Business
Hedging Against Currency Volatility in a Shifting Global Market
For British exporters, the era of predictable margins is effectively over. As we settle into 2026, the compounding pressures of new trans-Atlantic trade tariffs and the erratic fluctuation of Sterling are forcing Finance Directors to tear up their old operational playbooks.
In this unforgiving environment, relying on legacy banking infrastructure to handle cross-border payments is no longer just an inefficiency—it is an active threat to profitability. To maintain competitiveness in non-traditional markets, switching to a dedicated multi currency business account is becoming the first line of defence for forward-thinking SMEs.
The “Hidden Tax” on British Exports
The core problem facing UK businesses isn’t just the exchange rate headline figure; it is the friction and opacity involved in moving money through the traditional banking system. For decades, High Street banks have treated foreign exchange (FX) as a profit centre rather than a utility.
Consider a Nottingham-based manufacturer importing components from Shenzhen or exporting services to Berlin. The “standard” bank spread of 2.5% to 3.5% on every transaction acts as a hidden tax on growth. On a £50,000 invoice, a 3% spread erases £1,500 from the bottom line—often wiping out the net margin gain from a hard-won contract negotiation.
In 2026, when supply chain inflation is already squeezing profits, donating percentage points to banking intermediaries is unjustifiable. The disparity between the interbank rate and what an SME actually pays often determines whether a growing export division is profitable or merely breaking even.
The Strategy of Natural Hedging
The most effective strategy for the coming year is operational diversification. With the US market facing potential protectionist hurdles, UK firms are aggressively pivoting East—towards the UAE, Singapore, and emerging Asian markets. However, venturing into these territories brings complex currency headaches that simple spot-transfers cannot solve.
This is where the concept of “natural hedging” becomes critical. Instead of constantly converting revenue back into Sterling, smart businesses are keeping funds in their native currency to pay local suppliers later.
To execute this, the operational agility of a modern multi currency business account becomes the differentiator. By holding balances in local currencies—be it AED, SGD, or EUR—businesses can pay suppliers like a local entity. For instance, revenue earned in Euros from a client in France can be held in a Euro-denominated IBAN and used directly to pay a logistics partner in Germany three weeks later. This completely eliminates the FX risk and conversion fees on those funds, a tactic that was previously available only to large multinationals with complex treasury departments.
Speed as a Supply Chain Currency
Beyond the mathematics of exchange rates, there is the issue of velocity. Cash flow remains king, but in the volatile climate of 2026, liquidity speed is queen.
Waiting three to five days for a SWIFT transfer to clear is an operational lag that modern supply chains can no longer tolerate. If your competitor in Germany can settle an invoice with a supplier in Vietnam instantly using fintech rails, and you are stuck waiting for a correspondent bank in New York to approve a wire transfer, you are at a disadvantage. Suppliers in high-demand markets prioritise buyers who pay fast and in the correct currency.
Modern fintech solutions have normalised instant or same-day settlement, even across borders. A payment that arrives instantly, in the supplier’s local currency, without intermediary bank deductions, builds immense trust. In a supply chain disrupted by geopolitical tension, being the “easy-to-work-with” partner often secures priority status for inventory and shipping.
The CFO’s Audit Checklist for 2026
If your business is still operating with a single GBP-denominated account for international trade, your infrastructure is likely leaking value. It is time to audit your banking stack against the realities of the current market:
- Audit Your Real Effective Rate: Don’t just look at the fee per transfer. Compare the exchange rate your bank gives you against the live market mid-market rate. Calculate the annualised cost of that spread across your total export volume.
- Capability to Hold Foreign Revenue: If you receive payment in US Dollars or Euros, does your bank force an immediate auto-conversion to Sterling? If so, you are losing the ability to hedge naturally.
- Deployment Speed: If a sudden opportunity arises in a new market—say, Brazil or Saudi Arabia—can you generate local account details instantly to receive funds, or does it require weeks of paperwork?
The economy of 2026 rewards precision and speed. While British SMEs cannot control global tariffs or the whims of the forex market, they can control their financial infrastructure. Moving away from rigid legacy banking towards flexible fintech solutions is the smartest, most cost-effective hedge a business can make this year.
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NatWest said it believes banks have a role to play beyond providing finance, using their regional footprint, expertise and convening power to bring together businesses, communities and policymakers to help remove structural barriers to growth and unlock productivity across the UK.
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Robert Begbie, CEO of Commercial & Institutional Banking at NatWest Group, said the expanded ambition reflects the bank’s confidence in the programme’s effectiveness.
“We know that to build the economy of the future we need to back the innovators who will power it,” he said. “Entrepreneurs are the driving force behind innovation, job creation and long-term economic growth across the UK. By raising our ambition for 2026, we’re reinforcing our commitment to back founders at every stage – from idea to scale-up – and help them turn ambition into sustainable success.”
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Shevaun Haviland, Director General of the British Chambers of Commerce, added that expanding the Accelerator would give more founders access to the advice and peer networks they need to grow with confidence.
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“Joining the NatWest Accelerator was one of the best decisions we ever made for our business,” he said. “The support helped us understand every area of the business and gave us the confidence to grow now and into the future.”
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