Business
F&O Talk: Weak market breadth to keep Nifty in sideways trend. Sudeep Shah’s take on Amber, Tata Comm and 4 more stocks
Meanwhile, the volatility gauge India VIX ended at 17.91, up by 0.49% from the last closing.
Analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:
Q: Nifty ended with WoW gains of 0.7% but for weeks it has traded in a small range. In the absence of any favourable trigger, do you expect the sideways trade to continue?
In line with our expectations, the benchmark index Nifty continued to trade within a narrow range of nearly 542 points during the week. The index ended the week near the 23700 mark with a marginal gain of 0.27% and formed a small-bodied candle with shadows on both sides on the weekly chart, reflecting indecisiveness among market participants and the absence of strong directional conviction. However, the real story lies beneath the surface, where multiple indicators are hinting at an important development ahead.
For the last eight trading sessions, the index has been oscillating within the 23860–23262 zone. Interestingly, during all these sessions, Nifty either opened with an upside gap or a downside gap, leaving very limited opportunities for short-term traders to capture meaningful intraday moves. Owing to this prolonged consolidation, the downward slope of the 20-day and 50-day EMAs has moderated considerably. In addition, the daily RSI has been hovering in the narrow band of 44–47 over the past seven sessions, highlighting the absence of momentum. The daily ADX, currently placed at 16.86, further indicates a lack of strength in either direction. But the bigger concern is not the index movement, it is what the broader market is quietly signaling underneath.
Most importantly, the broader market structure also reflects a similar picture, as a majority of sectors continue to remain stuck in sideways consolidation phases. At the same time, market breadth has weakened notably, with momentum largely restricted to only selective stocks while the broader participation remains muted. This narrowing participation often becomes the foundation for the market’s next meaningful directional move.
Going ahead, we believe the index is likely to maintain its sideways trajectory until a decisive breakout emerges from the current range. On the upside, the 23850–23900 zone is expected to act as a strong hurdle for the index. On the downside, the 23400–23350 zone is likely to provide immediate support. The next breakout from this tightening range could decide whether the market enters a fresh trending phase or slips into another round of volatility.
Q. What is your view on Bank Nifty? Do you think Bank Nifty can cross its critical resistance of 54500 zone?
The banking benchmark index, Bank Nifty, has relatively outperformed the frontline indices over the past week. It has established a base near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its recent up move (49955–57456) and has witnessed a mild pullback thereafter.
Despite this minor retracement, the index continues to trade below its key moving averages. However, the daily RSI indicates a sideways trend, as per the RSI range shift theory. Other momentum indicators and oscillators are also reflecting a similar lack of clear directional bias.
Going forward, the zone of 53200–53000 is expected to act as a strong support for the index. On the upside, the 20-day EMA zone of 54350–54500 will serve as a crucial resistance. A sustained move above the 54500 level could pave the way for further upside, with the index likely to test the 50-day EMA, currently placed at 55270.
Q: For markets to stage recovery, financials must start firing at some stage. Based on the earnings season, how would you rate their Q4 performance and which stocks will be watched by you? Within the Financial space, where should one focus?
Financials are likely to be a key driver for any meaningful market recovery. The Nifty Financial Services index is currently consolidating within a narrow range of 25628–24911 over the last nine trading sessions, indicating a pause in directional momentum.
The overall setup suggests a lack of strong triggers, as both moving averages and momentum indicators are pointing towards a sideways trend. This reflects a phase of consolidation where the sector is neither showing meaningful strength nor weakness in the near term.
Given the current structure, the index is expected to continue trading within this range in the short term. A decisive breakout on either side of this band will be crucial, as it will likely determine the next directional move and set the tone for broader market recovery.
Q: The IT sector has emerged as the top weekly performer with Nifty IT index gaining nearly 5%. Do you think this to be a short term phenomenon or are these signs of long term bets being made now after a deep correction?
The broader trend for the Nifty IT index continues to remain weak, as it is still forming a pattern of lower tops and lower bottoms, indicating an intact bearish structure. Additionally, the index is trading below its key moving averages, which further reinforces the negative undertone. That said, the index has witnessed a strong rebound over the past week and has outperformed the frontline indices, suggesting signs of a short-term pullback rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
Going ahead, if the index sustains above the 29600 level, it may see an extension of the ongoing pullback rally. However, on the downside, a breach below 28400 could lead to a resumption of the broader downtrend.
Q: Another important factor that is still not being discussed much is the impact of El Nino. Agriculture sector and rural incomes are both at stake now and will impact auto (mostly two-wheelers), consumer staples and discretionary and performance of agri stocks? What is your view on these indices?
The Nifty Auto index is currently trading in a sideways phase, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum. Going ahead, a breakdown below the 25900 level could trigger selling pressure, potentially dragging the index towards the 24800 mark in the short term.
Q: One of the things now being discussed at least in social media is that the domestic investors are the reason why FIIs are having it easy to sell Indian equities i.e. their investments through MFs is giving easy exits to foreign investors. What is your view on this?
The rise of domestic investors has certainly changed the structure of Indian markets, but saying SIP and mutual fund inflows are simply giving FIIs an easy exit is an oversimplification. What we are witnessing is actually a structural shift in market ownership. Persistent SIP inflows and strong DII buying have created a stable domestic liquidity base that can absorb FII selling without causing deep market damage. From 2021 until 2026 till date, DIIs invested over ₹22.20 lakh crore into equities, while FIIs were net sellers to the tune of ₹12.65 lakh crore.
However, this domestic strength has also reduced the market’s dependence on foreign capital. Earlier, heavy FII selling would trigger sharp corrections, but now DIIs cushion the fall. FIIs are largely reallocating capital based on global interest rates, valuations, and currency trends, not because retail investors are funding their exits. In fact, resilient domestic participation reflects growing financialization of Indian household savings, which is a long-term positive for Indian equities.
Q: Gland Pharma, Honeywell Automation and Tata Communications were among top gainers this week, while Jain Resources, Amber Enterprises and CE Info Systems have been big losers. What should investors do with them?
Gland Pharma gave a downward sloping trendline breakout on the daily chart and sharply moved higher thereafter. The breakout was supported by a strong rise in volumes. Rising ADX suggests strengthening bullish momentum. The zone of 2200–2150 is likely to act as an immediate support, and the stock is expected to move higher as long as it trades above this zone.
Honeywell Automation India has witnessed a pullback of nearly 27% from the lows of 28,860 made on 13th May. The RSI is in a rising mode, indicating strong bullish momentum. The DI lines have widened, with DI+ placed significantly above DI- in the ADX indicator, highlighting strong buyer presence. The zone of 33,150–33,050 is expected to act as a strong support, and the stock is likely to move higher as long as it holds above this zone.
Tata Communications gave a downward sloping trendline breakout and moved sharply higher. The RSI is in a rising mode, indicating strong bullish momentum. The stock has closed above the upper Bollinger Band over the last three trading sessions, a phenomenon often associated with strong trending moves. The zone of 1800–1750 is likely to act as a strong support, and the stock is expected to remain on the higher side as long as it trades above this zone.
Jain Irrigation Systems has corrected sharply by around 36% from the high of 594 made on 8th May. The stock is trading significantly below its short and long-term moving averages. The RSI has slipped below the 40 mark, indicating bearish momentum. As long as the stock remains below the 430–450 zone, the outlook is likely to stay bearish.
Amber Enterprises India has corrected nearly 18% from the high of 8,974 made on 7th May. The MACD line has slipped below the zero line, indicating bearish momentum. DI- is placed above DI+ in the ADX indicator, highlighting seller dominance. As long as the stock trades below the 7,800–7,850 zone, the trend is likely to remain weak.
CE Info Systems has slipped below key short and long-term moving averages. Rising ADX suggests strengthening bearish trend momentum. The RSI has slipped below the 40 mark, indicating weakness in price momentum. The zone of 950–1000 is expected to act as a strong resistance, and the stock is likely to remain bearish as long as it trades below this zone.
(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)
Business
Thunder Bench Explodes for Record 76 Points in 123-108 Game 3 Win Over Spurs
SAN ANTONIO — The Oklahoma City Thunder used a record-setting bench performance to overcome an early 15-point deficit and defeat the San Antonio Spurs 123-108 on May 22, 2026, at Frost Bank Center to take a 2-1 lead in the Western Conference Finals.
Oklahoma City’s reserves scored 76 points, the most by a team in a conference finals game since the NBA adopted the 16-team playoff format in 1984. The previous high was 69 points by the Los Angeles Lakers in 1985.
The bench contributed 62% of the Thunder’s total scoring in the victory. Only two Oklahoma City starters reached double figures, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 26 points and Chet Holmgren adding 14.
Bench Standouts
Jared McCain led the reserves with a playoff career-high 24 points. Jaylin Williams scored a playoff career-high 18 points, making five three-pointers. Alex Caruso added 15 points, giving him 63 points through the first three games of the series.
McCain, acquired midseason in a trade with the Philadelphia 76ers, said, “I like proving my support system right. The people who really believe in me, I like proving them right.”
He also stated, “We talk about it a lot, in practice and throughout the whole playoffs: Be ready and stay ready. Coaches have done a great job of that. … We all are hoopers and we all know what to do out there, especially this team. It’s a very mature team. Coming in, I just want to be as ready as I can, no matter what it is.”
Early Game Struggles and Response
The Spurs opened the game with a 15-0 lead, the longest run to start a conference finals game since the play-by-play era began in 1997. De’Aaron Fox started the run with a driving layup, Victor Wembanyama hit a three-pointer, and Devin Vassell added another three.
Thunder coach Mark Daigneault called timeout early and turned to his bench. Oklahoma City responded with a 13-2 run while Wembanyama was on the bench and closed the first quarter trailing 31-26.
The Thunder outscored the Spurs 97-77 after the first period. Daigneault said, “We assume the opponent’s always at their best and we need to be at ours and depth is a part of that. … It just needs to be one of our strengths that we rely on, regardless of circumstance.”
Injury and Availability Notes
Jalen Williams missed the game for Oklahoma City due to a right hamstring strain. For the Spurs, De’Aaron Fox made his series debut after missing Game 2 and scored 15 points. Dylan Harper remained sidelined with a right adductor injury.
Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 24 points. Devin Vassell added 20 points. The Spurs’ bench scored only 23 points.
Series Context
The Spurs won Game 1 in double overtime 122-115 in Oklahoma City. The Thunder responded with a 122-113 victory in Game 2 at home. Oklahoma City has now won two straight games to take the series lead.
Gilgeous-Alexander addressed the slow start, saying, “We just went out there and competed. They obviously jumped on us early. First game in their building, their crowd behind them, they were excited to play. We just wanted to make sure we competed from that point on. We obviously didn’t give our best effort to start that game but can’t do nothing about it. It’s behind us. All we can do is focus on the next possession, and we did that.”
Game Incidents
The contest remained physical. In the second half, Stephon Castle was fouled hard on back-to-back dunk attempts. Ajay Mitchell received a flagrant foul 1 on the second play, and technical fouls were issued to Mitchell and Vassell after they exchanged words.
Back-to-back three-pointers by Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams helped Oklahoma City establish its first lead at 35-31. The Thunder maintained control through strong bench rotations and defensive pressure.
Historical Bench Performance
The 76 bench points marked an outlier performance. No team had achieved 62% of its scoring from reserves in a winning conference finals effort in the past four decades. The Thunder’s depth has been a consistent factor, with 50 bench points in Game 1 and 57 in Game 2.
Coaching and Strategy
Daigneault utilized deep rotations throughout the game. The strategy allowed the Thunder to maintain intensity despite the early deficit and the absence of Jalen Williams. Oklahoma City improved to 2-1 in the series with the road victory.
The Spurs leaned heavily on Wembanyama and their starting lineup due to guard injuries. Harrison Barnes and Jordan McLaughlin saw expanded minutes in the backcourt.
Broader Playoff Picture
Oklahoma City, the defending NBA champions, demonstrated resilience through injuries and early-game adversity. The Spurs showed fight with a strong opening but could not sustain momentum against the Thunder’s depth.
Game 4 is scheduled for Sunday, May 24, 2026, at Frost Bank Center. The series could return to Oklahoma City for Game 5 if the Thunder win again in San Antonio.
Attendance at Frost Bank Center included former Spurs legends David Robinson and Tim Duncan. The crowd provided strong support early but witnessed the Thunder’s comeback.
Statistical Highlights
The Thunder shot efficiently in the second half and dominated in transition opportunities created by their bench. Rebounding and assist numbers favored Oklahoma City as the game progressed. The 123-108 final margin reflected control after the initial Spurs surge.
This performance added to the narrative of the Thunder’s bench as a championship-level strength. McCain and Williams delivered career playoff highs at a critical juncture in the Western Conference Finals.
The game marked another chapter in a competitive series between two young Western Conference teams. Further updates on player availability and adjustments will come ahead of Game 4.
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FIIs sell over Rs 30K crore worth of Indian equities in May as outflows swell to Rs 2.22 lakh crore. What lies ahead?
On Friday, FIIs sold domestic shares to the tune of Rs 4,440.47 crore while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers at Rs 6,003.53 crore.
DIIs throwing around their weight on Friday, helped the benchmark indices end with gains though they were capped amid strong selling pressure in pharma & health stocks while financials helped bulls to ride the tide. While Nifty gained 64.60 points or 0.27% to close at 23,719.30, the BSE Sensex settled at 75,415.35, up 231.99 points or 0.31%.
Commenting on the current FII trends, Pabitro Mukherjee, Associate Vice President – Research at Bajaj Broking said the investor sentiment remains cautious due to persistent geo-political tensions, which continued to keep crude oil prices elevated.
“The Indian Rupee further weakened during the week, slipping to a fresh all-time low against the US Dollar. Meanwhile, a sharp rise in bond yields, driven by concerns over rising inflation and the possibility of prolonged higher interest rates, kept investors on edge. Overall, global uncertainty and macroeconomic headwinds led to cautious trading activity across the markets. Looking ahead, institutional flows are likely to remain sensitive to developments around US–Iran tensions, oil-price movement,” he said.
Outlook
Bajaj Broking has said institutional activity is expected to be largely driven by global developments, going forward. The progress or deterioration of the U.S.–Iran negotiations will remain a key factor to monitor, he said, outlining significant implications for geopolitical stability and the potential impact on crude oil price volatility.
FIIs in 2026
War-induced sell-off in March made it the worst month this year, witnessing an exodus worth Rs 1,17,775 crore. April was not kind too, with outflows of Rs 60,847 crore. Foreign investors turned net buyers in February, buying shares worth Rs 22,615 crore in the domestic markets so far. In January, they sold Rs 35,962 crore worth of shares.
In 2025, the FIIs buying trends remained patchy, but the overall trend was bearish. They took Rs 1,66,286 crore from Indian markets as trade deal delay and premium valuations weighed on the sentiments.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)
Business
Navitas Semiconductor NVTS Stock Jumps Nearly 20% on AI Power Demand and Analyst Upgrades in 2026
TORRANCE, Calif. — Navitas Semiconductor Corporation shares surged 19.98% to close at $29.25 on May 22, 2026, as the gallium nitride and silicon carbide power semiconductor specialist continued to benefit from momentum in artificial intelligence infrastructure and multiple analyst price target increases.
The stock traded as high as $29.54 during the session before pulling back slightly in after-hours trading to around $29.01. The move extended recent gains tied to the company’s pivot toward high-power markets.
Recent Analyst Actions
Several firms raised price targets in early May 2026. Needham increased its target to $21 from $13. Baird raised its target to $20 from $9. Morgan Stanley lifted its target to $12.50 from $4.20, and Rosenblatt moved to $13 from $7.
The company is scheduled to participate in upcoming investor conferences, contributing to positive sentiment.
Q1 2026 Financial Results
Navitas reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $8.6 million on May 5, up 18% sequentially from $7.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 but down from $14.0 million in the year-ago period. The sequential increase was driven by higher contributions from high-power markets, including AI data centers, grid and energy infrastructure, and industrial electrification.
Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 39.0%. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $33.8 million, or $0.15 per share, compared with a $16.8 million loss, or $0.09 per share, in the prior-year quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, the loss per share was $0.04, beating consensus estimates of $0.05.
For the second quarter of 2026, Navitas guided revenue to $10.0 million, plus or minus $0.5 million, representing sequential growth of over 16% at the midpoint. Non-GAAP gross margin is expected at 39.25%, plus or minus 75 basis points.
Strategic Shift to High-Power Markets
Navitas has focused on its “Navitas 2.0” strategy, emphasizing high-power GaN and SiC solutions for AI data centers and energy infrastructure while reducing exposure to lower-margin consumer and mobile segments. High-power markets represented a larger portion of revenue in the first quarter.
The company highlighted new 800V solutions for AI data centers and grid infrastructure at PCIM 2026. These include SST solutions for medium-voltage to high-voltage DC conversion and power delivery boards.
Partnerships and Product Developments
Navitas has secured design wins and partnerships supporting AI power efficiency. A partnership with Cyrient in India for GaN-based products targeted next-generation power applications, including AI infrastructure and industrial systems.
The company continues to advance its GeneSiC silicon carbide platform alongside GaNFast gallium nitride technology for data center and electrification needs.
Capital Markets Activity
In May 2026, Navitas completed a $122 million ATM equity offering and launched a new $125 million ATM program. It also filed a $250 million mixed securities shelf.
The company ended the first quarter with approximately $223.4 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash.
Market Position
Navitas operates in the power semiconductor sector, competing in high-growth areas driven by AI power demands. The company’s technology focuses on efficiency improvements critical for data centers and renewable energy applications.
Shares have shown significant volatility in 2026, with strong year-to-date performance reflecting investor interest in AI-related power solutions. The stock has traded well above prior-year levels amid sector tailwinds.
Analyst Consensus
As of mid-May 2026, analysts maintained a range of ratings with upward revisions. Price targets varied widely, reflecting differing views on execution of the high-power strategy and revenue ramp.
Revenue forecasts for 2026 were upgraded by an average of 12% in recent weeks, according to some tracking services.
Broader Industry Context
Demand for efficient power semiconductors has risen with AI data center expansion. Navitas has positioned itself through product launches and customer engagements in energy infrastructure and performance computing.
The company added Gregory M. as a veteran independent director in early May to support its transformation.
Navitas plans to report second-quarter 2026 results in early August. Management has emphasized disciplined spending and R&D investment in high-power initiatives.
This report compiles information from company announcements, financial filings and market data available through May 22, 2026. Stock prices and projections remain subject to market conditions and future results.
Business
AI Foundry Push Contrasts With IBM’s Quantum and Software Stability
NEW YORK — Intel Corp. and International Business Machines Corp. showed contrasting performances through mid-2026 as investors compared Intel’s semiconductor recovery efforts against IBM’s steady software, infrastructure and quantum computing progress.
As of May 22, 2026, Intel shares closed at $118.50. IBM shares closed at $252.97.
Intel reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $13.6 billion, up 7% year-over-year. The Data Center and AI segment grew 22% to $5.1 billion. The company posted a GAAP net loss of $3.7 billion, or $0.73 per share, due to restructuring charges. Non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.29.
Intel guided second-quarter 2026 revenue between $13.8 billion and $14.8 billion. The company highlighted progress on its 18A process and AI CPU sales.
IBM posted first-quarter 2026 revenue of $15.9 billion, up 9% year-over-year, or 6% at constant currency. Software revenue reached $7.05 billion, up 11%. Infrastructure revenue increased 15% to $3.33 billion. Consulting revenue grew 4% to $5.27 billion.
IBM reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion, or $1.28 per share. Operating non-GAAP earnings per share were $1.91. Free cash flow reached $2.2 billion. The company reiterated full-year 2026 expectations for more than 5% revenue growth at constant currency.
Valuation and Analyst Consensus
Analysts assigned Intel a consensus Hold rating with average price targets in the $70 to $81 range in some reports, though recent momentum pushed shares higher. Intel shares showed strong recovery from 2025 lows.
IBM carried a Moderate Buy consensus with an average 12-month price target near $294, suggesting potential upside. Some targets reached $360.
IBM showed higher revenue, earnings and net margins than Intel in the most recent quarter. IBM’s net margin was 15.61% compared to Intel’s negative figures in the period.
Business Strategies
Intel focused on regaining AI server share and advancing its foundry business under CEO Lip-Bu Tan. The company reported sold-out AI CPU capacity and explored partnerships, including with Tenstorrent. Challenges persisted in foundry profitability.
IBM emphasized hybrid cloud, Watsonx AI tools and quantum computing. The company announced plans for a U.S. quantum chip foundry and reported strong mainframe performance with the z17 model. Software and infrastructure drove growth.
Financial Metrics
Intel’s stock exhibited high volatility with a significant rebound in 2026. Operating cash flow in Q1 was $1.1 billion, with adjusted free cash flow negative due to capital expenditures.
IBM maintained stable financials with consistent profitability. Operating gross profit margin reached 57.7% in Q1 2026, up 110 basis points year-over-year.
Dividend and Returns
Both companies maintained dividends. IBM offered a yield around 3% with a history of consistent payments. Intel’s dividend faced scrutiny amid earlier losses but continued.
Risks and Outlook
Intel projected sequential revenue growth in client and data center segments for Q2, driven by supply and pricing. Risks included foundry execution and AI chip competition.
IBM projected continued software acceleration and free cash flow growth. Risks involved consulting execution and broader AI commercialization timelines.
Intel showed higher cyclical exposure compared to IBM’s enterprise focus. Stock movements in 2026 reflected these differences, with Intel displaying sharper rebounds.
Upcoming earnings include Intel in late July 2026 and IBM around July 22, 2026. Supply chain developments, AI adoption and quantum initiatives will influence both stocks through the remainder of 2026.
This comparison draws from company reports, analyst consensus and market data available through May 23, 2026. Investment decisions require individual assessment and professional advice. Actual results may vary based on economic conditions and execution.
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Is It Possible To Have Too Much Diversification?
The Barnacle is a quantitative analyst and has been in and out of the investing business since 2003. He is a former member of Marketocracy’s M100 Club. He has a degree in mathematics and believes that mathematics is the root of all success. If the numbers tell one to do something, then do it. When one reads his posts, one will realize that. Consequently, he does not put much stock in sell-side analysis, since most of it is pretty bad. he will share posts about value stocks that still have growth potential. This is not limited to large caps, but will also include midcaps, small caps, international stocks, gold miners, and REITs. Recently, his focus has been on ETF strategies that could potentially outperform the market’s overall return or provide better risk protection. He no longer focuses on individual stocks.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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