the smaller side of the leaderboard. Hyperliquid’s HYPE token ripped 19.4% on the week to $65 as sentiment for the asset continues to grow. Intercontinental Exchange chief Jeffrey Sprecher praised the decentralized perpetuals venue at a Bernstein conference and calling it “bigger than NASDAQ.” BNB closed up 1.9% and XRP eked out a 0.7% weekly gain.

The Iran deal still needs Trump’s signature, and the red lines he restated on Friday sit well beyond what Iran has indicated it would accept publicly. The macro rally is one bad headline from reversing.

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Bitcoin’s biggest quantum risk may not be wallet keys. An early investor fears something bigger

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Key initiatives aimed at quantum-proofing the world's largest blockchain

A venture capitalist who has spent a decade backing deep-tech and quantum hardware startups says the bitcoin industry is fixated on the wrong half of the quantum problem, the wallet keys instead of the encrypted messages already moving between exchanges, bridges and custodians today.

“The financial system’s most dangerous vulnerability isn’t stored data, it’s the data
moving between institutions right now,” Andrew Gault, CEO of networking firm ZeroTier, told CoinDesk in a recent chat.

“Every interbank message, every payment authentication record, and every digital signature traveling across a network today is being collected by sophisticated adversaries who don’t need to read it yet,” he noted.

“CISOs and security teams have been trained to protect data at rest. What nobody wants to say out loud is that the adversary’s strategy has changed. They’re patient, they have storage, and they’re building a library of today’s encrypted traffic to decrypt the moment quantum capability crosses the threshold,” he added.

Gault is CEO of networking firm ZeroTier and a founding partner of 7percent Ventures, a London- and San Francisco-based deep-tech firm whose portfolio includes British quantum-computing startup Universal Quantum.

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The Google Quantum AI research that rattled bitcoin in March showed a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could derive a bitcoin private key from an exposed public key in about nine minutes, came from outside his portfolio.

The conversation since that paper has centered on the roughly 6.9 million BTC sitting in addresses with exposed public keys and Bitcoin’s missing post-quantum migration plan.

But Gault says the more urgent exposure is the data already being collected off the open internet for decryption later, regardless of whether a working quantum computer exists yet.

Google’s own security engineers have moved the same direction. In a March post, the company set 2029 as its target for completing a post-quantum cryptography migration, citing progress on quantum hardware, error correction and factoring resource estimates.

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The post, written by Google vice president of security engineering Heather Adkins and senior cryptography engineer Sophie Schmieg, said the company has reprioritized its internal threat model to focus on authentication services and digital signatures, the same wire-level signing infrastructure Gault has been pointing at.

“The threat to encryption is relevant today with store-now-decrypt-later attacks,” the post said.

The strategy driving that urgency is known in cryptography circles as “harvest now, decrypt later.” It assumes adversaries don’t need to read encrypted traffic today, only store it cheaply until a sufficiently powerful quantum computer arrives.

Citi modeled the bank-system version of the scenario in February, estimating a quantum-enabled attack on a single top-five U.S. bank’s access to the Fedwire Funds Service payment system could trigger a $2 trillion to $3.3 trillion cascade across the U.S. economy, equal to a 10% to 17% decline in real GDP.

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The Global Risk Institute, cited in the same Citi report, puts the probability of a cryptographically relevant quantum computer arriving by 2034 at between 19% and 34%.

For crypto, the wire-level surface is broader than the wallet one. Cross-chain bridge proofs, exchange API authentication packets, signed transactions broadcast and archived in public mempools, and the back-channel signing traffic between cold storage and trading desks all sit on the same vulnerability spectrum as the bank-grade encryption Citi was modeling.

CoinShares argued in a February report that the wallet-key fear is overstated, estimating only about 10,200 BTC are concentrated enough to move markets if stolen.

Gault’s worry is a different one. “The particularly uncomfortable reality for financial institutions is that the authentication records being harvested aren’t just sensitive,” he said. “It’s the proof layer that determines who owns what, who authorized which transaction, and who bears legal liability.”

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Ethereum (ETH) has launched a coordinated post-quantum migration, but Bitcoin has not done the same. Major crypto exchanges and custodians, where most of the signing traffic lives, have not publicly committed to one either.

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FBI Crypto Seizure Hits Record $8B in Global Scam Crackdown

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • FBI crypto seizure crackdown marks one of the largest crypto forfeitures in US history.
  • Authorities tied 127,000 bitcoin seizure to Prince Holding Group CEO Chen Zhi fraud network.
  • Operation Blackout dismantled scam compounds across Asia and freed nearly 2,000 trafficked workers.
  • IC3 reported 72,000 crypto fraud complaints in 2025 with losses exceeding $7.5 billion total.

The FBI has seized roughly $8 billion in cryptocurrency in a sweeping international crackdown on scam compounds.

Authorities also arrested hundreds of suspects tied to coordinated fraud and money laundering networks. The operation stretched across Asia, the Middle East, and parts of Africa, targeting organized criminal infrastructure. 

Officials linked the case to one of the largest crypto forfeitures in U.S. enforcement history.

FBI Crypto Seizure Crackdown Targets $8B Scam Compound Networks

The FBI crypto seizure crackdown centered on more than 127,000 bitcoin tied to Chen Zhi, according to Fox News reporting. The assets pushed total recovered crypto to over $8 billion at the time of seizure. 

Valuations may have exceeded $15 billion during earlier market peaks. Officials described the action as a historic asset recovery milestone.

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Chen Zhi leads Cambodia-based Prince Holding Group, which authorities accuse of running large-scale fraud operations. Federal charges include wire fraud and conspiracy to launder money. 

Investigators allege the network operated guarded compounds targeting global online scam victims. Law enforcement continues expanding related financial probes.

Authorities also linked the Democratic Karen Benevolent Army to scam compound activity in Myanmar. The armed group operates in conflict regions and faces U.S. sanctions for prior fraud involvement. 

Officials classify it as a transnational criminal organization tied to cyber-enabled theft. Investigators flagged its links to broader Chinese organized crime networks.

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The seizure forms part of a wider enforcement push against coordinated crypto-enabled fraud systems. Agencies said these networks combine digital scams with forced labor operations. 

Multiple jurisdictions supported asset tracing and crypto wallet identification efforts. The scale of recovered funds highlights the industrial nature of the fraud economy.

Operation Blackout Exposes Global Crypto Fraud and Trafficking Pipelines

Operation Blackout coordinated multiple enforcement actions, including Zephyr Exodus, Sand Dollar, and Haochen. These operations targeted scam compounds operating across Asia and the Middle East. 

Authorities seized additional crypto assets and dismantled recruitment pipelines used by criminal groups. Officials said the campaign disrupted cross-border fraud infrastructure.

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The FBI reported freeing nearly 2,000 trafficked workers during coordinated raids on scam facilities. Victims were often recruited under false job promises and then forced into scam operations. 

The Internet Crime Complaint Center recorded about 72,000 fraud complaints in 2025. Reported losses exceeded $7.5 billion, with officials warning of underreporting.

Investigators partnered with Starlink to track terminals used in scam compound communications. The cooperation led to the suspension of more than 7,000 terminals in Myanmar. 

Authorities said criminal groups used satellite links to evade traditional monitoring systems. The disruption weakened multiple active fraud hubs across the region.

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Operation Level Up focused on victim identification and fraud prevention across crypto investment schemes. The FBI notified about 8,935 victims who were unknowingly exposed to scams. 

Officials estimated the intervention prevented roughly $562 million in losses. The program aims to reduce exposure to high-volume crypto fraud networks.

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