Business
Explained: Why Tata Elxsi shares crashed 7% after KPI Tech’s Q1 revenue, profit guidance warning
The company said it expects its Q1FY27 reported revenue in U.S. dollar terms to decline by around 1% year-on-year compared with Q1FY26. The decline has been primarily attributed to sudden actions by some European original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) following their recent profit warnings and adverse business outlook.
Also read:Why KPIT Tech shares crashed today: The BMW & Volkswagen connection explainedKPIT Technologies and Tata Elxsi are peers in the automotive technology space, developing software and engineering solutions for global automakers and Tier-1 suppliers. Both focus on next-generation mobility technologies, including software-defined vehicles, autonomous driving (ADAS), connected vehicles, electric vehicles, and vehicle electronics and embedded software.
Source of trouble
JPMorgan, which downgraded the stock, connected the dots directly by saying the update largely reflects an earlier profit warning tied to KPIT’s BMW account, compounded by troubles at Volkswagen. BMW is significant to KPIT’s business; the brokerage noted it is its largest client, representing 12% of revenues.
The global brokerage downgraded KPIT to Underweight and slashed its target price to Rs 550 from Rs 700. The brokerage estimated the $ revenue decline implies a steeper 4% quarter-on-quarter drop in constant currency terms, driven by the European OEMs‘ sudden pullback.
It also cut revenue estimates by 5–8% and margin estimates by 20–270 basis points across FY27–29, translating into EPS cuts of 9–22%, while trimming its target price-to-earnings multiple to 17x from 21x. JPMorgan now expects FY27 to mark a second straight year of organic revenue decline, projecting a 2.6% drop versus a 1.4% decline in FY26.
JM Financial also downgraded the stock, moving to REDUCE from ADD. The brokerage cut its FY28–29 earnings estimates by 12–13% and lowered its target multiple to 20x FY28E EPS from 24x, citing a muted near-term outlook. JM Financial said the update pushes KPIT’s recovery timeline further out and that FY27 is likely to be a soft year overall, even as it acknowledged that longer-term client cost pressures could eventually benefit KPIT through higher outsourcing. The brokerage flagged that earnings estimates remain vulnerable to further downgrades.
Read more: KPIT Tech shares crash 17% as company expects Q1 revenue decline, sharp hit to marginsShort term pain for KPIT?
Despite the warning, KPIT maintained that its underlying business remains strong. The company pointed to continued momentum in its products and solutions business, the trucks and off-highway segment, and markets including the US, Korea and India, along with new client wins in passenger vehicles.
It said it is pursuing AI-led productivity and cost-containment measures and remains confident of delivering sequential growth by Q4FY27, setting up a stronger FY28. Both H1FY27 and FY27 as a whole, however, are expected to fall short of earlier expectations.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Treasury yields extended their recent gains Friday after three Federal Reserve officials explained why they cast dissenting votes in favor of raising interest rate this week.
Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, were also driven higher by economic data, including a stronger-than-expected reading on Chicago-area economic activity.
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at 4.743%, according to Tradeweb, its highest closing level since January 2025. The 30-year yield closed at 5.274%, its highest since July 2007.
South Korean stocks surged on Friday, with the KOSPI index rising nearly 18%.
Despite the dramatic gains, the index was still down for the week and the month, a testament to how volatile Korean equities have been as of late.
Not counting today, the KOSPI has gained more than 10% in a single day in only six instances, according to Dow Jones Market Data. History shows that in the week following those six times, the S&P 500 traded lower two-thirds of the time, with an average decline of 1.6%.
1539 ET – Oil futures end July with hefty gains as the month saw renewed Iranian attacks on shipping in a dispute with the U.S. over control of the Strait of Hormuz. Concerns that a return to negotiations could quickly reduce risk premium and lead to oversupply have kept prices from reaching the lofty levels seen in March and April. “Traders are essentially betting on two very different geopolitical outcomes, and neither one is a safe assumption right now,” says Baron Lamarre, co-founder of Index Litro and former head of trading at Petronas. “My base view is we won’t end up with either a massive glut or a full-blown supply crisis by the end of the year,” he adds. “Instead, we’re in for a period of stubbornly tight, volatile conditions that will stick around longer than the optimists are hoping.” WTI settles up 1.3% at $84.67 a barrel for a 22% monthly gain. Brent for September delivery goes off the board at $90.12 a barrel, up 1.2% on the day and up 24% from the end of June.(anthony.harrup@wsj.com)
Oil Futures on Track for Big Monthly Gains
0951 ET – Oil futures turn higher in early U.S. trading and are on track for hefty gains for July, which saw the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding fall apart and Iran resume attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. “All things held equal, the market should go a lot higher and led by diesel and gasoline as refinery run rates arejust too low on a lack of crude,” Scott Shelton of TP ICAP says in a note. “The reality is that we are back to a very small amount of crude versus what is needed.” WTI is up 2.2% at $85.42 a barrel. September Brent is 1.5% higher at $90.36 ahead of today’s expiry, while the October contract gains 1.8% to $88.47.(anthony.harrup@wsj.com)
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Currency traders broadly believe that the yen’s recent strengthening reflected yen purchases by Japanese authorities, as well as speculation of a possible U.S. intervention. The U.S. Treasury Department meanwhile has informed banks that it might make currency trades on Friday to support the Japanese yen and strengthen its exchange rate against the dollar, the Wall Street Journal reported today.
Global reforms emphasize control and decision-making authority over legal forms, shifting regional headquarters evaluation to governance, risk management, and value creation, impacted by tax rates and regulatory expectations.
Evolving Evaluation of Regional Headquarters
Global minimum tax, stricter substance enforcement, and geopolitical fragmentation have reshaped how regional headquarters are assessed. Singapore, Hong Kong, and Dubai now serve distinct roles, each aligned with different strategies for controlling operations and managing risks. They are no longer interchangeable hubs competing on similar benefits, but rather centers tailored to specific business models and regulatory environments.
Authority and Control Define a Headquarters
The focus has shifted from a legal entity’s structure to the authority it exercises within an organization. Regulators and counterparties increasingly scrutinize where key decisions—related to capital allocation, pricing, treasury, and risk management—are made. An entity exercising discretion in these areas is viewed as a true control center, influencing regulatory treatment and compliance risk instead of mere administrative support.
Governance and Control in Practice
Beyond reporting functions, the extent of authority impacts governance, documentation, and accountability standards. These factors determine a company’s regulatory exposure and defenses. While corporate tax rates like Singapore’s 17% and Hong Kong’s 16.5% are still relevant, emphasis now also rests on where value creation and control are evidenced within the organization.
Read the original article : Singapore vs Hong Kong vs Dubai: Regional HQ Trade-Offs for Investors
Other People are Reading
Are you tired? I’m tired. In addition to four Big Tech companies reporting earnings this past week, the calendar included results for second-quarter gross domestic product and the June personal consumption expenditures price index, along with the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. Unscheduled, there was a meltdown of the artificial-intelligence trade, as highly leveraged bull positions were liquidated. The iShares Semiconductor exchange-traded fund was down 12% across three days, and one of the most successful AI investors—hedge fund Situational Awareness—saw margin calls and forced sales.
Private-equity firm KKR KKR is near a deal to take medical-device outsourcing company Integer Holdings ITGR private, according to people familiar with the matter.
The details
The deal, which could come as soon as next week, would value the Plano, Texas-based company at roughly $127 a share, the people said. There are no guarantees a deal will come together.
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Exclusive-Japan to announce Tokyo, Washington took joint action on yen, sources say
A 9% selloff in Apple stock hasn’t done much to slow down the Nasdaq today.
Apple was recently down about $470 billion in market capitalization, on pace for its largest one-day market cap decline on record and the second-largest of any U.S. company. If it holds, the decline will be Apple’s biggest since 2020.
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