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Comparing the World Cup’s Top Scorers Ahead of Saturday’s Quarterfinal Clash

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Lamine Yamal Calls Lionel Messi's World Cup Form 'Incredible' Ahead

England captain Harry Kane and Norway striker Erling Haaland will face off Saturday with a World Cup semifinal berth on the line, a matchup that revives a rivalry dating back to the summer of 2021, when Kane’s proposed move to Manchester City fell through just before Haaland arrived at the club and helped fire it to a historic treble.

At the time, Kane was Tottenham’s captain, still without a major trophy and seemingly having missed his opportunity for a bigger stage. Years later, the narrative has shifted considerably. Since joining Bayern Munich in 2023, Kane has won two Bundesliga titles and claimed the European Golden Shoe as the continent’s top scorer, while continuing to anchor England’s pursuit of its first major international trophy since 1966.

Any comparison between the two forwards inevitably begins with goals, the metric both players have built their reputations on. Kane has scored 85 goals for England since his international debut in March 2015, and he remains the central figure of Thomas Tuchel’s squad, delivering two goals against DR Congo in the Round of 32 and a composed penalty to eliminate co-host Mexico in the following round. He currently has six goals at this tournament. A World Cup quarterfinal also returns Kane to a setting that once marked one of the lowest points of his international career, when he missed a late penalty in England’s defeat to France at the 2022 tournament in Qatar. Saturday’s match also sees him overtake Wayne Rooney into outright second place on England’s all-time appearance list, trailing only Peter Shilton.

Haaland’s tournament output has been similarly prolific. He has scored the match-winning goal in each of his four appearances so far, having been rested for Norway’s final group match against France with qualification already secured, and delivered a two-goal performance against Brazil in the Round of 16 that got the better of his former Manchester City teammate Gabriel. His broader international scoring record borders on the extraordinary: Haaland has scored in 14 consecutive matches for Norway, totaling 27 goals over that stretch, and has 62 goals in 51 total appearances for his country, a scoring rate of roughly one goal every 71 minutes, a pace that outstrips comparable international records from fellow elite forwards including Kane, Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi, even accounting for the fact that those players have accumulated far more minutes at senior international level.

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Beyond raw scoring totals, the comparison becomes more nuanced when examining each player’s broader contribution to their team’s overall attacking play. In this tournament, Kane has recorded a single assist, setting up Jude Bellingham against Mexico, and his tendency to drop into deeper positions has fed a perception that he contributes more to overall team play than Haaland. The underlying data offers a more complicated picture. Haaland has actually recorded 24 assists across three seasons for Manchester City in Premier League and European competition, compared with 26 for Kane at Bayern Munich over a similar span, and Haaland provided more assists than Kane during the 2024-25 season specifically. At this World Cup, Haaland has also created more scoring chances for teammates than Kane, six compared with four, despite playing nearly 100 fewer minutes across the tournament.

Club-level statistics do lend support to the broader impression that Kane involves himself more heavily in overall buildup play. Last season for Bayern Munich, Kane averaged nearly double the number of touches per game compared with Haaland’s figures at Manchester City, created roughly twice as many chances per 90 minutes, and averaged two dribbles per match compared with roughly one for Haaland. Touch maps from both players reinforce that pattern, showing Haaland’s involvement concentrated far more heavily inside the opposing penalty area, while Kane’s touches are spread more broadly across the pitch.

Statistical analysis of each team’s reliance on its respective forward also reveals a notable contrast. Both England and Norway win a large share of matches when their star forward scores, an unsurprising trend given each player’s importance. But Norway’s win percentage drops dramatically in matches where Haaland fails to find the net, with the team winning less than a third of such contests, a pattern reflected in Norway’s 4-1 loss to France in the group match Haaland missed. England, by comparison, has been better supported in matches without a Kane goal, aided significantly by Bellingham, who has scored four goals of his own at this tournament, including decisive strikes against Panama and Mexico.

Pundits covering the tournament have offered strong praise for both players following their respective standout performances. Former England goalkeeper Joe Hart described Haaland as “an absolute monster” following Norway’s win over Brazil, crediting the Norwegian’s composure and evident enjoyment throughout the tournament. Former England captain Wayne Rooney offered similar praise for both forwards, crediting Haaland with instilling belief throughout Norway’s squad, while separately describing Kane’s finish against DR Congo as instinctive, the kind of effortless finishing associated with elite center-forwards throughout the sport’s history.

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Kane and Haaland have met on the pitch only twice previously, both meetings coming within a three-week span in early 2023. Haaland’s Manchester City claimed the first encounter, coming from two goals down to win 4-2 at the Etihad Stadium. Kane responded shortly afterward, scoring the only goal in a 1-0 Tottenham win that also made him the club’s all-time leading scorer.

With a World Cup semifinal berth now on the line Saturday, the rivalry between the two forwards enters its most consequential chapter yet, a contest that will test not only their individual scoring instincts but the broader supporting casts each has relied on throughout a tournament that has already showcased both players operating near the peak of their considerable powers.

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Vapes to have less enticing names and flavours to protect children

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A photo of many bright, multicoloured vapes in different shapes and sizes.

There is no legitimate reason for nicotine products to come in neon packaging, feature cartoon images, or use flavours and branding designed to catch a child’s eye, say health experts.

Murray said: “The evidence is clear: there are too many young people experimenting with vapes, attracted by the array of flavours, bright colours and marketing displays.

“We must act now to reduce the appeal of addictive vapes to our children.

“Vapes are less harmful than cigarettes and can play an important role in helping adult smokers to quit, but they should never be designed or marketed in ways that tempt children.

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“These proposals are about striking the right balance and I urge everyone to have their say.”

The 100 day consultation follows the recent passing of the Tobacco and Vapes Act, which sets out proposals to create the UK’s first smoke-free generation, protecting children from nicotine addiction, while ensuring adult smokers can still access vaping products to help them quit.

Children aged 17 or younger now face a lifelong ban on buying cigarettes, since it will be illegal for shops to sell tobacco to anyone born after 1 January 2009.

And it gives the power to ban vaping in cars carrying children, in playgrounds and outside schools and at hospitals, expanding smoke-free laws.

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It follows a ban on single-use vapes and comes ahead of future bans on the sale of vapes from vending machines and a planned end to the advertising and sponsorship of vapes.

Around one million or nearly one in every five 11-17 year olds in Great Britain reported trying vaping in 2025, according to the charity Action on Smoking and Health.

The consultation also proposes inserts for cigarette packs telling buyers where to get help to quit and plans to make all tobacco products – including cigarette rolling paper and cigars – come in plain packaging.

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Dr Reddy’s shares crash 9% in 2 days; brokerages slash target prices after semaglutide supply disruption. What lies ahead?

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Dr Reddy's shares crash 9% in 2 days; brokerages slash target prices after semaglutide supply disruption. What lies ahead?
The shares of Dr Reddy’s Laboratories tumbled another 4% on Friday, extending their decline to more than 9% over two days after the company said commercial supplies of its semaglutide product would be delayed due to a quality-related issue involving the active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) used in certain batches.

The pharma company’s shares fell to Rs 1,222 apiece, their lowest level in nearly three months, wiping out more than Rs 10,600 crore in market capitalisation over two sessions and taking its market value below Rs 1.02 lakh crore.

Dr Reddy’s Labs on Thursday announced that certain batches of semaglutide were found to be out of specification due to an issue associated with the active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) used in the product. It added that it is investigating the root cause and taking appropriate measures to ensure product quality.

“Until the issue is resolved, commercial supplies of the product will be delayed for a certain period of time. There is no impact on patient safety or on the product’s existing global regulatory filings. We remain committed to ensuring reliable global supplies of this important metabolic therapy,” the company said.

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Nuvama on Dr Reddy’s Labs share price

Nuvama maintained its ‘Buy’ rating on the shares of Dr Reddy’s Labs, but reduced its target price to Rs 1,465 apiece from Rs 1,560 apiece. The latest target price implies an upside potential of more than 15% from the stock’s previous closing price.
The brokerage said that the latest development process-driven setback, although an extended halt can be a challenge to the company’s FY27 earnings. “We reckon this affects the near-term ramp-up, with supply to the CMO partner being halted until validation is complete. DRRD now expects to supply 6–7 million pens in FY27. While Abatacept approval remains on track for December 2026 and anchors our core thesis, the semaglutide API issue raises the risk to our estimates. Semaglutide’s contribution would now be missing in Q2 FY27,” it added.
JM Financial on Dr Reddy’s Labs share price

JM Financial maintained its ‘Buy’ rating on the shares of Dr Reddy’s Labs, but cut its target price to Rs 1,561 apiece from Rs 1,596 apiece. The latest target price implies an upside potential of nearly 23% from the stock’s previous closing price.

The domestic brokerage slashed its revenue, EBITDA and profit after tax estimates for FY27 by 7%, 16% and 18%, respectively. “We believe the company will be able to ramp up its operations to the previously guided levels by FY28. In addition, the Abatacept opportunity in FY28 should drive the EPS to Rs 78. The stock currently trades at 16x FY28 earnings, which we view as attractive given the upcoming growth catalysts,” it added.

Also read: Dr Reddy’s shares slide after delay in semaglutide supplies over quality concerns

Motilal Oswal on Dr Reddy’s Labs share price

Motilal Oswal maintained its ‘Neutral’ rating on the shares of Dr Reddy’s Labs, with a revised target price of Rs 1,210 apiece. The latest target price implies a downside potential of nearly 5% from the stock’s previous closing price.

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The domestic brokerage highlighted that the delay in the commercial supply of semaglutide, due to an out-of-specification impurity issue in the semaglutide formulation, is expected to postpone the product ramp-up. “Factoring in the slower semaglutide ramp-up, we cut our FY27/FY28 earnings estimates by nearly 11%/2%, respectively…While earnings are likely to remain under pressure in FY27 amid lower g-Revlimid contribution and delayed semaglutide supplies, we expect recovery from FY28 onwards, driven by normalisation in semaglutide sales, improving base business growth, and potential Abatacept approval,” it added.

Systematix on Dr Reddy’s Labs share price

Systematix Institutional Equities downgraded its rating on the shares of Dr Reddy’s Labs from ‘Buy’ to ‘Hold’, and reduced its target price to Rs 1,398 apiece, implying a 10% downside potential.

The brokerage believes that execution risk remains, with the possibility of further delays should the validation process take longer than anticipated. That said, its FY27 forecasts had already incorporated a prudent launch ramp-up, with volume assumptions materially below management’s revised guidance of 6–7 million pens and therefore remain largely unchanged, it added.

“However, we believe the temporary disruption could diminish Dr Reddy’s first-mover advantage, allowing competing players to enter the market earlier and potentially moderating pricing power and market share gains over the medium term,” the brokerage said.

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Also read: Dr Reddy’s pauses weight loss drug on quality fears

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Authentic Inks Partnership With Experience Group for Lee in Europe

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Authentic Inks Partnership With Experience Group for Lee in Europe

Authentic Brands Group (ABG) is putting a plan in place for Lee overseas.

The global brand development, marketing and entertainment platform announced a new long-term partnership with strategic retail and distribution firm Experience Group for Lee across Europe.

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Madrid-based Experience Group will serve as Lee‘s operating partner across Europe leveraging its regional expertise, operating infrastructure and product capabilities to support the next phase of growth for the brand.

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The agreement covers men’s and women’s sportswear, activewear and workwear. ABG said it is designed to strengthen Lee’s presence across wholesale, retail and e-commerce channels while expanding the brand’s reach in international markets.

“This partnership is an important step in Lee’s international expansion strategy and reflects the strength of our platform model,” said Henry Stupp, president, EMEAI at Authentic. “Experience Group brings deep knowledge of the region, proven operating capabilities and a clear understanding of how to build brands across channels. Together, we see a significant opportunity to grow Lee’s presence across Europe while continuing to deliver the products and experiences consumers know and love.”

The partnership will take effect following the closing of ABG’s acquisition of the heritage denim brand, which is expected to close in the second half of 2026. In May, ABG signed a definitive agreement with Kontoor Brands Inc. to acquire Lee in a deal valued at up to $1 billion.

Experience Group owns and operates retail and wholesale businesses under license partnerships with international corporations including Vans, Columbia, New Era, Sperry and more. It operates more than 100 stores across five European countries and operates a logistics platform and distribution network.

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“We are proud to partner with Authentic on the next chapter of Lee’s growth across Europe,” said Nacho Puig, Experience Group CEO and co-founder. “Lee is a brand with global recognition and a strong foundation in denim and lifestyle. We look forward to building on that legacy by bringing Lee’s denim heritage, craftsmanship and product offering to more consumers across the region while creating new opportunities for the brand’s future.”

Last month, ABG announced a partnership with One Jeanswear Group for the U.S. and Canada.

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Altria Group: High Dividends Are Much More Addictive Than Nicotine (NYSE:MO)

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Altria Group: High Dividends Are Much More Addictive Than Nicotine (NYSE:MO)

This article was written by

I have been working in the logistics sector for almost two decades. I have been into stock investing and macroeconomic analysis for almost a decade. Currently, I focus on ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ Stocks, particularly in banks, telco, logistics, and hotels. Since 2014, I have been trading on the PH stock market. I focus on banking, telco, and retail sectors. A colleague encouraged me to engage in the stock market as part of my portfolio diversification instead of putting all my savings in banks and properties. That was also the year when insurance companies became very popular in the PH. Initially, I invested in popular blue-chip companies. Now, I have investments across different industries and market cap sizes. There are stocks I hold for my retirement, while others are purely for trading profits. In 2020, I also entered the US Market. It was about a year after I discovered Seeking Alpha. Originally, I was using the trading account of NY CA-based cousin. Somehow, I acted like his personal broker. That made me more aware of the US market before deciding to open my own account. I decided to write for Seeking Alpha to share and gain more knowledge since I have been trading on the US market for only four years. Like in the ASEAN market, I have holdings in US banks, hotels, shipping, and logistics companies. I discovered it in 2018. Since then, I have been using the analyses here to compare them to the ones I’m doing in the PH Market.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in MO over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Bharti Airtel fixes record date for its highest-ever dividend of Rs 24/share. What’s the last date to buy?

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Bharti Airtel fixes record date for its highest-ever dividend of Rs 24/share. What’s the last date to buy?
Telecom major Bharti Airtel on Friday fixed July 24 (Friday) as the record date to determine eligibility of shareholders for its highest-ever annual dividend payout of Rs 24 per share for the financial year which ended on March 31, 2026.

Bharti Airtel, in May, announced that its board of directors recommended a final dividend of Rs 24 per fully paid-up equity share for FY26, subject to shareholders’ approval. This comes after the company paid a dividend of Rs 16 per share in July last year, and Rs 8 per share in the year before.

The telco has declared 22 dividends since July, 2009, and currently has a dividend yield of 0.84%, according to data on Trendlyne.

How to be eligible for Bharti Airtel’s dividend?

Bharti Airtel in an exchange filing released on Friday said that the Rs 24 dividend will be paid to shareholders whose names appear in the depository records as at close of business hours on Friday, July 24. This effectively makes July 23 (Thursday) the last date for interested investors to buy shares of the company to be eligible for the dividend payout.

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Under Sebi’s T+1 settlement cycle, investors must purchase a company’s shares at least one trading day before the record date to ensure the shares are credited to their demat accounts in time, and they become eligible for the corporate action. Therefore, July 23 would be the last opportunity for investors to buy the shares so that they are credited to their accounts by July 24, making them eligible for Bharti Airtel’s dividend.

Also read: TCS announces interim dividend of Rs 12 per share. Check record date

Bharti Airtel share price

Bharti Airtel shares dropped nearly 1% to trade at Rs 1,915 apiece, as seen at 11.50 am on Friday. The stock has gained around 8% in one month but dropped more than 9% in 2026 so far and 3% in one year. In the longer term, the shares of the company have delivered 116% returns over three years and 261% over five years.


Nomura in a recent note named Bharti Airtel its top telecom pick and increased its target price to Rs 2,355 apiece, while highlighting that the implied valuation discount when compared to Reliance Industries’ Jio Platform is unwarranted.
The international brokerage maintained its ‘Buy’ call on the stock. The latest target price implies an upside potential of nearly 22% from the stock’s previous closing price of Rs 1,931.10 apiece on NSE.Also read: 10 reasons why Nomura stays bullish on Bharti Airtel

Calling Bharti Airtel an “ARPU compounder with multiple optionalities”, Nomura said that it is one of India’s premium telecom companies, and a structural beneficiary of a consolidated three-player market. “With 5G rollout largely complete and capex intensity past its peak, we believe the resulting strong FCF generation is playing out into a deleveraging cycle,” it said.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Newgen Software shares surge 15% as broad-based IT stocks rally

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Newgen Software shares surge 15% as broad-based IT stocks rally
Newgen Software Technologies shares surged 14.63% to Rs 541.65 during Friday’s trading session, riding a broad-based rally in the information technology sector. The stock gained alongside leading IT names as the Nifty IT index advanced more than 2%, supported by upbeat investor sentiment following Tata Consultancy Services‘ (TCS) better-than-expected first-quarter earnings.

Among largecap IT stocks, Infosys, Wipro, HCL Technologies, and Tech Mahindra climbed as much as 4%, reflecting renewed optimism over the sector’s earnings outlook.

Earlier this month, Newgen Software announced key changes to its top management. At its meeting held on July 2, the company’s board approved a leadership transition following the resignation of Virender Jeet as Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Key Managerial Personnel (KMP), effective from the close of business on August 31, 2026. The resignation had earlier been noted by the board during its meeting on June 12, 2026.

The board appointed Tarun Nandwani as the new Chief Executive Officer and Key Managerial Personnel, while Pramod Kumar was named Chief Growth Officer (CGO) and designated as a Key Managerial Personnel.

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Q1 FY27 Results on July 16


In a regulatory filing dated July 9, the company informed the BSE that its board will meet on July 16, 2026, to consider and approve the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Investors will closely monitor the upcoming earnings for cues on business momentum and management’s outlook following the leadership transition.
Technical Outlook and Valuation SnapshotFrom a technical perspective, Newgen Software is showing signs of improving momentum. The stock’s 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 49.1, indicating neutral momentum, with RSI readings below 30 considered oversold and above 70 considered overbought.

The stock is also trading above six of its eight key simple moving averages (SMAs), suggesting a constructive medium-term trend.

On the valuation front, Newgen Software trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.41, a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 3.61, and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 3.79.

Shareholding data for the March 2026 quarter showed a reduction in institutional ownership. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) trimmed their stake to 14.48% from 17.34%, while Mutual Funds reduced their holdings to 3.33% from 4.12%, indicating some moderation in institutional participation despite the stock’s recent rally.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Merseyrail trains set to return to public control

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The Liverpool City Region is set to take back control of its trains under proposals from Mayor Steve Rotheram

The new Merseyrail trains were rolled out in January 2023

New Merseyrail trains were rolled out in January 2023(Image: Colin Lane/Liverpool Echo)

The Liverpool City Region is poised to bring its trains back under public control following groundbreaking proposals unveiled by Mayor Steve Rotheram. A report due before the Liverpool City Region Combined Authority next week recommends that rail services currently run under the Merseyrail concession be returned to public ownership when the existing contract expires in 2028.

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The decision would mark another significant milestone towards the mayor’s longstanding commitment to establish a transport system where trains, buses, ferries, active travel and future rapid transit services operate as one unified network.

The proposals represent part of the most substantial overhaul of public transport in the Liverpool City Region for generations. The city region is presently bringing its bus network back under public control — with the first franchised services due to commence later this year.

It is anticipated that the landmark shift to bring Merseyrail services into public ownership would facilitate the creation of a single, integrated network alongside buses and ferries — simplifying journeys, enhancing connections between different transport modes and affording the Liverpool City Region greater autonomy to determine its own transport destiny.

The proposals would also unlock opportunities to channel more funding back into services and future improvements, helping to guarantee that the advantages of the network are experienced by passengers and communities throughout the city region. Should the proposal receive approval, detailed planning work will progress before the existing concession expires in 2028, reports the Liverpool Echo.

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Mr Rotheram said: “Since becoming mayor, I’ve been determined to build a transport network that works better for the people who rely on it every day – one that’s easier to use, better connected and designed around passengers.

“We’ve already introduced the country’s first publicly owned train fleet in a generation, delivered new rail stations, taken back control of our buses, rolled out tap-and-go ticketing and started laying the foundations for a rapid transit network.

“Now we have the opportunity to take back control of our trains too.

“Merseyrail is already one of the best-performing rail networks in the country and that’s a credit to the people who run it every day. But the challenge now isn’t simply running a successful railway – it’s bringing together all the different parts of our transport network so they work as one.

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“People don’t obsess about whether they are getting on a bus, a train or a ferry – they just want to get where they’re going as quickly and cheaply as possible. My ambition is simple: one network, one vision, working in the interests of the 1.6 million people who call our city region home.

“Taking back control of our trains will help us do exactly that. It will give us greater freedom to join up services, improve connections, reinvest more money back into the network and make decisions based on what works for passengers.

“We’ve been pioneers before. Nearly 200 years ago, the world’s first inter-city railway ran between Liverpool and Manchester. Today, we have another chance to lead the way – building a modern integrated public transport system fit for a globally renowned city region like ours.”

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Protector Q2 2026 slides: 81.5% combined ratio, muted growth

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Protector Q2 2026 slides: 81.5% combined ratio, muted growth


Protector Q2 2026 slides: 81.5% combined ratio, muted growth

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What Andy Burnham’s devolution agenda means for Wales

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If English devolution deepens under Burnham the competitive pressures on Wales will increase

Andy Burnham.(Image: Peter Byrne/PA Wire)

For Wales the prospect of an Andy Burnham premiership should not be viewed through the usual PR-driven prism of Labour politics or Westminster personalities.

The more important question is what his approach to power and economic development would mean for a nation that already has devolved government yet still struggles to turn it into a sustained economic advantage.

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Burnham’s political appeal has always rested on something different from the standard Westminster offer. He has consistently spoken the language of place and built a reputation in Greater Manchester around transport, housing, skills, local accountability and a more muscular form of regional leadership.

Whether one agrees with every aspect of his record or not, he has shown that English city regions can become serious political and economic actors in their own right.

That is why Wales should pay close attention because if a Burnham-led UK Government were to accelerate devolution within England, then the implications for Wales could be significant.

Not because such a policy would be anti-Welsh, but because it could create a much more competitive set of English regions, each with stronger leadership, clearer economic priorities and greater freedom to act.

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For years, Wales has often compared itself with England as a whole, which is the wrong comparison because the real competition increasingly comes from Manchester, Birmingham, Liverpool, Leeds, Bristol and Newcastle, each of which is trying to position itself as a destination for investment, talent, innovation and infrastructure.

If those places are given more power over skills, transport, planning, housing, business support and inward investment, they will not wait for Wales to catch up.

That is the challenge, and Wales already has a devolved government, its own economic development responsibilities, its own education system, and its own ability to shape policy in areas that matter directly to business. Yet too often, the machinery of economic development in Wales feels slow and fragmented, with little visible urgency in the basic task of growing the Welsh economy.

If English devolution deepens under Burnham, the competitive pressures on Wales will increase in five areas. The first is inward investment, and a powerful mayoral authority with a clear proposition can go to investors and say, with confidence, what it stands for, which sectors it wants to build, what infrastructure it can offer, and how quickly it can help firms make decisions.

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Wales should be able to do the same, but too often our proposition is obscured by institutional complexity and inter-regional competition.

The second is skills, and Burnham has long understood that local economies cannot be transformed if the skills system is disconnected from employers. If English regions gain more influence over training, employment support and technical education, they will be able to align their workforce more closely with growth sectors.

Wales already has many of these levers but having powers and using them well are not the same thing, and our further education colleges and universities need to be part of a much more coherent national mission than they have been for the last 27 years.

The third is infrastructure, and Greater Manchester’s transport agenda has been central to Burnham’s identity as a leader. He understands that buses, trains, housing and employment sites are not separate issues, but shape whether people can access jobs, whether firms can recruit and whether places can grow.

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Wales cannot afford to treat infrastructure as a series of disconnected projects. Whilst South East Wales has benefited from public investment, the rest of Wales – especially North Wales – has been left behind.

The fourth is political influence, and whilst a Burnham premiership might be more sympathetic to places outside London, it could also mean that powerful English mayors become even more influential within Whitehall. They will be in the room arguing for funding, freedoms and investment, and Wales cannot assume that its status as a devolved nation automatically gives it priority.

The fifth is enterprise, and this is where the issue becomes most urgent, as Wales lacks enough businesses. Our business density remains below the UK average, and our start-up and scale-up rates are not where they need to be.

A more entrepreneurial England, driven by assertive regional leadership and stronger local economic tools, would place Wales under even greater pressure unless we respond with a serious strategy for business creation and scale-up of our own.

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None of this means we should oppose further English devolution as there is no long-term benefit to Wales in an over-centralised neighbour dominated by Whitehall and London. But if English regions are given new powers, the Welsh Government needs to ask itself a harder question, namely what have we done with the powers we already have, and what more can we do?

It is easy to call for more devolution, but harder to show that existing powers are being used with sufficient purpose, especially when Wales desperately needs a sharper economic development model, business-facing economic leadership, and backing for entrepreneurs.

Above all, Wales needs to take competitiveness much more seriously. An Andy Burnham premiership would not necessarily weaken Wales as it could create an opportunity for a new economic settlement across the UK, one in which places outside London finally receive greater power, attention and resources.

But it will weaken Wales if we respond passively, and if English city-regions are given more tools and use them with ambition while those running our nation continue with slow decision-making and institutional caution, the gap will widen.

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And that won’t be because England has too much devolution, but because Wales has failed to make the most of its own.

That is the real lesson, and a Burnham premiership may simply expose what has long been true, namely that Wales cannot rely on constitutional status alone.

If increased English devolution forces Wales to become more ambitious, it may prove a useful shock, but if it merely leaves us complaining from the sidelines while the English regions get on with the job, then we will have no one else to blame but ourselves.

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VICI Properties: Rich And Secure Incomes To Weather Macro And Caesars/MGM Uncertainty

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OppFi: Cheap For The Risk Tolerant, Maintain Hold

VICI Properties: Rich And Secure Incomes To Weather Macro And Caesars/MGM Uncertainty

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