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Banks, power finance and infrastructure to lead next leg of market rally: Pankaj Pandey

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Banks, power finance and infrastructure to lead next leg of market rally: Pankaj Pandey
India’s banking sector appears well positioned to support the next phase of the equity market rally as improving credit growth, easing deposit pressures and stable asset quality create a favourable operating environment, according to Pankaj Pandey, Head of Research at ICICI Securities.

Speaking to ET Now, Pandey said the concerns that weighed on the banking sector over the past year are gradually fading. Lower bond yields, easing foreign investor selling and improving liquidity conditions are expected to support both private and public sector banks.

“The credit growth has been getting better. The challenges were on the deposit side, but with RBI relaxation and lower 10-year bond yields, the outlook has improved. We do not see much stress on the asset quality side, so banking is in a pretty good shape. The FPI selling intensity has also cooled off, which points towards better price performance for both private and PSU banks. Most of the issues with the banking sector are getting addressed, and whatever margin pressure we were seeing earlier because of the RBI rate cut, most of those concerns are behind us.”

NBFCs could benefit from softer interest rate environment

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Pandey believes non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) are also likely to benefit as interest rate expectations become more favourable. He noted that comments from the Reserve Bank of India Governor regarding India’s progress towards meeting the conditions for inclusion in global bond indices could further support bond markets.

“One also needs to watch out for the Governor mentioning that most of the conditions for inclusion in the global bond indices have been met. In the month of July, we could possibly hear some positive news on that front as well, which would be beneficial for bond yields to correct further and is also positive for the entire NBFC space. Banking, given its heavyweight status, is expected to do the heavy lifting for the Nifty,” he said.
IT acquisition may take time to deliver meaningful gains
Commenting on a major acquisition in the IT services space, Pandey said the strategic rationale appears sound, but investors should temper expectations regarding immediate gains.”Our sense is that valuations are at rich multiples, the margin profile is lower, and growth has tapered to mid-single digits. Nagarro has over 180 clients in the $1 million account category. Although the overlap is limited, a lot will depend on how this segment shapes up because cross-selling is what they can look at. That is still some time away. From that perspective, we do not expect much price performance in the near term. Though we like the stock because it is one of the few Tier-II names guiding for double-digit growth, this acquisition does not help much in the near term,” he added.

Power financiers remain attractive long-term bets
The research head remains positive on power financiers, especially as India’s renewable energy and infrastructure investments continue to gather pace. He believes Power Finance Corporation (PFC) stands to benefit significantly from structural changes within the sector.

“Within PFC and REC, our preference remains REC. The combined entity could have an AUM book of around ₹11.5 lakh crore and is expected to perform much better going forward. We have a target price of ₹520. The 30% holding company discount that we were assigning to PFC should eventually disappear. Banks will not have the capacity to fund large nuclear projects if capex picks up as expected, so PFC is expected to play a crucial role. The renewable energy space will also see much more action going forward. Whether it is PFC or IREDA, these are companies investors can consider to play the renewable energy opportunity,” he said.

HDFC Bank governance overhang easing; Kotak faces uncertainty
Pandey drew a clear distinction between the outlook for HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank following recent developments.

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“Overall, Kotak’s growth was expected to improve, but this announcement introduces leadership uncertainty. While we continue to like the stock, we do not expect much price performance in the near term until we get more clarity,” he said.

On HDFC Bank, he sounded considerably more optimistic.

“This legal review comes at the right time because it removes the key governance overhang that has been on the stock. HDFC Bank has been trading at a discount to some of its private sector counterparts. With a book value of around ₹444, if this overhang disappears, the valuation could improve significantly and provide meaningful support to the Nifty. Growth has already improved from about 5.5% to nearly 12%, and we expect the bank to grow broadly in line with the industry at around 16% to 17% this year,” he said.

Transmission remains the strongest opportunity in the power sector
While India’s power sector continues to attract investment across generation, transmission and distribution, Pandey believes transmission offers the biggest long-term opportunity due to existing capacity constraints.

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“Power transmission is a very interesting opportunity because that is where we are lacking in terms of capacity. Capex should pick up, particularly because we are still struggling with renewable energy transmission. One way to play this theme is through MNC names such as Siemens and Siemens Energy, where switchgear opportunities are expected to be significant, especially in medium and high voltage equipment. Among private companies, we like CG Power, and Kalpataru Power can also do very well. Transmission remains our preferred theme within the power sector,” he said.

Astral remains preferred building materials play
Pandey believes Astral’s demerger is unlikely to materially alter its investment case, with the company’s core businesses continuing to drive growth.

“The chemical business is not expected to do much because of its limited presence. On the adhesives side, the company is doing well and is looking to increase its market share from around 11-12% to nearly 20%. We also like the PVC business. The segment had struggled because of lower allocations under the Jal Jeevan Mission, but things are now looking incrementally better, while raw material price volatility is largely behind us. We expect constructive growth of around 12% to 14% across the sector, and Astral remains our top pick with a target price of ₹1,900,” he said.

Banking and infrastructure remain key market themes
With banking fundamentals improving, financing conditions easing and infrastructure investments accelerating, Pandey believes financials and power infrastructure will continue to remain among the strongest themes for investors. The combination of stronger credit growth, stable asset quality and expanding capital expenditure could provide meaningful support to corporate earnings and the broader market over the coming quarters.

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HAL announces final dividend of Rs 10 for FY26. Check record date and other details

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HAL announces final dividend of Rs 10 for FY26. Check record date and other details
State-run aerospace and defence major Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) has declared a final dividend of Rs 10 per equity share (200%) for FY26, subject to shareholders’ approval at the upcoming AGM.

If approved at the AGM, the dividend will be paid to eligible shareholders within 30 days. The company has also set Friday, August 14, 2026 as the record date for determining eligibility for the payout.

Also Read |Hexaware Technologies shares jump 8% after securing Anthropic authorised reseller status for Amazon Bedrock

HAL is India’s premier aerospace and defence company. It operates under the administrative control of the Ministry of Defence and plays a crucial role in the design, development, manufacture, repair, and overhaul of aircraft, helicopters, engines, and related systems.

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The company is a key supplier to the Indian Armed Forces and has been at the forefront of India’s defence indigenisation efforts.


Over the past three months, HAL shares have gained 20.63%, while rising 0.63% in the last one month. However, the stock is down 11.62% over the past year and 17.77% over the last two years.
In Q4 results, the company reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 4,196 crore for the March-ended quarter, marking a 6% year-on-year (YoY) rise from the Rs 3,977 crore profit reported in the year-ago periodThe defence major’s revenue from operations rose 2% YoY to Rs 13,942 crore in Q4FY26, from Rs 13,700 crore reported in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year.

For the full financial year 2026, the company reported a nearly 9% rise in net profit to Rs 9,116 crore, compared with Rs 8,364 crore in FY25. The company’s revenue grew around 7% to Rs 33,089 crore in FY26 from Rs 30,981 crore in the previous financial year.

The PSU’s net profit more than doubled from Rs 1,867 crore reported in the third quarter of FY26. Revenue from operations surged over 81% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) from Rs 7,699 crore in the December quarter.

Also Read | Zerodha now wants to enter investment banking space, seeks Sebi nod

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Hindustan Aeronautics Limited’s earnings per share (EPS) rose nearly 6% to Rs 62.57 during the fourth quarter and more than 9% to Rs 135.71 for the financial year ended March 31, 2026. Its overall net worth, meanwhile, jumped 17% to Rs 40,862 crore in FY26.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and twitter handle

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Ex-company director Trent Bowden pleads guilty over $1.5m misuse

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Ex-company director Trent Bowden pleads guilty over $1.5m misuse

A former Perth-based company director has pleaded guilty to charges relating to alleged dishonest access and use of more than $1.5 million of investors’ funds.

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Instagram Expands User Controls Over Algorithm With New Customization Tests

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Instagram

Instagram is rolling out additional ways for users to directly influence the content they see, as the Meta-owned platform continues to expand its “Your Algorithm” feature across more sections of the app.

In a recent post, Instagram head Adam Mosseri highlighted several experimental ideas aimed at making algorithm customization more accessible and integrated into everyday use. The updates build on efforts launched last year to give users greater visibility into and control over the topics the platform’s recommendation systems associate with their accounts.

“We want to evolve Your Algorithm from a setting to something that feels central to your experience on Instagram,” Mosseri said. He added, “Some of this is testing now, some is coming soon, some might not work.”

The feature, initially introduced for Reels, allows users to review topics Instagram believes they are interested in, add new ones they want to see more of, and remove those they prefer less. It has since expanded to the Explore page and, more recently, the main feed.

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Mosseri’s latest examples demonstrate potential new access points. One concept involves pulling down on the home feed to surface the Your Algorithm menu for quick adjustments. Another envisions swiping up from a Reel to prompt similar customization options. A third shows simple buttons beneath individual Reels, letting users signal whether they want to see more content like it.

These tests reflect a broader push by Instagram to increase user agency in an era where algorithmic recommendations dominate feeds. Mosseri has emphasized that people who spend significant time on the platform should have meaningful control over their experience.

The expansion to the main feed, announced earlier in June, marked a notable step. Users can now see and tweak the topics the system links to their interests across major surfaces including Reels, Explore and Feed.

Instagram’s algorithm relies on numerous signals, with watch time, likes and shares emerging as particularly influential factors according to previous statements from Mosseri. The company uses machine learning to predict engagement, but the Your Algorithm tool aims to make those predictions more transparent and adjustable.

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Topics currently form the core of the customization options, but Instagram plans to broaden the feature. Future iterations could support preferences for specific people, moods or vibes, and different content types.

This evolution comes amid ongoing user feedback about feed relevance. Many express frustration that recommended content often overshadows posts from accounts they follow. Popular comments on Mosseri’s announcements frequently echo calls for prioritizing followed accounts.

Instagram has acknowledged the tension between personalized recommendations and chronological feeds from connections. Recommendations now drive much of the platform’s growth, particularly through Reels, while still blending content from followed users.

The platform reached over 3 billion monthly active users in recent years, highlighting the scale at which these algorithmic decisions affect global audiences. For creators, the changes could influence visibility, as content aligned with user-selected topics may perform better in recommendations.

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Experts note that giving users more direct input could help address concerns about filter bubbles and echo chambers. By allowing explicit topic adjustments, Instagram hopes to balance discovery of new content with relevance to stated preferences.

However, challenges remain in implementation. Algorithms must interpret user signals accurately without creating overly narrow experiences. Testing phases allow the company to gather data on what works before wider deployment.

Mosseri has shared philosophical thoughts on the matter, framing it as part of a larger effort toward transparency and user empowerment in social media. He has reviewed his own algorithm settings and encouraged others to do the same.

For everyday users, these tools could simplify managing overwhelming feeds. Instead of relying solely on implicit signals like past likes and views, people can make declarative choices about interests ranging from hobbies and news to entertainment categories.

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The feature’s rollout has been gradual, starting with Reels before broader integration. This phased approach helps Instagram refine the interface based on real usage patterns.

As social platforms face scrutiny over content moderation, mental health impacts and information flow, features like Your Algorithm represent attempts to shift some control back to individuals. Similar tools exist on other services, but Instagram’s integration across multiple surfaces stands out.

Creators and marketers are watching closely. Content that matches actively chosen topics stands a better chance of surfacing, even for non-followers. This encourages more focused, high-quality production rather than generic posts.

Instagram continues to iterate on ranking systems. Watch time remains a top signal, underscoring the importance of engaging, vertical-format videos that hold attention.

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The latest tests for in-the-moment customization, such as quick “more of this” or “less of that” signals during browsing, could make adjustments feel seamless rather than buried in settings menus.

User reactions vary. While some welcome greater control, others prioritize simplicity and question whether deeper tweaks will truly change their experience. The most common request remains stronger emphasis on content from followed accounts in primary feeds.

Instagram has not announced exact timelines for all proposed features, consistent with Mosseri’s note about ongoing experimentation. Some elements may never launch if testing reveals issues.

This focus on algorithm transparency aligns with Mosseri’s history of sharing insights into how Instagram ranks content across different surfaces. He has previously detailed factors for Feed, Reels, Explore and Stories.

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For businesses and influencers, understanding these shifts is crucial. Adjusting strategies to align with user-selected interests could boost reach, while ignoring them might limit exposure in recommendation-driven sections.

Parents and younger users may also benefit from clearer controls, though Instagram maintains separate safeguards for teen accounts.

As the platform evolves, the balance between algorithmic curation and user direction will likely remain a key area of development. Mosseri has indicated this is just the beginning of efforts to make Instagram more responsive to individual needs.

In practice, accessing Your Algorithm currently involves navigating to relevant sections or checking account settings. With new tests, it could become as intuitive as interacting with any post or swipe gesture.

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The feature does not alter content moderation policies or introduce new restrictions. It focuses purely on personalization of recommendations.

Industry observers see this as part of a competitive response to user demands for better feed quality across social apps. As attention economies intensify, platforms investing in perceived control may retain users longer.

Instagram’s parent company Meta has emphasized responsible AI development, which extends to recommendation systems. Large language models reportedly help translate complex ranking data into understandable topic labels for users.

Looking ahead, expansions beyond topics could include vibe-based preferences, such as uplifting content or specific aesthetics, further personalizing the experience.

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Users interested in trying current options can check their settings or look for prompts in Reels and Explore. As tests progress, more may appear in the main feed.

The developments underscore Instagram’s ongoing commitment to refining its core product amid a crowded digital landscape. By listening to feedback and experimenting with access methods, the company aims to make its powerful algorithms feel more collaborative than opaque.

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Opinion: More to machinery than price

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Opinion: More to machinery than price

OPINION: Asian manufacturers do not need to replace the established brands to change the market.

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Chinese EV battery makers pledge to pay suppliers more quickly

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Chinese EV battery makers pledge to pay suppliers more quickly


Chinese EV battery makers pledge to pay suppliers more quickly

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2 top stock recommendations from Vinay Rajani

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2 top stock recommendations from Vinay Rajani
Indian equity markets traded with a cautious undertone as the benchmark Nifty surrendered most of its early gains highlighting the lack of fresh momentum. Despite the intraday weakness, technical analysts believe the broader trend remains constructive, with the current phase largely reflecting consolidation rather than a reversal.

Speaking to ET Now, Vinay Rajani from HDFC Securities said the market is moving within a well-defined range after forming a long-leg doji candlestick pattern last week, indicating indecision among market participants.

“The market seems to be in a mood of consolidation. Last week, Nifty formed a long-leg doji candlestick pattern. It was a holiday-truncated week, with last week’s high at 24,261 and the low at 23,784. The index has been consolidating within this range for the last six to seven sessions,” he said.

“If we look at the moving average setup, Nifty is currently holding above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are coinciding around the 23,850 level. On the higher side, however, Nifty has not been able to surpass its 100-day exponential moving average, placed around 24,150. This indicates a complete consolidation phase—above the 20-day and 50-day EMAs but below the 100-day EMA—which shows that confidence is still lacking,” he added.

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Rajani also pointed out that the broader market, which had been outperforming in recent months, has begun to lose momentum in the short term, adding to the cautious outlook.


“The broader market, which was previously outperforming, has started losing momentum on the upside and is showing weakness on the short-term charts. Overall, we may continue to consolidate within the current range. On the downside, 23,800 to 23,780 remains an important support zone. Unless this level is broken, we can continue to remain hopeful about the market. Selective sectors are still performing well. Today, pharma and healthcare are outperforming,” he said.
Financials and Pharma Remain Preferred Bets
While the benchmark indices may remain range-bound, Rajani believes sector-specific opportunities continue to exist. He remains optimistic about financials, particularly banking and NBFC stocks, while pharma continues to display relative strength.
“If we look at the sectors, the NBFC and banking space are relatively stronger on the positional charts. Overall, the primary trend of the market remains upward, and we believe financial stocks can be accumulated at lower levels. Dips should be bought. Right now, it is a muted short-term setup, but 23,800 should be kept as the stop-loss on a closing basis,” he said.

Stock Picks for Traders
On individual stock recommendations, Rajani highlighted opportunities in the pharma and NBFC segments, citing strong technical setups.

“Considering the sector strength, pharma is doing very well today and its primary trend remains positive. The index is trading near its all-time high, and the healthcare sector is also performing well. Within the sector, Gland Pharma is looking quite strong. It is on the verge of breaking out from a consolidation pattern, while the primary trend remains positive. Around ₹2,360, one can go long with a trading stop-loss at ₹2,310. On the upside, I expect a target of ₹2,470,” he said.

He also recommended L&T Finance as his preferred pick from the financial space.

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“The second stock I would pick is from the NBFC space. L&T Finance is one stock that we believe could perform well in the coming weeks. Although it has corrected slightly in the intraday session, we believe the dip should be bought. Around ₹300–301, one can go long with a stop-loss at ₹295. On the upside, I expect a short-term target of ₹312,” he said.

Near-Term Outlook
With Nifty caught between key moving averages, traders are likely to watch the 23,800 support level closely. A decisive move beyond the current trading range could determine the market’s next direction. Until then, analysts continue to favour a stock-specific approach, with financials and pharma emerging as preferred sectors during the consolidation phase.

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Seagate: Firing On All Cylinders, But The Stock Leaves Little Upside (NASDAQ:STX)

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Western Digital’s Q3 Preview: Great News From An AI Industry Peer (NASDAQ:WDC)

This article was written by

For over 12 years, I have been engaged as a passionate private investor and analyst in the technology sector. My professional career began in IT infrastructure management before transitioning to investment analysis, where I specialized in emerging technology companies. My analyses are based on a combination of fundamental valuation methods and a profound understanding of technological developments. I place special emphasis on identifying companies that can build structural competitive advantages through innovative technologies. As a contributor to Seeking Alpha, I aim to share my perspectives on technology stocks and provide well-founded insights that go beyond superficial market trends.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Opinion: Time to back local industrial muscle

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Opinion: Time to back local industrial muscle

OPINION: Domestic manufacturing is the ultimate value-multiplier and the single best protector of sovereign capability.

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When and How to See June’s Full Moon and Why It’s Named That

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Skywatchers across the country are being urged to look toward the southeastern horizon Monday evening as June’s full moon, popularly known as the Strawberry Moon, rises into the night sky, marking the first full moon of summer and one of the lowest-arcing full moons of the year.

The moon will reach its precise full phase at 7:56 p.m. Eastern time Monday, June 29, though it will continue to appear full to the naked eye throughout the night and on the evenings immediately before and after that peak moment.

A name with no connection to color

Despite its evocative name, the Strawberry Moon won’t actually appear pink or red when it rises. The name has nothing to do with the moon’s hue or appearance; instead, it refers to the time of year when wild strawberries traditionally ripen and become ready for harvest across much of North America.

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That said, observers who catch the moon right as it climbs above the horizon may notice it taking on a warm, golden glow. As moonlight passes through a much thicker layer of Earth’s atmosphere near the horizon, tiny particulates and water molecules in the air scatter shorter blue wavelengths of light in a phenomenon known as Rayleigh scattering, allowing more of the longer red and orange wavelengths to reach the eye. The effect can give the rising moon a yellow, orange or even subtle pinkish tint, even though the name itself predates any connection to that visual effect.

Roots in Indigenous tradition

The name Strawberry Moon traces back to the seasonal naming traditions of Algonquian-speaking peoples across the northeastern United States and eastern Canada. Long before printed calendars existed, many Indigenous nations across North America named each full moon after the plants, animals, weather patterns or seasonal activities that defined that particular stretch of the year. There was no single, unified Native American lunar calendar; rather, each nation developed names reflecting the natural rhythms of its own specific homeland.

For Algonquian peoples, late June marked the brief window when wild strawberries ripened, making the full moon a practical seasonal marker signaling that it was time for the annual harvest. Over time, as European settlers adopted many of these Indigenous naming traditions, the term eventually found its way into widely circulated almanacs, helping “Strawberry Moon” become the name most Americans recognize today.

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Other nations, other names

While Strawberry Moon has become the dominant name in mainstream American usage, other Indigenous nations developed entirely different names for the same June full moon, each reflecting what was happening within their own communities at that time of year. The Dakota and Lakota peoples used similarly berry-focused names tied to the same ripening fruit. Farther south, the Cherokee referred to it as the Green Corn Moon, marking the stage of the growing season when corn fields were becoming established.

Other naming traditions reflected entirely different seasonal activities. The Western Abenaki called it the Hoer Moon, a reference to the agricultural work of tending crops, while the Haida referred to it as the Berries Ripen Moon. The Cree, meanwhile, recognized the same lunar cycle as the Egg Laying Moon or Hatching Moon, tied to the nesting season for birds in their region. The Tlingit people of the Pacific Northwest used the term Birth Moon, referencing the season when certain animals give birth in that region.

European naming traditions for the same moon diverged in their own direction, producing names including the Rose Moon, Hot Moon, Mead Moon and Honey Moon. The Mead Moon designation has been traced to Anglo-Saxon traditions tied to the mowing of meadows that occurs around the same time of year.

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Why it sits so low in the sky

This year’s Strawberry Moon carries an added astronomical distinction: it’s the first full moon following the June solstice, which occurred on Sunday, June 21. Because the sun follows its highest path across the sky around the time of the summer solstice, and a full moon always appears positioned opposite the sun, the moon traces one of its lowest, shortest arcs of the year across the nighttime sky during this period. For viewers in the Northern Hemisphere, that means the moon will hug close to the southern horizon throughout the night, an effect that is reversed for viewers south of the equator, where the moon will appear unusually high overhead.

The moon’s low position near the horizon also tends to make it appear unusually large to the naked eye, a well-documented effect known as the “moon illusion.”

Where to look, and what else is nearby

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Observers are advised to look toward the southeastern sky at sunset on Monday to watch the moon climb into view, where it will appear embedded among the stars of the constellation Sagittarius, though the moon’s brightness may make those particular stars difficult to spot directly. Skywatchers looking for an additional celestial landmark can scan roughly 10 degrees to the upper right of the moon at sunset to find the reddish glow of Antares, a bright star marking the heart of the neighboring constellation Scorpius.

A coinciding spiritual observance

This year’s full moon also coincides with a significant religious observance abroad. The June 29 full moon lines up with the Buddhist festival of Poson Poya, which commemorates the introduction of Buddhism to Sri Lanka more than 2,000 years ago. Worshippers traditionally mark the occasion by visiting temples and holy sites, giving alms, and practicing mindfulness and spiritual purity.

Looking ahead to next month’s full moon

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For skywatchers eager to plan their next lunar viewing opportunity, the next full moon, commonly known as the Buck Moon, is set to arrive on July 29. That name references the time of year when male white-tailed deer begin rapidly growing a new set of antlers, continuing a long tradition of naming each month’s full moon after the natural seasonal markers that generations of observers relied on long before the modern calendar existed.

Whether viewed as a quiet evening ritual or a chance to capture a striking photograph against a golden horizon, Monday’s Strawberry Moon offers a reminder of how closely human communities have tracked the passage of the seasons through the night sky, long before clocks and calendars took over that role entirely.

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Royal Perth Hospital ED estimated to cost $807m

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Royal Perth Hospital ED estimated to cost $807m

The $807 million price tag quoted for Royal Perth Hospital’s new six-storey building has given a significant boost to appointed builder Lendlease Construction.

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