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OpenAI Reveals China-Linked Influence Campaign

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OpenAI Reveals China-Linked Influence Campaign

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Good morning! Here’s the latest in trending:

AI spending: Oracle (ORCL) plunges after Q4 earnings as its massive capex plan fuels debt concerns.

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Iran updates: U.S. launches strikes on Iran; Trump claims 100M barrels of oil escorted out of Hormuz.

Hot inflation: CPI rises at fastest pace since 2023. This economist says rate cuts and hikes are off the table.

OpenAI (OPENAI) has revealed it banned China-linked accounts that used ChatGPT to generate social media content to stir up opposition to AI data centers in the U.S. and President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The company published its findings to help the AI industry, governments and the public “better identify and disrupt attempts by foreign threat actors to manipulate legitimate public debates.”

Foreign interference: OpenAI found a cluster of ChatGPT accounts from China that generated social media content “claiming that data center buildouts for AI were increasing electricity prices for average families.” The accounts were likely part of a social media operations team at a private Chinese tech firm conducting work for provincial-level government clients. OpenAI found another cluster of accounts that generated content criticizing U.S. tariffs as “attempts to dominate technological competition.” Their prompts specified that the content should only include Trump and not Xi Jinping. OpenAI could not establish the accounts’ institutional affiliation. “This cluster was connected to a network of likely inauthentic social media accounts that were also likely targeting OpenAI by claiming ChatGPT user data had been compromised,” it stated. “These allegations were entirely false.”

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Bigger picture: To note, OpenAI bars its services in China and the accounts it mentioned used VPNs to access its platform. “Most of the social media posts we identified generated little or no observable engagement,” the company said, but warned that the campaigns’ “significance lies in what they reveal about the intentions of influence operators from China” and the narratives they seek to amplify. “Both clusters attempted to connect U.S. technology policies and industries to everyday economic anxieties and geopolitical instability,” OpenAI noted. “It is ironic that the two operations used American AI, rather than Chinese models, to generate their content about American AI.” China’s embassy in the U.S. told Reuters it was not familiar with OpenAI’s findings but said, “We firmly ​oppose any groundless attacks or smears against China.”

Latest on IPO: In other news, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told staff that he expects the startup to go public within the next year. “Many things could cause it to be sooner or later ‌in that range, but filing now gives ​us optionality if we want to go sooner,” he said. The company this week revealed that it confidentially filed for an IPO, but said the listing may take time “because there are things we want to do that are likely easier as a private company.” Altman indicated that delaying the IPO could be advantageous if AI can achieve recursive self-improvement, referring to the ability of an AI system to create new models on its own. He also said OpenAI is preparing to launch a tender offer “very soon” at the current share price of $687.69. OpenAI: Mega IPO Faces Anthropic Claude Mythos Reckoning

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What else is happening…

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Today’s Markets

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In Asia, Japan +0.1%. Hong Kong -0.7%. China -0.2%. India -0.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.9%. Paris +0.8%. Frankfurt +0.2%.
Futures at 6:30, Dow +0.7%. S&P +0.7%. Nasdaq +1.2%. Crude -1.2% to $88.94. Gold -0.5% to $4,112.80. Bitcoin +2.6% to $62,867.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -3 bps to 4.53%.

On The Calendar

Companies reporting today include Adobe (ADBE) and Lennar (LEN).

See the full earnings calendar on Seeking Alpha, as well as today’s economic calendar.

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Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 AI suspended over security fears

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Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 AI suspended over security fears

“We take note of Anthropic’s statement and are assessing,” said Thomas Regnier, a spokesman for the European Commission, which this month unveiled measures to slash the 27-nation bloc’s dependence on America and Asia for key technologies, including AI.

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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.: Bolt-On Acquisitions Fuel Growth

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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.: Bolt-On Acquisitions Fuel Growth

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.: Bolt-On Acquisitions Fuel Growth

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Strong Buy Momentum Amid AI Infrastructure Boom and Nasdaq-100 Inclusion

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Nebius Group N.V.

Nebius Group N.V., the Amsterdam-based AI cloud infrastructure provider trading under NASDAQ: NBIS, has emerged as a standout performer in the artificial intelligence sector in 2026, driven by explosive revenue growth, major hyperscaler partnerships and expanding global capacity. Analysts largely recommend buying the stock, citing robust demand for its NVIDIA-powered platforms despite valuation concerns in a high-growth market.

The company, which focuses on full-stack AI infrastructure for training, tuning and deploying models, reported remarkable first-quarter 2026 results with revenue surging 684% year-over-year. Its AI cloud segment, now dominating operations, posted even steeper gains, underscoring the shift toward specialized compute resources as AI adoption accelerates across industries.

Nebius benefits from deep collaborations with tech giants. Partnerships with NVIDIA, Microsoft and Meta have secured substantial contracted backlog, providing long-term visibility. A landmark multi-billion-dollar agreement with Microsoft and a significant NVIDIA equity investment highlight its strategic positioning in the AI ecosystem.

Company Background and Business Model

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Originally a carve-out from the Russian tech firm Yandex amid geopolitical shifts, Nebius has repositioned itself as a pure-play AI cloud company headquartered in Amsterdam with operations spanning Europe, the United States and beyond. It offers vertically integrated platforms optimized for high-performance computing, serving AI builders, enterprises and developers in sectors including healthcare, robotics, financial services and media.

The company’s platform encompasses data handling, model training, inference and production deployment. It operates GPU clusters and data centers, emphasizing owned infrastructure to meet surging demand that often exceeds available capacity. Management has highlighted multiple customers competing for each new GPU brought online.

Recent expansions include a £1.7 billion investment in the UK for NVIDIA infrastructure, a new Physical AI Living Lab for robotics startups in partnership with NVIDIA, and plans for gigawatt-scale AI factories in the United States, such as sites in Pennsylvania and Alabama. These moves aim to address power and land constraints critical for scaling AI workloads.

Financial Performance and Growth Trajectory

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Nebius delivered exceptional metrics in Q1 2026. Revenue reached approximately $399 million, with the AI cloud business accounting for 98% of total sales. Adjusted EBITDA margins nearly doubled sequentially to 45%, signaling improving profitability as the company scales. Annual recurring revenue also jumped dramatically.

A contracted backlog approaching $46 billion, including major deals with Meta and Microsoft, provides a strong foundation. Analysts project continued hyper-growth, with some forecasting revenue in the billions for 2026 as capacity ramps up in the back half of the year.

The stock has been volatile but rewarding for investors. Shares have posted substantial year-to-date gains amid the AI rally, recently trading around $232. Recent inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index, effective June 22, 2026, is expected to boost visibility and institutional inflows.

Analyst Views and Price Targets

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Wall Street sentiment leans bullish. Consensus ratings from multiple firms hover around Moderate Buy to Buy, with approximately 12-17 analysts covering the stock. Average price targets range from about $204 to $255, implying modest upside from recent levels, though individual forecasts vary widely from $120 low to $380 high.

Recent actions include BofA Securities raising its target to $280 from $240, citing strengthening compute demand. Other firms like Citigroup have maintained Buy ratings with targets up to $287. Some voices note execution risks in capacity buildout but emphasize favorable long-term risk-reward.

Positive factors include Nebius’s leadership in AI-native cloud, high barriers to entry in GPU infrastructure and partnerships that validate its technology. Risks encompass high capital intensity, potential insider selling, valuation multiples and competition from other hyperscalers and specialized providers.

Investment Considerations for 2026

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For investors evaluating buy or sell decisions, Nebius represents a high-conviction AI infrastructure play. The company’s ability to secure power contracts exceeding 3.5 GW and its focus on owned assets position it to capture market share as AI moves from experimentation to production scale.

Bullish arguments center on secular tailwinds: insatiable demand for compute, improving margins and a clear path to profitability. Nasdaq-100 inclusion could catalyze further momentum through passive fund buying. Long-term projections from optimistic analysts point to significant upside if growth targets are met.

Cautious perspectives highlight the stock’s premium valuation and execution challenges in delivering on ambitious capacity timelines. Broader market corrections in AI-related names could pressure shares in the near term. Diversification and monitoring quarterly progress on deployments remain advisable.

Market Context and Outlook

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The AI infrastructure boom continues to reshape technology investing in 2026. Nebius joins peers like CoreWeave in benefiting from hyperscaler demand and NVIDIA ecosystem strength. Its full-stack approach differentiates it by offering end-to-end solutions beyond raw compute.

As the year progresses, key catalysts include additional capacity online, potential new customer wins and further financial improvements. Management has expressed confidence in back-end weighted growth for 2026.

Broader economic factors, interest rates and AI adoption rates will influence performance. However, structural demand for GPU cloud services appears durable, supported by applications in generative AI, agentic systems and enterprise transformation.

Risks and Considerations

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Potential headwinds include supply chain constraints for hardware, regulatory scrutiny on energy usage for data centers, and competition. Insider transactions have drawn attention, though they occur in growth companies. Investors should review the latest SEC filings and earnings transcripts for detailed risk factors.

This is not investment advice. Stock prices can fluctuate significantly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Individuals should consult financial advisors and conduct thorough due diligence.

Nebius Group exemplifies the opportunities and challenges in the AI infrastructure space. With strong analyst support, strategic partnerships and proven execution in a high-demand market, many view it as a compelling long-term holding for those bullish on artificial intelligence’s expansion. The coming quarters will test the company’s ability to scale efficiently while maintaining momentum.

As global AI investment surges, Nebius’s infrastructure plays a critical role in enabling innovation. Whether adding to positions or initiating new ones, the stock warrants close attention from growth-oriented investors navigating the evolving tech landscape in 2026 and beyond.

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Why the US economy keeps defying the odds

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Why the US economy keeps defying the odds

Why has the American economy continued to outperform so many of its peers, despite facing the same global shocks?

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Fund boosts support for financial struggles

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Fund boosts support for financial struggles

The £300k fund will expand support for residents struggling with financial pressures in Devon.

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TAT and Agoda Partner to Boost Thailand Tourism With Digital Intelligence

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TAT and Harley-Davidson Showcase Southern Thailand as the Ultimate Motorcycle Touring Destination

The Tourism Authority of Thailand and Agoda held a strategic meeting to enhance cooperation in travel intelligence and digital technology, promoting Thailand’s tourism globally and supporting sustainable practices and emerging destinations.

Strategic Tourism Partnership

Bangkok, 11 June 2026 – The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) and Agoda have united to enhance Thailand’s destination marketing and global competitiveness through travel intelligence and digital tools. TAT Governor Ms. Thapanee Kiatphaibool and Agoda CEO Mr. Omri Morgenshtern, along with their teams, met at Agoda’s One Bangkok office to discuss future strategies.

Leveraging Technology and Insights

The collaboration merges Agoda’s digital expertise with TAT’s marketing capabilities to generate demand from international markets and boost domestic travel. Their focus includes promoting wellness tourism and lesser-known destinations. This partnership also aims to foster sustainable industry practices as part of the Trusted Thailand initiative, using insights to develop targeted campaigns that highlight Thailand’s cultural heritage and diverse experiences.

Commitment to Thai Tourism Growth

Agoda, founded in Phuket, remains committed to supporting Thailand’s tourism through its extensive digital travel platform, offering access to millions of accommodations and travel activities worldwide. Mr. Morgenshtern emphasized opportunities in wellness travel and safety communications, aiming to showcase Thailand’s rich offerings to a global audience.

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Source : TAT and Agoda harness travel intelligence for quality tourism growth in Thailand

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Man who built Guernsey finance charity retires

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Man who built Guernsey finance charity retires

Peter Neville stands down as head of the charity supporting people ineligible for mainstream banking.

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Thai Baht Weakens as April Trade Deficit Hits Record USD 10 Billion

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Thai Baht Slides as Record April Trade Deficit Hits USD 10 Billion

Thailand’s Baht is weakening due to a record USD 10.0 billion April trade deficit, driven by strong imports. Despite portfolio inflows and AI export growth, authorities warn of continued Baht pressure if imports remain high.


Key Points

Record Trade Deficit Exacerbates Baht Weakness

Thailand’s economy is currently facing a significant challenge as its currency, the Baht, weakens despite the presence of portfolio inflows. A record USD 10.0 billion trade deficit in April, primarily driven by robust import activity, is exerting considerable downward pressure on the Baht. This widening gap between exports and imports has surpassed expectations, marking the seventh consecutive monthly deficit and representing the largest on record. The concerning trade imbalance is a central factor influencing the Baht’s stability in the near future, overshadowing other economic indicators.

Persistent Imports Undermine Baht Stability

Authorities have issued a clear warning regarding the continued pressure on the Thai Baht (THB) if import levels remain elevated. This strong import demand is directly contributing to the widening trade deficit, presenting a significant headwind for the currency. While the government anticipates a base-case export growth of 3%, with a potential range of -3% to +8%, the current import dynamics are proving to be a substantial impediment. The Baht has already experienced a 3.2% year-to-date depreciation against the US Dollar, even amidst growth in AI-related exports.

Global Economic Forces Intensify Baht Depreciation

In addition to domestic trade imbalances, external economic factors are further contributing to the Baht’s depreciation. Since mid-April, the currency has exhibited a consistent weakening trend, influenced by rising global oil prices and a strong demand for the US Dollar. This confluence of domestic and international pressures, including the record trade deficit and global economic trends, highlights the multifaceted challenges confronting the Thai Baht. Despite pockets of export growth, the overall economic landscape suggests persistent vulnerability for the currency.

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InvestingPro’s Fair Value spotted Rocket Companies 44% drop in advance

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InvestingPro’s Fair Value spotted Rocket Companies 44% drop in advance

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InvestingPro Fair Value nails 68% return on LiveRamp stock

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InvestingPro Fair Value nails 68% return on LiveRamp stock

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