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F&O Talk: Nifty may consolidate further; Sudeep Shah’s strategy on TCS, HDFC Bank, Infosys

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F&O Talk: Nifty may consolidate further; Sudeep Shah's strategy on TCS, HDFC Bank, Infosys
Sensex and Nifty closed in the red as the RBI’s hawkish, wait-and-watch stance offset support from falling oil prices and Treasury bond yields.

Sensex declined 117 points to close at 74,243, while Nifty 50 ended the session at 23,367. This came even as India VIX, which measures volatility in the Indian stock market, declined nearly 1% to 15.75.

Analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:

Nifty slipped more than 2% this week. What do the charts indicate for the index heading into next week’s trading session?

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For the second consecutive week, the benchmark index Nifty ended in negative territory. On the weekly chart, the index formed a bearish candle with shadows on both sides, reflecting indecisiveness among market participants. Notably, over the last four trading sessions, the index has been hovering near its previous swing low, indicating a lack of directional conviction. Yet, beneath this seemingly quiet price action, a fascinating battle between bullish and bearish signals continues to unfold.


Interestingly, Nifty formed a Bullish Belt Hold pattern on Tuesday, followed by a Gravestone Doji on Wednesday. However, the absence of any meaningful follow-through on Thursday and Friday suggests that traders remain cautious.As a result, the index has largely traded within a narrow range over the past four sessions. The bigger question, however, is why the index remains trapped despite these contrasting candlestick formations.
A key reason behind this sideways movement is the divergence between the index’s heavyweight sectors. While Nifty Bank has been showing relative strength, Nifty IT has continued to underperform, resulting in a tug-of-war that has kept the benchmark range-bound. Additionally, Nifty continues to trade below its crucial moving averages, while momentum indicators are also signaling a lack of strong directional bias. When heavyweight sectors pull in opposite directions, the next move often becomes more explosive once the stalemate is broken. These technical factors suggest that the index is likely to remain in a consolidation phase in the near term. What is the current F&O positioning signalling for Nifty and Bank Nifty going into the new week?

Current F&O positioning indicates a neutral-to-slightly bearish undertone heading into the new week. While the Put-Call Ratio improved materially during the week, signalling that bearish aggression has moderated, call writers remain active at higher levels. With put support concentrated around 23,400–23,500 and significant call resistance near 23,700–24,000, the market is likely to remain range-bound unless a decisive breakout or breakdown triggers fresh positioning.

Nifty Bank ended the week over 1% lower. How are the charts shaping up and what strategy should traders adopt from here?

The banking benchmark index, Bank Nifty, outperformed the frontline indices during the past week, ending on a positive note. The index formed a small-bodied candle with a long lower shadow, highlighting strong buying interest emerging at lower levels.

From a relative strength perspective, the ratio chart of Bank Nifty versus Nifty has witnessed a consolidation breakout and has started trending higher, indicating sustained outperformance. Currently, the index is trading above its 20-day EMA, suggesting a relatively resilient bias. However, momentum indicators are still hovering sideways, reflecting a lack of strong directional conviction in the near term.

Going forward, the 50-day EMA zone of 55,000–55,100 is expected to act as an immediate resistance area. A sustained move above 55100 could pave the way for a sharp upside rally towards 55,800, followed by 56,500 in the short term. On the downside, the 53,800–53,700 zone will serve as a crucial support area, providing a cushion against any near-term weakness.

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TCS, Infosys and Wockhardt witnessed sharp swings this week. How should investors approach these stocks at current levels?

We recommend avoiding TCS and Infosys for now as the major trend of both the stocks is bearish. The stock of Wockhardt Ltd has witnessed a profit booking after the sharp upside rally. Going ahead, if the stock sustains above 2,070 level then it is likely to resume its upward rally.

HDFC Bank stock continues to remain under pressure and is forming a lower top–lower bottom structure on the daily chart, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. Currently, it is trading near its recent swing low, reflecting weak price action and the absence of strong buying interest at current levels.

Technically, the stock is trading below its key moving averages, reinforcing the negative bias. Momentum indicators also remain weak, with the RSI hovering near the 40 mark, indicating subdued momentum, while the MACD remains in negative territory, highlighting continued bearish undertones. The overall setup suggests that sellers remain in control, and any meaningful reversal would require the stock to reclaim key resistance levels.

Going forward, the Rs 730–725 zone will act as a crucial support area. A sustained move below Rs 730 could invite fresh selling pressure and drag the stock towards lower levels. On the upside, only a decisive move above Rs 780 would indicate a short-term trend reversal and could trigger a pullback rally towards the Rs 810–820 zone. Until then, the overall structure is likely to remain weak.

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Have you seen any meaningful change in the Put-Call Ratio (PCR) this week, and what does it signal about market sentiment?

The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) has improved from 0.5 at the beginning of the week to 0.69 currently, indicating that bearish aggression is gradually easing. Despite this improvement in positioning, Nifty continues to trade within a narrow range, suggesting that neither bulls nor bears have established decisive control. The rise in PCR points to reduced call writing pressure. However, the absence of a price breakout indicates that market participants are still awaiting a stronger directional trigger. Until a range breakout occurs, the prevailing expectation remains one of sideways consolidation with a slightly improving undertone.

What are the key support and resistance levels traders should keep an eye on in the coming week?

On the downside, the zone of 23,100–23,050 will act as a critical support area, as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous rally from 22182 to 24,602 is positioned within this range. A decisive breach below 23050 could trigger a sharper correction towards 22,700, followed by 22,500 in the short term. Equally important is the resistance zone, as it could determine whether the current consolidation transforms into a meaningful recovery.

On the upside, the zone of 23,550–23,600 is expected to act as a crucial resistance hurdle. A sustained move above 23,600 could pave the way for a sharp recovery towards 23,900, followed by 24,100 in the short term.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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This Week’s Market Wrap: AI Ups And Downs, Oil Roars Back, And Strong Data

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This Week's Market Wrap: AI Ups And Downs, Oil Roars Back, And Strong Data

Cited by Barron’s as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.

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NSE investor accounts cross 26 crore milestone as mobile trading and tier-2/3 cities drive participation

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NSE investor accounts cross 26 crore milestone as mobile trading and tier-2/3 cities drive participation
The National Stock Exchange of India has crossed another landmark with unique trading accounts, or client codes, surpassing 26 crore or 260 million in June 2026. The pace of growth is accelerating, the most recent one crore accounts were added in just under four months, according to NSE.

NSE said in a press release that over 4.3 crore accounts, nearly 17% of the total, have been added in the past year alone, reflecting sustained retail interest despite geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility.

“NSE has significantly expanded its investor education initiatives in recent years,” the exchange said, noting that the number of Investor Awareness Programs rose five-fold from 3,504 in FY20 to 17,902 in FY26, covering more than 9.4 lakh participants in FY26 alone. The exchange’s Investor Protection Fund stood at Rs 2,890 crore as of April 30, 2026. Shri Sriram Krishnan, Chief Business Development Officer, NSE, said: “Crossing the 26-crore investor accounts mark is a significant achievement for the exchange and reflects the continued deepening of investor participation in Indian capital markets. Despite prevailing geopolitical uncertainty, the addition of one crore accounts in just under four months underlines sustained investor confidence and the expanding reach of the market ecosystem.”

The growth is being driven by rapid digitisation and penetration beyond metros. Mobile trading platforms now account for more than a fifth of cash market turnover, while a simplified KYC framework has lowered entry barriers. Maharashtra leads with 4.4 crore accounts, 17% of the total, followed by Uttar Pradesh with ~3 crore, Gujarat with 2.2 crore, and West Bengal and Rajasthan with 1.5 crore each. The top five states account for 49% of accounts, but northeastern states are catching up fast — Mizoram, Sikkim and Meghalaya saw 32.3%, 30% and 29.2% of their five-year additions happen in 2025 itself.

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Indirect participation via mutual funds is also surging. 7.2 crore new SIP accounts were opened between April 2025 and March 2026, and average monthly SIP inflows grew eight-fold from Rs 3,660 crore in FY17 to Rs 29,132 crore in FY26. Individual investors now own 18.7% of NSE-listed companies directly and via mutual funds as of March 31, 2026. Over five years to June 4, 2026, Nifty50 and Nifty 500 delivered 7.1% and 9.8% annualised returns, while NSE-listed companies’ market cap grew at 12.6% CAGR to Rs 462.2 lakh crore.


“This growth has been supported by greater adoption of mobile-based trading, a simplified KYC framework and sustained efforts to promote disciplined investing through stakeholder-led investor awareness initiatives.” Krishnan added. He also said that participation is expanding beyond established urban centres into Tier 2, Tier 3 and Tier 4 cities. Investors are also engaging across a wider range of exchange-traded instruments, including equities, ETFs, REITs, InvITs, government bonds and corporate bonds. The recent introduction of Electronic Gold Receipts has further broadened market access.

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New York’s Office Market Is Booming. It’s Good News for Investors.

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The End of Tariffs? Not a Chance, These Economists Say

New York’s Office Market Is Booming. It’s Good News for Investors.

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The investment to transform historic St Helen’s ground in Swansea

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The famous rugby ground is being revamped and will host its first Ospreys in October.

St Helen's

Work has started transforming the St Helen’s ground in Swansea.(Image: John Myers)

Swansea Council has confirmed plans for a £7.6m investment to transform St Helen’s into a new home for professional rugby region the Ospreys which they believe will strengthen the club’s long-term commercial viability.

Preparatory work is under way on the first phase of redeveloping the ground, which will include a new pitch and a stand on the seafront side, as well as a new fan zone and community facilities.

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A report to the council’s cabinet says the existing clubhouse will come under the local authority’s ownership – it already owns the ground – and will provide modern changing facilities, accessible amenities and flexible indoor spaces for sport and wider community use, including non-sporting events and functions.

A new 3G pitch will be repositioned closer to a newly-covered terrace to improve the atmosphere and spectator experience. The existing stand will be relocated to the Mumbles end, with a new stand seating close to 2,000 replacing it on the seafront side. A new fan zone and hospitality offer at the Guildhall end will create a focal point for matchdays and year-round activity.

The council said the revamped ground will also be used for grassroots sport, schools and colleges, while promoting healthier and more active lifestyles across Swansea.

St Helen's

(Image: John Myers)

Subject to cabinet sign-off, the council will make a £5.1m capital contribution with the Ospreys’ owners, Y11 Sport and Media, investing £2.5m. It was originally envisaged that the total investment at St Helen’s would be around £5m.

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Y11 has acquired temporary stand infrastructure from Worcester Rugby to support the revamping of the historic ground. The Ospreys will enter into a 50-year lease with the council with an annual rent of around £100,000 per year, subject to inflation-linked reviews. The Ospreys will take full responsibility for matchday operations, including sporting and commercial. The upgraded ground and facilities will meet the standards required for the Ospreys to compete in the United Rugby Championship (URC) and European competition.

Swansea Council’s cabinet will discuss the proposals next week. Subject to health and safety assessments, the revamped ground will have a capacity for close to 7,000 spectators. Work is expected to be completed so the Ospreys can play their first home game in the 2026/27 URC season in October against the Dragons. Swansea RFC will also return to its historic home from Dunvant RFC. Swansea Cricket Club has relocated to Swansea Civil Service Cricket Club. Last year the Ospreys played at the Brewery Field in Bridgend.

Y11, which is majority-owned by Kuala Lumpur-based private equity firm Navis Capital, had been identified by the WRU as its preferred bidder to acquire Cardiff Rugby, which the union acquired out of administration last year. However, both parties walked from a proposed deal in April, having entered into an exclusivity period. The WRU has not disclosed what professional advisory fees it incurred before the planned deal was aborted.

The governing body, with the full backing of its board, is still looking to reduce the number of professional regions from the current four to three for the start of the 2028/29 URC season. It is expected to shortly provide details on how this will be achieved. One route would be for the Ospreys and the Scarlets to voluntarily merge, with the possibility of games being played between Parc y Scarlets and a revamped St Helen’s. However, if that is not forthcoming – and there is currently no indication that the two clubs would be open to such a move – they will find themselves having to bid against each other for a west Wales licence in a competitive tendering process from the union.

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On its financial position, the Ospreys is the least indebted of the regions. A new permanent home at St Helen’s, with the option for future phases to increase the ground’s capacity, would strengthen the case for the Ospreys if it went head-to-head with the Scarlets to secure the west Wales licence. Last year the Llanelli-based club entered into a deal with US-based luxury asset broker House of Luxury, set up by Pontypridd-born Kirsti Jane Baker, which gave the company an option to acquire a majority stake in the club. However, little has been heard recently from the Montana-registered business on whether it still intends to invest in the club by taking a 55% interest.

The investment in St Helen’s comes as the Ospreys have confirmed they have entered into an improved funding deal with the WRU, by signing up to Professional Rugby Agreement 25. It now leaves only the Scarlets still on the financially inferior PRA 23 deal.

Abi Tierney, chief executive of the Welsh Rugby Union said: “PRA25 creates greater alignment across rugby in Wales, and I am very pleased that constructive discussions with Y11 Sport and Media have led to the Ospreys signing the agreement.

” Three out of four of our regional men’s clubs are now on PRA25 and due diligence work with the Scarlets is continuing. We look forward to having all of our men’s professional teams on the agreement ahead of the start of the next United Rugby Championship in September.”

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Marianne Økland, chair of the Professional Rugby Board, said: “I have been very encouraged by the collaborative way negotiations between the WRU and the professional clubs have been conducted over recent months. This positive spirit is also evidenced by the meaningful progress made on the future model for the development pathways.”

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Drifting In The Same Lane: The Convergence Of Porsche And Ferrari

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Drifting In The Same Lane: The Convergence Of Porsche And Ferrari

Drifting In The Same Lane: The Convergence Of Porsche And Ferrari

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Fizzy drink cans recalled as they 'may rupture unexpectedly'

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Fizzy drink cans recalled as they 'may rupture unexpectedly'

Dalston’s Pineapple Soda as asking people to throw away affected cans of its pineapple drink over fears they could cause injury.

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These 8 flexicap funds have low consistency scores. Do you own any? – Low consistency in 5 years

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These 8 flexicap funds have low consistency scores. Do you own any? - Low consistency in 5 years

Canara Robeco Flexi Cap Fund had a performance consistency score of 35% in the last five years. The risk compared to its peers has been low. In the investment style of the portfolio, the momentum based is medium, value based is low, and quality based is high. In the last five years, the fund gave 10.4% CAGR and had an AUM of Rs 11,922 crore.

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AlphaGrep enters MF space, eyes Rs 25,000-30,000 cr AUM in 3-5 yrs; to launch maiden scheme on Jul 6

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AlphaGrep enters MF space, eyes Rs 25,000-30,000 cr AUM in 3-5 yrs; to launch maiden scheme on Jul 6
AlphaGrep Investment Management is set to enter the mutual fund industry with the launch of its first scheme next month and is targeting assets under management (AUM) of Rs 25,000-30,000 crore over the next three to five years, a top company official said.

The move comes after the company received approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) to commence mutual fund operations.

The company’s maiden new fund offer (NFO) — a multi-asset allocation fund — will open for subscription on July 6 and close on July 20. The scheme will invest in equity and equity-related instruments, debt and money market instruments, as well as gold, silver and other permitted commodity exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

“We are targeting an AUM of Rs 25,000-30,000 crore in the next three to five years,” AlphaGrep Investment Management Chief Executive Officer Bhautik Ambani told PTI.

He said the asset management company will focus on quantitative equity and hybrid strategies driven by advanced mathematical models, artificial intelligence and machine learning.

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Following the launch of the multi-asset allocation fund, the company plans to introduce an open-ended dynamic equity scheme that will invest across large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap stocks.
“We will always try to launch products with a differentiation to offer investors,” Ambani said.Founded by Mohit Mutreja and Prashant Mittal in 2010, AlphaGrep is a global quantitative trading and investment firm. It has a headcount of more than 500 people and offices in around eight countries. Its mutual fund business is under AlphaGrep Investment Management.

AlphaGrep Investment Management currently manages more than Rs 2,000 crore in assets across its specialised Alternative Investment Fund (AIF) and Portfolio Management Services (PMS) platforms, including operations in GIFT City, as of February 2026.

The entry comes at a time when India’s mutual fund industry continues to expand rapidly. The country currently has 52 asset management companies managing assets worth more than Rs 85 lakh crore.

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Week Ahead: Surging Greenback On Robust Jobs Data, While ECB Hike Seen As A Done Deal

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Week Ahead: Surging Greenback On Robust Jobs Data, While ECB Hike Seen As A Done Deal

Week Ahead: Surging Greenback On Robust Jobs Data, While ECB Hike Seen As A Done Deal

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I was applying for hundreds of jobs – this tip helped me get one

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I was applying for hundreds of jobs - this tip helped me get one

Four people who weren’t hearing back from job applications shared what they did differently to secure their first role.

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