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Will HOOD stock rise or fall after Robinhood’s earnings on Feb. 10?

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HOOD stock

HOOD stock price rose by over 2% on Monday, continuing a recovery that started on Friday when it surged by over 13% as American equities and the crypto market bounced back.

Summary

  • Robinhood share price remains in a technical bear market after crashing by 46% from its all-time high.
  • The company will publish its financial results on Tuesday this week.
  • Analysts are optimistic that its revenue continued growing in the fourth quarter.

Robinhood shares jumped to $84, up significantly from the year-to-date low of $72 as focus shifts to the upcoming quarterly earnings.

Robinhood to publish its Q4 earnings on Feb. 10

A key catalyst for the HOOD stock is the upcoming fourth-quarter earnings, which will shed more color on its growth and profit trajectory.

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Data compiled by Yahoo Finance shows that the average estimate is that its revenue jumped by 32% in the fourth quarter to $1.34 billion, driven by the options market and its Bitstamp acquisition.

If this estimate is correct, its annual revenue will be $4.53 billion, up 53% from 2024. Its annual earnings per share is expected to come in at $2.04, up sharply from the $1.56 it made in the same period a year earlier.

Robinhood’s business has thrived in the past few years, even as competition in the trading industry has jumped, with companies like Webull and SoFi taking some market share.

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The most recent results showed that its funded customers rose to over 26.8 million from 24.3 million in Q3’24. Robinhood Gold subscribers rose to 3.88 million, while total platform assets soared to $333 billion.

The company has performed well due to its strong position in the options, stocks, and crypto markets. It also benefited from ongoing innovation, which has enabled it to launch tokenized assets in its European market.

The company has also moved into the booming predictions market, which handles billions of dollars weekly.

Robinhood stock is often highly volatile after its earnings are released. For example, it dropped from $139 to $125 when it released its results in November. This retreat accelerated, pushing the stock to $102 a few weeks later.

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Wall Street analysts are largely bullish on the company. Needham analysts recently reiterated their buy rating with a $135 target. Cantor Fitzgerald has a strong buy rating, while Piper Sandler has an overweight rating.

HOOD stock price technical analysis 

HOOD stock
Robinhood stock price chart | Source: TradingView 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the HOOD stock price remains in a strong downward trend, moving from a high of $154 in October to the current $82.

Robinhood remains below the 50% Fibonacci Retracement and the Supertrend indicator. Worse, the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages has continued to narrow, suggesting it may soon form a death cross pattern.

Therefore, the most likely HOOD share price forecast is highly bearish, with the initial target to watch being at $71.40, its lowest this year. A move below that level will signal further downside, potentially to the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level at $60.

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Crypto World

Galaxy Digital’s (GLXY) testnet suffers hack but no client funds or information were compromised

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Galaxy Digital's (GLXY) testnet suffers hack but no client funds or information were compromised

Galaxy Digital (GLXY), the digital asset financial services firm founded by Mike Novogratz, said it recently contained a cybersecurity incident involving unauthorized access to an isolated development workspace, according to a statement from a company spokesperson.

“An immaterial amount of company funds used for testing within the isolated development workspace was impacted,” the spokesperson said in emailed comments. The loss was less than $10,000, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.

The firm emphasized that the affected environment was used solely for research and development and was not connected to its core infrastructure, production systems, trading platforms or client accounts.

Galaxy said it detected the intrusion and moved quickly to contain it, secure the compromised workspace and implement additional precautionary measures across its on-chain infrastructure.

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“No client funds or client account information were accessed or at risk at any point based on our review to date,” Galaxy said, adding that all platforms and services remain fully operational and secure for clients.

Hacks and exploits remain a persistent risk in the crypto industry, where the combination of open-source code, large pools of onchain liquidity and uneven security practices creates an attractive target for attackers.

Billions of dollars are lost to smart contract exploits, phishing schemes and infrastructure breaches, with industry estimates often exceeding $1–2 billion annually in recent years.

Even when incidents are contained, and client assets are not impacted, breaches can erode trust, trigger heightened regulatory scrutiny and underscore the operational risks facing firms operating in largely irreversible, always-on financial systems.

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Galaxy is a diversified financial services and investment firm focused on the digital asset and blockchain sector, providing institutional clients with trading, asset management, lending, advisory and custody services.

The firm operates across several core business lines, including global markets, asset management and digital infrastructure, while also running businesses in areas like crypto mining, staking and data center operations.

Positioned as a bridge between traditional finance and crypto, Galaxy offers institutional-grade access to digital assets and related technologies, alongside investments in blockchain ventures and emerging areas such as AI-powered infrastructure.

The company said it is continuing to review the incident and will provide updates as appropriate.

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Read more: Bitcoin’s quantum threat is real, but far from an existential crisis, Galaxy says

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What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?

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What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?

Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, revealed on CNBC this week that his firm purchased approximately $17 billion in US Treasury bills at the latest auction. Is a stock market crash coming and what does it mean for Bitcoin (BTC)?

Key takeaways:

  • Berkshire held $373 billion in cash or cash equivalents as of 2025’s close, more than double the levels in 2023.

  • The firm’s rising cash reserves typically precede major stock market crashes, a bad sign for Bitcoin.

Buffett still sees better value in cash than in stocks

Buffett’s message is straightforward: Berkshire does not see the recent equity pullback as a sufficiently attractive buying opportunity.

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For context, the S&P 500 has fallen about 5.75% since reaching a record high in January.

S&P 500 weekly performance chart. Source: TradingView

Buffett said stocks are not “substantially” cheaper after the decline and described the sell-off as “nothing” compared with earlier downturns in which markets fell more than 50%.

That helps explain Berkshire’s latest Treasury-bill purchase. The company ended 2025 with about $373 billion in cash and equivalents, up from a record $334.2 billion a year earlier and more than double its level at the end of 2023.

Buffett, who famously called Bitcoin “rat poison,” typically gets into cash before major stock crashes, historical data shows.

In 1998, for instance, Buffett began trimming Berkshire’s stock exposure and raising cash, pushing the company’s cash and cash-equivalents holdings to $13.1 billion, or about 23% of total assets.

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Berkshire’s cash and cash-equivalents holdings chart. Source: GuruFocus.COM

By mid-2000, that figure had climbed to nearly $15 billion, or roughly 25% of assets, before Berkshire started deploying capital into bargains as the Dot-com bubble burst.

Bitcoin’s positive correlation with stocks may hurt prices

Bitcoin has traded more like a stock than a traditional safe haven for much of the post-2020 period, often moving in the same direction as US equities, especially the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

As of Wednesday, the 20-week rolling correlation coefficient between the two markets was positive at 0.47.

Nasdaq Composite and BTC/USD’s 20-week correlation coefficient chart. Source: TradingView

If Buffett’s risk-off strategy is correct, then Bitcoin should see another crash alongside stocks. Fresh quantum-security concerns, war-driven inflation risks, and nearly 50% US recession odds are putting pressure on the BTC price.

Berkshire’s portfolio decisions have also leaned away from crypto-adjacent finance.

In the first quarter of 2025, the firm fully exited Nu Holdings, a crypto-friendly fintech company, after building its position in 2021 and 2022. It secured about $250 million in profits from these investments.

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Multiple analysts predict BTC’s price to drop to as low as $30,000 in 2026.