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US Stock Futures Rise Despite New Strikes on Iran as Markets Weigh Geopolitical Risks

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FTSE 100 Surges 0.8% Today as Oil Eases and Markets

NEW YORK — U.S. stock futures climbed early Thursday after the United States conducted fresh strikes against Iran, with investors appearing to price in limited immediate economic disruption even as geopolitical tensions escalated and inflation remained elevated.

Futures attached to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.3%. The modest uptick followed a downbeat Wednesday session in which major indexes fell on the latest consumer price data and renewed Middle East conflict concerns.

U.S. Central Command confirmed the strikes, describing them as a response to Iran’s “unwarranted and continued aggression.” President Donald Trump had earlier signaled strong action, stating that Iran would “pay the price” for stalled negotiations. The developments come amid a four-month conflict that has disrupted energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, driven oil prices higher and raised inflation risks.

Inflation Data Adds to Market Pressure

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The latest Consumer Price Index report showed prices rising 4.2% year-over-year in May, the highest reading since 2023. Energy costs accounted for more than 60% of the monthly increase, underscoring how geopolitical events are feeding directly into household budgets.

“Today’s CPI data confirmed our expectation that higher energy costs and their ripple effects on the costs of transportation and food would drive May headline CPI higher,” said Atsi Sheth, chief credit officer at Moody’s Ratings.

Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 2.9% annually, in line with expectations but still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The data reinforced bets that the Fed would hold rates steady at its June meeting, with traders now watching Thursday’s Producer Price Index report for further clues on pricing pressures.

Corporate Earnings in Focus

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After the bell Wednesday, Oracle reported earnings that beat expectations but saw its stock decline on disappointing cloud sales growth. The mixed results highlighted ongoing selectivity among investors, with strong fundamentals rewarded while any softness in forward-looking metrics punished.

The market’s attention now turns to Friday’s expected debut of SpaceX, positioned as potentially the largest IPO in history. Elon Musk’s rocket company listing could inject fresh optimism into technology and space-related sectors if demand proves robust.

Geopolitical and Oil Market Impact

The renewed U.S. strikes and Iran’s announcement closing the Strait of Hormuz to vessels have roiled energy markets. Gold prices whipsawed, rising as much as 1.1% before reversing course, while oil benchmarks reflected supply disruption fears.

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The conflict, now in its fourth month, has raised the likelihood of interest rate hikes as central banks combat inflation spillover from higher energy costs. Markets remain sensitive to any escalation that could further tighten global oil supplies.

Sector and Index Performance

Technology and growth stocks showed relative resilience in futures trading, while energy names gained on higher crude prices. Defensive sectors such as consumer staples and utilities attracted interest as investors sought safety amid uncertainty.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average had closed lower on Wednesday, as did the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. The pullback reflected a combination of inflation worries and geopolitical risk premium being added to asset prices.

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Broader Economic Outlook

The U.S. economy continues navigating a delicate balance between solid growth and persistent price pressures. Last week’s employment data showed a labor market that remains broadly in balance, but rising costs are squeezing real wages and consumer confidence.

Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, captured the sentiment many Americans are feeling. “Americans are getting squeezed financially. This isn’t just ‘bad vibes’ about the economy. There is real pain, especially for middle-class and lower-income households.”

The Federal Reserve faces a challenging path, with officials likely to emphasize data dependence in upcoming communications. Any signals of patience on rate cuts could support equities, while hints of further tightening might weigh on risk assets.

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Investor Sentiment and Strategy

Market participants appear to be adopting a wait-and-see approach, balancing geopolitical risks against corporate earnings resilience and potential policy support. The modest futures gains suggest some optimism that the latest strikes will not immediately escalate into broader conflict.

Diversification remains key, with many advisers recommending exposure to both growth and defensive sectors. Energy and commodity-related names may benefit from higher prices, while technology and consumer discretionary stocks could face pressure if inflation persists.

Looking Ahead

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Thursday’s Producer Price Index report will provide additional insight into wholesale inflation trends, potentially influencing Friday’s market open. The SpaceX IPO, if it proceeds as anticipated, could mark a significant milestone for private space companies and draw substantial attention from retail and institutional investors alike.

As the week progresses, focus will remain on any further developments in the Middle East and their potential spillover into energy markets and broader economic conditions. Central bank officials and corporate executives will also weigh in, shaping expectations for the remainder of 2026.

The current environment underscores the interconnected nature of geopolitics, inflation and financial markets. While futures point to a modestly positive open, volatility is likely to persist as new information emerges on both the conflict front and domestic economic indicators.

Investors will continue monitoring the situation closely, seeking to navigate a landscape where external shocks can quickly alter sentiment and asset prices. For now, the modest rebound in futures reflects a market attempting to look beyond immediate headlines toward longer-term fundamentals and policy responses.

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The interplay between military developments, energy costs and monetary policy will remain central to market direction in the days ahead. As always, participants are advised to maintain disciplined approaches amid evolving risks and opportunities.

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Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Shareholder/Analyst Call – Slideshow

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Shareholder/Analyst Call – Slideshow

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Asia stocks surge on US-Iran peace hopes, tech rebound

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Asia stocks surge on US-Iran peace hopes, tech rebound

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Mark My Words June 12 2026

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Mark My Words June 12 2026

Mark Pownall is joined by Sean Cowan, Tom Zaunmayr and Isabel Vieira to discuss Pauline Hanson, Port Hedland industrial action, Native title consultants, Indigenous business and the Power 500.

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Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Discusses Changes and Key Trends in the U.S. and North American Trucking Market Prepared Remarks Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Samantha Hurst
Regional Sales & Marketing Manager for Mid-Atlantic

Hello. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for joining us. We are just hitting the top of the hour. So we are going to get started because if you’ve ever joined one of these Expeditors events before, you know we typically have quite a bit of content to cover, and today is no exception. So you are joining us for our trucking and transition webinar. We’re going to focus today on what’s changing in the U.S. trucking and honestly, North America market and why that matters to you and your business. So we’re going to go into a little bit of housekeeping today.

My name, by the way, is Samantha Hurst. I’m the one you get the e-mails reminding you that you have signed up for this event. And if you have any questions in the background or technical difficulties, we’re going to drop a few hints here in the chat in just a moment on some things we know people commonly have issues with like echoes of my voice, if you’re hearing that, I’m very sorry. But we’ll give you some hint on how to fix that. And then we will go into introductions of our speakers.

So Angi, you were right to go to that disclaimer. That’s the first thing I want to talk about for everyone. Understand we are not legal experts. We cannot give you advice that should be relied upon from a legal business or financial decisions. We are here

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Asian stocks rally on Gulf breakthrough hopes, oil hits two-month lows

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Asian stocks rally on Gulf breakthrough hopes, oil hits two-month lows
Asian stocks joined a global rally on Friday on hopes a Middle East peace deal may finally materialise, while the dollar and bond yields dropped and oil prices fell to two-month lows, tempering inflation fears.

All eyes are on the hotly-awaited market debut of Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which has made history with the biggest-ever initial public offering. The IPO raised a record $75 billion, valuing the rocket and spacecraft manufacturer at $1.77 ‌trillion and making ⁠Musk the ⁠world’s first trillionaire.

President Donald Trump said on Thursday that a peace deal could be signed as soon as this weekend, hours after threatening more strikes on Iran. He said negotiations with Tehran had advanced to the highest levels of Iran’s leadership and had been approved by a broad coalition of regional powers.

Trump’s remarks follow repeated bouts of optimism from the president that have failed to yield a deal, rattling market sentiment.

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Nonetheless, “This does look perhaps a bit more tangible than we have had,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at the National Australia Bank.


“If we hear something from Iran that sounds positive, the odds (of a peace deal) are clearly going to flip quite dramatically.”
The ⁠deal, if ‌confirmed, would be the most significant diplomatic breakthrough yet to end the three-month-old war, which has sent global energy prices sharply higher. The European Central Bank had to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly three years to ⁠nip war-driven inflation in the bud. Oil prices slumped to two-month lows on the news of an agreement. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 1.9% to $86.08 a barrel, on top of a 2.6% drop overnight. Brent dropped 1.5% at $89.08 per barrel, having fallen nearly 3% overnight.

Japan’s Nikkei rose 4.3%, while Australia’s resources-heavy shares climbed 1.8%. South Korea’s KOSPI surged 8.3%.

Overnight, Wall Street rallied with the three major indexes registering their biggest daily gains since April 8 when the U.S. and Iran agreed to a temporary ceasefire. The Nasdaq jumped 2.5%, helped by expectations of a strong market debut of Musk’s SpaceX.

Data showed that U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in May, leading to the largest annual gain in 3-1/2 years as ‌the Middle East conflict drove up energy prices. On the labor market front, the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits increased marginally last week, pointing to continued labor market resilience in early June.

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Treasuries gained as hopes of a peace deal in the Gulf led markets ⁠to trim bets of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve this year. Pricing for a hike in October has come back to 36% from 51%.

Two-year Treasury yields were steady at 4.066% on Friday, having slumped 6 basis points overnight. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yields held at 4.4631%, after falling almost 8 bps overnight.

The dollar nursed losses on lower yields. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against its major peers, held at 99.78, having lost 0.4% overnight.

It edged up 0.1% to 160.19 yen, after retreating 0.4% on the prior session. Traders are still on high alert for any intervention from Japanese authorities as the yen stays below the critical 160 level.

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Precious metals caught some relief from the lower dollar. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,222 an ounce, following a 3.5% jump overnight, while spot silver rose 0.3% to $67.52 an ounce, after a 5.8% gain. (Reporting by Stella Qiu Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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Form 144 APPLOVIN CORPORATION For: 11 June

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Form 144 APPLOVIN CORPORATION For: 11 June

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Kospi jumps over 8% on Iran peace deal hopes; world’s best-performing market up 94% YTD

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Kospi jumps over 8% on Iran peace deal hopes; world's best-performing market up 94% YTD
South Korean stocks staged a powerful rally on Friday, with the KOSPI rallying as much as 8.5%, on course to end a volatile week on a high. Improved sentiment was driven by growing optimism over a possible easing of tensions in the Middle East after U.S. President Donald Trump said a deal with Iran could be reached as early as this weekend.

The benchmark KOSPI jumped 660 points, or 8.5%, to 8,424. The surge helped the index finish the week up 3.2%, reversing some of the damage from the previous week when it had fallen 3.7% amid a sharp global selloff in AI and technology stocks.

Despite the turbulence, the KOSPI remains the world’s top-performing stock index this year. The benchmark has surged 94% so far in 2026, largely powered by a rally in semiconductor stocks tied to the artificial intelligence boom.

Technology heavyweights led Friday’s advance. Samsung Electronics climbed 12.21%, while rival SK Hynix gained 8.85%. Battery maker LG Energy Solution rose 6.11%. Automakers also joined the rally, with Hyundai Motor advancing 6.03% and affiliate Kia Corp adding 4.81%. Steel producer POSCO Holdings gained 6.84%, while Samsung BioLogics edged up 1.01%.

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The rebound came after Trump said on Thursday that the United States and Iran could sign a peace agreement as soon as this weekend, a move that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping. Iran, however, said it had not yet made a final decision on any agreement.


Trump also said discussions with Iran had been elevated to the highest levels of the Iranian leadership and received approval. According to him, key elements of the proposed agreement had been approved “in both concept and great detail” by parties including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Egypt, among others.
Friday’s rally capped a week marked by extreme volatility. The KOSPI triggered “sidecar” trading curbs in four sessions, including Friday. Earlier in the week, circuit breakers were activated for the third time this year and the ninth time on record.Only days earlier, the world’s best-performing equity market had been caught in the global technology rout. AI and semiconductor stocks, the standout winners of 2025 and 2026, came under intense pressure as investors questioned whether the rally had run ahead of underlying fundamentals. The impact was particularly severe in South Korea, one of the markets most exposed to the AI supply chain, with index tumbling as much as 8% in a single session this week.

The pullback came despite a powerful long-term growth story. Demand for AI infrastructure has surged over the past year as technology companies worldwide race to develop advanced AI models and expand computing capacity. That has fuelled robust demand for high-bandwidth memory chips and channeled investor interest into South Korean chipmakers, which occupy a critical position in the global AI supply chain.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Form PRE 14A ZW DATA ACTION TECHNOLOGIES INC. For: 11 June

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Form PRE 14A ZW DATA ACTION TECHNOLOGIES INC. For: 11 June

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Bangkok Restaurant’s Renminbi-Only Policy Sparks Legal Scrutiny in Thailand

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Bangkok Restaurant's Renminbi-Only Policy Sparks Legal Scrutiny in Thailand

A viral social media video has ignited a renewed scrutiny of foreign-run businesses and their payment practices in Thailand. The clip, originating from a Chinese TikTok user, alleged that a Chinese noodle shop in Bangkok’s Huai Khwang district refused Thai baht and demanded payment solely in Chinese renminbi.

Abstract

  • A viral TikTok video claiming a Chinese noodle shop in Bangkok’s Huai Khwang district refused Thai baht and demanded renminbi payment has prompted scrutiny of foreign-run businesses in Thailand. The user also alleged the bill was inflated when paid in the foreign currency.
  • Thai authorities are investigating potential violations of the Exchange Control Act, Payment Systems Act, tax laws, and the Foreign Business Act. Officials and industry representatives are calling for verification of the claims and broader inspections of foreign-operated businesses in tourist areas.

The user further claimed that the bill was increased when forced to pay in the foreign currency, leading to confusion and anger. This incident has raised significant questions about whether foreign-operated businesses are circumventing Thailand’s official financial system, potentially violating Thai laws concerning currency exchange, payment systems, and taxation.

Key Points

Potential Legal Ramifications for Non-Compliance

If the allegations are proven true, the restaurant’s alleged practices could trigger multiple legal violations under Thai law. These include the Exchange Control Act for unauthorized foreign currency transactions, the Payment Systems Act for using unlicensed payment channels, and tax laws for income evasion and failure to issue receipts. Furthermore, the Foreign Business Act could be implicated if Thai nominees are used to facilitate foreign ownership and operation, carrying potential jail time. Anti-money laundering concerns also arise if transactions are designed to bypass Thailand’s banking and tax systems, directly repatriating funds to China.

Urgent Verification and Enforcement Measures

The president of the Association of Thai Travel Agents has called for urgent verification of the incident’s authenticity by government agencies. While emphasizing the need for facts before drawing conclusions, he stressed that decisive legal action must be taken if the allegations are substantiated to protect Thailand’s trading standards and monetary sovereignty. He advocated for businesses to integrate fully into the Thai banking system, such as through PromptPay or local bank accounts, warning against reliance on foreign payment applications. Authorities are also urged to conduct broader inspections in affected districts, covering business operations, hygiene, and product compliance.

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Applied Optoelectronics: An Optical Supercycle Is Here

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Applied Optoelectronics: An Optical Supercycle Is Here

Applied Optoelectronics: An Optical Supercycle Is Here

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