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Asia Pacific Fintech Boom Leaves Millions Behind

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Why Telco-Led Fintech Is Asia’s Most Underrated Revolution

New GSMA report maps a region of striking contrasts, where blockchain-powered payment rails and AI-driven credit scoring coexist with deep divides in access, literacy, and trust.

Key takeaways

  • Asia Pacific holds 41% of the world’s 2.1 billion mobile money accounts, yet 1.3 billion adults globally remain locked out of the formal financial system.
  • India, Cambodia and Thailand show how digital public infrastructure like UPI, Bakong and PromptPay can drive near universal payment adoption, while Pakistan and Myanmar reveal how far the inclusion frontier still stretches.
  • Closing the gender, literacy, and trust gaps, not just expanding access, will determine whether the region’s fintech boom translates into real financial health for the unbanked.

From Cambodia’s blockchain backed payment system processing transactions worth three times the country’s GDP, to Pakistan’s gender gap that still leaves millions of women outside the formal financial system, a sweeping new report from the GSMA paints a complex portrait of digital finance across Asia Pacific, a region that is simultaneously a world leader in fintech innovation and home to the largest concentration of unbanked adults on the planet.

The report, Digital Financial Services in Asia Pacific: Driving Inclusion Through Innovation, published by GSMA Intelligence in April 2026, examines twelve markets across the region and concludes that while digital financial services (DFS) have delivered transformative gains in financial inclusion, progress remains deeply uneven, shaped by regulatory ambition, infrastructure investment, and the persistent barriers of literacy, trust, and gender.

A Global Surge, Unevenly Distributed

The headline trend is unmistakably positive. According to the World Bank’s Findex 2025 study cited in the report, global account ownership climbed from 62% of adults in 2014 to 79% in 2024, a jump driven largely by the proliferation of mobile-based financial services. In low-income countries, the proportion of adults holding a mobile money account rose from just 2% a decade ago to 16% globally by the end of 2024, with the figure reaching 32% in the world’s poorest nations.

By December 2024, East Asia & Pacific and South Asia together accounted for 41% of the world’s 2.1 billion registered mobile money accounts. South Asian markets recorded a 20% year on year growth in transaction volume, while East Asia & Pacific saw a 16% increase, with transaction values of $257 billion and $238 billion, respectively.

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Yet approximately 1.3 billion adults, the majority of them in Africa and the Asia Pacific, remain entirely outside the formal financial system. And even where accounts exist, the report warns, access has not always translated into improved financial health. “Increased access to financial services has not always resulted in improved financial health,” the report states, noting that many account holders still depend on informal savings and credit and struggle to manage irregular incomes.

The economic stakes are considerable. GSMA Intelligence analysis cited in the report estimates that, as of 2023, countries with mobile money systems had GDP levels $720 billion higher than they would otherwise have been, a 1.7% uplift attributed directly to mobile money adoption.

Three Models, One Convergence

One of the report’s central analytical contributions is its mapping of the operating models that define DFS across the region. It identifies three principal types: bank-led models, where traditional financial institutions retain primary customer relationships; non-bank-led models, where mobile network operators (MNOs) and fintech firms hold the dominant position; and hybrid models, increasingly the direction of travel for the entire region.

The report documents a clear and accelerating shift toward hybrid DFS structures, driven by a convergence of government incentives to promote financial inclusion, technological advances such as AI and cloud computing, and market demand for personalised, scalable, and secure services that no single entity model can reliably deliver.

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This evolution has unfolded in four identifiable stages, from basic single-use mobile wallets offering airtime top-ups, through QR payment ecosystems and bank integrations, to fully fledged super apps and digital banks. The Philippines’ GCash, which began in 2004 as a USSD-based airtime service, and Cambodia’s Wing Bank, which evolved from a simple money transfer operator into a licensed commercial bank, exemplify how DFS providers have matured into comprehensive financial hubs within a single generation.

Country by Country: Pioneers and Laggards

The report’s twelve market profiles reveal a region that defies simple generalisations.

India stands apart as a benchmark for digital public infrastructure (DPI). Its Unified Payments Interface (UPI), introduced in 2016, has become a global protocol, now accepted in France, Singapore, and the UAE, enabling Indian tourists to pay local merchants in rupees without forex markups. By mid 2025, digital payments represented 99.8% of total transaction volume in India, an extraordinary achievement for a country of 1.45 billion people where 63% of the population lives in rural areas. India’s Aadhaar biometric identity system underpins the entire ecosystem, reducing customer acquisition costs, minimising fraud, and enabling access to credit and insurance.

Cambodia’s Bakong platform, built on blockchain by the National Bank of Cambodia, has become one of the region’s most ambitious DPI stories. As of September 2025, it had connected 70 financial institutions, supported 34 million user accounts, and processed over 600 million transactions valued at $147 billion. More than 4.5 million Cambodian merchants now accept KHQR, the national QR standard, which has overtaken cash to become the country’s leading payment method, accounting for 47.2% of transactions.

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Thailand presents perhaps the clearest model of government-led digital transformation. PromptPay, the country’s flagship instant payment system, launched in 2017, processes more than 75 million daily transactions. Thailand’s financial inclusion rate stands at 92% of adults, with women slightly ahead of men, a phenomenon the report attributes in part to cultural norms in which women manage household finances. Three new digital bank licences were issued in 2025, with operations expected by 2026, targeting underserved segments such as SMEs.

Indonesia has seen an extraordinary rise in QR payments. Its QRIS system, introduced in 2019, recorded 2.6 billion transactions between March 2024 and March 2025, a year on year increase of 596%, making it the fastest-growing form of digital payment in the country. Around 80% of Indonesian adults now have access to formal financial services, up from just 36% in 2014.

Pakistan, by contrast, illustrates the scale of the challenge that remains. Financial inclusion reached 67% in 2025, up from 47% in 2018, driven by microfinance and digital banking initiatives, a significant leap, but still below the regional average. The gender gap, while narrowing from 47 to 30 percentage points, remains “significantly higher than in most other countries in the region,” the report notes. Only 27% of the population uses a smartphone, and 62% lives in rural areas. The country’s Raast instant payment platform, launched in 2021, has processed over 3 billion transactions worth nearly PKR 80 trillion ($285 billion) since launch, offering a foundation on which further inclusion can be built.

Myanmar presents a distinctive case of mobile-led inclusion in a constrained environment. With the most recent financial inclusion estimate dating to 2018 at 48%, the country has shifted almost entirely toward DFS, capitalising on 70% smartphone penetration. Wave Money, the first non-bank entity licensed under Myanmar’s mobile financial services regulation, now serves 35 million customers through an agent network of over 58,000 outlets, the majority operated by women.

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The Three Pillars: Regulation, Infrastructure, Partnership

The report identifies three interlocking enablers that determine the pace and depth of digital financial inclusion in any given market: progressive regulation, robust digital public infrastructure (DPI), and collaborative cross-sector partnerships.

On regulation, the emergence of specialised licensing regimes, digital banking licences, e-money issuance permits, branchless banking authorisations, and fintech licences has been transformative, allowing non-traditional players to enter markets that were previously the exclusive domain of commercial banks. Regulatory sandboxes have become a cornerstone of DFS policy across the region, offering controlled environments for testing blockchain remittances, AI-driven credit scoring, and P2P lending before full-scale deployment.

On infrastructure, the availability of national instant payment systems and secure digital identity frameworks is increasingly the decisive factor separating markets that are scaling rapidly from those that are stagnating. Countries that invested early in DPI, India’s UPI, Thailand’s PromptPay, Pakistan’s Raast, have seen markedly faster adoption, broader use cases, and smoother participation from both banks and non-banks.

On partnerships, the report is categorical: “DFS ecosystems are highly complex, making it challenging for any single provider to achieve success independently.” Strategic alliances between MNOs, banks, fintech firms, government agencies, and commercial platforms, from GCash’s agricultural supply chain partnerships in the Philippines to Wave Money’s collaboration with MoneyGram for international remittances in Myanmar, are described as vital catalysts for scaling inclusion to the hardest-to-reach populations.

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The Persistent Gaps: Gender, Literacy, and Trust

Alongside the progress narrative, the report catalogues a set of recurring barriers that threaten to entrench a usage gap even as access gaps close.

The digital gender divide remains acute across the region. In Cambodia, only 60% of women have access to formal financial services compared to 73% of men. Pakistan’s gender gap in financial access, while narrowing, remains the starkest in the study. The report attributes these disparities to compounding disadvantages: lower digital and financial literacy, reduced smartphone ownership, greater exposure to fraud risk, and cultural barriers to engaging with formal institutions.

Low digital financial literacy is consistently identified as a primary obstacle to DFS uptake. “Even when services are available, user willingness to adopt or effectively use them plays a crucial role,” the report notes. Apprehensions about fraud, difficulty navigating app interfaces, and a reluctance to move away from cash all dampen take-up, particularly among rural populations, older citizens, and those employed in the informal economy.

Business model sustainability presents a parallel challenge. Many DFS providers, the report acknowledges, are squeezed by low-value transactions, high distribution costs, and narrow margins, a combination that makes it commercially difficult to serve remote areas or develop the more sophisticated products, such as credit, savings, and micro insurance, that could deliver deeper financial health outcomes.

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Eight Priorities for the Decade Ahead

The report concludes with a set of eight strategic opportunities for stakeholders, governments, regulators, MNOs, fintech firms, and development partners, seeking to accelerate inclusion:

Enhancing digital and financial literacy through targeted community campaigns, SMS programmes, and locally developed applications.

Expanding agent networks by leveraging existing businesses as trusted community hubs, particularly in underserved rural areas.

Accelerating cross-border transfer initiatives to reach unbanked populations that depend on remittances for basic needs, education, and business investment.

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Addressing demand side barriers, including the cost of DFS relative to cash, fraud risk perceptions and the degree to which available products genuinely meet user needs.

Adopting best practice in DPI development, building interoperable layers for digital identification, instant payments, and secure data exchange to replace fragmented, siloed systems.

Digitalising government payment flows, both from government to citizens (G2P) and from citizens to government (P2G), which often serve as a first point of entry into the formal financial system for vulnerable groups.

Using alternative data for credit scoring, including mobile transaction history, utility payments, and social media behaviour, to develop models that extend credit access to rural women, gig workers, and SMEs who lack conventional financial records.

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Incorporating AI, edge computing, and blockchain into product development to support scalability, inclusion, and regulatory compliance, and as a gateway to more advanced services, including decentralised finance.

Conclusion

The GSMA’s analysis offers a timely corrective to two competing narratives about digital finance in Asia Pacific: the triumphalist account of a region leading the world in fintech innovation, and the pessimistic view that structural inequalities render inclusion aspirations hollow.

The reality, as the report demonstrates across twelve distinct markets, is more nuanced and ultimately more hopeful. The infrastructure is increasingly in place. The regulatory frameworks are maturing. The partnerships are forming. What remains is a question of will and design, whether governments, companies, and development partners can direct the momentum of DFS toward the populations it has not yet fully reached: rural women in Cambodia, informal workers in Indonesia, smallholder farmers in Nepal, the unbanked millions in Pakistan and Myanmar.

As the report’s authors conclude, recognising the diversity of the DFS landscape is not just an analytical necessity; it is the prerequisite for advancing financial inclusion on a meaningful scale.

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Hinkley Point C nuclear plant announces ‘tremendous’ milestone

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French energy giant EDF said it had taken ‘months of planning and close coordination’

Hinkley Point C power station in Bridgwater, Somerset

Hinkley Point C power station in Bridgwater, Somerset(Image: Hinkley Point C)

A huge crane has installed the second reactor at Hinkley Point C nuclear power station in a milestone described as “tremendous” by EDF.

The reactor was shipped from from France to Avonmouth Docks in Bristol before arriving in Somerset by barge earlier this year, with the final four miles to the Bridgwater site on a transporter.

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Now French-owned energy giant EDF says it has used a crane – named ‘Big Carl’ – to lift the 500-tonne cylinder into place before its precision installation inside the reactor building.

Simon Parsons, Hinkley Point C’s delivery director, said: “This marks a tremendous achievement by the entire team and one that has taken months of planning and close coordination between the 10 main contractors involved.”

Once inside the reactor building, the 13-metre-long vessel was lifted and rotated into a vertical position by the large internal crane and lowered onto a support ring with just 40mm clearance on either side.

Mr Parsons said Hinkley had not used a “cut and paste” approach but had taken lessons from the first reactor’s installation in 2023 to save time, money and disruption to the site.

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“Importantly, we are also applying those lessons to put Unit 2 well ahead of the first unit’s position at the equivalent stage, with more materials in place and more work achieved,” he said.

The Unit 2 reactor building is further ahead than at the same stage for Unit 1, EDF said, with more equipment installed, as well as more structural steel work and the outer containment layer already in place.

Big Carl lifts Hinkley Point C's second nuclear reactor into place

Big Carl lifts Hinkley Point C’s second nuclear reactor into place(Image: Hinkley Point C)

The reactor pressure vessel uses nuclear fission to make heat and steam for the world’s largest turbines, the Arabelle.

The announcement comes just months after it was revealed Britain’s first new nuclear station in a generation would face further delays at a cost of some €2.5bn to EDF, which is responsible for the project.

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Hinkley Point C is set to provide six million UK homes with zero-carbon electricity when it is up and running but the project has been plagued by cost overruns and delays since it received government approval in 2016.

EDF said in February the first reactor at Hinkley Point C would start operating in 2030 – a year later than expected and nearly 13 years since work began on the scheme.

The delay is expected to take the cost of the project up to £35bn – far more than the original estimate of £18bn when the scheme was green lit. But, in reality, the final price tag could be far higher once inflation is considered as the French-owned energy firm has outlined its estimates in 2015 prices.

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Stocks to Watch: Nvidia, Qualcomm, easyJet

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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at a conference today

Stocks to Watch: Nvidia, Qualcomm, easyJet

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Royal Mail misses first-class target as Ofcom prepares probe

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Royal Mail misses first-class target as Ofcom prepares probe

Britain’s letter writers, and the small businesses that still depend on the post for invoices, contracts and statutory notices, are paying the price for another year of underperformance at Royal Mail.

Just 75.7% of first-class mail was delivered on time in the 12 months to the end of March, the postal operator confirmed on Friday, a country mile from its 93% regulatory target and the first full-year snapshot of life under Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky’s EP Group, which completed its £3.6bn takeover last spring.

Performance has actually slipped since the company’s final year on the London Stock Exchange, when 76.9% of first-class and 92.2% of second-class letters arrived on time. The new figures show only 90.2% of second-class post landed within three working days, against a target of 98.5%.

The communications regulator described itself as “very concerned” by the figures. Business Matters understands Ofcom is preparing to open a formal investigation into Royal Mail’s performance as soon as next week – a move that would almost certainly lead to a further multi-million-pound fine on top of the £21m penalty imposed last October, the third-largest in the watchdog’s history.

It is six years since Royal Mail last hit its second-class target and a decade since it cleared the bar on first-class. The slump that began during the pandemic has stubbornly refused to reverse.

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Chief operating officer Jamie Stephenson struck a contrite tone, insisting the business is on course to meet new, softer targets of 90% for first-class and 95% for second-class by this time next year.

“We’re putting significant investment into improving reliability and reaching these new delivery targets, but delivering lasting change across a network of this scale takes time,” he said.

The company is ploughing £500m into its five-year improvement plan, which includes offering part-time posties longer hours and scrapping second-class Saturday deliveries – a structural overhaul agreed with Ofcom and rolled out from April.

For Britain’s 5.5 million small businesses, however, the patience required is wearing thin. SMEs remain disproportionately reliant on physical mail for cheques, payment reminders, HMRC correspondence and signed agreements. Slow post means delayed cash flow, missed deadlines and, in the worst cases, penalties from regulators whose own letters arrive late.

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Tom MacInnes, policy director at Citizens Advice, was withering in his assessment. Poor performance at Royal Mail, he said, was “business as usual”.

“What’s worse, Royal Mail claims people will have to wait another year until it can meet its new, lower delivery targets,” he added.

In February, postal workers told the BBC that letters had been sitting undelivered in depots for weeks because staff had been instructed to prioritise parcels, which carry fatter margins. Mr Kretinsky was hauled before MPs on the Business and Trade Committee in March, where he said he was “deeply sorry for any letter that arrives late” but flatly denied that parcels were being put ahead of letters. As the House of Commons Library has documented, letter volumes have collapsed from 20 billion items in 2004-05 to around 6.6 billion last year, putting the universal service economics under unprecedented strain.

Ofcom has already eased Royal Mail’s regulatory burden. Since April, the operator has been measured against the lower targets of 90% next-day delivery for first-class and 95% three-day delivery for second-class. The regulator argued the previous benchmarks were “more stretching” than in comparable European countries and would “carry higher costs which would need to be recovered through higher prices” – an unwelcome trade-off for any SME owner who has watched a first-class stamp climb to £1.70.

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Whether £500m and a slacker rulebook can finally turn around an institution that has failed its own customers for the best part of a decade is the question now landing on Mr Kretinsky’s desk. On the evidence of Friday’s numbers, the answer is not yet in the post.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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BofA raises Icon stock price target to $125 on booking trends

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BofA raises Icon stock price target to $125 on booking trends

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Explained: NSE extends F&O trading by 10 minutes. What changes for traders?

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Explained: NSE extends F&O trading by 10 minutes. What changes for traders?
The National Stock Exchange (NSE) has announced a significant change to trading hours in the equity derivatives segment with the introduction of the Closing Auction Session (CAS) framework.

Starting August 3, 2026, the normal market closing time for equity derivatives will be extended by 10 minutes to 3:40 pm from the current 3:30 pm. While the extension is noteworthy, the bigger change lies in how closing prices for eligible securities will be determined.

The move aims to ensure a smoother transition between the cash and derivatives markets at the end of the trading day while maintaining consistency in the pricing framework across segments.

What is the closing auction session?

The CAS is a structured trading window held at the end of the trading day. During this period, market participants place buy and sell orders to determine a single closing price for a security through an auction-based mechanism.

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Unlike the current system where prices evolve through normal trading until market close, the auction process discovers a fair closing price based on orders entered during the designated session.
According to the exchange, CAS will initially apply only to securities in the cash segment that have derivative contracts available. The framework will roll out in phases, and any future expansion will be subject to SEBI guidance and separate operational instructions from the exchange.

Why are derivatives trading hours being extended?

Although CAS applies only to the equity segment, NSE decided to extend trading hours in the derivatives segment to ensure both markets remain aligned during the closing process.

The exchange also clarified that the price bands and pre-trade risk control measures introduced as part of CAS in the cash market will be mirrored in the derivatives segment. This is intended to maintain consistency between the two segments during the closing phase of trading.

How will the closing auction session work?

The CAS will run for 20 minutes, from 3:15 pm to 3:35 pm. The process will begin with a transition phase between 3:15 pm and 3:20 pm, during which the reference price will be calculated using the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of trades executed between 3:00 pm and 3:15 pm.

Between 3:20 pm and 3:25 pm, participants will be able to enter both market and limit orders. From 3:25 pm to 3:30 pm, only limit orders will be permitted. During this period, market orders cannot be modified or cancelled.

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The order entry session will close randomly at any point between 3:28 pm and 3:30 pm, after which the auction process will determine the final closing price.

How will closing prices be calculated?

One key point highlighted by NSE is that there will be no change in the methodology used to calculate closing prices of derivative contracts. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) used for derivatives closing price calculation will continue to be based on trades executed during the final 30 minutes of trading. However, because market hours are being extended, that 30-minute window will now shift to 3:10 pm-3:40 pm instead of the current 3:00 pm-3:30 pm.

For securities eligible for CAS, the closing price in the cash segment will be determined through the auction process.

Ashish Nanda, President and Digital Business Head at Kotak Securities summed up the shift by noting that the market is moving from a “continuous trading close” to an “auction discovered close”.

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Under the current framework, closing prices are derived from the VWAP of trades executed between 3:00 pm and 3:30 pm. Under the new framework, closing prices for F&O-eligible stocks will effectively be linked to a 20-minute auction process running from 3:15 pm to 3:35 pm.

What happens if a stock is removed from F&O?

NSE clarified that eligibility for CAS is linked to the presence of derivatives on the stock. If a security is excluded from the equity derivatives segment on both exchanges, it will no longer be eligible for the CAS.

In such cases, the closing price will revert to the existing methodology and be determined using the VWAP of trades executed during the last 30 minutes of trading. However, if the security continues to be part of the derivatives segment on at least one exchange, it will remain eligible for CAS.

What happens to pending orders?

The exchange outlined operational changes relating to order management. All unexecuted special orders, including stop-loss orders and disclosed quantity orders, will be cancelled. Pending orders that fall outside the revised price band will also be cancelled automatically, and members will receive appropriate cancellation notifications.

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Why does this matter for traders?

For many market participants, the biggest implication is that the final closing price may no longer mirror the last traded price visible on trading screens at 3:30 pm.

According to Ashish Nanda, this could require adjustments to trading strategies, particularly for option writers and arbitrageurs who rely heavily on closing prices for valuation, settlement and hedging decisions.

While the derivatives market will remain open until 3:40 pm, the broader shift is not simply about extending trading by 10 minutes. It marks a change in how closing prices for eligible securities are discovered, with the exchange moving toward an auction-based mechanism designed to determine a single closing price at the end of the trading day.

What happens to existing market timings?

Apart from the revised closing time, most trading schedules remain unchanged. The pre-open session in the derivatives segment will continue to begin at 9:00 am and the normal trading session will continue to start at 9:15 am. Similarly, the trade modification window will remain unchanged and continue until 4:15 pm.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Q4 earnings review: Motilal Oswal highlights broad-based beat on estimates, lists 6 sectors that exceeded expectations

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Q4 earnings review: Motilal Oswal highlights broad-based beat on estimates, lists 6 sectors that exceeded expectations
As markets wrap up the Q4 results season for the financial year 2026, Motilal Oswal highlighted that Indian corporate earnings showcased widespread outperformance across aggregates, with commodity strength driving the broad-based beat to estimates.

In its latest Indian strategy report, Motilal Oswal Financial Services said that aggregate earnings of the companies under its coverage grew 16% year-on-year, beating its estimate of 8% growth in the January-March quarter of FY26. According to the domestic brokerage, the better-than-expected earnings growth was powered by BFSI (profit grew 18% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 11%) and supported by metals (profit surged 50% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 24%) and OMCs (profit jumped 62% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 7% growth). Further, technology (+13% YoY), telecom (+8.4x YoY), and automobiles (+13% YoY vs. brokerage’s estimate of 6% decline) propelled earnings, Motilal added.

On the other hand, aggregate earnings growth was dragged by oil & gas (excluding OMCs), which posted a profit dip of 10% YoY vs. Motilal’s estimate of 1% growth.

The Nifty 50 companies delivered 4% YoY growth in net profit, beating Motilal’s estimate of 2% growth. The domestic brokerage, however, noted that Nifty reported a single-digit earnings growth for the eighth consecutive quarter, the first time since the pandemic (June 2020).

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“Barring Reliance Industries, which posted a profit dip of 13% YoY, and Interglobe Aviation, which posted a loss of Rs 24 billion vs. a profit of Rs 30.7 billion YoY, the Nifty Universe posted a 9% YoY earnings growth. Five Nifty companies – Bharti Airtel, JSW Steel, HDFC Bank, Infosys, and TCS – contributed 75% of the incremental YoY accretion in earnings. Conversely, Reliance Industries, Interglobe Aviation, Adani Enterprises, Power Grid, Dr Reddy’s, Cipla, Tata Motors PV, Sun Pharma, and Maruti Suzuki dragged down earnings. Within the Nifty, 15 companies reported lower-than-expected profits, while 18 posted a beat, and 17 registered in-line results,” Motilal added.


Also read:
IndiGo soars 5% after Q4 results. What Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and others are saying

Largecaps, midcaps beat estimates, smallcaps post in-line earnings

The domestic brokerage noted that among the companies under its coverage, around 90 largecap companies on average posted an earnings growth of 12% YoY. Around 101 midcap companies, meanwhile, showed improvement and delivered earnings growth of 36% YoY (vs. the brokerage’s estimate of 25%).
“Multiple mid-cap sectors, such as BFSI, metals, OMCs, and healthcare, lifted the overall performance. These sectors contributed ~89% of the incremental YoY accretion in earnings. In contrast, smallcaps (168 companies) delivered in-line performance, with earnings rising 19% YoY (our estimate of +18%). Within small-caps, 68% of the coverage universe exceeded/met our estimates. Conversely, within the large-cap/mid-cap universes, 74%/73% of the companies exceeded/met our estimates,” Motilal Oswal said.
It noted that Nifty EPS for FY26 stood at Rs 1,065 per share, marking a second consecutive year of single-digit growth. It cut its Nifty EPS estimate for FY27 by 0.9% to Rs 1,235 per share, led by SBI, Reliance Industries, JSW Steel, ONGC, and Coal India. “Earnings estimates of the MOFSL Universe were cut by 1.3% for FY27, fueled by PSU Bank, Oil & Gas, Healthcare, Telecom, and Technology. The MOFSL large-cap universe reported an earnings cut of 0.9%, while the mid-cap universe recorded a downgrade of 2.2%, and the MOFSL small-cap universe posted a downgrade of 2.8% for FY27,” it added.

Q4 earnings season fared better than expectations

Motilal concluded by saying that the Q4 earnings season fared better than expectations, but forward earnings revisions continue to exhibit weakness. Following India’s sharp underperformance in FY26 and record FII outflows, a favorable base has likely been set for Indian equities, it said, adding that in the near term, however, the market will remain hostage to volatile developments arising from the West Asian crisis.
“Higher commodity prices will be the key monitorables, as a prolonged elevated level could affect India’s macro parameters and engender a tight monetary policy stance. Our model portfolio broadly reflects our preference for growth visibility, structural domestic growth plays, and select global value names. We firmly believe that this is a bottom-up market, despite India witnessing both time and price corrections relative to EM peers. Our key overweight sectors are Autos, PSU Banks, Diversified Financials, Manufacturing & Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and New-age platforms. In contrast, we are underweight on Oil & Gas, Private Banks, Metals, Consumer Staples, IT, and Commodities/Utilities,” the brokerage said.

Also read: PSU bank stocks vs private banks in FY27: The valuation trap you need to avoid

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Motilal Oswal’s top picks

It listed Bharti Airtel, State Bank of India (SBI), ICICI Bank, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), Titan, Bharat Electronics (BEL), Eternal, Tata Steel, Infosys and IndiGo as its top Nifty 50 picks, while non-Nifty 50 picks included TVS Motor Company, ICICI Prudential AMC, Groww, Indian Hotels, AU Small Finance, Dixon Tech, Lenskart, Waaree Energies, Coforge, Radico Khaitan and Delhivery.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Cristiano Ronaldo at 2030 World Cup Would Be ‘Huge Surprise’

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Cristiano Ronaldo

LISBON — Portuguese Football Federation president Pedro Proenca has cast doubt on the possibility of Cristiano Ronaldo playing at the 2030 World Cup, stating that it would require a “huge surprise” physiologically for the 41-year-old superstar to feature at age 45 when Portugal co-hosts the tournament.

Proenca, speaking at the Bola Branca Conference, acknowledged Ronaldo’s extraordinary career and enduring link to the national team but emphasized biological realities as the primary barrier to a sixth World Cup appearance. The five-time Ballon d’Or winner remains Portugal’s all-time leading scorer and a central figure for the Selecao, but questions about his long-term playing future continue to grow.

“I’ll say that, physiologically, a huge surprise would have to happen for him to be in another World Cup,” Proenca said. He added that any participation in the European Championship would depend on the coach at the time, Ronaldo’s form and various technical factors.

The comments reflect a pragmatic approach from Portuguese football’s governing body as it prepares for the 2030 World Cup, which Portugal will co-host alongside Spain and Morocco. While Ronaldo has defied age-related expectations throughout his career, Proenca suggested that expecting him to compete at the highest level in 2030 would be unrealistic without exceptional circumstances.

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Ronaldo’s Enduring Legacy

Despite the tempered expectations for on-field participation, Proenca made clear that Ronaldo’s connection to Portuguese football will remain permanent. The forward’s global brand, marketability and contributions to the sport have elevated the profile of the national team significantly.

“Cristiano Ronaldo will be whatever he wants to be in Portuguese football,” Proenca stated. “It’s an absolutely extraordinary case, not only in terms of notoriety, capacity, and brand mobilization. Sporting-wise, I dare say it’s a unique case of talent development in Portuguese football.”

This assurance suggests that once Ronaldo decides to retire from playing, the federation envisions a significant ongoing role for him, potentially in ambassadorial, coaching, or advisory capacities. Ronaldo’s influence extends far beyond the pitch, with his presence helping secure sponsorships, boost youth development programs and maintain international interest in the Portuguese team.

Planning for the Post-Ronaldo Era

Proenca emphasized that the federation is proactively preparing for life after Ronaldo’s playing career without treating it as a crisis. The organization has diversified its revenue streams and partnerships to reduce dependence on any single player or sponsor.

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“The Portuguese Football Federation has always been preparing its present and its future, in terms of revenue, so as not to depend on participating in international competitions solely on one or two sponsors and one or two players,” he explained.

This forward-thinking approach aims to ensure stability regardless of who wears the national team jersey. Portugal has produced several talented young players in recent years, and the federation is focused on creating a sustainable pipeline of talent to maintain competitive success.

Ronaldo’s Current Standing

At 41, Ronaldo continues to perform at a high level with Al-Nassr in Saudi Arabia and for Portugal. He was instrumental in Portugal’s Nations League success and remains a key goal threat in qualifying matches. However, the physical demands of elite international football at an advanced age present increasing challenges.

Ronaldo has repeatedly expressed his desire to play at the 2030 World Cup on home soil, viewing it as a potential fairytale ending to his international career. His dedication to fitness and recovery is legendary, but Proenca’s comments highlight the scientific limits that even the greatest athletes eventually face.

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Broader Implications for Portugal

The 2030 World Cup represents a monumental opportunity for Portuguese football. As co-hosts, the country will benefit from infrastructure development, increased global visibility and economic gains. Ensuring a competitive national team during the tournament is a priority, but the federation appears committed to building depth rather than relying solely on Ronaldo’s star power.

Younger talents such as Rafael Leao, Bruno Fernandes and Joao Felix are expected to form the core of the team in the coming years. The transition from the Ronaldo era will require careful management to maintain fan enthusiasm and competitive performance.

Ronaldo’s Global Impact

Regardless of his playing status in 2030, Ronaldo’s legacy as one of football’s greatest players is secure. His record-breaking goal tallies, Champions League successes and influence on the sport’s commercialization have reshaped modern football. In Portugal, he remains a national icon whose achievements inspire generations of young players.

The federation’s willingness to offer Ronaldo any role he desires post-retirement recognizes both his sporting contributions and his value as a global ambassador. This approach could help ensure a smooth transition while preserving the emotional connection between Ronaldo and Portuguese supporters.

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As the 2030 World Cup draws closer, discussions about Ronaldo’s future will intensify. For now, Proenca’s comments provide a realistic framework for expectations while celebrating Ronaldo’s unparalleled contributions to Portuguese football.

The coming years will reveal whether Ronaldo can continue defying age expectations or if 2030 will mark the beginning of his next chapter in a non-playing capacity. Whatever the outcome, his place in football history and Portuguese sporting culture remains firmly established.

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Retired Idaho Couple Sues Bitcoin Depot After Losing $76,000 Life Savings in ATM Scam

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Retired Idaho Couple Sues Bitcoin Depot After Losing $76,000 Life

BOISE, Idaho — A retired Idaho couple has filed a federal class-action lawsuit against Bitcoin Depot Inc., alleging the cryptocurrency ATM operator’s network enabled scammers to drain their entire $76,000 retirement savings over five days in August 2025 through a sophisticated social engineering scheme.

Retired Idaho Couple Sues Bitcoin Depot After Losing $76,000 Life
Retired Idaho Couple Sues Bitcoin Depot After Losing $76,000 Life Savings in ATM Scam

Karen and Robert Lacey filed the complaint on May 11, 2026, in U.S. District Court for the District of Idaho (Case No. 1:26-cv-00288-DKG), accusing Bitcoin Depot of processing suspicious high-value cash deposits without adequate intervention despite clear red flags. The suit claims the company profited from fraud while failing to protect vulnerable customers using its machines.

According to the 43-page filing, fraudsters posing as Norton customer service representatives and FBI agents convinced the Laceys that their accounts were linked to child pornography and illegal gambling investigations. The scammers instructed the couple to deposit large sums of cash at Bitcoin Depot ATMs between August 9 and August 13, 2025. To bolster the deception, the perpetrators allegedly caused wireless networks labeled “FBI” to appear on the couple’s phones — signals that reportedly remained visible for months afterward.

The lawsuit alleges Bitcoin Depot processed each transaction “without meaningful intervention,” despite the unusual pattern of first-time users making large cash deposits while actively speaking with unknown parties on the phone. The company charges transaction fees as high as 50 percent, and the plaintiffs describe its on-screen warning stickers as “demonstrably ineffective.”

After their son filed a federal crime complaint, Bitcoin Depot issued two $1,000 refund checks — an amount the lawsuit states did not even cover the fees collected by the company. Karen Lacey, already retired at the time of the fraud, has since returned to work with rotating hospital shifts to help rebuild their finances.

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Broader Pattern of Bitcoin ATM Fraud

The Laceys’ experience reflects a growing national problem. Federal Trade Commission data shows Bitcoin ATM fraud losses increased nearly tenfold between 2020 and 2023, with a median victim loss of $10,000. By 2025, the FBI reported Americans lost $333 million to Bitcoin ATM scams, affecting more than 10,000 victims in a single year.

Bitcoin Depot, once one of the largest operators of crypto ATMs in North America with more than 9,000 machines, filed for voluntary Chapter 11 bankruptcy on May 18, 2026. The company had previously disclosed a $3.6 million Bitcoin theft from its own wallets in March 2026 and reported a 49.2 percent revenue decline in the first quarter of 2026. It has since shut down its entire network.

The lawsuit cites Bitcoin Depot’s own SEC filings, which acknowledge that its services “may be exploited to facilitate illegal activity such as fraud” and that its risk management “may not be sufficient.” Plaintiffs are seeking a jury trial, injunctive relief, compensatory and punitive damages, restitution of fees paid, and attorney’s fees.

How the Scam Unfolded

The complaint details a classic “pig butchering” or grandparent-style scam variant tailored to cryptocurrency. Scammers created urgency by claiming immediate action was needed to prevent legal consequences. They directed the Laceys to specific Bitcoin Depot locations and remained on the phone during transactions to guide them through the process.

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This real-time coaching is a common tactic that allows fraudsters to bypass ATM warnings and complete large transfers quickly. The Laceys, like many elderly victims, trusted the authoritative personas presented by the callers and acted quickly out of fear.

Consumer protection advocates say Bitcoin ATMs are particularly dangerous because transactions are irreversible once completed, and many machines lack robust identity verification for high-value transfers. Critics argue operators have profited from these vulnerabilities while shifting responsibility to users through disclaimers.

Growing Regulatory Scrutiny

Bitcoin ATM operators have faced increasing legal and regulatory pressure nationwide. Several states have imposed stricter licensing requirements and transaction limits on crypto kiosks following surges in reported fraud. Consumer advocates have called for mandatory ID verification, transaction monitoring, and clearer consumer warnings at all machines.

The Lacey lawsuit seeks class-action status to represent other victims who allegedly suffered similar losses through Bitcoin Depot machines. If certified, it could expose the company to significant liability even amid its bankruptcy proceedings.

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Bankruptcy experts note that claims related to alleged facilitation of fraud may receive different treatment than standard creditor claims. The plaintiffs argue Bitcoin Depot’s business model inherently enabled criminal activity by prioritizing volume and fees over consumer protection.

Impact on Victims and Lessons Learned

For the Laceys, the financial and emotional toll has been severe. Losing their life savings at retirement age has forced lifestyle changes and renewed employment. Their story highlights the particular vulnerability of older adults to sophisticated scams that exploit trust and fear.

Financial crime experts recommend several precautions when dealing with unsolicited calls claiming security issues. Legitimate companies rarely demand immediate cash transfers to cryptocurrency, and the FBI or tech support services will never ask for payments in Bitcoin. Victims should hang up and contact authorities or known trusted contacts independently.

The case also underscores the irreversible nature of cryptocurrency transactions. Once funds are converted and sent, recovery is extremely difficult, even with law enforcement involvement. This reality makes prevention far more effective than recovery efforts.

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Industry Response and Future Outlook

Bitcoin Depot’s bankruptcy filing has left thousands of machines offline, temporarily reducing access points for both legitimate users and potential scammers. Other operators may face increased scrutiny as regulators examine industry practices more closely.

Consumer protection groups are pushing for federal legislation that would impose stricter oversight on crypto ATMs, including mandatory transaction monitoring for suspicious patterns and clearer liability standards for operators.

As the lawsuit proceeds, it may set important precedents for accountability in the cryptocurrency kiosk industry. The outcome could influence how similar businesses operate and the level of protection afforded to consumers using these machines.

For now, the Laceys’ case serves as a cautionary tale about the evolving tactics of financial scammers and the challenges of safeguarding retirement savings in an increasingly digital economy. Their federal complaint seeks not only compensation but systemic changes to prevent similar tragedies for other vulnerable individuals.

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Authorities continue to urge anyone who believes they may have been victimized through Bitcoin ATMs to report incidents to the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center and their state consumer protection offices. Early reporting can help identify patterns and support broader enforcement actions against fraudulent operations.

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Damian Creamer: Disengagement Is an Alignment Problem, Not a Work Ethic Problem

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Damian Creamer: Disengagement Is an Alignment Problem, Not a Work Ethic Problem

When a team member starts to drift, the underlying assumption is almost always the same: the person has a discipline problem, and the fix is more accountability.

Damian Creamer, founder and CEO of StrongMind, thinks the entire diagnosis is wrong.

“I don’t see disengagement as a work ethic problem,” Creamer says. “I see it as an alignment problem. When there’s a real connection to the ‘why,’ effort feels lighter and momentum follows. When there isn’t, even small tasks feel heavy, no matter how capable someone is.”

It is the kind of take Creamer himself flags as contrarian, the kind of belief he is willing to admit “almost nobody agrees with.”

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And yet, having spent more than 25 years building organizations and watching people thrive or stall inside them, he has come to see it as one of the most consequential reframes a leader can make. Disengagement, in his view, is rarely about character. It is almost always about architecture.

The Orthodoxy He’s Pushing Against

Most modern management thinking treats motivation as the responsibility of the individual. The professional, in this framing, is someone who can deliver consistent, high-quality work regardless of personal interest, emotional resonance, or connection to the mission.

Damian Creamer does not entirely dispute that this approach can produce results. “You can produce acceptable work that way,” he acknowledges. The trouble, in his view, is that “acceptable” is the ceiling, not the floor.

“Great work is different,” Creamer says. “It requires extreme ownership, curiosity, and an extra level of thought that’s hard to fake. When people care about the outcome, the quality goes up, the thinking gets sharper, and accountability shows up naturally.”

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That last phrase is the one that quietly upends the conventional approach. Accountability, in Creamer’s framework, is a byproduct of alignment.

When the alignment is real, accountability emerges on its own. When the alignment is missing, no amount of process can manufacture it convincingly.

Why the Reframe Matters

The practical implications of this shift are significant. If disengagement is fundamentally a discipline issue, the manager’s job is to apply more pressure: clearer expectations, tighter deadlines, more visible consequences.

If disengagement is fundamentally an alignment issue, the manager’s job changes entirely. The first question is no longer “How do I get this person to try harder?” but “Where did the connection between this person and this work break down?”

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That second question demands honesty about the role itself, the stated mission, and whether the day-to-day work actually reflects the why a leader claims to be building toward.

It asks whether the person is in the wrong seat, the wrong company, or the wrong moment in their career, none of which can be fixed with a stern conversation.

Creamer’s framing also reorients hiring. If alignment is the variable that determines great work, then a hiring process focused primarily on capability is incomplete.

A highly capable person who cannot connect to the problem will produce work that meets the brief and never exceeds it. A moderately capable person who is genuinely obsessed with the problem will often outperform expectations in ways that are difficult to predict.

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Damian Creamer makes this point bluntly: “It’s really hard to do truly great work on something you don’t actually care about.” The statement reads as obvious until you consider how rarely organizations design around it.

The Founder’s Lens

This is not a theoretical position for Creamer. It is observable in how he runs StrongMind, the K-12 learning platform he has spent over two decades building. The company’s approach to product, leadership, and culture consistently reflects a belief that mission-clarity is not a soft variable.

“Ideas don’t come to life because they’re brilliant,” Creamer says. “They come to life because they’re aligned, actionable, and owned.”

Creamer’s own daily structure mirrors this principle in miniature. He aims to make all important decisions by 2 p.m., protects deep focus blocks aggressively, and is open about cutting nonessential meetings. The reasoning is not just personal productivity. It is that misaligned activity, even high-energy activity, dilutes the signal of what actually matters. “Less noise, more signal,” he says. “Fewer meetings, better decisions.”

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A leader who internalizes that discipline at a personal level tends to extend it to the team. The question stops being “Are people busy?” and becomes

“Are people working on what matters most, and do they understand why it matters?” Those are very different questions, and they produce very different cultures.

Where Most Managers Get Stuck

Treating disengagement as an alignment problem requires admitting that the problem might originate at the top.

This is why the alignment frame is uncomfortable for organizations built on the assumption that any sufficiently disciplined professional can be deployed against any reasonably defined task. That assumption keeps things simple. It also keeps things average.

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Damian Creamer‘s argument, distilled, is this: average is what you get when you treat people as interchangeable units of execution. Greatness is what you get when you treat alignment as a leadership responsibility, not an employee virtue.

The Practical Takeaway

For founders and managers, the implication is straightforward but rarely acted on. The next time someone on a team starts to disengage, resist the reflex to reach for the accountability playbook first. Instead, ask:

  • Does this person understand the why behind the work, not just the what?
  • Has the why genuinely been communicated, or just assumed?
  • Does the work itself reflect the why, or has the day-to-day quietly drifted from it?
  • Is this person in the right seat to contribute to that why, or has the role evolved past their genuine interest?

If the answers are uncomfortable, that is the diagnosis. The fix is to repair the problem. Sometimes, that might mean redefining the role. Othertimes, it could mean reframing the mission itself.

“When there’s a real connection to the why, effort feels lighter and momentum follows,” Creamer says.

It is a deceptively simple observation. It is also the difference between a team that performs and a team that does great work.

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Crude oil shock clouds near-term outlook, but FY27 earnings growth still intact: Karthikraj Lakshmanan

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Crude oil shock clouds near-term outlook, but FY27 earnings growth still intact: Karthikraj Lakshmanan
Karthikraj Lakshmanan of UTI AMC in an interview with ET Now highlighted a cautiously optimistic top-down view on Indian markets, where the broader earnings trajectory into FY27 remains intact even as crude oil volatility emerges as the key near-term risk.

He noted that by February, most macro concerns had already been absorbed by the market, including progress on trade deals with the US and Europe, and expectations of double-digit nominal GDP growth along with mid-teen earnings growth after a subdued phase. However, the recent Iran–US conflict and the resulting sustained rise in crude prices over the past few months have reintroduced macro pressure, with potential implications for India’s current account deficit, inflation, and marginally even GDP growth. While acknowledging the possibility of some earnings cuts due to higher crude, he emphasized that India remains in a stronger position compared to past stress periods such as 2013, and still retains the potential for double-digit earnings growth in FY27.

He added that Q4 earnings have been relatively broad-based and better than earlier quarters, although Q1 could see some impact in select sectors due to elevated oil prices, making crude the most important variable to watch going ahead.

On the FY27 earnings outlook, Lakshmanan said consensus estimates are broadly in the mid-to-high teens range, though there could be some moderation at the index or large-cap level due to commodity pressures. He pointed out that while certain sectors may face margin pressure from higher crude and input costs, nominal revenue growth could remain strong due to inflation returning and overall higher nominal economic activity. On demand conditions, he said inflation is unlikely to spike meaningfully as the economy was earlier coming off a low inflation base, keeping overall conditions manageable. However, he flagged monsoon trends as an important near-term risk, noting that if rainfall comes in below the long-term average, food inflation could temporarily rise and add some pressure to consumption.

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On sector allocation, he remained positive on financials, particularly private banks and insurance, citing their strong long-term return ratios, attractive valuations relative to history, and the ability to grow consistently above nominal GDP as seen over the past three decades. He also highlighted that rising interest rates could further support profitability in the banking sector. Despite concerns about high domestic investor ownership in financials, he maintained that valuations and fundamentals remain the primary drivers of his investment thesis rather than fund flow dynamics, which he said are inherently unpredictable and should not guide long-term positioning.


He continued to hold an overweight stance on IT stocks, calling it a contrarian call given weak Street positioning. According to him, Indian IT companies continue to generate strong ROCEs and cash flows, while returning a large portion of earnings via dividends and buybacks, offering attractive yield support. He also highlighted that even modest rupee depreciation provides additional earnings visibility. While acknowledging concerns about slower constant currency growth and fears of disruption from AI, he argued that IT services companies are still likely to play an important role in AI implementation, and historical transitions such as ERP and cloud shifts have not structurally disrupted long-term growth trajectories.
On healthcare, he said mid and small-cap companies offer better growth opportunities compared to large-cap names, which are relatively mature and offer steadier expansion. In capital goods, he acknowledged strong near-term momentum driven by power sector demand, transmission and distribution opportunities, and potential long-term tailwinds from data centre-related capex. However, he cautioned that valuations in several capital goods stocks have run up sharply, already pricing in high growth expectations, and advised a more selective, bottom-up approach rather than broad sector optimism at current levels.Finally, on capital flows, he stressed that market positioning should not be based on assumptions around FII or domestic inflows, as these are highly unpredictable and can shift quickly. Instead, he reiterated that investment decisions should remain anchored in fundamentals, earnings visibility, and valuation comfort. Overall, his view suggested that while near-term volatility from crude oil and inflation risks cannot be ignored, India’s broader earnings cycle into FY27 still points toward steady growth, with selective sector opportunities continuing to drive market returns.

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