Business
AI infrastructure and data centre plays could be the next big theme: Atul Suri
Speaking to ET Now, Suri argued that while the narrative around India remains subdued and investor sentiment continues to be cautious, market behaviour itself is sending a more constructive signal.
Markets Holding Ground Despite Negative Sentiment
According to Suri, one of the most encouraging signs is that Indian markets have stopped making fresh lows despite facing a steady stream of negative news.”One thing that I am noticing is that the market is not making new lows.”
He pointed out that after falling to around 22,000 in March, the benchmark index rebounded to 24,500 before settling near 24,000. In his view, this suggests the market is attempting to build a base rather than entering a deeper correction.
Suri identified 24,500 on the Nifty as a crucial level.
“For me, the level that I will watch out for, where a breakout would actually tell me that we could make a move towards new lifetime highs, would be 24,500.”
A breakout above that mark, he believes, could pave the way for a move towards 26,500 and potentially fresh record highs.
Falling Crude Adds to Market Comfort
A major factor supporting his outlook is the decline in crude oil prices.
Suri noted that crude had been one of the biggest concerns for the Indian market, but prices are now easing rapidly. He expects crude to settle in the $65-$70 range, levels that prevailed when Indian equities were nearing record highs.
Combined with supportive measures from the Reserve Bank of India and improving currency dynamics, he sees enough triggers in place for markets to regain momentum.
Banking Stocks Emerging as Leaders
When asked where the next leg of market strength could come from, Suri was unequivocal: banks.
He highlighted the strong performance of the Bank Nifty, which is already close to breaking past its previous highs.
“I can clearly see leadership in banks.”
Given the sector’s heavy weightage in benchmark indices, a sustained rally in banking stocks could have a significant impact on the broader market.
He also observed that the information technology sector appears to be stabilising after an extended correction.
“They are not making new 52-week lows. They are forming a base.”
The Hidden Theme: Data Centre Infrastructure
While benchmark indices have struggled to generate excitement, Suri believes several niche themes are quietly creating wealth beneath the surface.
One area that particularly stands out is the ecosystem surrounding data centres.
India may not have direct exposure to global artificial intelligence leaders or large language model developers, but companies supplying critical infrastructure to data centres are seeing growing demand.
“Companies that are suppliers to data centres, you will notice that a lot of those stocks are moving higher.”
These opportunities are largely concentrated in the midcap segment, which helps explain why midcap indices continue to outperform larger benchmarks.
Suri pointed to sectors such as wires and cables, cooling systems and electronic manufacturing as beneficiaries of this trend.
“There is a concept, there is a theme and that is how it is playing out.”
Midcaps Tell a Different Story
The divergence between large-cap and mid-cap performance remains one of the defining features of the current market.
According to Suri, many established large-cap companies are delivering only modest earnings growth, while a number of mid-sized businesses are undergoing transformational journeys.
“There is a lot of good-to-great journey that is happening in the Indian midcap space.”
This, he says, explains why the midcap index is behaving very differently from the broader benchmark indices.
Industrial Metals Preferred Over Gold and Silver
Suri also weighed in on commodities, suggesting that investors may be looking in the wrong place.
After the sharp rally in precious metals over the past year, he believes gold and silver may struggle to generate substantial upside from current levels.
“I personally do not think that silver and gold can make massive up moves.”
Instead, he remains bullish on industrial metals such as copper, zinc and aluminium, which are expected to benefit from global electrification trends and infrastructure spending linked to artificial intelligence and data centre expansion.
“I feel very-very bullish on these industrial metals.”
Liquidity Remains Strong Despite FII Uncertainty
Foreign institutional investor flows remain the biggest unanswered question for the market.
Suri admitted that investors and market participants continue to debate the reasons behind FII underweight positions in India, with explanations ranging from valuations and China to the global AI investment boom.
However, he believes domestic flows remain a powerful source of stability. While growth in SIP inflows has moderated, the trend has not reversed. “It has kind of plateaued out, which also is very good because that is not crisis.”
Narratives Can Change Quickly
Perhaps Suri’s strongest message was that market narratives are often temporary.
He cited examples such as Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, all of which were once ignored by investors before rapidly becoming market favourites. “The narrative is against India.” Yet he believes that can change much faster than investors expect.
“Money chases momentum. The moment you start seeing momentum in India, suddenly all the same guys who are underweighting India for all multiple reasons will say we bought at the low.”
For now, Suri sees a market lacking excitement rather than one lacking opportunity. While benchmark indices remain trapped in a range, leadership is emerging in banks, select midcaps and infrastructure plays tied to the AI and data centre build-out. If the Nifty can decisively clear 24,500, he believes the next chapter of the bull market could begin sooner than many expect.
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Acting Labor Sec presses governors to target unemployment insurance fraud
Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Check out what’s clicking on FoxNews.com.
FIRST ON FOX — Acting U.S. Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling is sending letters to the governors of 53 U.S. states and territories demanding “immediate action” to combat fraud, waste and abuse within the unemployment insurance program.
“In the letters, the department announced its intent to crack down on rampant fraud and end mismanagement, improper payments, and corruption within the UI program. Acting Secretary Sonderling notified states that, in partnership with the Office of the Inspector General, the department will use every available enforcement tool — including withholding administrative funds from states for the first time in history — to ensure compliance in protecting UI system integrity and safeguarding taxpayer dollars,” a statement obtained by FOX Business reads.
“We are officially putting governors on notice,” Sonderling said in a statement. “The American people will no longer tolerate the blatant waste, fraud, and abuse of their hard-earned tax dollars — no state should allow it either. If states allow it, they will suffer the consequences. This department is no longer afraid to use every lever available to ensure taxpayer money is protected.”
This is a developing story. Please check back for updates.
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Vedanta Iron and Steel shares rally 16% in 3 days as Azim Premji-backed fund buys shares worth Rs 102 crore
PI Opportunities AIF V LLP, an investment arm of Premji Invest, which is owned by Indian billionaire businessman and Wipro Chairman Azim Premji, bought nearly 4.84 crore shares worth Rs 101.68 crore at Rs 21.02 apiece through a bulk deal on Monday.
Among the four Vedanta Group companies listed on Monday, Vedanta Iron and Steel has emerged as the top performer so far, adding more than Rs 1,255 crore to its market capitalisation in just three trading sessions.
The stock debuted at Rs 20 apiece on the NSE, valuing the company at around Rs 7,821 crore at listing. Following the recent rally, its market capitalisation has risen to Rs 9,076 crore as of Wednesday.
Also read: Vedanta Iron & Steel shares list at Rs 22 on BSE as mega demerger concludes
Vedanta Aluminium, the only large-cap stock among the four companies that listed on Monday, hit the 5% lower circuit for the third consecutive session on Wednesday, taking its losses to more than 14% since its market debut. Vedanta Power shares have declined around 2% from their listing price, while Vedanta Oil & Gas also hit the 5% lower circuit for the third straight session, falling over 14% since debut.
Vedanta Iron & Steel has operations across India and Africa and focuses on iron ore exploration, mining and processing. The company also produces high-quality steel, wire rods, TMT bars, pig iron, ductile iron (DI) pipes, ferro-silicon, cement and metallurgical coke.
Also read: 4 new Vedanta Group stocks debut on Dalal Street. What’s ahead?
About Vedanta demerger
In April, Vedanta had announced that each eligible shareholder would receive one share in each of the four demerged entities — Vedanta Aluminium, Vedanta Power, Vedanta Oil & Gas and Vedanta Iron & Steel — for every Vedanta share held as of the record date, May 1.
While Vedanta’s share price had already adjusted to reflect the restructuring, investors were eagerly awaiting the listing of the four spun-off companies. The stocks have initially been placed in the Trade-to-Trade (T2T) segment, where every transaction results in compulsory delivery.
Also read: Vedanta to be removed from MSCI Global Standard Indexes from June 22
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Business
Vedanta Aluminium shares tumble 14% in 3 days since listing. What’s dampening the shine of Vedanta’s new crown jewel?
Vedanta Aluminium Metal shares remained locked in the lower circuit at Rs 447.56 apiece on Wednesday. The shares debuted at Rs 522 apiece on NSE on Monday after a special pre-open session. The largecap company’s market capitalisation at debut stood at more than Rs 2 lakh crore, surpassing parent Vedanta’s total market capitalisation. Its market cap has now fallen to Rs 1.75 lakh crore.
Also read: Vedanta Aluminium lists at Rs 527 on BSE after demerger
Is Vedanta Aluminium the new ‘crown jewel’ of Vedanta?
Before the market debut, ICICI Direct said that Vedanta Aluminium stood out as the most attractive entity. “This is supported by its strong contribution to group revenues and margins, along with favourable industry dynamics such as tight global supply, elevated aluminium prices, and ongoing capacity expansions driving volume growth,” it added.
ICICI Securities was also the most bullish on the aluminium business, saying the Iran-US conflict could result in a larger-than-expected aluminium supply deficit. It called Vedanta Aluminium, the group’s new “crown jewel”.
Also read: Why Vedanta’s aluminium business is the undisputed crown jewel of the mega 4-way demerger
Vedanta Aluminium Metal is the largest aluminium producer in India, as well as in the US, Europe, the Middle East, Australia and Africa, according to the company. It produced more than half of India’s aluminium at 2.42 million tonnes in FY25, its website said. It operates a 5 MTPA alumina refinery in Odisha’s Kalahandi district, along with the world’s largest aluminium plant at Jharsuguda, Odisha, with a 1.85 MTPA capacity. It also operates Bharat Aluminium Company Limited (BALCO) in Chhattisgarh.
ICRA recently removed the long-term rating of Vedanta Aluminium Limited (VAML) from “watch with developing implications,” following greater clarity on the allocation of assets and liabilities under Vedanta Limited’s ongoing demerger scheme, as well as the support framework across group entities. ICRA also upgraded the rating and assigned a stable outlook to the long-term rating.
Also read: Vedanta Aluminium vs Vedanta Power; Which can give investors better wealth in Rs 2 lakh crore demerger play
Why are Vedanta Aluminium shares falling?
The sharp drop in Vedanta Aluminium’s share price comes amid falling aluminium prices after Iran and US agreed to a peace deal. US President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that the much-awaited agreement has been finalised, following which global stock markets rallied, with Dalal Street being no exception.
Aluminium producers from the Middle East typically account for nearly 9% of global supply, and the suppliers use the narrow 33-kilometre waterway connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman to ship their metal to global markets and import raw materials. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz may lead to further downturn in aluminium prices, which can bear an impact on the Indian aluminium producers.
How are the other newly-listed Vedanta stocks performing?
The shares of Vedanta Iron and Steel jumped 5% to hit the upper circuit for the third consecutive session on Wednesday, rallying over 16% since listing. Vedanta Power shares have fallen around 2% from its listing price, while those of Vedanta Oil and Gas hit the 5% lower circuit for the third straight session, falling over 14% since market debut.
Also read: Vedanta demerger unlocks 20% value; Aluminium arm becomes most valuable
(With inputs from agencies)
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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Shares reverse early losses as oil slide continues
Australia’s share market has clutched a fourth straight session of gains, buoyed by miners as oil prices extended losses with more details of the US-Iran peace deal emerging.
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