Crypto World
Bitcoin, Bonds, and Stocks Enter a Dangerous September Pattern
September has a bad reputation on Wall Street, especially during US midterm election years. Across the last 10 midterm cycles, the average stock-market low arrived on September 2.
By the time stocks reached those lows, they had fallen an average 16.77% from their previous high.
Bitcoin is entering the same period near $77,500, while US stocks remain close to record highs and long-term bond yields stay unusually elevated. The question now is whether 2026 follows the old pattern.
Midterm Lows Cluster in Early September
Hartford Funds studied 10 US midterm election years between 1986 and 2022. Every one saw stocks suffer a sizeable drop from their yearly high.
The damage varied enormously. Stocks fell 33.75% in 2002, while the biggest drop in 2014 was just 7.40%. The actual lows also occurred at very different points in the year.
So September 2 is a historical average, not a deadline for the next crash. And so far, 2026 has refused to follow the usual script.
The Fed is Debating a Rate Hike, Not a Cut
The macro setup has flipped since the spring, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh using his first Jackson Hole speech on Friday to put prices first.
His own figures explain why, as the Fed chair said the PCE price index rose 3.7% over 12 months, while the six-month pace ran hotter at 4.1%. Inflation is not just high, it is accelerating.
Bonds add credence to the outlook, with the 30-year Treasury yield touching 5.28% on August 21 and closing August 26 at 5.17%. As of this writing, it stood at $5.20, with the effective fed funds rate at only 3.63%.
Fed presidents Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan already voted for a hike in July. The minutes showed officials fear repeated supply shocks keep delaying inflation’s return to target.
Kalshi traders now put September Fed hike odds at 53%, against roughly 48% for a hold.
Bitcoin Meets the Calendar at $80,000
Bitcoin just booked its record weekly dollar gain, adding $14,775 as spot ETF buying hit its fastest pace since October 2025. The rally then stalled at Bitcoin’s $80,000 ceiling.
BTC still trades 37% below its $126,080 peak from October 6, 2025. The wider crypto market slipped 0.80% on Friday to about $2.66 trillion.
Precedent argues for caution, because the last time the Fed tightened into a midterm autumn, Bitcoin’s last hiking cycle dragged it down roughly 65% to a $15,500 low in November 2022.
Meanwhile, dealer hedging offers a thin floor, as the SPY, the fund tracking the S&P 500, traded at $770.20 against a gamma flip at $767. Below that line, hedging stops cushioning drops and starts feeding them.
Still, the record cuts both ways because across those same 10 midterm cycles, the S&P 500 gained 27.80% on average in the year after the low.
The question is whether Bitcoin has to find that low first.
The post Bitcoin, Bonds, and Stocks Enter a Dangerous September Pattern appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Avici attack drains over $1M from Solana users
An ongoing attack against Solana-based crypto card platform Avici has reportedly drained more than $1 million from user collateral accounts while sending its AVICI token to an all-time low.
Summary
- The suspected attacker held 10,005 SOL and about $11,600 in stablecoins at one checkpoint.
- On-chain records showed repeated calls that added an administrator before collateral withdrawals.
- Avici acknowledged a card balance withdrawal issue but did not confirm the reported loss.
- AVICI fell 49.4% within 24 hours and touched a record low of $0.2175.
Avici attacker adds administrators before withdrawals
According to reports, the suspected attacker had collected 10,005.03 SOL, worth about $1.07 million at 18:58 UTC, along with approximately $11,600 in USDC and USDT. Its analysis was based on Solana transaction logs and RPC data gathered while the attack was still underway.
The wallet received its initial funding through deBridge at 13:40 UTC, when 1.79 SOL arrived from another network. After remaining inactive for about three hours, the address made its first call involving Avici’s programs at 16:49:48 UTC.
Transaction logs reviewed by the publication showed the same three-step process across affected accounts. First, the wallet called SubmitSignatures through Avici’s authorization program in a transaction that also used Solana’s Ed25519 signature verification program.
Next, the attacker called AddCollateralAdmin on Avici’s collateral program, registering an additional administrator for the user’s account. A final WithdrawCollateralAsset call then transferred the collateral to an account controlled by the attacker.
In one reviewed transaction, the withdrawal instruction moved 2,346.77 USDT from a user’s collateral account. The attacker also converted some of the collected stablecoins into SOL, including one swap that returned 209.76 SOL.
By the publication’s checkpoint, the wallet had signed 14,672 transactions, of which 2,344 had failed. Its SOL holdings increased by about 2,595 tokens, then worth approximately $277,000, during an 11-minute period.
Anonymous on-chain analyst STACC also created a live tracker for the affected transfers. According to figures cited from the tracker, 125 sending accounts had been identified, with individual transfers ranging from approximately 9 USDC to more than 26,000 USDT.
Neither Avici nor an independent security company has published a post-mortem identifying how the attacker obtained authorization. Although the transaction sequence shows how funds moved, it does not establish whether the incident resulted from a program flaw, compromised credentials, an exposed signing authority, or another failure.
Avici confirms card withdrawal issue
Avici acknowledged the incident in an X post published about one hour and 53 minutes after the first reported transaction involving its programs.
“We’re aware of an issue affecting card balance withdrawals and are closely monitoring the situation.”
The company added that it was working directly with relevant partners and would provide updates once more information became available. Avici did not call the incident an exploit, confirm how much had been taken or state how many customers were affected.
Several other questions also remain unanswered, including whether the activity has stopped, whether Avici has paused its programs, and whether affected users will receive compensation. The company has not disclosed whether any signing keys or administrative accounts were compromised.
Users had reported missing balances on social media before Avici released its statement. One user notably said their entire Avici balance had been drained while they waited for information from the project.
The incident concerns Avici’s card collateral and authorization programs rather than the Solana network itself. No available report has identified a vulnerability in Solana’s underlying blockchain.
Both Avici programs were upgradeable and shared the same upgrade authority, according to reports. The authority was reportedly a standard Solana account rather than a multisignature account, although no evidence has yet shown that the upgrade authority caused or enabled the withdrawals.
Operational controls have received increased attention as attacks move beyond flaws contained in smart contract code. In July, crypto.news reported security findings showing that compromised keys, signers and infrastructure accounted for 88.3% of roughly $764 million stolen during the second quarter of 2026. The Hacken report cited in the article found that only 4% of tracked projects combined audits, active bug bounties, and third-party monitoring.
Avici attack challenges its self-custody claims
Avici describes its product as a self-custodial wallet connected to a secured Visa credit card. Its Apple App Store listing states that users remain in control and that Avici never holds their funds.
Under the card model, customers deposit crypto into collateral accounts and receive a corresponding credit limit. Purchases reduce the available card balance, while the related collateral is later used for settlement.
The reported ability to add another administrator and remove unspent collateral raises questions about how Avici’s authorization controls enforce its advertised self-custody model. A technical finding will require Avici or an independent security company to explain why the attacker’s signature submissions were accepted.
Avici’s documentation identifies Rain as a partner involved in its card service. Rain supplies stablecoin payment infrastructure and works with licensed institutions to issue cards connected to Visa and Mastercard. Available transaction analysis points to Avici’s Solana programs, and neither Avici nor Rain has said that Rain’s or Visa’s systems were compromised.
The distinction is important for users because a self-custodial payment product is supposed to keep unspent assets under the wallet owner’s control. Tangem introduced a similar model in November 2025, with on-chain USDC spending through a virtual Visa card while users retained custody of their funds.
Payment infrastructure has also faced separate wallet-related incidents. In July, on-chain analysts identified suspicious outflows exceeding $9.7 million from wallets linked to stablecoin payment provider Triple-A across networks including Solana, Ethereum, TRON and TON. Triple-A had not confirmed whether customer assets were involved when the report was published.
AVICI falls 49% to an all-time low
AVICI dropped 49.4% over 24 hours to $0.2175 as reports of the withdrawals spread, according to CoinGecko data cited at the time. The selloff reduced the token’s market capitalization to approximately $2.84 million and pushed its price to a record low.
Trading volume reached about $656,543 during the same 24-hour period. Most AVICI trading occurred through MetaDAO’s futarchy automated market maker, while LBank, KCEX and MEXC accounted for the remaining reported activity.
CoinGecko lists AVICI’s record high at $7.56, reached on Nov. 26, 2025. The incident-day low left the token approximately 97% below that peak.
Avici Inc. is a US company that lists a San Francisco address on its website, while its privacy policy identifies it as a Delaware corporation. The platform also provides separate card terms for US customers, creating direct exposure for eligible American users of its wallet and secured card services.
The company raised $3.5 million through a capped MetaDAO token sale in October 2025. MetaDAO’s fundraising record shows that 7,352 contributors committed approximately $34.23 million, but Avici returned about 89.8% of the pledged USDC after applying the sale cap.
The offering priced AVICI at $0.35 and valued the project at approximately $4.52 million on a fully diluted basis. Avici issued 10 million tokens through the sale, representing about 77.5% of its 12.9 million-token supply.
Crypto World
The Bond Market’s Supply and Demand Problem
Government debt-service costs rising relative to government revenue to unacceptably squeeze out spending.
The supply of government debt becoming too large relative to demand for it, causing long-term interest rates to rise faster than short-term rates.
The government treasury shortening the maturity of its debt sales to reduce the supply of bond sales.
The currency weakening, particularly relative to hard asset storeholds of wealth such as gold.
With a further lag, higher interest rates hurting the prices of other investment assets like stocks and real estate, and, after another lag, hurting the economy and creating credit problems.
Central banks “printing” money and credit, purchasing bonds, and guaranteeing debt.
Central Banks incurring large losses and monetizing their own debt.
Late in the cycle, governments adopting more extraordinary measures to manage the growing mismatch between their debt offering and debt service obligations and their available financing. These measures can take the form of: shutting down banks or forcing bank mergers because the banks’ losses and lack of liquid funds make fully paying their depositors’ withdrawals impossible; unusual financial supports for systemically important companies; the establishment of capital controls to prevent money from leaving the country; and the outlawing of hard asset monies such as gold.
The process reaches a breaking point when debt service crowds out essential spending, bond supply overwhelms demand and pushes interest rates higher, or central-bank money creation becomes excessive and undermines the value of the currency.
Crypto World
HyENA shuts down after processing $4B in trades
HyENA has announced plans to close every market between Aug. 31 and Sept. 2 after processing more than $4 billion in trades for over 12,000 users.
Summary
- HyENA will remove one market each hour from Aug. 31 through Sept. 2.
- Open positions will settle automatically, while margin will return to users’ spot balances.
- HLPe depositors can redeem their holdings and earned rewards through Upshift at a 1:1 rate.
- HyENA generated nearly 2.5 million USDe in rewards but will not issue a token.
HyENA will remove markets over three days
HyENA said in an Aug. 28 shutdown announcement that it would stop operating after changes in Hyperliquid’s stablecoin setup reduced the opportunity for USDe-backed margin products.
The platform will begin delisting markets on Aug. 31 and complete the process on Sept. 2. Rather than closing every contract at once, HyENA will remove one market per hour throughout the scheduled period.
Users do not have to close their positions manually before each delisting, according to the announcement. Once a market is removed, its mark price will move toward the one-hour weighted average of the relevant oracle price before the remaining positions settle automatically.
Margin released through that process will return to each trader’s spot balance. HyENA said user funds are not at risk during the closure, although traders may still choose to exit positions before their respective markets reach the settlement stage.
“User funds are safe,” the team said, adding that the planned process is designed to let customers withdraw their assets without requiring manual settlement.
HyENA has handled more than $4 billion in cumulative trading volume since launch, according to the team. Over 12,000 traders used the platform, while holders of USDe margin received almost 2.5 million USDe in rewards.
Built by the Based team, HyENA used Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 system to offer perpetual contracts with Ethena’s USDe serving as margin. The design allowed traders to keep margin in USDe and receive rewards while using the same capital to support open derivatives positions.
Hyperliquid’s USDC alignment reduced room for USDe
At launch, HyENA operated during a period when several dollar-linked assets were competing for a larger role within Hyperliquid. The team identified USDT, USDe, and USDH among the assets seeking use across the trading network.
Hyperliquid’s closer relationship with USDC later changed the conditions supporting HyENA’s model, the announcement said. While the team described stronger USDC integration as a reasonable course for Hyperliquid, it also said the arrangement left less room to expand USDe-based margin.
In May, Coinbase became Hyperliquid’s official USDC treasury deployer under an agreement that also made USDC an aligned quote asset across the ecosystem. As crypto.news previously reported, Hyperliquid held about $5 billion in circulating USDC at the time, roughly twice the amount recorded a year earlier.
USDC gained another defined role under the agreement, with Circle supplying cross-chain infrastructure through its Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol and Coinbase handling treasury deployment. The arrangement also gave Coinbase purchasing rights for USDH-branded assets through Native Markets.
By June 11, USDC had become Hyperliquid’s preferred stablecoin, according to a July JPMorgan research note. The bank estimated that Hyperliquid held about $6 billion in USDC, equal to roughly 8% of the stablecoin’s circulating supply.
JPMorgan also said Coinbase would return 90% of the reserve income earned from USDC held on Hyperliquid to the protocol. The bank cut earnings estimates for Coinbase and Circle after assessing how the revenue-sharing terms could affect the two companies’ stablecoin income.
The agreement provides a direct U.S. connection because Coinbase and Circle are publicly traded American companies. JPMorgan’s assessment tied Hyperliquid’s stablecoin setup to the earnings outlook for both firms, although the bank still expected USDC-related income to grow through 2027 based on its interest-rate forecast.
HIP-3 leaves settlement duties with market deployers
HyENA’s closure also shows how HIP-3 market operators can manage contracts built on Hyperliquid without the core protocol directly running each product.
Under HIP-3, independent teams may introduce perpetual markets while using Hyperliquid’s order books, margin tools and liquidation system. Deployers choose the contract, oracle, leverage limits, and settlement terms, giving each operator responsibility for managing its markets.
A May report on HIP-3 noted that the framework went live in October 2025 and requires teams to stake HYPE before creating perpetual contracts. Products launched under the framework have included synthetic markets tied to commodities, listed shares, and private companies.
More recent coverage of a sharp move in an SK Hynix-linked perpetual explained that a HIP-3 deployer supplies oracle prices, external perpetual prices, and as many as two additional mark-price inputs. Hyperliquid then combines the submitted figures with local trading data to calculate the contract’s mark price.
The same HIP-3 market controls allow deployers to halt trading, adjust open-interest limits or settle contracts. HyENA is using that settlement authority to close its remaining markets according to the published schedule.
For its shutdown, HyENA said each final mark price would converge with the one-hour weighted average of the oracle price before settlement. The method matters for traders holding leveraged positions because the final mark price will determine the value at which outstanding contracts close.
HLPe withdrawals will continue through Upshift
Alongside the market closures, HyENA said users with HLPe deposits can claim their principal and accumulated rewards through Upshift. Deposits will be redeemable at a 1:1 rate, with no withdrawal charge from HyENA and a one-day redemption period.
The final regular reward distribution took place on Aug. 27, one day before the shutdown announcement. Affiliate rewards are scheduled for their last payment on Sept. 9, after the market-removal process has finished.
Ethena ended its exchange reward program in June 2026, according to HyENA. With that campaign already closed, the platform will leave HyENA Points in their final recorded state instead of taking another snapshot.
No point conversion or distribution will occur, and the points carry no monetary value, the announcement said. Addressing possible expectations of an eventual airdrop, the team also stated that HyENA has no token and no plans to issue one.
Crypto World
A One-Time Treatment for High Cholesterol Shows Promising Results
The fact that the people in the study were able to maintain lower levels of LDL and triglycerides for up to a year means that CRISPR was able to edit enough cells in the liver, where much of the body’s cholesterol and triglycerides are produced, to give patients the benefit of having lower levels of the lipids. It also shows that these edited cells continue to produce new generations of cells that carry the CRISPR edit in AGNPTL3. People who received the highest dose of the CRISPR therapy saw levels of the ANGPTL3 enzyme drop by nearly 80%, which contributed to a drop in LDL and triglycerides of about 50%. “This is a really big step for CRISPR to show the durability of the result,” says Dr. Luke Laffin, co-director of the Center for Blood Pressure Disorders at the Cleveland Clinic and lead author of the study.
The CRISPR therapy did not cause significant side effects—and researchers did not expect it to, since people born with the defective ANGPTL3 gene don’t seem to have serious diseases either. That means the one-time therapy could potentially replace the current treatment for high LDL and triglycerides: daily statin pills. While effective, many people don’t take the pills on a daily basis for years, which lowers their effectiveness. “We could look at a situation further down the line where we are able to give people a choice,” says Laffin. In the future, if someone has a serious family history of heart disease or high cholesterol, for example, “this therapy may be an option for them where we could treat them now, edit their [liver cells], and they can continue to have a genetic defect that we know is safe and will control their cholesterol.”
Crypto World
Solana Validators Vote to Speed Up SOL Disinflation Rate
Solana validators have approved a major change to the network’s token supply schedule, voting to double the protocol’s annual disinflation rate. The decision is expected to slow future SOL issuance while preserving Solana’s long-term inflation endpoint.
Finalized results posted on Solana’s governance portal show the proposal—SGP-0002, also called “Double Disinflation”—received 67% support, with 25.16% voting against and 7.84% abstaining. Participation reached 60.7% of eligible stake, according to the finalized tally.
Key takeaways
- SGP-0002 passes with 67% support, despite notable opposition and a meaningful abstention share.
- Annual disinflation is set to rise from 15% to 30%, while the terminal inflation target remains at 1.5%.
- Solana is projected to reach 1.5% inflation faster—about 2.8 years instead of roughly 5.7 under the prior schedule.
- Lower issuance likely means less dilution for SOL holders, but staking rewards for delegators and validators may also decline.
- Large participants were split, with some major voting blocs shifting or diverging strongly from each other.
What the governance vote changes on Solana
SGP-0002 updates Solana’s disinflation mechanism by increasing the annual disinflation rate from 15% to 30%. Importantly, the proposal does not alter Solana’s long-term inflation target, which remains at 1.5%—meaning the network still aims to converge on the same terminal rate, just on a faster timeline.
According to Solana Compass, the revised schedule is expected to bring Solana to the 1.5% terminal inflation level in about 2.8 years, compared with an estimated roughly 5.7 years under the previous disinflation pace.
The same analysis estimated that the new policy would reduce issuance by about 18.9 million SOL over the next six years. That reduction is the core trade-off of “double disinflation”: potentially less token dilution over time, paired with reduced inflation-driven incentives that feed staking returns.
Numbers behind the approval: turnout and dissent
The finalized results reflect not only a clear majority in favor, but also substantial minority resistance. Per the governance tally, 25.16% of voting stake opposed the measure, while 7.84% abstained. Overall participation was 60.7% of eligible stake, a meaningful share that helped finalize the outcome.
The decision was part of Solana’s first binding governance process. Alongside SGP-0002, validators approved a proposed Solana Constitution and rejected a separate proposal related to resource and inclusion fees. The supply-rate vote therefore landed in the middle of a broader governance package rather than as a standalone change.
Big voters split—and one notable stance shifted
While the final result leaned toward approval, some of the largest governance participants were not aligned. Solana Compass noted that major participants were divided over SGP-0002. Figment—identified as the largest voter shown in the finalized governance data with 17.1 million SOL staked—voted entirely against the measure.
Other large participants reportedly took the opposite view. Helius and Jupiter, for example, backed the proposal overwhelmingly, according to the governance reporting referenced by Solana Compass.
Kraken’s voting behavior also drew attention. Solana Compass reported that Kraken’s position shifted during the vote. The US-based exchange initially voted against SGP-0002 at 12:33 UTC, which temporarily reduced support below the required threshold. By the end of voting, more than 90% of Kraken’s roughly 8.9 million SOL voting stake backed the proposal.
That kind of late re-alignment matters in binding governance systems, because threshold conditions can make outcomes sensitive to large holders’ final preferences.
Why the faster path to 1.5% matters for SOL holders
From an investor and network economics perspective, the key effect of doubling disinflation is the speed at which Solana’s inflation rate declines toward its terminal 1.5% target. A faster decline typically reduces the ongoing flow of new tokens into the market, which can lower dilution pressure for long-term SOL holders.
However, the vote also signals a change to the balance between supply control and staking incentives. Because disinflation determines the rate at which new SOL is reduced, moving to a higher disinflation schedule can correspond to lower inflation-driven rewards over time. That means delegators and validators may face a less generous reward environment relative to what the previous schedule implied.
In other words, SGP-0002 tightens the emissions profile while leaving the terminal destination unchanged—shifting the timing of rewards and token issuance rather than eliminating them outright.
Governance decision arrives alongside ETF momentum
Solana’s governance vote also landed amid continued interest in US-listed SOL exposure products, even with weaker performance for SOL earlier in the year.
According to an X post shared by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, Bitwise’s Solana ETF surpassed $1 billion in assets, becoming the first Solana ETF to reach that milestone. Balchunas also said US Solana ETFs have accumulated roughly $1.7 billion in cumulative net inflows, with little sustained outflow since their launch, based on his Friday update.
While governance changes and ETF flows aren’t directly linked, the juxtaposition highlights a broader theme: Solana is simultaneously adjusting its long-term supply mechanics and drawing continued investor capital through regulated investment channels.
Next, SOL stakeholders should watch how quickly the new schedule translates into staking economics and whether major validators and large delegators adjust their strategies in response. On the market side, the key question is whether ETF-driven demand can counterbalance any reward-related expectations shifting due to lower future issuance.
Crypto World
Solana Neobank Avici Hacked for $650,000. Token Crashes 40%
An attacker drained over $653,000 from card collateral vaults at Avici, a Solana neobank whose own documentation promised that only a user’s wallet could ever move that money.
The token Avici (AVICI) has since fallen by about 40% to $0.24. The sum taken equals close to a fifth of its entire market value.
What the Avici Exploit Broke
Avici sells a Visa credit card backed by USDC. Users lock the stablecoin in a smart contract, and spending draws it down. Third National issues the card, not Avici.
“Only user’s wallet can withdraw funds from escrow contract after deducting the spends,” the company’s documentation states, indicating who holds the keys.
On Friday, the vaults emptied anyway, with a live tracker counting $653,548 pulled out as of this writing
Self-custody set out who could not take the money. It did not remove every privileged path written into the program itself. That gap is where the funds went.
On-chain researchers say the attacker submitted a crafted signature bundle, made itself an admin on the escrow accounts, then withdrew. Avici has not confirmed that method.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
Why This Is Not a Treasury Hack
Each customer holds a separate escrow contract. So the money was left account by account. There was no single pot to empty.
It suggests a familiar pattern, such as when a Solana governance attack took $20 million from one BONK DAO treasury in a single stroke.
Associated tokens rarely shrug such incidents off, which is why the AVICI token fell almost 40%. In the same way, a bridge breach sent Midnight’s token to a record low in July.
Avici has said only that it is aware of an issue affecting card balance withdrawals. No post-mortem has followed.
The company has not said whether the remaining vaults can still be called, or whether card settlement with Third National is affected.
The post Solana Neobank Avici Hacked for $650,000. Token Crashes 40% appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
1.4M ETH Gone From Exchanges Since June as BTC Moves in Reverse
Bitcoin and Ethereum have picked up momentum over the past two weeks after months of choppy prices. Both posted significant gains during this period, and their rise has brought fresh movement to the market.
But data highlighted contrasting exchange inventory trends between the world’s two largest cryptocurrencies.
Different Exchange Trends
According to Santiment’s latest findings, there is a clear divergence in exchange balances for Ethereum and Bitcoin since June. ETH balances on exchanges fell by roughly 1.4 million coins during the period, from about 7.69 million on June 3 to 6.28 million on August 27. The outflow continued even as the leading altcoin’s price climbed. Another 275,000 coins were withdrawn after August 19, which pushed exchange holdings to their lowest level.
ETH has gained about 30% since August 16, indicating that the withdrawals happened during the price rise rather than a decline.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, moved in the opposite direction over the same 12 weeks. Santiment found that exchange balances increased by around 0.25% and remained near the upper end of their recent range. Its price, meanwhile, rose by 26%.
The relative strength has led to a bullish outlook from crypto analyst Credible Crypto, who believes Ethereum could reach $20,000 in the next few years. His thesis is based on the altcoin’s five-year trading range, its weaker performance against BTC, and the potential for capital to rotate into higher-risk assets.
Speaking on the No Bs Crypto podcast, Credible Crypto explained that ETH has traded between roughly $1,500 and $5,000 for about five years, and has reached both ends of the range several times. He considers $10,000 a basic target, as doubling the previous range high near $5,000 would take the asset to that level. A larger expansion of the range could push the price to $8,000 or $9,000 before other factors are taken into account.
This target depends heavily on Bitcoin’s performance. If it stays around $80,000 and the ETH/BTC ratio returns to its previous high of 0.156, he expects the altcoin to rise above $12,000. A BTC price of $100,000 would put ETH above $15,000, while a move beyond Bitcoin’s previous high near $126,000 could take Ethereum to $20,000 or higher.
Nine-Day Inflow Streak
On the institutional side, CryptoPotato previously reported that institutional demand has reached its strongest level since October 2025 for US-based spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. The funds have recorded nine consecutive days of inflows.
BTC funds have attracted more than $3.5 billion in capital so far, while ETH products have secured $1.66 billion.
Meanwhile, if you want to check out some major Ethereum predictions, you can take a look at our video below.
The post 1.4M ETH Gone From Exchanges Since June as BTC Moves in Reverse appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Kalshi takes legal blow in court ruling confirming state powers over prediction markets

This latest U.S. appeals court ruling sets up a rift between federal courts on event contracts, suggesting the U.S. Supreme Court may need to settle the matter.
Crypto World
Irish drug dealer’s lost wallet moves $39.56M in Bitcoin
A Bitcoin wallet linked to convicted Irish drug dealer Clifton Collins has transferred 500 BTC worth about $39.56 million to Coinbase Prime after the coins were reportedly inaccessible because their private keys had been lost.
Summary
- 500 BTC, worth approximately $39.56 million, was sent to Coinbase Prime.
- The transfer came from a group of wallets linked to Clifton Collins’ 6,000 BTC stash.
- Irish authorities had recovered 1,500 BTC from the wallet group by July.
- A Coinbase Prime deposit does not confirm that the transferred Bitcoin has been sold.
Collins-linked Bitcoin has moved to Coinbase Prime
Lookonchain said in an Aug. 28 X post that Bitcoin connected to Collins was “moving again,” with 500 BTC reaching Coinbase Prime. The blockchain tracker valued the transaction at $39.56 million when it reported the transfer.
At the stated value, each Bitcoin was worth about $79,120. Lookonchain associated the transfer with a group of wallets that once held approximately 6,000 BTC and were thought to be inaccessible after their private keys disappeared.
The blockchain data identifies movements between labeled addresses, but Lookonchain did not provide evidence that Collins personally controlled the sending wallet or directed the transaction. Irish authorities had already gained access to several wallets in the same group, making it possible that the latest activity involved seized assets under official control.
Coinbase Prime serves institutions, companies, and government agencies through custody and trade execution services. Although Bitcoin sent to the platform could be sold, the deposit alone does not show whether the coins were liquidated, placed in custody, or moved as part of an asset-management process.
No statement from Ireland’s Criminal Assets Bureau, An Garda Síochána or Europol accompanied the latest transaction at the time of Lookonchain’s report. Without an official notice, the purpose of the transfer and the party that authorized it remain unconfirmed.
How authorities recovered the lost Bitcoin
Collins acquired about 6,000 BTC in late 2011 and early 2012 with proceeds from cannabis sales, according to earlier reports cited by Irish authorities and blockchain intelligence firms. Bitcoin traded at around $5 during parts of that period, putting his estimated purchase cost near $30,000 before the holdings later rose to hundreds of millions of dollars.
Rather than keeping the balance in one place, Collins reportedly divided the coins among 12 wallets containing roughly 500 BTC each. He printed the private keys on a sheet of paper and concealed it inside the aluminum cap of a fishing rod case stored at a rented property in County Galway.
Following his arrest in 2017, the property was cleared, and the fishing equipment was believed to have been taken to a waste facility. With the paper no longer available, the Bitcoin appeared unreachable even after the assets became subject to seizure proceedings.
Access began returning in March 2026, when Irish authorities announced that they had opened one of the wallets with help from Europol’s European Cybercrime Centre. As reported in March by crypto.news, the recovered wallet held 500 BTC and sent the coins to Coinbase Prime after years without activity.
Ireland’s Criminal Assets Bureau said Europol provided “highly complex technical expertise and decryption resources” for the operation. Neither agency disclosed the method used to open the wallet, leaving the technical details of the recovery outside the public record.
A second 500 BTC wallet became accessible by May, increasing the amount recovered from the Collins-linked group to 1,000 BTC. Earlier coverage of the seizure reported that the second batch followed a different route, reaching a Binance deposit address linked by Arkham Intelligence to market maker Wintermute rather than Coinbase Prime.
Previous recoveries reached 1,500 BTC
By early July, the Criminal Assets Bureau had secured another wallet with support from Europol, taking the known recovery to 1,500 BTC. A third 500 BTC recovery reduced the amount still associated with dormant addresses to about 4,500 BTC at the time.
The bureau said its July operation again involved the European Cybercrime Centre. Europol hosted operational meetings in The Hague and supplied technical and decryption support, according to the agency’s statement cited in the earlier report.
Lookonchain separately observed a 500 BTC deposit to Coinbase Prime around the same period, valuing that transaction at approximately $30.85 million. The Aug. 28 transfer carried the same number of coins but a higher dollar value because Bitcoin was trading at a higher price.
While the latest movement may represent access to another wallet, neither Lookonchain nor an Irish agency confirmed that authorities had completed a fourth 500 BTC recovery. Counting it as an additional seizure before an official statement would therefore go beyond the available evidence.
The original structure of 12 wallets, each holding about 500 BTC, explains why the observed transactions have repeatedly appeared in equal-sized batches. Public blockchain labels can connect addresses with known entities, though such labels do not always identify the person or agency controlling the private keys at the time of a transfer.
Coinbase Prime also handles U.S. seized assets
Coinbase Prime’s role gives the story a direct point of comparison for U.S. readers because American agencies also use the platform to manage forfeited cryptocurrency. The U.S. Marshals Service selected Coinbase Prime in 2024 to provide custody and trading services for certain seized digital assets.
In July 2026, wallets attributed to the U.S. government transferred nearly $297 million in Bitcoin and Ether to the platform. The transaction included about 3,940 BTC worth $244 million and approximately 30,000 ETH valued at $53 million, according to government wallet data.
Coinbase offers custody, financing, and execution through its institutional platform, so government deposits do not establish that a sale has occurred. U.S. agencies may transfer digital assets to consolidate holdings, satisfy a court order, return funds to verified victims, or prepare assets for disposal where legally permitted.
President Donald Trump’s March 2025 executive order created a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for forfeited BTC held by the federal government. The order states that Bitcoin placed in the reserve should not be sold, while allowing agencies to follow court orders and meet restitution or law-enforcement obligations under existing law.
Ireland operates under its own asset-recovery system. The Criminal Assets Bureau pursues property considered to be proceeds of crime, while Europol can supply technical support to member states during investigations. Irish officials had not publicly identified the legal or operational purpose of the Aug. 28 Coinbase Prime transfer when Lookonchain flagged the transaction.
Crypto World
Bullish provides USD.AI $100M facility for GPU loans
Bullish has provided USD.AI with a $100 million stablecoin debt facility to fund loans secured by graphics processing units used in artificial intelligence infrastructure.
Summary
- Bullish will supply $100 million in stablecoin liquidity for GPU-backed loans.
- USD.AI offers non-recourse financing secured solely by computing hardware.
- Bullish plans to list sUSDai and support trading through a market-making program.
- Bullish shares have gained about 45% over the past month.
Bullish said in a Friday announcement that the facility will give USD.AI capital to finance operators purchasing high-performance computing equipment, extending the exchange operator’s exposure to tokenized assets and AI infrastructure.
Developed by Permian Labs, USD.AI connects stablecoin liquidity with companies seeking funds to buy GPUs. Instead of evaluating claims against a borrower’s entire business, the platform issues non-recourse loans secured by the computing hardware purchased with the financing.
Bullish Head of Tokenization Thomas Cowan said the company used USD.AI’s onchain records when assessing the facility. Bullish had already invested in the platform before agreeing to provide the new debt financing.
“Our commitment to USD.AI reflects a conviction we’ve believed since our first investment in the protocol: that credible, well-structured real-world assets belong onchain.”
Bullish facility expands USD.AI’s GPU loan capacity
Under the arrangement, USD.AI will use the $100 million facility to originate loans for middle-market AI infrastructure operators. Ownership of the financed hardware provides the collateral, while the loan does not create a claim against the operator’s other corporate assets, according to the announcement.
Such a structure separates the loan from the borrower’s main balance sheet, but repayment still depends on the income and resale value generated by the underlying computing equipment. GPUs can lose value as newer models enter the market, making loan terms, collateral checks and repayment schedules important parts of the financing process.
USD.AI has already completed large transactions involving recent Nvidia hardware. In June, the protocol announced a $98.1 million loan backed by 2,304 Nvidia B300 GPUs, while investors fully funded another $34 million facility secured by 768 Nvidia B200 units.
Combined, the two disclosed loans involved 3,072 GPUs and more than $132 million in financing. The latest Bullish facility gives the protocol another source of stablecoin liquidity as it adds loans for operators building data centers and AI computing clusters.
Permian Labs CEO David Choi said demand for computing equipment has created a distinct lending category.
“Compute is becoming a credit market in its own right,” Choi said, adding that Bullish’s facility would allow USD.AI to finance more infrastructure and develop trading markets for compute-backed debt.
According to USD.AI, its financing is settled onchain and gives capital providers exposure to loans backed by income-producing computing equipment. The company describes the funding as non-dilutive because operators do not have to surrender an ownership stake when borrowing.
sUSDai listing will create a secondary trading market
Alongside the lending facility, Bullish plans to introduce sUSDai across several trading pairs on its institutional exchange. A dedicated market-making program will provide orders for the token once trading begins, according to the companies.
USD.AI uses sUSDai as its yield-bearing token, giving holders exposure to returns generated from the protocol’s credit operations. Listing the asset would allow holders to trade the position instead of relying only on the repayment period of the underlying loans.
Bullish expects the program to improve secondary liquidity and price discovery for GPU-backed debt. The companies did not disclose the planned trading pairs, launch date or market-making budget in Friday’s announcement.
At the same time, Bullish and USD.AI are expanding a research project focused on ways to finance capital spending in the AI sector. The work will combine Bullish’s experience operating institutional markets with USD.AI’s lending structure, according to the announcement.
Tokenized exposure to computing hardware has appeared elsewhere in the crypto market. In August 2025, Injective introduced an Nvidia GPU derivatives market that allowed traders to gain exposure to rental prices for Nvidia H100 processors.
Aethir and Injective also launched a tokenized GPU marketplace in December 2024, using blockchain-based products to provide access to computing capacity. Unlike those trading and rental products, USD.AI’s model centers on secured loans issued to infrastructure operators.
Bullish deepens an existing USD.AI relationship
The $100 million facility follows Bullish Capital’s $4 million investment in USD.AI in September 2025. Cowan said onchain transparency allowed Bullish to review the protocol using the institutional underwriting standards applied elsewhere across its business.
Bullish operates spot and derivatives markets for professional investors and supplies the liquidity supporting the new facility.
In Europe, Bullish operates under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets framework as an authorized crypto asset service provider offering spot trading and custody. Its U.S. presence expanded after the company obtained a New York BitLicense in September 2025, when crypto.news reported that Bullish shares gained nearly 6% following the approval.
The license allowed Bullish to serve eligible customers in New York and arrived about one month after its public listing. Regulatory approval in the state added to the company’s U.S. operations, although Friday’s announcement did not specify whether sUSDai would be offered to American customers or describe any access limits.
Bullish stock rebounds after steep post-IPO decline
For U.S. investors, the transaction adds AI infrastructure lending to the businesses tied to NYSE-listed Bullish shares under the ticker BLSH. Any financial effect will depend on the facility’s terms, loan performance, and contribution to Bullish’s results, none of which the companies disclosed.
Bullish completed its New York Stock Exchange debut in August 2025 after pricing shares at $37. The offering raised about $1.03 billion, while the stock opened at $90 during its first trading session.
Earlier coverage of the Bullish public offering reported that the company entered the market at a valuation of about $5.4 billion after pricing above its original range. BlackRock-managed funds and accounts linked to ARK Investment Management had indicated interest in purchasing up to $200 million of stock.
Despite its recent recovery, BLSH remains more than 60% below its $90 opening price, according to Yahoo Finance data. The shares traded around $33 on Friday after gaining approximately 45% during the preceding month.
Other U.S.-traded crypto companies also advanced over the same period. Bitcoin treasury company Strive gained about 88%, Bitcoin miner Canaan rose roughly 55%, and USDC issuer Circle added close to 40%.
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