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Crypto World

VanEck’s Sigel rejects MARA BTC buy claims amid AI expansion

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MARA ranks fourth among public companies with 36,303 BTC holdings.

VanEck’s Matthew Sigel has disputed claims that MARA Holdings purchased 1,000 Bitcoin, saying the transaction likely involved returned collateral from a BTC-backed loan rather than a new market acquisition.

Summary

  • VanEck’s Matthew Sigel said MARA did not purchase 1,000 BTC, calling the transfer a returned loan collateral.
  • MARA remains focused on AI and data center expansion rather than Bitcoin accumulation.
  • Nvidia and other miners are increasing investments in AI infrastructure and HPC services.

According to a June 16 X post by VanEck Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel, the recent speculation surrounding Bitcoin mining firm MARA having purchased an additional 1,000 BTC is incorrect.

Sigel made the comment in response to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, which had highlighted a 1,000 BTC transfer involving FalconX and suggested it appeared to be a purchase by the miner.

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Lookonchain noted that the transaction followed MARA’s first-quarter sale of 20,880 BTC for roughly $1.5 billion at an average price of $70,137 per coin.

As crypto.news previously reported, that sale came as the company increasingly directed attention toward artificial intelligence and high-performance computing infrastructure.

Providing additional context, Sigel said the transferred coins were returned-lent assets rather than Bitcoin acquired on the open market.

“MARA will be monetizing its DC portfolio: Starwood in the US, Exaion in the EU. Bitcoin accumulation is the last thing on their mind.”

Historical wallet activity also appears to support that interpretation. MARA has typically moved Bitcoin purchases into newly created wallets, while the latest transaction did not follow that pattern. Based on that behavior, market participants suggested the company may have closed a BTC-backed loan and received collateral back instead of adding to its treasury through direct purchases.

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MARA continues prioritizing AI infrastructure

Attention has increasingly turned to MARA’s infrastructure strategy as the company expands beyond traditional Bitcoin mining operations.

Commenting on the latest speculation, market analyst Matt Allen said the company is no longer accumulating Bitcoin in the manner many investors assume. Allen stated that MARA is focused on developing its AI data center business, reinforcing a direction that has become more visible throughout the year.

Earlier this year, MARA announced its $1.5 billion acquisition of Long Bridge, a transaction that significantly expanded the company’s AI and data center footprint. Even with that strategic repositioning, the miner remains one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holders. Data from Bitcoin Treasuries shows MARA holds more than 36,000 BTC, placing it behind only Strategy, Twenty One Capital, and Metaplanet among public Bitcoin treasury firms.

MARA ranks fourth among public companies with 36,303 BTC holdings.
Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

Investor enthusiasm around that strategy has helped support the stock. According to data from Yahoo Finance, MARA shares have gained more than 63% year-to-date and have risen over 10% during the last five trading sessions.

MARA stock rises over 10% in five days amid debate over a reported 1,000 BTC transfer.
Source: Yahoo Finance

Bitcoin miners increasingly pursue AI revenue

MARA’s approach comes as a growing number of mining companies seek opportunities in AI infrastructure and high-performance computing.

Recent industry developments suggest that access to power and data center capacity is becoming as valuable as cryptocurrency production itself. As reported by crypto.news, IREN recently completed its acquisition of Spain-based Nostrum Group, adding around 490 megawatts of secured grid-connected power and establishing its first operating base in Europe for AI cloud services.

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At the same time, capital continues flowing into AI infrastructure. Nvidia is preparing a bond offering worth at least $20 billion to finance AI-related investments and refinance existing debt. 

The chipmaker plans to issue notes across seven maturities ranging from two to 30 years, underscoring the scale of spending taking place across the sector.

Against that backdrop, companies including HIVE Digital, TeraWulf, Hut 8, and CleanSpark have increasingly promoted AI and high-performance computing services alongside mining. By repurposing facilities originally built for Bitcoin operations, these firms are pursuing revenue streams that are less dependent on cryptocurrency market conditions while making use of existing power agreements and data center assets.

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Trump Says No $300 Billion for Iran, So Why Is Crypto Part of the Conversation?

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Bitcoin Price Performance

President Donald Trump dismissed reports that the United States will pay Iran billions as fake news, yet crypto keeps surfacing in the debate over a proposed $300 billion reconstruction fund tied to the new US-Iran framework.

The confusion stems from a preliminary memorandum of understanding that Washington and Tehran expect to sign on June 19. Online, traders quickly asked whether any payout could move through Bitcoin (BTC) or stablecoins.

What the $300 Billion Fund Actually Involves

Vice President JD Vance addressed the figure on CBS on Monday. He said Iran could reach the money only by honoring its commitments, and that Gulf states, not American taxpayers, would supply it.

“That’s the sort of thing they could have access to, funded by the Gulf coast coalition, so long as they honor their end of the obligation,” the Hill reported, citing Vance.

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Trump pushed back harder on Truth Social. He rejected the payout claim while touting Iran’s pledge to drop nuclear weapons.

The two sides have pitched different deal terms throughout the talks.

“…the story that the U.S. is paying Iran 300 million Dollars is Fake News, put out by the Dumocrats!!!” Trump wrote.

No public version of the draft mentions a fixed payout.

The deal instead ties any Gulf investment to nuclear limits, weapons inspections, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Why Crypto Entered the Iran Conversation

No public text in the framework mentions digital assets. Still, Iran’s record made the leap easy for speculators to make.

Tehran has leaned on crypto to dodge sanctions for years. On June 2, the US Treasury blacklisted four Iranian platforms, including Nobitex, Iran’s largest exchange.

Treasury said Nobitex alone processed more than half of Iran’s crypto inflows in 2025, much of it IRGC-linked.

Tehran has also floated Bitcoin tolls for ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz. That history keeps digital assets close to the story, even without a formal role.

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The framework still moved markets. Bitcoin reached a two-week high on ceasefire optimism, a swing that wiped out roughly $246 million in short positions.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

The signing on June 19 should clarify the actual terms. Until then, the gap between Trump’s denial and Tehran’s messaging will likely keep crypto speculation alive.

The post Trump Says No $300 Billion for Iran, So Why Is Crypto Part of the Conversation? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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SpaceX Hits $2.8 Trillion and Sixth Place, but the Chart Flashes Its First Warning

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SpaceX Hits $2.8 Trillion and Sixth Place, but the Chart Flashes Its First Warning

SpaceX (SPCX) climbed into the world’s most valuable companies this week, then stalled. The SpaceX stock spiked near $212 on Tuesday before sliding back toward $202, leaving its first clear sign of fatigue on the chart.

The pullback arrived three sessions after the IPO at $135, with the rocket maker briefly worth about $2.8 trillion at its premarket high. That figure pushed it close to Amazon before the gains faded.

Momentum Fades as RSI Rolls Out of Overbought

The relative strength index tells the clearest part of the story. During the run toward $214, RSI pushed into overbought territory near the 80 mark on the five-minute chart (blue circles).

It has since rolled over and slid toward the low 40s. In plain terms, the buyers who powered the debut are losing short-term control (red arrow).

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SPCX 5-minute RSI chart. Source: Tradingview

The signal stays soft until RSI reclaims the 60s while price pushes back above the $214 high. Until then, momentum favors sellers on the intraday timeframe.

Ranking and ETF Demand Tell a Stronger Story

The momentum picture looks weak, yet the structural demand behind SPCX stock does not. The latest ranking shows SpaceX sitting sixth among the world’s largest companies, with a market capitalization of about $2.52 trillion.

That places it ahead of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) at $2.29 trillion and just behind Amazon at $2.65 trillion. The premarket spike briefly lifted SpaceX above Amazon for the fifth time before it settled back.

TOP 10 largest companies by market cap. Source: Companiesmarketcap

Demand has also been broad across markets. Issuers rushed leveraged SpaceX ETFs to market, while traders cleared $1.4 billion in SPCX perpetuals on a single decentralized venue when several exchanges ran short of shares.

SpaceX Stock Hinges on the $201 Fibonacci Support

A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the $214.77 high down to the $157.41 first-session low maps the levels that matter now. Price near $202 is pinned to the 0.236 level at $201.23.

Holding that line keeps almost the entire run intact and signals a shallow, healthy pause. A clean break opens the 0.382 level at $192.86, which also marks Monday’s regular-session close.

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Below that sits the 0.5 midpoint at $186.09 and the 0.618 golden pocket at $179.32. The golden pocket lines up with the early post-debut spike high, so it forms the strongest support on the chart.

SPCX 5-minute chart. Source: Tradingview

The risk is that the leverage stacked through new ETFs amplifies any slide. Skeptics have already flagged the valuation as stretched. Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank, said:

“We can say with certainty that this valuation makes absolutely no sense today. People are buying SpaceX in the expectation that others will buy too and push the price higher – that’s speculation.”

Defending $201 keeps the uptrend alive and points back toward the $214 ceiling. Losing it shifts attention to $193, then the $179 golden pocket that could decide whether this is a pause or a deeper unwind.

The post SpaceX Hits $2.8 Trillion and Sixth Place, but the Chart Flashes Its First Warning appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Strategy’s investors are may be rotating out of its preferred stock for another crypto rival

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STRC (TradingView)

Strategy’s (MSTR) dividend-paying preferred stock, STRC, closed at $91.79 on Tuesday, its third-lowest since trading began in July 2025, amid lower bitcoin prices and debt concerns.

The only lower closes occurred during two sessions later that month, when STRC fell to as low as $88.60. The security was initially priced at approximately $90 in its debut.

STRC (TradingView)

STRC was designed to trade as close as possible to its $100 par value. However, it has remained below that level for an extended period and has not traded at $100 since May 15, last month’s ex-dividend date.

Historically, STRC would trade near its $100 par value ahead of the ex-dividend date, the cutoff after which new buyers are no longer entitled to the upcoming dividend. Once the stock went ex-dividend, it often declined by roughly the value of the dividend before gradually recovering toward par, but on June 15, STRC never reached par.

Several factors appear to be contributing to STRC’s persistent weakness.

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First, the security has historically traded in tandem with bitcoin, and bitcoin remains under pressure, hovering around $65,000 and roughly 50% below its October all-time high.

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Collector Crypt Fees Jump 129% in a Week as Solflare Brings Card-Pack Trading Into the Wallet

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Collector Crypt Fees Jump 129% in a Week as Solflare Brings Card-Pack Trading Into the Wallet


Collector Crypt, the Solana-native platform that tokenizes graded physical trading cards for on-chain trading, posted a 129% week-over-week jump in fee revenue after Solflare embedded its card-pack mechanic directly into the wallet interface. The platform generated $3.86 million in fees over the… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Is Avalanche Falling Behind? Social Media Debates Heat Up Over AVAX Growth Slowdown

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Avalanche (AVAX) became one of the most discussed cryptocurrencies on Monday despite the broader market rally, as growing skepticism around the network fueled social media debates.

According to Santiment, many users are questioning whether Avalanche can still compete with faster-growing blockchains such as Solana and Sui.

Lagging Devs and Users

Much of the criticism has focused on concerns that developer activity, user adoption, and overall ecosystem growth are moving away from Avalanche toward rival networks. Santiment’s sentiment data revealed that market mood around AVAX has dropped sharply, pivoting from one of its most bullish phases earlier this year to one of its most bearish periods.

However, the analytics platform stated that extreme negative sentiment can sometimes create opportunities for reversals in the market. Despite the rising criticism, Avalanche continues to maintain institutional partnerships, government-linked initiatives, and its subnet technology, which remains a major feature of the network.

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Meanwhile, stats from the Developer Report by Electric Capital revealed Solana leads with 795 full-time developers (each contributing 10+ days monthly), whereas Sui has 202 such developers, and Avalanche is behind with only 168. Furthermore, the total developer counts show Solana leading at 2,555, Sui at 656, and Avalanche at 484. The metric considers only original code authors, while excluding developers involved in merged pull requests, forked commits, and automated bot activity.

AVAX Market Performance

AVAX briefly moved above $7 this week as the broader crypto market recovered. The token gained nearly 4% in the past 24 hours. The rally also comes amid growing attention around FIFA’s partnership with Avalanche during the ongoing 2026 World Cup. FIFA is using a custom Avalanche blockchain to support ticketing, loyalty programs, and digital collectibles for fans across the world.

The Layer 1 network, announced in May 2025, powers FIFA Collect, the organization’s official collectibles platform developed with Modex. Fans can use Right-to-Ticket collectibles to access official World Cup tickets through a special portal before matches. The partnership has also reportedly helped Avalanche attract new users.

Zooming out, however, AVAX is still over 26% down over the past month. Additionally, the price has fallen by over 76% from its September 2026 high of $30.

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The post Is Avalanche Falling Behind? Social Media Debates Heat Up Over AVAX Growth Slowdown appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Coinbase unveils AI advisor as it chases ‘Everything Exchange’ vision

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Coinbase stock trading near $169 after a volatile session, with shares briefly rising above $173 before pulling back.

Coinbase has unveiled an SEC-registered AI investment advisor alongside new trading products as the company has continued expanding beyond crypto in its push to become an “Everything Exchange.”

Summary

  • Coinbase unveiled an SEC-registered AI advisor that can help users manage portfolios through natural language commands.
  • The exchange plans to launch stock options, crypto options, prediction markets, and 24/7 stock index perps.
  • Coinbase will expand its pre-IPO perpetuals program with upcoming offerings tied to OpenAI and Anthropic.

According to announcements made during Coinbase’s System Update event, the exchange is introducing an AI-powered advisory service, expanding access to derivatives and prediction markets, and preparing new pre-IPO trading products tied to some of the world’s largest private technology companies.

The latest product rollout comes as Coinbase continues adding traditional financial products to its platform after recently revealing plans to launch tokenized stocks backed one-for-one by underlying shares.

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AI tools move closer to managing user portfolios

At the center of the announcements was Coinbase Advisor, which Chief Executive Officer Brian Armstrong described as one of the first SEC-registered AI-powered investment advisors in the world.

Armstrong said the tool will have access to a user’s portfolio information and account history, allowing customers to interact with the advisor using natural language commands.

“Speak to it in plain English to take action on your account. It will even prompt you with ideas you hadn’t thought of,” Armstrong said during the presentation.

Alongside the advisor, Coinbase revealed that artificial intelligence agents can now connect directly to its platform. Using systems such as ChatGPT or Claude, customers can establish trading rules and permit AI agents to execute trades on their behalf.

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The announcement follows a growing industry focus on agentic finance. Earlier this week, crypto and stock trading platform Robinhood introduced AI-powered account management tools that allow clients to deploy automated agents to oversee trading activity.

New markets extend beyond crypto trading

Elsewhere during the event, Coinbase announced plans to launch stock options trading this summer, while crypto options are scheduled to arrive later this year.

The exchange also disclosed plans to offer perpetual-style stock index products that can be traded around the clock, including by users in the United States. The move would extend the 24/7 trading model commonly associated with crypto markets into equity-linked products.

Additional trading features unveiled at the event include time-based prediction markets that allow users to speculate on future price movements across digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Hyperliquid. According to Coinbase, contracts will cover periods ranging from 15 minutes to one year.

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Private market exposure is also becoming a larger part of the company’s strategy. Coinbase announced plans to expand its pre-IPO perpetual contracts program following the launch of SpaceX pre-IPO perps ahead of the aerospace company’s record-setting public listing.

According to Coinbase, upcoming offerings will provide exposure to private companies, including OpenAI and Anthropic, before their shares become publicly available.

The new launches build on Coinbase’s previously announced tokenized stock initiative. The exchange has said those products will represent ownership interests backed 1:1 by underlying shares rather than synthetic instruments, derivatives, or IOUs.

Investors responded positively to the announcements. Data from Yahoo Finance showed Coinbase shares climbing to roughly $170 during the trading session before easing slightly in after-hours trading. The stock exchanged hands near $169.2 at the time of writing.

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Coinbase stock trading near $169 after a volatile session, with shares briefly rising above $173 before pulling back.
Source: Yahoo Finance

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How Would a Hormuz Toll Affect Oil Prices?

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How Would a Hormuz Toll Affect Oil Prices?

Oil prices tumbled to two-month lows after the US and Iran reached a peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Yet beneath the relief, traders are quietly positioning for a rebound.

The reason is a catch buried in the deal. Iran plans to charge a toll after a 60-day grace period, a cost the market may already be pricing into the months ahead.

An Iran Deal That Adds a Toll to a Fifth of Global Oil

The deal reopens the Strait of Hormuz, the waterway that carried roughly one-fifth of global oil before the war shut it. Before the conflict, ships paid nothing to pass.

Want more insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Newsletter here.

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Iran now says it will collect “service fees” once a 60-day toll-free window ends. President Trump calls the reopening permanently toll-free, while Vice President JD Vance and Iran point to fees after the 60 days.

Markets took the truce as relief. Brent crude oil price fell about 5% to near $83, and WTI crude oil price slid to under $80, both at multi-month lows.

That drop reflects near-term supply relief. The futures curve tells a more cautious story.

The Curve Cooled, but Positioning Turned Bullish

During the war, the backwardation in Brent went extreme. Backwardation means the front-month contract trades above the later-month contracts, a sign of near-term scarcity.

The spread between the first and second Brent contracts hit about $10.27 in April. It has since collapsed to roughly $0.67, so the market sees the immediate shortage easing. Still, the spread stays positive.

Brent shows mild backwardation rather than flipping into contango, where later months trade above the front. The near-term squeeze has cooled, but the market is not yet pricing a glut.

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Brent BRN1 BRN2 Spread: TradingView

Positioning leans the other way. In the latest Commitments of Traders report, a weekly CFTC snapshot of who holds futures, speculators cut short bets by about 9,300 contracts by June 9.

Brent COT Positioning
Brent COT Positioning: Tradingster

Options say the same. On the United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), the put-call ratio sat near 0.08, meaning calls vastly outnumbered puts. Call buying continued to grow, with the ratio dropping to 0.06 as the toll news broke.

BNO Put-Call Ratio June 12
BNO Put-Call Ratio June 12: Barchart

So the curve has priced the reopening, while traders bet on what comes after. The size of that bet depends on the toll.

BNO Put-Call Ratio June 15
BNO Put-Call Ratio June 15. Source: Barchart

BRN2 is only about a month further out, and the front contract still trades above it, so the curve has calmed without turning bearish. That leaves room for the toll to retighten it, which aligns with the bullish positioning.

What a Hormuz Toll Could Do to Oil Prices

Here is the math. Before the war, Brent traded near $70 with zero transit cost. The Strait moves about 7.6 billion barrels of oil a year.

A toll of $0.50, $1, or $2 per barrel would hand Iran roughly $3.8 billion, $7.6 billion, or $15.2 billion a year. The $1 level is not hypothetical. During the conflict, an informal $1-per-barrel fee was being levied. Tolls of up to $2 million per voyage were reported.

The direct cost is small and mostly absorbed by producers at first. The bigger lever is the risk premium, the extra price markets pay for supply uncertainty.

That premium bites harder now because the cushion is thin. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the national emergency stockpile, just hit a 43-year low.

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Hormuz Toll Price Scenarios. Source: BeInCrypto

From a normalized reopening near $80, analysts estimate a smooth toll could add $2 to $6, while a messy one could add $10 or more. That points to Brent in the high $80s to mid $90s, with a path back above $100 if the reopening turns disorderly.

To be clear, the $1 toll, or even $2, does not push Brent to $100. That tail runs through disruption, not the fee. A contested rollout that chokes traffic again would revive the war-era risk premium. That fear, not the charge, sent Brent above $100 during the conflict.

Expert and market signals line up with that risk.

Oil Prices, Forecasts, and the Bets Point the Same Way

Industry leaders have flagged the upside. Executives at Chevron and ExxonMobil warned the physical Brent oil price could spike toward $150 to $160 if inventories keep draining.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects Brent to average about $105 in June and July before easing later. Goldman Sachs trimmed forecasts on the deal but warned of renewed volatility if Hormuz does not reopen cleanly.

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Prediction markets agree at the margin. On Polymarket, bettors put the odds of crude hitting a record at roughly 16% by December 31, still the most-backed window even after the deal cooled the odds.

Crude Oil Record Odds
Crude Oil Record Odds. Source: Polymarket

For now, oil prices sit near two-month lows: Brent around $83 and WTI near $80. The next CFTC positioning report, the first to capture the toll news, will show whether the bullish lean held.

A clean, toll-free reopening would let oil prices keep easing toward the EIA’s high $70s path. A contested service-fee regime after 60 days would re-tighten the market and push it back toward the high $80s and beyond.

The post How Would a Hormuz Toll Affect Oil Prices? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Kalshi traders think Anthropic will restore access to AI model quickly

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Kalshi traders think Anthropic will restore access to AI model quickly

Jonathan Raa | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Artificial intelligence giant Anthropic shocked observers when it said Friday evening it disabled access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models to comply with an order by the U.S. government. 

But traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think it’s more likely than not that the Fable model returns to U.S. consumers as soon as July. 

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Traders place 58% odds Anthropic will restore access to Fable 5 before July 1. They think it’s even more likely it’s back by July 10, with a 74% chance it happens by then. For the event contract to resolve to “yes,” general access to the model must be restored to U.S. customers.

Access to Fable 5 was disabled after the U.S. government told Anthropic to suspend access to the technology for any foreign national, whether inside the country or outside of it. To ensure compliance, Anthropic disabled the model for all of its customers. 

The decision came just days after the company announced Fable 5. Anthropic previously tussled with President Donald Trump’s administration when the Department of Defense in March labeled the company a supply chain risk.

Traders’ bullishness comes after Anthropic reportedly met with the Trump administration on Monday to discuss the model. It is not yet clear if that meeting yielded any progress between the two parties.

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On Polymarket, traders place 67% odds access is restored to U.S. customers by July 1.

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Tokenized RWA Market Tops $43B, According to Token Terminal

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Tokenized RWA Market Tops $43B, According to Token Terminal

The market for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) continues to expand despite broader weakness in crypto markets, with the value of onchain financial assets climbing sharply over the past six months as traditional financial products migrate onto blockchain rails.

According to Token Terminal, tokenized assets now exceed $43 billion in market value, up roughly 37% over the past 180 days.

The figures exceed those reported by other industry trackers, most notably RWA.xyz, which values the combined RWA market at less than $33 billion. The discrepancy likely reflects methodological differences, with Token Terminal including a broader range of tokenized financial assets.

Tokenized funds dominate the sector, accounting for nearly 80% of total market capitalization. Commodities rank a distant second at 16.6%, followed by tokenized stocks at 3.8%.

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Source: Token Terminal

Ethereum remains the leading blockchain for tokenized assets, hosting 57.8% of total value. BNB Chain accounts for 8.5%, followed by zkSync Era (7.5%), XRP Ledger (5.8%) and Stellar (5.4%), reflecting the sector’s gradual expansion beyond Ethereum.

Sky is the largest issuer with $6.1 billion in tokenized assets, followed by Securitize and Ondo Finance at $3.6 billion each, according to Token Terminal.

Related: Crypto Biz: SpaceX fuels tokenization’s next boom

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Tokenization moves beyond Treasurys

Tokenization has gained mainstream attention as major financial institutions embrace blockchain-based infrastructure. Earlier this week, Standard Chartered initiated coverage of Uniswap, arguing that the decentralized exchange’s UNI token could appreciate 40-fold by 2030 as tokenized assets increasingly migrate onchain.

The bank projects the decentralized finance sector will grow to $2.7 trillion over the same period, driven largely by the expansion of tokenized financial products.

Source: Frank Chaparro

Citigroup has also turned bullish on tokenization, projecting that the market will reach $5.5 trillion by 2030 in its base case and up to $8.2 trillion in a bull scenario. 

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The bank argues the industry is moving beyond the pilot stage as regulatory clarity improves. Citi identified the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq integrating tokenization into core issuance processes as key catalysts for growth.

Stablecoins, which are often excluded from tokenization metrics, are expected to be a major driver of sector growth. Source: Citi

While tokenized funds and private credit continue to dominate the market, tokenized equities are gaining traction through platforms such as Ondo Markets and xStocks. The trend reflects a broader shift within the industry, with Binance Research recently concluding that RWA growth is becoming more diversified.

“2026 marks RWA tokenization’s maturation from a Treasury-dominated narrative into a diversified yield ecosystem,” Binance Research said in a report earlier this month.

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Related: JPMorgan, Citi-backed Clearing House plans tokenized deposit network in 2027: WSJ

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American Indian tribes want Kalshi and Polymarket off their land

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American Indian tribes want Kalshi and Polymarket off their land

A coalition of American Indian tribes is seeking to block prediction market Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) from undermining gaming laws on Indian land.

The legal challenge is made up of a series of amicus briefs filed this month by the “Tribal Amici,” a legal body consisting of 30 federally recognized Indian tribes and 11 different Indian regulatory agencies. 

In an Amicus Brief — a brief that allows a third party outside the legal proceedings to offer their perspective on an ongoing case — filed on June 11, the Tribal Amici encouraged a court to deny Kalshi’s motion for preliminary injunction.

Meanwhile, a June 15 filing supported the State of New York’s opposition to the CFTC’s motion for a preliminary injunction.

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In both cases, the tribal coalition claims that Kalshi and the CFTC’s actions would amount “to a sub silentio reversal of congressional policy and Supreme Court precedent” and “undermine existing tribal-state gaming compacts and regulatory frameworks.”

It argues the legal action would “allow prediction markets to offer sports-betting contracts subject to their own private regulation — not state or tribal regulation — on state and tribal lands; permit prediction markets to divert gaming revenues away from tribal and state governments; and diminish tribal self-determination.”

As such, tribes are seeking to maintain the freedom to regulate prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and the recently CFTC-approved Novig, when operating within American Indian jurisdictions.

Read more: Strategy’s BTC sale sends Polymarket into disarray

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They also want to protect “vital” revenue that prediction markets are allegedly siphoning away, and which it’s claimed should be going to government services, tribal programs, and economic development aiding self-governance and self-sufficiency.

The Ohio federal court ruled against Kalshi’s 2025 lawsuit in March this year, stating that its sports event contracts aren’t “swaps.”

Kalshi is appealing this outcome and Ohio’s decision to reject the prediction market’s request for a preliminary injunction. 

Meanwhile, the CFTC sued the State of New York in April this year, claiming it infringed on its area of jurisdiction when it sued Coinbase Financial Markets and Gemini Titan over alleged gambling promotion.

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The Tribal Amici claims that the CFTC would undermine legal agreements between the New York tribes and the state that are approved by the United States and “carefully balance both tribal and state interests over the regulation of tribal gaming in New York.”

Prediction markets are wrangling with state lawmakers across America. This week, Polymarket joined Kalshi in filing a lawsuit against the state of Minnesota and its prediction market ban that comes into effect in August. 

The CFTC is also considering classifying contracts involving terrorism, assassinations, war, gaming, or illegal activity as illegal and against the public interest.

All of this is happening while prediction markets are processing billions of dollars worth of funds on the back of sports contracts during the World Cup. 

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Bloomberg reports that Kalshi has already processed $5.1 billion in notional trading volume during the World Cup, while crypto analysts claim Polymarket attracted $1.6 billion in a single week.

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