Business

F&O Talk: Nifty may stay range-bound; Sudeep Shah sees opportunities in banks, IT, picks 7 stocks

Published

3 weeks ago

30 May 2026

F&O Talk: Nifty may stay range-bound; Sudeep Shah sees opportunities in banks, IT, picks 7 stocks

The Indian stock market witnessed a sharp selloff on Friday afternoon, with the Sensex and Nifty falling over 1% as passive fund flows linked to the MSCI index reshuffle weighed on sentiment.

Sensex dropped over 1,092 points to 74,776 while Nifty 50 crashed nearly 359 points to 23,547. This came as India VIX, which measures volatility in markets, jumped around 8% to 16.18. The sharp losses wiped off nearly Rs 6 lakh crore from the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, pulling it down to Rs 465 lakh crore.

Analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:

Nifty rollover for May expiry came in below both the three-month and six-month averages. Does this suggest traders are turning cautious near higher levels, or is it simply profit-booking after the recent recovery?

In the month of May, the benchmark index Nifty traded within a narrow range of 1219 points, marking its smallest monthly range since December 2025. The rollover in the May series also came below the prior month and 3-month average. Notably, a majority of the trading sessions during the month witnessed either an upside or downside gap at the opening, followed by range-bound price action throughout the day. As a result, opportunities for intraday and short-term traders remained limited despite the frequent gap openings. But what made this phase even more unusual was the message hidden within the broader monthly price structure.

On the monthly chart, Nifty has formed a bearish candle with shadows on either side, reflecting indecisiveness among market participants amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Zooming into the final week of May, the index continued to trade within a narrow range for most of the week before witnessing a sharp decline during the final hour of Friday’s trading session, which tilted the balance in favour of the bears. While the market remained range-bound for most of the week, the late sell-off has raised an important question—was this merely profit booking or the beginning of a larger directional move?
From a technical standpoint, Nifty continues to trade below all its key moving averages. More importantly, these moving averages have flattened out, indicating the absence of a strong trend. The daily RSI remains in a sideways zone as per the RSI Range Shift framework, while the daily Stochastic oscillator is also moving within a narrow band. Adding to this, the trend strength indicator, Daily ADX, is placed at near 15 level and continues to decline, suggesting a lack of directional momentum in the index. While these indicators point towards a lack of trend, Friday’s late sell-off has injected fresh uncertainty into the market setup.
Talking about crucial levels, on the upside, the 20-day EMA zone of 23,750-23,800 is likely to act as an immediate hurdle for the index. On the downside, the zone of 23,300-23,250 remains a crucial support area. A breach below 23,250 could intensify selling pressure and open the doors for a decline towards the psychologically important 23,000 mark. With the index approaching key support levels, the market’s next move could set the tone for the coming weeks.

Bank Nifty rollover saw a sharper decline and futures data indicates short build-up despite price weakness. Are banking stocks likely to remain drags on the market in the June series?

In the month of May, the banking benchmark index Bank Nifty traded within a narrow range of 3,550 points, marking its tightest monthly range since January 2026. On the monthly timeframe, it has formed a High Wave candle, reflecting market indecisiveness.

During the past week, the index witnessed a strong upmove in the first half; however, it failed to sustain above the 55,500 level and subsequently underwent a sharp correction. This led to the formation of a bearish candle with a long upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.

At present, the index is trading below its key moving averages, which are trending downward, suggesting a weak bias. The daily RSI remains in a sideways zone as per the RSI range shift rules, indicating lack of clear momentum.

Going ahead, the 53,500–53,400 zone is expected to act as an important support for the index. A breach below 53,400 could trigger further downside, with the next key support placed around 52,700. On the upside, the 50-day EMA zone of 55,300–55,200 is likely to act as a crucial hurdle.

FIIs reduced nearly 9,800 index shorts while also adding fresh longs. Do you see this as the beginning of a more constructive stance from foreign investors, or is positioning still defensive overall?

There were clear signs of short covering in Index futures between 21st May and 27th May, with FII net Index futures shorts reducing sharply from 2,31,190 contracts to 1,63,012 contracts. This also led to the long-short ratio improving from 11.80% to 16.14%, indicating a relatively constructive shift in positioning.

On Friday, massive short positions were built up leading to net index futures short contracts once again rising to 2,01,309 and the long short ratio dipping to 11.98%. Similar phases of short covering in the past were quickly followed by aggressive selling, causing bullish expectations to fade rapidly. This pattern has persisted for quite some time and is likely to continue until there is greater clarity on the US-Iran deal, a meaningful fall in the Dollar Index (DXY), stability in crude oil prices, and depreciation in the dollar against the rupee. Until these external factors stabilize, FII sentiment is likely to remain cautious rather than decisively bullish.

What are key levels to watch out for in June series? What triggers could push Nifty decisively beyond in either direction?

Talking about crucial levels, on the upside, the 20-day EMA zone of 23,750-23,800 is likely to act as an immediate hurdle for the index. On the downside, the zone of 23,300-23,250 remains a crucial support area. A breach below 23,250 could intensify selling pressure and open the doors for a decline towards the psychologically important 23,000 mark. With the index approaching key support levels, the market’s next move could set the tone for the coming weeks.

IT continues to trade near 52-week lows with elevated open interest and negative carry. Is the sector still witnessing aggressive short positions, and what would it take for sentiment to improve meaningfully?

The Nifty IT Index has rebounded nearly 8% from its 14th May low of 27,078. However, over the last seven sessions, the Index has remained range-bound between 29,747 and 28,678, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. The RSI remains flat, while a subdued ADX reflects low volatility and absence of trend strength. Additionally, the MACD continues to trade below both the zero line and signal line, highlighting weak underlying momentum.

On the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG), the Index has shifted from the lagging to the improving quadrant, suggesting early signs of momentum recovery, though relative strength remains limited. The Index continues to trade below its 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs, keeping the near-term trend weak. The 29,900–30,000 zone remains a crucial resistance area, and a decisive breakout above this level could trigger a stronger pullback rally in the IT pack.

Given that the broader market structure remains range-bound with elevated volatility, should traders focus more on stock-specific opportunities rather than aggressive index directional bets in the June series?

With the broader market remaining range-bound amid elevated volatility, traders are likely to find better opportunities in stock-specific setups rather than aggressive directional bets on the Index in the June series. The rising ratio line in the Midcap and Smallcap indices relative to Nifty highlights continued outperformance in the broader market space.

Despite the strong bearish candle on 29th May, the overall market structure remains bullish, with no concrete signs of a major reversal yet. Currently, strength is visible in sectors such as private banks, PSU banks, financial services, and select midcap IT names. Meanwhile, the Index continues to react sharply to geopolitical developments, leading to frequent gap-ups and gap-downs that reduce trading clarity. In such an environment, strong price-action structures backed by robust technicals in trending sectors are likely to outperform across market conditions.

What stocks are you looking out for?

For the short term, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank, Nuvama Wealth Management, RR Kabel, Syrma SGS Technology, Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS), and Minda Corporation are looking attractive based on their current market setup.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

Business

Vietnam’s Industrial Surge Redefines the “Single-Location” Investment Strategy

Published

33 seconds ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

Vietnam’s industrial landscape is transitioning from a uniform manufacturing market into a complex system of distinct regional ecosystems, requiring investors to move beyond a “one-location” playbook. While Northern, Central, and Southern regions offer unique advantages—ranging from tight integration with Chinese supply chains to emerging low-cost opportunities—infrastructure developments like the Long Thanh International Airport are reshaping the country’s economic gravity faster than policy frameworks. Consequently, long-term success in Vietnam now depends on navigating regional divergence and leveraging tailored business intelligence rather than relying on oversimplified, national-level data.

Key Points

Northern Vietnam has solidified its role as a “China-plus-one” hub, specifically optimized for time-sensitive supply chains and seamless cross-border component flows.
Central Vietnam is emerging as a competitive, lower-cost alternative for manufacturers seeking first-mover advantages and an escape from the congestion of primary industrial hubs.
Southern Vietnam remains the leader in FDI volume and market access but faces increasing challenges from rising labor costs, logistical bottlenecks, and regulatory complexity.
Infrastructure projects, most notably the Long Thanh International Airport in Dong Nai, are redrawing the industrial map by creating new high-tech and smart-logistics corridors.
Vietnam is shifting from siloed provincial planning toward integrated industrial ecosystems and corridors, such as the Hanoi–Hai Phong–Quang Ninh and Ho Chi Minh City–Binh Duong–Ba Ria-Vung Tau zones.
Provincial authorities are becoming more selective, increasingly prioritizing high-value, environmentally sustainable projects while discouraging low-tech, labor-intensive investments.
The primary risk for modern investors is no longer regulatory uncertainty but the oversimplification of a market where incentives, labor availability, and land pricing vary sharply between regions.
Effective investment strategies for 2026 require sector-specific and location-specific intelligence to align with future infrastructure and evolving provincial policy priorities.

Vietnam’s manufacturing triumph is commonly highlighted through national figures such as FDI investments, export increases, and growing industrial production. However, for investors actively engaged in the market, these prominent statistics often mask a more intricate truth: Vietnam has evolved beyond a single industrial market. It now comprises a network of competing, merging, and developing industrial ecosystems.

How do the specific operational advantages of Northern Vietnam’s ‘China-plus-one’ hub compare to the emerging cost efficiencies of Central Vietnam for high-tech manufacturers?

The comparison between Northern Vietnam’s well-established “China-plus-one” hub and the rising efficiencies of Central Vietnam highlights a trade-off between rapid supply chain responsiveness and sustainable cost-effectiveness.

Northern Vietnam: The ‘China-plus-one’ Operational Hub

Northern Vietnam is positioned as a specialized hub for high-tech manufacturers who require tight integration with Chinese production networks. Its specific advantages include:

Logistical Proximity: Its close proximity to China significantly reduces logistics costs for manufacturers that rely heavily on importing components from across the border.
Time-Sensitivity: The region is optimized for time-sensitive supply chains and seamless cross-border component flows.
Specialization: The document notes that production, infrastructure, and labor in the North are more specialized than in other regions, such as the South.
Strategic Goal: It is the primary choice for companies seeking to quickly relocate operations while maintaining high integration with Chinese supply chains.

Central Vietnam: Emerging Cost and Long-term Efficiencies

Central Vietnam is characterized as a “long overlooked” region that offers a different strategic value proposition based on cost and first-mover advantages:

Cost and Congestion: It serves as a lower-cost, lower-congestion alternative to the more saturated hubs in the North and South.
Efficiency over Scale: Manufacturers in this region often trade immediate scale for long-term efficiency and “first-mover advantage.”
Operational Flexibility: The region offers lower costs and “room to relocate” for both manufacturers and their partners/suppliers.
Strategic Goal: It is best suited for companies with a long-term investment strategy who are willing to relocate the majority of their supply chain over time.

Comparative Summary for High-Tech Manufacturers

Feature	Northern Vietnam	Central Vietnam
Primary Advantage	Speed and integration with China.	Lower costs and reduced congestion.
Supply Chain Focus	Importing components from China.	Relocating the entire supply chain over time.
Infrastructure Status	Specialized and established.	Supplier networks/high-end zones not yet fully established.
Investment Timeline	Rapid relocation/Immediate operation.	Long-term strategy/First-mover advantage.

The choice between the two regions depends on the manufacturer’s specific needs. The North is superior for those needing immediate, high-tech specialization and Chinese component access. In contrast, Central Vietnam is positioned for manufacturers prioritizing long-term cost savings and efficiency who are prepared to deal with a less established local supplier network initially.

Bottom Line

Vietnam remains a compelling manufacturing destination, but in 2026 and beyond, resilience will come from understanding internal complexity and leveraging tailored advisory support rather than relying on generic comparisons.

Business

Definium to present phase 3 depression trial results Monday

Published

34 minutes ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

Definium to present phase 3 depression trial results Monday

Business

MoonLake reports phase 3 hidradenitis suppurativa trial results

Published

41 minutes ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

MoonLake reports phase 3 hidradenitis suppurativa trial results

Business

Chevy Silverado gets V8 power boost, high-tech overhaul for 2027

Published

47 minutes ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

Chevy Silverado gets V8 power boost, high-tech overhaul for 2027

Chevrolet recently unveiled the next-generation 2027 Silverado 1500, which the automaker says is its most powerful Silverado ever. (Credit: Chevrolet)

Chevrolet is giving its Silverado pickup a major update with new V8 engines, a redesigned exterior and more technology inside the cabin.

The automaker on Tuesday introduced the next-generation 2027 Chevrolet Silverado 1500, calling it the “most powerful Silverado ever” and marking one of the pickup’s biggest updates in years.

The truck is expected to go on sale at the end of the year, with pricing to be announced later, according to the company.

“Silverado has earned truck customers’ trust over decades of hard work in the real world,” Scott Bell, vice president of Global Chevrolet, said in a statement. “With the next-generation 2027 Silverado 1500, we’re taking that legacy forward by building the most capable, refined and advanced Silverado lineup we’ve ever offered.”

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A 2027 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 Trail Boss in Trillium Metallic, a Silverado 1500 ZR2 in White Sands and a Silverado 1500 High Country in Black are shown, from left, on a mountain overlook. (Chevrolet)

The 2027 Silverado will offer four powertrain options, including new 5.7-liter and 6.6-liter V8 engines. Chevrolet said the truck will have the most powerful naturally aspirated V8 engine in its class.

The lineup will also include an updated 2.7-liter TurboMax engine paired with a 10-speed transmission, along with the Duramax 3.0-liter Turbo-Diesel.

“From tough towing scenarios to the daily demands our customers put on their trucks, these next-generation V8s were engineered and proven to perform in the real world,” Mark Dickens, executive chief engineer at Chevrolet, said in a statement.

The 2027 Silverado will come in seven trims, including Work Truck, Custom, Custom Trail Boss, Silverado, Trail Boss, ZR2 and High Country.

GM RECALLS THOUSANDS OF VEHICLES OVER TRANSMISSION ISSUE THAT COULD INCREASE RISK OF CRASH

A 2027 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 High Country in Black tows a boat along a mountain road.

Chevrolet said the new lineup is designed to give buyers more choice, from work-focused trucks to off-road models and more premium versions.

The ZR2 will be the most off-road-capable version, while the High Country will serve as the top luxury trim.

Inside, every 2027 Silverado will come with a new digital cockpit, including a standard 16.3-inch center display and a 12.2-inch driver information screen.

Chevrolet said the Silverado will offer Super Cruise driver-assistance technology with trailering capability, allowing hands-free driving while towing on compatible roads.

The truck also gets a new exterior design, including a stronger front end, new LED headlights and taillights and updated wheel openings.

GM DOUBLES DOWN ON AMERICAN MANUFACTURING WITH $4B INVESTMENT

The second-row interior of a 2027 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 High Country features Enoki trim and a panoramic sunroof.

The 2027 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 High Country features a panoramic sunroof and a tech-focused interior. (Chevrolet)

“The goal with the new Silverado was to create a truck that looks stronger, more modern with demanding presence at first glance, while staying true to the authentic truck character customers expect from Chevrolet,” Chevrolet Global Executive Design Director Phil Zak said in a statement.

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Additional details, including availability and MSRP, will be released later this year.

Chevrolet last introduced an all-new Silverado in December 2017, when it unveiled the fourth-generation 2019 Silverado, according to the company’s website.

Business

Major Updates in Government, Finance, Travel, and Culture

Published

1 hour ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

Major Highlights Spanning Government, Finance, Travel, and Culture

Economic and Infrastructure Developments

Land Bridge and Malacca Strait Alternative

Thailand has revived its ambitious $30 billion Land Bridge project, a coast-to-coast corridor designed to challenge the dominance of the Malacca Strait. The proposal aims to create an alternative shipping route across the Thai peninsula, though analysts caution that bypassing Malacca remains a significant logistical and financial challenge given port capacity and regional competition. Reuters | Thailand Business News

Foreign Investment and Financial Inflows

Thailand is experiencing a notable surge in foreign investment, with inflows topping 154 billion baht in the first five months of the year, representing a 73% increase year-on-year. Bloomberg reports that funds are exiting Indonesia in favor of Thailand, signaling growing investor confidence. The government is also launching Thailand FastPass on June 23 to streamline and accelerate the investment approval process. Bloomberg | Nation Thailand

Energy and Offshore Drilling

Valeura Energy has successfully completed its Nong Yao drilling campaign in the Gulf of Thailand, including the region’s first multi-lateral well — a significant technical milestone. The campaign consisted of eight wells and is expected to boost Gulf of Thailand production. Separately, the US has streamlined civil nuclear export approvals to Thailand, stepping up support for the country’s energy diversification ambitions. Thailand Business News | Offshore Engineer Magazine

Semiconductor Ambitions

Thailand is advancing plans to become ASEAN’s semiconductor manufacturing centre, positioning the country as a key player in the global tech supply chain amid ongoing shifts in electronics production away from China. TV BRICS

Tourism and Travel

Vietnam Challenges Thailand’s Tourism Dominance

Vietnam is rapidly emerging as Southeast Asia’s fastest-growing tourism destination, threatening Thailand’s longstanding regional leadership. Driven by visa-free policy reforms, expanded airline networks, and a surge in Chinese outbound tourism, Vietnam is on track to overtake Thailand in visitor numbers. Thailand recorded a 25% drop in tourists from the Middle East, further pressuring its tourism targets. Travel and Tour World | Nikkei Asia

Visa and Tourism Policy Changes

Thailand is reviewing its visa-free stay policies, joining a global trend prioritizing tourism quality over sheer quantity. Phuket is pushing a hotel levy rising to 3% to generate billion-baht revenue for infrastructure and visitor experience improvements. Meanwhile, Norse Atlantic has expanded Thailand winter flight programs from the UK, Norway, and Sweden. Travel and Tour World | Thailand Business News

Chiang Mai as a Retirement and Expat Hub

Chiang Mai continues to attract retirees and expatriates from around the world, with the city experiencing a 140% boom in women-only co-living spaces. Expats cite the lower cost of living, quality lifestyle, and welcoming community as key draws. Indian couples and international relocators have publicly shared stories of enjoying equivalent rents with significantly better quality of life compared to their home countries. Business Insider | Thailand Business News

Culture, Sports, and Media

T-Pop and Soft Power

Thailand’s music industry is gaining international momentum, with T-Pop increasingly compared to South Korea’s K-Pop phenomenon. Thailand is also leveraging cultural exports, including the popularity of same-sex romance dramas, which have attracted millions of global viewers according to Bloomberg.

Sports Highlights

Thailand’s national volleyball team secured their first Volleyball Nations League 2026 victory, guided by Sasipapron Janthawisut. Meanwhile, Faridabad bodybuilder Manish Rajput won gold in Thailand, defeating a Pakistani rival. Thailand also features in the newly released Captain Tsubasa II: World Fighters game, with dedicated Japan vs. Thailand gameplay content released. Volleyball World

This summary reflects aggregated news reporting and does not represent editorial positions of any individual publication.

Source : Google News – Search

Business

Northern Small Cap Value Fund Q1 2026 Commentary

Published

2 hours ago

21 June 2026

NewsAdmin

Don’t Confuse Small-Cap Benchmark With Small-Cap Strategy

Northern Trust Asset Management is a global investment manager that helps investors navigate changing market environments in efforts to realize their long-term objectives.

Entrusted with $1.2 trillion in assets under management as of March 31, 2024, we understand that investing ultimately serves a greater purpose and believe investors should be compensated for the risks they take — in all market environments and any investment strategy. That’s why we combine robust capital markets research, expert portfolio construction and comprehensive risk management in an effort to craft innovative and efficient solutions that seek to deliver targeted investment outcomes.

As engaged contributors to our communities, we consider it a great privilege to serve our investors and our communities with integrity, respect and transparency.

Northern Trust Asset Management is composed of Northern Trust Investments, Inc., Northern Trust Global Investments Limited, Northern Trust Fund Managers (Ireland) Limited, Northern Trust Global Investments Japan, K.K., NT Global Advisors, Inc., 50 South Capital Advisors, LLC, Northern Trust Asset Management Australia Pty Ltd, and investment personnel of The Northern Trust Company of Hong Kong Limited and The Northern Trust Company. Note: This account is not managed or monitored by Northern Trust Asset Management, and any messages sent via Seeking Alpha will not receive a response. For inquiries or communication, please use Northern Trust Asset Management’s official channels.