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UK CFO confidence hits lowest level since Covid as Iran war rattles business outlook

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UK CFO confidence hits lowest level since Covid as Iran war rattles business outlook

Britain’s finance chiefs have retreated into full defensive mode as the fallout from the war in Iran sends confidence tumbling to levels not recorded since the country was plunged into its first coronavirus lockdown more than six years ago.

Two of the most closely watched barometers of corporate sentiment, Deloitte’s monthly CFO survey and BDO’s output index, paint a picture of a business community bracing for prolonged turbulence rather than plotting for growth. The message from boardrooms is unambiguous: conserve cash, cut costs and wait for the storm to pass.

Deloitte’s survey places CFO confidence at a six-year low, with geopolitics once again cited as the single greatest external threat. The firm’s chief economist, Ian Stewart, said the Middle East conflict had delivered a genuine shock, dragging optimism back to the darkest days of the pandemic. For finance leaders accustomed to navigating uncertainty, the comparison is a sobering one.

BDO’s figures tell a similarly bleak story. Business output contracted last month for the first time since February 2021, with services and manufacturing bearing the brunt. Scott Knight, the firm’s head of growth, pointed to soaring energy and commodity prices as the principal culprits, noting that a fragile truce between Washington and Tehran had offered only fleeting respite.

The knock-on effects are already filtering through the economy. Higher commodity costs are eroding manufacturers’ margins, while both businesses and consumers have begun tightening their belts in anticipation of rising inflation. Deloitte found that business leaders are most anxious about the war’s impact on energy prices, inflation and interest rates, all of which economists now expect to climb this year. The spectre of increased cyber-attacks, potentially orchestrated by state-sponsored actors, is adding a further layer of unease.

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The labour market is feeling the chill. BDO’s employment index has slumped to a 15-year low as firms signal that inflationary pressures will curtail their ability to take on new staff. Hiring demand, the accountancy firm warned, is likely to remain subdued for the remainder of 2026. A separate report from KPMG and the Recruitment and Employment Confederation found that permanent placements and worker demand continued to fall in March, albeit at a gentler pace than in preceding months. Wage growth, meanwhile, was described as marginal.

There is a slender thread of hope. Jon Holt, chief executive of KPMG, suggested that the prolonged decline in hiring activity may be starting to level off. Yet he was quick to caution that any meaningful recovery hinges on greater clarity over the trajectory of the conflict and its wider economic consequences. Without that, he warned, hiring decisions and capital investment risk being deferred once more, stalling any sustained improvement in the jobs market.

For now, the overwhelming priority among Britain’s finance chiefs, many drawn from the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250, is balance sheet resilience. The vast majority told Deloitte they intend to pare back both spending and recruitment in the months ahead. As Stewart put it, rarely in the past 16 years have UK CFOs been so single-mindedly focused on controlling costs.

It is a posture born not of panic but of hard-headed pragmatism. Until the geopolitical fog lifts and energy markets find some semblance of stability, corporate Britain appears content to hunker down and ride it out.

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Amy Ingham

Amy is a newly qualified journalist specialising in business journalism at Business Matters with responsibility for news content for what is now the UK’s largest print and online source of current business news.

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Business

How Vanguard, Index Funds Became the Behemoth Hiding in Plain Sight

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David Uberti hedcut

Most people know that Vanguard offers low-cost index funds. Some know that Vanguard is itself owned by those fund investors collectively. But few realize that this clever corporate structure is why the funds are so low cost. And why Americans have access to low-cost index funds at all. Together with the other large index-fund companies like BlackRock, State Street and Fidelity, Vanguard owns an estimated 24% of the entire U.S. stock market. Here’s how that happened:

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Business

Oil Futures Settle Higher on Inventory Worries

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Oil Futures Settle Higher on Inventory Worries

1535 ET – Oil futures post back-to-back gains as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz starts to raise concerns about falling global inventories. “While strategic releases and demand reduction have prevented immediate chaos, the margin for error is shrinking rapidly,” Phil Flynn of the Price Futures Group says in a note. A continued closure of the strait points to tighter physical markets, potential product shortages, and upward pressure on prices in coming weeks and months. On the other hand, prices further out on the curve may be suggesting that demand destruction, strategic releases, and non-Gulf supply responses “are proving more effective and elastic than the bullish narrative suggests.” WTI settles up 4.2% at $105.42 a barrel for a 10% weekly gain. Brent rises 3.3% to $109.26, up 7.9% on the week. (anthony.harrup@wsj.com)

Brent Set for Weekly Loss of More Than 7% as Hormuz Impasse Worries Markets

1406 GMT – Oil prices are little changed, with Brent headed for a weekly loss of more than 7% as hopes for a swift reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have faded. Brent crude is up 2.7% to $108.56 a barrel, while WTI futures rise 2.9% to $99.71 a barrel. At the end of a two-day summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, U.S. President Donald Trump said China agreed that the war in Iran should end and ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz be free. Still, a lack of progress in U.S.-Iran negotiations is making markets nervous. “The longer the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, the more attention is focused on inventory levels,” analysts at Commerzbank say. “If the U.S. Department of Energy’s weekly inventory report shows another significant drawdown in U.S. oil stocks, this is likely to support oil prices.” (giulia.petroni@wsj.com)

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Energy Transfer: AI Relevance, Commodity Resilience, And Inflation Beating Distributions

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Occidental Petroleum: Why This Warren Buffett Stock Has A Lot More Upside (NYSE:OXY)

Energy Transfer: AI Relevance, Commodity Resilience, And Inflation Beating Distributions

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Business

Anthropic Post Rattles Private-Company Investors

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David Uberti hedcut

Thousands of individuals have invested in private companies such as SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI, using online platforms meant to bring the hottest opportunities to the masses. This week, Anthropic sparked widespread panic by suggesting some of the investments could be worthless.

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Business

Blackstone seasoning recall hits Walmart stores over salmonella risk

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Blackstone seasoning recall hits Walmart stores over salmonella risk

A Blackstone seasoning blend has been recalled due to a potential risk of salmonella contamination, according to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

Blackstone Products of Providence, Utah, announced it was voluntarily recalling certain lots of its Parmesan Ranch seasoning products following the discovery that California Dairies, Inc. recalled dry milk powder due to potential salmonella contamination

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The affected milk powder was supplied to a third-party manufacturer and used in the seasoning product, according to the FDA.

The affected products were sold nationwide exclusively through Walmart stores and the Blackstone Products website.

CHECK YOUR FREEZER: ORGANIC ICE CREAM RECALLED IN 17 STATES OVER POSSIBLE METAL FRAGMENTS

Blackstone Parmesan Ranch seasoning packet

Select lots of Blackstone’s Parmesan Ranch seasoning packet were voluntarily recalled. (U.S. Food & Drug Administration / Unknown)

The recalled products are labeled as Blackstone Parmesan Ranch 7.3 oz seasoning products with item number #4106. The lot code and best-by dates are located on the bottom of the product packaging, according to the FDA.

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The recall specifically impacts lot numbers 2025-43282, 2025-46172 and 2026-54751 with “best by” dates of July 2, 2027, Aug. 5, 2027, and Aug. 12, 2027, respectively.

No illnesses have been reported from the affected seasoning products, but the FDA warns salmonella can cause serious and sometimes fatal infections in young children, frail or elderly people, and others with weakened immune systems.

Ticker Security Last Change Change %
WMT WALMART INC. 131.45 -1.01 -0.76%

Salmonella is an organism that can cause fever, diarrhea, nausea, vomiting and abdominal pain in otherwise healthy people, according to the FDA. In rare cases, the infection can enter the bloodstream and cause more severe illnesses, including arterial infections, endocarditis and arthritis.

MORE THAN 125,000 CHILDREN’S TOWER STOOLS RECALLED NATIONWIDE DUE TO POSSIBLE DEADLY DEFECT

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Bottom of Blackstone Parmesan Ranch Seasoning Bottle

The recalled Blackstone Parmesan Ranch seasoning products list the lot code and best-by date on the bottom of the container, according to the FDA. (U.S. Food & Drug Administration / Unknown)

A representative for Blackstone did not immediately respond to FOX Business’ request for comment.

Consumers are urged not to use the recalled seasoning and should dispose of the product immediately.

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The FDA said consumers who purchased the affected products should not consume the seasoning and should throw it away immediately.

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Customers who purchased the affected products may contact Blackstone Products at 1-888-879-4610 to receive a replacement product or ask additional questions.

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uCloudlink Group Inc. 2026 Q1 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:UCL) 2026-05-16

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

This article was written by

Seeking Alpha’s transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage. The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments. Thanks, SA Transcripts Team

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WHO declares Ebola outbreak in Congo, Uganda a global health emergency

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WHO declares Ebola outbreak in Congo, Uganda a global health emergency


WHO declares Ebola outbreak in Congo, Uganda a global health emergency

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Venezuela circulates draft of new oil law regulations for companies

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Venezuela circulates draft of new oil law regulations for companies

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Week’s Best: A Doozy of an Insider Trading Bust

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Week’s Best: A Doozy of an Insider Trading Bust

Week’s Best: A Doozy of an Insider Trading Bust

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A Former Edward Jones Advisor Stole From an Elderly Client. Now He Is Heading to Prison.

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A Former Edward Jones Advisor Stole From an Elderly Client. Now He Is Heading to Prison.

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