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UK Borrowing Costs Hit 18-Year High as Starmer Future Rattles Bond Markets

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Prime Minister Keir Starmer relaxes EV targets and taxes to protect Britain’s auto industry from Trump’s 25% tariffs, aiming to sustain growth and encourage electric vehicle adoption.

The cost of UK government borrowing climbed to its highest level in nearly two decades on Tuesday, as mounting speculation over the future of Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer collided with fresh inflation fears stoked by the Iran conflict, leaving the country’s small and mid-sized businesses staring down the barrel of yet another period of squeezed credit and weaker sterling.

The effective interest rate on 10-year gilts briefly touched 5.13% in morning trading, a level not seen since the depths of the 2008 global financial crisis. Yields on two-, five- and 30-year debt also pushed higher, with the 30-year benchmark hitting 5.80% — the steepest reading since 1998.

For Britain’s 5.5 million SMEs, already grappling with stubborn input costs and a softening consumer, the move in the bond market is no abstract Westminster drama. The two- and five-year gilt yields directly underpin fixed-rate mortgage pricing, and by extension the working capital pressures on owner-managers whose households and balance sheets remain tightly interwoven.

The FTSE 100 slid 0.5%, with the high-street banks leading the retreat amid chatter that any successor administration could green-light a fresh tax raid on the sector. Sterling weakened by the same margin against the dollar, slipping to $1.35.

A toxic cocktail of geopolitics and Westminster jitters

Markets have been on edge for weeks as the war in Iran has driven crude above $100 a barrel, threatening to reignite the very inflationary fire the Bank of England has spent two years dousing. But while peer economies have weathered the oil shock with comparatively muted moves in their debt markets, Britain’s gilts have been singled out for punishment.

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The reason, according to City analysts, is political. With Sir Keir’s grip on Number 10 looking increasingly precarious, allies emerged from a cabinet meeting on Tuesday insisting the Prime Minister would “get on with governing”, investors are pricing in the very real prospect of a leadership contest that could deliver a Chancellor less wedded to fiscal restraint.

Sir Keir and Chancellor Rachel Reeves have spent the better part of a year repeating their commitment to “iron-clad” borrowing rules, a mantra designed to keep the bond vigilantes at bay. Yet a growing chorus of Labour backbenchers on the party’s left have begun openly questioning whether those self-imposed limits are “fit for long-term renewal”.

Capital Economics put the matter bluntly in a note to clients. “The UK’s already fragile fiscal position means that investors will be on edge for any signs of fiscal loosening,” its analysts wrote. “The likely replacements for Starmer/Reeves would probably not be as fiscally disciplined.” The firm flagged Andy Burnham, Angela Rayner and Wes Streeting, the names most frequently cited as potential challengers, as candidates who would “probably raise public spending”.

Why the City is nervous

Anna Macdonald, investment strategy director at Hargreaves Lansdown, said the gilts market had been “frazzled” by the prospect of a new occupant of Number 11 taking a more relaxed view of the public finances. “This would mean that investors, of which 25-30% are overseas buyers of UK government bonds, demand a higher risk premium,” she warned.

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That risk premium matters far beyond the trading floors of the Square Mile. Governments raise most of their revenue through taxation, but routinely spend more than the Exchequer takes in. The shortfall is plugged by issuing gilts, IOUs sold to pension funds, insurers and foreign investors who, in exchange for parting with their cash, demand certainty above almost everything else.

When that certainty evaporates, the price of borrowing rises. And the bill for Britain’s existing stock of public debt, already swollen by years of crisis-era spending — now accounts for roughly £1 in every £10 the government spends. Each tick higher in yields translates directly into less fiscal headroom for the productivity-boosting investment SMEs have been calling for, from full-expensing reforms to business rates overhaul.

For owner-managers, the immediate read-through is threefold. Mortgage rates, already a drag on consumer discretionary spend, are likely to remain stickier for longer. Sterling weakness will sharpen the import bill for any business reliant on dollar-priced inputs, from manufacturers to hospitality operators sourcing food and drink from overseas. And the cost of business borrowing, whether through term loans or asset finance, is unlikely to ease until the bond market regains its composure.

Until Westminster offers a clearer answer to the question of who will be running the country by the autumn, that composure looks some way off.

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Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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Lala unveils RTD yogurt smoothies

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Lala unveils RTD yogurt smoothies

The nutritional smoothies are available in four flavors.

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Jon Moulton backs biotech firm Infex Therapeutics tackling ‘critical global threat’ of antibiotic resistance

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Mr Moulton and GM&C Life Sciences Fund join £4.3m funding round

Infex Therapeutics has secured £4.3m in funding

Infex Therapeutics has secured £4.3m in funding(Image: Infex Therapeutics)

Venture capitalist Jon Moulton has backed a biotech firm that’s looking to tackle the “critical global threat” of infections that are resistant to antibiotics.

Infex Therapeutics, of Alderley Edge, has secured £4.3m in a funding round led by Mr Moulton alongside the GM&C Life Sciences Fund, managed by Catapult Ventures, and existing high net worth investors.

The company will use the funding to develop its pipeline of new anti-infectives targeting antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and other “critical-priority infectious diseases”.

Dr Peter Jackson, CEO of Infex Therapeutics, said: “We are delighted to secure this investment led by Jon Moulton, with support from the Greater Manchester and Cheshire Lifescience Investment Fund and our existing investors.

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“This funding represents strong validation of our progress in developing novel anti-infectives to address the critical global threat of antimicrobial resistance.”

Jon Moulton, founder of Better Capital and now chair of Infex Therapeutics, said: “We have supported Infex from the beginning and continue to be impressed by the company’s scientific progress and strategic execution.”

He highlighted Infex’s lead programme RESP-X, which is being trialled as a therapy for non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis (NCFB) patients.

And he said: ”This additional investment reflects our strong conviction in both the team and its innovative approach to tackling antimicrobial resistance.

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Nick Wright, CEO of Catapult Ventures which manages the GM&C Life Sciences Fund, said: “Infex Therapeutics has made excellent scientific progress since we first invested several years ago. The company has clearly established itself as a world leader in the AMR and related space and the data it is generating is very compelling.”

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ICL Israel Chemicals earnings ahead: Can fertilizer giant rebound?

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ICL Israel Chemicals earnings ahead: Can fertilizer giant rebound?

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Elon Musk, Tim Cook and others to travel to China with US delegation: White House

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Elon Musk, Tim Cook and others to travel to China with US delegation: White House

President Donald Trump is slated to visit China this week, and according to a White House official, business figures including Elon Musk, Apple CEO Tim Cook and more than a dozen others will travel to China with the U.S. delegation.

Blackrock CEO Larry Fink, Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg, and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon are some of the other figures listed.

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TESLA RECALLS MORE THAN 218K VEHICLES OVER REARVIEW IMAGE ISSUE THAT POSES CRASH RISK

Elon Musk and Larry Fink

Elon Musk, chief executive officer of Tesla Inc., left, and Larry Fink, chief executive officer of BlackRock Inc., during the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, on Thursday, Jan. 22, 2026. (Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Others on the list provided by the White House official include Blackstone Chairman, CEO and co-founder Stephen Schwarzman, Cargill Board Chair and CEO Brian Sikes, Citi Board Chair and CEO Jane Fraser, Coherent CEO Jim Anderson, GE Aerospace chairman and CEO H. Lawrence Culp, Jr., Illumina CEO Jacob Thaysen, Mastercard CEO Michael Miebach, Meta President and Vice Chairman Dina Powell McCormick, Micron Chairman, President and CEO Sanjay Mehrotra, Qualcomm President and CEO Cristiano Amon and Visa CEO Ryan McInerney.

“I am very much looking forward to my trip to China, an amazing Country, with a Leader, President Xi, respected by all,” Trump declared in a Monday Truth Social post. 

GORDON CHANG WARNS CHINESE EVS ENTERING US VIA CANADA COULD BECOME ‘ROLLING SPY MACHINES’

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President Trump shakes hands with Apple CEO Tim Cook

Apple CEO Tim Cook (R) shakes hands with U.S. President Donald Trump during an event in the Oval Office of the White House on Aug. 6, 2025 in Washington, D.C. (Win McNamee/Getty Images / Getty Images)

“Great things will happen for both Countries!” he added.

President Donald Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in October in South Korea, according to Reuters.

EX-WHITE HOUSE ‘AI CZAR’ SAYS US, CHINA COULD FIND AI COMMON GROUND DESPITE FIERCE RIVALRY

U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping

U.S. President Donald Trump greets Chinese President Xi Jinping ahead of a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base on Oct. 30, 2025 in Busan, South Korea. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images / Getty Images)

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During his first term, Trump visited China in 2017.

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Rich Products Corp. is bulking up breakfast options

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Rich Products Corp. is bulking up breakfast options

Company is launching protein-forward breakfast innovations. 

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At Close of Business podcast May 12 2026

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At Close of Business podcast May 12 2026

Elisha Newell and Nadia Budihardjo discuss MLG founder Murray Leahy’s board transition.

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Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group Wins Trademark Appeal Against Beverly Hills Polo Club

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Mike Ashley's Frasers Group Wins Trademark Appeal Against Beverly Hills Polo Club

Mike Ashley’s retail empire has scored a notable courtroom victory after the Court of Appeal threw out a substantial damages award handed down in a protracted trademark infringement dispute, sparing the FTSE-listed group what could have proved a punishing financial blow.

The ruling brings to a head a long-running tussle between the Shirebrook-based discount sports chain, rebranded as Frasers Group in 2019, and Lifestyle Equities, the company that owns and licenses the Beverly Hills Polo Club marque. Lifestyle Equities had alleged that Ashley’s group infringed its trademark by flogging goods under the rival ‘Santa Monica Polo Club’ label, a claim it first lodged back in 2018.

Frasers had lost the underlying infringement case seven years ago but mounted a fresh challenge against the scale of damages it was ordered to stump up. At an appeal hearing in April, the retailer’s lawyers argued that the bill should be slashed because the third-party companies trading under the Beverly Hills Polo Club name, and on whose behalf Lifestyle Equities was attempting to recover losses, had never been officially registered as licensees in the United Kingdom.

The Court of Appeal duly sided with the high street giant, ruling that it was “too late” for Lifestyle Equities to retrospectively register the licences in question. With the original claim dating back to 2018 and the licensing arrangements stretching back nearly a decade, the court concluded that the additional claims “appear to be well out of time” and that allowing them through would amount to an “unprincipled windfall” for businesses that had not properly placed themselves on the public register.

Counsel for Frasers warned during the appeal that permitting such claims to succeed would expose accused infringers to ambush litigation, leaving defendants “suddenly confronted with a Trojan Horse full of licensees claiming damages” of whose existence they had no prior knowledge. Without strict adherence to public registration, the retailer’s legal team argued, the regime risked becoming “a charter of unjust enrichment”, allowing trademark owners to scoop up compensation for unregistered partners alongside their own losses.

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The judgment represents a material win for Frasers, which has shrugged off a potentially eye-watering damages bill that, had it stood, would have set an awkward precedent for the wider retail sector. The decision is likely to be studied closely by intellectual property lawyers and brand owners alike, given the implications for how licensing arrangements must be formally documented to be enforceable in the British courts.

The legal win follows news first reported by City AM that the magic circle-adjacent law firm RPC has lost one of its highest-billing partners, Jeremy Drew, who represents Ashley personally, to Taylor Wessing.

The trademark victory comes hard on the heels of an extraordinary admission by Ashley, the man who founded Sports Direct in his native Burnham in 1982 and ran it as chief executive until handing the reins to son-in-law Michael Murray in 2022.

The 61-year-old billionaire has confirmed publicly for the first time that he engineered the downfall of his most prominent retail adversary, the former JD Sports executive chairman Peter Cowgill.

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Cowgill stepped down from the FTSE 100 trainer chain in 2022 in the wake of a Competition and Markets Authority probe, triggered after leaked footage emerged of him in a clandestine car park meeting with Footasylum chief executive Barry Brown. The pair had been expressly barred from exchanging commercially sensitive information while JD Sports was attempting to acquire Footasylum, and the leaked footage led the CMA to impose fines of nearly £5m on the two businesses.

In an interview with the Financial Times last weekend, Ashley conceded that the footage had been obtained by one of his own employees and said he was “not hiding from the fact” that he was the architect of Cowgill’s removal, a candid acknowledgement that lifts the lid on one of the more colourful boardroom feuds in recent British retail history.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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MOSH raises $13 million

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MOSH raises $13 million

Bar brand to roll out nationwide into Target, debut new protein bar.

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Last-minute budget pitch to 'level field' for young

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Last-minute budget pitch to 'level field' for young

Treasurer Jim Chalmers, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher have released a video online to confirm tax changes for property owners.

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Starmer Confirms Public Ownership Plan for Scunthorpe

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Britain’s steelmakers are bracing for a sharp escalation in trade tensions after the United States signalled it will double import tariffs on UK steel to 50% from Wednesday — despite a recent transatlantic deal to remove such duties.

Sir Keir Starmer has confirmed that British Steel will be taken into full public ownership, ending months of speculation about the future of the loss-making Scunthorpe plant and drawing a line under fraught negotiations with its Chinese owner, Jingye.

In a speech designed in part to head off a brewing leadership challenge after Labour’s bruising local election results, the prime minister told supporters that emergency legislation would be laid before Parliament this week to grant ministers the powers needed to take “full ownership” of the business, subject to a public interest test.

“Public ownership is in the public interest,” Sir Keir said, adding that he intended to prove his “doubters” wrong and that, for the British public, “change cannot come quickly enough.”

The decision marks a significant shift in approach. Whitehall had previously stopped short of full nationalisation, preferring instead to court private investors while keeping the blast furnaces alight through an emergency supervision regime. That regime was imposed last April after the government seized operational control of the Scunthorpe site amid mounting concerns that Jingye was preparing to switch the furnaces off, a step that would almost certainly have ended the United Kingdom’s ability to produce so-called virgin steel.

Virgin steel, smelted from iron ore rather than recycled scrap, is the grade used in heavy infrastructure projects, from new rail lines to large-scale construction. Restarting a blast furnace once it has gone cold is both technically forbidding and extraordinarily expensive, and the loss of that domestic capability has been viewed in Westminster as a strategic red line.

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Talks with Jingye, the prime minister confirmed, had failed to produce a workable deal. “A commercial sale has not been possible, and now a public test could be met,” he said.

The response from the steel sector was swift and broadly supportive. Gareth Stace, director-general of trade body UK Steel, said the announcement offered “vital certainty” to the 2,700-strong Scunthorpe workforce, as well as the customers who rely on British Steel for rail, structural sections and specialist products.

“Maintaining domestic production capability for British Steel’s products is essential not only for economic growth but also for our national security and resilience,” Stace said.

However, he was clear that nationalisation alone would not be sufficient. “It is not an end goal,” he cautioned, urging ministers to use the moment as the “beginning of a clear and credible long-term plan for British Steel,” underpinned by a proper investment strategy.

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The unions echoed that sentiment. In a joint statement, Roy Rickhuss, general secretary of the Community union, and Unite’s Sharon Graham said they “fully support” nationalisation, arguing that British Steel had a “bright future, with a world class highly skilled workforce making strategically important steels for the UK’s rail and infrastructure.” The pair also pressed the Treasury to mandate that government-funded projects source British-made steel — a long-standing demand of the domestic industry.

Charlotte Brumpton-Childs, national secretary of the GMB Union, said it was “right the government does everything in its power to secure its long term future.”

The Exchequer’s bill for propping up the company has already proved eye-watering. The National Audit Office reported in March that £377 million had been spent in just nine months to fund operations, wages and raw materials at Scunthorpe. Should the present rate of spending persist, the NAO warned, the total could exceed £1.5 billion by 2028, “depending on policy choices that may be taken in the future.”

The BBC understands the government is currently spending in the region of £1 million a day to keep the business afloat. Jingye, for its part, claimed the site was haemorrhaging £700,000 a day and was no longer commercially viable before ministers intervened.

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No headline figure has yet been put on the cost of full nationalisation. Officials say an independent valuation of the business will be carried out once legislation is in place, with any compensation due to Jingye to be determined on the basis of that exercise.

It is not the first time the state has stepped in. The Insolvency Service ran British Steel for nine months following its 2019 collapse, at a cost to the taxpayer of around £600 million, before its sale to Jingye.

For the SME supply chain, the fabricators, hauliers and engineering firms clustered around Scunthorpe and across the wider Humber industrial corridor, the announcement removes the immediate threat of a catastrophic shutdown. Many of these businesses operate on tight margins and would have struggled to survive the loss of their principal customer.

The broader question, however, is whether public ownership can deliver the modernisation that successive private owners have failed to fund. Decarbonising primary steelmaking, replacing ageing blast furnaces with electric arc technology, and securing reliable long-term contracts with British infrastructure projects will all require capital commitments measured in billions, not millions.

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The public interest test required to complete the takeover will weigh national security, the protection of critical national infrastructure and broader economic considerations. On all three counts, the government appears to have concluded that the case for intervention is now unanswerable.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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