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Crypto World

Gemini Enlists Grok to Deliver AI-Driven Prediction-Market Feeds

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Crypto Breaking News

Gemini is expanding its use of artificial intelligence to power its prediction markets platform, unveiling an AI-driven feature called Command Center. The tool, built in partnership with SpaceXAI’s Grok, curates personalized feeds for users by surfacing markets based on open positions and watchlists across crypto, sports, commodities, politics, economics, and culture. Gemini described Command Center as a way to meet users where they are, rather than forcing them to sift through social feeds for relevant events.

The Command Center is powered by Grok, an AI model developed by SpaceXAI, a division of Elon Musk’s SpaceX that also operates the social platform X. The integration marks another step in a broader industry push to blend prediction markets with AI-driven discovery as crypto volumes remain pressured by a sluggish market cycle.

Gemini’s move comes amid a wider shift among crypto venues toward diversified services beyond spot and derivatives trading. In recent weeks, Gemini rolled out a feature that enables users to connect AI models such as ChatGPT and Claude to their trading accounts, allowing the system to monitor markets and even execute trades autonomously on behalf of users.

Key takeaways

  • Gemini launches Command Center, an AI-powered feed that personalizes prediction-market content using Grok from SpaceXAI.
  • The tool surfaces markets across multiple domains based on users’ positions and watchlists, reducing the need to chase information in social feeds.
  • In the latest quarterly results, Gemini’s prediction markets generated $400,000 in revenue from about 20,000 users, as the company grows beyond crypto-native trading.
  • Overall quarterly revenue rose 42% year-on-year to $50.3 million, while net loss narrowed to $109 million, down 27% annually, signaling a narrowing but still sizable loss as the firm expands services.

Gemini’s AI-driven push expands beyond simple trading

Gemini framed Command Center as a way to surface intelligence most likely to inform users’ next move, tailored to their open positions, watchlists, and past prediction activity. By indexing a broad swath of markets—from digital assets to athletics and culture—the feature aims to help traders and casual users alike identify opportunities they may have missed in a crowded information landscape.

The integration with Grok indicates a continued appetite among crypto platforms to embed AI that can interpret user context and deliver relevant signals. This follows Gemini’s recent announcement that users can connect AI models to their accounts to monitor markets and automate certain trading actions, a capability that could redefine how retail and professional traders interact with volatile markets.

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Financial snapshot: prediction markets gain traction, but still lag leaders

Gemini’s quarterly results highlight a bifurcated landscape for crypto companies broadening into prediction markets. The firm reported that its prediction markets platform brought in $400,000 in revenue from roughly 20,000 users in the quarter. While this is a meaningful milestone for a platform within a larger, crypto-focused exchange, it remains a fraction of the activity seen on market leaders Kalshi and Polymarket, which have outsized volumes and participation in the sector.

On the company-wide level, Gemini disclosed total revenue of $50.3 million for the quarter, up 42% year over year. The firm also narrowed its net loss to $109 million, a 27% improvement versus the prior year. The numbers illustrate a company in transition: expanding from a crypto-centric trading venue into a broader financial services provider with AI-assisted prediction markets and related tooling.

The broader market backdrop underscores why Gemini and peers are pursuing diversification. A combination of reduced trading volumes and tight margins in traditional crypto trading has pushed several exchanges to explore new revenue streams, including prediction markets, AI-assisted services, and non-spot offerings. In this environment, platforms that can deliver unique, user-centric AI features while maintaining regulatory and risk controls may differentiate themselves from competitors.

Related coverage in the crypto press has also highlighted regulatory scrutiny surrounding Gemini’s broader operations, including moves by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission regarding settlements. The ongoing regulatory discourse adds a layer of complexity for exchanges venturing into prediction markets and AI-enabled trading tools, shaping what products can be offered and under what terms.

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What to watch next

As Gemini expands its AI-enabled feature set, observers will watch user adoption of Command Center and the extent to which it drives engagement in prediction markets. The pace at which traders embrace automated AI-assisted trading and personalized market feeds could influence future revenues in the segment and shape competitive dynamics with Kalshi, Polymarket, and other prediction-market operators. Regulatory developments will also be a key tailwind or headwind for broader rollout, depending on how policymakers balance risk, consumer protection, and market liquidity.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto.com and OG bring prediction markets to U.S. SailGP team

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Crypto-linked flows to trafficking services surge 85% in 2025, Chainalysis says

Crypto.com and OG Prediction Markets have signed a multi year global partnership with the United States SailGP Team, ahead of this week’s New York Sail Grand Prix, bringing CFTC regulated prediction markets directly into elite foiling yacht racing for the first time.

With the New York Sail Grand Prix set to light up the city’s harbor this weekend, the U.S. SailGP Team has named Crypto.com and its OG Prediction Markets platform as Global Partners, tying a top tier U.S. sailing franchise to a CFTC regulated crypto backed prediction venue.

Under the multi year deal, Crypto.com becomes the team’s Official Crypto Exchange while OG is designated Official Prediction Market Partner, with both brands to appear on the American F50 catamaran, race kit and team environments at SailGP regattas worldwide.

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Crypto backed prediction markets hit the water

At the heart of the partnership is OG Prediction Markets, a standalone platform launched by Crypto.com earlier this year that allows users in the United States to trade regulated event contracts on sports, financial, political and cultural outcomes. OG is powered by CryptoCrypto.com | Derivatives North America, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission registered exchange and clearinghouse, positioning the app as a federally supervised alternative to offshore prediction venues. 

“Crypto.com has always backed those who compete at the highest level — and the U.S. SailGP Team is exactly that,” said Steve Humenik, EVP and Global Head of Legal for Prediction and Capital Markets at Crypto.com. “The OG Prediction Markets partnership reflects our long term commitment to a diverse offering of sports prediction markets, including highly technical and data driven sports like SailGP,” he added, arguing that the tie up helps make “the U.S. the Prediction Markets Capital of the World.”

The deal gives OG a highly visible entry point into a league that is already positioning itself as “Formula 1 on the water,” with 50 foot foiling catamarans capable of speeds above 60 mph racing across iconic global venues and beaming data to broadcasters in real time. SailGP says its tracking systems capture hundreds of data points per second per boat, a rich stream that underpins live odds making and now, through OG, fan facing prediction markets linked directly to U.S. team performance.

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SailGP leans harder into betting

For the United States SailGP Team, the Crypto.com and OG sponsorship arrives as the league accelerates its broader playbook around betting and interactive wagering. SailGP has already struck betting integrations with operators such as DraftKings in the U.S. and Bet365 internationally for its Rolex SailGP Championship, enabling fixed odds bets on fleet race winners, finalists and season champions.

“Having Crypto.com and OG Prediction Markets commit to a multi year Global Partnership is a tremendous statement of confidence in where the U.S. SailGP Team and this league are heading,” said Mike Buckley, Team Principal, CEO and Co Owner of the U.S. SailGP Team. Buckley called the agreement “monumental,” stressing that “the ability for fans to engage with our races through OG’s prediction platform is just the beginning of what we’ll build together.”

For Crypto.com, the SailGP partnership extends a push beyond conventional spot trading into derivatives and event contracts, following the February rollout of OG as a social prediction app where the first one million users can earn up to $500 in rewards for trading real world outcomes. It also builds on the exchange’s growing sports sponsorship portfolio and could help drive volume in regulated event markets that some analysts see evolving into a multibillion dollar asset class.

Crypto.com’s native token cronos is currently tracked on the Crypto.com market cap page, alongside major assets like bitcoin and ethereum, underscoring how deeply the exchange is embedded in both trading and fan facing products. In a previous crypto.com launch report, the company framed OG as a way for sports fans to “act on uncertainty, capitalize on the future, and celebrate triumph” in a regulated environment.

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Prediction markets are also gaining traction elsewhere in crypto, with platforms like Polymarket continuing to prove that trading on probabilities can double as a powerful information aggregator. In a related crypto.news feature, OG was cast as Crypto.com’s bid to bring that model into a regulated U.S. framework, marrying trading mechanics with social leaderboards and sports obsessed communities.

As the new livery hits the water in New York and co branded campaigns roll out across digital channels, both sides are betting that SailGP’s high speed, data heavy format can turn sailing into fertile ground for prediction market adoption. Whether fans treat OG’s contracts more like trading or like wagering, the partnership signals that the line between sports betting, derivatives and crypto native prediction markets is getting thinner with each new deal.

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CFTC Endorses Crypto Perpetual Contracts, Sets 24/7 Trading Guidance

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Crypto Breaking News

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is charting a more explicit path for crypto derivatives, approving a Bitcoin-backed perpetual futures product on Kalshi’s prediction-market platform while granting Coinbase a no-action interpretation for similar instruments. The moves, paired with the agency’s broader commentary on 24/7 trading in crypto markets, underscore a regulatory shift toward allowing regulated crypto derivatives while maintaining guardrails to manage risk, compliance, and market integrity.

In a Friday notice, the CFTC approved perpetual futures contracts tied to the spot price of Bitcoin for Kalshi’s platform. Kalshi simultaneously announced that it would launch the perpetual futures on its platform, aligning its product line more closely with a traditional derivatives venue. The Commission’s order reflects an individualized assessment of Kalshi’s request and the BTCPERP contract’s terms, the nature of the underlying market, and Kalshi’s compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and the Commission’s regulations, including the Core Principles applicable to designated contract markets.

The perpetual futures would enable users on Kalshi’s platform—and potentially on other compliant venues—to speculate on Bitcoin price movements without taking ownership of the asset itself. The CFTC’s no-action position for Coinbase, paired with formal approval for Kalshi, signals a cautious openness to crypto derivatives while emphasizing the need for robust oversight and product design that conforms to U.S. law and regulatory standards.

Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal described the development as a “massive first for the industry” in a post on X, highlighting the regulatory milestone for a segment seeking broader access to continuous trading. The broader industry context includes Coinbase’s recent expansion of stock perpetual futures for non-U.S. traders, illustrating how major exchanges are pursuing 24/7 exposure to price movements through regulated channels.

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The Kalshi approval and Coinbase’s no-action relief sit within a broader regulatory framework that the CFTC has been actively developing around digital-asset derivatives. The elements of the Kalshi order—its terms and adherence to core market-principle requirements—are presented as a model for how crypto-based perpetual futures might be structured within U.S. oversight, while the Coinbase relief demonstrates that the agency is not granting blanket permission but evaluating products on a case-by-case basis.

Kalshi’s BTCPERP: CFTC approval and contract design

The CFTC’s action centers on a perpetual futures contract designed to track Bitcoin’s spot price, offered on Kalshi’s platform as a derivatives-like product within a prediction-market framework. The agency’s documentation emphasizes that the approval rests on Kalshi’s representations and submissions detailing the BTCPERP contract’s terms, the mechanics of the underlying market, and Kalshi’s compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and related regulations, including the core principles applicable to designated contract markets.

Per the regulator’s description, the BTCPERP product would function without the need for the trader to own or borrow actual Bitcoin, a structure typical of perpetual futures designed to provide synthetic exposure to price movements. The decision also reflects the Commission’s effort to distinguish crypto-linked derivatives from other asset classes that may pose different risk profiles or regulatory considerations. The Kalshi development thus marks a concrete step in integrating crypto-native exposure into a regulated, exchange-like framework for market participants seeking structured, rule-based exposure to digital-asset prices.

For Kalshi, the milestone is more than a new product approval; it signals a potential pathway for more complex, exchange-like features within prediction markets and crypto markets that rely on transparent price discovery, reliable clearing, and enforceable settlement. The commission’s emphasis on process and compliance highlights a regulatory preference for products whose terms and market mechanics align with traditional design principles, even when the underlying asset is a digital commodity like Bitcoin.

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Coinbase no-action relief vs Kalshi approval: Regulatory nuance

In parallel with Kalshi’s approval, the CFTC issued a no-action letter relating to Coinbase’s planned BTC perpetual futures. A no-action position allows a regulated entity to pursue a particular activity without the agency taking enforcement action, provided that the firm adheres to conditions designed to address investor protection and market integrity. This stands in contrast to Kalshi’s formal approval as a designated contract market, illustrating the spectrum of regulatory outcomes the CFTC utilizes for crypto derivatives.

The practical effect is that Coinbase can potentially offer or list perpetual futures referencing crypto assets under the terms outlined in the agency’s relief, while Kalshi progresses under a full-approval framework with explicit design and market-structure requirements. The distinction matters for market participants in terms of legal certainty, risk management, and compliance planning, particularly for institutions seeking clear regulatory footing before committing capital or establishing clearing arrangements.

The contrast also highlights ongoing regulatory calibration around product features, custody, settlement mechanics, and compliance regimes. While the CFTC has shown willingness to adapt to crypto-dominated trading and clearing infrastructures, it continues to ground approvals in demonstrable adherence to oversight standards, including risk controls, disclosure, and the ability to withstand market stress scenarios.

In the wake of these actions, industry participants and observers are watching how such products will integrate with existing market structures, including how they might interact with banking relationships, liquidity provision, and cross-border activity. The pair of actions underscores a nuanced, case-by-case approach, rather than a broad green light for crypto derivatives, and reinforces the need for robust risk-management frameworks and regulatory alignment for any firm seeking to operate these products at scale.

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Regulatory stance on 24/7 trading and market structure

The CFTC separately reinforced a calibrated view on 24/7 trading for crypto derivatives, distinguishing crypto markets from other traditional asset classes where a 24/7 model may be less appropriate. The agency stated that derivatives referencing crypto assets may be well-suited for around-the-clock trading due to digital infrastructure, global reach, and the nonstop nature of crypto price discovery. Conversely, markets such as agricultural commodities may be less compatible with a 24/7 regime, given their regional bases, customer profiles, and physical-commodity considerations that influence settlement and risk management.

Industry participants have highlighted the potential benefits of 24/7 access, including tighter price discovery and more consistent liquidity during global trading hours. However, the new guidance also implies heightened attention to clearing, margining, custody, and regulatory oversight to ensure that continuous trading does not undermine investor protection or market integrity. The CME Group’s public signaling of 24/7 crypto futures trading, albeit subject to regulatory review, further indicates a shifting market architecture where continuous trading could become a baseline expectation for crypto derivatives, contingent on satisfying scrutiny from U.S. authorities.

These regulatory distinctions bear practical implications for exchanges, market-makers, and institutional investors. 24/7 access raises questions about risk controls, governance, and the monitoring of cross-border flows and settlement cycles. As U.S. regulators weigh these models, the balancing act remains: enable regulated, transparent access to crypto derivatives while maintaining robust oversight to prevent disclosures, manipulation, and systemic risk.

Jurisdiction, enforcement posture, and political signaling

Beyond product-specific decisions, the regulatory landscape for crypto derivatives intersects with questions of jurisdiction, enforcement, and governance. In a public thread, President Donald Trump highlighted support for the CFTC’s asserted authority over prediction markets, a stance echoing ongoing litigation at the state level that seeks to curb or ban certain platforms. The discussion underscores the broader policy tensions surrounding who governs complex financial innovations—federal regulators, state authorities, or a combination of both—and how such jurisdictional questions shape market access and consumer protections.

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Meanwhile, Michael Selig—the CFTC chair and sole commissioner at the time—has framed the agency’s jurisdiction as central to maintaining a consistent federal standard for crypto-related markets. As of the latest update, no nominations had been announced to fill the remaining seats on the five-member commission, a dynamic that can influence regulatory agility and the pace of decision-making as the agency navigates evolving market structures. These political and institutional factors matter for market participants because they shape the durability of regulatory commitments and the likelihood of further rulemaking, enforcement actions, or new product approvals in the crypto derivatives space. According to Cointelegraph, the Trump post reflected a push for continued CFTC authority, while Selig remained the single sitting commissioner with potential implications for governance and strategic direction.

The combination of a formal approval for Kalshi, a favorable no-action pathway for Coinbase, and a recognized potential for 24/7 crypto trading within a regulated framework points to a regulatory strategy that seeks to balance innovation with oversight. For exchanges, custodians, and liquidity providers, the evolving posture necessitates enhanced compliance programs, clear product disclosures, and rigorous risk controls aligned with the CFTC’s expectations for market integrity and consumer protection.

Closing perspective

Taken together, the latest CFTC actions illustrate a measured experimental phase for U.S. crypto derivatives: approvals and reliefs are being granted on a case-by-case basis, anchored by explicit regulatory principles and ongoing oversight. As the market structure for crypto assets evolves—potentially toward 24/7 trading, regulated clearing, and more transparent pricing—market participants should monitor regulatory filings, enforcement signals, and policy developments that could redefine licensing, supervision, and cross-border activity in this rapidly changing landscape.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Mashinsky targets FTX and rewrites Celsius narrative

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Mashinsky targets FTX and rewrites Celsius narrative

Beyond attacking the process that put him behind bars, Alex Mashinsky is now trying to recast Celsius’ collapse as an FTX‑driven hit job, even though he already confessed to manipulating CEL himself.

Summary

Beyond attacking the process that led to his conviction, Mashinsky is trying to recast the story of Celsius’ collapse by pinning much of the blame on FTX and its former chief executive Sam Bankman Fried.

In materials submitted to the court, he accuses Bankman Fried of attempting to “destroy Celsius” and claims that market manipulation of the CEL token was orchestrated out of FTX, not by Celsius insiders.

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Those claims stand in direct tension with his own plea and the criminal record.

In December 2024, Mashinsky pleaded guilty in the Southern District of New York to one count of commodities fraud and one count of securities fraud, admitting that he “illicitly manipulated the price of CEL, Celsius’s proprietary crypto token, while he was secretly selling his own CEL token at artificially inflated prices.”

By May 2025, Judge John G. Koeltl sentenced him to 12 years in prison, three years of supervised release and forfeiture of more than $48 million in criminal proceeds, one of the stiffest penalties to emerge from the 2022 crypto lending implosions.

According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office, Mashinsky misled customers between 2018 and 2022 by portraying Celsius as a safe “bank of the crypto industry” while putting user funds into risky, largely undisclosed strategies and simultaneously pumping CEL.

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That conduct ultimately left users unable to access around $4.7 billion in deposits when Celsius froze withdrawals and collapsed, a shortfall later reflected in a $4.72 billion judgment the Federal Trade Commission obtained against Mashinsky personally.

In April 2026, a federal court approved an FTC order permanently banning him from crypto and broader financial services and imposing a $4.72 billion monetary judgment, with only $10 million actually payable so long as it is satisfied through his existing Department of Justice forfeiture obligations.

Cohen Pavon walks with time served as cooperation pays

Mashinsky’s motion also leans on his fractured relationship with former Celsius Chief Revenue Officer Roni Cohen Pavon, whom he now accuses of attempting a “hostile takeover” of the company.

He has gone as far as to publicly release text messages with Cohen Pavon to bolster that narrative, even though the former executive turned government cooperator and was a key witness against him.

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Cohen Pavon, who in 2023 was indicted alongside Mashinsky on conspiracy, securities fraud, market manipulation and wire fraud charges tied to CEL price manipulation, ultimately pleaded guilty and cooperated with prosecutors.

Nearly three years after his arrest, a federal judge in the Southern District of New York sentenced him to time served plus one year of supervised release, ordering him to pay over $1 million and a $40,000 fine – a strikingly lighter outcome than his former boss’s 12 year term and $48 million forfeiture.

The split screen is stark: the man who fronted Celsius on YouTube and in interviews promising safety and “unbanking yourself” is now attacking his own lawyers, his former lieutenants and a rival exchange as he tries to unwind a sentence grounded in his admitted manipulation of CEL and misrepresentations to hundreds of thousands of depositors.

What remains unclear is whether any judge will give credence to his new FTX centric theory of the case, or whether Mashinsky’s latest move will simply be remembered as a last ditch bid by a once celebrated crypto lender to claw back a narrative already cemented in guilty pleas, regulatory bans and billions in documented user losses.

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Texas man charged over alleged $12.3 million AI crypto arbitrage scam

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Texas man charged over alleged $12.3 million AI crypto arbitrage scam

The SEC has charged Texas resident Nathan Fuller over an alleged $12.3 million AI crypto arbitrage scheme that promised triple digit returns in weeks.

Summary

  • SEC alleges Fuller raised about $12.3 million from roughly 150 investors
  • Promised 40 to 50 percent returns in 30 to 45 days and over 100 percent in 21 days
  • At least $6.2 million allegedly misappropriated, $5.5 million used in Ponzi like payouts

U.S. securities regulators have charged Texas resident Nathan Fuller with orchestrating a fraudulent cryptocurrency trading scheme that raised roughly $12.3 million from about 150 investors through entities including Privvy Investments between October 2022 and mid 2024, according to a litigation release from the Securities and Exchange Commission SEC.

The SEC alleges Fuller told investors he had built a proprietary artificial intelligence powered high frequency arbitrage “trading robot” that could generate extraordinary, low risk profits on crypto assets, while in reality diverting millions of dollars for personal use and running what regulators describe as a Ponzi style operation.

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SEC says AI crypto robot pitch hid $12.3 million fraud

According to the complaint, Fuller marketed investment contracts that promised returns of “over 40 to 50 percent” within 30 to 45 days, and in some cases “guaranteed” returns of more than 100 percent in as little as 21 days, claims that far exceed even the most aggressive yield offerings seen during previous cycles of speculative crypto mania such as the collapse of Mirror Trading International and other arbitrage themed schemes flagged by the SEC.

Alleged Ponzi mechanics and AI hype

Regulators say the vaunted AI trading robot “did not operate as advertised,” and instead of deploying most of the capital into legitimate cryptocurrency markets, Fuller allegedly misappropriated at least $6.2 million of investor funds for personal expenses including luxury goods and travel, while using approximately $5.5 million to make payouts to earlier investors, mimicking the classic flows of a Ponzi scheme.

The SEC’s filing describes a pattern of forged account statements, fabricated documents, and false performance updates that were used to reassure investors and entice new victims, echoing recent enforcement actions against AI branded crypto scams that used fake trading dashboards, doctored screenshots, and scripted chat group “testimonials” to lure users into bogus platforms, as in a separate $14 million WhatsApp based AI tip operation detailed by the Hacker News.

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Court documents cited by ChainCatcher further note that Fuller sold these products through several vehicles tied to Privvy Investments, part of a broader wave of AI infused marketing that has swept both traditional and digital asset markets since 2023 and has already drawn multiple enforcement actions for deceptive practices targeting retail investors.

The SEC is seeking permanent injunctions, disgorgement of what it calls ill gotten gains plus interest, and civil penalties against Fuller, continuing a long running crackdown on crypto themed Ponzi operations that cloak themselves in technical jargon, from early bitcoin based schemes highlighted by the SEC to more recent “AI trading” clubs that promise risk free yields.

In a previous crypto.news report on SEC actions against AI labelled trading platforms, regulators warned that guaranteed double digit monthly returns in crypto or any other asset class are a red flag, particularly when the strategy is described as secret, proprietary, or too complex to explain, a pattern mirrored almost exactly in the allegations against Fuller.

Elsewhere, crypto.news has chronicled how courts have increasingly refused to treat bankruptcy as a refuge for crypto fraud operators, with judges denying discharge when they find concealed assets or falsified records, an issue Fuller has already faced in parallel proceedings over Privvy’s finances, while a separate crypto.news analysis has traced how AI hype provides cover for old fashioned Ponzi architecture dressed up in algorithmic jargon.

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Given the SEC’s latest complaint and the broader pattern of enforcement, investors drawn to AI themed arbitrage pitches have one more high profile reminder that any promise of triple digit returns in a matter of weeks, especially in opaque crypto strategies, is far more likely to end in litigation than in life changing gains.

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Fed’s Daly says price stability must not “harm the economy”

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Fed’s Daly says price stability must not “harm the economy”

Mary Daly says the Fed cannot restore price stability by “harming the economy,” underscoring a cautious stance on rates as inflation lingers above target.

Summary

  • San Francisco Fed’s Mary Daly stresses price stability remains “crucial” but warns against over-tightening
  • Daly’s comments echo her earlier calls for “patience” and “deliberate calibration” on rate cuts
  • Her stance comes as markets price in later Fed easing, raising questions for risk assets including crypto

Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said restoring price stability remains “crucial” for the U.S. central bank, but warned that the Federal Reserve cannot pursue that goal in a way that “harms the economy,” according to a summary of her latest remarks.

The comments, reported via Chaincatcher, signal that Daly continues to frame monetary policy as a balancing act between bringing inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target and preserving labor market strength.

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Daly’s emphasis on balance builds on earlier statements where she has described policy as “in a good place” and argued the Fed can “afford patience” as it evaluates incoming data. In a prior speech, she said monetary policy must be calibrated carefully because “progress is not victory” on inflation, and that uncertainty about both price pressures and employment requires a scenario based approach rather than a single forecast path.

Daly’s balancing act on inflation

In earlier public appearances, Daly has stressed that the Fed’s dual mandate requires it to “stay on our policy course if we’re going to do our part to restore price stability,” even as she acknowledged that inflation had been “coming in too high.” At the same time, she has repeatedly warned that keeping rates “too high for too long” risks undermining employment, arguing that if restrictive policy causes mass layoffs, “you’ve given people low inflation, but you’ve taken their jobs,” which she said is “not the dual mandate.”

That tension is visible in more recent commentary, where Daly has urged a “measured, data‑dependent approach” and insisted the Fed must “work on price stability without overreacting.” Market participants have interpreted those remarks as a signal that the Federal Open Market Committee is likely to hold its policy rate in the current 5.25 to 5.50% range for longer, delaying rate cuts until there is clearer evidence that inflation is firmly on track to 2%.

Implications for markets and policy path

Daly’s latest message that price stability cannot be achieved by “harming the economy” underscores why many officials remain wary of aggressive moves in either direction. Her stance aligns with projections from banks such as Goldman Sachs, which recently pushed back expectations for the first Fed rate cut to September 2026 and now sees inflation running near 2.9%, implying restrictive policy for longer and a tougher backdrop for risk assets.

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While Daly did not provide specific forecasts for growth, unemployment or the exact timing of any rate adjustments in the Jin10 summary, her comments suggest the Fed will continue to lean on incremental, data‑driven decisions rather than pre‑committing to a rapid easing cycle. For investors across bonds, equities and crypto, her insistence that the central bank must both “restore price stability” and avoid “harming the economy” reinforces the idea that the Fed is steering a narrow path between renewed inflation and a policy induced downturn.

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Coinbase Wins CFTC Approval to Offer Global Crypto Perpetuals and Options to US Clients

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Coinbase Reportedly Courts Anthropic to Bolster Exchange Security Infrastructure

Coinbase Financial Markets became the first US-regulated futures commission merchant (FCM) cleared to connect domestic clients to global crypto perpetuals and options markets, the exchange said May 29, opening access to a multi-trillion dollar category previously closed to US traders.

New guidance from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) cleared the path. Institutional clients gain regulated access to instruments that account for roughly 80% of global crypto trading volume, and Prime client onboarding began immediately.

Why US Traders Lost Access for Years

Until now, US customers had no compliant route to perpetual swaps and crypto options, the two largest categories of digital-asset trading.

Many institutions stood up offshore entities to reach these markets, adding counterparty exposure and duplicative infrastructure costs.

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The arrangement removes the need for offshore trading workarounds and consolidates global liquidity through a single regulated broker.

The guidance also extends prior CFTC steps such as the leveraged spot trading framework cleared in late 2024.

Deribit Access Anchors the Launch

Options on Deribit, which Coinbase acquired last year, are live through Coinbase Financial Markets, with perpetual futures contracts to follow.

Deribit holds more than $31 billion in bitcoin (BTC) options open interest.

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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said US users had been locked out of roughly 80% of global crypto markets, framing the CFTC clearance as the end of that gap.

Earlier US-regulated perpetual-style contracts arrived through Cboe’s continuous futures this year, but those products are limited to domestic venues and do not route to global liquidity.

“This morning, the @CFTC took historic action to permit the listing of a true bitcoin perpetual contract by a CFTC-registered exchange, charting a path for one of the most liquid segments of the crypto asset markets to exist within the US regulatory framework,” noted CFTC chair Mike Selig.

Retail access is expected later. Coinbase has not disclosed a timeline.

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The post Coinbase Wins CFTC Approval to Offer Global Crypto Perpetuals and Options to US Clients appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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FedEx Freight (FDXF) Spinoff Goes Live June 1: Everything You Need to Know

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • FedEx Freight launches as an independent company on June 1 trading under ticker FDXF
  • Shareholders of FedEx receive one FDXF share for every two FDX shares owned; parent company maintains approximately 20% ownership
  • When-issued trading shows FDXF around $185 per share, though analysts believe fair value could reach $275 based on Old Dominion comparables
  • Management projects medium-term revenue growth of 4%–6% with operating profit expansion of 10%–12%
  • Parent company FDX carries a consensus Strong Buy rating from 21 Wall Street analysts with a $423.15 average target price

The separation of FedEx Freight from its parent company is finally arriving. The less-than-truckload (LTL) division launches independent trading on Monday, June 1, debuting on the New York Stock Exchange under ticker FDXF.

As the LTL division of FedEx, this business caters to industrial clients requiring freight transportation over shorter routes without needing full truckload capacity. The company competes directly with established players like Old Dominion Freight Line and XPO.

This spinoff represents the culmination of a strategic shift. FedEx has been streamlining operations to concentrate on its primary express shipping and logistics segments. Though consistently profitable, the Freight division represented a relatively modest component of the overall enterprise.

For fiscal 2026, FedEx Freight projects revenue of $8.7 billion alongside operating income of $1.1 billion. To put this in perspective, the remaining FedEx operations are forecast to generate nearly $94 billion in revenue during the same period.

In when-issued trading ahead of the official launch, FDXF shares have been exchanging hands near $185. This represents the market’s preliminary assessment before the stock formally begins regular trading.

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The Valuation Opportunity

This is where the situation becomes compelling. Old Dominion, widely regarded as the premier LTL operator, commands a forward earnings multiple approaching 40x. Meanwhile, FedEx as a consolidated entity trades at approximately 18x forward earnings. This substantial valuation disparity provides the fundamental rationale for executing this separation.

Should FDXF achieve valuation parity with Old Dominion’s trading multiple, Wall Street analysts project a fair value near $275 per share — representing nearly 50% appreciation from current when-issued levels.

However, Old Dominion maintains superior profitability metrics. The company is projected to generate approximately $1.5 billion in operating profit from $5.7 billion in revenue during 2026, reflecting materially higher margins than FDXF currently achieves.

Narrowing this margin differential will be critical for FDXF to justify a comparable valuation multiple. Management has established targets for 10%–12% annual operating profit growth over the medium term, which should support margin improvement.

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For reference, Old Dominion has delivered roughly 8% average annual operating profit growth over the trailing five-year period. Analysts project this growth rate will accelerate to approximately 11% moving forward — essentially matching FDXF’s stated objectives.

Distribution Details for Existing Shareholders

Current FedEx shareholders will receive one FDXF share for every two shares of FDX held as of the established record date. The parent company will retain approximately 20% ownership in the freight operation following completion of the spinoff.

FDX stock has demonstrated robust momentum leading into this separation event — gaining more than 40% year-to-date and climbing over 80% during the trailing twelve-month period through Friday’s close.

From an analyst perspective, FDX maintains a consensus Strong Buy rating based on recommendations from 21 Wall Street analysts, comprising 17 Buy ratings, 3 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating. The consensus price target stands at $423.15, suggesting approximately 3% upside from prevailing price levels.

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FDXF commences regular-way trading on Monday, June 1.

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Payouts.com warns on AI agent payments

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Payouts.com warns on AI agent payments

Payouts.com co-founders say the future of agent payments combines stablecoin rails with programmable control layers built for enterprise trust.

Summary

  • Payouts.com CEO Leor Ceder says programmability, not wallets alone, will define which AI agents enterprises can trust by 2027.
  • Co-founder Barak Hirchson lists five non-negotiable controls that make autonomous agent spending safe and auditable at scale.
  • Stablecoins win in cross-border and machine-to-API micropayments; programmable infrastructure determines which rail gets used everywhere else.

Payouts.com co-founders Leor Ceder and Barak Hirchson say the next wave of AI agent commerce runs on stablecoin rails, and on the programmable control layer built on top of them. In their view, wallets are a necessary foundation, but the durable enterprise value sits in what governs them.

The position adds a critical dimension to the wallet-led narrative dominating agent payments today. Juniper Research forecasts cross-border B2B stablecoin payments will hit $5 trillion by 2035, up from $13.4 billion in 2026, with B2B taking 85% of total stablecoin transaction value.

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Where stablecoins win and where smart rail selection matters

Hirchson, Payouts.com’s chief solutions officer, said rail selection is decided by the recipient: country, payment method, urgency, amount, and cost all factor in. Stablecoins win cleanly in two scenarios.

The first is cross-border versus SWIFT, where wire fees and FX spreads can eat 4 to 5% of a transaction. The second is machine-to-API micropayments, where the x402 standard already routes pay-per-call API invoices in stablecoin. Crypto.news reported that AI agents have settled $73 million across 176 million transactions on crypto rails, with USDC handling 98.6%.

“PIX clears in under ten seconds in Brazil for free, UPI handles hundreds of millions of transactions a day in India at near-zero cost,” Hirchson said. “The agents that scale are the ones that can pick the right rail per transaction, not the ones locked into a single rail based on what their limited wallet supports.”

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The five non-negotiable agent controls

Hirchson laid out five controls he said are non-negotiable before companies let agents transact autonomously: scoped credentials, hard spend caps enforced at the protocol level, cryptographically signed mandates, idempotency at the payment layer, and a fail-closed posture.

“This is what programmable spending actually means. You define the envelope once, the infrastructure enforces it forever, and the agent operates freely inside it,” he said. “Is the industry building these fast enough? Not uniformly.”

Some wallets shipped recently include hard caps and signed mandates, he said. Others ship with an API key and a balance, which he called the worst-case configuration for a compromised key.

What the agent payment stack looks like by 2027

Ceder said the interesting question by May 2027 will not be which stablecoin wins. It will be programmability: how granularly enterprises can define what an agent is allowed to do, how reliably that policy is enforced, and how cleanly compliance can be proven after the fact.

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“The wallet wars happening right now will look the way the browser wars look in retrospect: necessary, formative, and not where the durable value got captured,” Ceder said. The compliance layer must be built into the infrastructure rather than the agent, with every payment passing a cascade of principal, account and jurisdiction checks before any money moves.

Coinbase and Cloudflare have built the x402 protocol into a fast-growing settlement rail for agents, with the standard recently joining the Linux Foundation. AWS embedded x402 into Amazon Bedrock AgentCore Payments earlier this month, while Solana and Google launched Pay.sh as a parallel route.

For Payouts.com, the bet is that the control layer above those rails is where enterprise spend will land. The agent stays autonomous. The envelope around it does not move.

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CFTC says some derivatives markets may not suit 24/7 trading

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CFTC says some derivatives markets may not suit 24/7 trading

The CFTC has warned regulated derivatives platforms that round-the-clock trading may suit crypto-native markets but may not work safely across every traditional asset class.

Summary

  • The CFTC warned that 24/7 trading may not suit every traditional derivatives market.
  • Coinbase said the CFTC approval adds crypto perpetuals and global options to its regulated platform.
  • The CFTC and Gemini asked a Manhattan court to vacate a $5 million settlement order.

The CFTC said in a Friday advisory that exchanges and clearinghouses should carefully assess products before extending trading and clearing to a 24/7 model. The agency said some markets can support constant access because newer trading systems use blockchain networks, decentralized infrastructure, crypto collateral, stablecoins, and mobile platforms.

The warning came as the agency also allowed CFTC-regulated crypto platforms to offer perpetual futures and global options.Coinbase said in a Friday blog post that the approval lets one of its regulated affiliates add the largest and most liquid category of global crypto trading to its existing 24-hour platform.

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CFTC draws line between crypto and traditional markets

According to the advisory, the agency does not view all markets the same way regarding permanent trading hours. The CFTC said agricultural derivatives may face different limits because of their customer base, regional structure, and specialized hedging practices.

The agency said some products could face thinner liquidity during off-peak hours. Under those conditions, the CFTC said markets may experience greater price swings, wider bid-ask spreads, and greater exposure to manipulation.

Under CFTC rules, trading platforms remain the first line of defense against market abuse. The agency said firms that expand trading hours should add compliance controls tailored to the risks posed by constant access.

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Agency Asks Firms to Discuss 24/7 Plans

In its letter, the CFTC urged regulated exchanges and clearing organizations to speak with the agency before making major changes to trading schedules. The advisory framed those discussions as part of the agency’s oversight role, especially as market structures around crypto products change.

CFTC Chairman Mike Selig has made crypto, prediction markets, and new trading technology central issues at the agency. Under his leadership, the regulator has made several crypto policy decisions as the Trump administration pushes federal agencies to provide the digital asset industry with a clearer path.

Coinbase said its platform already supports 24/7 trading across equities, futures and prediction markets. The company said the new approval adds crypto perpetuals and global options to that lineup through a CFTC-regulated affiliate.

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Gemini settlement reversal adds to policy reset

The same policy environment has also affected older enforcement cases. As previously covered by crypto.news, the CFTC moved to scrap its $5 million settlement with Gemini after deciding the case should not have been brought under the agency’s current standards.

According to a joint motion filed Wednesday in Manhattan federal court, the CFTC and Gemini asked a judge to vacate the January 2025 consent order. The order had resolved allegations linked to Gemini’s proposed Bitcoin futures contract.

The request shows how the agency’s current leadership is reviewing past crypto actions while opening more room for regulated digital asset products. The CFTC is prepared to allow 24-hour crypto markets, but it wants traditional derivatives platforms to prove that constant trading will not weaken market oversight.

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Coinbase unlocks global crypto derivatives for U.S. institutions

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Amazon lets AI bots pay in USDC via Coinbase x402

Coinbase has opened a regulated route for U.S. institutions to trade global crypto derivatives through its futures commission merchant.

Summary

  • Coinbase Financial Markets now offers U.S. institutions regulated access to global crypto derivatives, starting with Deribit options.
  • CFTC staff action supports the structure, with certain crypto perpetual contracts treated as foreign futures under specific conditions.
  • Coinbase’s partnership with Standard Chartered adds fiat funding rails for major currencies, supporting institutional spot, derivatives, and financing strategies.

Coinbase said on May 29 that Coinbase Financial Markets now gives eligible U.S. clients access to crypto derivatives markets, starting with Deribit options. The company described the unit as the first U.S.-regulated futures commission merchant to offer access to global crypto derivatives, including perpetual futures and options.

The launch follows action from Commodity Futures Trading Commission staff involving products listed on Deribit FZE, Coinbase’s affiliated foreign board of trade. Coinbase said institutional clients can begin onboarding immediately through Coinbase Financial Markets, while retail access is planned for a later stage.

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Institutions get regulated access to Deribit options

Coinbase said the first phase will focus on Deribit options, with crypto perpetual futures, more collateral options, and other derivatives products expected later. The company framed the rollout as a way for U.S. institutions to reach markets that have long been active offshore.

According to Coinbase, crypto derivatives account for about 80% of global crypto trading volume. The company also cited Deribit data showing more than $31 billion in bitcoin options open interest as of May 28.

For trading firms, Coinbase said the access could support hedging, volatility trading, and BTC-linked basis strategies. The company added that U.S. clients previously lacked a regulated route into a market it described as having an annual trading volume of multi-trillions of dollars.

CFTC staff action supports the structure

The regulatory path rests on CFTC staff positions tied to foreign futures and margin arrangements. In its letter, CFTC staff said certain crypto asset perpetual contracts described in the request may qualify as foreign futures under Commission Regulation 30.1.

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Staff also issued a no-action position covering certain transfers of customer-owned digital commodities and payment stablecoins to a foreign broker-affiliate for margin purposes. The letter said the position remains subject to the listed conditions.

Coinbase closed its $2.9 billion acquisition of Deribit in August 2025, following its announcement earlier that year. The exchange said Deribit handled more than $185 billion in trading volume in July 2025 and held about $60 billion in open interest on its platform at the time.

Crypto-market reports have also linked Deribit to major Bitcoin options expiries, in which large positions can shape short-term trading around strike prices and expiry dates.

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Coinbase builds institutional rails beyond derivatives

The derivatives rollout also aligns with Coinbase’s recent institutional push into fiat funding. As previously covered by crypto.news, Coinbase expanded its partnership with Standard Chartered to give institutional clients greater currency access across global markets.

The integration added funding rails for AUD, SGD, CAD, and CHF. It also added GSIB-backed settlement for EUR and GBP.

Coinbase said the service is available through Coinbase Prime and Coinbase Exchange. The company said the arrangement helps institutions manage capital across spot, derivatives, and financing strategies without forcing every position to be denominated in a single base currency.

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