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Oil prices extend gains as Trump sharpens rhetoric on Iran
Brent crude futures rose 57 cents, or 0.5%, to $110.34 a barrel by 1202 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up $1.26, or 1.1%, at $113.67.
Trump, has threatened to rain “hell” on Tehran if it fails to comply with his deadline of 8 p.m. EDT Tuesday to reopen the strait. “They could be taken out,” Trump warned, pledging further action if a deal is not reached.
Responding to a U.S. proposal through mediator Pakistan, Tehran rejected a ceasefire and said a permanent end to the war was necessary, and pushed back against pressure to reopen the strait.
Iranian forces effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz after U.S. and Israeli attacks began on February 28, disrupting a waterway that typically carries about 20% of global oil flows.
“Clock-watching is now playing almost as big a role in oil markets as the fundamentals themselves in the run-up to Trump’s ultimatum deadline,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
“The potential for a ceasefire deal offers some counterweight and could spark a relief move lower if it gains traction, but persistent supply worries from the Hormuz chokepoint and damaged energy facilities are keeping the floor under prices.” On Monday, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards halted two Qatar liquefied natural gas tankers and directed them to hold position without providing explanations, sources told Reuters. However, shipping data has shown limited vessel movement through the strait since last Thursday.
The U.N. Security Council is expected to vote on Tuesday on a resolution to protect commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, but in significantly watered-down form after veto-wielding China opposed authorizing force, diplomats said.
The attack in the region continued as explosions were heard in the Syrian capital, Damascus, and surrounding countryside on Tuesday that were caused by the Israeli interception of Iranian missiles, Syrian state TV reported.
Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday it intercepted and destroyed seven ballistic missiles launched towards its Eastern Region, with debris falling near energy facilities, according to the defence ministry.
The conflict has pressured global crude markets, with spot premiums for U.S. WTI crude surging to record highs as Asian and European refiners scramble to secure replacement supplies amid disrupted Middle Eastern flows.
Saudi Arabia’s state oil company Aramco raised the official selling price of its Arab Light crude to Asia for May delivery, setting a record premium of $19.50 a barrel above the Oman/Dubai average.
Adding to supply concerns, Russia on Monday said Ukrainian drones attacked the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s terminal on the Black Sea, which handles 1.5% of global oil supply. Russia reported damage to loading infrastructure and storage tanks.
OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to lift oil output quotas by 206,000 bpd in May, though the increase will be largely notional as key members cannot boost production because strait closures are curbing exports.
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In February 2026, Thai exports grew 9.9%YOY, driven by electronics and the US market, while imports surged 31.8%YOY. Middle East conflict and US tariffs pose risks, potentially worsening Thailand’s trade deficit.
Thai Export Performance in February 2026
Thai exports in February 2026 slowed to a growth of 9.9% year-on-year (YOY), with a total export value of USD 29,439.7 million. This was a significant deceleration from January’s 24.4% YOY surge and below forecasts. The export slowdown was coupled with a sharp 11.1% month-on-month seasonal adjustment contraction. Electronics led exports, expanding over 56.8% YOY due to global demand and investment in related industries, especially to the US, where exports rose 40.5%. Gold exports grew moderately by 18.2%, affected by falling global prices.
Import Trends and Trade Balance
Imports surged to USD 32,273.3 million, the highest in 50 months, rising 31.8% YOY, driven mainly by raw materials, intermediate goods, and capital goods like gold and electrical machinery. This import growth intensified the trade deficit, which reached USD -2,833.6 million in February, with a cumulative deficit of USD -6,137.1 million for the first two months of 2026.
Outlook and External Challenges
Thailand’s trade outlook faces challenges from the Middle East conflict and rising US import tariffs. The Middle East conflict, though limited in direct impact, may affect key export sectors and energy costs, worsening the trade deficit. Meanwhile, ongoing US tariff investigations under Section 301 pose export risks. The Ministry of Commerce projects 2026 export growth scenarios ranging from -3% to +1.1% YOY. SCB EIC will update economic forecasts by March’s end amid these evolving uncertainties.
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In the Nifty500 pack, nine stocks’ closing prices crossed above their 200 DMA (Daily Moving Averages) on April 6, 2026, according to stockedge.com’s technical scan data. The 200-day daily moving average (DMA) is used by traders as a key indicator for determining the overall trend in a particular stock. As long as the stock is priced above the 200-day SMA on the daily timeframe, it is generally considered to be in an overall uptrend. Take a look:
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