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Mumbai: India’s latest suite of dedicated forex-inflow programmes could net about $100 billion, nearly three times the proceeds from the last such exercise during the 2013 taper tantrum, if the special drives retain the early momentum displayed so far, market experts and economists said.

“If the current pace of FCNR(B) inflows, as reflected in the central bank data, continues, we may well see three-digit US dollar billion mobilisation, significantly exceeding the initial estimates of $50-60 billion,” said VRC Reddy, head of treasury, Karur Vysya Bank. “The momentum so far has been a pleasant surprise.”

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Saturday said the special programmes between them had mobilised $40.81 billion in foreign exchange inflows up to July 31. Of this, FCNR(B) deposits accounted for $36.72 billion, despite the current programme having been operational only since June 8. The strong response has prompted economists to raise their estimates of the eventual mobilisation under the scheme.

“The cumulative inflows across FCNR(B), ECB and OFCB could reach $90 billion or even higher. Collections so far have been much stronger than expected,” said Gaura Sengupta, chief economist, IDFC First Bank.

She has consequently revised FY27 balance of payments surplus forecasts to $40 billion from $25 billion earlier.

The dedicated facilities, announced by the RBI on June 5 and operationalised on June 8, provide concessional foreign exchange swaps to banks to encourage capital inflows, support the balance of payments, cushion the rupee and contain imported inflation. The FCNR(B) window remains open until September 30, while the ECB and OFCB windows will remain available until December 31.
Robust Flows
“We continue to see up to $75 billion being raised under these concessional schemes, helping fund the current account gap, with a possible balance of payments surplus of nearly $35 billion in FY27,” said Madhavi Arora, chief economist at Emkay Global Financial Services.
Madan Sabnavis, chief economist, Bank of Baroda, estimates the overall mobilisation around $70 billion. “We believe around $70 billion can come through the total window, with $50-60 billion from FCNR(B) alone and another $10 billion from ECB and OFCB, though those flows are likely to pick up only after September,” he said.

Nearly 100 companies, including Maruti Suzuki, ICICI Bank, Coforge, Vedanta Aluminium and others, have fixed their record dates for corporate actions such as stock splits and dividends for the upcoming week between August 3 (Monday) and August 7 (Friday).

Interested investors need to hold shares of these companies in their demat accounts on the record date to be eligible for the respective corporate actions. The list remains tentative, as more companies may announce record dates for dividends, bonus issues and stock splits during the week.

Here is a day-wise list of corporate actions to watch out for this week.

August 3 (Monday)

Around 12 companies have fixed August 3 (Monday) as the record date for their respective dividends. The most notable name among them is ICICI Bank. The heavyweight private lender has fixed Monday as the record date for its final dividend of Rs 12 per share.

IT player Coforge also has fixed Monday as the record date for its interim dividend of Rs 4 per share, while Emkay Global Financial Services will turn ex-record date for a final dividend of Rs 1.5 per share.
Other stocks that will turn ex-record date on this day include Bannari Amman Spinning Mills (Rs 0.25 per share), Ganesh Infraworld (Rs 0.1 per share), Kakatiya Cement Sugar & Industries (Rs 3 per share), Kanpur Plastipack (Rs 1.2 per share), Khazanchi Jewellers (Rs 0.5 per share), Lakshmi Engineering and Warehousing (Rs 10 per share), Prima Plastics (Rs 2 per share), Sai Silks (Rs 1.5 per share) and Transrail Lightning (Rs 3 per share).August 4 (Tuesday)

Bosch accounts for the highest dividend payout among the stocks turning ex-record date for dividends on Tuesday. The company will pay a dividend of Rs 270 per share to its eligible shareholders.

CONCOR will pay an interim dividend of Rs 1.6 per share, while Alembic Pharma and Balkrishna Industries will pay dividends worth Rs 2.4 per share and Rs 4 per share, respectively. Other stocks turning ex-record date on Tuesday include Andhra Paper (Rs 0.5 per share), CE Info Systems (Rs 3.5 per share), Eveready Industries (Rs 2.5 per share), Greenply Industries (Rs 0.5 per share), Hirect (Rs 1.4 per share), Mysore Petro Chemicals (Rs 2 per share), PCBL Chemical (Rs 4.5 per share), Sonam (Rs 0.3 per share), TCPL Packaging (Rs 25 per share) and The Grob Tea Company (Rs 2 per share).

August 5 (Wednesday)

Disa India accounts for the highest dividend payout among the stocks turning ex-record date for dividends on Wednesday, with a final dividend of Rs 200 per share.

Bayer CropScience and Automotive Axles will pay final dividends of Rs 60 per share and Rs 32 per share, respectively, while Goodyear India will pay a final dividend of Rs 26.5 per share. Gandhi Special Tubes will pay a final dividend of Rs 15 per share, Matrimony.Com will pay Rs 5 per share, Munjal Showa will pay Rs 4.5 per share, Berger Paints India will pay Rs 4 per share, Fermenta Biotech will pay Rs 3.75 per share, and Sika Interplant Systems will pay Rs 3.5 per share.

Other companies turning ex-record date for final dividends on Wednesday include Brigade Enterprises (Rs 2 per share), Indef Manufacturing (Rs 2 per share), Somany Ceramics (Rs 2 per share), Anuh Pharma (Rs 1.5 per share), Indag Rubber (Rs 1.5 per share), Shreyans Industries (Rs 1.5 per share), Mukesh Babu Financial Services (Rs 1.2 per share), TD Power Systems (Rs 1.1 per share), ADF Foods (Rs 0.6 per share), and Oriental Aromatics (Rs 0.5 per share).

In addition, Ajanta Pharma, IRB Infrastructure Developers, and Vedanta Aluminium Metal will turn ex-record date for their respective dividends, while Tembo Global Industries will turn ex-record date for a stock split from Rs 10 to Rs 1 per share.

Also read | Explained: Why Kospi skyrocketed 18% today after massive selloff and what’s ahead for South Korea’s ‘bipolar’ stock market

August 6 (Thursday)

Lumax Industries accounts for the highest dividend payout among the stocks turning ex-record date for dividends on Thursday, with a final dividend of Rs 55 per share.

Rane Holdings will pay a final dividend of Rs 47 per share, while Linde India will pay a combined dividend payout comprising a final dividend of Rs 4 per share and a special dividend of Rs 8 per share. Tasty Bite Eatables will pay a final dividend of Rs 10 per share, Lumax Auto Technologies will pay Rs 5.5 per share, Praj Industries will pay Rs 3.6 per share, and Hercules Investments will pay Rs 2.5 per share.

Other companies turning ex-record date for final dividends on Thursday include Bharat Gears (Rs 1 per share), Investment & Precision Castings (Rs 1 per share), Mindteck (India) (Rs 1 per share), and Bemco Hydraulics (Rs 0.1 per share).

August 7 (Friday)

Maruti Suzuki India accounts for the highest dividend payout among the stocks turning ex-record date for dividends on Friday, with a final dividend of Rs 140 per share.

Chennai Petroleum Corporation will pay a final dividend of Rs 54 per share, while Avanti Feeds, Grasim Industries, Jasch Gauging Technologies, PI Industries, United Breweries, and Venus Remedies will pay dividends of Rs 10 per share each. Sharda Cropchem will pay a final dividend of Rs 9 per share, Ipca Laboratories will pay Rs 6 per share, KEC International and Nava will pay Rs 5.5 per share each, BDH Industries will pay Rs 5 per share, and Lodha Developers will pay Rs 4.25 per share.

Bhagwati Autocast will pay a final dividend of Rs 3.5 per share, while Mukand, Netweb Technologies India, and Quess Corp will pay Rs 3 per share each. Shyam Metalics And Energy will pay Rs 2.7 per share, and Aarvi Encon and Wonderla Holidays will pay Rs 2 per share each.

Arvind Fashions will pay a final dividend of Rs 1.6 per share, while Rubicon Research, Sahyadri Industries, Shri Dinesh Mills, Tube Investments of India, and Varroc Engineering will pay Rs 1.5 per share each. Cholamandalam Financial Holdings will pay Rs 1.3 per share, Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands and BN Rathi Securities will pay Rs 0.5 per share each, Steelcast will pay an interim dividend of Rs 0.45 per share, Westlife Foodworld will pay an interim dividend of Rs 0.4 per share, and IDFC First Bank, Manba Finance, and Sagility will pay Rs 0.25 per share, Rs 0.25 per share, and Rs 0.1 per share, respectively.

In addition, JOJO Ltd. will turn ex-record date for a stock split from Rs 10 to Rs 5 per share.

Also read | Odyssey of stock market: What investors can learn from the Greek epic hero’s journey back home?

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

Artificial intelligence may be disrupting India’s $280-billion IT services industry today, but the technology could ultimately create its next wave of growth rather than destroy it, according to Rohan Korde, Fund Manager at Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

The fund house believes the recent correction in IT stocks reflects concerns over tariffs, AI-led disruption and weak near-term earnings guidance, but says the long-term opportunity lies in the industry’s transition from pilot AI projects to large-scale enterprise deployments. Korde sees emerging demand for data engineering, cybersecurity, cloud integration, specialised semiconductor infrastructure and AI-enabled hardware as potential growth drivers, even if traditional revenue streams come under pressure.

“While the existing revenue pools may get impacted, every disruption provides an opportunity as well, as has been witnessed in the past,” he said in an interview with ETMarkets.

Edited excerpts from a chat:

The government’s policy thrust is firmly behind manufacturing, yet you are more bullish on services. What is the market underestimating about the services opportunity?

While there has been a visible thrust on the manufacturing sector through various measures such as introduction of Production Linked Incentives (PLI) and promoting Make in India, it is also quite noticeable that the service sector has not been ignored. Various policies such as national Tourism Policy 2015, National Education Policy 2016, National Health Policy 2017, and initiatives like the National Mission on Pilgrimage Rejuvenation and Spiritual, Heritage Augmentation Drive (PRASAD) to name just a few, have helped drive growth in the services sector as well. Interestingly, The Gross Value Added by the Services sector has averaged 7.1%* year on year growth in the past 20 years, higher than both Industry and Agriculture average growth rate.
Which segments within services—financials, IT, healthcare, telecom, travel or digital businesses—offer the strongest earnings visibility over the next three to five years?The services sector offers multiple sectoral opportunities to invest in: Financial Services, Information Technology, Consumer Services, Power, Healthcare, Telecommunication, Oil & Gas, Telecommunication, Services, and Media & Publication. A lot of companies within these sectors have been growing at a fair clip in the past 5 years. We project good growth visibility in Financial Services (on low credit penetration and financialization of savings), Healthcare (aging demographics, expanding middle class, lifestyle diseases and wellness focus, and potential to see increase in medical value tourism), and Consumer Services (rapid digital acceleration boosting growth in e-commerce and quick commerce driving volumes across audience).

Indian IT services face uncertainty from AI-led disruption. Do you see AI as a threat to existing revenue pools or as the sector’s next growth driver?

The IT Sector has corrected by 23% over the last 1 year led by concerns around uncertainty led by tariffs and AI dominance. Even the growth guidance for FY27 remains weak, though the sector is a beneficiary of the weaker local currency. So, while the impact on stock prices has been immediate, there hasn’t been adequate clarity on how the opportunities might manifest. However, there can be potential prospects as the move from pilot AI projects to scaled enterprise deployments occur, which may be in the form of massive data engineering, new cybersecurity frameworks, or cloud integration & architectures and specialized semiconductors (GPUs, NPUs, TPUs), edge-AI devices, and data center infrastructure on the hardware side. To sum up, while the existing revenue pools may get impacted, every disruption provides an opportunity as well, as has been witnessed in the past.

Financial services represent a significant part of the listed services universe. Where do you currently see the best risk-reward—banks, NBFCs, insurers, asset managers or capital-market businesses?

Within the Financial Services space, we have a preference for Mid cap banks, NBFCs and platform companies in that order.

From a broader market perspective, do you expect returns over the next year to be driven by earnings growth, valuation expansion or sector rotation?

Generally, the markets do well when there is confidence in the earnings growth trajectory. IMF projects India’s GDP growth at ~6.4% for FY27* and identifies India as the fastest-growing major global economy, bolstered by resilient domestic consumption, robust services activity, and reduced external tariffs. This is higher than their projected growth rate of 3.9% for emerging markets and developing economies and 3.1% for the World. In this scenario, earnings growth, especially if the war scenario tapers off, can be a good growth driver for the markets. Of course, if this war extends further, or in case of additional hostilities elsewhere, corporate earnings are vulnerable to the tune of 300-500bps, in which case instead of earnings growth, sector rotation can be the driver.

Midcap valuations remain elevated despite uneven earnings delivery. Where do you still find a favorable risk-reward, and which segments appear priced for perfection?

While Midcap valuations may appear expensive in isolation, the current valuation is at a 6% discount to the past 8 year average PE multiple of the index. Similarly, even the large cap Nifty 100 index is trading at a lower valuation (by~8%) to its past 8 year average. At the same time, the small cap index is trading at a premium to its historical valuation. Hence risk reward broadly appears to be favourable in valuation terms for both mid cap and large cap segments.

Which sectors currently offer the strongest overlap between the midcap and value frameworks, and will return over the next three years be driven primarily by earnings growth, valuation rerating or successful corporate turnarounds?

To answer the latter part of the question, as mentioned earlier, earnings growth for India should be a key driver for returns. Successful corporate turnarounds are unique and company specific events, so they cannot be classified as a category driver, while valuation rerating is often derived as a function or outcome of improved earnings growth trajectory.

In the context of Indian markets, the mid cap framework is largely growth oriented, but following the Growth at Reasonable Prices (GARP) philosophy helps in identifying some themes closer to the value philosophy. We see Financial Services and IT offering good overlap between these frameworks due to stock correction, discounted valuation as compared to historical averages, overall good management quality, and healthy cash flow generation.

If you must start an SIP of Rs 10,000 as an investor with moderate risk appetite at this stage, how would it be spread out across various fund categories? Consider a long-term horizon of 10 years.

While it is difficult to be generic when individual investor risk return profile and tenure are different, and a planner with a holistic view of the client can be a better judge on these aspects, we believe a broad core portfolio from a longer term perspective would appear as spread 20% in hybrid (BAF), 20% each in the large / mid / small categories and the balance 20% in a thematic (value / services / consumption).

New Delhi: India and Canada are working towards concluding negotiations for the proposed Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) by the end of 2026, said the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA).

In a written reply in the Rajya Sabha, minister of state for external affairs Kirti Vardhan Singh said on Friday that three rounds of CEPA negotiations have been held so far, with the latest round taking place in Ottawa from July 6-10. “Progress has been made across multiple negotiating tracks, with both sides working towards concluding the process by late 2026,” he said. PM Narendra Modi plans to visit Canada later this year to give further momentum to bilateral ties, which have improved under the current dispensation in Ottawa. The MEA said the proposed India-Canada CEPA aims to establish a free trade area by eliminating or reducing tariffs and other trade restrictions. The agreement is also intended to progressively liberalise trade in goods and services, promote a more transparent, predictable and facilitative trade and investment regime, and strengthen economic cooperation and people-to-people ties.

Canada represents a market of 41.65 million people, as of 2025, and $2.34 trillion in terms of GDP in terms of purchasing power parity.
The India-Canada CEPA holds significant potential to unlock and expand bilateral trade, which stood at $8.66 billion in 2024-25, comprising exports worth $4.22 billion from India and imports of $4.44 billion, according to an official.