Connect with us

Crypto World

Bitcoin trades like growth assets today, Gold tomorrow

Published

on

Grayscale: Bitcoin trades like growth assets today, gold tomorrow - 1

In its latest Market Byte research note, Grayscale Investments highlights a meaningful shift in Bitcoin’s price behavior. Recent BTC trading patterns resemble growth assets more closely than safe-haven commodities like gold, challenging the long-standing “digital gold” narrative.

Summary

  • Bitcoin is trading more like a growth asset than gold, with recent price action closely tracking high-growth software stocks and broader risk assets, according to Grayscale.
  • Near-term BTC moves are being driven by risk sentiment, not store-of-value demand, limiting its effectiveness as a hedge during equity market drawdowns.
  • Grayscale maintains a long-term bullish thesis, arguing Bitcoin could eventually evolve into a gold-like monetary asset with lower volatility and weaker equity correlations if adoption continues.

According to the report’s key takeaways, Bitcoin’s (BTC) sharp move lower in early February — where the price dipped to around $60,000 on February 5 before a modest bounce — was driven by correlation with broader risk assets rather than traditional store-of-value flows.

Advertisement

Grayscale’s research shows Bitcoin’s price movements have tracked high-growth software stocks closely, especially since early 2024, with both falling in sync during recent sell-offs.

Grayscale: Bitcoin trades like growth assets today, gold tomorrow - 1
Bitcoin price moving closely with software stocks | Source: Grayscale

This behavior ushows Bitcoin’s sensitivity to market sentiment and cyclical risk appetite, similar to technology or growth equity performance during sell-offs.

What this means for Bitcoin traders

For traders, this means treating BTC more like a beta-driven risk asset in the near term. Rather than acting as a hedge during turbulent markets, Bitcoin has recently declined alongside broader speculative assets and failed to demonstrate the safe-haven characteristics typically associated with gold.

This shift has practical implications for portfolio construction and risk management. Traditional strategies that lean on Bitcoin as a hedge against macro uncertainty or inflation may be less effective when BTC behaves in sync with growth asset risk cycles.

Grayscale stresses that Bitcoin has not yet achieved gold-like status as a monetary asset, and that gap is central to the investment thesis.

Advertisement

However, in a future economy shaped by AI agents, humanoid robots, and tokenized capital markets, the firm argues a digital, blockchain-based commodity like Bitcoin is better suited to become the dominant store of value than physical assets such as gold or silver.

Grayscale: Bitcoin trades like growth assets today, gold tomorrow - 2
In longer term, Bitcoin’s returns could look less like growth and more like gold | Source: Grayscale

Grayscale adds that if Bitcoin succeeds in this role over the long term, its return profile could eventually shift. Price behavior may begin to resemble gold rather than growth stocks, marked by lower volatility, weaker equity correlations, and more stable — though lower — expected returns.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Extreme FUD Persists on Social Media Despite BTC’s $60K Dip Recovery

Published

on

FUD Takes Over Crypto Social Media in Retail Selloff: Santiment 


Extreme FUD lingers after Bitcoin’s $60,000 rebound, with bearish social sentiment outweighing bullish posts.

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped back below $67,000 on Wednesday, February 11, extending a volatile stretch that began with last week’s drop to $60,000.

Despite that rebound from the lows, social data shows fear remains elevated, with traders split over whether the worst of the sell-off is over.

Advertisement

Social Sentiment Stays Bearish as Volatility Spikes

Data shared by on-chain analytics firm Santiment shows a high ratio of bearish to bullish posts even after Bitcoin recovered from its $60,000 dip. According to the firm, retail traders seem hesitant to buy at current levels, while larger holders are facing less resistance in accumulating during periods of fear.

Santiment added that, historically, rebounds have often followed spikes in fear, though it did not claim this guarantees a bottom.

Meanwhile, short-term price action is still fragile, with market watcher Ash Crypto reporting that Bitcoin’s fall below $67,000 had liquidated roughly $127 million in long positions within four hours.

At the time of writing, market data from CoinGecko showed BTC trading around the $66,700 region, down about 3% in the last 24 hours and nearly 13% on the week. Over the past 30 days, the flagship cryptocurrency has fallen more than 27%, and it remains 47% below its October 2025 all-time high.

Advertisement

The 24-hour range between $66,600 and $69,900 is a reflection of ongoing intraday swings, while weekly price action has spanned from about $62,800 to $76,500, showing just how unstable conditions are.

You may also like:

Volatility metrics support that view, with Binance data cited by Arab Chain analysts showing that Bitcoin’s seven-day annualized volatility has climbed to around 1.51, its highest reading since 2022. However, 30-day and 90-day measures remain lower at 0.81 and 0.56, suggesting recent turbulence has not yet evolved into a sustained high-volatility regime. According to the analysts, the average true range as a percentage sits near 0.075, which historically has been a compressed level that often comes right before a larger directional move.

Bear Market Comparisons Resurface

An earlier report this week noted that Bitcoin has closed three consecutive weeks below its 100-week moving average, a pattern seen in previous bear markets. CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju wrote on February 9 that “Bitcoin is not pumpable right now,” arguing that selling pressure is limiting upside follow-through.

Other commentators, including Doctor Profit, have described the current structure as a wide consolidation range between $57,000 and $87,000, warning that sideways trading could precede another leg lower.

Advertisement

Furthermore, macro data is adding to the cautious tone, with XWIN Research Japan writing that weaker U.S. retail sales and easing wage growth mean that consumption is slowing, which may weigh on risk assets in the short term. The firm also noted a persistently negative Coinbase Premium Gap since late 2025, suggesting there’s weak U.S. spot demand compared to derivatives-driven activity.

Yet not all industry voices are focused solely on price cycles, with WeFi’s Maksym Sakharov saying he believes Bitcoin sentiment will eventually strengthen despite falling prices, but for different reasons than in past rallies.

“I believe Bitcoin sentiment will turn even stronger despite the falling prices, but this time it won’t be only about price or speculation, but also about real adoption,” Sakharov said.

In the meantime, BTC is sitting in a narrow zone between fear-driven pessimism and technical support near $60,000, with traders watching whether high volatility resolves higher or breaks lower in the weeks ahead.

SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: Use this link to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Franklin Templeton to Let Tokenized Money Funds Back Binance Trades

Published

on

Franklin Templeton to Let Tokenized Money Funds Back Binance Trades

Global investment manager Franklin Templeton announced the launch of an institutional off‑exchange collateral program with Binance that lets clients use tokenized money market fund (MMF) shares to back trading activity while the underlying assets remain in regulated custody. 

According to a Wednesday news release shared with Cointelegraph, the framework is intended to reduce counterparty risk by reflecting collateral balances inside Binance’s trading environment, rather than moving client assets onto the exchange.

​Eligible institutions can pledge tokenized MMF shares issued via Franklin Templeton’s Benji Technology Platform as collateral for trading on Binance. 

The tokenized fund shares are held off‑exchange by Ceffu Custody, a digital asset custodian licensed and supervised in Dubai, while their collateral value is mirrored on Binance to support trading positions.​

Advertisement

Franklin Templeton said the model was designed to let institutions earn yield on regulated money market fund holdings while using the same assets to support digital asset trading, without giving up existing custody or regulatory protections. 

Related: Franklin Templeton expands Benji tokenization platform to Canton Network

“Our off‑exchange collateral program is just that: letting clients easily put their assets to work in regulated custody while safely earning yield in new ways,” said Roger Bayston, head of digital assets at Franklin Templeton, in the release.​

Franklin Templeton and Binance Collaboration. Source: Franklin Templeton

The initiative builds on a strategic collaboration between Binance and Franklin Templeton announced in 2025 to develop tokenization products that combine regulated fund structures with global trading infrastructure. 

Off‑exchange collateral to cut counterparty risk

​The design mirrors other tokenized real‑world asset collateral models in crypto markets. BlackRock’s BUIDL tokenized US Treasury fund, issued by Securitize, for example, is also accepted as trading collateral on Binance, as well as other platforms, including Crypto.com and Deribit.

Advertisement

That model allows institutional clients to post a low-volatility, yield‑bearing instrument instead of idle stablecoins or more volatile tokens.

Other issuers and venues, including WisdomTree’s WTGXX and Ondo’s OUSG, are exploring similar models, with tokenized bond and short‑term credit funds increasingly positioned as onchain collateral in both centralized and decentralized markets.

Related: WisdomTree’s USDW stablecoin to pay dividends on tokenized assets

Regulators flag cross‑border tokenization risks

Despite the trend of using tokenized MMFs as collateral, global regulators have warned that cross‑border tokenization structures can introduce new risks. 

Advertisement

The International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) has cautioned that tokenized instruments used across multiple jurisdictions may exploit differences between national regimes and enable regulatory arbitrage if oversight and supervisory cooperation do not keep pace.

Cointelegraph asked Franklin Templeton how the tokenized MMF shares are regulated and protected and how the model was stress‑tested for extreme scenarios, but had not received a reply by publication.

Magazine: Getting scammed for 100 Bitcoin led Sunny Lu to create VeChain